Upload
finance45
View
583
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
DESCRIPTION
Citation preview
1
Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
Lehman BrothersIndustrial Select ConferenceFebruary 14, 2006
Cynthia S. GuentherVice President, Investor Relations
Forward-Looking StatementsCertain information provided in this presentation may constitute “forward-looking” statements. These statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties. Actual results and trends may differ materially from historical or expected results depending on a variety of factors, including but not limited to fluctuations in cost and availability of raw materials; ability of the Company to achieve and sustain targeted cost reductions; foreign exchange rates; worldwide and local economic conditions; selling prices; impact of legal proceedings, including the U.S. Department of Justice (“DOJ”) criminal investigation, as well as the European Commission (“EC”), Canadian Department of Justice, and Australian Competition and Consumer Commission investigations, into industry competitive practices and any related proceedings or lawsuits pertaining to these investigations or to the subject matter thereof (including purported class actions seeking treble damages for alleged unlawful competitive practices, and purported class actions related to alleged disclosure violations pertaining to alleged unlawful competitive practices, which were filed after the announcement of the DOJ investigation, as well as a likely fine by the EC in respect of certain employee misconduct in Europe); impact of potential violations of the U.S. Foreign Corrupt Practices Act based on issues in China; impact of epidemiological events on the economy and the Company’s customers and suppliers; successful integration of acquired companies; financial condition and inventory strategies of customers; development, introduction and acceptance of new products; fluctuations in demand affecting sales to customers; and other matters referred to in the Company’s SEC filings. The Company assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements made in this presentation as a result of new information or future events or developments.
Use of Non-GAAP Financial MeasuresThis presentation contains certain non-GAAP measures as defined by SEC rules. As required by these rules, we have provided a reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures, included in the Appendix section of this presentation.
2
Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
$3.45 - $3.80
$3.44
$3.04
$2.70$2.82
$2.46
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006Guidance
Applying balanced approach to top-line growth and margin expansion to drive sustained value creation
Pro-forma earnings per share, fully diluted*
* Excludes restructuring charges, gains on sale of assets, and other items – see Appendix for detail.
Discussion Outline
• Who are we?• How do we grow?• What’s our competitive advantage?
3
Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
Pressure-sensitive (“self-stick”) technology is used everywhere… on objects both large and small
We serve a diverse set of end markets
Food/Beverage/Personal CareApparel
Health CareTransportation
Industrial/Durable
Applications
Office Products
Logistics/Shipping
4
Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
2005 Net Sales (cont. ops) = $5.5 billion
Office and Consumer Products
Retail Information
Services
Pressure-sensitive Materials
Other Specialty Converting Businesses
Three Operating Segments…and “Other Specialty”
$3.1 B2005 Sales
Organic Sales Growth(1)
2005 2004Operating Margin(2)
+10.6% 9.1% 8.6%(1) Excluding currency, acquisitions, and divestitures(2) Excluding restructuring charges
Pressure-sensitive Materials
2005 2004 2003
7.6%+ 2.4%
5
Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
$1.1 B2005 Sales 2005 2004
- 2.5% 16.9% 15.9%
Office and Consumer Products
2005 2004 2003
17.2%- 3.7%
Organic Sales Growth(1) Operating Margin(2)
(1) Excluding currency, acquisitions, and divestitures(2) Excluding restructuring charges
$0.7 B2005 Sales 2005 2004
+ 10.8% 7.4% 7.6%
Retail Information Services
2005 2004 2003
5.7%+ 2.2%
Organic Sales Growth(1) Operating Margin(2)
(1) Excluding currency, acquisitions, and divestitures(2) Excluding restructuring charges
6
Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
$0.5 B2005 Sales 2005 2004
+ 9.5% 2.9% 6.8%
Other Specialty Converting Businesses
2005 2004
9.8%+ 3.8%
Organic Sales Growth(1) Operating Margin(2)
2003
(1) Excluding currency, acquisitions, and divestitures(2) Excluding restructuring charges
We are market leaders in all of our key businesses
Business Market/CategoriesGlobal
Market PositionRoll Materials (Fasson)
Paper/film roll materials for labels
#1 (3x larger than next largest competitor)
Avery Office Products
• Printable media (labels, dividers)
• Binders, sheet protectors (North America only)
• Other products
#1
#1 or “close #2”
Varies by product, regionRetail Information Services
Tickets and tags for retail apparel
One of two global players
7
Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
Other*
Asia
U.S.EasternEurope
WesternEurope
LatinAmerica
More than half of all sales originate outside the US…> 20% from the fastest growing emerging markets
2005 Revenues by Region
(before intergeographiceliminations)
* “Other” includes Canada, Australia, and South Africa
2000 2005 2010
We’ve increased our participation in the rapidly growing emerging markets…
Local Management Leveraging Global Capabilities
Emerging Markets
Emerging Markets Share of Total Sales
Contribution to Overall Growth: 0.2 pts. 2.4 pts. 3.5 pts.
