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ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS UNIVERSITY OF HAWAI‘I COMMUNITY COLLEGES FALL 2016 TO FALL 2021 Institutional Research and Analysis Office University of Hawai‘i System January 2016

ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS UNIVERSITY OF HAWAI‘I … · enrollment projections . university of hawai‘i community colleges . fall 2016 to fall 2021 . table of contents . narrative

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Page 1: ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS UNIVERSITY OF HAWAI‘I … · enrollment projections . university of hawai‘i community colleges . fall 2016 to fall 2021 . table of contents . narrative

ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS

UNIVERSITY OF HAWAI‘I COMMUNITY COLLEGES

FALL 2016 TO FALL 2021

Institutional Research and Analysis Office University of Hawai‘i System

January 2016

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS UNIVERSITY OF HAWAI‘I COMMUNITY COLLEGES

FALL 2016 TO FALL 2021

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Narrative UNIVERSITY OF HAWAI‘I COMMUNITY COLLEGES Graphs

Figure 1 Recent and Projected Headcount Enrollment Figure 2 Headcount Enrollment Index Figure 3 Historical Headcount Enrollment with Trend Line Figure 4 Historical and Projected Enrollment with Trend Line Figure 5 Projected Enrollment with High and Low Series Figure 6 Historical and Projected First-Time Student Enrollment Figure 7 Historical and Projected Transfer Student Enrollment Figure 8 Historical and Projected Returning Student Enrollment Figure 9 Historical and Projected Continuing Student Enrollment Figure 10 Historical and Projected Enrollment by Program Area

Tables Table 1 Headcount Enrollment by Student Type and Program Area,

Fall 2010 to Fall 2021 Table 2 Headcount Enrollment Index, Fall 2010 to Fall 2021 Table 3 Headcount Enrollment by Campus and Student Type, Fall 2010 to Fall 2021 Table 4 Headcount Enrollment by Campus and Program Area, Fall 2010 to Fall 2021 Table 5 Headcount Enrollment by Attendance Status, Fall 2015 to Fall 2021

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TABLE OF CONTENTS (CONT.)

Appendices Appendix A Hawai’i Public High School Seniors by School District, Academic Years 2009-10 to 2020-21

Appendix B Hawai’i High School Graduates, WICHE Historical and Projected –2012 Series

HAWAI‘I COMMUNITY COLLEGE Graphs

Figure A1 Recent and Projected Headcount Enrollment Figure A2 Headcount Enrollment Index Figure A3 Historical and Projected Headcount Enrollment Figure A4 Projected Enrollment with Error Boundaries

Tables Table A1 Headcount Enrollment by Student Type and Program Area, Fall 2010 to Fall 2021 Table A2 Headcount Enrollment by Program, Fall 2015 to Fall 2021 Table A3 Student Semester Hours Offered by Program,

Fall 2015 to Fall 2021 Table A4 Full-Time Equivalent Course Enrollment Served by Program, Fall 2015 to Fall 2021 HONOLULU COMMUNITY COLLEGE Graphs

Figure B1 Recent and Projected Headcount Enrollment Figure B2 Headcount Enrollment Index Figure B3 Historical and Projected Headcount Enrollment Figure B4 Projected Enrollment with Error Boundaries

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TABLE OF CONTENTS (CONT.) Tables Table B1 Headcount Enrollment by Student Type and Program Area, Fall 2010 to Fall 2021 Table B2 Headcount Enrollment by Program, Fall 2015 to Fall 2021

Table B3 Student Semester Hours Offered by Program, Fall 2015 to Fall 2021

Table B4 Full-Time Equivalent Course Enrollment Served by Program, Fall 2015 to Fall 2021 KAPI‘OLANI COMMUNITY COLLEGE Graphs

Figure C1 Recent and Projected Headcount Enrollment Figure C2 Headcount Enrollment Index Figure C3 Historical and Projected Headcount Enrollment Figure C4 Projected Enrollment with Error Boundaries

Tables Table C1 Headcount Enrollment by Student Type and Program Area, Fall 2010 to Fall 2021 Table C2 Headcount Enrollment by Program, Fall 2015 to Fall 2021

Table C3 Student Semester Hours Offered by Program, Fall 2015 to Fall 2021

Table C4 Full-Time Equivalent Course Enrollment Served by Program, Fall 2015 to Fall 2021

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TABLE OF CONTENTS (CONT.) KAUA‘I COMMUNITY COLLEGE Graphs

Figure D1 Recent and Projected Headcount Enrollment Figure D2 Headcount Enrollment Index Figure D3 Historical and Projected Headcount Enrollment Figure D4 Projected Enrollment with Error Boundaries

Tables Table D1 Headcount Enrollment by Student Type and Program Area, Fall 2010 to Fall 2021 Table D2 Headcount Enrollment by Program Fall 2015 to Fall 2021

Table D3 Student Semester Hours Offered by Program, Fall 2015 to Fall 2021

Table D4 Full-Time Equivalent Course Enrollment Served by Program, Fall 2015 to Fall 2021 LEEWARD COMMUNITY COLLEGE Graphs

Figure E1 Recent and Projected Headcount Enrollment Figure E2 Headcount Enrollment Index Figure E3 Historical and Projected Headcount Enrollment

Figure E4 Projected Enrollment with Error Boundaries

Tables Table E1 Headcount Enrollment by Student Type and Program Area, Fall 2010 to Fall 2021 Table E2 Headcount Enrollment by Program, Fall 2015 to Fall 2021

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TABLE OF CONTENTS (CONT.)

Table E3 Student Semester Hours Offered by Program, Fall 2015 to

Fall 2021 Table E4 Full-Time Equivalent Course Enrollment Served by Program, Fall 2015 to Fall 2021 UNIVERSITY OF HAWAI‘I MAUI COLLEGE Graphs

Figure F1 Recent and Projected Headcount Enrollment Figure F2 Headcount Enrollment Index Figure F3 Historical and Projected Headcount Enrollment Figure F4 Projected Enrollment with Error Boundaries

Tables Table F1 Headcount Enrollment by Student Type and Program Area, Fall 2010 to Fall 2021 Table F2 Headcount Enrollment by Program, Fall 2015 to Fall 2021

Table F3 Student Semester Hours Offered by Program, Fall 2015 to Fall 2021

Table F4 Full-Time Equivalent Course Enrollment Served by Program, Fall 2015 to Fall 2021 WINDWARD COMMUNITY COLLEGE Graphs

Figure G1 Recent and Projected Headcount Enrollment Figure G2 Headcount Enrollment Index Figure G3 Historical and Projected Headcount Enrollment Figure G4 Projected Enrollment with Error Boundaries

e

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TABLE OF CONTENTS (CONT.) Tables Table G1 Headcount Enrollment by Student Type and Program Area, Fall 2010 to Fall 2021 Table G2 Headcount Enrollment by Program, Fall 2015 to Fall 2021

Table G3 Student Semester Hours Offered by Program, Fall 2015 to Fall 2021

Table G4 Full-Time Equivalent Course Enrollment Served by Program, Fall 2015 to Fall 2021

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS UNIVERSITY OF HAWAI'I COMMUNITY COLLEGES

FALL 2016 TO FALL 2021

INTRODUCTION

This report presents information on historical and projected headcount enrollment for the University of Hawai'i Community Colleges: Hawai'i, Honolulu, Kapi'olani, Kaua'i, Leeward, Maui College and Windward. The projections are statistical extrapolations of current trends in enrollment. In general, they neither set enrollment targets nor take into consideration planned or potential changes in University policies or procedures. They should be considered as an extension into the future of current enrollment trends and may be used as a foundation for further work in the planning and budgeting processes. They are based upon unduplicated headcounts of students enrolled in credit courses. Included are classified students enrolled in general and pre-professional or career and technical education programs as well as unclassified students. Special students (early admits) are included for all years, both historical and projected. The projection reports also make use of a time series analysis, conducted by UH IRAO staff, which incorporates a variety of economic and demographic factors. This model has been used to guide and validate the standard model projection methodology. (Detailed information on the time series analysis is available as a separate publication.) Historical data are included in the tables to facilitate comparison and analysis. They were extracted from student enrollment, academic crossover and course registration data files. Information on Hawai'i public high school seniors was provided by the State of Hawai‘i Department of Education. Information on Hawai‘i public and private high school graduates was obtained from the Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education (WICHE).

METHODOLOGY The projections for each campus are broken out by student type: first-time, transfer, returning and continuing. Enrollment for each student type category is forecast separately (discussed in detail below). Breakout by program area for first-time, transfer and returning students makes use of average distribution ratios. For continuing students, breakout by program area is made using continuation rates. The UHCC system level numbers for all student types are sums of the data for the individual campuses. First-time student enrollment is divided into five sub-categories, based upon the geographic location of high school of origin. Each category is forecast separately:

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(a) Hawai‘i public high school graduates entering the UH Community Colleges in the fall semester immediately following graduation from high school are called direct public entrants. To forecast these entrants, the enrollment projections make use of the public high school senior forecast provided by the Hawai‘i Department of Education (see Appendix A). Historical college participation rates of high school seniors are calculated for each campus by school district. An average of these rates is then applied to the annual high school senior forecast by district to yield the projected number of direct public entrants.

(b) Hawai‘i private high school graduates entering the UH Community Colleges in the fall semester immediately following their graduation from high school are called direct private entrants. To forecast these entrants, the enrollment projections make use of the private high school graduate forecast for Hawai‘i published by the Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education (see Appendix B). Historical ratios of direct private entrants to total Hawai‘i private high school graduates are calculated. An average ratio is then applied to the WICHE annual private high school graduate forecast to yield the projected number of direct private entrants.

(c) First-time students from the U.S. mainland, as well as those from foreign

countries and U.S. related areas, are forecast using trends or historical averages. U.S. related areas include students from U.S. Territories (American Samoa, Guam and the Virgin Islands), students from U.S. Commonwealths (Puerto Rico and the Northern Marianas) and students from the Compact of Free Association states (Federated States of Micronesia, Palau and the Republic of the Marshall Islands).

(d) All other first-time students, such as those who completed the General Education

Development (GED) examination, home schooled students, those Hawai‘i high school graduates who have been out of high school for more than one year and those students who did not graduate from high school, are called other first-time students. They are projected for each campus using trends or historical averages.

Transfer and Returning student enrollment generally are forecast using one of two methods: for those campuses where the enrollment shows a distinct trend, a linear or logarithmic trend is used; for those campuses where the enrollment does not show a trend, a numerical average is used. Continuing students are forecast for each campus using continuation rates. In this report, a continuation rate is the ratio of continuing enrollment for a given program area to the previous fall semester's total enrollment for that same program area. Historical average continuation rates are applied to the total enrollment by program area to forecast the next year’s continuing enrollment.

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Table 1 provides headcount enrollment for the UH Community College system by student type and program area. Table 2 gives the headcount enrollment indices for the campuses and the UHCC system as a whole (Fall 2015 = 100). Table 3 summarizes headcount by campus and student type, while Table 4 summarizes headcount by campus and program area. Table 5 provides breakout by attendance status (full-time and part-time). Appendix A shows historical and DOE projected enrollment of Hawai‘i public high school seniors by geographic district (last updated in June 2015). Appendix B gives WICHE forecasts of Hawai‘i public and private high school graduates through academic year 2027-28 (last updated in December 2012). In addition to the tables at the UH Community College system level, detailed tables are included for each UH Community College campus showing projected headcount enrollment by student type, headcount enrollment by program area, student semester hours (SSH) offered by program and full-time equivalent (FTE) course enrollment served by program. Figure 1 illustrates headcount enrollment at the UH Community Colleges from fall 2006 to fall 2015 and the projected enrollment through fall 2021. Figure 2 provides an enrollment index to facilitate comparison with other University of Hawai‘i units and campuses (Fall 2015 = 100). Figure 3 shows the historical enrollment for the UH Community Colleges from inception through fall 2015, while Figure 4 illustrates projected enrollment through fall 2021. Figure 5 shows the forecast upper and lower error boundaries. Figures 6 through 9 illustrate historical and projected enrollment by student type. Figure 10 gives historical and projected enrollment by program area. Charts also are provided for each UH Community College campus (at the head of each campus section).

ANALYSIS AND HIGHLIGHTS • Total headcount enrollment for the University of Hawai‘i Community Colleges declined

1.9% in fall 2015 to measure 30,370 students, the fifth consecutive decline in fall semester enrollment (Table 1 & Figure 1). Total headcount enrollment has declined 11.2% from the peak level measured in fall 2010. Headcount enrollment for the UH Community College system is forecast to decline 1.0% in fall 2016 to measure 30,076, and to continue to decline at a very mild rate through fall 2019.

