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Trends of Oseltamivir Usage in the United States during the 2009 Influenza A (H1N1) Pandemic
CDR John K. Iskander LCDR Craig Hales
Charbel el-Bcheraoui Robert T. Chen
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Detection of Novel H1N1 Virus
• March 2009• 2 cases of febrile respiratory illness
in children (un-related, no pig contact)
• Residents of adjacent counties in southern California, ill in late March
• Novel swine influenza A (H1N1) virus detected at CDC on April 15th,17th
• Both viruses genetically identical• Contain a unique combination of
gene segments previously not recognized among swine or human influenza viruses in the United States
Retrospective evidence of respiratory illness outbreaks in Mexico (February/March)
April 26, 2009US declares National Public Health Emergency
June 11, 2009WHO declares Global pandemic of novel influenza A (H1N1) virus
Retrospective evidence of respiratory illness outbreaks in Mexico (February/March)
April 26, 2009US declares National Public Health Emergency
June 11, 2009WHO declares Global pandemic of novel influenza A (H1N1) virus
Pandemic H1N1: Disease burden estimates
• In United States, as of 3/13/2010:
– 59.98 million cases– 270, 435 hospitalizations– 12, 271 deaths
• Mean age of deaths 37 years
– Source: CDC website
Influenza Antivirals: Background• Treatment of suspected or confirmed influenza with antiviral medications
is one important strategy to reduce morbidity and mortality caused by the 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus (pH1N1)
• The pandemic strain has been susceptible to neuraminidase inhibitors (NAI) such as oseltamivir (> 99% of isolates)
• NAI (oseltamivir, zanamivir) antiviral treatment is recommended* as soon as possible for:
• All hospitalized patients with suspected, probable, or confirmed 2009 influenza A (H1N1) virus infection
• Outpatients with high-risk conditions (including children < 2 years old, pregnant women and women up to 2 weeks post-pregnancy, persons ages 65 and older, persons with chronic conditions - chronic lung disease, diabetes, etc.) with suspected, probable, or confirmed 2009 influenza A (H1N1) virus infection
* Current CDC Antiviral Treatment Recommendations for pH1N1 influenza http://www.cdc.gov/H1N1flu/recommendations.htm
Objectives
• To monitor the usage of influenza antivirals by pH1N1 age-specific risk groups, and to assess related geographic and time trends in the United States
• To evaluate effectiveness of CDC guidance on use of antiviral medicines
Monitoring of Influenza Antiviral Medication Usage
• Through BioSense*, CDC receives anti-infective prescription data from 27,000 pharmacies, representing approximately half of U.S. anti-infective prescription data
– Data include patient demographics (age and sex) and pharmacy zip code
*For more information see www.cdc.gov/biosense
System Description
• BioSense receives prescription data from an electronic prescriptions claims provider in all 50 states and Washington, D.C. as well as U.S. territories. Data are updated every 4 hours
• The data collected concern all prescriptions for anti-infective medicines and include the specific type (brand) and formulation dispensed
• These data cover about 50% of all anti-infective medicines prescribed in the states and represent prescriptions requested at retail pharmacies and approved to be covered by insurance companies
– Coverage range for prescription transactions for the 9 census divisions: mean 49.7%, range 42.9-60.7%
Pharmacies — 27,000 Active
Methods
• Rates of antiviral medication prescribing are calculated using population data from the U.S. Census, and are compared with national and regional measures of influenza disease activity
– % of visits for influenza-like illness (ILI) assessed through U.S. Outpatient Influenza-like Illness Surveillance Network (ILINet)
• We analyzed oseltamivir (Tamiflu®) prescribing data by age groups and federal regions from April through December 2009
Results
Nationwide rates of Rx of Oseltamivir by age groups, USA, 2007-2009
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
< 2 yo 2-4 yo 5-18 yo 19-64 yo > 64 yo
Nationwide rates of Oseltamivir prescribing by age groupsUSA, April-December 2009
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
< 2 yo 2-4 yo 5-18 yo 19-64 yo > 64 yo
DHHS Regions I-X
Regional rates of Rx of Oseltamivir by age groups, Federal Region 4,April-December 2009
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
< 2 yo 2-4 yo 5-18 yo 19-64 yo > 64 yo
Regional rates of Rx of Oseltamivir by age groups, Federal Region 9,April-December 2009
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
< 2 yo 2-4 yo 5-18 yo 19-64 yo > 64 yo
