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Our Biotech/Pharma BOOM
Dr H M PangSenior consultant, HK UST
Technology transferJune 2005, Shanghai,PRC
Booming statistics-West
• 500 biotech companies employing >50K people, mostly established over the last 5 years
• genetically engineered products launched
• >150 in clinical stages, more in preclinical
• Many INDs filed since 1999 of bio origin
• Sales increased by ~30%, profit 20%
Biotech boom- China
• Over 4 billion sales in 2004• Companies listing • Biopharma generics • A few new drugs ??• Drug spending increased 6 fold in 15 years• 5th ranking in 2010• 2nd ranking in 2020• …….. Lots of headache for now
Biotech boom: Asia
• Singapore’s massive investment getting results: MNC head quarters, R&D, export
• Taiwan’s gradual strengthening of its bio tech on its strong pharma infra structure
• Korea excellence in stem cell research
• Hong Kong : direction unclear, good Unis.
IPOs with significant R&D in HK 0 0 0 0 2 0
IPOs with significant R&D in China 0 0 1 4 4 1
Drivers of growth
• Growing economy & healthcare expense• Huge and aging population • Internal market>>critical mass for drug • Maturing consumers • Hunger for new drugs• Cost advantages, + skilled work force• Returnees with excellent expertise,& drive Excellent universities• Post genomic applications• Regulatory, ethical and legal considerations: stem cell
Government commitment
• Science parks and clusters• Clear priority and focus areas• Technology innovation, and incentives• Respect for IP ? ….improving • Modernizing SFDA• Quality of science, talent pool• Industrial players, and mega players• Funding : govt, VC, and other industries
Industry sub sectors
• Bio pharma: DDS, gene therapy, biochips, diagnostics
• TCM, and functional food
• Agro biotech and transgenic animals
• Stem cells, tissue engineering, and cloning
• Plant bio
• Medical device and bio reagents
Focus areas
• DDS / chemical drugs
• Stem cell and clinical applications
• Bio protein drugs: recombinant technology
• Medical devices, and genetic screening
• GMP upgrade
• GLP/GCP upgrade
• APIs
Achievements
• Centre for r&D, pre/clinical studies (dog)• Contract r&D centre for MNC’s & small cos.• Creation of clusters and science parks• Stem cell banks and application• Approval of engineered human tissue • mAB facility • Export of biotech to India and Cuba• API and finish dosages for export
Cruel reality: the truth
• Few really success stories• No world class players, small sales in global terms• Below standard products• Me-too products only• Lack significant VCs • No window in equity market• General depression of the pharma industry• FDA under pressure from consumers and industry• Virtual companies need short term success to justify surv
ival, coming to China• Major failures of big companies:FE and 999
Success stories: ???
• Many biotech companies making losses
• Few break even or small profit
• No real players, no exciting news
• No real export to sophisticated market
• Why????????????????????????????
• Gross underestimation of the Drug Development cycle, not ready for World
Development hurdles
• No real significant stars• Fierce competition, price wars, tenders• Formulary control ( Good time over , soon )• IP issues still not clear• Poor healthcare infrastructure to justify investment and
return, very few VCs• Short, cheap, and fast philosophy prevails• Lack ROBUSTNESS: quality and performance• Lack INNOVATION• Not SUSTAINABLE• Insignificance in world market sales• Social out cry for change in healthcare provision
Part 2: INNOVATION: new fishes
The HK Science Park Biotech initiatives ( attempt )
HKSTP bio road map
• Biomedical research output audit
• SWOT analysis of criteria for
• Cluster formation
• Total technology management
• Seasoned executives & entrepreneurs
• Others: industry, regulatory, funding
Technology transfer: Biomedical research in HKSAR
• Basic questions:
• 1. Innovation/knowledge: tradable?
• 2. Tech transfer: definition and skills?
• 3. Commercialization capability?
• 4. Future?
