Grain 0914

Grain: World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

United States Department of Agriculture

Foreign Agricultural Service September 2014

Russian Grain Exports Surge to a Record

For email subscription, click here to register: http://www.fas.usda.gov/data/grain-world-markets-and-trade

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Barley Corn WheatRussia’s investment in deep water port capacity and improvements in logistics management are boosting its ability to ship larger quantities of grain. Modernization of grain loading equipment, storage, and rail transportation have eased bottlenecks that caused shipping delays in the past. Russia can load panamax (50,000 tons) and handy-size vessels (25,000 tons) in deep water ports and coastal lighters (3-5,000 ton vessels) in shallow water ports. Although recent investment has increased the capacity to ship grains, weather can still cause unpredictable delays across distribution channels. Investments in ports and logistics management have contributed to record shipments. In a typical year, nearly 40 percent of wheat exports are shipped during July-September, immediately following harvest. This year, exports in August were a record 4.2 million tons (20 percent of the total export forecast), up 40 percent from the same month last year. Russia’s wheat and barley exports are both projected at record levels. Corn exports are also expected to remain strong, although down from last year’s record. The implications for global trade have been profound, particularly for wheat. World wheat trade has risen nearly 40 percent in 10 years, with Russia capturing a substantial portion of this increase. While Russia’s wheat production and exports can vary, production has grown 30 percent over the same period and exports have tripled.

MMT

http://www.fas.usda.gov/data/grain-world-markets-and-trade










TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4 Rice .................................................................................................................... 9 Coarse Grains ................................................................................................... 13 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 34 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 53 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD) database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m. To download the tables in the publication, go to Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online): (http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx), scroll down to Reports, and Click the plus sign [+] next to Grains. FAS Reports and Databases: Current World Market and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx Archives World Market and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7 Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online): http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports):

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx Export Sales Report:

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/ Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports):

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx Other USDA Reports: World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE):

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/ Economic Research Service:

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops National Agricultural Statistics Service:

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

Grain: World Markets and Trade, September 2014

2 September 2014

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

All Grain Summary Comparison

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2014/152013/142012/132014/152013/142012/132014/152013/142012/13

Production

United States (Jun-May) 61.7 58.0 55.2 6.3 6.1 7.0 273.8 353.7 365.7

Other 596.5 656.1 664.7 465.4 469.9 470.0 594.9 633.0 621.9

World Total 658.2 714.1 719.9 471.7 476.1 477.0 868.8 986.7 987.5

Domestic Consumption


Other 648.1 659.5 675.7 461.9 470.0 475.2 605.9 647.8 667.2

World Total 686.3 693.5 708.1 465.6 474.0 479.4 869.5 944.3 968.4

Ending Stocks


Other 156.1 170.4 177.4 108.8 108.9 103.9 117.3 143.1 139.1

World Total 175.6 186.4 196.4 110.0 110.0 105.1 138.1 173.1 189.9

TY Imports


Other 140.1 153.7 147.7 35.8 38.0 38.1 94.6 120.9 111.9

World Total 143.6 158.5 152.1 36.4 38.7 38.8 98.8 121.6 112.7

TY Exports


Other 119.4 130.5 129.9 36.1 38.1 37.8 82.3 77.5 72.6

World Total 147.1 162.0 154.9 39.4 41.2 41.2 100.5 127.0 117.1

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and exports

and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.

Marketing years for U.S. grains are: Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).

'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat only.

September 2014

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW Global production for 2014/15 is raised to a record 720 million tons, driven mainly by larger crops in the EU and Ukraine. Global trade is projected up with larger imports expected for Algeria, Iran, Mexico, Pakistan, and the United States. Projected exports for Canada, EU, and Ukraine are raised, while the United States is lowered. The season-average farm price is projected lower. PRICES:

Domestic: Hard Red Spring (HRS) surged $44/ton to $392 in August on quality concerns following heavy rains along with some continuing logistical issues in the Northern Plains. The prices of most other wheat classes were steady, weighed down by large global supplies. Hard Red Winter (HRW) eased $9/ton to $281, while Soft Red Winter (SRW) rose $6/ton to $245. Soft White Wheat (SWW) is unchanged at $263/ton. TRADE CHANGES IN 2014/15 Selected Exporters

• Brazil is raised 500,000 tons to 1.0 million as government policies raise export prospects.

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HRS HRW SRW SWW

Grain: World Markets and Trade, September 2014 4

September 2014

• Canada is boosted 1.0 million tons to 22.0 million as abundant old-crop supplies continue

to support exports.

• European Union is up 1.0 million tons to 26.0 million with a larger crop and strong pace of export licenses.

• Kazakhstan is 500,000 tons higher at 6.5 million on stronger demand in nearby markets, particularly in Iran.

• Ukraine is raised 1.0 million tons to 10.0 million based on a bigger crop.

• United States is lowered 500,000 tons to 25.0 million as competition intensifies with other major exporters.

Selected Importers

• Algeria is boosted 1.0 million tons to 7.0 million on large purchases and a smaller crop.

• Iran is raised 500,000 tons to 5.0 million on the pace of recent purchases.

• Mexico is up 300,000 tons to 3.8 million based on tighter carry-in supplies.

• Pakistan is boosted 1.0 million tons to 1.5 million based on recent purchases and growing demand.

• United States is raised 300,000 tons to 4.4 million with strong early-season imports from Canada expected to continue.

TRADE CHANGES IN 2013/14 Selected Exporters- based on trade data

• European Union is raised 425,000 tons to a record 31.9 million. • Kazakhstan is lowered 300,000 tons to 8.0 million. • Mexico is up 322,000 tons to 1.3 million.

Selected Importer- based on trade data

• Algeria is up 484,000 tons to 7.5 million.


September 2014

World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Aug

2014/15

Sep

none

TY Exports

6,3006,5001,6017,45011,9517,742 Argentina

19,50019,50018,34121,26923,03118,455 Australia

22,00021,00022,13718,58117,60316,768 Canada

26,00025,00031,92522,67716,72823,086 European Union

2,0002,0005,3548,6511,72373 India

6,5006,0008,0006,80111,0695,519 Kazakhstan

22,50022,50018,50011,28921,6273,983 Russia

3,2003,2004,2943,5833,6782,944 Turkey

10,0009,0009,7557,1905,4364,302 Ukraine

1,5001,5001,3008111,7821,612 Uruguay

10,43510,0259,27511,05411,04613,560 Others

129,935126,225130,482119,356125,67498,044 Subtotal

25,00025,50031,49727,73428,14436,098 United States

154,935151,725161,979147,090153,818134,142 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,0002,0002,0501,6002,2002,000 Afghanistan

7,0006,0007,4846,4846,5006,516 Algeria

3,3003,3003,3182,7192,0163,951 Bangladesh

6,5006,5007,0617,5477,0536,742 Brazil

2,0002,0006,7732,9602,933927 China

10,30010,10010,1508,30011,65010,600 Egypt

5,5005,5003,9825,2777,3624,621 European Union

7,5007,5007,3887,1466,4576,606 Indonesia

5,0004,5006,5005,6002,400200 Iran

3,0003,0003,2463,9483,7843,631 Iraq

6,0006,0006,1236,5986,3545,869 Japan

4,2004,2004,2885,4395,1884,761 Korea, South

2,1502,2002,0501,9461,5611,474 Libya

3,8003,5004,6503,8265,0203,404 Mexico

3,0003,0003,8923,8253,6714,019 Morocco

4,7504,6504,5504,1403,9314,052 Nigeria

3,4003,4003,5003,6454,0753,224 Philippines

3,2503,2503,4281,9212,9041,739 Saudi Arabia

2,4002,4002,6751,7932,3601,595 Sudan

2,0002,0001,564963680428 Syria

2,0002,0001,7001,8452,6461,943 Thailand

5,5005,5004,1543,3124,4133,545 Turkey

2,0002,2002,2221,8632,6981,618 Uzbekistan

2,1002,1002,1231,6712,7112,459 Vietnam

3,4503,3503,4003,1492,6852,816 Yemen

45,62544,77045,47442,62844,88939,159 Others

147,725144,920153,745140,145148,141127,899 Subtotal

2,8102,7053,4673,5032,6533,645 Unaccounted

4,4004,1004,7673,4423,0242,598 United States

154,935151,725161,979147,090153,818134,142 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.

September 2014

World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Aug

2014/15

Sep

none

Production

12,30012,50010,5009,30015,50017,200 Argentina

25,50026,00027,01322,85629,90527,410 Australia

6,3006,3005,3004,3805,8005,900 Brazil

28,00028,00037,50027,20525,28823,300 Canada

126,000126,000121,930121,023117,400115,180 China

8,9508,9508,6508,5008,4007,200 Egypt

150,969147,868143,134133,850138,182136,667 European Union

95,85095,85093,51094,88086,87080,800 India

13,00013,00014,50013,80012,40013,500 Iran

13,50013,50013,9419,84122,7329,638 Kazakhstan

24,50024,50024,00023,30025,00023,900 Pakistan

59,00059,00052,09137,72056,24041,508 Russia

15,00015,00018,00015,50018,80017,000 Turkey

24,00022,00022,27815,76122,32416,844 Ukraine

7,1506,8006,8006,7006,3006,500 Uzbekistan

54,69055,58356,94451,86950,38948,185 Others

664,709660,851656,091596,485641,530590,732 Subtotal

55,23855,23857,96161,67154,41360,062 United States

719,947716,089714,052658,156695,943650,794 World Total

none

Total Consumption

9,8509,8509,8509,4508,9508,750 Algeria

11,90011,90011,40010,90011,20010,800 Brazil

9,7509,7509,9549,5989,8527,551 Canada

124,000122,000121,500125,000122,500110,500 China

18,90018,70018,90018,70018,60017,700 Egypt

125,500125,500115,750119,250127,234122,844 European Union

94,40094,40094,00683,82281,40481,760 India

7,4657,4657,0656,6506,2506,035 Indonesia

17,70017,20017,50016,40014,90015,700 Iran

8,9008,9009,0008,3008,8007,850 Morocco

24,70024,40024,20023,90023,10023,000 Pakistan

34,50034,50034,00033,55038,00038,600 Russia

17,30017,30017,75017,50018,10017,300 Turkey

12,00012,00011,50011,40014,95011,600 Ukraine

8,9008,7008,4008,0007,8007,700 Uzbekistan

149,955149,886148,702145,712144,359135,094 Others

677,597674,376669,175641,278664,963623,907 Subtotal

32,41532,41434,02538,14132,11030,639 United States

710,012706,790703,200679,419697,073654,546 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6,5256,7229,7955,0525,9327,360 Canada

63,27463,27460,27453,96055,94659,091 China

15,12612,96110,15710,71613,51611,934 European Union

16,30016,30017,83024,20019,95015,360 India

6,3346,3345,7344,0992382,030 Iran

8,2438,2435,5434,95210,89913,736 Russia

5,7184,9073,6682,5795,3633,341 Ukraine

55,85756,16757,39750,50064,80461,671 Others

177,377174,908170,398156,058176,648174,523 Subtotal

19,00618,05416,05019,53820,21123,466 United States

196,383192,962186,448175,596196,859197,989 World Total

September 2014

Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Aug

2014/15

Sep

2014/15

TY Imports none

6,431 North America 8,541 7,753 9,857 8,080 8,680

1,684 Central America 1,666 1,662 1,855 1,820 1,820

13,158 South America 13,779 14,392 14,752 13,350 13,350

4,621 European Union - 28 7,362 5,277 3,982 5,500 5,500

1,614 Other Europe 1,913 1,633 1,847 1,820 1,820

5,498 Former Soviet Union - 12 8,022 7,228 7,549 7,330 7,165

17,324 Middle East 23,065 24,175 28,158 27,475 27,975

24,427 North Africa 24,855 22,052 25,221 22,800 23,950

15,093 Sub-Saharan Africa 18,484 17,437 19,044 18,995 19,065

13,889 East Asia 16,865 17,352 19,466 14,535 14,535

7,593 South Asia 5,466 5,306 6,695 6,990 7,940

16,341 Southeast Asia 18,016 16,356 17,090 17,300 17,300

2,824 Others 3,131 2,964 2,996 3,025 3,025

130,497 Total 151,165 143,587 158,512 149,020 152,125

Production none

87,038 North America 83,329 92,107 98,838 87,053 87,053

27,560 South America 25,766 18,404 19,975 24,033 23,830

136,667 European Union - 28 138,182 133,850 143,134 147,868 150,969

3,188 Other Europe 3,597 3,504 4,429 3,954 4,054


38,638 Middle East 39,282 36,380 40,918 35,130 35,030

15,914 North Africa 18,366 17,320 20,122 18,850 18,250


116,355 East Asia 118,775 122,483 123,238 127,352 127,352

110,949 South Asia 117,132 126,390 125,690 128,645 128,645

27,855 Oceania 30,288 23,345 27,453 26,510 26,010

183 Others 186 186 181 181 181

650,794 Total 695,943 658,156 714,052 716,089 719,947

Domestic Consumption none

44,640 North America 49,562 54,364 50,629 48,814 48,815

25,598 South America 26,121 26,433 27,077 27,700 27,700

122,844 European Union - 28 127,234 119,250 115,750 125,500 125,500

4,717 Other Europe 4,825 4,715 4,950 4,850 4,840


54,406 Middle East 56,273 56,763 59,111 58,390 58,865

38,805 North Africa 40,927 41,421 42,825 42,675 42,825


123,952 East Asia 137,057 139,882 135,222 135,465 137,465

117,003 South Asia 115,834 121,167 132,325 133,455 133,715

14,977 Southeast Asia 16,665 16,235 16,469 17,025 17,034

6,845 Oceania 7,819 8,106 8,275 8,160 8,160

3,354 Others 3,369 3,358 3,504 3,630 3,630

653,423 Total 688,109 686,273 693,502 704,865 708,135

Ending Stocks none

31,143 North America 26,718 24,868 26,178 25,096 25,829

8,574 South America 3,991 3,464 7,092 7,295 6,782

11,934 European Union - 28 13,516 10,716 10,157 12,961 15,126

1,176 Other Europe 1,367 1,067 1,121 938 1,085


12,074 Middle East 10,986 11,964 15,054 16,024 15,964

12,194 North Africa 14,094 11,441 13,469 11,463 12,369


62,150 East Asia 59,242 57,710 63,784 66,672 66,661

21,079 South Asia 25,425 28,144 21,435 19,984 20,480

3,991 Southeast Asia 4,703 4,154 4,003 3,566 3,524

8,580 Oceania 7,415 4,957 5,652 5,971 5,472

382 Others 390 367 429 387 395

197,989 Total 196,859 175,596 186,448 192,962 196,383

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported

using local marketing years.