• Headcount enrollment for the UH Community Colleges grew rapidly through the 1960s and 1970s, as new campuses were added and as the "baby boom" generation entered college (Figure 3). Enrollment continued to grow at a more modest pace through the 1980s and 1990s, when enrollment surpassed 25,000 students. Beginning in 2008, another period of rapid growth ensued, with enrollment peaking at over 34,000 in fall 2010. Enrollment has since declined for five consecutive fall semesters.

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• A linear trend measured from fall 1975 through fall 2007 illustrates that after the initial boom period of the 60s and early 70s, enrollment settled into an extended period of modest but persistent growth (Figure 3). Enrollment has shown periods of rapid growth followed by rapid decline, once in the period from 1980 to 1984, and again from 1988 through 1997. In both cases enrollment eventually returned to the long-term linear trend. The recent period of rapid growth and subsequent decline in enrollment appears to be following this same pattern. Extending the 1975-07 trend forward to fall 2021, the forecast lies somewhat above this long-term trend line (Figure 4).

• Accuracy in the enrollment forecast is tracked by UH IRAO and varies from year to

year. Several observations are of note: in percentage terms, forecasts tend to be more accurate for larger campuses or units than for smaller ones; forecasts become less accurate the further out in time they go; forecasts are more accurate in periods of relative stability than they are in periods of rapid change. The ten-year average variance in the forecast for the UHCC system has been 2.5% at year one and 14.9% at year six. Applying these measure of variance to the forecast for fall 2016 yields the high and low projection series, as illustrated in Figure 5. Since the methodology employed by UH IRAO in making these forecasts is conservative, the projected numbers will tend to underestimate enrollment in periods of rapid increase and to overestimate enrollment in periods of rapid decline.

• First-time student enrollment at the UH Community Colleges grew at an average annual rate of 6.5% from fall 2004 to fall 2010, increasing 46% overall (Figure 6). The going rate (college participation rate) of public high school graduates into the UHCC campuses increased steadily over this period, surpassing 30% by fall 2009 (see the MAPS report entitled: “High School Background of First-Time Students”). The public high school going rate to the UHCC has declined since, falling to 25.3% in fall 2015. Hawai‘i public high school seniors are forecast by the Hawai‘i Department of Education to decrease slightly in academic year 2015-16 and then increase mildly through academic year 2020-21 (Appendix A).

• Transfer student enrollment more than doubled from the low in fall 2004 to the peak in

fall 2010, increasing from just under 2,300 students to more than 5,700 (Figure 7). Transfer activity has declined somewhat since, measuring just over 5,000 in fall 2015. The forecast for the UHCC system is modest growth through 2021.

• Returning student enrollment has been up and down in recent years, with a peak

enrollment of 2,450 measured in fall 2009 (Figure 8). However, returning enrollment has declined the last two fall semesters to fall below 2,000 in fall 2015. The forecast calls for continued mild decline through fall 2021.

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• Continuing enrollment makes up more than half of the total headcount enrollment, by far the largest share of any of the student type categories. Continuing enrollment increased every year from fall 2005 to fall 2011, growing 46% over this period (Figure 9). However, continuing enrollment has declined the last four fall semesters, and is down 15% from the peak measured in fall 2011. Continuing student enrollment is a function of both the number of entering students in prior semesters (especially first-time and transfer) and their persistence patterns. Increase in first-time and transfer student enrollment in fall 2015 should help sustain continuing enrollment.

• Students who are registered and enrolled in classes at a UH campus that is not their home campus of record are considered to be unclassified by definition at the campus where registered. Tracking of this enrollment category began with the transition to Banner in fall 2003. Since then, the percentage at the UHCC campuses has increased, measuring 16% in fall 2015 (Figure 10). Enrollment of early admits (high school students admitted to college courses) may increase in the future due to recent grant funding dedicated to the purpose of helping high school students make the transition to college. Details on this strategy system-wide were not available when this report was completed.

PROJECTIONS BY CAMPUS

Hawai‘i Community College: After peaking in fall 2011 at just over 3,900 students, headcount enrollment has declined for four fall semesters, measuring 3,087 in fall 2015 (Table A1 & Figure A1). Overall, enrollment has declined 21% over this period. Further declines in classified students may be offset to some extent by increases in unclassified students, especially early admits. However, early admits tend to carry low credit loads (average = 3.4 in fall 2015). Consequently, further decline in student semester hours offered and FTE course enrollment served are anticipated (Tables A3 and A4). Honolulu Community College: After declining for four fall semesters, headcount enrollment increased 4.4% in fall 2015 to measure 4,328 (Table B1 & Figure B1). Honolulu CC was the only campus in the UHCC system to post an enrollment increase in fall 2015. However, enrollment is still 8.4% below the peak measured in fall 2010. The forecast calls for continued mild growth, with enrollment surpassing 4,600 by fall 2021. Recent growth in the number of early admits adds uncertainty to the forecast, however, in that whether or not these increases can be sustained is not known. Kapi‘olani Community College: Headcount enrollment peaked in fall 2010 at 9,301 and has declined for five consecutive fall semesters, measuring 7,816 in fall 2015 (Table C1 & Figure C1). Enrollment has declined 16% since the peak measured in fall 2010.

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Enrollment is forecast to decline vey mildly through 2021, but to remain above 7,600 (Figure C3). The disposition of early admit enrollment is also an unknown for this campus. Kaua‘i Community College: Headcount enrollment declined 1.6% in fall 2015 to measure 1,401 students (Table D1 & Figure D1). This decline comes after a 6.9% decline in fall 2014. Despite these recent declines, however, enrollment appears to have recovered from the long decline which followed Hurricane Iniki in 1992. Enrollment is forecast to decline very mildly through 2021 (Figure D3). Leeward Community College: Headcount enrollment declined 2.7% in fall 2015 to measure 7,535 students (Table E1 & Figure E4). This decline follows a 2.9% decline in fall 2014. Enrollment has decline 5.5% from the peak measured in fall 2013. Enrollment is expected to decline 1.4% in fall 2016 to measure 7,427, then to decline very mildly through 2019. The Hawai‘i DOE forecast of high school seniors shows steady increases in the Leeward district beginning in academic year 2016-17 through 2020-21 (Appendix A). These increases should help support first-time enrollment at Leeward CC and mitigate against further decline in overall headcount enrollment. University of Hawai‘i Maui College: Headcount enrollment at UH Maui College declined 5.7% in fall 2015 to measure 3,593 students (Table F1 & Figure F1). This was the fourth consecutive decline in fall semester enrollment. Enrollment has declined 20.6% since the peak measured in fall 2011. Prior to fall 2008, the long-term trend had been for steady enrollment growth (Figure F3). As for other campuses in the UHCC system, and for the UHCC system overall, the high rate of growth realized from fall 2008 to fall 2011 could be considered an anomaly, with enrollment now returning to the long-term trend. The forecast calls for additional mild decline, but with enrollment remaining above 3,300 through fall 2021. Windward Community College: Headcount enrollment declined 1.9% in fall 2015 to measure 2,610 (Table G1 & Figure G1). This decline follows a 4.9% decline in fall 2014. Enrollment had peaked in fall 2013 at 2,799, the all-time high for the campus in headcount enrollment. The forecast has enrollment declining very mildly through 2019 and sustaining 2,500 through 2021.

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University of Hawai‘i Community Colleges Headcount Enrollment Projections

 

 

 

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure 1Recent and Projected Headcount Enrollment

Historical Projected

83.2 85.2

93.7106.0

112.6 112.3 111.0 107.1101.9 100.0 99.0 98.4 98.2 97.6 97.9 98.1

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure 2Headcount Enrollment Index

Historical Projected

Fall 2015 = 100

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University of Hawai‘i Community Colleges Headcount Enrollment Projections

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

65 67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15

Fall Semester

Figure 3Historical Headcount Enrollment with Trend Line

Historical 1975-07 Trend

0

5,000

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15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

65 67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21

Fall Semester

Figure 4Historical and Projected Enrollment with Trend Line

Historical 1975-07 Trend Projected

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University of Hawai‘i Community Colleges Headcount Enrollment Projections

30,37029,804

31,890

26,861

16,000

20,000

24,000

28,000

32,000

36,000

40,000

96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure 5Projected Enrollment with High and Low Series

Historical Projected High Series Low Series

0

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2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure 6Historical and Projected First-Time Student Enrollment

Historical Projected

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University of Hawai‘i Community Colleges Headcount Enrollment Projections

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure 7Historical and Projected Transfer Student Enrollment

Historical Projected

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure 8Historical and Projected Returning Student Enrollment

Historical Projected

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University of Hawai‘i Community Colleges Headcount Enrollment Projections

0

4,000

8,000

12,000

16,000

20,000

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure 9Historical and Projected Continuing Student Enrollment

Historical Projected

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure 10Historical and Projected Enrollment by Program Area

General Ed Career & Tech Ed Unclassified Home-Based at Other UH Campuses Early Admits

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TABLE 1HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY STUDENT TYPE AND PROGRAM AREA

UNIVERSITY OF HAWAI‘I, COMMUNITY COLLEGESFALL 2010 TO FALL 2021

REGISTRATION STATUS HISTORICAL PROJECTED

AND PROGRAM AREA 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

UH Community College Total ......... 34,203 34,100 33,715 32,531 30,960 30,370 30,076 29,888 29,812 29,648 29,720 29,804

Liberal Arts .................................. 16,133 16,065 16,218 15,368 14,494 13,566 13,109 12,823 12,685 12,549 12,541 12,550Career & Technical Ed ................ 9,908 10,013 9,813 9,660 9,249 9,089 9,134 9,147 9,163 9,141 9,169 9,198Unclassified ................................. 1,858 1,605 1,452 1,494 1,425 1,352 1,395 1,414 1,421 1,421 1,427 1,439Specials ...................................... 441 532 521 631 835 1,510 1,470 1,480 1,487 1,464 1,498 1,509Home-Based at Other UH 1/ ...... 5,863 5,885 5,711 5,378 4,957 4,853 4,968 5,024 5,056 5,073 5,085 5,108

First-Time By HS Background ........ 7,476 7,204 7,125 6,934 6,726 7,007 7,020 7,018 7,038 6,896 7,033 7,065

Direct from HI Public HS ............. 3,285 3,253 3,283 3,002 2,893 2,702 2,708 2,682 2,698 2,573 2,714 2,724Direct from HI Private HS ............ 439 338 371 312 327 278 290 314 318 301 297 319U.S. Mainland .............................. 590 587 618 595 575 545 545 545 545 545 545 545Foreign & U.S. Related Areas ..... 342 286 412 420 401 400 398 398 398 398 398 398Other First-Time Freshmen 2/ .... 2,820 2,740 2,441 2,605 2,530 3,082 3,079 3,079 3,079 3,079 3,079 3,079

First-Time, By Program ................... 7,476 7,204 7,125 6,934 6,726 7,007 7,020 7,018 7,038 6,896 7,033 7,065

Liberal Arts .................................. 4,145 3,858 3,950 3,580 3,428 3,203 3,198 3,195 3,207 3,140 3,203 3,213Career & Technical Ed ................ 2,219 2,127 1,887 1,989 1,903 1,731 1,797 1,798 1,802 1,764 1,799 1,809Unclassified ................................. 229 301 293 339 274 276 273 271 272 268 274 280Specials ...................................... 435 532 520 622 835 1,508 1,464 1,467 1,470 1,442 1,470 1,476Home-Based at Other UH ........... 448 386 475 404 286 289 288 287 287 282 287 287

Transfer .......................................... 5,753 5,462 5,524 5,345 4,950 5,072 5,097 5,127 5,156 5,187 5,216 5,245

Liberal Arts .................................. 1,827 1,748 1,900 1,793 1,655 1,619 1,625 1,634 1,643 1,652 1,660 1,668Career & Technical Ed ................ 1,079 1,064 1,129 1,088 993 1,115 1,115 1,121 1,129 1,137 1,145 1,151Unclassified ................................. 571 431 362 396 396 336 337 338 338 339 340 341Specials ...................................... 5 12 16 21 26 32Home-Based at Other UH ........... 2,276 2,219 2,133 2,068 1,906 2,002 2,015 2,022 2,030 2,038 2,045 2,053

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TABLE 1HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY STUDENT TYPE AND PROGRAM AREA

UNIVERSITY OF HAWAI‘I, COMMUNITY COLLEGESFALL 2010 TO FALL 2021

REGISTRATION STATUS HISTORICAL PROJECTED

AND PROGRAM AREA 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Returning ........................................ 2,072 2,169 2,133 2,194 2,044 1,921 1,905 1,891 1,879 1,869 1,859 1,850

Liberal Arts .................................. 1,129 1,216 1,266 1,194 1,085 970 961 954 947 942 936 932Career & Technical Ed ................ 730 767 698 811 758 764 755 749 743 739 735 731Unclassified ................................. 170 139 117 144 159 151 156 156 156 156 156 156Specials ...................................... 1 1Home-Based at Other UH ........... 42 47 51 45 42 36 33 32 33 32 32 31

Continuing ...................................... 18,902 19,265 18,933 18,058 17,240 16,370 16,054 15,852 15,739 15,696 15,612 15,644

Liberal Arts .................................. 9,032 9,243 9,102 8,801 8,326 7,774 7,325 7,040 6,888 6,815 6,742 6,737Career & Technical Ed ................ 5,880 6,055 6,099 5,772 5,595 5,479 5,467 5,479 5,489 5,501 5,490 5,507Unclassified ................................. 888 734 680 615 596 589 629 649 655 658 657 662Specials ...................................... 5 9 2 1 1 1 1 2 1Home-Based at Other UH ........... 3,097 3,233 3,052 2,861 2,723 2,526 2,632 2,683 2,706 2,721 2,721 2,737

1/ Students whose home-campus, as defined in Banner / ODS, is not the campus at which registered for classes. Data first available in Fall 2003.2/ Includes Early Admits, GED recipients, students from Hawai‘i who are not recent high school graduates and records with invalid high school code.

