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THORSTEN BECK Financing SMEs in Africa: Challenges and Options

AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

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Page 1: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

THORSTEN BECK

Financing SMEs in Africa: Challenges and Options

Page 2: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

T H O R S T E N B E C K , S A M U E L M U N Z E L E M A I M B O ,

I S S A F A Y E A N D T H O U R A Y A T R I K I

Financing Africa: Through the Crisis and Beyond

Page 3: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

Do SMEs matter?

Share of SMEs across Countries

0102030405060708090

100

Bela

rus

Russia

n

Cam

ero

on

Zam

bia

Mexic

o

United

Bra

zil

Cro

atia

Esto

nia

Irela

nd

Denm

ark

Japan

Italy

Gre

ece

Sh

are

of

SM

Es i

n M

an

ufa

ctu

rin

g

SME250

Page 4: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

Do SMEs cause growth?

Although there is a positive and strong association between SMEs and growth in GDP per capita, this is a correlation, not a causal relationship

A large SME sector is a characteristic of fast-growing economies but not a cause of their rapid growth

SMEs may face greater growth obstacles, e.g. difficulty accessing external finance.

A larger SME sector does not necessarily indicate a dynamic SME sector, but rather may be reflection of poor business environment where firms cannot grow

In some environments it may be optimal to remain small.

We care about new entry and growth potential of SMEs!

Page 5: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

SMEs, entry and exit of firms

Average value added

Italy

United Kingdom

-

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

Age of the firm (years)

Val

ue

add

ed (

usd

)

Source: Klapper, Laeven and Rajan (2006)

Page 6: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

What is an SME?

Different segments to be distinguished

Microenterprises: informal, household- or family based

Small enterprises – formal; often “missing middle”

Medium-size enterprises: aspiring, export-oriented etc.

Different segments, with different needs and challenges

Page 7: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

Access to credit by enterprises

Page 8: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

Access to finance – the size gap0

20

40

60

perc

enta

ge

Africa Rest of the world

Sample size: 90 countriesSource: Enterprise Survey 2010

Share of firms with a line of credit

small(<20) medium(20-99)

large(100 and over)

020

40

60

80

100

perc

enta

ge

Africa Rest of the world

Sample size: 90 countriesSource: Enterprise Survey 2010

Share of firms with deposits

small(<20) medium(20-99)

large(100 and over)

Page 9: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

Landscaping African finance

SME finance part of the overall challenging financial sector agenda in Africa

African financial systems characterized by

Small scale

Bank-based

Short-term

Costly

Concentrated and non-competitive

Page 10: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

Small scale…

05

10

15

log o

f liq

uid

liabili

ties

(US

$ m

illio

ns

for

2000)

Sample size: 154 countriesTime period: 2009Source: World Bank’s Financial Structure database 2009Note: The highest African values are for Egypt, South Africa, Morocco, and Algeria

Size of Banking Systems across Countries

Rest of the World

African Countries

Page 11: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

…and little intermediation

AGO

BDIBENBFA

BWA

CIV

CMR

COG

CPV

DZA

EGY

GAB

GNB

KEN

LSO

MAR

MDG

MLI

MOZ

MUS

MWI

NER

NGA

SEN

SLE

SYCTCD

TGO TUN

TZA

UGA

ZAF

ZAR

ZMB

0

1

2

3

Loa

n-d

ep

osi

t ra

tio

0 .5 1 1.5 2

liquid liabalities to GDP

Africa

All Other Regions

Sample size: 133 countriesTime period: 2009Source: MFWA Financial Structure database 2009Country abbreviations are included in the abbreviations list at the front of the book.

Loan-deposit ratio and liquid liabalities to GDP in 2009

Page 12: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

Africa’s finance is bank-based…

Page 13: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

…with little equity finance…

Page 14: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

… and bond markets dominated by government

Page 15: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

African finance is short-term..

Page 16: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

…and costly

0 .05 .1 .15 .2

Net Interest Margin

South Asia

Middle East

Latin America & Caribbean

High-income countries

Europe & Central Asia

East Asia & Pacific

Africa

Sample size: 134 countriesTime period: 2009Source: World Bank’s Financial Structure database 2009The minimum, maximum, and median of the ratio of offshore to domestic bank depositsThe shaded boxes show the interquartile range.Outliers have been omitted (highest 5th percentile).

Net Interest Margins across Regions

Page 17: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

Banking markets are concentrated and non-competitive

-.2

0.2

.4.6

Lern

er

index

Sample size: 80 countriesTime period: 2006Note: The Lerner index is the relative markup of price over marginal cost.

Lerner Index

Rest of the World

African Countries

Page 18: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

Why are SMEs left out?