September 2014

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW Global trade in 2015 is barely up from last month but no longer a record as greater expected Thai exports in 2014 push overall world trade higher. Production, consumption, and stocks are down slightly for 2014/15. U.S. exports are lowered on reduced supplies.

Although Sub-Saharan Africa’s demand for imported rice has more than doubled since 2000, India and Thailand are making it difficult for other exporters to benefit. Massive stocks in both countries are forcing prices down, and Sub-Saharan Africa, notoriously price-sensitive, is buying them up. Thailand was always a large supplier, receding only briefly when prices were high due to the Paddy Pledging Scheme. India did not traditionally export much to Africa, but huge supplies and competitive prices made India the top seller the past 2 years. China, a major supplier in 2000, is virtually out of the market while newer suppliers like Vietnam, Burma, and Brazil are getting squeezed and must look elsewhere for buyers. SELECTED TRADE CHANGES

• Thailand’s exports are raised 500,000 tons to 9.5 million in 2014 on strong demand

and competitive prices.

• United States’ exports are down 100,000 tons to 3.4 million in 2015 on reduced supplies.

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India and Thailand Squeeze the Competition in Africa

Thailand India Others *Jan-Jun


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September 2014

World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Aug

2014/15

Sep

none

TY Exports

600600600526608732 Argentina

475400500460449311 Australia

8008009508301,1051,296 Brazil

1,3001,3001,3001,1631,3571,075 Burma

1,2001,2001,0001,075900860 Cambodia

350350300447267487 China

875875800700600320 Egypt

450400450277265260 Guyana

8,7008,70010,00010,48010,2504,637 India

200200200200200200 Japan

3,9003,9003,9004,1263,3993,414 Pakistan

260260250365262208 Paraguay

10,00010,0009,5006,7226,94510,647 Thailand

9509509009391,056841 Uruguay

6,7006,7006,5006,7007,7177,000 Vietnam

1,0251,0259991,0601,2531,039 Others

37,78537,66038,14936,07036,63333,327 Subtotal

3,4003,5003,1003,2933,2983,246 United States

41,18541,16041,24939,36339,93136,573 World Total

none

TY Imports

450450450430360275 Angola

500500700114531,486 Bangladesh

700700700712732591 Brazil

525525525550450310 Cameroon

3,7003,7003,5003,4832,900575 China

1,2001,2001,1509401,375935 Cote d'Ivoire

450450450413330558 Cuba

1,4001,4001,3501,3751,3131,496 European Union

620620600725595620 Ghana

1,0001,0001,4006501,9603,098 Indonesia

1,7001,7001,6502,2201,5001,870 Iran

1,4501,4501,4001,2941,4781,036 Iraq

700700700690650742 Japan

480480440410400335 Kenya

450450445580238532 Korea, South

1,1001,1001,1008901,0061,076 Malaysia

775775750746680705 Mexico

520520500500445360 Mozambique

3,5003,5003,0002,4003,4002,550 Nigeria

1,6001,6001,4501,0001,5001,200 Philippines

1,3251,3251,3251,3261,1931,059 Saudi Arabia

1,1001,1001,1001,0751,200805 Senegal

1,1001,1001,000990870885 South Africa

460460450440430420 United Arab Emirates

450450450432420337 Yemen

10,88310,88311,36811,38011,1069,551 Others

38,13838,13837,95335,76536,58433,407 Subtotal

2,3772,3522,5662,9232,7072,545 Unaccounted

670670730675640621 United States

41,18541,16041,24939,36339,93136,573 World Total


Note about dates: 2014/15 is calendar year 2015, 2013/14 is calendar year 2014, and so on.

September 2014

World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Aug

2014/15

Sep

none

Milled Production

34,60034,60034,39033,82033,70031,700 Bangladesh

8,3508,3508,3008,0377,8889,300 Brazil

12,15012,15011,95711,71511,47311,060 Burma

4,9004,9004,7254,6704,2684,233 Cambodia

144,000144,000142,530143,000140,700137,000 China

4,9004,9004,8804,6754,2503,100 Egypt

103,000103,000106,540105,240105,31095,980 India

37,00037,00036,00036,55036,50035,500 Indonesia

7,7007,7007,8327,7567,6467,720 Japan

4,0504,1504,2304,0064,2244,295 Korea, South

3,1003,1003,3613,0002,9702,680 Nepal

6,7006,7006,6005,8006,2005,000 Pakistan

12,20012,20011,81311,42810,71010,539 Philippines

20,50020,50020,46020,20020,46020,262 Thailand

28,20028,20028,00027,53727,15226,371 Vietnam

38,65238,58338,32837,94437,60337,613 Others

470,002470,033469,946465,378461,054442,353 Subtotal

6,9807,3166,1156,3365,8667,593 United States

476,982477,349476,061471,714466,920449,946 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

35,20035,20034,90034,50034,30032,400 Bangladesh

7,9007,9007,9007,8507,9288,200 Brazil

11,00011,00010,50010,40010,20010,100 Burma

3,7003,7003,6503,5503,4003,370 Cambodia

148,000148,000146,300144,000139,600135,000 China

4,1004,1004,0004,0503,6203,300 Egypt

98,00098,00096,50094,03193,33490,206 India

39,20039,20038,50038,12738,18838,044 Indonesia

3,4503,4503,4003,3503,3003,250 Iran

8,2008,2008,2508,2508,0508,200 Japan

4,5904,5904,6074,5004,9055,175 Korea, South

6,1006,1006,0005,3005,6004,800 Nigeria

13,20013,20012,85012,85012,86012,900 Philippines

10,90010,90010,87510,60010,40010,300 Thailand

21,50021,50021,50021,90019,65019,400 Vietnam

60,15360,21860,24558,62356,78953,799 Others

477,633477,797472,049464,758456,278440,624 Subtotal

4,1924,2883,9943,7673,4924,329 United States

481,825482,085476,043468,525459,770444,953 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

46,04946,04946,69946,82645,02342,574 China

21,78021,53025,48025,44025,10023,500 India

4,1764,1765,3766,4767,4037,131 Indonesia

2,8242,8242,8242,7422,7472,712 Japan

2,5002,5001,9001,4871,5092,459 Philippines

13,09313,59313,19312,8089,3305,615 Thailand

1,5631,5631,1638631,8261,941 Vietnam

11,92211,89312,30812,15212,52012,165 Others

103,907104,128108,943108,794105,45898,097 Subtotal

1,2181,2661,0251,1561,3031,514 United States

105,125105,394109,968109,950106,76199,611 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.

September 2014

Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Aug

2014/15

Sep

2014/15

TY Imports none

1,654 North America 1,664 1,776 1,830 1,795 1,795

1,099 Caribbean 845 980 1,025 1,015 1,015

1,396 South America 1,896 1,702 1,847 1,907 1,907

128 Other Europe 114 125 130 130 130

366 Former Soviet Union - 12 456 544 531 441 441

6,099 Middle East 6,455 7,128 6,710 6,765 6,765

381 North Africa 777 487 495 520 520


2,444 East Asia 4,389 5,332 5,250 5,460 5,460

1,864 South Asia 737 712 1,160 1,070 1,070

6,418 Southeast Asia 5,488 3,611 4,905 4,750 4,750

2,314 Others 2,158 2,193 2,245 2,125 2,125

34,028 Total 37,224 36,440 38,683 38,808 38,808

Production none

7,739 North America 5,979 6,467 6,246 7,444 7,108

943 Caribbean 1,002 974 1,040 1,053 1,063

17,197 South America 15,215 15,852 16,241 16,362 16,396

2,172 European Union - 28 2,110 2,100 1,944 1,972 1,953


2,131 Middle East 2,170 2,135 2,330 2,333 2,333

3,139 North Africa 4,289 4,704 4,919 4,900 4,900


151,636 East Asia 155,342 157,692 157,585 158,781 158,581

138,116 South Asia 151,656 150,995 154,241 150,720 150,720

111,008 Southeast Asia 113,649 115,450 116,176 118,301 118,301

1,245 Others 1,364 1,518 1,288 1,191 1,335

449,946 Total 466,920 471,714 476,061 477,349 476,982


5,429 North America 4,668 4,965 5,204 5,528 5,432

1,109 Central America 1,156 1,181 1,208 1,208 1,208

2,055 Caribbean 1,997 1,959 2,066 2,073 2,083

14,427 South America 14,180 14,394 14,526 14,573 14,588

3,250 European Union - 28 3,300 3,250 3,225 3,200 3,200


8,293 Middle East 8,603 8,810 9,030 9,205 9,205

3,677 North Africa 4,045 4,572 4,509 4,560 4,560


151,568 East Asia 155,911 160,259 162,807 164,375 164,275

130,792 South Asia 136,823 137,673 141,161 142,940 142,940

98,530 Southeast Asia 99,148 101,968 102,541 104,221 104,221

634 Others 661 707 710 530 540

442,773 Total 455,616 465,648 473,971 479,546 479,385

Ending Stocks none

1,734 North America 1,455 1,345 1,208 1,459 1,411

249 Central America 273 241 231 230 230

122 Caribbean 157 104 103 98 98

2,220 South America 1,606 1,512 1,734 1,889 1,984

1,215 European Union - 28 1,117 1,159 1,028 1,022 991

1,731 Middle East 1,526 1,943 1,883 1,746 1,746

122 North Africa 487 427 532 517 517


46,690 East Asia 48,874 50,675 50,599 49,865 49,765

25,342 South Asia 27,511 27,019 27,317 23,297 23,547

18,599 Southeast Asia 21,369 23,202 23,442 23,572 23,072

27 Oceania 40 231 131 29 94

200 Others 134 186 179 184 184

99,611 Total 106,761 109,950 109,968 105,394 105,125



September 2014


13

150

175

200

225

250

275

300

325

$/M

T

Corn Daily Export Bids

U.S. Gulf Brazil Paranagua Black Sea Argentina Up River

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW

World corn production is a record in 2014/15 as larger crop forecasts for the United States, EU,

and Brazil more than offset smaller production in China, Argentina, and Ukraine. Although

global trade is unchanged, U.S., Brazilian, and EU exports are boosted because of less

competition from Argentina. The U.S. season-average farm price is sharply lower due to

prospects for huge domestic supplies.

For 2013/14, global corn trade is sharply higher on strong late-season demand, especially from

Algeria and the EU. U.S. exports are up slightly. The season-average farm price is unchanged.

PRICES

Following the release of the August WASDE report, U.S. corn quotes were nearly unchanged

until early September. Since then, they have dropped about $13/ton to $183 as continued

favorable weather has supported expectations for a larger crop. The premium of U.S. quotes over

South American has remained largely unchanged even as U.S. new-crop sales wane and South

American shipments ramp up. Black Sea quotes remain about $10/ton below U.S.

September 2014

spartak

Highlight

spartak

Highlight


14

TRADE CHANGES IN 2014/15

Selected Exporters

U.S. corn is boosted 500,000 tons to 44.5 million on prospects for a larger crop and less

competition from Argentina. (2013/14 exports are up 500,000 tons to 49.5 million.)

Argentine corn is slashed 1.5 million tons to 13.5 million because of a forecast smaller

harvest in 2015.

