2020/06/25 · of being positive in intensive care, up from 109 and 14 the day before, the state’s data show. A projected 5,943 people have recovered from the disease, according

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San Bernardino County reports 397 new coronavirus cases, 11 more deaths – San Bernardino Sun

https://www.sbsun.com/...-more-deaths/?utm_source=twitter.com&utm_medium=social&utm_content=tw-sbsun&utm_campaign=socialflow[6/24/2020 4:27:27 PM]

By SANDRA EMERSON | [email protected] |PUBLISHED: June 24, 2020 at 3:51 p.m. | UPDATED: June 24, 2020 at 3:51 p.m.

San Bernardino County reported 11 novel coronavirus deaths and 397 new cases Wednesday, June24, as public health officials say a backlog of cases is behind recent increases.

In the county, 245 people have died from COVID-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus,and 10,407 have tested positive so far, according to the county’s online dashboard.

San Bernardino County reported 649 new cases Tuesday, June 23 — its highest one-day jump yet —which public health officials attribute to a backlog of cases being entered into the database. Thatbackup may also be behind Wednesday’s large batch of new cases, said Lana Culp, county public

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San Bernardino County reports 397 newcoronavirus cases, 11 more deaths

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health spokeswoman.

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It’s unclear if the backlog is related to increases in deaths and hospitalizations.

S

F

By

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The jump in cases has increased the county’s positivity rate, the percentage of tests that come backpositive, which is one of the numbers being monitored by state public health officials. San Bernardinoand Riverside counties are on the state’s watch list for counties surpassing state benchmarks for newcases and hospitalizations.

County public health officials are communicating with state public health officials about the data, Culpsaid.

“We have open communication to explain this is what’s going on, this is what we’re seeing, so theycan understand what’s going on within the county,” Culp said.

The state requires counties to have an average positivity rate of 8% or lower over a seven-day period.On Monday, June 22, the county’s positivity rate was 8.7%, according to the state, which calculatesthe figure using more detailed data not publicly available and with a seven-day lag.

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Coronavirus roundup: GNC files for bankruptcy

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San Bernardino County coronavirus casesset one-day record, pass 10,000

Why are Inland Empire coronavirus casesclimbing?

Riverside County placed on statecoronavirus watch list

Fontana becomes 3rd San BernardinoCounty city with 1K coronavirus cases

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On Wednesday, 9.1% of the 114,640 people tested for the disease were positive. Testing was up2.7% from the day before, with an additional 3,050 people getting tested.

San Bernardino and Riverside counties are among 11 counties getting assistance from state publichealth officials following case and hospitalization increases. Several Bay Area counties as well asImperial, King and Los Angeles counties are on the list.

Gov. Gavin Newsom mentioned the counties in his daily COVID-19 briefing Wednesday. Newsomsaid the 11 counties have been responsive and are working with state officials.

“We’ve given an enormous amount of power, control and authority to local government, but whatwe’re now looking for is accountability at the local level,” he said.

There were 311 hospitalized COVID-19 positive patients in county hospitals, plus 130 suspected tohave the disease, on Tuesday, according to the state. That’s up from 301 and 84 Monday.

There were 111 positive patients and 22 patients suspectedof being positive in intensive care, up from 109 and 14 theday before, the state’s data show.

A projected 5,943 people have recovered from the disease,according to the county.

There have been 16,679 serology tests given in the county,of which 1.17% were positive for antibodies that show theperson may have had the coronavirus.

The time it takes for the virus to double in the community

https://www.sbsun.com/2020/06/23/san-bernardino-county-coronavirus-cases-set-one-day-record-pass-10000/https://www.sbsun.com/2020/06/23/san-bernardino-county-coronavirus-cases-set-one-day-record-pass-10000/https://www.sbsun.com/2020/06/21/why-are-inland-empire-coronavirus-cases-climbing/https://www.sbsun.com/2020/06/21/why-are-inland-empire-coronavirus-cases-climbing/https://www.pe.com/2020/06/19/riverside-county-placed-on-state-coronavirus-watch-list/https://www.pe.com/2020/06/19/riverside-county-placed-on-state-coronavirus-watch-list/https://www.sbsun.com/fontana-becomes-3rd-san-bernardino-county-city-with-1k-coronavirus-caseshttps://www.sbsun.com/fontana-becomes-3rd-san-bernardino-county-city-with-1k-coronavirus-caseshttps://public.tableau.com/views/COVID-19PublicDashboard/Covid-19Hospitals?%3Aembed=y&%3Adisplay_count=no&%3AshowVizHome=no#1



Coronavirus in San Bernardino County:COVID-19 coverage from The Sun

was 19.2 days. In April, it was 5.6 days.