Dr H M Pang, HKUST, March16,05
Value from Cluster Formation
ConceptionFormation
GrowthMaturity
Knowledge Creation Technology Transfer
CommercialisationClusters & Networks
Industry R & D
Public & PrivateFunding
Universities &Research Institutions
Patents &Licences
Proof of ConceptTesting
Incubation/Research Parks
Venture Capital
Clinical Trials
Collaboration/Partnerships
RegulatoryApproval
Business Planning
Job Creation
IPOs /gazellesLabour MarketProduct Pipeline
Economicsof Scale
RegulatoryEnvironment
M&A Activity
IndustryPartnerships
Biomedical Science Strength
0
500
1000
1500
2000
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Bas
ic p
aper
s pe
r ye
ar (
reta
ined
) MV
CB
OX
EH
HK
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
HK
MV
EH
OX
CB
% PIC 1 % PIC 2 % PIC 3 % PIC 4
Hong Kong and Mainland China
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
1500
UHK CHU BEI UST FUD THB QMH PEK HPU PWH SYS ZSG MMG HBU CUH SJT GUZ SHA
BEI Beijing UniversityFUD Fudan University, ShanghaiGUZ Guangzhou UniversityMMG First Military Medical College, GuangzhouPEK Peking Union Medical College
SHA Shantou UniversitySJT Shanghai Jiao Tong UniversitySYS Sun Yat Sen University, GuangzhouTHB Tsing Hua University, BeijingZSG Zhongshan University, Guangzhou
Hong Kong and Mainland China
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
FUD
SYS
BEI
CHU
UHK
UST
%PIC 1 %PIC 2 %PIC 3 %PIC 4
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Pap
ers
per
year
UHK
CHU
BEI
FUD
THB
Basic Conditions for a Biotech Cluster
Research Funding Human ResourcesExcellence in Research
Build-in IncentivesEntrepreneurship
and Creativity
ExperiencedManagement
SufficientRisk Capital
Efficient Tech Transfer
General BusinessConditions
Excellence inBusiness Plans
Biotech ClusterFormation
Academic Institutions
Industry and Capital Market
GovernmentSupport
Research to Business Food Chain
Upstream
Midstream
Downstream
Summary of Analysis
General conditions for high-tech
Biomedical research
University trained resources
Attitudes to commercialisation
Human resources abroad
Technology transfer
Biotech industry and business exec.
Private venture capital for biotech
Recommendations
• Organize a cluster• Introduce TTM• Proper funding : pre seed fund• Cooperation between Industry & Research• Regional cooperation• Further exploit CEPA, and clinical trial• Stimulate research• Draw up road map for implementation
Recommendation 2Improve Total Technology
Management
G & AF in a n ce
I TA dm in is tra tio n
M arketingT e ch n o lo gy D a ta ba s e
W e b- s ite po rta lP ro m o tio n
Em beddedTechnology O ffi cerC o m m e rc ia l P o te n tia l
E n tre pre n e u ria l C o u rs e s
Em beddedTechnology O ffi cerC o m m e rc ia l P o te n tia l
E n tre pre n e u ria l C o u rs e s
Em beddedTechnology O ffi cerC o m m e rc ia l P o te n tia l
E n tre pre n e u ria l C o u rs e s
Em beddedTechnology O ffi cerC o m m e rc ia l P o te n tia l
E n tre pre n e u ria l C o u rs e s
Em beddedTechnology O ffi cerC o m m e rc ia l P o te n tia l
E n tre pre n e u ria l C o u rs e s
Em beddedTechnology O ffi cerC o m m e rc ia l P o te n tia l
E n tre pre n e u ria l C o u rs e s
Com m ercial ProjectsP ro je ct M a n a ge rs
Special SupportM a rke t A n a lys is
L e ga lI n te lle ctu a l P ro pe rty P ro te ctio n
CEO
Board of D irectors
Pre-seed/ Seed Fund
CEO
Board of D irectors
Technology transfer
• Answers to questions:
• 1. Innovation/knowledge: yes. Tradable?
• 2. Tech transfer: to be re-modeled.
• 3. Commercialization: can be done!
• 4. Future: lets TALK………
• Dr H M Pang , HKUST, March16,05
Part 3: commercialization
• Find the fish
• Catch the fish, irrespective of size
• Grow that fish: live, multiply, and more
• Return in the shortest time, cost; quick $$
• Lack long term vision, diligence, and often ethics and professionalism
• Result= poor robustness, quality and performance
Elements of the Product Development Process
R&D Milestones
Key Product
Development Milestones
and Activities
Drug Substance Campaign
Drug Product Campaign
Product SupplyProcess
Physical Product Development Team
Asset Management
PPD TeamEstablished
AssessDevelopability
Select Versionand
Physical Form
Prelim. Formfor Tox
Lock FinalIsolation
of DS
DS Stability
Develop FTIH Formulation
NPS TeamFormed
SupportIND/CTX activitiesNPS leader
assigned
28 day ToxSupplies
Phase 1 Supplies
Phase 2 Supplies
Phase 1 Supplies
Phase 2a Supplies
300g for SA and
PD
50g preparedby Med Chem
DS for tox and formulation development
Drug Discovery Review SafetyBoard
Gate 2 Gate 3
PP
D 1
PP
D 2
Product Development Process
Gate 1
Confirm Physical Form
Validation Batches
Commercial Batches
DS for Q batches and
stability
Phase 2B Supplies
Ongoing Phase 3 Supplies
Phase 3 and Stability Batches
Commercial Scale Batches
Phase 3 Supplies
Validation Batches
Onco and 12 month toxsupplies
Sourcing Decision
Scale Up at Manf.
