4. Ekolo_ka Bezbednost

7/22/2019 4. Ekolo_ka Bezbednost

1/71

,

4. E

06.10.2013.


2/71

2

: -

:

: :

B.Buzan, People, States & Fear, 1991: ...


3/71

3

-

, , ,

.

,


4/71

4

-

- :, o-, , o- ,, , , .

-

, 1866.

- , , 1884.

- ;

,1977.


5/71

5

- : , , , ,... , .

- , , , , ,2001.


6/71

6

, . 1987,


7/71

7

. ()

, 1987: ,

, ,


8/71

8

,

.Buzan

,


9/71

9

I -

1. (deepecology) :

( , ,...)


10/71

10

I -

2. (human security), UNDP, 1994:

,


11/71

11

I -

2. :

- ,

, ,

, ,

,, ,


12/71

12

2.1. :

I : :

1990-2015. 1$,


13/71

13

2.1. :

1$:

-41,1% - (`90. 46,8%)

- 29,5% (`90. 41,1%)- 9,9% (`90. 33%)- 8,7% ., (`90. 10,3)

- 0,7% (`90. 0,1%)- 19,2 (980 ) (`90. 31,6% - 1,25 )


14/71

14

I :


15/71

15


16/71

16

2.1. :

: 2015 , 1990.

2005. 101 5 : ,

- , ,...


17/71

17

2.1. :

- 166% - (`90. 185%)- 82% (`90. 126%)

-41% (`90. 78%)

- 35% (`90. 88%)- 17% (`90. 27%)


18/71

18

2.1. :


19/71

19

2.1. :

: /,

2006. 40

I , : - ,

, , , .


20/71

20

2.1. , :

-59% - (`90. 54%)

- 59% (`90. 23%)

- 33% . (`90. 26%)- 33% (`90. 13%)- 33% (`90. 19%)

,


21/71

21


22/71

22

2.1. :

100.000:- 490 - (`90. 331)- 341 (`90. 590)- 290 (`90. 531)- 274 (`90. 485)

- 76 (`90. 59) :


23/71

23

2.1. :


24/71

24


25/71

25

2.1. , :

: 2015

- 90% (`90. 74%)- 95% (`90. 82%)- 70% - (`90. 54%)

- 78% (`90. 75%)


26/71

26

2.1. , :


27/71

27

2.1. , :


28/71

28

II

1. 2. ()

, ,...- 2010. : , 20,


29/71

29

II - X-XI 2011.

, (100, 25.000 ) , (10, .)

, , ( ) , (400, 1.000 )

3 : , , .


30/71

30

II

3. ()

-

- (- , , , ,

)


31/71

31

III


32/71

32

III.

1.

2.


33/71

33

III.

1.

- , , , ,

, , ,

- 1990-2000.


34/71

34

III.

2.

1)

2)

3)

4)


35/71

35

UNEP: ,, ,, ,

, ... `50-2025.

(HZS, EEA): :

-10% , 20% ,


36/71

36

, , ,

- (2006. , 1.700);

-

(SAD - 1,9 $)


37/71

37

,

, ,

2005. () , 100 .

2012. (, ),


38/71

29-31.10.2012.II , 150km/h

38

, 45km/h

, , 1600km 17

.

: 50; 70

: 20 $


39/71

- :

I119-153km/h:

II 153-177km/h: , ,

III 178-209 km/h: .,

IV 210-249 km/h: ,

, 10km

V 249 km/h: ,

15km 39


40/71

: - , , ,

40


41/71

,

8.5

11 -

41


42/71

, 2012.

18.000

(, ,,..) 10 $

42


43/71

2013.

, 125/h: ,

, , , , .

43


44/71

44

E (, ,, ,...), ,, ,

`98-10. 100 E

-

(oo 1.000)-

(35 )


45/71

2011.

I, : 10, 200.000 , 1,8 2 ( . )

, (100, 25.000 ) , ( ) , (400, 1.000 )

V , : , .3000 VI , , : 1

45


46/71

X-XI 2011.

, , ,

10, - 2012. E. 18 , ,. .

46


47/71

2012.

VII , : 80, 1.88 $ ( 60

)VII , : 171,

20 ,

26.000

47


48/71

2012.

IX ,

IX 100 , IX- VIII (), ,

VIII , 100.000, 60 .

48


49/71

49

, ,

,

, , ,, ,, ,

- 600

:J, ,

,


50/71

50

, 2011.

11.03. 9 ;

22.000

, 450.000

, ,


51/71

51

, 2011.

:


52/71

:-

:-

- -

- , ,...

52


53/71

09.12.2011. ...

,

09.12. -

53


54/71

09.12.2011.

,

10

54


55/71

55

2. ,

1) ,2)

,3) - ,

4) ,

, 5) ,


56/71

56

2.1)

E (UNEP)

UN-a (IPCC)2007.

