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Marilena Lazopoulou – TTA [email protected] Understanding economics of rural electrification projects based on intermittent energy sources

[email protected] · Marilena Lazopoulou – TTA . [email protected] . Understanding economics of rural electrification projects based on intermittent energy

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Marilena Lazopoulou – TTA

[email protected]

Understanding economics of rural electrification projects based on intermittent energy sources

Copyright Alliance for Rural Electrification. All rights reserved. 2

ARE: Who are we

Established in 2006, the Alliance for Rural Electrification (ARE) is the only global business association that represents the whole decentralised renewable energy sector for rural electrification in developing and emerging countries. ARE mobilises and unites private sector players by engaging in partnerships with key institutions to facilitate the development of off-grid markets.

Copyright Alliance for Rural Electrification. All rights reserved. 3

Services & Support to ARE Members

As the global hub for rural electrification practitioners, ARE raises its members’ profile by showcasing their expertise and solutions. ARE offers four business lines:

• Advice & Advocacy Services

• Knowledge & Intelligence Services

• Business Promotion & Marketing

• Business Creation & Support

>> The ARE team looks forward to meeting you at Intersolar Europe (Munich, 31 May – 1 Jun 2017)

TTA at a glance

SME Founded in Barcelona in 1986 Permanent presence in Kenya and Brazil Consultancy, engineering, R&D, project development, management,

social, financial aspects Rural electrification through microgrids, grid-connected, sustainable

buildings Southern Europe, Africa, Latin America, Oceania … Public, private and multilateral clients Active in IEC TC82 and JWG1 (IEC 62257)

Background – LV Microgrids

5

Chad x3

2005

2009

Santo Antâo (Cape Verde)

Las Balsas (Ecuador)

Akane (Morocco)

2012

Cal Peraire (Spain)

1987: Beginning Farmhouses PV electrification (Spain)

1994

2006

1997-2002

2007

Atouf (Palestine) Diakha Madina (Senegal)

Beni Said (Morocco)

Floreana Island (Ecuador) 2015 2016

Ghana x4

Burundi x5 Kenya x3 Tanzania (Manda)

La Rambla del Agua (Spain)

Rwanda, Tanzania (Mpale)

2014 2013

2017

2004

Typical Technical Standard

• Battery: Pb-tubular, vented, DODmax=70%, A>2 days, 48V

• Load Management: user interface, automatic load disconnect

• Data logging: based on IEC 61724 (JRC guidelines)

• PV modules: crystalline IEC 61215

• Inverter: sinusoidal η > 85%

• PV Charge controller: MPPT

• Bus-bar voltage: < 50V DC (SELV)

• Load electrical supply: standard AC quality single/three phase

• DC coupled, mainly Renewable Energy generation

1988-1992 • Lamps in DC, 24V and 12V • Other appliances 230V AC, small inverters • Lead acid generic batteries

1992-1997 • PV Product revolution • Inverters up to 5 kVA (low efficiency at low loads) • Lead acid advanced batteries and battery charge control

algorithms • DC products scarce • 230V AC supply

1997-2004 • Quality of AC supply and advances in inverters (modular, efficient) • Higher power levels, demand management, hybrid generation,

micro-grids

Our experience...

2004-2012 • Dual mode, bi-directional inverters • Standardisation of solutions with solar generation and AC

consumption

2012 to present • LED lighting in DC • DC appliances at different voltages: 5V, 12V, 19V, 24V, etc • New battery technologies: Li-ion, Na, Ni, etc • Back to the drawing board?

Our experience...

Service level-energy: IEC 62257

Service area-quality: IEC 62257

Service level: Others • ESMAP, Multi-tier framework

Tier 0 Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4 Tier 5

Capacity No electricity

> 3 W > 50 W > 200 W > 800 W > 2 kW

Daily energy

> 12 Wh > 200 Wh > 1 kWh > 3.4 kWh > 8.2 kWh

Duration (h/day)

> 4 > 4 > 8 > 16 > 23

Reliability Unscheduled outages No unscheduled outages

Quality Low Good

Affordability Cost is less than 5% of household income per year

Legality Bill to utility, prepaid card seller or authorised representative

Health & safety

Not convenient Convenient

Elaborated by author

Service level: Others • NREL, QAF

Universal electrification scheme • Service level is independent on technology and

configuration (AC vs DC, stand-alone or microgrid) • Clients interested in lumens, hours of TV and cell

phone charging, refrigeration, kg of production, etc

Challenge: Offer high service level at lower costs • Technology depends on market analysis & local

conditions • Financing driven by results • Can DC appliances bring the costs of the

service down?

Functionalities

IRENA (2016)

Cost structure

17

CAPEX

Generation (kWp)

Storage (kWh)

Conversion (kVA)

Distribution (km, poles)

Consumption (# connections)

Logistics / Remoteness factor

(/mile, /km

)

Services / Local market m

aturity

Grid connected vs autonomous, AC vs DC Economies of scale Load demand and RE sources Quality of service Market maturity, Location RE fraction:

What affects CAPEX?

Category Indicative PV annual energy fraction

Indicative PV rated capacity/load ratio

Characteristics

Low < 20% < 50% No batteries No control Large genset

Medium 20%-50% > 50% Batteries 1 d. autonomy Large genset

High > 50% > 150% Batteries >2 d. autonomy Small gensets

Adapted from NREL

Case study – Pediatorkope (GH)

Solar: 49 kWp Wind: 11 kW

Case study – Ghana

CAPEX Logistics

€5 per mile of maritime €61 per km of terrestrial

Services

Project management and engineering: 10% CAPEX Capacity building & Training: 3% CAPEX

Low maturity market

Thank you!