Site
Validation batches
Complete
Initiate NDA/MAA
Stability
Provide Input to
MAA/NDA
Initiate Tech
TransferBusiness
AcceptanceSign offEnd of PII
meeting
Lock final Formulationand process
Prepare for PAI
Respond to RegulatoryQuestions
Select FinalRoute of
Manufacture
Commercial image &
pack defined
Gate 4
PP
D 3
PP
D 6
PP
D 5
a
PP
D 5
b
PP
D 4
Lead to Candidate
Commit to Candidate to
FTIH
FTIH to Commit to Product Dev.
Com
mit
to
Can
dida
teC
omm
it to
C
andi
date Commit to Prod.
Dev.to Commit to Phase III
Phase III File and LaunchLifecycle
Management
Com
mit
to
Pro
duct
D
ev
Com
mit
to
Pha
se I
IIC
omm
it to
P
hase
III
Com
mit
to
Fil
e &
L
aunc
h
Lau
nch
Lau
nch
Therapeutic Strategy
Gate 5 Gate 7Gate 6 Gate 8
ProductF
TIH
FT
IH
Analysis of Key Batches of Drug Substance and Drug Product and Process Stretching
Respond to RegulatoryQuestions
New DevelopmentReview Review Review Review Review
Total Tech Management:TTM
• Complex, lengthy process• Resource/talent intensive, integrated skills• Need pharma industry expertise• IP and legal management • Regulatory and clinical component• Market intelligence / post marketing skills• Supply and logistics management• Financial skills• Critical mass
The 2nd pharma revolution
• New products, technology and services
• New market, customers, payment terms
• New sales and marketing approaches
• New team and culture
• Entry into new horizon, with good players
• Go international
• Sustainable model
New challenges
• Survival, M&A, consolidation• Formulary, Rx, and price control• IP and regulatory: who stole my cream• Product and technology • Core competency• Focus• sustainability • Dancing with capital, to finance upgrade
New business models
• Integrated company or core strength
• Work with universities and institutions
• Work with virtual co, contract out research
• Collaboration with the west, virtual cos.
• Collaboration with the West, medium size
• MNCs
• Develop new drugs, at huge cost / risks
Cases : a Zhangjiang co.
• Set up 1996• HK Gem board 2002• One diagnostic launched, contract selling• Quality issue, broke contract • Robustness???• Money being spent, no real revenue• Huge pipe line hype• Lack real execution plan
Case 2: a TCM company, HK
• Run by famous professor from Canada
• Gem listing in HK 2001
• Lack operational and business acumen
• Unreal forecast, lack execution experience
• Picked gingko for formulation improvement
• Burnt out and sold in 2004
Case 3: a local medium pharma
• 800M Yuan sales• Vision to become top 5 in 10 years• International involvement, courted with• Many international companies from India and Europe• Product introduction slow, • Alliance never realized• Failed to capture chances from capital market• Lack clear mid term strategy, team and culture• Fire fight in current hostile market• Uncertainty with future, lack sense of urgency / fear• Just received substantial investment for growth • Towards a potential ‘world class’ company
Case 4: stem cell in South
• A few cases as basis for business plan
• No clear strategy, direction, IP, team and financial models. Doing everything.
• Obtained some finance , but insufficient for the expected burnt rate
• Sustainability?
Case 5: biochip diagnostics
• Multi genetic assay for cancer• Well received by investors, and supported
by insurance companies• Company run by non business
professionals, and scientist engage in more than one company
• Short term apparent success• Issues: robustness, validation and
marketing
Key success factors
• Product: quality, robustness, IP
• Market: user friendly, entry barrier
• Team: integrated skills, international
• Finance: good start up, and profit/loss
• Strategic investors
• Execution: timely, and correctly
• Sustainable business model
Sustainable company
• Not too dependent on Allah ( GOD )• Ready to face competition• Continuous favorable performance ( no blip)• Not affected by cycles• Good pipeline portfolio• Not dependent on one Hero, holistic & governance• Evergreen, stable, long term team , execution capability• Anticipation and Management of change• International link• Tomorrow driven
Thank you