Source: UH Institutional Research and Analysis Office; January 2016.

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TABLE 2HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT INDEX

UNIVERSITY OF HAWAI‘I, COMMUNITY COLLEGESFALL 2010 TO FALL 2021

(FALL 2015 = 100)

HISTORICAL PROJECTED

CAMPUS 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

UH COMMUNITY COLLEGES .. 112.6 112.3 111.0 107.1 101.9 100.0 99.0 98.4 98.2 97.6 97.9 98.1

HAWAI‘I CC ........................... 123.6 126.9 118.7 110.3 103.2 100.0 98.7 97.2 96.0 94.9 94.4 94.3

HONOLULU CC ..................... 109.2 106.3 105.9 100.9 95.7 100.0 102.1 103.5 104.6 105.0 105.9 106.7

KAPI‘OLANI CC ..................... 119.0 115.4 113.8 107.2 102.3 100.0 98.9 98.4 98.3 97.7 97.6 97.6

KAUA‘I CC ............................. 101.9 102.3 106.7 109.2 101.6 100.0 100.5 98.7 97.4 96.0 96.6 97.1

LEEWARD CC ....................... 105.4 104.8 105.6 105.9 102.7 100.0 98.6 97.9 97.7 97.3 97.5 97.8

UH MAUI COLLEGE .............. 121.5 126.0 122.0 113.4 106.0 100.0 96.4 94.6 93.7 92.5 92.8 93.6

WINDWARD CC .................... 100.6 103.6 105.0 107.2 102.0 100.0 98.7 97.9 97.7 97.5 97.9 98.2

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TABLE 3HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY CAMPUS AND STUDENT TYPE

UNIVERSITY OF HAWAI‘I, COMMUNITY COLLEGESFALL 2010 TO FALL 2021

CAMPUS AND HISTORICAL PROJECTED

REGISTRATION STATUS 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

UHCC TOTAL ..................... 34,203 34,100 33,715 32,531 30,960 30,370 30,076 29,888 29,812 29,648 29,720 29,804

First Time ........................ 7,476 7,204 7,125 6,934 6,726 7,007 7,020 7,018 7,038 6,896 7,033 7,065Transfer ........................... 5,753 5,462 5,524 5,345 4,950 5,072 5,097 5,127 5,156 5,187 5,216 5,245Returning ........................ 2,072 2,169 2,133 2,194 2,044 1,921 1,905 1,891 1,879 1,869 1,859 1,850Continuing ……................ 18,902 19,265 18,933 18,058 17,240 16,370 16,054 15,852 15,739 15,696 15,612 15,644

HAWAI‘I CC ........................ 3,815 3,917 3,663 3,406 3,186 3,087 3,046 3,000 2,963 2,931 2,914 2,910

First Time ........................ 1,129 1,135 1,004 904 899 981 1,002 1,002 1,003 1,000 1,007 1,019Transfer ........................... 448 419 384 433 375 362 362 362 362 362 362 362Returning ........................ 321 343 318 295 254 230 217 206 197 189 182 175Continuing ……................ 1,917 2,020 1,957 1,774 1,658 1,514 1,465 1,430 1,401 1,380 1,363 1,354

HONOLULU CC .................. 4,725 4,600 4,582 4,368 4,144 4,328 4,420 4,479 4,526 4,545 4,583 4,617

First Time ........................ 965 849 760 831 806 846 849 848 851 832 846 846Transfer ........................... 974 929 978 825 828 840 853 865 877 890 902 915Returning ........................ 229 286 280 268 244 266 266 266 266 266 266 266Continuing ……................ 2,557 2,536 2,564 2,444 2,266 2,376 2,452 2,500 2,532 2,557 2,569 2,590

KAPI‘OLANI CC .................. 9,301 9,023 8,892 8,376 7,994 7,816 7,733 7,692 7,682 7,633 7,630 7,625

First Time ........................ 1,561 1,431 1,555 1,464 1,409 1,483 1,493 1,495 1,507 1,462 1,485 1,482Transfer ........................... 1,849 1,691 1,692 1,581 1,454 1,496 1,496 1,496 1,496 1,496 1,496 1,496Returning ........................ 460 464 464 470 453 430 430 430 430 430 430 430Continuing ……................ 5,431 5,437 5,181 4,861 4,678 4,407 4,314 4,271 4,249 4,245 4,219 4,217

KAUA‘I CC .......................... 1,428 1,433 1,495 1,530 1,424 1,401 1,408 1,383 1,365 1,345 1,354 1,361

First Time ........................ 358 434 479 475 396 484 491 480 476 465 483 487Transfer ........................... 184 140 148 143 106 106 106 106 106 106 106 106Returning ........................ 148 136 104 126 117 107 107 107 107 107 107 107Continuing ……................ 738 723 764 786 805 704 704 690 676 667 658 661

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TABLE 3HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY CAMPUS AND STUDENT TYPE

UNIVERSITY OF HAWAI‘I, COMMUNITY COLLEGESFALL 2010 TO FALL 2021

CAMPUS AND HISTORICAL PROJECTED

REGISTRATION STATUS 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

LEEWARD CC .................... 7,942 7,895 7,960 7,976 7,742 7,535 7,427 7,379 7,361 7,328 7,349 7,366

First Time ........................ 1,725 1,623 1,741 1,690 1,745 1,745 1,748 1,757 1,765 1,741 1,780 1,787Transfer ........................... 1,260 1,271 1,281 1,315 1,244 1,268 1,267 1,267 1,267 1,267 1,267 1,266Returning ........................ 466 448 477 500 505 438 438 438 438 438 438 438Continuing ……................ 4,491 4,553 4,461 4,471 4,248 4,084 3,974 3,917 3,891 3,882 3,864 3,875

UH MAUI COLLEGE ........... 4,367 4,527 4,382 4,076 3,809 3,593 3,465 3,399 3,366 3,322 3,336 3,362

First Time ........................ 1,146 1,158 985 967 885 890 869 877 879 847 876 890Transfer ........................... 450 505 479 406 372 396 400 408 416 425 433 441Returning ........................ 287 345 356 386 349 329 329 329 329 329 329 329Continuing ……................ 2,484 2,519 2,562 2,317 2,203 1,978 1,867 1,785 1,742 1,721 1,698 1,702

WINDWARD CC ................. 2,625 2,705 2,741 2,799 2,661 2,610 2,577 2,556 2,549 2,544 2,554 2,563

First Time ........................ 592 574 601 603 586 578 568 559 557 549 556 554Transfer ........................... 588 507 562 642 571 604 613 623 632 641 650 659Returning ........................ 161 147 134 149 122 121 118 115 112 110 107 105Continuing ……................ 1,284 1,477 1,444 1,405 1,382 1,307 1,278 1,259 1,248 1,244 1,241 1,245

Note: Continuing includes records with invalid data on registration status.

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TABLE 4HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY CAMPUS AND PROGRAM AREA

UNIVERSITY OF HAWAI‘I, COMMUNITY COLLEGESFALL 2010 TO FALL 2021

CAMPUS AND HISTORICAL PROJECTED

PROGRAM AREA 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

UHCC TOTAL ........................... 34,203 34,100 33,715 32,531 30,960 30,370 30,076 29,888 29,812 29,648 29,720 29,804

Liberal Arts ............................ 16,133 16,065 16,218 15,368 14,494 13,566 13,109 12,823 12,685 12,549 12,541 12,550Career & Technical Ed .......... 9,908 10,013 9,813 9,660 9,249 9,089 9,134 9,147 9,163 9,141 9,169 9,198Unclassified .......................... 1,858 1,605 1,452 1,494 1,425 1,352 1,395 1,414 1,421 1,421 1,427 1,439Specials ................................ 441 532 521 631 835 1,510 1,470 1,480 1,487 1,464 1,498 1,509Home-Based at Other UH 1/ 5,863 5,885 5,711 5,378 4,957 4,853 4,968 5,024 5,056 5,073 5,085 5,108

HAWAI‘I CC ............................. 3,815 3,917 3,663 3,406 3,186 3,087 3,046 3,000 2,963 2,931 2,914 2,910

Liberal Arts ............................ 1,137 1,331 1,510 1,510 1,256 1,110 1,065 1,036 1,018 1,004 996 992Career & Technical Ed .......... 2,114 2,049 1,661 1,412 1,377 1,244 1,186 1,150 1,126 1,108 1,096 1,090Unclassified .......................... 68 71 59 68 68 51 69 71 71 72 74 79Specials ................................ 96 107 109 109 197 353 350 350 350 350 350 350Home-Based at Other UH ..... 400 359 324 307 288 329 376 393 398 397 398 399

HONOLULU CC ....................... 4,725 4,600 4,582 4,368 4,144 4,328 4,420 4,479 4,526 4,545 4,583 4,617

Liberal Arts ............................ 1,101 1,076 947 920 868 847 841 841 844 844 850 856Career & Technical Ed .......... 2,407 2,494 2,565 2,514 2,393 2,441 2,478 2,507 2,532 2,545 2,564 2,581Unclassified .......................... 80 58 50 74 65 52 57 59 60 60 60 61Specials ................................ 35 29 31 32 74 201 202 202 203 197 201 201Home-Based at Other UH ..... 1,102 943 989 828 744 787 842 870 887 899 908 918

KAPI‘OLANI CC ........................ 9,301 9,023 8,892 8,376 7,994 7,816 7,733 7,692 7,682 7,633 7,630 7,625

Liberal Arts ............................ 4,349 4,325 4,406 4,181 3,973 3,804 3,716 3,668 3,649 3,611 3,604 3,598Career & Technical Ed .......... 2,077 1,958 1,900 1,844 1,791 1,839 1,870 1,890 1,905 1,903 1,907 1,909Unclassified .......................... 882 710 640 610 604 617 610 607 605 604 603 603Specials ................................ 48 51 61 72 80 139 140 140 141 137 140 139Home-Based at Other UH ..... 1,945 1,979 1,885 1,669 1,546 1,417 1,397 1,387 1,382 1,378 1,376 1,376

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TABLE 4HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY CAMPUS AND PROGRAM AREA

UNIVERSITY OF HAWAI‘I, COMMUNITY COLLEGESFALL 2010 TO FALL 2021

CAMPUS AND HISTORICAL PROJECTED

PROGRAM AREA 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

KAUA‘I CC ................................ 1,428 1,433 1,495 1,530 1,424 1,401 1,408 1,383 1,365 1,345 1,354 1,361

Liberal Arts ............................ 767 766 733 717 715 635 628 581 555 539 538 538Career & Technical Ed .......... 441 466 515 534 497 463 516 522 525 522 527 530Unclassified .......................... 135 114 112 130 97 83 84 94 98 98 100 101Specials ................................ 29 55 65 76 22 131 95 94 93 91 93 95Home-Based at Other UH ..... 56 32 70 73 93 89 85 92 94 95 96 97

LEEWARD CC ......................... 7,942 7,895 7,960 7,976 7,742 7,535 7,427 7,379 7,361 7,328 7,349 7,366

Liberal Arts ............................ 4,652 4,469 4,615 4,374 4,272 4,019 3,880 3,807 3,771 3,739 3,741 3,745Career & Technical Ed .......... 1,189 1,290 1,382 1,558 1,517 1,609 1,661 1,693 1,711 1,717 1,728 1,736Unclassified .......................... 375 320 242 256 271 222 220 219 219 218 219 219Specials ................................ 59 53 79 164 247 346 346 349 350 345 354 355Home-Based at Other UH ..... 1,667 1,763 1,642 1,624 1,435 1,339 1,320 1,311 1,310 1,309 1,307 1,311

UH MAUI COLLEGE ................ 4,367 4,527 4,382 4,076 3,809 3,593 3,465 3,399 3,366 3,322 3,336 3,362

Liberal Arts ............................ 2,242 2,218 2,185 1,887 1,754 1,653 1,566 1,525 1,507 1,487 1,490 1,501Career & Technical Ed .......... 1,616 1,669 1,677 1,666 1,548 1,361 1,287 1,247 1,225 1,206 1,205 1,210Unclassified .......................... 153 162 168 180 157 177 197 203 206 206 207 211Specials ................................ 136 202 142 137 152 235 229 232 232 223 233 235Home-Based at Other UH ..... 220 276 210 206 198 167 186 192 196 200 201 205

WINDWARD CC ...................... 2,625 2,705 2,741 2,799 2,661 2,610 2,577 2,556 2,549 2,544 2,554 2,563

Liberal Arts ............................ 1,885 1,880 1,822 1,779 1,656 1,498 1,413 1,365 1,341 1,325 1,322 1,320Career & Technical Ed .......... 64 87 113 132 126 132 136 138 139 140 142 142Unclassified .......................... 165 170 181 176 163 150 158 161 162 163 164 165Specials ................................ 38 35 34 41 63 105 108 113 118 121 127 134Home-Based at Other UH ..... 473 533 591 671 653 725 762 779 789 795 799 802

1/ Students whose home-campus, as defined in Banner / ODS, is not the campus at which registered for classes.