8
Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
… and these markets are contributing significantly to our profit growth and returns
Largest single growth platform today
Operating Profit from Emerging Markets*($ millions)
2000 2005 2010* Figures are approximate. Estimates do not include allocation of expenses incurred in North America
and Europe for direct support of businesses in emerging markets (particularly significant for RIS).
~ 40
~ 115
> 200
Organic sales growth has been more volatile of late
1.2%
7.4%
2.5%
4.9%
-1.8%
4.7%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
* Excluding currency, acquisitions, and divestitures
Organic Sales Growth*
9
Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
In light of soft sales growth and inflationary pressures, we’ve heightened our focus on margin improvement
"Core" Operating Margin*
6.06.57.07.58.08.59.09.5
10.010.5
Q1-03
Q2-03
Q3-03
Q4-03
Q1-04
Q2-04
Q3-04
Q4-04
Q1-05
Q2-05
Q3-05
Q4-05
* Excludes restructuring charges and RFID spending
Actions That Drove 2005 Margin Improvement
• Disciplined pricing– Optimizing price / volume / mix– Increased focus and accountability
• Ongoing productivity improvement actions, e.g.:– Roll Materials: full year benefit of Jac integration
savings; leveraging investments in wider, faster coaters– Office Products: Reconfiguration of North American
supply chain (including plant closure)– RIS: Transition of manufacturing from Hong Kong to
Mainland China• Tight control of operating expenses
10
Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
New Productivity Initiatives Announced
• Targeting $80 to $90 million of annual savings from restructuring actions currently underway– 60%-70% of savings expected to be realized in 2006… offset by
transitional costs in the range of $15 to $20 mil.– Portion of net savings reinvested for future growth and productivity
improvement– One-time cost (severance, asset write-offs): $38 to $43 mil.
(largely recognized in Q4-05)
• Divesting several non-strategic businesses– Annual sales of approx. $90 mil. (break-even operating profit)– One-time cost (primarily asset write-offs): $89 mil.
(recognized in Q4-05)
• Planning continues for additional restructuring actions
How do we grow?What’s our competitive advantage?