Brazilian corn is boosted 500,000 tons to 22.5 million on a higher crop estimate in 2014

and a larger forecast in 2015.

EU corn is up 500,000 tons to 2.5 million on a larger crop.

Paraguayan corn is cut 200,000 tons to 1.9 million as less is expected to be shipped after

October 1. (2013/14 exports are raised 300,000 tons to 2.3 million.)

Serbian corn is up 200,000 tons to 2.5 million on a larger crop.

Argentine barley is cut 500,000 tons to 2.0 million on smaller crop prospects. (EU and

Ukrainian barley are up 200,000 tons each on greater exportable supplies and less

competition.)

Canadian barley is up 200,000 tons to 1.0 million on larger supplies and stronger U.S.

demand.

Argentine sorghum is cut 500,000 tons to 1.3 million on sharply lower production

prospects.

U.S. sorghum is boosted 400,000 tons to 5.0 million on less competition from Argentina.

Selected Importers

Algerian corn is cut 200,000 tons to 3.4 million due to the timing of shipments. (2013/14

imports are up 600,000 tons to 4.2 million.)

EU corn is slashed 1.0 million tons to 10.0 million due to greater domestic supplies of

feed grains.

Japanese corn is cut 300,000 tons to 15.7 million because of sluggish growth in feed

demand.

Taiwanese corn is cut 200,000 tons to 4.2 million because of larger carry-in stocks.

September 2014


15

Algerian barley is up 200,000 tons to 600,000 on a smaller crop.

U.S. barley is boosted 100,000 tons to 600,000 due to lower availability of domestic

malting barley supplies. (2013/14 is up 100,000 tons to 550,000.)

TRADE CHANGES IN 2013/14

Selected Exporters- based on trade data

Argentine corn is raised 1.5 million tons to 12.5 million.

Brazilian corn is boosted 1.5 million tons to 22.0 million.

Canadian corn is up 200,000 tons to 1.7 million.

Indian corn is boosted 200,000 tons to 3.7 million.

Australian barley is up 300,000 tons to 6.3 million.

Ukrainian barley is raised 500,000 tons to 2.7 million.

U.S. sorghum is boosted 300,000 tons to 5.6 million.

Selected Importers- based on trade data

EU corn is up 500,000 tons to 16.0 million.

Indonesian corn is up 200,000 tons to 3.3 million.

South Korean corn is up 300,000 tons to 10.3 million.

Malaysian corn is up 200,000 tons to 3.4 million.

Moroccan corn is up 200,000 tons to a record 2.1 million.

Chinese barley is up 700,000 tons to 4.5 million.

Jordanian barley is up 200,000 tons to a record 950,000.

Chinese sorghum is up 600,000 tons to a record 4.5 million.

Japanese sorghum is cut 200,000 tons to 1.1 million.

September 2014

World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Aug

2014/15

Sep

none

TY Exports

16,80519,30516,30529,49622,30718,628 Argentina

5,7255,7256,9506,4107,2794,897 Australia

22,51022,01022,01526,07812,67711,591 Brazil

3,8003,7005,3004,6693,8534,427 Canada

8,9058,1057,3808,9147,1775,865 European Union

2,6502,6503,9755,5414,8583,437 India

7,4107,4106,8854,3655,9971,029 Russia

2,5252,3251,8256282,3452,013 Serbia

2,5252,5252,3252,4131,8512,857 South Africa

18,66018,46022,98515,52717,4477,490 Ukraine

6,9257,1257,9557,5297,4654,540 Others

98,44099,340103,900111,57093,25666,774 Subtotal

49,78548,88555,46020,58640,15349,247 United States

148,225148,225159,360132,156133,409116,021 World Total

none

TY Imports

4,0104,0104,8103,2803,6912,949 Algeria

1,2051,2051,2051,2401,211650 Brazil

1,6251,6251,7251,3271,5231,271 Chile

10,00010,00012,6005,6047,9242,697 China

4,7304,7305,0304,0884,1034,155 Colombia

1,2001,2001,1001,0461,054999 Dominican Republic

6,5306,5308,0555,0967,2505,840 Egypt

10,30511,30516,33011,7666,9088,635 European Union

2,6002,6003,3002,7191,7243,041 Indonesia

5,8005,8005,5004,8005,7004,000 Iran

1,8651,8652,1001,5641,5301,446 Israel

18,60018,90018,00017,74317,73018,590 Japan

1,2001,3001,4001,2021,158917 Jordan

9,5909,59010,3908,2657,7268,168 Korea, South

1,2501,2501,1501,220829543 Libya

3,4003,4003,4003,0483,3092,809 Malaysia

11,40011,40011,1107,62312,81910,760 Mexico

2,5002,6002,5401,8312,4792,059 Morocco

2,4252,4252,4252,4041,9282,079 Peru

10,50010,40510,20012,39010,4858,138 Saudi Arabia

4,3504,5504,5504,3984,4784,277 Taiwan

1,0009501,4001,6101,071958 Tunisia

3,2503,2502,2001,922782496 Turkey

2,6002,6002,6002,1462,5961,251 Venezuela

2,0002,0002,2001,7001,6001,000 Vietnam

15,64015,76514,91613,00515,11314,896 Others

139,575141,255150,236123,037126,721112,624 Subtotal

5,4003,8205,8722,6183,546948 Unaccounted

3,2503,1503,2526,5013,1422,449 United States

148,225148,225159,360132,156133,409116,021 World Total


September 2014

World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Aug

2014/15

Sep

none

Production

31,11635,16634,46537,24630,10533,258 Argentina

11,60711,75712,37011,41412,25711,485 Australia

78,11377,11382,41384,25375,88460,380 Brazil

21,81521,76528,73524,42722,92122,668 Canada

223,750228,750225,070212,192198,635183,771 China

13,05013,05013,05012,28612,26411,193 Ethiopia

157,970155,889158,410145,888149,881142,829 European Union

38,53039,03042,71039,94042,25043,370 India

9,2009,2009,1008,5008,8506,800 Indonesia

30,14030,14030,21028,88125,68929,226 Mexico

19,20019,20019,20018,57317,42120,720 Nigeria

40,00040,50035,73528,65833,07716,416 Russia

14,05814,05815,33012,87313,26811,310 South Africa

9,2759,27513,07510,59511,29910,184 Turkey

36,30536,50539,91829,52733,47621,503 Ukraine

152,948153,548147,443145,988145,968144,115 Others

887,077894,946907,234851,241833,245769,228 Subtotal

382,116372,863369,431286,005323,728330,236 United States

1,269,1931,267,8091,276,6651,137,2461,156,9731,099,464 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

14,13113,83113,29512,05010,51011,033 Argentina

59,90359,90358,37855,80353,65352,548 Brazil

20,52020,77021,56420,25720,28521,201 Canada

233,500235,500227,175209,671196,192188,448 China

13,67813,67813,58012,60512,73613,332 Egypt

13,15013,15013,25012,15011,85010,700 Ethiopia

158,970157,870163,295152,995151,460154,642 European Union

37,15037,75037,40035,27537,75038,850 India

18,80019,10018,20018,03017,99018,875 Japan

40,94040,94039,79536,19537,98539,785 Mexico

19,30019,30019,25018,70017,32120,670 Nigeria

31,80031,80028,51925,13427,72818,131 Russia

12,42312,42312,13511,63511,25011,206 South Africa

13,98013,98013,43012,95511,75511,075 Turkey

16,68017,48016,22714,66115,55913,772 Ukraine

232,389232,489223,667217,942213,667206,960 Others

940,842942,161927,144860,177866,203832,023 Subtotal

314,617310,969308,799276,232290,086298,033 United States

1,255,4591,253,1301,235,9431,136,4091,156,2891,130,056 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