See a list of community-by-community cases here.

Staff Writer Nikie Johnson contributed to this report.

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Sandra Emerson | ReporterSandra Emerson covers San Bernardino County government and politics for the Southern California News Group.

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California uses funding as threat over virus measures

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SACRAMENTO, Calif. (AP) — As California sees a worrisome rise in the number ofcoronavirus cases and hospitalizations, Gov. Newsom threatened Wednesday to withhold upto $2.5 billion in the upcoming state budget from local governments that fail to comply withstate mandates on wearing masks, testing and other measures meant to slow the spread of thevirus.

“There are some that have made rhetorical comments about not giving a damn,” Newsom saidin some of his most strident comments to date. “That’s exactly why I look forward to signingthis budget that will afford me a little bit of leverage in that conversation.”

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The money is intended to help local governments pay for services needed because of thepandemic. But it is contingent upon counties following emergency orders to enforce the safetymeasures as they gradually reopen the economy.

Newsom’s warning came as the state recorded a 69% increase in new cases this week, and setseveral daily records for new cases. Officials reported corresponding increases in the rate ofpeople testing positive and hospitalizations. Still, Newsom said the state is prepared to handlethe trends.

The nation’s top infectious-disease expert, Dr. Anthony Fauci, generally applauded thegovernor’s bully pulpit approach to encouraging Californians to restore the sense of sharedurgency they showed early on in the pandemic.

“You’ve got to get the population to realize that we’re all in this together. It is not, ‘I’m takingcare of myself, I don’t really care about you,’” Fauci said in an online event Wednesday withthe Sacramento Press Club.

The governor said he views the $2.5 billion in the budget lawmakers are expected to approvethis week as a reward, not a punishment for local government.

“When people simply thumb their nose and do not come with a collaborative spirit ... then byall means the state of California has a responsibility, an obligation — legally and otherwise —to enforce those laws and to utilize the tools that are afforded us,” he said.

Newsom said he plans to hand out the money monthly, based on counties’ compliance.However, the budget bill before lawmakers leaves it up to local governments to certify to thestate that they are complying.

Orange County Board of Supervisors Chairwoman Michelle Steel called the budget measure“an act of extortion, and an arbitrary exercise of power.”



Assemblyman James Gallagher, a Republican who is fighting the Democratic governor incourt over his orders, said Newsom “is instituting a one-size-fits-all mandate, this time withmajor financial consequences if, in his sole discretion, we haven’t complied.”

“And now in our time of greatest need, our federal funds are being held hostage,” he added.

The bulk of the funding is from the federal government through the Coronavirus Aid, Relief,and Economic Security Act, also known as the CARES Act, including $550 million for localgovernments to house people who are homeless or at risk of losing their homes because of thepandemic, and another $1.8 billion for county and local governments for homelessness, publichealth, public safety and other pandemic-related services.

The League of California Cities said it is “eager to learn more details about how cities will beeligible to access these funds,” while the California State Association of Counties noted thatthe federal money is ”specifically intended to partially reimburse counties for COVID-19 costs”and is needed immediately to preserve the safety net.

Newsom spent much of his hour-long online news conference imploring individuals topractice safety measures to protect themselves and others, at one point even personallydemonstrating proper hand-washing techniques.

But Fauci said officials nationwide are increasingly being ignored as pandemic numbers rise.Some local officials in California are also sounding an alarm.

“If my reading is correct, we’re showing the first signs of starting to lose this battle againstCOVID-19 in our county,” Ventura County Public Health Officer Dr. Robert Levin saidTuesday, citing growing case numbers and dwindling compliance. He warned that people whodon’t take physical separation and wearing masks seriously risk another strict shutdown.

“We excuse our misbehaviors as frivolous and meaningless. The having of friends over todinner. ... The increasing amount of time we spend away from home socializing,” Levin said.

Santa Clara County Health Director Sara Cody likewise warned of a worrisome trend in theSan Francisco Bay Area, likening the virus to a wildfire that can be contained when it’s small.

“Once COVID transmissions begin to accelerate, it is very, very difficult to contain and to slowdown and I think that’s what we’re seeing in many parts of the country,” she said.