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TABLE 5HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY ATTENDANCE STATUS

UNIVERSITY OF HAWAI‘I, COMMUNITY COLLEGESFALL 2015 TO FALL 2021

ACTUAL PROJECTED

ATTENDANCE STATUS 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

UHCC TOTAL .................. 30,370 30,076 29,888 29,812 29,648 29,720 29,804

Full-time ........................ 11,386 11,233 11,163 11,132 11,067 11,092 11,122Part-time ....................... 18,984 18,843 18,725 18,680 18,581 18,628 18,682

HAWAI‘I CC ...................... 3,087 3,046 3,000 2,963 2,931 2,914 2,910

Full-time ........................ 1,257 1,240 1,222 1,207 1,193 1,187 1,185Part-time ....................... 1,830 1,806 1,778 1,756 1,738 1,727 1,725

HONOLULU CC ............... 4,328 4,420 4,479 4,526 4,545 4,583 4,617

Full-time ........................ 1,464 1,495 1,515 1,531 1,537 1,550 1,562Part-time ....................... 2,864 2,925 2,964 2,995 3,008 3,033 3,055

KAPI‘OLANI CC ............... 7,816 7,733 7,692 7,682 7,633 7,630 7,625

Full-time ........................ 3,002 2,933 2,918 2,914 2,895 2,894 2,892Part-time ....................... 4,814 4,800 4,774 4,768 4,738 4,736 4,733

KAUA‘I CC ........................ 1,401 1,408 1,383 1,365 1,345 1,354 1,361

Full-time ........................ 484 486 478 472 465 468 470Part-time ....................... 917 922 905 893 880 886 891

LEEWARD CC ................. 7,535 7,427 7,379 7,361 7,328 7,349 7,366

Full-time ........................ 3,067 3,023 3,004 2,996 2,983 2,991 2,998Part-time ....................... 4,468 4,404 4,375 4,365 4,345 4,358 4,368

UH MAUI COLLEGE ........ 3,593 3,465 3,399 3,366 3,322 3,336 3,362

Full-time ........................ 1,283 1,237 1,214 1,202 1,186 1,191 1,201Part-time ....................... 2,310 2,228 2,185 2,164 2,136 2,145 2,161

WINDWARD CC .............. 2,610 2,577 2,556 2,549 2,544 2,554 2,563

Full-time ........................ 829 819 812 810 808 811 814Part-time ....................... 1,781 1,758 1,744 1,739 1,736 1,743 1,749

Note: Part-Time includes records with invalid data on attendance status.

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APPENDIX AHAWAI‘I PUBLIC HIGH SCHOOL SENIORS BY SCHOOL DISTRICT

ACADEMIC YEARS 2009-10 TO 2020-21

HISTORICAL PROJECTED

SCHOOL DISTRICT 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21

TOTAL ................................ 9,400 9,602 9,897 9,588 9,794 9,516 9,442 9,594 9,618 9,144 9,615 9,628

O'ahu Districts .................... 6,032 6,232 6,568 6,224 6,377 6,161 6,121 6,217 6,277 5,987 6,272 6,205

Honolulu District .............. 1,566 1,668 1,710 1,666 1,735 1,616 1,594 1,654 1,707 1,549 1,625 1,591Central District ................ 1,697 1,784 1,964 1,803 1,866 1,790 1,828 1,728 1,739 1,694 1,767 1,724Leeward District .............. 2,039 2,002 2,075 2,044 2,056 1,995 1,994 2,181 2,203 2,150 2,283 2,323Windward District ............ 730 778 819 711 720 760 705 654 628 594 597 567

Neighbor Island Districts ..... 3,134 3,133 3,065 3,102 3,103 3,048 3,014 3,070 3,034 2,850 3,036 3,116

Hawai‘i District ................. 1,520 1,382 1,384 1,348 1,368 1,315 1,325 1,380 1,360 1,341 1,348 1,379Maui District .................... 1,091 1,156 1,087 1,182 1,163 1,193 1,118 1,160 1,162 1,033 1,159 1,199Kaua‘i District .................. 523 595 594 572 572 540 571 530 512 476 529 538

Other Schools ..................... 234 237 264 262 314 307 307 307 307 307 307 307Charter Schools 1/ ......... 234 237 264 262 314 307 307 307 307 307 307 307

1/ Includes all districts. Charter School projection not provided by the DOE beginning 2014 (set constant at 2015 level).Source: Department of Education for the State of Hawai‘i; June 2015. Regular Education seniors only.

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APPENDIX BHAWAI‘I HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATES

WICHE HISTORICAL AND PROJECTED - 2012 SERIES

Academic Total Pct Public Pct Private Pct Year Chnge Chnge Chnge

1997-98 12,246 6.1 9,670 8.3 2,576 -1.61998-99 12,247 0.0 9,714 0.5 2,533 -1.71999-00 13,398 9.4 10,437 7.4 2,961 16.92000-01 13,490 0.7 10,102 -3.2 3,388 14.42001-02 13,536 0.3 10,452 3.5 3,084 -9.02002-03 12,793 -5.5 10,013 -4.2 2,780 -9.92003-04 12,953 1.3 10,324 3.1 2,629 -5.42004-05 13,396 3.4 10,813 4.7 2,583 -1.72005-06 13,080 -2.4 10,922 1.0 2,158 -16.52006-07 13,448 2.8 11,063 1.3 2,385 10.52007-08 14,137 5.1 11,613 5.0 2,524 5.82008-09 14,167 0.2 11,508 -0.9 2,659 5.32009-10 13,535 -4.5 10,807 -6.1 2,728 2.62010-11 13,745 1.6 11,037 2.1 2,708 -0.72011-12 13,738 -0.1 10,990 -0.4 2,748 1.52012-13 13,502 -1.7 10,647 -3.1 2,855 3.92013-14 13,125 -2.8 10,347 -2.8 2,778 -2.72014-15 12,852 -2.1 10,168 -1.7 2,684 -3.42015-16 12,997 1.1 10,259 0.9 2,738 2.02016-17 13,252 2.0 10,278 0.2 2,974 8.62017-18 13,654 3.0 10,628 3.4 3,026 1.72018-19 12,895 -5.6 10,020 -5.7 2,875 -5.02019-20 13,354 3.6 10,532 5.1 2,822 -1.82020-21 13,772 3.1 10,738 2.0 3,034 7.52021-22 13,910 1.0 10,823 0.8 3,087 1.72022-23 13,681 -1.6 10,666 -1.5 3,015 -2.32023-24 14,456 5.7 11,281 5.8 3,175 5.32024-25 14,581 0.9 11,388 0.9 3,193 0.62025-26 14,844 1.8 11,579 1.7 3,265 2.32026-27 14,391 -3.1 11,223 -3.1 3,168 -3.02027-28 14,470 0.5 11,288 0.6 3,182 0.4

Note: Horizontal line delimits actual from projected numbers.

Note: WICHE "Historical" data may differ from UH IRO compiled data shown in the MAPS reports on the High School Background of First-Time Students.

SOURCE: "Knocking at the Door, Projections of High School Graduates;" December 2012; WICHE.

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Hawai‘i Community College Headcount Enrollment Projections

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure A1Recent and Projected Headcount Enrollment

Historical Projected

76.484.3

93.4

106.1

123.6 126.9118.7

110.3103.2 100 98.7 97.2 96 94.9 94.4 94.3

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure A2Headcount Enrollment Index

Historical Projected

Fall 2015 = 100

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Hawai‘i Community College Headcount Enrollment Projections

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21

Fall Semester

Figure A3Historical and Projected Headcount Enrollment

Historical Projected

2,910

3,2343,087

2,634

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure A4Projected Enrollment with Error Boundaries

Historical Projected High Series Low Series

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TABLE A1HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY STUDENT TYPE AND PROGRAM AREA

HAWAI‘I COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2010 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDREGISTRATION STATUS 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

TOTAL ............................................ 3,815 3,917 3,663 3,406 3,186 3,087 3,046 3,000 2,963 2,931 2,914 2,910

General & Pre-Professional Ed ... 1,137 1,331 1,510 1,510 1,256 1,110 1,065 1,036 1,018 1,004 996 992Career & Technical Ed ................ 2,114 2,049 1,661 1,412 1,377 1,244 1,186 1,150 1,126 1,108 1,096 1,090Unclassified ................................. 68 71 59 68 68 51 69 71 71 72 74 79Specials ...................................... 96 107 109 109 197 353 350 350 350 350 350 350Home-Based at Other UH 1/........ 400 359 324 307 288 329 376 393 398 397 398 399

First-Time By HS Background ........ 1,129 1,135 1,004 904 899 981 1,002 1,002 1,003 1,000 1,007 1,019

Direct from HI Public HS ............. 460 424 423 373 356 307 330 328 328 327 334 344Direct from HI Private HS ............ 40 44 36 25 27 32 33 35 36 34 34 36U.S. Mainland .............................. 77 104 94 78 63 59 59 59 59 59 59 59Foreign & U.S. Related Areas ..... 26 25 31 19 14 27 27 27 27 27 27 27Other First-Time Students 2/ ...... 526 538 420 409 439 556 553 553 553 553 553 553

First-Time, By Program ................... 1,129 1,135 1,004 904 899 981 1,002 1,002 1,003 1,000 1,007 1,019

General & Pre-Professional Ed ... 372 400 423 407 300 295 301 301 302 301 303 306Career & Technical Ed ................ 636 574 424 323 334 276 282 282 282 281 283 287Unclassified ................................. 11 38 32 45 52 33 44 44 44 44 46 51Specials (Early Admits) 3/ .......... 96 107 109 109 197 353 350 350 350 350 350 350Home-Based at Other UH 1/....... 14 16 16 20 16 24 25 25 25 24 25 25

Transfer .......................................... 448 419 384 433 375 362 362 362 362 362 362 362

General & Pre-Professional Ed ... 93 116 135 153 115 86 86 86 86 86 86 86Career & Technical Ed ................ 176 151 114 147 145 130 130 130 130 130 130 130Unclassified ................................. 15 7 3 2Home-Based at Other UH 1/....... 164 145 132 131 115 146 146 146 146 146 146 146

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TABLE A1HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY STUDENT TYPE AND PROGRAM AREA

HAWAI‘I COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2010 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDREGISTRATION STATUS 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Returning ........................................ 321 343 318 295 254 230 217 206 197 189 182 175

General & Pre-Professional Ed ... 95 130 166 138 108 95 90 85 81 78 75 72Career & Technical Ed ................ 209 196 139 147 138 124 117 111 106 102 98 94Unclassified ................................. 12 6 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1Home-Based at Other UH 1/....... 5 11 12 10 7 11 9 9 9 8 8 8

Continuing ...................................... 1,917 2,020 1,957 1,774 1,658 1,514 1,465 1,430 1,401 1,380 1,363 1,354

General & Pre-Professional Ed ... 577 685 786 812 733 634 588 564 549 539 532 528Career & Technical Ed ................ 1,093 1,128 984 795 760 714 657 627 608 595 585 579Unclassified ................................. 30 20 23 21 15 18 24 26 26 27 27 27Home-Based at Other UH 1/....... 217 187 164 146 150 148 196 213 218 219 219 220

1/ Students whose home-campus, as defined in Banner / ODS, is not Hawai‘i Community College.2/ Includes GED, students from Hawai‘i who are not recent high school graduates, records with invalid high school code and unclassified.

SOURCE: UH Institutional Research and Analysis Office, January 2016.

3/ Early Admits are high school students admitted to college courses; they are unclassified by definition.