4,4486,4984,6582,4831,3375,597 Argentina

17,68916,38918,28414,5599,82110,836 Brazil

3,5833,1095,5533,0843,3903,549 Canada

78,87681,87678,75168,38660,37050,134 China

15,86114,76615,96112,95215,57916,733 European Union

3,8563,8634,6863,4883,1251,650 Saudi Arabia

3,5533,8313,3332,3302,4212,149 Ukraine

42,08342,71746,18038,54444,65744,900 Others

169,949173,049177,406145,826140,700135,548 Subtotal

53,86449,05732,67323,53127,82032,288 United States

223,813222,106210,079169,357168,520167,836 World Total

September 2014

Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Aug

2014/15

Sep

2014/15

TY Imports none

14,265 North America 16,725 14,647 14,812 15,110 15,185

2,900 Central America 2,769 2,470 3,026 3,200 3,200

2,193 Caribbean 2,159 2,327 2,385 2,510 2,510

10,536 South America 11,968 11,804 13,650 13,200 13,200

8,635 European Union - 28 6,908 11,766 16,330 11,305 10,305

1,139 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,038 725 905 880 880

18,690 Middle East 23,362 24,922 24,560 26,360 26,255

12,349 North Africa 15,320 13,037 17,955 15,340 15,290


33,888 East Asia 38,040 36,163 45,645 43,170 42,670

7,558 Southeast Asia 7,317 8,058 10,300 9,280 9,280

876 Others 1,019 942 1,150 1,055 1,055

115,073 Total 129,863 129,538 153,488 144,405 142,825

Production none

382,130 North America 372,338 339,313 428,376 424,768 434,071

106,037 South America 117,970 135,044 129,867 126,306 123,266

142,829 European Union - 28 149,881 145,888 158,410 155,889 157,970

9,996 Other Europe 9,497 6,584 9,434 9,531 9,781


19,559 Middle East 20,382 18,215 20,752 16,588 16,478

12,159 North Africa 11,142 10,129 11,657 11,389 10,789


185,731 East Asia 200,748 214,647 227,518 231,258 226,208

50,624 South Asia 50,314 48,598 51,738 48,078 47,578

26,374 Southeast Asia 28,379 29,138 30,818 31,676 31,676

12,030 Oceania 12,813 12,082 13,011 12,417 12,267

4,586 Others 4,789 4,869 4,868 4,868 4,868

1,099,464 Total 1,156,973 1,137,246 1,276,665 1,267,809 1,269,193


359,019 North America 348,356 332,684 370,158 372,679 376,077

84,129 South America 85,333 89,488 94,264 97,096 97,401

154,642 European Union - 28 151,460 152,995 163,295 157,870 158,970

8,714 Other Europe 8,374 7,104 7,947 8,071 8,171


38,540 Middle East 40,949 42,548 44,461 45,876 45,751

25,390 North Africa 25,266 24,636 27,000 28,160 28,160


221,781 East Asia 228,692 243,025 262,031 271,511 269,061

46,064 South Asia 45,658 43,484 46,177 46,729 46,129

33,139 Southeast Asia 34,612 35,867 37,815 39,020 39,240

7,495 Oceania 6,518 6,132 6,193 6,617 6,517

9,698 Others 9,692 9,634 10,148 10,423 10,423

1,129,261 Total 1,137,777 1,142,290 1,227,959 1,250,933 1,251,931

Ending Stocks none

37,878 North America 33,067 28,239 40,975 55,015 60,296

20,429 South America 13,943 19,161 25,574 25,440 24,694

16,733 European Union - 28 15,579 12,952 15,961 14,766 15,861

1,455 Other Europe 1,023 611 1,192 1,277 1,127


8,087 Middle East 10,492 9,775 11,378 9,015 9,010

4,784 North Africa 5,447 3,756 5,823 4,072 4,022


53,420 East Asia 63,410 71,061 82,063 84,355 81,755

3,071 South Asia 2,959 2,803 4,263 3,077 2,977

3,508 Southeast Asia 3,061 3,225 3,964 4,060 4,060

1,583 Oceania 978 915 698 883 733

793 Others 792 752 854 978 979

167,836 Total 168,520 169,357 210,079 222,106 223,813



September 2014

World Corn Trade


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Aug

2014/15

Sep

none

TY Exports

13,50015,00012,50022,78916,50115,198 Argentina

22,50022,00022,00026,04412,67411,582 Brazil

1,0001,0001,7001,8134941,658 Canada

2,5002,0002,2002,1933,2871,096 European Union

2,5002,5003,7004,7684,6743,376 India

1,9002,1002,3002,8582,1881,201 Paraguay

3,5003,5004,1001,9172,02737 Russia

2,5002,3001,8006012,3312,004 Serbia

2,5002,5002,3002,3981,8312,839 South Africa

16,00016,00020,00012,72615,1575,008 Ukraine

4,2404,2404,8504,1444,1702,548 Others

72,64073,14077,45082,25165,33446,547 Subtotal

44,50044,00049,50018,26238,38945,162 United States

117,140117,140126,950100,513103,72391,709 World Total

none

TY Imports

3,4003,6004,2002,9093,2032,683 Algeria

800800800871937287 Brazil

1,3001,3001,500844906526 Chile

3,0003,0003,5002,7025,231979 China

4,2004,2004,5003,2643,2093,511 Colombia

900900900911746838 Cuba

1,2001,2001,1001,0461,054999 Dominican Republic

6,5006,5008,0005,0597,1545,803 Egypt

10,00011,00016,00011,3516,1137,385 European Union

850850750678691676 Guatemala

2,6002,6003,3002,7191,7243,041 Indonesia

4,8004,8005,0003,7004,0003,500 Iran

1,5001,5001,7001,2241,2211,029 Israel

15,70016,00015,50014,41214,89215,648 Japan

9,5009,50010,3008,1747,6368,107 Korea, South

3,4003,4003,4003,0483,3092,809 Malaysia

10,90010,90010,7005,67611,1728,252 Mexico

2,0002,0002,1001,6841,9431,738 Morocco

2,3002,3002,3002,2541,7721,939 Peru

2,9002,9002,6002,0631,8161,933 Saudi Arabia

4,2004,4004,4004,2324,3414,134 Taiwan

9008501,000846853677 Tunisia

2,5002,5001,2001,656729453 Turkey

2,6002,6002,6002,1462,5961,251 Venezuela

2,0002,0002,2001,7001,6001,000 Vietnam

11,96012,06011,3209,38811,56511,099 Others

111,910113,660120,87094,557100,41390,297 Subtotal

4,4802,7305,3801,6912,545728 Unaccounted

7507507004,265765684 United States

117,140117,140126,950100,513103,72391,709 World Total


September 2014

World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Aug

2014/15

Sep

none

Production

23,00026,00025,00027,00021,00025,200 Argentina

75,00074,00079,30081,50073,00057,400 Brazil

11,60011,60014,20013,06011,35912,043 Canada

217,000222,000218,490205,614192,780177,245 China

6,5006,5006,5006,1586,0694,895 Ethiopia

68,34667,04664,19058,86668,11858,265 European Union

21,00021,00024,19022,26021,76021,730 India

9,2009,2009,1008,5008,8506,800 Indonesia

22,50022,50022,40021,59118,72621,058 Mexico

7,7007,7007,7007,6309,2508,800 Nigeria

7,9007,9007,5407,2617,1307,271 Philippines

12,50013,00011,6358,2136,9623,075 Russia

6,8506,6006,4003,7506,4006,800 Serbia

13,50013,50014,75012,36512,75910,924 South Africa

26,00027,00030,90020,92222,83811,919 Ukraine

93,26193,42190,66790,23988,37786,329 Others

621,857628,967632,962594,929575,378519,754 Subtotal

365,659356,427353,715273,832313,949316,165 United States

987,516985,394986,677868,761889,327835,919 World Total

none

Total Consumption

9,2009,0008,5007,9007,0007,300 Argentina

56,50056,50055,00052,50050,50049,500 Brazil

12,00012,20011,80011,60511,63611,761 Canada

220,000222,000212,000200,000188,000180,000 China

12,80012,80012,70011,70011,70012,500 Egypt

75,50074,50076,00069,60069,50064,900 European Union

19,60019,80019,50017,50017,20018,100 India

12,00011,90011,90010,90010,5009,800 Indonesia

15,70016,00015,50014,50014,90015,700 Japan

9,9009,9009,9008,4817,8158,214 Korea, South

32,75032,75031,50027,00029,00029,500 Mexico

8,4008,4008,0007,4007,4007,200 Philippines

9,0009,0007,5006,4004,7003,200 Russia

11,80011,80011,50011,00010,70010,650 South Africa

9,90010,9009,9008,1007,8006,500 Ukraine

152,186152,136146,561141,284140,350133,552 Others

669,556671,221655,188601,609605,742567,352 Subtotal

301,131297,447296,560263,613279,074285,096 United States

970,687968,668951,748865,222884,816852,448 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

2,6354,5352,8251,3158994,041 Argentina

17,05015,75017,75014,1509,21210,278 Brazil

77,36080,36077,46067,57059,33549,415 China

7,4266,9267,0805,0906,6665,222 European Union

2,4112,4112,2611,0611,3161,112 Mexico

2,8642,8643,3393,0643,6763,418 South Africa

2,3912,3912,2411,1911,0511,121 Ukraine

26,92426,64730,11423,84727,33126,846 Others

139,061141,884143,070117,288109,486101,453 Subtotal

50,84445,93230,00620,85925,12228,644 United States

189,905187,816173,076138,147134,608130,097 World Total

September 2014

Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Aug

2014/15

Sep

2014/15

TY Imports none

9,920 North America 12,684 10,434 11,800 12,150 12,150

2,889 Central America 2,766 2,470 3,025 3,200 3,200

8,372 South America 9,886 9,643 12,170 11,620 11,620

7,385 European Union - 28 6,113 11,351 16,000 11,000 10,000


9,942 Middle East 10,686 10,738 12,875 14,475 14,375

11,265 North Africa 13,799 11,145 15,950 13,650 13,500


29,024 East Asia 32,282 29,673 33,805 33,030 32,530

7,541 Southeast Asia 7,304 8,040 10,260 9,260 9,260

2,193 Caribbean 2,159 2,327 2,385 2,510 2,510

574 Others 590 672 790 710 710

90,981 Total 101,178 98,822 121,570 114,410 112,660

Production none

349,266 North America 344,034 308,483 390,315 390,527 399,759

93,105 South America 103,988 119,769 115,013 111,630 109,630

58,265 European Union - 28 68,118 58,866 64,190 67,046 68,346

8,291 Other Europe 7,810 4,915 7,690 7,781 8,031


6,448 Middle East 7,164 6,330 6,753 6,388 6,278

6,780 North Africa 5,722 5,891 6,001 5,951 5,951


178,955 East Asia 194,585 207,760 220,621 224,199 219,149

27,663 South Asia 28,536 29,705 31,830 28,660 28,660

3,549 Central America 3,698 3,740 3,743 3,743 3,743

26,135 Southeast Asia 28,138 28,893 30,573 31,431 31,431

1,168 Others 1,312 1,380 1,199 1,282 1,282

835,919 Total 889,327 868,761 986,677 985,394 987,516


326,357 North America 319,710 302,218 339,860 342,397 345,881

73,823 South America 75,021 78,456 82,820 85,445 85,645

64,900 European Union - 28 69,500 69,600 76,000 74,500 75,500

6,741 Other Europe 6,392 5,194 5,945 6,035 6,135


16,885 Middle East 17,348 18,081 19,060 21,335 21,135

18,525 North Africa 18,000 18,150 19,850 20,250 20,450


209,870 East Asia 217,047 229,434 243,780 254,535 252,085

23,981 South Asia 23,770 24,480 26,870 27,370 27,170

32,893 Southeast Asia 34,357 35,609 37,560 38,760 38,960

6,375 Central America 6,425 6,200 6,650 6,825 6,825

3,420 Others 3,369 3,556 3,585 3,735 3,735

853,473 Total 867,775 869,483 944,321 967,033 968,367

Ending Stocks none

31,019 North America 27,803 23,469 34,816 49,642 54,904

18,056 South America 12,608 17,238 22,861 22,426 21,826

5,222 European Union - 28 6,666 5,090 7,080 6,926 7,426

1,212 Other Europe 771 353 918 1,024 874


3,918 Middle East 4,548 3,541 3,789 3,240 3,212

2,102 North Africa 2,960 1,969 3,410 2,601 2,801


52,082 East Asia 61,836 69,729 80,275 82,369 79,769

1,549 South Asia 1,680 2,080 3,440 2,280 2,280

3,504 Southeast Asia 3,058 3,220 3,959 4,055 4,055

547 Central America 564 507 601 693 694

250 Others 241 275 269 291 291

130,097 Total 134,608 138,147 173,076 187,816 189,905



September 2014

World Barley Trade


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Aug

2014/15

Sep

none

TY Exports

2,0002,5002,8003,6473,6311,531 Argentina

4,7004,7006,3004,6215,8194,088 Australia

1,0008001,7001,3161,4371,052 Canada

6,0005,8004,7006,4733,6464,581 European Union

1001002005425230 India

400400400151659224 Kazakhstan

15151520510 Moldova

3,8003,8002,7002,3663,668969 Russia

25252526149 Serbia

2,5002,3002,7002,6592,1662,446 Ukraine

10104515112035 Others

20,55020,45021,58521,97221,21714,975 Subtotal

250250325163179222 United States

20,80020,70021,91022,13521,39615,197 World Total

none

TY Imports

600400600364479262 Algeria

100100502510025 Belarus

400400400369274362 Brazil

3,0003,0004,5002,1842,5411,656 China

275275275232301251 Colombia

1,0001,0005001,1001,700500 Iran

300300275244276287 Israel

1,3001,3001,3001,3561,2571,359 Japan

650750950831750544 Jordan

400400400388376317 Kuwait

550550500573183179 Libya

1001001004714426 Mexico

500600400147536222 Morocco

1001001001039783 Peru

200200300278372411 Russia

7,5007,5007,50010,2008,6006,200 Saudi Arabia

500500250300200300 Syria

100100400764218281 Tunisia

7507501,0002664639 Turkey

550550550541524334 United Arab Emirates

9359609059511,4281,265 Others

19,81019,83521,25521,26320,40214,903 Subtotal

390365105441524146 Unaccounted

600500550431470148 United States

20,80020,70021,91022,13521,39615,197 World Total


September 2014

World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Aug

2014/15

Sep

none

Production

1,1001,6501,4981,5001,3501,500 Algeria

3,4003,8504,7505,0004,5002,950 Argentina

8,0008,1009,5457,4728,2217,995 Australia

2,1002,1001,6741,9171,9791,966 Belarus

7,2007,00010,2508,0127,8927,627 Canada

1,5501,5501,5001,6261,6371,972 China

1,8001,8001,8001,7821,5921,703 Ethiopia

56,98356,20259,66354,89651,88353,691 European Union

1,7301,7301,7501,6201,6601,350 India

3,2003,2003,2003,4002,9003,580 Iran

2,6002,6002,5391,5002,5931,313 Kazakhstan

1,7001,7502,7001,2002,3402,570 Morocco

18,50018,50015,38913,95216,9388,350 Russia

4,0004,0007,3005,5007,0005,900 Turkey

9,0008,2007,5616,9359,0988,484 Ukraine

9,1329,2229,3138,7218,5258,264 Others

131,995131,454140,432125,033130,108119,215 Subtotal

4,1964,1964,6834,7963,3923,925 United States

136,191135,650145,115129,829133,500123,140 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,2502,2502,2502,0001,8001,600 Algeria

3,2003,3003,3003,0003,3004,200 Australia

2,1002,1001,8002,0002,1002,000 Belarus

6,8006,8007,7596,8096,9167,464 Canada

4,5004,5005,9004,0003,8004,050 China

1,8501,8501,8501,7251,6001,725 Ethiopia

50,70050,50053,40051,00051,20056,610 European Union

1,7501,7501,2001,5251,5501,350 India

4,3004,3004,1004,6004,1003,900 Iran

2,3002,3002,1001,3751,8251,475 Kazakhstan

2,8003,0002,3001,9003,1003,050 Morocco

13,80013,80012,60012,10014,3009,500 Russia

8,3258,3258,3258,1257,2256,325 Saudi Arabia

6,0506,0506,9506,2006,7506,000 Turkey

5,6005,4005,1005,1006,3006,000 Ukraine

17,02917,07417,19715,90315,40814,709 Others

134,175133,013136,216126,834131,028131,724 Subtotal

4,7684,5504,7444,6664,1924,537 United States

138,943137,563140,960131,500135,220136,261 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,3491,2081,9249831,1951,502 Canada