California is still reopening its economy after months of restrictions that shuttered manybusinesses and entertainment locations but larger venues such as theme parks still haven’treceived permission.

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Disney announced Wednesday that it was indefinitely postponing the planned mid-Julyreopening of Disneyland and Disney California Adventure in Anaheim until it receives statereopening guidelines.

___

Associated Press writers Adam Beam and Kathleen Ronayne in Sacramento, John Antczakand Brian Melley in Los Angeles, and Amy Taxin in Orange County contributed to this story.

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Coronavirus: Could California enforce mask mandate with fines?

https://www.mercurynews.com/2020/06/24/coronavirus-bay-area-lawmaker-urges-gov-gavin-newsom-to-enforce-mask-mandate-with-fines/[6/25/2020 8:41:39 AM]

BREAKING NEWSCoronavirus: Another grim milestone for California as concerning metrics continue to rise

NewsHealth

Coronavirus: Bay Area lawmaker urges Gov.Gavin Newsom to enforce mask mandate withfinesSan Mateo County supervisor David Canepa: ‘If you don’t wear a mask,you should be fined’

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When Gov. Gavin Newsom announced a statewide order that requires masks in all public spaces lastweek, he didn’t specify how, or if, it would be enforced.

One Bay Area lawmaker believes there needs to be more than a toothless mandate — and took it on

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Gov. Gavin Newsom wears a protective mask on his face while speaking to reporters at Miss Ollie’srestaurant during the coronavirus outbreak in Oakland, Calif., Tuesday, June 9, 2020. (AP Photo/JeffChiu, Pool)

By EVAN WEBECK | [email protected] | Bay Area News GroupPUBLISHED: June 24, 2020 at 9:36 a.m. | UPDATED: June 24, 2020 at 4:27 p.m.

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himself to make a personal plea to the governor.

Supervisor David Canepa, who represents San Mateo County’s 5th District, penned a letter to Newsomproposing a stacking system of fines to enforce the mask order. The first offense would come with awarning. The second: a $100 fine. The third: a $500 fine.

“I’m seeing too many people ignore this simple practice which is frankly putting the entire community atrisk to this deadly disease,” Canepa said in a statement. “… If you don’t wear a face mask, you should befined.”

During his video update Wednesday, Newsom said “there is no excuse” not to wear a mask — there aremore than 200 million available in the state — but dismissed the idea of penalizing people not abiding bythe mandate.

“We don’t want to see it punitively enforced,” Newsom said. “We don’t want people to be fined.”

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Mask orders had been in effect in the Bay Area long before Newsom issued his statewide order, buteducation was the primary objective of enforcement, and much of the responsibility fell to privatebusinesses and their front-line workers.

Canepa’s proposal maintains that warning system for the firstoffense but wants repeat offenders to be penalized. He isasking Newsom to give local officials guidance on “how andwho should enforce the mandate and whether a fine structurebe implemented.”

Widespread adoption of non-medical grade masks has beenshown to mitigate the spread of the virus, particularly amongasymptomatic patients, who could represent 40% of the totalcases, according to researchers.

“Short of going back on lockdown and closing down the economy, wearing a face mask and practicingsocial distancing is the best we can do to stop the spread of COVID-19,” Canepa said.

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Gavin Newsom press conference: California coronavirus cases rise 69% in 2 days, governor says - ABC7 Los Angeles

https://abc7.com/health/new-covid-19-cases-rise-69%25-in-2-days-newsom-says/6264844/[6/24/2020 4:40:03 PM]

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New COVID-19 cases in California rise 69% in 2days, Gov. Gavin Newsom saysGov. Gavin Newsom shared the number of new COVID-19 cases in California:from 4,230 on Sunday, to 5,019 on Monday and 7,149 on Tuesday. That's a69% increase in new cases in just two days.

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Gov. Gavin Newsom shared a stunning view of thesurging coronavirus cases and hospitalizations in aWednesday morning press conference.

The governor shared the number of new COVID-19 casesin California: from 4,230 on Sunday, to 5,019 on Mondayand 7,149 on Tuesday. That's a 69% increase in new casesin just two days.

Gov. Gavin Newsom shared the number of new COVID-19 cases inCalifornia: from 4,230 on Sunday, to 5,019 on Monday and 7,149 onTuesday. That's a 69% increase in new cases in just two days.