11
Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
OpportunitiesEmerging marketsBeverage market conversionDurables share gainRFID adoption driving carton labeling penetration
Market leader
Global scale advantages… technology development, raw material sourcing, global customers
Regional scale advantages… higher service (Exact, Next Day Delivery), lower cost asset configuration and utilization
Pressure-Sensitive Materials
ChallengesSustaining price increases necessary to offset raw material inflationOptimizing volume / price / mix equation
Packaging trends favor transition to pressure-sensitive labeling technology
12
Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
New applications fuel growth
Pressure-sensitive will continue to grow at the expense of alternative decorating technologies…
295
5670
35
73
19
75 73
0 %
10 %
2 0 %
3 0 %
4 0 %
50 %
6 0 %
70 %
8 0 %
9 0 %
10 0 %
Food Wine Beer OtherBeverage
Durables PersonalCare
Household Pharma Variable Info
Pressure Sensitive Other Labeling Technologies
World
North America
356
7460 4846
10
69 74
0 %
10 %
2 0 %
3 0 %
4 0 %
50 %
6 0 %
70 %
8 0 %
9 0 %
10 0 %
Food Wine Beer OtherBeverage
Durables PersonalCare
Household Pharma Variable Info
Pressure Sensitive Other Labeling Technologies
13
Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
… and emerging markets will continue to expand
Sources: 1) GDP / Capita – CIA – The World Factbook 2) Population – Population Reference Bureau 3) Market Size Estimates – Avery Dennison
PS Consumption/Capita relative to GDP/CapitaPS
/Cap
ita (m
2)
GDP/Capita
$0 $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 $30,000 $35,000 $40,000
14.0
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
United States
United Kingdom
Netherlands
Australia
Canada
Japan/Finland/Italy
Singapore
Germany/France/Sweden
New Zealand
Spain
Taiwan
South Korea
Greece
Czech Republic
Hungary
Malaysia/South Africa/Poland/Chile
Indonesia/Vietnam/
Phillipines Turkey/Venezula Argentina
Thailand/Russia/Brazil/Mexico
China/ColumbiaIndia
Branded Printable Media –innovator of highly differentiated, proprietary productsManage for Growth
Filing and Other – low cost providerManage for Margin
OpportunitiesNew sources of growth for Branded MediaExpansion of under-penetrated categories Cost reduction for Filing business
Office and Consumer Products
ChallengesKey growth drivers have slowedCustomer concentrationPrivate label growth eroding share
14
Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
OpportunitiesIndustry consolidation driving share gainElimination of quotas benefiting China / India Leveraging full portfolio of products and services
One of two global providersComplex supply chainLabels and tags low cost/high value to retail/apparel companiesCustomers demand:• Global quality, data
integrity, color consistency• Fast, reliable sampling and
order fulfillment
Retail Information Services
Challenges
Increased vendor power
Retailer consolidation
Achieving scale in Latin America and Europe
RFID Is Avery Dennison’s #1 growth opportunity
15
Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
The Opportunity
≈ 5 years• Retail carton labels (announced mandates alone):
Wal*Mart + Target + Albertsons + Tesco + Best Buy + Metro ≈ 10 billion labels/yr ≈ $1.0B to 1.5B
• DoD (announced mandate) ≈ $1B• Pharma (FDA mandate expected): $500MM
5-10 years• Retail apparel/footwear >$20 per item: $1B• Automotive: $200M • Many others…
We are ideally positioned to capture a meaningful share of this large, new market
Chip Design
RFID Service Bureau
(worldwide)Label
ConvertingSilicon
ManufacturingAntenna
Manufacturing
Inlay Assembly User (Factory / DC)
RFID Printers/
Applicators
Chip Assembly
Avery Dennison RFID Division
Avery Dennison - Retail Information Services
Converting/Printing Partners
Chip Partners
16
Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
We’re developing multiple sources of competitive advantage that leverage our strengths
• Outstanding product performance and testing capabilities
• Good linkages to all points in value chain
• Superior roll-to-roll manufacturing capability
• Superior commercial approach
• Corporate credibility / financial strength
2005 Milestones
• Began volume production on industry’s first and only high-speed inlay manufacturing process
• Joined Intermec’s Rapid Start Licensing program to address IP barrier for customers
• Significantly lowered price of world’s first high-volume Gen 2 tag to enable widespread adoption
• Released white paper to drive industry progress in tag testing
• Chosen as inlay supplier by major end users
17
Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
Key unknowns continue to affect timing
• Technological hurdles, including commercialization of Gen 2 chips
• Complex intellectual property environment• Business case attractiveness varies widely by
application / user• Infrastructure costs still high• Real implementation experience / expertise not
widely available
“When”… Not “If”!
