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Metodos Para La Poblacion Futura

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Hoja1 METODO ARIMETICO año Pci k poblacion futura 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 1960 1260 52.545 4412.727 4675.45 4938.18 5200.91 5463.64 1973 1900 53.571 4417.857 4685.71 4953.57 5221.43 5489.29 1986 2260 65.172 4475.862 4801.72 5127.59 5453.45 5779.31 1995 3195 47.750 4388.750 4627.50 4866.25 5105.00 5343.75 2008 3840 44.286 4371.429 4592.86 4814.29 5035.71 5257.14 2015 4150 suma 22066.63 23383.25 24699.88 26016.50 27333.13 promedio 4413.33 4676.65 4939.98 5203.30 5466.63 METODO GEOMETRICO año Pci r poblacion futura 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 1960 1260 55 0.0219 4624.978 5154.32 5744.24 6401.69 7134.38 1973 1900 42 0.0188 4554.496 4998.42 5485.61 6020.28 6607.07 1986 2260 29 0.0212 4608.451 5117.55 5682.88 6310.67 7007.81 1995 3195 20 0.0132 4430.395 4729.73 5049.30 5390.45 5754.66 2008 3840 7 0.0112 4386.636 4636.76 4901.16 5180.62 5476.03 2015 4150 suma 22604.95 24636.78 26863.19 29303.72 31979.95 promedio 4520.99 4927.36 5372.64 5860.74 6395.99 1960 1260 1973 1900 1986 2260 1995 3195 2008 3840 2015 4150 2020 4521 2025 4927 2030 5373 2035 5861 2040 6396 2015 4150 2020 4413.33 2025 4676.65 2030 4939.98 2035 5203.30 2040 5466.63 METODOLO LOGARITMICO año Pci k poblacion futura 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 1960 1260 0.03160 1973 1900 0.01335 1986 2260 0.03847 1995 3195 0.01415 2008 3840 0.01109 2015 4150 suma 0.10865 promedio 0.02173 4626.29 5157.25 5749.14 6408.97 7144.52 METODO DE WAPPUS año Pci i poblacion futura 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 1960 1260 1.943 4779.678 5575.242 6612.189 8020.025 10041.070 1973 1900 1.771 4608.797 5142.888 5772.467 6525.654 7442.816 1986 2260 2.033 4648.023 5229.952 5918.943 6747.534 7762.937 1995 3195 1.300 4435.083 4743.190 5077.227 5440.612 5837.389 2008 3840 1.109 4387.206 4638.926 4906.536 5191.590 5495.849 2015 4150 suma 22858.79 25330.20 28287.36 31925.41 36580.06 promedio 4571.76 5066.04 5657.47 6385.08 7316.01 1960 1973 1986 1995 2008 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 1260 1900 2260 3195 3840 4150 4413.33 4676.65 4939.98 5203.30 5466.63 4150 4520.99 4927.36 5372.64 5860.74 6395.99 4150 4626.29 5157.25 5749.14 6408.97 7144.52 4150 4571.76 5066.04 5657.47 6385.08 7316.01 4150 4533.0914618594 4956.8237346766 5429.8070032833 5964.5236682467 6580.7867968719 Hoja2 Hoja3 Población urbana de las Naves Año Población (hab.) 1 2001 1230 2 2010 1869 3 2015 2131 4 2020 2657 5 2025 3344 6 2030 4303 7 2035 5851 Hoja4 Hora Consumo C % ∑ C% y x Hora SUMATORIA C% 0 a 1 0.4 0.4 0 0 1 1 1 10 1 a 2 0.4 0.8 2 2 2 12 2 a 3 0.4 1.2 3 3 3 30 3 a 4 0.4 1.6 4 4 4 40 4 a 5 0.4 2 5 6 5 50 5 a 6 2.5 4.5 6 10 6 60 6 a 7 6.3 10.8 0 6 7 19.5 7 70 7 a 8 8.3 19.1 8 27.5 8 80 8 a 9 4.2 23.3 9 34.5 9 90 9 a 10 6.3 29.6 10 38.5 10 10 10 a 11 4.2 33.8 50 10 11 41.5 11 11 a 12 6.3 40.1 12 47 12 12 a 13 8.3 48.4 13 56 13 13 a 14 8.3 56.7 14 61 14 14 a 15 5 61.7 15 64 15 15 15 a 16 2.5 64.2 16 66.5 16 16 16 a 17 2.9 67.1 50 16 17 69.5 17 17 17 a 18 4.6 71.7 18 73 18 18 18 a 19 5 76.7 19 78 19 19 19 a 20 6.3 83 20 87 20 20 20 a 21 8.3 91.3 100 20 21 95.5 21 21 21 a 22 4.2 95.5 22 97.5 22 22 22 a 23 2.9 98.4 23 99 23 23 23 a 24 1.6 100 24 100 24 24 100 24 Regla de tres. 24 = 100 6 = x x=25 24 = 100 20 = x x=83,3
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