"We've seen a lot of those numbers are reflected inincreases in the Bay Area," Newsom said. "That's part ofthe state that's moved last into this new phase. They havemoved more slowly and now have experienced anincrease in the last number of days. It's Alameda, Marin,San Francisco, San Mateo." Los Angeles, Kings, Imperial,Riverside and San Bernardino counties also remain areasof concern, he said.

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New COVID-19 cases in California saw a massive jump of 69% in just two days, Gov. Gavin Newsom said on Wednesday.

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That increase isn't just attributable to a rise in testing, thegovernor said. The positivity rate, or the percentage ofthose being tested that come back positive for COVID-19,has also gone up from 4.6% a week ago to 5.1%.

"Each decimal point is profoundly impactful," Newsomsaid.

MORE: Newsom prepared to 'revert back' tostringent COVID-19 restrictions

Gov. Gavin Newsom says he is prepared to "revert back" to morestringent coronavirus restrictions, if necessary, as California continuesto see a rise in cases.

Even more serious is the trend when it comes tohospitalizations. The number of patients hospitalizedwith the virus has gone up 29% in just two weeks, from3,177 to 4,095.

ICU hospitalizations are also on the rise: 18% in 14 days.

Even with that jump, Newsom emphasized hospitalsaround the state still have adequate capacity and morethan 11,000 ventilators to treat the most sick patients.

WATCH: Here's a breakdown of Newsom's fourstage plan to reopening California

https://abc7.com/health/newsom-prepared-to-revert-back-to-stringent-covid-19-restrictions/6264519/https://abc7.com/health/newsom-prepared-to-revert-back-to-stringent-covid-19-restrictions/6264519/



We've broken down Gov. Gavin Newsom's 4 phase plan with what'sreopening in California.

The governor admonished Californians for breaking fromsocial distancing guidelines.

"I understand that we're all human," he said. "I deeplyrecognize that I have four children, and we are nowmoving past distance learning into the summer months.There's a deep desire for our children to have playdates ...to go back to some well semblance of normalcy, or youhaven't seen your cousins, your aunts, your uncles,someone's birthday may come up and you may invitethem over. Now all of a sudden you're mixing not in thesame family or household.

"What's the point of bringing everyone together, if youcan't honestly look them in the eye and say, 'I love you somuch that I'm looking out for you?'"

He reminded people to wear a mask when around others,continue physical distancing and move activitiesoutdoors, when possible.

"There is a sense that a lot of young people are, well,you're young, and so you feel a little bit more invincible.But respectfully, often that can be a selfish mindset.'"



COVID-19 RISK CALCULATOR: Quiz yourself onthe safest, most dangerous things you can do asCalifornia reopens

WATCH: Here's a breakdown of Newsom's fourstage plan to reopening California

We've broken down Gov. Gavin Newsom's 4 phase plan with what'sreopening in California.

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California sees record-breaking coronavirus cases - Los Angeles Times

https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-06-24/gavin-newsom-coronavirus-fauci-new-cases[6/24/2020 4:27:32 PM]

CALIFORNIA

Newsom asks Californians to ‘be more vigilant’ as state seesrecord-breaking coronavirus cases

Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said California may need to reassess its restrictions as

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coronavirus cases continue to increase, but added that “you don’t really need to go back to lockdown.” (Alex Brandon/AP)

By PHIL WILLON, TARYN LUNA

JUNE 24, 2020 | 3:07 PM

SACRAMENTO — Gov. Gavin Newsom again reported a significant rise in coronavirus casesin California on Wednesday, noting that a record-breaking 7,149 new positive results wereconfirmed in the state in the last day.

The news came shortly before Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation’s top infectious diseaseexpert, warned in a Sacramento Press Club appearance that easing restrictions to slow thespread of the virus does not mean it’s safe to resume normal life again.

At a news conference on Wednesday to discuss the state’s coronavirus response, Newsomwarned that COVID-19 hospitalizations, as well as the number of coronavirus patients sentto intensive care units, have been rising significantly — telltale signs that “we are not outof the first wave.”

“This virus is virulent. This virus knows no boundaries and it knows no age cohort. It is adeadly virus,” Newsom said during the briefing in Sacramento. “That’s why it’s incumbentupon all of us to step things up extent we can, be more vigilant.”

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California has seen a 29% increase in COVID-19 hospitalizations over the past 14 days andnearly a 20% increase in virus patients being treated in ICUs, Newsom said.