25

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TABLE A2HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY PROGRAM

HAWAI‘I COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2015 TO FALL 2021

PROJECTED

PROGRAM 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Total Students ...................... 3,087 3,046 3,000 2,963 2,931 2,914 2,910

General & Pre Prof Ed ......... 1,110 1,065 1,036 1,018 1,004 996 992 Hawaiian Studies 1/ ......... 51 49 48 47 46 46 46 Liberal Arts 2/ ................... 1,015 974 947 931 918 911 907 Natural Sciences ............... 44 42 41 40 40 39 39

Career & Technical Ed ......... 1,244 1,186 1,150 1,126 1,108 1,096 1,090 Business ........................... 222 212 206 201 198 196 195 Food Services ................... 87 83 80 79 77 77 76 Health Services ................. 249 237 230 225 222 219 218 Public Services ................. 291 277 269 263 259 256 255 Technology ........................ 395 377 365 358 352 348 346

Unclassified .......................... 733 795 814 819 819 822 828 Regular Unclassified 2/ .... 51 69 71 71 72 74 79 Home-Based Other UH 3/ 329 376 393 398 397 398 399 Special Students ............... 353 350 350 350 350 350 350 Early Admit .................... 353 350 350 350 350 350 350

1/ Hawaiian Studies approved by the UH Board of Regents in May 2012, effective Fall 2012.2/ Includes records with invalid data on education level.3/ Students whose home-campus, as defined in Banner / ODS, is not Hawai‘i Community College.

HISTORICAL

26

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TABLE A3STUDENT SEMESTER HOURS OFFERED BY PROGRAM

HAWAI‘I COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2015 TO FALL 2021

PROJECTED

PROGRAM 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Total .................................... 27,075 26,146 25,494 25,056 24,709 24,523 24,444

General & Pre Prof Ed ........ 19,039 18,392 17,970 17,678 17,452 17,332 17,291

Humanities ....................... 10,184 9,861 9,654 9,507 9,391 9,336 9,318 Natural Sciences .............. 5,401 5,196 5,060 4,967 4,897 4,855 4,839 Social Sciences ............... 3,016 2,906 2,830 2,779 2,742 2,719 2,712 Other General Education . 438 429 426 425 422 422 422

Career & Technical Ed ........ 8,036 7,754 7,524 7,378 7,257 7,191 7,153

Business .......................... 2,018 2,000 1,947 1,904 1,877 1,860 1,854 Food Services .................. 881 840 810 800 780 780 770 Health Services ................ 653 624 606 592 584 577 574 Public Services ................ 1,632 1,566 1,522 1,493 1,471 1,457 1,453 Technology ...................... 2,852 2,724 2,639 2,589 2,545 2,517 2,502

TABLE A4FULL-TIME EQUIVALENT COURSE ENROLLMENT SERVED BY PROGRAM

HAWAI‘I COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2015 TO FALL 2021

PROJECTED

PROGRAM 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Total .................................... 1,808 1,743 1,699 1,670 1,647 1,634 1,630

General & Pre Prof Ed ........ 1,271 1,226 1,198 1,178 1,163 1,155 1,153

Humanities ....................... 679 657 644 634 626 622 621 Natural Sciences .............. 360 346 337 331 326 324 323 Social Sciences ............... 203 194 189 185 183 181 181 Other General Education . 29 29 28 28 28 28 28

Career & Technical Ed ........ 537 517 501 492 484 479 477

Business .......................... 135 133 130 127 125 124 124 Food Services .................. 59 56 54 53 52 52 51 Health Services ................ 44 42 40 39 39 38 38 Public Services ................ 109 104 101 100 98 97 97 Technology ...................... 190 182 176 173 170 168 167

HISTORICAL

HISTORICAL

27

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Honolulu Community College Headcount Enrollment Projections

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure B1Recent and Projected Headcount Enrollment

Historical Projected

95.7 93.0 97.5

105.5 109.2

106.3 105.9 100.9 95.7

100.0 102.1 103.5 104.6 105.0 105.9 106.7

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure B2Headcount Enrollment Index

Historical Projected

Fall 2015 = 100

28

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Honolulu Community College Headcount Enrollment Projections

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

65 67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21

Fall Semester

Figure B3Historical and Projected Headcount Enrollment

Historical Projected

4,617

4,963

4,075

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

5,500

96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure B4Projected Enrollment with Error Boundaries

Historical Projected High Series Low Series

29

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TABLE B1HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY STUDENT TYPE AND PROGRAM AREA

HONOLULU COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2010 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTED

REGISTRATION STATUS 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

TOTAL .......................................... 4,725 4,600 4,582 4,368 4,144 4,328 4,420 4,479 4,526 4,545 4,583 4,617

General & Pre-Professional Ed . 1,101 1,076 947 920 868 847 841 841 844 844 850 856Career & Technical Ed .............. 2,407 2,494 2,565 2,514 2,393 2,441 2,478 2,507 2,532 2,545 2,564 2,581Unclassified ............................... 80 58 50 74 65 52 57 59 60 60 60 61Specials .................................... 35 29 31 32 74 201 202 202 203 197 201 201Home-Based at Other UH 1/..... 1,102 943 989 828 744 787 842 870 887 899 908 918

First-Time By HS Background ...... 965 849 760 831 806 846 849 848 851 832 846 846

Direct from HI Public HS ........... 442 432 379 376 343 304 301 297 300 283 297 294Direct from HI Private HS .......... 58 34 36 30 37 31 37 40 40 38 38 41U.S. Mainland ............................ 68 61 62 73 89 74 74 74 74 74 74 74Foreign & U.S. Related Areas ... 37 25 25 36 14 26 26 26 26 26 26 26Other First-Time Freshmen 2/ .. 360 297 258 316 323 411 411 411 411 411 411 411

First-Time, By Program ................. 965 849 760 831 806 846 849 848 851 832 846 846

General & Pre-Professional Ed . 259 211 198 193 192 172 173 172 173 169 172 172Career & Technical Ed .............. 548 529 440 521 491 377 378 378 379 371 377 377Unclassified ............................... 16 14 10 15 6 24 24 24 24 24 24 24Specials .................................... 35 29 31 32 74 201 202 202 203 197 201 201Home-Based at Other UH 1/..... 107 66 81 70 43 72 72 72 72 71 72 72

Transfer ........................................ 974 929 978 825 828 840 853 865 877 890 902 915

General & Pre-Professional Ed . 171 186 156 156 159 191 194 197 199 202 205 208Career & Technical Ed .............. 246 307 364 289 303 282 286 290 294 299 303 307Unclassified ............................... 34 25 18 21 25 4 4 4 4 4 4 4Home-Based at Other UH 1/..... 523 411 440 359 341 363 369 374 380 385 390 396

30

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TABLE B1HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY STUDENT TYPE AND PROGRAM AREA

HONOLULU COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2010 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTED

REGISTRATION STATUS 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Returning ...................................... 229 286 280 268 244 266 266 266 266 266 266 266

General & Pre-Professional Ed . 85 109 102 82 83 87 87 87 87 87 87 87Career & Technical Ed .............. 127 165 166 173 150 174 174 174 174 174 174 174Unclassified ............................... 10 4 6 5 7 1 3 3 3 3 3 3Home-Based at Other UH 1/..... 7 8 6 8 4 4 2 2 2 2 2 2

Continuing .................................... 2,557 2,536 2,564 2,444 2,266 2,376 2,452 2,500 2,532 2,557 2,569 2,590

General & Pre-Professional Ed . 586 570 491 489 434 397 387 385 385 386 386 389Career & Technical Ed .............. 1,486 1,493 1,595 1,531 1,449 1,608 1,640 1,665 1,685 1,701 1,710 1,723Unclassified ............................... 20 15 16 33 27 23 26 28 29 29 29 30Home-Based at Other UH 1/..... 465 458 462 391 356 348 399 422 433 441 444 448

1/ Students whose home-campus, as defined in Banner / ODS, is not Honolulu Community College.2/ Includes GED, students from Hawai‘i who are not recent high school graduates and records with invalid high school code.

SOURCE: UH Institutional Research and Analysis Office, January 2016.

31

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TABLE B2HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY PROGRAM

HONOLULU COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2015 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDPROGRAM 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Total Students ...................... 4,328 4,420 4,479 4,526 4,545 4,583 4,617

General & Pre-Prof Ed ......... 847 841 841 844 844 850 856 Hawaiian Studies 1/ ........ 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 Liberal Arts ........................ 790 784 784 787 787 793 799 Natural Sciences ............... 43 43 43 43 43 43 43

Career & Technical Ed ......... 2,441 2,478 2,507 2,532 2,545 2,564 2,581 Public Services ................. 631 641 648 655 658 663 667 Technology ....................... 1,810 1,837 1,859 1,877 1,887 1,901 1,914

Unclassified .......................... 1,040 1,101 1,131 1,150 1,156 1,169 1,180 Regular Unclassified 1/ .... 52 57 59 60 60 60 61 Home-Based Other UH 2/ 787 842 870 887 899 908 918 Special Students ............... 201 202 202 203 197 201 201 Early Admit .................... 201 202 202 203 197 201 201

1/ Includes records with invalid data on education level.2/ Students whose home-campus, as defined in Banner / ODS, is not Honolulu Community College.

32

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TABLE B3STUDENT SEMESTER HOURS OFFERED BY PROGRAM

HONOLULU COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2015 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDPROGRAM 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Total .................................... 36,920 37,517 37,948 38,311 38,471 38,768 39,050

General & Pre-Prof Ed ........ 23,302 23,661 23,915 24,133 24,217 24,408 24,588

Humanities ....................... 10,614 10,757 10,863 10,958 10,989 11,077 11,158 Natural Sciences .............. 8,446 8,590 8,690 8,772 8,809 8,877 8,943 Social Sciences ............... 4,054 4,120 4,165 4,204 4,218 4,253 4,283 Other General Education . 188 194 197 199 201 201 204

Career & Technical Ed ........ 13,618 13,856 14,033 14,178 14,254 14,360 14,462

Business .......................... 762 777 788 797 801 807 813 Health Services ................ 336 346 351 356 358 360 364 Public Services ................ 1,982 2,014 2,035 2,057 2,067 2,082 2,095 Technology ...................... 9,209 9,369 9,492 9,588 9,641 9,714 9,783 Other Vocational .............. 1,329 1,350 1,367 1,380 1,387 1,397 1,407

TABLE B4FULL-TIME EQUIVALENT COURSE ENROLLMENT SERVED BY PROGRAM

HONOLULU COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2015 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDPROGRAM 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Total .................................... 2,460 2,502 2,530 2,554 2,564 2,585 2,604

General & Pre-Prof Ed ........ 1,553 1,578 1,594 1,609 1,614 1,627 1,640

Humanities ....................... 709 717 724 731 733 738 744 Natural Sciences .............. 562 573 579 585 587 592 596 Social Sciences ............... 269 275 278 280 281 284 286 Other General Education . 13 13 13 13 13 13 14

Career & Technical Ed ........ 907 924 936 945 950 958 964

Business .......................... 51 52 53 53 53 54 54 Health Services ................ 22 23 23 24 24 24 24 Public Services ................ 132 134 136 137 138 139 140 Technology ...................... 613 625 633 639 643 648 652 Other Vocational .............. 89 90 91 92 92 93 94

33

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Kapi‘olani Community College Headcount Enrollment Projections

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure C1Recent and Projected Headcount Enrollment

Historical Projected

93.096.2

105.2

116.5 119.0115.4 113.8

107.2 102.3 100.0 98.9 98.4 98.3 97.7 97.6 97.6

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure C2Headcount Enrollment Index

Historical Projected

Fall 2015 = 100

34

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Kapi‘olani Community College Headcount Enrollment Projections

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

65 67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21

Fall Semester

Figure C3Historical and Projected Headcount Enrollment

Historical Projected

7,625

8,210

7,145

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure C4Projected Enrollment with Error Boundaries

Historical Projected High Series Low Series

35

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TABLE C1HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY STUDENT TYPE AND PROGRAM AREA

KAPI‘OLANI COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2010 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDREGISTRATION STATUS 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

TOTAL ............................................ 9,301 9,023 8,892 8,376 7,994 7,816 7,733 7,692 7,682 7,633 7,630 7,625

General & Pre-Professional Ed ... 4,349 4,325 4,406 4,181 3,973 3,804 3,716 3,668 3,649 3,611 3,604 3,598Career & Technical Ed ................ 2,077 1,958 1,900 1,844 1,791 1,839 1,870 1,890 1,905 1,903 1,907 1,909Unclassified ................................. 882 710 640 610 604 617 610 607 605 604 603 603Specials ...................................... 48 51 61 72 80 139 140 140 141 137 140 139Home-Based Other UH 1/ ……… 1,945 1,979 1,885 1,669 1,546 1,417 1,397 1,387 1,382 1,378 1,376 1,376