496496446351542168 China

5,4914,9075,6585,0926,0697,938 European Union

1,2481,2481,3481,7481,3481,348 Iran

2,2152,2151,1157268481,386 Russia

3,4533,4534,2783,1032,7281,253 Saudi Arabia

9881,2648838731,172794 Ukraine

5,2855,7267,5976,2547,3437,937 Others

20,52520,51723,24919,13021,24522,326 Subtotal

1,7581,7581,7861,7501,3061,945 United States

22,28322,27525,03520,88022,55124,271 World Total

9/11/2014 11:21:01 AM

September 2014

Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Aug

2014/15

Sep

2014/15

TY Imports none

227 North America 620 499 675 650 725

922 South America 851 1,064 985 985 985

288 European Union - 28 364 52 50 50 50

189 Other Europe 209 127 175 175 175


8,604 Middle East 12,557 13,956 11,460 11,810 11,710

960 North Africa 1,458 1,885 1,950 1,675 1,775

77 Sub-Saharan Africa 105 57 75 80 80

3,107 East Asia 3,924 3,663 5,925 4,425 4,425

8 South Asia 68 7 30 30 30

15 Oceania 19 9 15 15 15

15,051 Total 20,872 21,694 21,805 20,335 20,410

Production none

12,224 North America 11,771 13,840 15,483 11,746 11,946

3,869 South America 5,530 6,084 5,901 4,985 4,545

53,691 European Union - 28 51,883 54,896 59,663 56,202 56,983

1,142 Other Europe 1,189 1,193 1,268 1,274 1,274


11,459 Middle East 11,675 10,285 12,434 8,635 8,635

4,546 North Africa 4,410 3,309 4,727 4,509 3,909


2,215 East Asia 1,939 1,928 1,810 1,852 1,852

1,990 South Asia 2,267 2,152 2,457 2,437 2,437

8,303 Oceania 8,538 7,911 9,953 8,510 8,410

123,140 Total 133,500 129,829 145,115 135,650 136,191


12,701 North America 11,808 12,375 13,203 12,050 12,268

2,936 South America 3,077 3,327 3,671 3,695 3,700

56,610 European Union - 28 51,200 51,000 53,400 50,500 50,700

1,339 Other Europe 1,366 1,298 1,423 1,422 1,422


19,884 Middle East 22,016 22,585 23,696 22,871 22,871

5,882 North Africa 6,186 5,555 6,180 6,978 6,778


5,772 East Asia 5,555 5,806 7,655 6,255 6,255

1,992 South Asia 2,197 2,063 1,912 2,468 2,468

4,550 Oceania 3,650 3,425 3,725 3,725 3,625

134,495 Total 135,466 132,028 140,875 137,849 138,122

Ending Stocks none

3,647 North America 2,621 3,014 3,941 3,147 3,288

818 South America 547 685 1,066 942 896

7,938 European Union - 28 6,069 5,092 5,658 4,907 5,491

193 Other Europe 204 227 221 223 223


4,092 Middle East 5,847 6,139 7,506 5,725 5,725

2,612 North Africa 2,426 1,720 2,339 1,390 1,140


680 East Asia 984 768 843 865 865

205 South Asia 266 128 233 157 157

1,040 Oceania 576 591 334 534 434

24,271 Total 22,551 20,880 25,035 22,275 22,283



September 2014

World Sorghum Trade


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Aug

2014/15

Sep

none

TY Exports

1,3001,8001,0003,0592,1631,893 Argentina

8008004001,4251,185575 Australia

757575757575 Ethiopia

50507523113231 India

505050507560 Nigeria

15015023012411334 Ukraine

30303026230 Uruguay

135135175151141148 Others

2,5903,0902,0355,1413,9072,816 Subtotal

5,0004,6005,6002,1361,5493,823 United States

7,5907,6907,6357,2775,4566,639 World Total

none

TY Imports

505050502530 Botswana

250250150404544729 Chile

3,9003,9004,500631844 China

250250250591592391 Colombia

200200200291126922 European Union

1,5001,5001,1001,8971,4811,418 Japan

3003002001,7891,3692,379 Mexico

1005100127695 Saudi Arabia

200200100175125200 Sudan

1001001001168497 Taiwan

410410696557574551 Others

7,2607,1657,4466,6285,0736,726 Subtotal

330525187406380-88 Unaccounted

00224331 United States

7,5907,6907,6357,2775,4566,639 World Total


September 2014

World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Aug

2014/15

Sep

none

Production

4,2004,8004,2004,7004,2004,400 Argentina

2,0002,0501,1072,2302,2391,935 Australia

2,4002,4002,4002,1022,2222,314 Brazil

1,9001,9001,9401,9241,5001,990 Burkina

1,1501,1501,1501,1001,1501,099 Cameroon

9009007451,172648680 Chad

2,8002,8002,7002,5562,0512,456 China

4,0004,0004,0003,6043,9513,960 Ethiopia

5,3005,3005,2505,3006,0307,000 India

1,2001,2001,2001,2121,1911,257 Mali

7,0007,0007,1706,1746,4257,385 Mexico

1,2001,2001,2871,3768071,300 Niger

6,5006,5006,5005,9436,9006,750 Nigeria

3,8003,8002,2494,5244,6052,630 Sudan

800800800839807800 Tanzania

7,1067,1067,1086,9057,0726,432 Others

52,25652,90649,80651,66151,79852,388 Subtotal

10,92610,9059,8826,2725,4478,779 United States

63,18263,81159,68857,93357,24561,167 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,8002,7002,7002,3001,9001,900 Argentina

1,2051,2058051,1051,1051,405 Australia

2,3002,3002,3002,3002,1752,075 Brazil

1,9001,9001,9001,9001,5001,900 Burkina

1,1751,1751,1751,1101,1751,109 Cameroon

9009008501,150650700 Chad

6,5006,5006,8003,2002,2002,200 China

4,0004,0004,1003,7003,7003,700 Ethiopia

5,2005,2005,2005,1506,0006,800 India

1,5001,5001,1001,9001,4751,460 Japan

1,2001,2001,2001,2001,3001,300 Mali

7,3007,3007,4008,1008,1009,400 Mexico

1,3001,3001,3001,2009501,250 Niger

6,5006,5006,4505,9006,8006,700 Nigeria

4,1004,1002,5504,7004,5003,000 Sudan

8,9198,8248,6989,3389,5019,765 Others

57,03957,30554,85153,02954,53554,679 Subtotal

5,5895,8434,2934,7753,9535,281 United States

62,62863,14859,14457,80458,48859,960 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,2841,3841,084784167950 Argentina

467467367272472425 Brazil

876876701326366467 China

339389364439560354 Ethiopia

226226226226214323 Mali

251251251281418724 Mexico

277277382588609399 Sudan

1,3711,3981,4191,4641,2471,540 Others

5,0915,2684,7944,3804,0535,182 Subtotal

772877515385583697 United States

5,8636,1455,3094,7654,6365,879 World Total

September 2014

Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Aug

2014/15

Sep

2014/15

TY Imports none

2,380 North America 1,372 2,032 202 300 300

1,218 South America 1,200 1,071 465 565 565

922 European Union - 28 126 291 200 200 200

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0

121 Middle East 101 194 200 60 155

120 North Africa 54 0 45 5 5


1,523 East Asia 1,655 2,650 5,705 5,505 5,505

17 Southeast Asia 13 18 40 20 20

21 Others 14 11 16 10 10

6,727 Total 5,076 6,871 7,448 7,165 7,260

Production none

16,164 North America 11,872 12,446 17,052 17,905 17,926

287 Central America 312 339 335 335 335

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

7,351 South America 7,124 7,484 7,342 7,962 7,362

629 European Union - 28 671 495 596 576 576

853 Middle East 764 814 800 800 800

708 North Africa 847 763 763 763 763


2,460 East Asia 2,054 2,560 2,704 2,804 2,804

7,145 South Asia 6,175 5,445 5,395 5,445 5,445


1,935 Oceania 2,239 2,230 1,107 2,050 2,000

61 Others 176 208 250 180 180

61,167 Total 57,245 57,933 59,688 63,811 63,182


14,681 North America 12,053 12,875 11,693 13,143 12,889

300 Central America 320 325 335 335 335

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

5,739 South America 6,006 6,085 6,177 6,312 6,412

1,535 European Union - 28 760 795 795 770 770

962 Middle East 789 1,052 910 885 960

857 North Africa 908 756 794 756 756


3,764 East Asia 3,771 5,221 8,010 8,110 8,110

6,955 South Asia 6,155 5,305 5,359 5,355 5,355


1,405 Oceania 1,105 1,105 805 1,205 1,205

30 Others 55 80 25 30 30

59,945 Total 56,984 59,028 58,821 62,447 62,388

Ending Stocks none

1,421 North America 1,001 666 766 1,128 1,023

32 Central America 25 39 40 40 40

1,429 South America 695 1,107 1,532 1,952 1,852

21 European Union - 28 14 27 23 24 24

35 Middle East 56 65 58 30 53

69 North Africa 60 66 73 80 80


549 East Asia 451 413 787 961 961

327 South Asia 223 145 120 170 170

361 Oceania 230 195 147 192 142

9 Others 17 24 19 19 19

5,879 Total 4,636 4,765 5,309 6,145 5,863



September 2014

World Oats Trade


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Aug

2014/15

Sep

none

TY Exports

5551126 Argentina

200200225240174209 Australia

555639 Brazil

1,7001,8001,8001,3591,7631,496 Canada

1001005042106129 Chile

250150300126176113 European Union

1010104181 Russia

101010664 Others

2,2802,2802,4051,7842,2581,967 Subtotal


2,3102,3102,4351,8022,2862,004 World Total

none

TY Imports

000005 Albania

101010794 Algeria

000000 Argentina

555233 Bosnia and Herzegovina

10102591119 Canada

100100100876858 China

555112 Colombia

202020192211 Ecuador

555434 European Union

505050515464 Japan

100100110111134103 Mexico

40405036497 Norway

252525111115 South Africa

505050465649 Switzerland

5556811 Uruguay

00021312 Others

425425460392442367 Subtotal

18518517569114169 Unaccounted

1,7001,7001,8001,3411,7301,468 United States

2,3102,3102,4351,8022,2862,004 World Total


September 2014

World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Aug

2014/15

Sep

none

Production

1101101101106788 Algeria

460460445496345660 Argentina

1,1501,1501,3261,1211,2621,128 Australia

450450352422448442 Belarus

380380380361354379 Brazil

2,6502,8003,8902,8123,1582,451 Canada

700700595680451564 Chile

600600580600600525 China

8,0808,0808,3787,9067,9277,500 European Union

250250305200258134 Kazakhstan

9090908451111 Mexico

236236236236231299 Norway

5,0005,0004,9324,0275,3323,218 Russia

210210210210218204 Turkey

550550467630506458 Ukraine

327327326315372296 Others

21,24321,39322,62220,21021,58018,457 Subtotal

1,1221,1229569297791,178 United States

22,36522,51523,57821,13922,35919,635 World Total

none

Total Consumption

1201201201197589 Algeria

475475425500350650 Argentina

1,0001,0001,0259251,100900 Australia

425425375400450475 Belarus

375375375350350370 Brazil

1,4501,5001,7301,5131,3611,530 Canada

575575575575325475 Chile

700700675675625625 China

7,8007,9008,2007,7007,8007,793 European Union

250250275225225130 Kazakhstan

190190195195185185 Mexico

295295270295270295 Norway

5,0005,0004,9004,3005,0003,450 Russia

215215215215215210 Turkey

550550475600500475 Ukraine

489489490451519467 Others

20,06920,21920,46619,13619,58918,124 Subtotal

2,6972,6972,7772,7812,5492,789 United States

22,76622,91623,24321,91722,13820,913 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

11111116160134146 Australia

5415811,031506805733 Canada

565631622338 Chile

14414414413912784 China

800817765899796832 European Union

215215225203485167 Russia

626367815240 Ukraine

198198224195230207 Others

2,1272,1852,6482,1452,6522,247 Subtotal

479479359527798982 United States

2,6062,6643,0072,6723,4503,229 World Total

September 2014

Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Aug

2014/15

Sep

2014/15

TY Imports none

1,590 North America 1,875 1,461 1,935 1,810 1,810

24 South America 31 26 30 30 30

4 European Union - 28 3 4 5 5 5

66 Other Europe 110 86 105 95 95


4 Middle East 4 0 0 0 0

4 North Africa 9 7 10 10 10


122 East Asia 122 138 150 150 150

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,835 Total 2,172 1,733 2,260 2,125 2,125

Production none

3,740 North America 3,988 3,825 4,936 4,012 3,862

1,644 South America 1,191 1,577 1,463 1,585 1,585

7,500 European Union - 28 7,927 7,906 8,378 8,080 8,080

428 Other Europe 373 369 369 369 369


204 Middle East 218 210 210 210 210

125 North Africa 163 166 166 166 166


527 East Asia 602 602 582 602 602

1,176 Oceania 1,291 1,139 1,357 1,180 1,180

19,635 Total 22,359 21,139 23,578 22,515 22,365


4,504 North America 4,095 4,489 4,702 4,387 4,337

1,563 South America 1,092 1,490 1,448 1,500 1,500

7,793 European Union - 28 7,800 7,700 8,200 7,900 7,800

486 Other Europe 478 474 452 487 487


210 Middle East 215 215 215 215 215

126 North Africa 172 175 176 176 176


685 East Asia 685 730 725 750 750

948 Oceania 1,129 943 1,056 1,030 1,030

20,908 Total 21,899 21,819 23,097 22,756 22,606

Ending Stocks none

1,720 North America 1,606 1,034 1,396 1,066 1,026

126 South America 93 131 115 120 120

832 European Union - 28 796 899 765 817 800

50 Other Europe 48 31 53 30 30


10 Middle East 17 12 7 2 2

1 North Africa 1 1 1 1 1


95 East Asia 134 144 151 153 153

146 Oceania 134 60 161 111 111

3,229 Total 3,450 2,672 3,007 2,664 2,606



September 2014

World Rye Trade


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Aug

2014/15

Sep

none

TY Exports

2525252525150 Belarus

100100100181159221 Canada


100100757828422 Russia

55501692 Ukraine

000043 Others

380380425422540469 Subtotal


385385430429548472 World Total

none

TY Imports


151525341119 Israel

5050502746101 Japan

101010121111 Korea, South

151515211112 Norway

252525250150 Russia

555922 Switzerland

000180 Others

170170205197391331 Subtotal

15152511-17-7 Unaccounted

200200200221174148 United States

385385430429548472 World Total


September 2014

World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Aug

2014/15

Sep

none

Production

8008006481,082801735 Belarus

190190210337241237 Canada

70706062592 Chile

9,0709,07010,1878,7626,9007,576 European Union

3,5003,5003,3602,1322,9671,642 Russia

350350350370366365 Turkey

425425638676579464 Ukraine

163163168183181197 Others

14,56814,56815,62113,60412,09411,218 Subtotal

213213195176161189 United States

14,78114,78115,81613,78012,25511,407 World Total

none

Total Consumption

404052404540 Argentina

7507506501,000750650 Belarus

959590124101136 Canada

70706062592 Chile

9,3009,3009,7008,7007,4008,204 European Union

5050502555105 Japan

505040503040 Kazakhstan

3,5003,5003,1002,0002,8501,850 Russia

350350350375375350 Turkey

450450625625625650 Ukraine

118118128170142155 Others

14,76014,76014,84813,20512,40612,216 Subtotal

432432425397318330 United States

15,19215,19215,27313,60212,72412,546 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

