Test 1 Sem 1 20152016 - Answer Scheme Rev2 (2)

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  • 8/18/2019 Test 1 Sem 1 20152016 - Answer Scheme Rev2 (2)

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    BDA 24103- ENGINEERING STATISTICS

    TEST 1, Semester 1, Session 2015/2016

    Name

    :.....................................................................................................................

    ..

    Matrix No.

    :.....................................................................................................................

    .

    Lecturer :...........................................................................................................

    ...........

    Section :.................................................................................................

    ...............................

    Instructions: Answer all questions in this exam sheet. (Time: 1 houronly)

    Q1 !" Calculate the following probabilities.

    (i) P(X !) when X " #($% &.')(ii) P(X ') when X " #(&% &.*)(iii) P(X + $) when X " #(,% &.$)(i-) P(! X ) when X " #(/% &./)

     ( & mar0s )

    (a) P(X=3) =

    0.2¿¿

     P( X =3)=  5!

    3! (5−3 ) !¿

    (b)   P ( X ≤2 )= P ( X =0 )+ P ( X =1 )+ P ( X =2 )  =

    10!

    0! (10−0 ) ! (0.6

    )

    0

    (1

    −0.6

    )

    10−0

    +

      10!

    1! (10−1 )! (0.6

    )

    1

    (1

    −0.6

    )

    10−1

    +

      10 !

    2 ! (10−2 ) ! (0.6

    )

    2

    (1

    −0.6

    )

    10−2

      = 0.0123

    GOOD   LUCK

    #NI$ERSITI T#N %#SSEIN &NN 'A(A)SIA

    1acult2 of Mechanical 3 Manufacturing 4ngineering

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    (c)

     P ( X ≥5 )= P ( x=5 )+ P ( X =6 )+ P ( X =7 )+ P ( X =8)+ P ( X =9 )=¿   9!

    5 ! (9−5 ) !(0.5 )5 (1−0.5)9−5+   9

    !

    6 ! (9−6 )!(0

    ¿0.5000

    (d)   P (3≤ X ≤ 4 )= P ( X =3 )+ P ( X =4)

      ¿  8!

    3 ! (8−3 ) !(0.8 )3 (1−0.8 )8−3+   8

    !

    4 ! (8−4 )!(0.8 )4 (1−0.8)8−4

    ¿0.0551

    Q2  5he concentration of a reactant is a ran6om -ariable with probabilit26ensit2

    function

    f  ( x)={1.2 ( x+ x

    2

    )− x ,∧0

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    (b)

    mean,μ= E ( X )=∫0

    1

     x f  ( x ) dx=∫0

    1

    1.2 x3+0.2 x2 dx=

    1.2 x4

    4+0.2 x

    3

    3   |=[1,2(1)4

    4+0.2(1)3

    3   ]−[0 ]=0.3+0.066(c)   xiswithin±0.1of the mean

    → (0.3367−0.1 )

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    Q3  5he number of hits on a certain website follows a Poisson6istribution with a

    mean rate of / per minute.

    (a) 7hat is the probabilit2 that $ messages are recei-e6 in a

    gi-en minute8

    (b) 7hat is the probabilit2 that , messages are recei-e6 in .$minutes8

    (c) 7hat is the probabilit2 that fewer than ! messages arerecei-e6 in a

    perio6 of !& secon6s8

    ( 1& $ar!s )

    (a) 'et X be the nu$ber of $essaes received in one $inute.Since the $ean rate is $essae per $inute X * Poisson()

     P ( X =5 )=e−8 85

    5 !=0.0916

    (b) 'et X be the nu$ber of $essaes received in 1.+ $inute.

    Since the $ean rate is $essae per $inute X * Poisson(1,)

     P ( X =9 )=e−12 129

    9! =0.0874

    (c) 'et X be the nu$ber of $essaes received in one half $inute.

    Since the $ean rate is $essae per $inute X * Poisson(-) P ( X 

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    - End of Question – 

    GOOD   LUCK

    5