First-Time By HS Background ........ 1,561 1,431 1,555 1,464 1,409 1,483 1,493 1,495 1,507 1,462 1,485 1,482

Direct from HI Public HS ............. 692 688 735 648 587 588 596 591 602 561 586 577Direct from HI Private HS ............ 141 97 118 99 100 81 83 90 91 87 85 91U.S. Mainland ............................. 123 101 107 98 107 116 116 116 116 116 116 116Foreign & U.S. Related Areas ..... 191 150 248 269 259 263 263 263 263 263 263 263Other First-Time Freshmen 2/ .... 414 395 347 350 356 435 435 435 435 435 435 435

First-Time, By Program ................... 1,561 1,431 1,555 1,464 1,409 1,483 1,493 1,495 1,507 1,462 1,485 1,482

General & Pre-Professional Ed ... 1,028 990 1,123 1,019 962 897 903 904 912 884 898 896Career & Technical Ed ................ 310 247 262 265 300 363 365 366 369 358 363 363Unclassified ................................. 59 32 24 25 4 11 11 11 11 11 11 11Specials ...................................... 48 51 61 63 80 139 140 140 141 137 140 139Home-Based Other UH 1/ ……… 116 111 85 92 63 73 74 74 74 72 73 73

Transfer .......................................... 1,849 1,691 1,692 1,581 1,454 1,496 1,496 1,496 1,496 1,496 1,496 1,496

General & Pre-Professional Ed ... 567 544 577 553 514 501 501 501 501 501 501 501Career & Technical Ed ................ 341 251 261 248 220 272 272 272 272 272 272 272Unclassified ................................. 335 270 241 235 236 225 225 225 225 225 225 225Home-Based Other UH 1/ ……… 606 626 613 545 484 498 498 498 498 498 498 498

36

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TABLE C1HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY STUDENT TYPE AND PROGRAM AREA

KAPI‘OLANI COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2010 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDREGISTRATION STATUS 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Returning ........................................ 460 464 464 470 453 430 430 430 430 430 430 430

General & Pre-Professional Ed ... 260 274 263 247 221 196 196 196 196 196 196 196Career & Technical Ed ................ 123 112 112 127 115 120 120 120 120 120 120 120Unclassified ................................. 62 66 75 76 97 104 104 104 104 104 104 104Home-Based Other UH 1/ ……… 15 12 14 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Continuing ...................................... 5,431 5,437 5,181 4,861 4,678 4,407 4,314 4,271 4,249 4,245 4,219 4,217

General & Pre-Professional Ed ... 2,494 2,517 2,443 2,362 2,276 2,210 2,116 2,067 2,040 2,030 2,009 2,005Career & Technical Ed ................ 1,303 1,348 1,265 1,204 1,156 1,084 1,113 1,132 1,144 1,153 1,152 1,154Unclassified ................................. 426 342 300 274 267 277 270 267 265 264 263 263Specials ...................................... 9Home-Based Other UH 1/ ……… 1,208 1,230 1,173 1,012 979 836 815 805 800 798 795 795

1/ Students whose home-campus, as defined in Banner / ODS, is not Kapi‘olani Community College.2/ Includes GED, students from Hawai‘i who are not recent high school graduates and records with invalid high school code.

SOURCE: UH Institutional Research and Analysis Office, January 2016.

37

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TABLE C2HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY PROGRAM

KAPI‘OLANI COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2015 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDPROGRAM 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Total Students ...................... 7,816 7,733 7,692 7,682 7,633 7,630 7,625

General & Pre-Prof Ed .......... 3,804 3,716 3,668 3,649 3,611 3,604 3,598 Hawaiian Studies 1/ .......... 36 35 35 35 34 34 34 Liberal Arts ........................ 3,311 3,235 3,192 3,176 3,143 3,137 3,132 Natural Sciences ............... 457 446 441 438 434 433 432

Career & Technical Ed .......... 1,839 1,870 1,890 1,905 1,903 1,907 1,909 Business ............................ 899 914 925 931 930 932 934 Food Services .................... 403 410 414 417 417 418 418 Health Services ................. 377 383 387 391 390 391 391 Public Services .................. 109 111 112 113 113 113 113 Technology ........................ 51 52 52 53 53 53 53

Unclassified .......................... 2,173 2,147 2,134 2,128 2,119 2,119 2,118 Regular Unclassified 2/...... 617 610 607 605 604 603 603 Home-Based Other UH 3/ . 1,417 1,397 1,387 1,382 1,378 1,376 1,376 Special Students ................ 139 140 140 141 137 140 139 Early Admit .................... 139 140 140 141 137 140 139

1/ Hawaiian Studies approved by the UH Board of Regents in May 2012, effective Fall 2012.2/ Includes records with invalid data on education level.3/ Students whose home-campus, as defined in Banner / ODS, is not Kapi‘olani Community College.

38

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TABLE C3STUDENT SEMESTER HOURS OFFERED BY PROGRAM

KAPI‘OLANI COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2015 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDPROGRAM 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Total ..................................... 67,870 67,176 66,841 66,777 66,333 66,300 66,259

General & Pre-Prof Ed ......... 50,192 49,417 49,010 48,871 48,484 48,434 48,388

Humanities ........................ 28,219 27,814 27,598 27,538 27,316 27,295 27,270 Natural Sciences .............. 15,649 15,383 15,247 15,188 15,074 15,053 15,038 Social Sciences ................ 5,903 5,804 5,752 5,733 5,686 5,679 5,673 Other General Educ .......... 421 416 413 412 408 407 407

Career & Technical Ed ........ 17,678 17,759 17,831 17,906 17,849 17,866 17,871

Business ........................... 8,035 8,047 8,069 8,087 8,058 8,063 8,070 Food Serv & Hosp Ed ....... 3,321 3,352 3,372 3,390 3,384 3,390 3,390 Health Services ................ 5,341 5,377 5,406 5,441 5,422 5,430 5,428 Public Services ................. 981 983 984 988 985 983 983

TABLE C4FULL-TIME EQUIVALENT COURSE ENROLLMENT SERVED BY PROGRAM

KAPI‘OLANI COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2015 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDPROGRAM 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Total ..................................... 4,521 4,478 4,456 4,452 4,422 4,422 4,418

General & Pre-Prof Ed ......... 3,344 3,295 3,267 3,258 3,232 3,230 3,226

Humanities ........................ 1,880 1,854 1,840 1,836 1,821 1,820 1,818 Natural Sciences .............. 1,043 1,026 1,016 1,013 1,005 1,004 1,003 Social Sciences ................ 393 387 383 382 379 379 378 Other General Educ .......... 28 28 28 27 27 27 27

Career & Technical Ed ........ 1,177 1,183 1,189 1,194 1,190 1,192 1,192

Business ........................... 536 536 538 539 537 538 538 Food Serv & Hosp Ed ....... 221 223 225 226 226 226 226 Health Services ................ 355 358 360 363 361 362 362 Public Services ................. 65 66 66 66 66 66 66

39

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Kaua‘i Community College Headcount Enrollment Projections

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure D1Recent and Projected Headcount Enrollment

Historical Projected

79.975.0

78.8

96.0 101.9 102.3106.7

109.2101.6 100.0 100.5 98.7 97.4 96.0 96.6 97.1

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure D2Headcount Enrollment Index

Historical Projected

Fall 2015 = 100

40

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Kaua‘i Community College Headcount Enrollment Projections

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

65 67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21

Fall Semester

Figure D3Historical and Projected Headcount Enrollment

Historical Projected

1,361

1,483

1,227

500

750

1,000

1,250

1,500

1,750

2,000

96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure D4Projected Enrollment with Error Boundaries

Historical Projected High Series Low Series

41

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TABLE D1HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY STUDENT TYPE AND PROGRAM AREA

KAUA‘I COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2010 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDREGISTRATION STATUS 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

TOTAL .............................................. 1,428 1,433 1,495 1,530 1,424 1,401 1,408 1,383 1,365 1,345 1,354 1,361

General & Pre-Professional Ed ..... 767 766 733 717 715 551 628 581 555 539 538 538Career & Technical Ed .................. 441 466 515 534 497 547 516 522 525 522 527 530Unclassified ................................... 135 114 112 130 97 83 84 94 98 98 100 101Specials ........................................ 29 55 65 76 22 131 95 94 93 91 93 95Home-Based at Other UH 1/.......... 56 32 70 73 93 89 85 92 94 95 96 97

First-Time By HS Background .......... 358 434 479 475 396 484 491 480 476 465 483 487

Direct from HI Public HS ............... 160 192 189 204 185 184 193 181 177 167 185 188Direct from HI Private HS .............. 19 11 13 6 7 5 5 6 6 5 5 6U.S. Mainland ................................ 31 51 54 45 32 31 31 31 31 31 31 31Foreign & U.S. Related Areas ....... 6 10 11 12 16 9 7 7 7 7 7 7Other First-Time Freshmen 2/ ...... 142 170 212 208 156 255 255 255 255 255 255 255

First-Time, By Program ..................... 358 434 479 475 396 484 491 480 476 465 483 487

General & Pre-Professional Ed ..... 218 220 216 192 213 108 187 183 181 177 184 185Career & Technical Ed .................. 91 126 133 136 115 192 169 165 164 160 166 167Unclassified ................................... 20 32 60 67 41 45 33 32 32 31 33 33Specials ........................................ 29 55 65 76 22 130 95 94 93 91 93 95Home-Based at Other UH 1/.......... 1 5 4 5 9 7 6 6 6 7 7

Transfer ............................................ 184 140 148 143 106 106 106 106 106 106 106 106

General & Pre-Professional Ed ..... 78 68 66 71 40 43 42 42 42 42 42 42Career & Technical Ed .................. 41 45 34 23 12 24 18 18 18 18 18 18Unclassified ................................... 34 12 4 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2Home-Based at Other UH 1/.......... 31 15 44 44 52 37 44 44 44 44 44 44

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TABLE D1HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY STUDENT TYPE AND PROGRAM AREA

KAUA‘I COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2010 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDREGISTRATION STATUS 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Returning .......................................... 148 136 104 126 117 107 107 107 107 107 107 107

General & Pre-Professional Ed ..... 68 71 61 71 48 45 44 44 44 44 44 44Career & Technical Ed .................. 47 48 41 52 63 61 59 59 59 59 59 59Unclassified ................................... 32 17 1 3 5 1 3 3 3 3 3 3Home-Based at Other UH 1/.......... 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Continuing ........................................ 738 723 764 786 805 704 704 690 676 667 658 661

General & Pre-Professional Ed ..... 403 407 390 383 414 355 355 312 288 276 268 267Career & Technical Ed .................. 262 247 307 323 307 270 270 280 284 285 284 286Unclassified ................................... 49 53 47 55 49 35 46 57 61 62 62 63Specials ........................................ 1Home-Based at Other UH 1/.......... 24 16 20 25 35 43 33 41 43 44 44 45

1/ Students whose home-campus, as defined in Banner / ODS, is not Kaua‘i Community College.2/ Includes GED, students from Hawai‘i who are not recent high school graduates and records with invalid high school code.SOURCE: UH Institutional Research and Analysis Office, January 2016.

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TABLE D2HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY PROGRAM

KAUA‘I COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2015 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDPROGRAM 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Total Students ........................ 1,401 1,408 1,383 1,365 1,345 1,354 1,361

General & Pre-Prof Ed ........... 635 628 581 555 539 538 538 Hawaiian Studies 1/ ........... 31 33 31 29 28 28 28 Liberal Arts .......................... 588 578 534 511 496 495 495 Natural Sciences ................. 16 17 16 15 15 15 15

Career & Technical Ed ........... 463 516 522 525 522 527 530 Business ............................. 159 177 180 181 180 181 182 Food Services ..................... 42 47 47 48 47 48 48 Health Services ................... 70 78 79 79 79 80 80 Public Services ................... 39 43 44 44 44 44 45 Technology ......................... 153 171 172 173 172 174 175

Unclassified ............................ 303 264 280 285 284 289 293 Regular Unclassified 2/ ...... 83 84 94 98 98 100 101 Home-Based at Other UH 3 89 85 92 94 95 96 97 Special Students ................. 131 95 94 93 91 93 95 Early Admit ...................... 131 95 94 93 91 93 95

1/ Hawaiian Studies approved by the UH Board of Regents in May 2012, effective Fall 2012.2/ Includes records with invalid data on education level.3/ Students whose home-campus, as defined in Banner / ODS, is not Kaua‘i Community College.