The Democratic governor again emphasized, however, that California’s first-in-the-nationstay-at-home order, which Newsom enacted in mid-March, significantly slowed spread ofthe coronavirus. That allowed the state hospital system to increase capacity to handle apotential surge in patients, and bought the state enough time to acquire the necessarypersonal protective gear, ventilators and other equipment, he said.

“We are confident in our capacity, in the short run, to meet the needs of those most inneed in the state of California,” Newsom said.

Almost all counties have received permission from the state to ease up on Newsom’soriginal stay-at-home order, allowing stores, restaurants, salons and other businesses toreopen under certain conditions, such as limiting the number of customers, requiring facecoverings and enacting sanitation protocols.

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Newsom warned that counties that fail to abide by the state’s COVID-19 guidelines,including the mandate that Californians must wear face coverings while in public, couldface cuts in state funding targeting the coronavirus outbreak.

The governor’s effort to persuade local officials to do more extends to the budgetagreement he struck with legislative leaders on Monday. The proposal, set to be approvedby the Legislature on Friday, ties a county’s share of at least $750 million in state funds toorders issued by the California Dept. of Public Health. Those funds are intended to replacemissing tax revenues that normally fund health and public safety programs on the countylevel.

The total amount of local assistance could rise to $1 billion if new federal coronavirus

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funds arrive in California. During budget talks, it was not widely known that Newsomwould insist the money be sent to local officials with strings attached.

Newsom’s warning Wednesday came after a number of local sheriffs said they would notenforcement the face covering mandate, and some local elected officials protested thedirective.

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“There are some that have made rhetorical comments about not giving a damn, floutingany consideration of supporting the broader health directives coming out of the state ofCalifornia,” Newsom said. “That’s exactly why I look forward to signing this budget that willafford me a little bit of leverage in that conversation and I think that’s the appropriate nextstep.”

Last week, Newsom said state agencies may also be enlisted to enforce the statecoronavirus restrictions, including the Division of Occupational Safety and Health, whichenforces workplace safety requirements, and the Department of Alcoholic BeverageControl, which regulates the sale of alcohol in bars and restaurants.

Newsom added that he believes the vast majority of Californians and local governmentshave heeded the state’s coronavirus restrictions and said he expects possible punitiveactions to be rare.

“We hope we never have to trigger that. I think the vast majority of local officials caredeeply about their constituency, people about their community, want people to selfenforce,” Newsom said.

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In his livestreamed appearance on Wednesday to discuss pandemic response, Fauciwarned that too many people view decisions to ease restrictions as a green light to returnto normal life as coronavirus cases continue to increase in California after the governor

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allowed businesses to reopen.

“I don’t think it’s anything that the state of California is doing wrong or not,” said Fauci,director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases. “It’s what the responseof the people are to what the opening process is.”

The country’s leading health expert spoke positively about Newsom’s handling of thecoronavirus outbreak.

“I think California is starting to see little bits of surges at the community level as they’reopening up,” Fauci said. “I think that from the administrative standpoint, that you have agood handle on what things to do.”

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But Fauci said California may need to reassess its restrictions as cases continue to increase.

“You don’t really need to go back to lockdown,” Fauci said. “Now you may need to staywhere you are and then impose a few more restrictions, or maybe back up a little. Butagain, just like you don’t want to open in an all or none, you don’t want to start lockingdown completely.”

He described the desire to resume normal life and socialize with people as normal. But heurged Californians to uphold their social responsibility by wearing masks and maintaininga physical distance when gathering with others.

“The things that we’re doing that are uncomfortable now because they’re restrictive arethe very thing that is going to get us to normality,” Fauci said. “So, the good news is that itwill end, I promise you. The sobering news is that we got a lot of work to do to get there.”

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Times Staff Writer John Myers contributed to this report.

California's coronavirus economic recovery will be slow - Los Angeles Times

https://www.latimes.com/business/story/2020-06-24/la-fi-california-economic-forecast-coronavirus-2020[6/24/2020 4:28:44 PM]

BUSINESS

California’s economic recovery will be like a slow ‘Nike swoosh’

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Economists predict a slow economic recovery at tourist venues like Universal CityWalk, where signs this month cautioned visitors to distance themselves from one another. (Mark J. Terrill/ Associated Press)

By MARGOT ROOSEVELT | STAFF WRITER

JUNE 24, 2020 | 1 AM

California is unlikely to recover its pre-coronavirus prosperity over the next three years,economists say, even as the state slowly rebuilds from a catastrophic economic lockdown.