16516514016711079 Belarus

442149462551 Canada

8578291,1877927451,013 European Union

7777514 Japan

288288363153129250 Russia

181818182432 Turkey

9899128166132189 Ukraine

666335 Others

1,4831,4331,8981,3521,1731,633 Subtotal


1,4941,4441,9051,3621,1841,653 World Total

September 2014

Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Aug

2014/15

Sep

2014/15

TY Imports none

148 North America 174 221 200 200 200

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

36 European Union - 28 302 68 75 50 50

14 Other Europe 13 31 20 20 20


19 Middle East 14 34 25 15 15


112 East Asia 57 39 60 60 60

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

479 Total 565 418 405 370 370

Production none

426 North America 402 513 405 403 403

45 South America 107 105 115 113 113

7,576 European Union - 28 6,900 8,762 10,187 9,070 9,070

76 Other Europe 62 47 47 47 47


365 Middle East 366 370 350 350 350


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

33 Oceania 40 40 20 20 20

11,407 Total 12,255 13,780 15,816 14,781 14,781


466 North America 419 521 515 527 527

45 South America 107 105 115 113 113

8,204 European Union - 28 7,400 8,700 9,700 9,300 9,300

89 Other Europe 75 78 67 67 67


369 Middle East 386 409 375 365 365


116 East Asia 66 37 60 60 60

30 Oceania 40 40 20 20 20

12,512 Total 12,750 13,568 15,270 15,205 15,205

Ending Stocks none

71 North America 36 56 56 32 55

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

1,013 European Union - 28 745 792 1,187 829 857

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0


32 Middle East 24 18 18 18 18


14 East Asia 5 7 7 7 7

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,653 Total 1,184 1,362 1,905 1,444 1,494



September 2014

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 35 China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 36 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 37 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand ........................................ 38 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 42 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................... 44 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 46 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................ 47

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution……………………………. .... ……..48 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 49 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 50 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 51 World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 52

DG F/SA &F


34 September 2014

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

111.4 115.852.59.97.44.524.5 2003/04 12.0

147.7 123.959.314.77.15.626.2 2004/05 28.3

132.9 128.263.015.76.85.126.0 2005/06 24.0

125.7 126.260.213.95.25.124.7 2006/07 14.8

120.8 117.252.412.46.84.924.9 2007/08 12.8

151.9 127.660.525.47.75.726.8 2008/09 19.4

139.7 125.657.522.35.45.426.0 2009/10 16.6

136.7 122.852.523.14.65.326.0 2010/11 11.9

138.2 127.257.516.77.45.325.8 2011/12 13.5

133.9 119.351.022.75.35.225.9 2012/13 10.7

143.1 115.848.031.94.05.625.8 2013/14 10.2

151.0 125.557.026.05.55.726.6 2014/15 15.1

Coarse Grains

134.1 147.7111.94.08.24.033.2 2003/04 13.6

169.1 155.2118.94.83.05.033.9 2004/05 25.6

149.5 150.7112.44.32.74.533.2 2005/06 22.8

140.0 150.6112.94.58.14.332.4 2006/07 15.6

138.7 157.1121.64.520.34.332.6 2007/08 13.0

164.9 154.2116.15.73.14.834.0 2008/09 21.3

157.5 152.4114.83.02.94.832.9 2009/10 26.2

142.8 154.6116.96.28.54.730.2 2010/11 16.7

149.9 151.5113.26.57.05.030.2 2011/12 15.6

145.9 153.0113.77.411.84.731.3 2012/13 13.0

158.4 163.3121.78.416.35.131.3 2013/14 16.0

158.0 159.0117.09.410.35.131.0 2014/15 15.9

Wheat and Coarse Grains

245.5 263.5164.313.915.64.357.7 2003/04 25.6

316.8 279.1178.219.510.05.360.1 2004/05 53.9

282.3 278.9175.420.09.44.859.1 2005/06 46.8

265.7 276.8173.118.513.24.757.0 2006/07 30.4

259.5 274.2174.116.927.14.557.5 2007/08 25.9

316.8 281.8176.631.110.85.260.9 2008/09 40.6

297.3 278.0172.325.38.25.058.9 2009/10 42.8

279.5 277.5169.429.313.15.056.2 2010/11 28.7

288.1 278.7170.723.314.35.156.0 2011/12 29.1

279.7 272.2164.730.017.14.957.3 2012/13 23.7

301.5 279.0169.740.420.35.357.1 2013/14 26.1

308.9 284.5174.035.415.85.457.5 2014/15 31.0

September 2014

China: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

86.5 104.56.02.83.73.922.0 2003/04 43.3

92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8

97.4 101.53.51.41.14.322.8 2005/06 34.5

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.6

109.3 106.08.02.80.04.623.7 2007/08 39.1

112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.8

115.1 107.010.00.91.44.724.3 2009/10 54.4

115.2 110.513.00.90.94.724.3 2010/11 59.1

117.4 122.524.01.02.94.824.3 2011/12 55.9

121.0 125.025.01.03.05.024.3 2012/13 54.0

121.9 121.521.00.96.85.124.1 2013/14 60.3

126.0 124.023.01.02.05.224.1 2014/15 63.3

Coarse Grains

124.0 138.399.17.71.54.626.8 2003/04 45.9

138.3 141.1100.37.62.14.928.0 2004/05 37.6

147.8 147.1103.53.82.35.128.8 2005/06 36.8

159.1 153.6104.95.51.25.130.9 2006/07 38.0

159.2 157.9106.70.91.25.031.9 2007/08 39.5

172.4 161.2109.10.21.75.432.2 2008/09 52.2

169.8 173.3119.10.23.85.133.4 2009/10 52.3

183.8 188.4128.80.22.75.334.6 2010/11 50.1

198.6 196.2132.00.17.95.635.5 2011/12 60.4

212.2 209.7146.10.15.65.737.1 2012/13 68.4

225.1 227.2161.40.112.65.938.4 2013/14 78.8

223.8 233.5165.40.110.05.838.9 2014/15 78.9


210.5 242.8105.110.55.34.348.8 2003/04 89.2

230.2 243.1104.38.88.84.649.6 2004/05 76.4

245.2 248.6107.05.23.44.751.6 2005/06 71.3

267.6 255.6108.98.21.54.954.5 2006/07 76.6

268.5 263.9114.73.71.24.855.6 2007/08 78.6

284.9 266.7117.10.92.15.155.8 2008/09 98.0

284.9 280.3129.11.15.24.957.6 2009/10 106.7

299.0 298.9141.81.13.65.158.9 2010/11 109.2

316.0 318.7156.01.110.95.359.8 2011/12 116.3

333.2 334.7171.11.18.65.461.3 2012/13 122.3

347.0 348.7182.41.019.45.662.5 2013/14 139.0

349.8 357.5188.41.112.05.663.0 2014/15 142.2

September 2014

Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

2.8 4.50.50.01.42.71.0 2003/04 0.7

4.6 5.20.90.31.44.31.1 2004/05 1.2

3.8 5.10.90.21.43.81.0 2005/06 1.1

3.5 4.60.70.31.53.61.0 2006/07 1.2

3.7 4.80.90.51.93.81.0 2007/08 1.5

4.0 5.11.10.41.74.40.9 2008/09 1.7

3.8 5.01.00.51.73.91.0 2009/10 1.7

3.2 4.70.80.61.63.70.9 2010/11 1.2

3.6 4.81.00.51.94.20.9 2011/12 1.4

3.5 4.70.90.71.64.10.9 2012/13 1.1

4.4 5.01.21.31.84.61.0 2013/14 1.1

4.1 4.81.11.11.84.50.9 2014/15 1.1

Coarse Grains

6.6 7.96.90.10.73.12.1 2003/04 0.7

10.4 9.58.40.60.55.02.1 2004/05 1.5

10.2 9.88.61.30.64.82.1 2005/06 1.3

9.9 9.78.60.90.84.92.0 2006/07 1.3

6.9 7.96.80.10.93.42.0 2007/08 1.1

9.7 8.77.61.50.64.62.1 2008/09 1.1

9.7 8.77.51.40.74.92.0 2009/10 1.4

10.0 8.77.32.00.75.02.0 2010/11 1.5

9.5 8.47.02.40.84.62.1 2011/12 1.0

6.6 7.15.90.60.73.22.1 2012/13 0.6

9.4 7.96.71.80.94.72.0 2013/14 1.2

9.8 8.26.92.50.94.82.0 2014/15 1.1


9.4 12.47.30.12.03.03.1 2003/04 1.4

15.1 14.89.30.91.94.83.2 2004/05 2.7

14.0 14.99.51.42.04.53.1 2005/06 2.4

13.4 14.39.31.22.34.53.0 2006/07 2.5

10.6 12.77.70.62.73.53.0 2007/08 2.6

13.7 13.88.71.92.34.63.0 2008/09 2.8

13.5 13.78.51.92.44.53.0 2009/10 3.1

13.2 13.48.12.62.44.62.9 2010/11 2.6

13.1 13.28.02.92.74.52.9 2011/12 2.4

10.1 11.86.91.32.43.42.9 2012/13 1.7

13.9 12.97.93.12.84.63.0 2013/14 2.3

13.8 13.07.93.62.74.72.9 2014/15 2.2

September 2014

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

115.5 76.124.738.26.62.350.6 2008/09 22.3

114.0 78.226.337.35.42.252.6 2009/10 26.3

81.1 75.624.313.95.51.845.8 2010/11 23.3

115.0 80.028.239.78.02.349.7 2011/12 26.6

77.8 71.821.525.47.21.844.0 2012/13 14.5

103.9 73.022.837.17.52.247.7 2013/14 15.9

112.2 74.824.439.57.22.447.2 2014/15 20.9

Coarse Grains

79.2 58.241.617.20.72.630.3 2008/09 9.4

67.7 55.039.115.00.42.527.2 2009/10 7.4

47.5 41.828.48.81.22.221.9 2010/11 5.5

78.6 54.438.624.61.02.927.0 2011/12 6.2

68.2 50.235.519.90.72.527.5 2012/13 5.0

87.6 56.140.230.50.93.029.4 2013/14 6.9

88.5 60.344.227.80.93.029.6 2014/15 8.2

September 2014

Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

22.7 7.62.611.80.01.713.7 2011/12 6.2

9.8 6.82.06.30.00.812.4 2012/13 2.9

13.9 6.82.08.10.01.113.0 2013/14 2.0

13.5 6.82.06.50.01.112.7 2014/15 2.2

Russia

56.2 38.015.521.60.62.324.8 2011/12 10.9

37.7 33.611.911.31.21.821.3 2012/13 5.0

52.1 34.012.518.51.02.223.4 2013/14 5.5

59.0 34.513.022.50.72.523.8 2014/15 8.2

Ukraine

22.3 15.06.15.40.13.46.7 2011/12 5.4

15.8 11.43.17.20.02.85.6 2012/13 2.6

22.3 11.53.49.80.13.46.6 2013/14 3.7

24.0 12.04.010.00.14.06.0 2014/15 5.7

Uzbekistan

6.3 7.81.60.72.74.51.4 2011/12 1.4

6.7 8.01.70.41.94.81.4 2012/13 1.6

6.8 8.41.90.32.24.91.4 2013/14 1.9

7.2 8.92.20.32.05.11.4 2014/15 1.9

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

7.4 11.62.40.24.72.33.2 2011/12 2.8

7.8 12.02.80.34.12.43.3 2012/13 2.4

8.8 12.33.00.44.32.63.4 2013/14 2.8

8.6 12.63.20.24.42.63.3 2014/15 2.9

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

115.0 80.028.239.78.02.349.7 2011/12 26.6

77.8 71.821.525.47.21.844.0 2012/13 14.5

103.9 73.022.837.17.52.247.7 2013/14 15.9

112.2 74.824.439.57.22.447.2 2014/15 20.9

September 2014


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports



Kazakhstan

2.6 1.81.50.70.01.71.5 2011/12 0.2

1.5 1.41.20.20.00.91.6 2012/13 0.2

2.5 2.11.80.40.01.41.8 2013/14 0.2

2.6 2.32.00.40.01.32.0 2014/15 0.1

Russia

16.9 14.39.83.50.42.27.7 2011/12 0.8

14.0 12.17.72.20.31.87.6 2012/13 0.7

15.4 12.68.22.70.31.98.0 2013/14 1.1

18.5 13.89.03.80.22.38.2 2014/15 2.2

Ukraine

9.1 6.34.72.50.02.53.7 2011/12 1.2

6.9 5.13.52.10.02.13.3 2012/13 0.9

7.6 5.13.42.50.02.33.2 2013/14 0.9

9.0 5.64.03.30.03.03.0 2014/15 1.0

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.30.30.00.13.20.1 2011/12 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2012/13 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2013/14 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2014/15 0.0