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TABLE D3STUDENT SEMESTER HOURS OFFERED BY PROGRAM

KAUA‘I COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2015 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDPROGRAM 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Total .................................. 11,728 12,020 11,745 11,579 11,395 11,469 11,515

General & Pre-Prof Ed ...... 7,410 7,351 7,047 6,865 6,723 6,745 6,767

Humanities ..................... 3,586 3,546 3,412 3,329 3,264 3,274 3,286 Natural Sciences ............ 2,690 2,674 2,557 2,487 2,436 2,445 2,453 Social Sciences .............. 753 744 706 685 667 669 670 Other General Educ ....... 381 387 372 364 356 357 358

Career & Technical Ed ...... 4,318 4,669 4,698 4,714 4,672 4,724 4,748

Business ........................ 1,112 1,249 1,251 1,249 1,237 1,243 1,251 Food Services ................ 472 528 528 539 528 539 539 Health Services .............. 1,411 1,467 1,490 1,493 1,484 1,503 1,508 Public Services .............. 190 207 211 212 212 213 217 Technology .................... 1,133 1,218 1,218 1,221 1,211 1,226 1,233

TABLE D4FULL-TIME EQUIVALENT COURSE ENROLLMENT SERVED BY PROGRAM

KAUA‘I COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2015 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDPROGRAM 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Total .................................. 780 801 781 772 759 765 768

General & Pre-Prof Ed ...... 492 490 469 458 448 450 452

Humanities ..................... 240 236 227 222 218 218 219 Natural Sciences ............ 178 178 170 166 162 163 164 Social Sciences .............. 49 50 47 46 44 45 45 Other General Educ ....... 25 26 25 24 24 24 24

Career & Technical Ed ...... 288 311 312 314 311 315 316 Business ........................ 74 83 83 83 82 83 83 Food Services ................ 31 35 35 36 35 36 36 Health Services .............. 94 98 99 100 99 100 101 Public Services .............. 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 Technology .................... 76 81 81 81 81 82 82

45

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Leeward Community College Headcount Enrollment Projections

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure E1Recent and Projected Headcount Enrollment

Historical Projected

76.3 78.1

89.9

99.3105.4 104.8 105.6 105.9 102.7 100.0 98.6 97.9 97.7 97.3 97.5 97.8

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure E2Headcount Enrollment Index

Historical Projected

Fall 2015 = 100

46

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Leeward Community College Headcount Enrollment Projections

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21

Fall Semester

Figure E3Historical and Projected Headcount Enrollment

Historical Projected

7,366

8,011

6,721

4,000

4,500

5,000

5,500

6,000

6,500

7,000

7,500

8,000

8,500

9,000

96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure E4Projected Enrollment with Error Boundaries

Historical Projected High Series Low Series

47

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TABLE E1HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY STUDENT TYPE AND PROGRAM AREA

LEEWARD COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2010 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDREGISTRATION STATUS 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

TOTAL ............................................ 7,942 7,895 7,960 7,976 7,742 7,535 7,427 7,379 7,361 7,328 7,349 7,366

General & Pre-Prof Education ..... 4,652 4,469 4,615 4,374 4,272 4,019 3,880 3,807 3,771 3,739 3,741 3,745Career & Technical Ed ................ 1,189 1,290 1,382 1,558 1,517 1,609 1,661 1,693 1,711 1,717 1,728 1,736Unclassified ................................. 375 320 242 256 271 222 220 219 219 218 219 219Special ......................................... 59 53 79 164 247 346 346 349 350 345 354 355Home-Based at Other UH 1/........ 1,667 1,763 1,642 1,624 1,435 1,339 1,320 1,311 1,310 1,309 1,307 1,311

First-Time By HS Background ........ 1,725 1,623 1,741 1,690 1,745 1,745 1,748 1,757 1,765 1,741 1,780 1,787

Direct from HI Public HS ............. 918 910 956 828 896 799 801 806 813 792 832 835Direct from HI Private HS ............ 73 70 77 66 72 49 50 54 55 52 51 55U.S. Mainland .............................. 122 113 134 125 133 132 132 132 132 132 132 132Foreign & U.S. Related Areas ..... 40 38 60 45 52 50 50 50 50 50 50 50Other First-Time Freshmen 2/ .... 572 492 514 626 592 715 715 715 715 715 715 715

First-Time, By Program .................. 1,725 1,623 1,741 1,690 1,745 1,745 1,748 1,757 1,765 1,741 1,780 1,787

General & Pre-Prof Education ..... 1,174 1,063 1,060 932 987 916 918 922 926 914 934 938Career & Technical Ed ................ 260 301 340 380 363 367 368 370 371 366 374 376Unclassified ................................. 63 60 37 49 36 49 49 49 50 49 50 50Special ......................................... 58 53 78 164 247 346 346 349 350 345 354 355Home-Based at Other UH 1/........ 170 146 226 165 112 67 67 67 68 67 68 68

Transfer .......................................... 1,260 1,271 1,281 1,315 1,244 1,268 1,267 1,267 1,267 1,267 1,267 1,266

General & Pre-Prof Education ..... 456 413 536 461 483 461 461 461 461 461 461 460Career & Technical Ed ................ 133 174 184 222 177 247 247 247 247 247 247 247Unclassified ................................. 71 67 46 89 90 56 56 56 56 56 56 56Home-Based at Other UH 1/........ 600 617 515 543 494 504 503 503 503 503 503 503

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TABLE E1HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY STUDENT TYPE AND PROGRAM AREA

LEEWARD COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2010 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDREGISTRATION STATUS 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Returning ........................................ 466 448 477 500 505 438 438 438 438 438 438 438

General & Pre-Prof Education ..... 337 316 352 330 329 268 268 268 268 268 268 268Career & Technical Ed ................ 101 103 99 142 135 146 146 146 146 146 146 146Unclassified ................................. 18 17 14 25 34 18 18 18 18 18 18 18Special ......................................... 1 1Home-Based at Other UH 1/........ 9 12 11 3 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6

Continuing ...................................... 4,491 4,553 4,461 4,471 4,248 4,084 3,974 3,917 3,891 3,882 3,864 3,875

General & Pre-Prof Education ..... 2,685 2,677 2,667 2,651 2,473 2,374 2,233 2,156 2,116 2,096 2,078 2,079Career & Technical Ed ................ 695 712 759 814 842 849 900 930 947 958 961 967Unclassified ................................. 223 176 145 93 111 99 97 96 95 95 95 95Home-Based at Other UH 1/........ 888 988 890 913 822 762 744 735 733 733 730 734

1/ Students whose home-campus, as defined in Banner / ODS, is not Leeward Community College.2/ Includes GED, students from Hawai‘i who are not recent high school graduates and records with invalid high school code.

SOURCE: UH Institutional Research and Analysis Office; January 2016.

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TABLE E2HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY PROGRAM

LEEWARD COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2015 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDPROGRAM 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Total Students ...................... 7,535 7,427 7,379 7,361 7,328 7,349 7,366

General & Pre-Prof Ed ......... 4,019 3,880 3,807 3,771 3,739 3,741 3,745 Hawaiian Studies 1/ ......... 54 52 51 51 50 50 50 Liberal Arts ........................ 3,127 3,019 2,962 2,934 2,909 2,911 2,914 Natural Sciences ............... 415 401 393 389 386 386 387 Teaching ........................... 423 408 401 397 394 394 394

Career & Technical Ed ......... 1,609 1,661 1,693 1,711 1,717 1,728 1,736 Business ........................... 990 1,022 1,042 1,053 1,057 1,063 1,068 Food Services ................... 153 158 161 163 163 164 165 Public Services ................. 22 23 23 23 23 24 24 Technology ....................... 444 458 467 472 474 477 479

Unclassified .......................... 1,907 1,886 1,879 1,879 1,872 1,880 1,885 Regular Unclassified 2/ .... 222 220 219 219 218 219 219 Home-Based Other UH 3/ 1,339 1,320 1,311 1,310 1,309 1,307 1,311 Special Students ............... 346 346 349 350 345 354 355 Early Admit .................... 346 346 349 350 345 354 355

1/ Hawaiian Studies approved by the UH Board of Regents in May 2012, effective Fall 2012.2/ Includes records with invalid data on education level.3/ Students whose home-campus, as defined in Banner / ODS, is not Leeward Community College.

50

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TABLE E3STUDENT SEMESTER HOURS OFFERED BY PROGRAM

LEEWARD COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2015 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDPROGRAM 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Total .................................. 65,606 64,617 64,158 63,964 63,674 63,833 63,977

General & Pre-Prof Ed ...... 51,719 50,679 50,164 49,934 49,655 49,761 49,857

Humanities ..................... 28,198 27,667 27,411 27,297 27,144 27,213 27,267 Natural Sciences ............ 14,567 14,246 14,084 14,012 13,933 13,955 13,981 Social Sciences .............. 8,511 8,332 8,241 8,199 8,155 8,169 8,185 Other General Educ ....... 443 434 428 426 423 424 424

Career & Technical Ed ...... 13,887 13,938 13,994 14,030 14,019 14,072 14,120

Business ........................ 7,433 7,491 7,542 7,573 7,575 7,604 7,632 Food Services ................ 854 877 892 902 901 906 911 Health Services .............. 595 588 587 586 584 584 588 Public Services .............. 2,757 2,680 2,639 2,617 2,599 2,605 2,607 Technology .................... 2,248 2,302 2,334 2,352 2,360 2,373 2,382

TABLE E4FULL-TIME EQUIVALENT COURSE ENROLLMENT SERVED BY PROGRAM

LEEWARD COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2015 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDPROGRAM 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Total .................................. 4,375 4,306 4,277 4,264 4,245 4,255 4,266

General & Pre-Prof Ed ...... 3,450 3,378 3,344 3,329 3,311 3,317 3,324

Humanities ..................... 1,880 1,844 1,827 1,820 1,810 1,814 1,818 Natural Sciences ............ 971 950 939 934 929 930 932 Social Sciences .............. 569 555 549 547 544 545 546 Other General Educ ....... 30 29 29 28 28 28 28

Career & Technical Ed ...... 925 928 933 935 934 938 942

Business ........................ 495 499 503 505 505 507 509 Food Services ................ 57 58 59 60 60 60 61 Health Services .............. 40 39 39 39 39 39 39 Public Services .............. 183 179 176 174 173 174 174 Technology .................... 150 153 156 157 157 158 159

51

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University of Hawai‘i Maui College Headcount Enrollment Projections

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure F1Recent and Projected Headcount Enrollment

Historical Projected

79.183.0

91.5

114.5121.5 126.0 122.0

113.4106.0

100.0 96.4 94.6 93.7 92.5 92.8 93.6

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure F2Headcount Enrollment Index

Historical Projected

Fall 2015 = 100

52

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University of Hawai‘i Maui College Headcount Enrollment Projections

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

65 67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21

Fall Semester

Figure F3Historical and Projected Headcount Enrollment

3,362

3,702

2,972

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure F4Projected Enrollment with Error Boundaries

Historical Projected High Series Low Series

53

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TABLE F1HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY STUDENT TYPE AND PROGRAM AREA

UNIVERSITY OF HAWAI‘I MAUI COLLEGEFALL 2010 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDREGISTRATION STATUS 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

TOTAL ............................................ 4,367 4,527 4,382 4,076 3,809 3,593 3,465 3,399 3,366 3,322 3,336 3,362

General & Pre-Professional Ed.... 2,242 2,218 2,185 1,887 1,754 1,653 1,566 1,525 1,507 1,487 1,490 1,501Career & Technical Ed ................ 1,616 1,669 1,677 1,666 1,548 1,361 1,287 1,247 1,225 1,206 1,205 1,210Unclassified ................................. 153 162 168 180 157 177 197 203 206 206 207 211Specials ...................................... 136 202 142 137 152 235 229 232 232 223 233 235Home-Based at Other UH 1/....... 220 276 210 206 198 167 186 192 196 200 201 205

First-Time By HS Background ........ 1,146 1,158 985 967 885 890 869 877 879 847 876 890

Direct from HI Public HS ............. 387 409 393 377 337 328 306 310 311 282 312 322Direct from HI Private HS ............ 46 43 42 38 41 46 47 51 52 49 48 52U.S. Mainland .............................. 121 86 81 103 84 63 63 63 63 63 63 63Foreign & U.S. Related Areas ..... 33 30 26 30 36 13 13 13 13 13 13 13Other First-Time Freshmen 2/ .... 559 590 443 419 387 440 440 440 440 440 440 440

First-Time, By Program ................... 1,146 1,158 985 967 885 890 869 877 879 847 876 890

General & Pre-Professional Ed.... 619 580 526 446 397 380 371 374 375 362 374 380Career & Technical Ed ................ 359 327 264 333 285 227 222 224 224 216 223 227Unclassified ................................. 28 43 44 43 45 42 41 41 42 40 41 42Specials ...................................... 131 202 142 137 152 234 228 231 231 222 231 234Home-Based at Other UH 1/....... 9 6 9 8 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7

Transfer .......................................... 450 505 479 406 372 396 400 408 416 425 433 441

General & Pre-Professional Ed.... 164 186 197 142 124 132 133 136 139 142 144 147Career & Technical Ed ................ 124 121 140 126 98 114 115 117 120 122 125 127Unclassified ................................. 31 38 29 27 35 46 47 48 48 49 50 51Home-Based at Other UH 1/....... 131 160 113 111 115 104 105 107 109 112 114 116

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TABLE F1HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY STUDENT TYPE AND PROGRAM AREA

UNIVERSITY OF HAWAI‘I MAUI COLLEGEFALL 2010 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDREGISTRATION STATUS 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Returning ........................................ 287 345 356 386 349 329 329 329 329 329 329 329

General & Pre-Professional Ed.... 151 183 198 189 182 170 170 170 170 170 170 170Career & Technical Ed ................ 113 135 138 163 151 131 131 131 131 131 131 131Unclassified ................................. 22 25 18 33 15 27 27 27 27 27 27 27Home-Based at Other UH 1/....... 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Continuing ...................................... 2,484 2,519 2,562 2,317 2,203 1,978 1,867 1,785 1,742 1,721 1,698 1,702

General & Pre-Professional Ed.... 1,308 1,269 1,264 1,110 1,051 971 892 845 823 813 802 804Career & Technical Ed ................ 1,020 1,086 1,135 1,044 1,014 889 819 775 750 737 726 725Unclassified ................................. 72 56 77 77 62 62 82 87 89 90 89 91Specials ...................................... 5 1 1 1 1 1 2 1Home-Based at Other UH 1/....... 79 108 86 86 76 55 73 77 79 80 79 81

1/ Students whose home-campus, as defined in Banner / ODS, is Maui College.2/ Includes GED, students from Hawai‘i who are not recent high school graduates and records with invalid high school code.SOURCE: UH Institutional Research and Analysis Office; January 2016.