The Golden State’s gradual recovery will probably mirror the nation’s trajectory, accordingto a new UCLA forecast.

“The public health crisis of the pandemic morphed into a depression-like crisis in the [U.S.]economy,” wrote David Shulman, a senior economist at UCLA Anderson Forecast.

The trajectory of the nation’s economy will be like a “Nike swoosh,” Shulman wrote: Realgross domestic product will plunge this quarter — at a 42% annual rate — and thengradually rise, not returning to its late-2019 peak until early 2023.

Even that gradual return to normal activity is based on a somewhat optimistic scenario —

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that the COVID-19 pandemic will subside, avoiding a pause in the recovery or anotherwave of shutdowns.

“The strong assumption is the abatement of the pandemic this summer,” wrote JerryNickelsburg, director of the UCLA Anderson Forecast. “But we must keep in mind that thepandemic assumption is just that: an assumption.”

California’s unemployment rate, which was 16.3% in May, will average out to 10.5% for theyear, the forecast estimated. It will drop to 8.2% in 2021 and to 6.8% in 2022, it predicted.

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By comparison, in February — before the pandemic slammed the state’s economy — thejobless rate was 3.9%.Two other forecasts suggest a somewhat slower bounce-back for the Golden State thisyear.

“Even with the recovery, there will be 800,000 fewer jobs in California by the fourth quarteras compared to the first quarter” of 2020, according to a Chapman University outlookreleased this week. It predicts an average 11.3% unemployment rate this year.

Nonetheless, the Chapman economists suggested, the post-pandemic comeback could be“rapid” compared with the recovery from the Great Recession, which “dragged on forseven quarters.”

Bank of the West’s California forecast released this month suggests joblessness willaverage 10.5% this year, 9.1% in 2021 and 7.3% in 2022.

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“California business shutdowns have been longer lasting and more severe than manystates,” said Scott Anderson, the bank’s chief economist. “The recovery in leisure andhospitality and trade will likely be slower than the nation. And high costs of living convince

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more folks to leave the state for greener pastures: regions with better job prospects andlower living costs.”

Beyond the private-sector effects, Anderson noted the collapse in state income and salestax revenues.

“Like an earthquake, this is only the start,” he wrote in the bank’s forecast. “State and localspending is expected to fall sharply to help balance the state budget, further weighing onCalifornia’s job creation.”

The UCLA forecast expects a sluggish trajectory for personal income in California, whichwould drop 0.9% this year, rising just 1.4% next year and 2.2% in 2022.

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Employers won’t be quick to add new jobs. The UCLA forecast expects payrolls inCalifornia to shrink 9.3% overall this year, then grow at 0.4% next year and 6.6% the yearafter.

BUSINESS

Coronavirus energizes the labor movement. Can it last?May 1, 2020

From February to April, California lost 2.56 million payroll jobs, a 15% loss. That’s moresevere than the job losses caused by the Great Recession of 2007-09, when the state shed1.3 million positions, or 8%, over 26 months.

Unlike that recession, which was driven by an unprecedented decline in the constructionindustry, two sectors — leisure and hospitality as well as retail — drove this year’spandemic-caused meltdown, accounting for half of the lost jobs.

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As restaurants, event spaces and tourist attractions reopen, those jobs won’t all comeback, the UCLA forecast predicted.

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“The COVID-19 pandemic has created a sense of caution on the part of the general public,both within California and among tourists who might come to the state,” the UCLAforecast said. “Potential customers for these businesses will want to feel safe beforeventuring out.”

By the end of 2022, it predicted, the leisure and hospitality sector would remain 20%below its previous peak.

“That translates to 200,000 relatively low-income Californians with long-termunemployment for 30 months,” the forecast said. “Some will find employment in othersectors, but in an economy that is demanding technical skills, it will be challenging.”

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Retail employment, battered by the rise of online shopping and the bankruptcies of bricks-and-mortar chains, may also remain 20% below pre-pandemic levels, the UCLA forecastsuggested, with 160,000 fewer jobs.. But it emphasized the uncertainty of its prediction: “Itdepends in a crucial way as to what happens when the economy opens up. Do consumersgo back to the mall, or do they shun it?”

Chapman’s forecast noted that the concentration of job losses in retail, restaurants, hotelsand other tourism-related businesses means a smaller loss in earnings than if the jobswere, for example, in construction or technology.