3.3 3.52.70.00.22.51.3 2011/12 0.5

3.3 3.52.60.00.12.71.2 2012/13 0.4

3.4 3.62.70.00.12.51.4 2013/14 0.4

3.6 3.72.90.00.22.61.4 2014/15 0.5


32.2 26.319.06.70.72.314.3 2011/12 2.7

25.9 22.315.24.60.41.913.8 2012/13 2.2

29.2 23.616.35.60.52.014.5 2013/14 2.6

33.9 25.618.17.50.42.314.6 2014/15 3.8

September 2014


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports



Kazakhstan

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.00.1 2011/12 0.0

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.00.1 2012/13 0.0

0.6 0.60.50.00.05.30.1 2013/14 0.0

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.00.1 2014/15 0.0

Russia

7.0 4.74.02.00.04.31.6 2011/12 0.4

8.2 6.45.61.90.14.21.9 2012/13 0.3

11.6 7.56.64.10.15.02.3 2013/14 0.4

12.5 9.08.03.50.15.02.5 2014/15 0.4

Ukraine

22.8 7.86.515.20.06.43.5 2011/12 1.1

20.9 8.16.812.70.04.84.4 2012/13 1.2

30.9 9.98.520.00.16.44.8 2013/14 2.2

26.0 9.98.516.00.15.74.6 2014/15 2.4

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2011/12 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2012/13 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2013/14 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2014/15 0.0


3.7 3.32.90.30.24.00.9 2011/12 1.0

2.6 3.02.60.40.22.71.0 2012/13 0.5

3.7 3.43.00.40.33.81.0 2013/14 0.6

3.5 3.43.10.40.33.80.9 2014/15 0.6


34.1 16.414.017.50.35.56.2 2011/12 2.4

32.3 18.115.515.00.34.47.4 2012/13 2.0

46.9 21.418.724.60.45.78.3 2013/14 3.3

42.7 23.020.119.90.45.28.2 2014/15 3.5

September 2014

Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

16.3 5.40.110.70.02.66.2 2006/07 0.6

18.6 5.70.111.20.02.86.6 2007/08 2.4

11.0 5.30.06.80.02.15.3 2008/09 1.3

12.0 5.80.05.10.03.04.0 2009/10 2.3

17.2 6.00.19.50.03.64.8 2010/11 4.1

15.5 6.00.112.90.03.05.2 2011/12 0.7

9.3 6.20.33.60.02.63.6 2012/13 0.3

10.5 6.10.12.00.03.03.5 2013/14 2.7

12.3 6.20.16.30.03.04.2 2014/15 2.6

Australia

10.8 7.44.58.70.10.911.8 2006/07 4.2

13.6 6.63.57.50.11.112.6 2007/08 3.7

21.4 7.44.214.70.11.613.5 2008/09 3.1

21.8 5.21.914.80.11.613.9 2009/10 5.1

27.4 5.82.518.60.12.013.5 2010/11 8.2

29.9 6.53.224.70.12.213.9 2011/12 7.1

22.9 6.73.418.70.11.813.0 2012/13 4.7

27.0 7.03.619.50.22.013.5 2013/14 5.4

25.5 6.83.419.00.21.813.8 2014/15 5.2

Canada

25.3 9.04.519.40.32.69.7 2006/07 6.9

20.1 6.92.216.10.42.38.6 2007/08 4.4

28.6 7.83.118.90.42.910.0 2008/09 6.6

27.0 7.22.519.00.42.89.7 2009/10 7.7

23.3 7.62.716.60.42.88.3 2010/11 7.4

25.3 9.94.717.40.53.08.6 2011/12 5.9

27.2 9.64.419.00.52.99.5 2012/13 5.1

37.5 10.04.823.20.43.610.4 2013/14 9.8

28.0 9.84.522.00.53.09.4 2014/15 6.5

Total Wheat Competitors

52.4 21.79.138.90.41.927.7 2006/07 11.6

52.3 19.15.834.80.51.927.8 2007/08 10.5

61.0 20.67.340.40.52.128.8 2008/09 11.0

60.8 18.24.439.00.52.227.5 2009/10 15.1

September 2014


Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


67.9 19.35.344.70.62.526.6 2010/11 19.7

70.7 22.38.054.90.62.627.6 2011/12 13.7

59.4 22.58.141.20.62.326.1 2012/13 10.0

75.0 23.08.544.70.62.727.5 2013/14 17.9

65.8 22.78.047.30.62.427.4 2014/15 14.3

India

69.4 73.52.30.16.72.626.4 2006/07 4.5

75.8 76.42.50.02.02.728.0 2007/08 5.8

78.6 70.92.50.00.02.828.2 2008/09 13.4

80.7 78.22.80.10.22.927.8 2009/10 16.1

80.8 81.82.90.10.32.828.5 2010/11 15.4

86.9 81.43.10.90.03.029.1 2011/12 20.0

94.9 83.83.46.80.03.229.9 2012/13 24.2

93.5 94.04.85.90.03.130.0 2013/14 17.8

95.9 94.44.53.00.03.130.6 2014/15 16.3

Turkey

17.5 16.70.82.41.72.08.6 2006/07 1.3

15.5 16.80.81.72.22.07.7 2007/08 0.4

16.8 16.90.72.23.52.27.7 2008/09 1.5

18.5 17.10.84.33.22.47.8 2009/10 1.8

17.0 17.30.83.03.72.18.0 2010/11 2.2

18.8 18.11.43.73.82.47.7 2011/12 3.1

15.5 17.50.73.43.62.07.8 2012/13 1.2

18.0 17.80.94.44.02.37.7 2013/14 1.1

15.0 17.30.33.25.51.97.7 2014/15 1.1

September 2014


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Argentina

22.5 6.74.815.40.08.02.8 2006/07 1.7

22.0 6.84.914.80.06.53.4 2007/08 2.1

15.5 6.44.510.30.06.22.5 2008/09 0.9

25.0 6.95.016.50.08.33.0 2009/10 2.5

25.2 7.35.316.30.06.73.8 2010/11 4.0

21.0 7.04.817.10.05.83.6 2011/12 0.9

27.0 7.95.318.70.06.84.0 2012/13 1.3

25.0 8.55.615.00.07.43.4 2013/14 2.8

23.0 9.26.114.00.07.13.3 2014/15 2.6

Brazil

51.0 41.034.510.81.43.614.0 2006/07 3.6

58.6 42.536.07.80.74.014.7 2007/08 12.6

51.0 45.538.57.11.13.614.1 2008/09 12.1

56.1 47.040.011.60.44.312.9 2009/10 10.0

57.4 49.542.58.40.84.213.8 2010/11 10.3

73.0 50.543.024.30.84.815.2 2011/12 9.2

81.5 52.544.524.90.95.215.8 2012/13 14.2

79.3 55.046.021.50.85.115.7 2013/14 17.8

75.0 56.547.520.00.85.015.0 2014/15 17.1

China

151.6 145.0104.05.30.05.328.5 2006/07 36.6

152.3 150.0106.00.50.05.229.5 2007/08 38.4

165.9 153.0108.00.20.05.629.9 2008/09 51.2

164.0 165.0118.00.21.35.331.2 2009/10 51.3

177.2 180.0128.00.11.05.532.5 2010/11 49.4

192.8 188.0131.00.15.25.733.5 2011/12 59.3

205.6 200.0144.00.12.75.935.0 2012/13 67.6

218.5 212.0154.00.13.56.036.3 2013/14 77.5

217.0 220.0160.00.13.05.936.8 2014/15 77.4

South Africa

7.3 8.64.40.51.12.52.9 2006/07 1.7

13.2 9.64.32.20.04.03.3 2007/08 3.1

12.6 9.94.31.70.04.32.9 2008/09 4.1

13.4 10.34.62.10.04.13.3 2009/10 5.2

10.9 10.75.02.40.43.82.9 2010/11 3.4

12.8 10.75.01.80.04.13.1 2011/12 3.7

September 2014


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


12.4 11.05.12.10.13.83.2 2012/13 3.1

14.8 11.55.43.00.04.83.1 2013/14 3.3

13.5 11.85.62.20.04.23.2 2014/15 2.9

Total Corn Competitors

232.4 201.3147.731.92.64.848.2 2006/07 43.5

246.1 208.9151.225.30.84.850.9 2007/08 56.2

245.0 214.8155.319.31.25.049.4 2008/09 68.3

258.5 229.2167.630.31.75.150.4 2009/10 68.9

270.8 247.5180.827.32.25.152.9 2010/11 67.2

299.5 256.2183.843.46.05.455.5 2011/12 73.1

326.5 271.4198.945.83.75.658.1 2012/13 86.1

337.5 287.0211.039.64.35.858.5 2013/14 101.4

328.5 297.5219.236.33.85.658.3 2014/15 99.9

September 2014


Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Australia

4.3 4.02.91.90.01.04.2 2006/07 1.0

7.2 3.12.13.40.01.54.9 2007/08 1.7

8.0 4.02.93.20.01.65.0 2008/09 2.4

7.9 4.53.33.90.01.84.4 2009/10 1.9

8.0 4.23.04.70.02.23.7 2010/11 1.0

8.2 3.32.15.40.02.23.7 2011/12 0.5

7.5 3.01.84.50.02.13.6 2012/13 0.5

9.5 3.32.06.50.02.43.9 2013/14 0.3

8.0 3.21.94.70.02.13.8 2014/15 0.4

Canada

9.6 10.28.81.20.03.03.2 2006/07 1.5

10.9 7.86.43.00.12.84.0 2007/08 1.6

11.8 8.97.61.50.03.43.5 2008/09 3.0

9.5 8.77.51.30.03.32.9 2009/10 2.5

7.6 7.56.31.20.03.22.4 2010/11 1.5

7.9 6.95.71.30.03.32.4 2011/12 1.2

8.0 6.85.71.40.02.92.8 2012/13 1.0

10.3 7.86.61.60.03.92.7 2013/14 1.9

7.2 6.85.61.00.03.32.2 2014/15 1.3

European Union

56.4 55.938.93.40.24.113.9 2006/07 5.8

57.8 54.538.93.80.34.213.9 2007/08 5.7

65.8 57.341.73.60.34.514.6 2008/09 11.0

62.4 56.841.71.10.14.514.0 2009/10 15.6

53.7 56.641.34.90.24.312.5 2010/11 7.9

51.9 51.235.83.00.54.311.9 2011/12 6.1

54.9 51.035.54.90.14.412.5 2012/13 5.1

59.7 53.438.05.70.04.812.4 2013/14 5.7

57.0 50.735.06.50.14.612.5 2014/15 5.5

September 2014


Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Argentina

2.8 1.71.51.10.04.70.6 2006/07 0.2

2.9 1.21.01.20.04.70.6 2007/08 0.7

1.7 1.11.01.10.03.70.5 2008/09 0.2

3.6 1.91.71.80.04.80.8 2009/10 0.2

4.4 1.91.71.70.04.41.0 2010/11 1.0

4.2 1.91.73.10.04.21.0 2011/12 0.2

4.7 2.32.01.80.04.51.1 2012/13 0.8

4.2 2.72.31.20.04.21.0 2013/14 1.1

4.2 2.82.51.20.04.41.0 2014/15 1.3

Australia

1.3 1.21.20.10.02.10.6 2006/07 0.0

3.8 2.22.20.80.04.00.9 2007/08 0.8

2.7 1.81.81.00.03.50.8 2008/09 0.7

1.5 1.21.20.30.03.00.5 2009/10 0.7

1.9 1.41.40.90.03.10.6 2010/11 0.4

2.2 1.11.11.30.03.40.7 2011/12 0.2

2.2 1.11.11.20.03.40.6 2012/13 0.2

1.1 0.80.80.40.02.20.5 2013/14 0.1

2.0 1.21.20.80.03.00.7 2014/15 0.1

September 2014

U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice (Working Statistics)

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

19,53838,14110,44327,73427,5443,4423,34161,671nr319,798 2012/13

16,05034,0256,05031,49732,0124,7674,58857,961nr318,274 2013/14

19,00632,4154,21825,00024,4944,4004,62755,238nr318,713 2014/15

Corn

20,859263,613110,22318,26218,5454,2654,063273,832nr835,360 2012/13

30,006296,560131,45149,50048,897700889353,715nr1035,478 2013/14

50,844301,131135,26144,50044,452750762365,659nr1133,929 2014/15

Sorghum

3854,7752,3572,1361,9382432436,272nr32,005 2012/13

5154,2932,2865,6005,461229,882nr42,643 2013/14

7725,5892,5405,0005,0800010,926nr42,590 2014/15

Barley

1,7504,6661,2911631934315074,796nr41,313 2012/13

1,7864,7441,3703253115504084,683nr41,214 2013/14

1,7584,7681,4152502186007624,196nr41,066 2014/15

Oats

5272,7811,67818201,3411,601929nr2423 2012/13

3592,7771,68930231,8001,676956nr2417 2013/14

4792,6971,57930291,7001,7241,122nr2467 2014/15

Rye

1039715878221228176nr2100 2012/13

742518557200234195nr2113 2013/14

1143219056200229213nr2124 2014/15

Rice, Milled

1,1563,767nr3,2933,3856756696,3369,05181,084 2012/13

1,0253,994nr3,1002,9857307336,1158,6139999 2013/14

1,2184,192nr3,4003,2626706676,9809,90181,178 2014/15

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY) statistics

are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and 'Exports' columns

contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is

Aug/July.

