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Fredi SchmidliVenezia - Marghera, May 28 2015
Come convincere un investitore svizzeroa rischiare i propri capitali su
una start-up italiana
128.5.2015 www.pragmatic-solutions.ch
Fredi Schmidli
• Economist and BA• Management Teams in various functions and countries• Entrepreneur• Business Angel and Boardmember: www.startangels.ch• Partner at pragmatic solutions
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Goal: To improve the success rate
Source: Ash Maurya «Running Lean»
4
• 66% of successful products/companies significantly change original business idea
• Develop product in half the time and at half the cost (GE)
• Reduce failure: “wrong” product and “premature” scaling
• Success comes not from a better idea, but from iterating your original Plan A to a product, which customers will buy.
28.5.2015 www.pragmatic-solutions.ch
In a startup it is unknown what the customer might find valuable and even who he/she is. Value is generated by learning these unknowns.
What is lean thinking?Value is “providing benefit to the customer”, anything else is waste.
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The Lean Startup Challenge
28.5.2015 www.pragmatic-solutions.ch
Traditional versus Lean approach
Source: Ash Maurya: Running Lean
628.5.2015 www.pragmatic-solutions.ch
Lean Innovation is …
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a company culture touching all aspects:Values, Leadership, Organisation Chart, Incentives, Empowerment, Accountability, …
not a collection of tools
A culture can not be copied easily
28.5.2015 www.pragmatic-solutions.ch
Goal
Finding a business model, which is
• profitable• repeatable• scalable
or let the Startup die and start a new one
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Team and other important assets
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• Language capabilities
• Cross-functional team
• Serial entrepreneurs with intrinsic motivation
• Demolishing company bureaucracy is as important as demolishing state bureaucracy.
28.5.2015 www.pragmatic-solutions.ch
Goal: Problem Solution Fit => ValueProblem Solution FitYou validated with MVP and prospects that a specific solution will solve a known problem to such a degree that customer will buy it.
Brant Cooper
Value assumption – test whether a product or service really delivers value to specific customers once using it.
ScaleProduct Market
fit
Problem Solution
fit
Customer Discovery
Customer Validation
Customer Creation
Is the identified problem real? Will the target customer pay? Can the problem be solved?
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The growth assumption – test how new customers will discover a product or service. Through what engine will you acquire new customers at affordable cost.
Goal: Product Market Fit => GrowthProduct Market FitCustomer is willing to pay. Cost of acquiring new customers is smaller than profit. Evidence that market is large enough
Brant Cooper
ScaleProduct Market
fit
Problem Solution
fit
Customer Discovery
Customer Validation
Customer Creation
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Lean Canvas (by Ash Maurya / adapted from Osterwalder)
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guessguess
28.5.2015 www.pragmatic-solutions.ch
Feedback loop
Design experiment
Proposal, Pretotype,Landing page, MVP …Results
Analyze results:persevere, pivotor quit?
weeks
not
years
Assumption/Hypothesis
Run experiment
Creativity happens here
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Source: Eric Ries: The Lean Startup
Measure
Experiment Report
Why is it relevant?
Quantify your goalsset scope/timebox
Plan how to execute experiment
Results = Data
Document the learning (validated, invalidated or inconclusive)
Test value and growth hypothesis first
Move to next experiment
BuildLearn
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Lean Innovation Investment Process
Source: Hans Däpp, StartAngels Network28.5.2015 www.pragmatic-solutions.ch 18
Assumption/Goal: Halving & Slicing of Angel Investments
FFFF
Business Canvas V12, Problem Solution fit & Product Market fit & Dash Board R
esu
lts
&
Bu
s.C
anv.
V
X
tMile
sto
ne
1
Lean
Inve
stm
ent
wh
en?
Inve
stm
ent
tod
ay
Bu
sin
ess
Pla
n V
1.0
EffortManpower (%) 1 10 80Elapsed time (month) 1 - 3 2 - 3 18 -…
Public BPcoursemachine still running
No/few public Lean InnovationTrainingsavailable
Lean InnovationTraining is partof BA investment(= risk insurance)
Goal:On portfolio basis toGet higher Success Rate & less get funds & more quits
Lean Innovation Framework
ScaleProduct Market
fit
Problem Solution
fit
Customer Discovery
Customer Validation
Customer Creation
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Each hypothesis is validated via an experiment with BML feedback loop
Is problem worth solving, are people willing to pay, is business model profitable, repeatable and scalable
Hypotheses of plan A, …
28.5.2015 www.pragmatic-solutions.ch
20
Feedback Door1. How likely is it that you would recommend this presentation to a friend or colleague?
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Source: NetPromoter Score
2. What changes would I have to make for you to give me one point more?
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………
Information & Coordinates
Link Slideshare•• https://leanstack.com/LeanCanvas.pdf •• www.startangels.ch
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