Transaction costs Fixed cost component of credit provision effectively impedes

outreach to “smaller” and costlier clients Inability of financial institutions to exploit scale economies

Principal-agent problems

Related to asymmetric information

Adverse selection: High risk borrowers are the ones most likely to look for external finance

Increases in the risk premium raise the risk of the pool of interested borrowers

Lenders will use non-price criteria to screen debtors/projects

Moral hazard: The agent (borrower) has incentives that are inconsistent with the principal’s (lender) interests

Agents may divert resources to riskier activities, loot assets, etc.

Page 19: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

Access to credit: A conceptual framework

Access Possibilities Frontier (APF): constrained optimum; maximum access to credit given “state variables”: macroeconomic environment, contractual and informational framework, technology etc.

Define observed access relative to APF: Self-exclusion/too few investment projects Outcome below APF: lack of competition, regulatory

constraints, lack of appropriate lending techniques etc Outcome above APF: excessive, imprudent access APF too low: state variables

Page 20: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

Supply or demand-side constraints?

Do you have a loan?

Region yes no

Africa 22.44 77.56

Rest of the World 47.59 52.41

Did you apply for a loan?

Region yes no

Africa 22.82 77.18

Rest of the World 40.01 59.99

Page 21: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

Supply or demand-side constraints? (2)

Why did you not apply?

Africa Rest of the world

no need for a loan - establishment has sufficient capital 40.8 64.44

application procedures for loans or lines of credit are complex 17.96 6.51

interest rates are not favorable 16.74 12.48

collateral requirements are too high 9.55 5.18

size of loan or maturity are insufficient 2.25 1.68

it is necessary to make informal payments to get bank loans 5.69 1.75

did not think it would be approved 6.92 6.42

other 0.1 1.54

Page 22: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

Empirical findings

Lower access to and use of credit in Africa reflected in both lower share of firms with credit and lower share of applications

Little evidence for self-exclusion

Important role for supply side constraints:

Macroeconomic environment

Contractual framework

Applicati0n procedures

Page 23: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

How to close the SME financing gap

Competition is key for the financial innovation New providers

Government’s role: allow entry, but also force cooperation in infrastructure

Focus on the necessary services and look beyond existing institutions Service provision should be priority

Look beyond banks to NBFI

Look beyond stock exchanges to private equity

Focus on users, looking beyond supply constraints Supply constraints only part of story

SMEs: business environment; turn investment into bankable projects

Page 24: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

Competition as key for financial innovation

Competition is key for innovation that is necessary for broadening financial systems Reap potential benefits of technology

New lending techniques

New players Foreign banks can bring experience and capacity

NBFI and non-financial corporations can expand overall scale and thus bring in more competition

Look beyond organized capital markets to OTC, private equity etc.

Level playing field – open infrastructure to all safe and sound players Might imply an activist government role

Relates to credit registries, payment system etc.

Page 25: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

Expanding products and players

Leasing: Lending based on value of specific collateral provided by borrower rather than overall creditworthiness of borrower.

Better security since lessor is owner of asset

Dedicated use of funds

Tax advantages

Factoring: Sale of accounts receivable at discount

Does not rely on good collateral laws or efficient judicial systems

Reverse Factoring allows small, risky firms with large high-quality buyers to transfer credit risk and borrow on the credit risk of customers

Private equity funds: problem of too much debt, not sufficient equity in most SMEs in developing countries

But: demand-side constraints

Other innovations: Combine lending with extension services (Nigerian bank)

Step-up lending (Banque Misr)

Psycohmetric credit scoring (South Africa)

Page 26: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

Look at demand-side constraints

Financial literacy

Financial awareness of products and options

Financial capability

Accounting and auditing standards

Business development services – turn investment into bankable projects

Don’t ignore non-financial constraints

Page 27: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

The role of government

A mix of modernist and activist policies

Competition

Enable entry, domestic and foreign

Might have to force providers to share infrastructure

Move from retail to wholesale role

Looking beyond institution building

Space for activist policy a function of governance, size etc.

Partial credit guarantee schemes?

How to nurture innovation?

Challenge funds

Page 28: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

One size does not fit all

Low vs. middle income countries

Large vs. small economies

Civil vs. Common Law countries

Post-conflict countries

Resource rich countries

Densely vs. scarcely populated countries

Page 29: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

Conclusions

Although SMEs do not cause economic development, they are a crucial part of the private sector and suffer more from market and institutional failures

In order to understand access problem, consider different constraints and resulting policies

Competition can foster the necessary innovation to expand Different providers have important roles to play (foreign

and domestic banks, NBFIs, MFIs, equity funds etc.). One size does not fit all

Government has role to play, both in developing and enabling markets

Banks and NBFIs have to play their role, adjusting business models etc.

Demand-side constraints should not be ignored!

Page 30: AfDB-EMRC SME Forum Session 1 Thorsten Beck

Thank you

Comments and suggestions?

[email protected]