Shareholder Value Focus
• “Value-based management” at AVY… all management processes aligned with value creation
• Management incentives tied to growth… in top-line sales, earnings, EVA… and share price (stock options)
• Resuming share repurchase program– Actively repurchased shares from 1991 – 2000– Modest activity following large acquisitions– Repurchased ~ 700,000 shares in Q4-05
• Long history of dividend increase
18
Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
$0.00
$0.20
$0.40
$0.60
$0.80
$1.00
$1.20
$1.40
$1.60
$1.80
'75 '76 '77 '78 '79 '80 '81 '82 '83 '84 '85 '86 '87 '88 '89 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05
Div
iden
ds p
er s
hare
30 consecutive years of dividend increase…30 consecutive years of dividend increase…~ ~ 13% compound annual growth13% compound annual growth
Expect continued modest increase to dividend
19
Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
APPENDIXReconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures to GAAP
Earnings per share, fully diluted (GAAP)
$0.66 $0.72
$0.97
$1.32
$1.63
$1.93
$2.15 $2.13
$2.84
$2.47$2.59
$2.68$2.78
$2.25
$0.00
$0.40
$0.80
$1.20
$1.60
$2.00
$2.40
$2.80
$3.20
'92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05
20
Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
GAAP EPS to Pro-forma EPS*
* Historical figures have NOT been adjusted to remove the contribution from businesses subsequently divested or discontinued.
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
GAAP EPS 0.66 0.72 0.97 1.32 1.63 1.93 2.15 2.13 2.84 2.47 2.59 2.68 2.78 2.25
Restructuring & asset impairment - - - 0.24 0.10 - - 0.41 - 0.14 0.23 0.26 0.26 1.07
Gains on sale of business/assets, legal settlements, and other items - - - (0.24) (0.11) - - - - (0.15) - (0.24) - (0.02)
Tax Expense on Repatriated Earnings - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.14
Pro-forma EPS 0.66 0.72 0.97 1.32 1.62 1.93 2.15 2.54 2.84 2.46 2.82 2.70 3.04 3.44
1.2%7.4%2.5%4.9%(1.8)4.7%Organic Sales Growth
0.3%0.1%6.0%5.1%1.2%2.6%
Less Impact of Acquisitions, Net of Divestitures
1.4%4.7%6.1%0.6%(1.7%)(4.1%)Less Impact of Currency
2.9%12.1%14.6%10.6%(2.3%)3.3%Reported Sales Growth
2005*20042003200220012000
* From continuing operations
Total Company Organic Sales Growth
21
Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
3.8%4.6%$548.1 $0.0$548.1 $528.2 $4.4 $523.8
Other Specialty Converting Businesses
2.2%6.1%$657.0$17.8 $674.8 $642.8 $6.7$636.1 Retail Information Services
-3.7%-3.1%$1,136.1 $0.0 $1,136.1 $1,180.2 $7.7 $1,172.5
Office and Consumer Products
2.4%4.4%$3,114.5 $0.0 $3,114.5 $3,042.3 $57.8 $2,984.5
Pressure Sensitive Materials
Non-GAAP Organic Sales
GrowthGAAP Sales
Growth
2005 AdjustedNon-GAAP
Sales
EstimatedImpact of
Acquisitions & Divestitures
2005 GAAPSales
2004 Adjusted Non GAAP
Sales
Impact of 2005 CurrencyChanges
2004 GAAPSales
2005 Organic Sales Growth by Segment
9.5%11.6%$529.1 ($5.3)$523.8 $483.7 $14.5 $469.2
Other Specialty Converting Businesses
10.8%15.1%$626.0 $10.1 $636.1 $565.1 $12.3 $552.7 Retail Information Services
-2.5%0.4%$1,172.5 $0.0 $1,172.5 $1,203.2 $35.1 $1,168.1
Office and Consumer Products
10.6%16.9%$3,008.5 $0.0 $3,008.5 $2,718.1 $145.6 $2,572.6
Pressure Sensitive Materials
Non-GAAP Organic Sales
GrowthGAAP Sales
Growth
2004 AdjustedNon-GAAP
Sales
EstimatedImpact of
Acquisitions & Divestitures
2004 GAAPSales
2003 Adjusted Non GAAP
Sales
Impact of 2004 CurrencyChanges
2003 GAAPSales
2004 Organic Sales Growth by Segment
22
Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
9.1%8.6%7.6%Adjusted non-GAAP operating margin$282.6 $255.8 $193.9 Adjusted non-GAAP operating income$23.0 $34.4 $13.6 and lease cancellation costs
Restructuring costs, asset impairmentNon-GAAP adjustments:
8.3%7.4%7.1%Operating margin, as reported$259.6 $221.4 $180.3 Operating income, as reported
$3,114.5 $2,984.5 $2,546.8 Net SalesPressure Sensitive Materials
Office and Consumer ProductsNet Sales $1,168.1 $1,172.5 $1,136.1 Operating income, as reported $188.5 $186.4 $168.0 Operating margin, as reported 16.1% 15.9% 14.8%Non-GAAP adjustments:Restructuring costs, asset impairmentand lease cancellation costs $12.5 $0.5 $24.1 Adjusted non-GAAP operating income $201.0 $186.9 $192.1 Adjusted non-GAAP operating margin 17.2% 15.9% 16.9%
Operating Margin by SegmentFY2003* FY2004* FY2005
* Prior periods restated to include the impact of 2005 discontinued operations in Pressure Sensitive segment.
