FPTS_Ban Tin Tu Van Dau Tu 08.6.2015

Knh gi : Anh TriuBn tin t vn u t ngy 08/6/2015I. Thng tin th trng.Din bin th trng ngy 08/6/2015im tch cc: Thanh khon tng t bin vo phin sng, th trng tng hn 7 im do dng c phiu dn dt th trng l dng ngn hng, du kh tng mnh. in hnh l cc c phiu nh BID, CTG, PVD, PVS, PVX, PVC Sau dng tin phn phi ra cc nhm dng bt ng sn, nhm c phiu va v nh khc. Dng tin ca NT ni vn di do trc ng thi bn rng ca nh u t.im tiu cc: Phin chiu, p lc cht li gia tng, khin cho gi ca nhiu c phiu mt gi v tr li gi tham chiu vo cui gi giao dch. NTNN bn rng -57 t trn sn HOSE (bn mnh NLG, HHS, KBC) , mua rng +14 t (mua mnh PVC, PVB, PVS) trn sn HNX.

Tm li, th trng vn thu ht dng tin mnh vo dng c phiu va v nh, NTNN bn rng s l nguy c tc ng tm l NT ni c th khin din ra nhp iu chnh trong ngn hn.

Thng tin quan trng:Tin t HSBC, Vit Nam s nm trong s 5 nc c thng mi tng trng mnh nht th gii bn cnh n , Trung Quc, Th Nh K v Bangladesh. Xut khu th gii s tng ln mc 8%/nm t nay n nm 2017 t mc bnh qun 1,5% trong giai on 2012-2014. V tnh hnh xng du, OPEC quyt nh g nguyn sn lng mc mc tiu l 30 triu thng/ngy. Ti th trng Singapore sng 8/6, gi du WTI giao thng 7 gim cn 58,54 USD/thng. Trong khi du th Brent giao cng k hn cng gim 56 xu M xung 62,75 USD/thng.II. Phn tch k thut.

(Biu Vnindex 08/6/2015) Sau khi kt thc t kim nghim ngng h tr mnh 570, VNINDEX bt ph ngng 580 v xoay quanh ngng 580. Trong phin , ch s t vt qua ngng ny, tuy nhin khi chm mc im ny, ch s gp khng c kh nng s iu chnh nh. Thanh khon tng mnh trn trung bnh 10 phin khin cho cy nn to khong trng v trong phin tip theo nu khong trng ny b lp y cng vi vic th trng bn mnh cui phin do thn nn ngn v bng nn di, to thnh mu hnh shooting star vi thanh khon t bin, c kh nng gy ra tn hiu o chiu ngn hn. Hin cc ch bo MACD, RSI, STO u bt u i vo vng qu mua c ngha l th trng hng phn sau nhiu phin tng lin tip. Tuy nhin, gi vn vt trn ng MA trung hn nn xu hng tng trung di hn vn c m bo. Quan im phn tch k thut: Th trng vn thu ht c dng tin, nhng p lc cht li khin cho th trng din ra nhp iu chnh v phin iu chnh ny li c khi lng tng t bin khin du hiu cho rng th trng iu chnh s cn phi lu .III. Chin lc giao dch

Din bin lun phin tng im/tch ly ca cc dng c phiu, kh nng iu chnh su ca th trng khng c nh gi cao. Thay vo , dng tin s phn phi vo c phiu va v nh. Cc nh u t c khuyn ngh tip tc duy tr cc v th trung hn v c th kt hp quay vng cc v th ngn hn nhng cn trnh gii ngn trn c phiu u c v th trng c th b rung lc v gim xung. C phiu khuyn ngh:M c phiu

Vng gi khuyn ngh Mua

Vng gi khuyn ngh Bn

Vng ct l

Thi gian

VHC

35.200

38.000

Thng 34.000

1 3 thng

DN u ngnh c tra 2015, Q1 tng kim ngch xut khu 38%, LNST tng gp 2,1 ln.

Quy m khp kn, nh my Collagen s dng du c tra sn xut.

LNST 2015 c t 522 t ng, EPS 5.200 ng.

PVB

40.000 41.000

44.00 45.00

Thng 36.000

1 3 thng

-Ngy 24.06 KCC hng c tc 20% tin (2000d/cp).

- Tng VL t 216 ln 300 t trong 2015.

- Trin vng ca PVB trong nm 2015 vn kh quan, c bit trong giai on Q.1 v Q.2/2015 khi tin nhiu d n ln chuyn tip t nm trc hon thnh vic thi cng.

- Uc tnh doanh thu t 1.017 t ng v LNST ca PVB t 120-130 t ng, tng ng EPS 2015F l 5.500 6.000 ng/cp (tnh trn VL hin nay khi cha tng vn l 216 t ng).

L Ngc Phng Anh

Chuyn vin t vn u t

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