Knh gi : Anh TriuBn tin t vn u t ngy 08/6/2015I. Thng tin th
trng.Din bin th trng ngy 08/6/2015im tch cc: Thanh khon tng t bin
vo phin sng, th trng tng hn 7 im do dng c phiu dn dt th trng l dng
ngn hng, du kh tng mnh. in hnh l cc c phiu nh BID, CTG, PVD, PVS,
PVX, PVC Sau dng tin phn phi ra cc nhm dng bt ng sn, nhm c phiu va
v nh khc. Dng tin ca NT ni vn di do trc ng thi bn rng ca nh u t.im
tiu cc: Phin chiu, p lc cht li gia tng, khin cho gi ca nhiu c phiu
mt gi v tr li gi tham chiu vo cui gi giao dch. NTNN bn rng -57 t
trn sn HOSE (bn mnh NLG, HHS, KBC) , mua rng +14 t (mua mnh PVC,
PVB, PVS) trn sn HNX.
Tm li, th trng vn thu ht dng tin mnh vo dng c phiu va v nh, NTNN
bn rng s l nguy c tc ng tm l NT ni c th khin din ra nhp iu chnh
trong ngn hn.
Thng tin quan trng:Tin t HSBC, Vit Nam s nm trong s 5 nc c thng
mi tng trng mnh nht th gii bn cnh n , Trung Quc, Th Nh K v
Bangladesh. Xut khu th gii s tng ln mc 8%/nm t nay n nm 2017 t mc
bnh qun 1,5% trong giai on 2012-2014. V tnh hnh xng du, OPEC quyt
nh g nguyn sn lng mc mc tiu l 30 triu thng/ngy. Ti th trng
Singapore sng 8/6, gi du WTI giao thng 7 gim cn 58,54 USD/thng.
Trong khi du th Brent giao cng k hn cng gim 56 xu M xung 62,75
USD/thng.II. Phn tch k thut.
(Biu Vnindex 08/6/2015) Sau khi kt thc t kim nghim ngng h tr mnh
570, VNINDEX bt ph ngng 580 v xoay quanh ngng 580. Trong phin , ch
s t vt qua ngng ny, tuy nhin khi chm mc im ny, ch s gp khng c kh
nng s iu chnh nh. Thanh khon tng mnh trn trung bnh 10 phin khin cho
cy nn to khong trng v trong phin tip theo nu khong trng ny b lp y
cng vi vic th trng bn mnh cui phin do thn nn ngn v bng nn di, to
thnh mu hnh shooting star vi thanh khon t bin, c kh nng gy ra tn
hiu o chiu ngn hn. Hin cc ch bo MACD, RSI, STO u bt u i vo vng qu
mua c ngha l th trng hng phn sau nhiu phin tng lin tip. Tuy nhin,
gi vn vt trn ng MA trung hn nn xu hng tng trung di hn vn c m bo.
Quan im phn tch k thut: Th trng vn thu ht c dng tin, nhng p lc cht
li khin cho th trng din ra nhp iu chnh v phin iu chnh ny li c khi
lng tng t bin khin du hiu cho rng th trng iu chnh s cn phi lu .III.
Chin lc giao dch
Din bin lun phin tng im/tch ly ca cc dng c phiu, kh nng iu chnh
su ca th trng khng c nh gi cao. Thay vo , dng tin s phn phi vo c
phiu va v nh. Cc nh u t c khuyn ngh tip tc duy tr cc v th trung hn
v c th kt hp quay vng cc v th ngn hn nhng cn trnh gii ngn trn c
phiu u c v th trng c th b rung lc v gim xung. C phiu khuyn ngh:M c
phiu
Vng gi khuyn ngh Mua
Vng gi khuyn ngh Bn
Vng ct l
Thi gian
VHC
35.200
38.000
Thng 34.000
1 3 thng
DN u ngnh c tra 2015, Q1 tng kim ngch xut khu 38%, LNST tng gp
2,1 ln.
Quy m khp kn, nh my Collagen s dng du c tra sn xut.
LNST 2015 c t 522 t ng, EPS 5.200 ng.
PVB
40.000 41.000
44.00 45.00
Thng 36.000
1 3 thng
-Ngy 24.06 KCC hng c tc 20% tin (2000d/cp).
- Tng VL t 216 ln 300 t trong 2015.
- Trin vng ca PVB trong nm 2015 vn kh quan, c bit trong giai on
Q.1 v Q.2/2015 khi tin nhiu d n ln chuyn tip t nm trc hon thnh vic
thi cng.
- Uc tnh doanh thu t 1.017 t ng v LNST ca PVB t 120-130 t ng,
tng ng EPS 2015F l 5.500 6.000 ng/cp (tnh trn VL hin nay khi cha
tng vn l 216 t ng).
L Ngc Phng Anh
Chuyn vin t vn u t
Tel: (84.8) 6290 8686 / my l: 8942Fax: (84.8) 6291 0559
Mobile: (84) 902 517 726
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S 136 - 138 L Th Hng Gm, Qun 1, TP.HCMWebsite:
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