Workers in retail and leisure and hospitality earn relatively low wages — about half thestatewide average. “Because of that, the economic damage to the state will be far lessthan that implied by the huge job losses,” according to the Chapman forecast.

Construction is expected to rebound fairly rapidly, and “the average annual salary for aconstruction worker is $71,300 versus $30,400 in leisure and hospitality,” the Chapmaneconomists wrote. And information services, a California industry that has remained stable,“commands an average salary of $187,200 versus $68,400 for all industries.”

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UCLA economists predicted healthcare and social services, where medical and dentaloffices and childcare venues suffered steep losses, would recoup jobs “much more rapidly”than retail or leisure and hospitality.

“Medical offices will be moving back to normal as they institute protocols that will assure



their patients of safety during visits,” the UCLA economists wrote. And as for childcare,even though more people than usual will be working from home, “that might not diminishthe need for childcare as a distraction-free environment may be desired.”

Comparing California with the overall United States, the UCLA forecast said the state’sdisproportionate reliance on international tourism would mean a somewhat slowerrecovery in leisure and hospitality and retail. Transportation and warehousing sectorscould also see a more sluggish return in California than nationwide because of the U.S.-China trade war, which disproportionately affects California’s massive ports.

On the other hand, the Golden State should recover faster than the overall nation inbusiness, scientific and technical services and in the information sector “due to thedemand for new technologies for the new way we are working and socializing.”

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For example, Nickelsburg suggested, “there will be new technologies for people workingat home. And there is telemedicine.”

As for the housing sector, UCLA’s forecast projected the building of 94,000 new units inCalifornia this year, down 17.3% from last year.

“In spite of the recession, the continued demand for a limited housing stock coupled withlow-interest rates leads to a forecast of a relatively rapid return of home-building,”Nickelsburg wrote. But even with many construction jobs returning, he said, “the prospectfor the private sector building out of the housing affordability problem over the next threeyears is nil.”

In an article accompanying the forecast, economist Leila Bengali suggested that “thepandemic has had small, though generally negative, effects on housing markets as ofMarch 2020 …. [It] may shift consumer preferences towards single-family, lower densityhomes and away from denser multifamily homes, particularly if consumers are able to livefurther from their employer’s location.”

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And if the state’s Tenant Protection Act, which took effect in January, “negatively affectslandlords’ business costs and revenues, they might respond by exiting the rental market,reducing the supply of homes for rent but potentially increasing the supply of homes forsale if property conversions occur quickly.”

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The pandemic’s effect and tenant protection laws across the country “are becominginterconnected as cities and states pass moratoria on evictions for non-payment of rent,”she added.

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Coronavirus: 5 bad signs California is heading the wrong direction – Press Enterprise

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Coronavirus: 5 bad signs California is heading thewrong directionConfirmed cases and hospitalizations are soaring to record levels

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By EMILY DERUY and DANIEL WU | [email protected] |PUBLISHED: June 25, 2020 at 8:37 a.m. | UPDATED: June 25, 2020 at 8:37 a.m.

As more people venture out and expand their social circles, the coronavirus pandemic is sendingsome alarming signals to California about the effects of reopening.

“Right now it’s looking like things are going in the wrong direction,” said John Swartzberg, aninfectious disease expert and professor emeritus at UC Berkeley.

Here are five signs why, experts say.

1. Soaring case counts

This is the big one. On Monday and Tuesday, the number of confirmed new coronavirus cases in

People hang out at Robert W. Crown Memorial State Beach in Alameda, Calif., on Tuesday, May 26, 2020. (Jane Tyska/Bay AreaNews Group)

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California soared to record highs of more than 6,000 infections a day, well north of the 2-3,000 dailycase totals that were more common at the beginning of June. On Wednesday, the state added 4,648new cases.

While counties like Los Angeles and San Bernardino in Southern California have seen more dramaticspikes, case numbers are continuing to rise in the Bay Area, too. This week, Alameda County andSanta Clara County both saw daily records. Alameda reported 202 new cases on Monday, more thanany other day of the pandemic so far, and Santa Clara reported a record high 121 new cases onTuesday.

California isn’t alone. Arizona, Mississippi, Nevada and Texas all set single-day case records onTuesday and the U.S. as a whole had its highest one-day count since mid-April with more than 36,000cases reported. On Wednesday, the governors of New York, New Jersey and Connecticut, whichwere hit hard by the virus but have stabilized in recent weeks, said they would require travelers fromstates with significant community spread, like Florida and Texas, to quarantine for two weeks uponarrival.