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TABLE F2HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY PROGRAMUNIVERSITY OF HAWAI‘I MAUI COLLEGE

FALL 2015 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDPROGRAM 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Total Students ...................... 3,593 3,465 3,399 3,366 3,322 3,336 3,362

General & Pre-Prof Ed ......... 1,653 1,566 1,525 1,507 1,487 1,490 1,501 Hawaiian Studies 1/ ......... 78 74 72 71 70 70 71 Liberal Arts ........................ 1,521 1,441 1,403 1,387 1,368 1,371 1,381 Natural Sciences ............... 54 51 50 49 49 49 49

Career & Technical Ed ......... 1,361 1,287 1,247 1,225 1,206 1,205 1,210 Business ........................... 528 498 484 475 469 468 469 Food Services ................... 130 123 119 117 115 115 116 Health Services ................. 101 96 93 91 89 89 90 Public Services ................. 225 213 206 203 199 199 200 Technology ....................... 377 357 345 339 334 334 335

Unclassified .......................... 579 612 627 634 629 641 651 Regular Unclassified 2/ .... 177 197 203 206 206 207 211 Home-Based Other UH 3/ .. 167 186 192 196 200 201 205 Special Students ............... 235 229 232 232 223 233 235 Early Admit .................... 235 229 232 232 223 233 235

1/ Hawaiian Studies approved by the UH Board of Regents in May 2012, effective Fall 2012.2/ Includes records with invalid data on education level.3/ Students whose home-campus, as defined in Banner / ODS, is not Maui College.

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TABLE F3STUDENT SEMESTER HOURS OFFERED BY PROGRAM

UNIVERSITY OF HAWAI‘I MAUI COLLEGEFALL 2015 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDPROGRAM 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Total .................................. 30,759 29,407 28,718 28,376 27,987 28,058 28,253

General & Pre-Prof Ed ...... 20,453 19,640 19,204 18,995 18,733 18,798 18,932

Humanities ..................... 10,494 10,126 9,907 9,801 9,664 9,701 9,773 Natural Sciences ............ 6,715 6,422 6,274 6,205 6,126 6,142 6,183 Social Sciences .............. 3,244 3,092 3,023 2,989 2,943 2,955 2,976

Career & Technical Ed ...... 10,306 9,767 9,514 9,381 9,254 9,260 9,321

Business ........................ 4,295 4,013 3,911 3,856 3,809 3,810 3,829 Food Services ................ 868 823 797 784 771 772 778 Health Services .............. 2,625 2,527 2,472 2,437 2,405 2,407 2,431 Public Services .............. 709 677 657 651 639 640 645 Technology .................... 1,809 1,727 1,677 1,653 1,630 1,631 1,638

TABLE F4FULL-TIME EQUIVALENT COURSE ENROLLMENT SERVED BY PROGRAM

UNIVERSITY OF HAWAI‘I MAUI COLLEGEFALL 2015 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDPROGRAM 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Total .................................. 2,051 1,960 1,915 1,890 1,865 1,870 1,883

General & Pre-Prof Ed ...... 1,363 1,309 1,280 1,266 1,248 1,253 1,262

Humanities ..................... 701 675 660 653 644 647 652 Natural Sciences ............ 446 428 418 414 408 409 412 Social Sciences .............. 216 206 202 199 196 197 198

Career & Technical Ed ...... 688 651 635 624 617 617 621

Business ........................ 287 268 261 257 254 254 255 Food Services ................ 58 55 53 52 51 51 52 Health Services .............. 175 168 165 162 160 160 162 Public Services .............. 48 45 44 43 43 43 43 Technology .................... 120 115 112 110 109 109 109

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Windward Community College Headcount Enrollment Projections

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure G1Recent and Projected Headcount Enrollment

Historical Projected

68.2 69.975.1

88.7

100.6 103.6 105.0 107.2 102.0 100.0 98.7 97.9 97.7 97.5 97.9 98.2

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure G2Headcount Enrollment Index

Historical Projected

Fall 2015 = 100

58

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Windward Community College Headcount Enrollment Projections

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21

Fall Semester

Figure G3Historical and Projected Headcount Enrollment

Historical Projected

2,563

2,854

2,272

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21Fall Semester

Figure G4Projected Enrollment with Error Boundaries

Historical Projected High Series Low Series

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TABLE G1HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY STUDENT TYPE AND PROGRAM AREA

WINDWARD COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2010 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDREGISTRATION STATUS 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

TOTAL ............................................ 2,625 2,705 2,741 2,799 2,661 2,610 2,577 2,556 2,549 2,544 2,554 2,563

General & Pre-Professional Ed ... 1,885 1,880 1,822 1,779 1,656 1,498 1,413 1,365 1,341 1,325 1,322 1,320Career & Technical Ed ................ 64 87 113 132 126 132 136 138 139 140 142 142Unclassified ................................. 165 170 181 176 163 150 158 161 162 163 164 165Special ........................................ 38 35 34 41 63 105 108 113 118 121 127 134Home-Based at Other UH 1/........ 473 533 591 671 653 725 762 779 789 795 799 802

First-Time By HS Background ........ 592 574 601 603 586 578 568 559 557 549 556 554

Direct from HI Public HS ............. 226 198 208 196 189 192 181 169 167 161 168 164Direct from HI Private HS ............ 62 39 49 48 43 34 35 38 38 36 36 38U.S. Mainland .............................. 48 71 86 73 67 70 70 70 70 70 70 70Foreign & U.S. Related Areas ..... 9 8 11 9 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 12Other First-Time Freshmen 2/ .... 247 258 247 277 277 270 270 270 270 270 270 270

First-Time, By Program ................... 592 574 601 603 586 578 568 559 557 549 556 554

General & Pre-Professional Ed ... 475 394 404 391 377 351 345 339 338 333 338 336Career & Technical Ed ................ 15 23 24 31 15 13 13 13 13 12 13 12Unclassified ................................. 32 82 86 95 90 72 71 70 69 69 69 69Special ........................................ 38 35 34 41 63 105 103 101 102 100 101 102Home-Based at Other UH 1/........ 32 40 53 45 41 37 36 36 35 35 35 35

Transfer .......................................... 588 507 562 642 571 604 613 623 632 641 650 659

General & Pre-Professional Ed ... 298 235 233 257 220 205 208 211 215 218 221 224Career & Technical Ed ................ 18 15 32 33 38 46 47 47 48 49 50 50Unclassified ................................. 51 12 21 17 8 3 3 3 3 3 3 3Special ........................................ 5 12 16 21 26 32Home-Based at Other UH 1/........ 221 245 276 335 305 350 350 350 350 350 350 350

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TABLE G1HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY STUDENT TYPE AND PROGRAM AREA

WINDWARD COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2010 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDREGISTRATION STATUS 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Returning ........................................ 161 147 134 149 122 121 118 115 112 110 107 105

General & Pre-Professional Ed ... 133 133 124 137 114 109 106 104 101 99 96 95Career & Technical Ed ................ 10 8 3 7 6 8 8 8 7 7 7 7Unclassified ................................. 14 4 2 2Home-Based at Other UH 1/........ 4 2 5 3 2 4 4 3 4 4 4 3

Continuing ...................................... 1,284 1,477 1,444 1,405 1,382 1,307 1,278 1,259 1,248 1,244 1,241 1,245

General & Pre-Professional Ed ... 979 1,118 1,061 994 945 833 754 711 687 675 667 665Career & Technical Ed ................ 21 41 54 61 67 65 68 70 71 72 72 73Unclassified ................................. 68 72 72 62 65 75 84 88 90 91 92 93Home-Based at Other UH 1/........ 216 246 257 288 305 334 372 390 400 406 410 414

1/ Students whose home-campus, as defined in Banner / ODS, is not Windward Community College.2/ Includes GED, students from Hawai‘i who are not recent high school graduates and records with invalid high school code.

SOURCE: UH Institutional Research and Analysis Office; January 2016.

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TABLE G2HEADCOUNT ENROLLMENT BY PROGRAM

WINDWARD COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2015 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDPROGRAM 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Total Students ...................... 2,610 2,577 2,556 2,549 2,544 2,554 2,563

General & Pre-Prof Ed ......... 1,498 1,413 1,365 1,341 1,325 1,322 1,320 Hawaiian Studies 1/ ........ 79 75 72 71 70 70 70 Liberal Arts ........................ 1,272 1,199 1,159 1,138 1,125 1,122 1,120 Natural Sciences ............... 147 139 134 132 130 130 130

Career & Technical Ed ......... 132 136 138 139 140 142 142 Business ........................... 17 17 18 18 18 18 18 Health Services ................. 93 96 97 98 99 100 100 Technology ....................... 22 23 23 23 23 24 24

Unclassified .......................... 980 1028 1053 1069 1079 1090 1101 Regular Unclassified 2/ .... 150 158 161 162 163 164 165 Home-Based Other UH 3/ .. 725 762 779 789 795 799 802 Special Students ............... 105 108 113 118 121 127 134 Early Admit .................... 105 108 113 118 121 127 134

1/ Hawaiian Studies approved by the UH Board of Regents in May 2012, effective Fall 2012.2/ Includes records with invalid data on education level.3/ Students whose home-campus, as defined in Banner / ODS, is not Windward Community College.

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TABLE G3STUDENT SEMESTER HOURS OFFERED BY PROGRAM

WINDWARD COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2015 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDPROGRAM 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Total .............................. 20,214 19,640 19,305 19,149 19,046 19,079 19,108

General & Pre-Prof Ed .. 17,573 16,977 16,638 16,475 16,366 16,388 16,412

Humanities ................. 7,971 7,675 7,508 7,431 7,377 7,387 7,399 Natural Sciences ........ 5,459 5,311 5,219 5,176 5,148 5,155 5,161 Social Sciences ......... 3,360 3,250 3,193 3,162 3,144 3,150 3,156 Other General Educ ... 783 741 718 706 697 696 696

Career & Technical Ed .. 2,641 2,663 2,667 2,674 2,680 2,691 2,696

Business .................... 1,251 1,238 1,230 1,226 1,223 1,224 1,227 Health Services .......... 1,317 1,353 1,366 1,377 1,387 1,397 1,399 Public Services .......... 30 29 29 29 29 29 29 Technology ................ 43 43 42 42 41 41 41

TABLE G4FULL-TIME EQUIVALENT COURSE ENROLLMENT SERVED BY PROGRAM

WINDWARD COMMUNITY COLLEGEFALL 2015 TO FALL 2021

HISTORICAL PROJECTEDPROGRAM 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Total .............................. 1,349 1,310 1,288 1,277 1,270 1,272 1,273

General & Pre-Prof Ed .. 1,173 1,132 1,110 1,098 1,091 1,092 1,093

Humanities ................. 531 512 501 495 492 492 493 Natural Sciences ........ 364 354 348 345 343 344 344 Social Sciences ......... 226 217 213 211 210 210 210 Other General Educ ... 52 49 48 47 46 46 46

Career & Technical Ed .. 176 178 178 179 179 180 180

Business .................... 83 83 82 82 82 82 82 Health Services .......... 88 90 91 92 92 93 93 Public Services .......... 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Technology ................ 3 3 3 3 3 3 3

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