September 2014

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks


1,328.5 420.61,247.9614.5165.22.3570.5 1985/86

1,347.9 469.21,299.4645.6174.72.4565.2 1986/87

1,285.9 423.11,329.8656.5202.22.4544.3 1987/88

1,218.1 339.31,302.0619.4203.32.2541.9 1988/89

1,327.4 320.51,346.2644.4208.92.4548.2 1989/90

1,417.7 368.71,369.5668.7190.12.6545.7 1990/91

1,355.7 359.51,364.9651.4207.52.5543.3 1991/92

1,431.6 399.21,389.1663.0205.22.6545.7 1992/93

1,356.1 366.11,389.3655.7188.22.5535.9 1993/94

1,392.5 362.71,395.8668.9200.12.6534.0 1994/95

1,338.5 319.41,381.9640.1187.52.5527.1 1995/96

1,490.3 367.11,442.6672.9198.32.7546.0 1996/97

1,491.6 414.41,444.2683.9190.32.8535.2 1997/98

1,481.8 447.91,448.3683.3198.72.8520.3 1998/99

1,465.3 444.51,468.2689.0214.02.9506.2 1999/00

1,447.3 419.41,472.4699.0205.02.8509.4 2000/01

1,481.0 404.11,496.4712.1208.42.9511.8 2001/02

1,444.4 342.11,506.3709.9209.32.9502.6 2002/03

1,471.7 278.61,535.3715.8206.02.9510.6 2003/04

1,642.5 335.61,585.5754.5214.53.2514.1 2004/05

1,599.8 319.91,615.6755.0222.63.1516.4 2005/06

1,585.0 275.31,629.6746.8230.03.1516.7 2006/07

1,692.4 293.81,674.0760.0244.93.2533.8 2007/08

1,793.0 363.21,723.5772.3253.63.3538.7 2008/09

1,805.2 400.21,768.3779.9254.23.4533.2 2009/10

1,750.3 365.81,784.6772.8250.23.3523.1 2010/11

1,852.9 365.41,853.4805.9287.23.4538.3 2011/12

1,795.4 345.01,815.8806.9279.23.4532.0 2012/13

1,990.7 396.51,939.1866.2321.33.7541.4 2013/14

1,989.1 420.21,965.5890.0303.23.7538.6 2014/15

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

September 2014

World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

562.6 177.9547.7111.6113.22.5222.1 1992/93

558.5 183.4553.0109.6101.72.5221.0 1993/94

523.0 164.2542.1101.4101.52.5213.3 1994/95

537.5 155.7546.195.299.22.5216.7 1995/96

581.4 163.6573.499.6104.02.6227.1 1996/97

610.2 197.3576.6103.8104.52.7226.4 1997/98

590.4 209.5578.3106.9102.02.7219.2 1998/99

586.8 210.9585.4102.9111.92.8212.5 1999/00

583.3 207.3586.9109.2102.22.7215.6 2000/01

583.8 204.4586.6109.9108.02.7214.5 2001/02

569.6 169.8604.3113.8106.62.7213.4 2002/03

555.3 135.6589.599.7103.62.7207.6 2003/04

626.7 156.3606.0108.5113.32.9215.8 2004/05

618.9 154.1621.1114.9114.22.8217.6 2005/06

596.5 134.1616.5110.8115.42.8211.6 2006/07

612.7 129.0617.8102.5116.22.8217.1 2007/08

683.5 169.0643.5121.7143.23.1224.1 2008/09

687.1 201.7654.4121.0135.43.0225.4 2009/10

650.8 198.0654.5115.9134.13.0217.0 2010/11

695.9 196.9697.1146.6153.83.2220.7 2011/12

658.2 175.6679.4137.2147.13.0216.3 2012/13

714.1 186.4703.2129.3162.03.2220.5 2013/14

719.9 196.4710.0137.8154.93.2222.0 2014/15

Coarse Grains

868.9 221.3841.4551.491.92.7323.6 1992/93

797.7 182.7836.3546.186.52.5314.9 1993/94

869.5 198.5853.7567.698.62.7320.7 1994/95

801.0 163.7835.8544.988.32.6310.3 1995/96

908.9 203.4869.2573.394.32.9318.8 1996/97

881.3 217.1867.7580.085.82.9308.8 1997/98

891.3 238.5870.0576.496.73.0301.1 1998/99

878.5 233.6882.8586.0102.13.0293.7 1999/00

864.0 212.2885.5589.9102.82.9293.8 2000/01

897.2 199.6909.7602.2100.43.0297.4 2001/02

874.8 172.4902.0596.1102.73.0289.1 2002/03

916.4 143.0945.8616.1102.33.0303.0 2003/04

1,015.8 179.3979.5646.0101.23.4298.3 2004/05

981.0 165.8994.5640.1108.43.3298.7 2005/06

988.5 141.21,013.1636.0114.53.2305.1 2006/07

1,079.8 164.71,056.2657.5128.73.4316.7 2007/08

1,109.5 194.21,080.0650.7110.43.5314.7 2008/09

1,118.1 198.41,113.9658.8118.83.6307.8 2009/10

1,099.5 167.81,130.1656.9116.03.6306.1 2010/11

1,157.0 168.51,156.3659.3133.43.6317.6 2011/12

1,137.2 169.41,136.4669.7132.23.6315.7 2012/13

1,276.7 210.11,235.9737.0159.44.0320.9 2013/14

1,269.2 223.81,255.5752.2148.24.0316.6 2014/15

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

September 2014

World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

535.6 162.7512.1348.762.64.0133.1 1992/93

475.8 129.4509.0342.057.43.6130.7 1993/94

559.3 153.3535.4371.671.94.1135.2 1994/95

516.4 133.3536.4365.364.83.8135.0 1995/96

592.8 166.3559.8387.966.64.2141.5 1996/97

574.4 167.2573.5401.163.14.2136.3 1997/98

605.8 191.4581.6404.868.74.4138.9 1998/99

608.4 194.4605.4423.172.04.4139.0 1999/00

591.8 175.3610.9427.975.94.3137.1 2000/01

601.8 151.5625.6436.972.74.4137.3 2001/02

603.9 126.9628.5434.076.84.4137.4 2002/03

627.4 104.7649.6446.479.04.4141.7 2003/04

716.8 131.3690.2476.576.04.9145.4 2004/05

700.7 124.5707.5479.182.54.8145.4 2005/06

716.6 110.7730.4479.991.34.8150.3 2006/07

795.5 131.7774.5499.298.25.0160.4 2007/08

800.9 147.5785.2482.983.65.0158.7 2008/09

825.6 146.6826.4491.692.75.2158.7 2009/10

835.9 130.1852.4503.491.75.1164.6 2010/11

889.3 134.6884.8508.6103.75.2172.2 2011/12

868.8 138.1865.2519.1100.54.9177.2 2012/13

986.7 173.1951.7575.3127.05.5178.2 2013/14

987.5 189.9970.7594.0117.15.6176.4 2014/15

Barley

166.3 35.0165.6119.016.42.372.6 1992/93

169.0 34.9169.1123.818.82.373.2 1993/94

160.7 30.0165.6120.915.32.272.2 1994/95

141.2 20.5150.7107.813.42.166.4 1995/96

153.2 24.1149.5106.317.92.464.3 1996/97

153.9 32.2145.8104.112.82.463.8 1997/98

136.0 29.0139.399.517.82.456.6 1998/99

127.4 23.9132.594.017.82.452.1 1999/00

133.0 22.6134.394.616.32.552.9 2000/01

143.4 29.2136.895.517.22.655.7 2001/02

134.2 27.5135.894.716.32.454.8 2002/03

142.1 23.4146.2102.514.82.458.3 2003/04

152.0 33.0142.5100.017.02.657.5 2004/05

136.1 28.1141.097.417.42.555.3 2005/06

136.9 21.4143.698.314.62.456.4 2006/07

132.9 20.5133.991.118.52.455.9 2007/08

155.0 31.5144.1100.418.22.855.2 2008/09

151.1 37.4145.1101.317.32.854.4 2009/10

123.1 24.3136.391.315.22.647.2 2010/11

133.5 22.6135.291.721.42.749.4 2011/12

129.8 20.9131.588.622.12.650.2 2012/13

145.1 25.0141.096.621.92.950.5 2013/14

136.2 22.3138.992.420.82.849.0 2014/15

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

September 2014

World Rice: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production TY Exports Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

467.3 97.7308.011.8318.03.2144.7 1985/86

464.6 103.3310.412.9316.13.2144.8 1986/87

464.8 105.3313.111.4315.13.3141.4 1987/88

490.8 111.7325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89

510.3 120.6336.311.7345.23.5147.8 1989/90

519.4 126.7345.312.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91

522.8 126.7353.214.4353.23.5147.5 1991/92

524.2 123.2357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93

526.1 119.0358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

539.9 117.6365.520.8364.13.7147.3 1994/95

547.3 118.1368.319.7368.83.7148.4 1995/96

565.3 120.3379.218.9381.43.8150.1 1996/97

575.2 127.7380.027.6387.43.8151.7 1997/98

587.0 134.0388.624.8394.93.8153.1 1998/99

608.6 143.1400.122.8409.23.9155.9 1999/00

594.1 146.7395.624.3399.33.9152.4 2000/01

594.3 132.9413.327.7399.53.9151.3 2001/02

563.1 103.0408.127.6378.23.8146.9 2002/03

585.1 81.6413.727.3392.33.9149.3 2003/04

596.6 73.9408.629.0400.93.9151.8 2004/05

622.3 76.3415.529.1417.94.0154.0 2005/06

625.6 75.2421.631.9420.54.0154.6 2006/07

642.5 80.8427.329.6432.94.2154.7 2007/08

668.3 92.4437.629.4449.14.2158.1 2008/09

656.6 94.6438.731.8440.94.2155.8 2009/10

671.4 99.6445.036.6449.94.2158.2 2010/11

696.1 106.8459.839.9466.94.3160.2 2011/12

703.3 110.0468.539.4471.74.5158.0 2012/13

709.8 110.0476.041.2476.14.4161.0 2013/14

711.2 105.1481.841.2477.04.4161.0 2014/15

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.

September 2014

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States. Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama. Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S. South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela. EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland. Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan. Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen. North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.


September 2014

OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period at the onset of the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2014/15 starts in 2014); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2014/15 starts in 2015). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun) Russia(Jul/Jun) Turkey (Jun/May) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx). Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent the European Union (Croatia plus the former EU-27) and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria, Romania, and Croatia, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains.


September 2014

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx

Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Global Commodity Analysis Division, Office of Global Analysis, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington, DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-3448. Note: The previous report in this series was Grain: World Markets and Trade August 2014. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production September 2014. This circular is available in its entirety on the Internet via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov Questions may be directed to the following staff: Teresa McKeivier (202) 690-1151 [email protected] Wheat Andrew Sowell (202) 720-0262 [email protected] Wheat Debbie Rubas (202) 720-1072 [email protected] Rice Rick O’Meara (202) 720-4933 [email protected] Coarse Grains Lisa Bennett (202) 720-0929 [email protected] Coarse Grains Gene Kim (202) 720-8398 [email protected] Coarse Grains


September 2014

mailto:[email protected]






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