Summary of Results of Monitoring
• Nationally, highest rates of prescribing were seen shortly after detection of the pandemic in spring of 2009, as well as in September-October of 2009– Two distinct peaks seen in autumn of 2009
• Children (infants, pre-school age, and school age) were prescribed the medication at the highest rates
• Medication prescribing for all ages has sharply decreased since November 2009
Results Details
• School-age children (5-18 years) consistently had the highest prescribing rates, with a peak of > 500 prescriptions/100,000 population during September 2009
• Pre-school age children (2-4) had similar prescribing rates, reaching 450/100,000 in both September and October
• Patterns of prescribing for infants generally paralleled those seen for older children but with lower peak rates (350/100,000)
• After the initial May peak, prescribing rates for working age adults (18-64) and the elderly (65 and over) were < 200 courses/100,000
• Regional prescribing patterns clustered geographically, with prescribing rates in contiguous regions increasing and decreasing synchronously
Interpretation of findings
• Prescribing rates have been highest overall among pediatric age groups, who are at high risk of H1N1 illness
• Lower rates of prescribing for those 65 and over are
consistent with low rates of H1N1 disease in this age group
• Rates of prescribing were closely related to levels of influenza disease activity, both nationally and regionally
• Despite widespread prescribing of oseltamivir, so far no detection of significant levels of viral resistance or new safety concerns
Strengths and Limitations• Strengths
– Data updated frequently– Significant population coverage– Ability to generate age adjusted prescribing rates– Exploring ability to provide data linked to claims
• Limitations
– Ecologic analysis; no linkage to patient level diagnostic information – No data from hospital pharmacies– No coverage for self-pay or those with no prescription insurance
coverage
Conclusions
• Prescribing rates were highest overall among pediatric age groups, who are at high risk of H1N1 illness
• Rates of prescribing were closely related to levels of influenza disease activity, both nationally and regionally
Future (and Present) Uses of Pharmacy and other Drug Utilization Data
• Monitoring of both infectious and chronic diseases
• Use as denominator data for pharmaceutical safety/adverse event monitoring
• Use by Strategic National Stockpile (SNS) to monitor formulation shortages and adjust stockpile distribution
Antiviral Adverse Event Monitoring – Comparison by Season* December 31, 2009
*Note: AE data lagtime is 2-3 weeks.
Influenza Antiviral-Related Emergency Department Visits, 2006-2007 Season to PresentSource: DAWNLive!
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Oct
-06
No
v-0
6
De
c-0
6
Jan
-07
Fe
b-0
7
Ma
r-0
7
Ap
r-0
7
Ma
y-0
7
Jun
-07
Jul-
07
Au
g-0
7
Se
p-0
7
Oct
-07
No
v-0
7
De
c-0
7
Jan
-08
Fe
b-0
8
Ma
r-0
8
Ap
r-0
8
Ma
y-0
8
Jun
-08
Jul-
08
Au
g-0
8
Se
p-0
8
Oct
-08
No
v-0
8
De
c-0
8
Jan
-09
Fe
b-0
9
Ma
r-0
9
Ap
r-0
9
Ma
y-0
9
Jun
-09
Jul-
09
Au
g-0
9
Se
p-0
9
Oct
-09
No
v-0
9
De
c-0
9
Month-Year
No
. o
f R
epo
rts
Amantadine Rimantadine Oseltamivir Zanamivir
2007-2008 Season 2008-2009 Season2006-2007 Season
2009 H1N1
*Up-to-date through 12/31/09 (DAWN) and 12/26/09 (BioSense). Note: AE data lagtime is 2-3 weeks.
Antiviral AE Monitoring and Antiviral Dispensing, December 31, 2009
Influenza Antiviral-Related Emergency Department Visits (DAWN Live! ) and Influenza Antiviral Prescriptions (CDC BioSense), October 2008 - Present
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Oct-08 Nov-08 Dec-08 Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09
Month-Year
No
. of
Re
po
rts
0.0
200.0
400.0
600.0
800.0
1,000.0
1,200.0
1,400.0
No
. of
Pre
sc
rip
tio
ns
(I
n T
ho
us
an
ds
)
Amantadine Rimantadine Oseltamivir Zanamivir Influenza Antiviral Rx's
Acknowledgments
• Taha Kass-Hout and BioSense staff
• CAPT Anthony Fiore, Influenza Division, CDC
• CDR Dan Budnitz, Division of Healthcare Quality Promotion, CDC
Supplemental
Background on BioSense• BioSense is a national program intended to improve the
nation’s capabilities for conducting real-time biosurveillance, and enabling health situational awareness through access to existing data from healthcare organizations across the country
• BioSense receives, analyzes, and evaluates health data from numerous data sources such as emergency rooms, ambulatory care clinics, and clinical laboratories
• For more information: – www.cdc.gov/biosense – http://twitter.com/cdc_biosense
Location of BioSense Pharmacies (N≈27,000)
Antiviral AE Monitoring and Antiviral Dispensing, December 31, 2009