2. Record hospitalization numbers

In the early months of the pandemic, hospitals across the Golden State prepared for a surge incoronavirus patients that never really transpired. But this week, there are more people confirmed tohave the coronavirus in the hospital than at any time since the pandemic began. As of Tuesday, therewere 4,095 COVID-positive patients in the hospital in California, up an alarming 32% from 3,092 just10 days before.

Most of the hospitalizations are occurring in Southern California in places like Riverside and Orange

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counties, but the number of confirmed positive patients in Bay Area hospitals has risen consistentlyfrom 222 on June 18 to 304 on June 23 — a 37% jump.

And here’s something else local hospitals are seeing more of: younger patients showing up at theemergency room with the virus, who are not sick enough to be admitted, said Russell Rodriguez,medical director of the emergency department at Walnut Creek-based John Muir Health. “They aredischarged home to isolate themselves, monitor their symptoms and come back to the hospital if thereare any significant changes.”

3. Rising death projections

The University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation is projecting more than15,155 coronavirus deaths by Oct.1. That’s up more than 150 percent from the 5,640 deaths inCalifornia as of Tuesday,

“People are losing their lives to COVID-19 and we are seeing an increase in total number of cases,people getting younger and younger,” Gov. Gavin Newsom said during a Wednesday newsconference.

4. Troubling testing trends

In mid-June, state public health officials cautioned that an increasing number of coronavirus casesdidn’t necessarily mean the virus was spreading wildly as counties reopened. Instead, theysuggested, the uptick likely had to do with increased testing. Tests were hard to come by at the startof the pandemic, but now the state is conducting more than 80,000 every day and finding cases that inthe past would have gone undetected.

But that’s not the whole story.

Officials had been pointing to the fact that fewer than 5% of all tests in the state were coming backpositive as a good sign. That’s no longer true. As of Wednesday, statewide slightly more than 5% oftests were positive for the first time since mid-May.

And some places have alarmingly high positivity rates. In recent days, more than 9% of tests in LosAngeles County are coming back positive. San Bernardino is about 11%, and Imperial County, isabove 20%.

So far, George Rutherford, an infectious disease expert at UCSF, isn’t too worried about the state asa whole crossing the 5 percent positivity threshold.

https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america/california



“If you’re doing what you should be doing, you should be finding a lot of cases,” he said.

5. Outbreaks at congregate living settings

Early on, nursing homes — where vulnerable elderly people live close together — and prisons wereparticularly susceptible to outbreaks. That’s still true. In recent days, San Quentin State Prison inMarin County has seen an explosion of more than 450 cases. And at least 12,400 residents of skillednursing homes in California have tested positive and more than 2,320 have died since the crisisbegan.

Now, public health officials have a new concern looming this fall: students returning to collegecampuses.

“They’re coming from all over,” Rutherford said. “That’s a big concern.”

Broadly, health experts are concerned that people’s willingness to stay home and follow rules iswaning in places and sparking outright pushback in others, especially when it comes to wearingmasks. And especially in hard-hit Southern California.

“Every weekend Manhattan Beach is so packed,” said Oscar Juarez, assistant manager at ManhattanPizzeria. “And you’d be surprised how many people have no masks down at the beach.”

While Swartzberg, Rutherford and other health experts are keeping a close watch on these warningsigns, California is better positioned to respond now than when the pandemic started.



Applications for jobless aid fall to still-high1.48 million

Coronavirus state tracker: California had4,218 new cases and 98 new deaths as ofJune 24

Disneyland postpones July 17 parkreopening until further notice

San Bernardino County reports 397 newcoronavirus cases, 11 more deaths

Riverside County coronavirushospitalizations fall by 1; 474 new casesadded

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“We have much finer tools at our disposal now that we have a better understanding of wheretransmission is occurring,” Rutherford said.

In other words, an outbreak at San Quentin prison requires attention, but it doesn’t mean that MarinCounty needs to shut down its outdoor dining and other businesses.

Still, they’re urging people to be cautious.

“None of us knows what’s going to happen,” Swartzberg said. “We’re trying to read tea leaves rightnow.”

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Post-lockdown realities begin to emerge – Daily Bulletin

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Post-lockdown realities begin to emerge • Opinion Columnist

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2020/06/25 · of being positive in intensive care, up from 109 and 14 the day before, the state’s data show. A projected 5,943 people have recovered from the disease, according