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Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg Department of Earth and Environment Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation. Panel-workshop , Monday, May 2 nd | 8:30 a.m. – 10:30 a.m.

Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg

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Page 1: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg

Water, Sustainability, and

Climate Change: The use and

misuse of water resourcesProfessor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg

Department of Earth and Environment

Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or

recommendations expressed in this material are

those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect

the views of the National Science Foundation.

Panel-workshop , Monday, May 2nd | 8:30 a.m. – 10:30 a.m.

Page 2: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg

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Resto

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doi:10.1

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1754.

Page 3: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg

Historic, Current, and Planned Flows

Page 4: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg

Everglades Agricultural Area Subsidence

Aich, S. and TW Dreschel, 2011, Evaluating Everglades peat carbon

loss using geospatial techniques, Florida Scientist 74 (1), 63

3-5 ft drop in WCAs

Page 5: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg
Page 6: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg

February 1, 2016.

Ten billion gallons of pollution-laden water was

pumped into Lake Okeechobee during four

days of emergency measures to avert South

Florida flooding, officials disclosed Monday.

Amid an already rainier-than-usual winter,

heavy rains last week triggered the

controversial "back pumping" of water from

South Florida's vast farming region, the

Everglades Agricultural Area, north into the

lake.

That helped protect lakeside towns as well as

sugar cane fields and vegetable farms from

flooding, but at the expense of allowing

fertilizers and other pollutants that wash off the

land to end up in the lake.

And that back pumping came at the same time

officials were starting to discharge water from

the swollen lake out to sea for flood control,

despite the potential environmental harm to

coastal fishing grounds. …

Page 7: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg

Lake Okeechobee Releases to St Lucie

Canal

Polluted fresh water from releases from Lake Okeechobee, near shore reefs off of Stuart and

Jupiter Island. http://earthjustice.org/blog/2016-february/south-florida-s-tourist-season-from-

hell# JACQUI THURLOW-LIPPISCH/JACQUITHURLOWLIPPISCH.COM

Page 8: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg
Page 9: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg

Stormwater Treatment Areas

http://my.sfwmd.gov/portal/page/portal/xrepository/sfwmd_repository_gif/map_stas.gif

Page 10: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg

http://my.sfwmd.gov/portal/page/portal/xweb%20protecting%20and%20restoring/water%2

0quality%20stormwater%20treatment%20areas

Page 11: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg

WCA to ENP

February 15, 2016

WCA 1 foot high (11.41

vs. 10.21 ft). Need pre-

wet season storage for

flood protection

Raise L-29 from 7.5 to

8.5 ft)

Page 12: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg

Everglades

Page 13: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg
Page 14: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg
Page 15: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg

Simard et al. 2006

Page 16: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg

Meanwhile, back in the city…

Pumping

to Tide

Temporary

Storage

Page 17: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg
Page 18: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg
Page 19: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg

Southeast Florida Regional Climate

Change Compact Unified SLR Projections

Page 20: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg

Downscaling Precipitation for Southern Florida

Projected Change in RainfallDownscaled precipitation – CMIP5 ensemble

Mann: USGS-FAU Precipitation Downscaling Technical Meeting, June 22 - 23, 2015

Page 21: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg

Downscaling Precipitation for Southern Florida

Page 22: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg

SFWMD Downscaling: Gage locations

Page 23: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg
Page 24: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg
Page 25: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg

Scenario generation

(Public

spending)

High

Medium

LowHig

h

Lo

wProactive

Business as

usual

Hig

h

Page 26: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg

Scenario generation

2015 2050

Land use change

Page 27: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg

Hydro-economic optimization

Objectives:

• Develop regional scale linked-node network model

• Optimize ecological and economic value of water allocations

• Quantify regional-level trade-offs

• Examine long term “robustness”

of optimized solutions under

different scenarios

Watkins, D., Kirby, K., and Punnett, R. (2004). ”Water for the

Everglades: Application of the South Florida Systems Analysis

Model.” J. Water Resour. Plann. Manage., 130(5), 359–366. doi:

10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9496(2004)130:5(359)

Page 28: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg

Hydro-economic optimization

“Trade-off’ or “Penalty” functions

at each node

Page 29: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg

Watkins, D., Kirby, K., and Punnett, R. (2004). ”Water for the Everglades: Application of the South Florida Systems

Analysis Model.” J. Water Resour. Plann. Manage., 130(5), 359–366. doi: 10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9496(2004)130:5(359)

Hydro-economic optimization

Everglades

Urban

Page 30: Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and ... · Water, Sustainability, and Climate Change: The use and misuse of water resources Professor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg

Decision Acceleration

http://nodejs-

hazsim.rhcloud.com/#!/sim/C5k0JZOZSf?re

directURL=http:%2F%2Fwww.cesp.miami.e

du%2F