EEA

:


57/71

57

2.1)

- , +0,7C

100 ;

- ,+ oo 1C.

1990-2100. - UN (IPCC):

- : +1,4 5,8C

- E: +2.0 6.3C


58/71

58

:- ,

8 9

1980-2000.

20-30% .) A


59/71

59

:-

1900-2000. 10-25cm,

15-95cm,

(, - , , ,...)


60/71

60

2.2)

: 2005-2015. , 21, , ,

, , .


61/71

61

2.2) -

2005. 1 ,

2015. 7,5 , 95% , 2.000 - 10 .

,


62/71

62

2.2) -

( 80%)

,


63/71

63

2.2) -

, , .,

, 2003.

.

2 2)


64/71

2.2) -

2011. 26 (, , , .) () .

. , . 2012: .: , .(), ,

2013: . , .

64

2 2)


65/71

2.2) .

:

- . , ,

- ,- ,

,- .. .: . 2012:

.

26 . .

65

2 2)


66/71

2.2) .

, ..

., . .

.

66

2.3)


67/71

) -

`60 UN WMO - 4-5% ,

1995. UN WMO UN

- (-, CFC, , ) 50

-

67


68/71

2.3) -

1987.

CFC- 1989-1999. 86%.

( ),-

( ) - ) 250

g/m3 68


69/71

!

69

:


70/71

70

:

- , , , , 2010.

- ,

, , 2013,http://www.zdravlje.org.rs/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=103&Itemid=243&lang=sr-lat.

- UN,The Millennium Development Goals Report, New York,

2005, 2007,www.un.org/millenniumgoals/pdf/mdg2007.pdf.

:
http://www.zdravlje.org.rs/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=103&Itemid=243&lang=sr-lathttp://www.zdravlje.org.rs/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=103&Itemid=243&lang=sr-lathttp://www.un.org/millenniumgoals/pdf/mdg2007.pdfhttp://www.un.org/millenniumgoals/pdf/mdg2007.pdfhttp://www.zdravlje.org.rs/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=103&Itemid=243&lang=sr-lathttp://www.zdravlje.org.rs/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=103&Itemid=243&lang=sr-lathttp://www.zdravlje.org.rs/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=103&Itemid=243&lang=sr-lathttp://www.zdravlje.org.rs/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=103&Itemid=243&lang=sr-lathttp://www.zdravlje.org.rs/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=103&Itemid=243&lang=sr-lat


71/71

:

- UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs Division forSustenable Development (UN DESA),Agenda 21 (1992),2004,www.un.org/esa/sustdev/documents/agenda21/index.htm,

- UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs Division forSustenable Development, , , ,

,2005, ,www.un.org/events/wssd/summaries/,www.un.org/esa/sustdev/csd/csd12/rim.htm.
http://www.un.org/esa/sustdev/documents/agenda21/index.htmhttp://www.un.org/events/wssd/summaries/http://www.un.org/esa/sustdev/csd/csd12/rim.htmhttp://www.un.org/esa/sustdev/csd/csd12/rim.htmhttp://www.un.org/esa/sustdev/csd/csd12/rim.htmhttp://www.un.org/esa/sustdev/csd/csd12/rim.htmhttp://www.un.org/esa/sustdev/csd/csd12/rim.htmhttp://www.un.org/esa/sustdev/csd/csd12/rim.htmhttp://www.un.org/esa/sustdev/csd/csd12/rim.htmhttp://www.un.org/esa/sustdev/csd/csd12/rim.htmhttp://www.un.org/esa/sustdev/csd/csd12/rim.htmhttp://www.un.org/esa/sustdev/csd/csd12/rim.htmhttp://www.un.org/esa/sustdev/csd/csd12/rim.htmhttp://www.un.org/esa/sustdev/csd/csd12/rim.htmhttp://www.un.org/esa/sustdev/csd/csd12/rim.htmhttp://www.un.org/esa/sustdev/csd/csd12/rim.htmhttp://www.un.org/esa/sustdev/csd/csd12/rim.htmhttp://www.un.org/esa/sustdev/csd/csd12/rim.htmhttp://www.un.org/esa/sustdev/csd/csd12/rim.htmhttp://www.un.org/esa/sustdev/csd/csd12/rim.htmhttp://www.un.org/events/wssd/summaries/http://www.un.org/events/wssd/summaries/http://www.un.org/events/wssd/summaries/http://www.un.org/events/wssd/summaries/http://www.un.org/events/wssd/summaries/http://www.un.org/events/wssd/summaries/http://www.un.org/events/wssd/summaries/http://www.un.org/events/wssd/summaries/http://www.un.org/events/wssd/summaries/http://www.un.org/events/wssd/summaries/http://www.un.org/events/wssd/summaries/http://www.un.org/events/wssd/summaries/http://www.un.org/esa/sustdev/documents/agenda21/index.htm

Documents

4. Ekolo_ka Bezbednost