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HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER A WEEKLY SUMMARY FOR HEIKIN-ASHI AFICIONADOS Issue 96 – January 12, 2014 Site: www.educofin.com Blog: http://heikinashi.wordpress.com Heikin-Ashi Book: http://www.educofin.com/heikinashi-book.htm

HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

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Page 1: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER

A WEEKLY SUMMARY FOR HEIKIN-ASHI AFICIONADOS

Issue 96 – January 12, 2014

Site: www.educofin.com

Blog: http://heikinashi.wordpress.com

Heikin-Ashi Book: http://www.educofin.com/heikinashi-book.htm

Page 2: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 2

Dear traders,

Thank you for all feedback. I do hope that the content of the newsletter is of great value to understand

what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it.

Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities published in February 2004,

this visual trend filtering technique has really taken off. Thousands of traders and investors use it in

various markets and time frames. Many trading platforms and technical analysis software packages

have implemented heikin-ashi.

The recently-published book and first of its kind, “Heikin-Ashi: How to Trade without Japanese

Candlestick Patterns” outlines three important features of this technique, the last two unknown until

the publication of the book:

1. Heikin-ashi as a visual instrument

2. Quantifiable heikin-ashi indicator(s)

3. Replacement (or confirmation) of many of the 100+ subjective Japanese candlestick patterns

The book includes now a free CD-link that makes the transition to heikin-ashi trading faster and

smoother.

To order your copy today, please use this link: http://www.educofin.com/heikinashi-book.htm

Page 3: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 3

Thoughts for next week

• Markets remain bullish. A good trailing-stop keeps the capital in good shape.

• Follow Facebook (FB). Potential.

• White/Gray/Black Swans may fly over at any time.

Page 4: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 4

S&P-500 (heikin-ashi multiple time frames)

Still bullish. Tired on the daily chart (doji-like heikin-ashi candles = weakness).

Page 5: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 5

US Dollar Index (heikin-ashi multiple time frames)

Bullish medium- and long-term (weekly and monthly charts).

Page 6: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 6

Tesla (heikin-ashi multiple time frames)

More short-term downside pressure (red arrow).

Page 7: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 7

EWP - iShares MSCI Spain ETF (heikin-ashi multiple time frames)

A good play (Spain) if you believe that something positive will happen in Europe. The blue arrow points

(again) to a bullish crossing at zero followed by a strong uptrend.

Page 8: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 8

Facebook (heikin-ashi multiple time frames)

Consolidation; in the process of developing the handle (yellow) of a cup (blue).

Best long entry: Above the consolidation high (if the price remains above the low of this consolidation).

A good long entry: When the heikin-ashi oscillator will cross above its short average (lower pane). If

both events will coincide, the breakout may be very strong. Stop-Loss? Below the consolidation low.

Page 9: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 9

Heikin-Ashi market breadth (daily)

%HAup > 50 = strength. Internal market weakness since mid-December.

Page 10: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 10

Heikin-Ashi market breadth (weekly)

%HAup > 50 = strength. Weak.

Page 11: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 11

Figure 1: Morningstar® sectors + industry groups (31) - daily, weekly, and monthly heikin-ashi

perspectives.

Page 12: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 12

Figure 2: Select Sector SPDRs (9) - daily, weekly, and monthly heikin-ashi perspectives.

1. Note: The tables in Figures 1 and 2 are based on heikin-ashi change of color indicating a possible change of trend

or the start of a consolidation. Other heikin-ashi criteria can be used to generate similar tables. For more

information about heikin-ashi check the daily personal blog http://heikinashi.wordpress.com and

http://www.educofin.com. All tables and charts are generated at the end of the week. The monthly view (Monthly

HA Trend) is not final until the end of the calendar month.

Figure 2a: FX pairs - daily, weekly, and monthly heikin-ashi perspectives.

Page 13: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 13

Figure 3: EURUSD daily – The oscillator points to more upside.

Page 14: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 14

Figure 4: GBPUSD daily – Tired. The oscillator may signal a top soon.

Page 15: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 15

Figure 5: AUDUSD daily – Very bearish (far below the Ichimoku cloud). Forming a base for later

advance.

Page 16: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 16

Figure 5: USDCAD daily – Time to digest the gains/consolidate (the oscillator at a top).

Page 17: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 17

Figure 7: SPY – Bullish. Though the price shows a bullish pattern for further advance, the heikin-ashi

oscillator remains below 50 and may peak very soon (yellow arrow). When in doubt stay out.

Page 18: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 18

Figure 8: QQQ – Bullish. See SPY above.

Page 19: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 19

Figure 9: IWM (iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF) – Bullish.

Page 20: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 20

Figure 10: SMH (Market Vectors Semiconductor ETF) – Bullish.

Page 21: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 21

Figure 11: XLF – Bullish with a negative divergence (red arrows).

Page 22: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 22

Figure 12: DIA – Bullish. Positive bias (heikin-ashi oscillator).

Page 23: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 23

Figure 13: USO (United States Oil ETF) – Very bearish.

Page 24: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 24

Figure 14: GLD – Bearish (below the Ichimoku cloud) with positive bias (yellow area).

Page 25: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 25

Figure 15: UUP (US Dollar ETF) – Uncertainty due to the very thin horizontal cloud. False signals

expected.

Page 26: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 26

Figure 16: EEM (Emerging Markets ETF) – Very bearish (deep below the Ichimoku cloud).

Page 27: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 27

Figure 17: TLT (iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF) – A close above the cloud would mark a

change of character from bearish to bullish.

Page 28: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 28

Figure 18: IYR (iShares Dow Jones US Real Estate ETF) – See TLT.

Page 29: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 29

Figure 19: FTSE-100 – Ready to advance from here (yellow circle).

Page 30: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 30

Figure 20: DAX – The oscillator points to continued consolidation/pullback.

Page 31: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 31

Figure 21: Australia All Ordinaries – See FTSE-100 above.

Page 32: HEIKIN-ASHI NEWSLETTER - Educofin...what heikin-ashi is, how it works, and why more and more traders use it. Since my original article in Technical Analysis for Stocks and Commodities

A Weekly Summary for Heikin-Ashi Aficionados

©2012-2014 Dan Valcu, CFTe P a g e | 32

Disclaimer: This newsletter is published only as an educational instrument for those who are

interested by and want to know more about heikin-ashi technique. The information in this newsletter

represents authors' own opinions and does not recommend any trades or investments and at no time

should the reader infer that any such recommendations are given. The content of this free newsletter

is an illustration of how various heikin-ashi techniques apply in the field of technical analysis. This

information is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities.

All information presented herein is believed to be reliable but we cannot guarantee its accuracy. The

author(s) may hold positions or other interests in securities mentioned in this newsletter. Past

performance is not a reliable indicator of future returns. All charts are for illustrative purposes only.

Reproduction, disclosure, or dissemination of this newsletter is allowed with no alteration of its

content and only with a mention of its author.

If you no longer wish to receive this free weekly heikin-ashi newsletter please unsubscribe by following

the link indicated in the original e-mail.

To subscribe to this free weekly heikin-ashi newsletter: http://educofin.com/newsletter.htm