7.4%7.6%5.7%Adjusted non-GAAP operating margin$50.2 $48.0 $31.3 Adjusted non-GAAP operating income$7.5 $0.2 $7.0 and lease cancellation costs
Restructuring costs, asset impairmentNon-GAAP adjustments:
6.3%7.5%4.4%Operating margin, as reported$42.7 $47.8 $24.2 Operating income, as reported
$674.8 $636.1 $552.7 Net SalesRetail Information Services
Other Specialty Converting BusinessesNet Sales $469.2 $523.8 $548.1 Operating income, as reported $43.7 $35.5 $9.5 Operating margin, as reported 9.3% 6.8% 1.7%Non-GAAP adjustments:Restructuring costs, asset impairmentand lease cancellation costs $2.5 $0.0 $6.2 Adjusted non-GAAP operating income $46.2 $35.5 $15.7 Adjusted non-GAAP operating margin 9.8% 6.8% 2.9%
Operating Margin by Segment
* Prior periods restated to include the impact of RFID spending in Other Specialty Converting segment.
FY2003* FY2004* FY2005
23
Lehman Brothers Industrial Select Conference – February 14, 2006
Total Company Operating Margin
* While the 2004 and 2005 data reflect results from continuing operations, the quarterly data for 2003 has not been restated to reflect the modest impact from 2005 discontinued operations.
Q1-03* Q2-03* Q3-03* Q4-03* Q1-04 Q2-04 Q3-04 Q4-04 Q1-05 Q2-05 Q3-05 Q4-05Net Sales as reported $1,135 $1,192 $1,204 $1,231 $1,243 $1,317 $1,329 $1,428 $1,343 $1,412 $1,355 $1,364
Operating income as reported $96.4 $95.4 $88.1 $54.1 $73.9 $88.7 $102.3 $110.4 $79.7 $115.8 $112.8 $58.5
Operating margin as reported 8.5% 8.0% 7.3% 4.4% 5.9% 6.7% 7.7% 7.7% 5.9% 8.2% 8.3% 4.3%
Non-GAAP Adjustments
Restructuring, asset impairment, lease cancellation costs, gain on sale of assets
$0.0 ($4.0) $0.2 $34.3 $21.4 $13.8 $0.0 $0.0 $4.1 $3.2 $1.7 $56.9
RFID expense $1.2 $1.0 $1.0 $1.2 $1.7 $2.3 $4.1 $8.0 $6.9 $8.0 $7.8 $9.8
Interest expense $14.9 $14.5 $13.9 $14.4 $15.0 $14.1 $14.2 $15.4 $14.5 $15.7 $14.7 $13.0
Adjusted non-GAAP operating income $112.7 $107.0 $103.5 $104.2 $112.0 $118.9 $120.6 $133.8 $105.2 $142.7 $137.0 $138.2
Adjusted non-GAAP operating margin 9.9% 9.0% 8.6% 8.5% 9.0% 9.0% 9.1% 9.4% 7.8% 10.1% 10.1% 10.1%