The Use of EMME/2 by Transek –an Overview

“Fantasy and imagination is the limit”

by

Göran Tegnér

Transek Consultants, Solna, Sweden

Presentation for the 19th International EMME/2 Users’ Conference in Seattle, 19-21 October

2005

Contents

115 EMME/2 installations in Scandinavia

Some National & Regional Applications

An international application:

The Yerevan Strategic Transport Model

Three recent Domestic Applications:

The Stockholm Congestion Charge Trials

The PRT Test Site at Kings’ Curve

The Vulnerability Project

More than 100 EMME/2 installations

in Scandinavia

The first Emme/2 installation in Europe Stockholm County Council Traffic Office 1984

EMME/2- the Standard Tool for Regional Planning

The Planned Bottleneck “Klarastrandsleden” => the very first EMME/2 application

• A then new central North-South By-pass: 2+2 or 1+1 lane

• Environmental reasons => 1+1 lane• The 1st EMME/2 study => substantial diversion to

inner city streets:• In reality this turned out to be the case

EMME/2 Sales in Scandinavia 1984-2005-by Customer Cathegory

Private Consultant

24%

Municipal & Regional planning agency

24%

State Authority32%

University12%

Transport Company

8%

In all: 115 installationsIn all: 115 installations

EMME/2 and Swedish State Railways

EMME/2 –the planning tool that brought together various skills

Traditional use of EMME/2 – network assignment of rail trips

A new application: Assignment of Revenues: ”Swedish Crowns” by Railway Line

EMME/2 and High Speed Rail Project Evaluations

EMME/2 has been used in the following High Speed And Regional Rail Projects in Sweden =>

The X 2000 Tilted Train Services

The ”Atlantic Line”

The ”East Coast Line”

The ”Norrbotnia Line”

The Svealandsbanan” Rail Line

SAMPERS & EMME/2 was used to do a backcasting to 1987

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Actual Rail trips

1987 elasticity model

Sampers – elasticity model

Sampers – complete network model

Index, 1987 = 100

Back casting: the East Coast High Speed Rail LineBackcasted train

trips=> 1 % differ-ence to 1987 reality

The elasticity & Sampers models underestimated train trips in 2000 => Comfort & convenience factors not included

The Öresund Road & Rail Bridge between Sweden & Denmark

Many choices =>

2 Sea Crossings (Helsingborg-Helsingör or Malmö-Copenhagen, ie Northern or Southern Strait of Öresund)

Frequency & Destination choices

Mode (Ferry, Car, Train, Bus) & Route Choice

High Quality Forecasts with EMME/2 for the Öresund Bridge - 11 Price

scenarios

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

Transek -91(S5) ÖK May -99 Actual (AADT)

Trucks & Buses

Privata cars

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

12 000

14 000

Transek -91(S5) Tetraplan -97 Actual flows

<= Transek Forecasts for Road Traffic => better than other ones

<= Transek Forecasts for Road Traffic => better than other ones

Transek Forecasts for Rail =>Traffic => better than other ones

Transek Forecasts for Rail =>Traffic => better than other ones

EMME/2: part of the winning concept in an International

Competition

SIKA –Swedish Institute for Transport and Communication Analysis

True International Competition => A new generation of Forecasting tools

Demand models for Regional/Urban, National and International trips

Assignment Models: EMME/2, TRIPS, VISUM

EMME/2 including the Time Table Assignment won the bid!

The Yerevan (Armenia) Strategic Transport Model

Base Network :

114 zones;

355 nodes,

1 336 one way links,

159 transit lines, of which

• 116 minibus lines• 31 bus lines• 2 metro lines• 8 trolley bus lines

Methods used:

Base network

Travel Survey

A Demand Frequency, Destination & Mode choice model coded as a Macro into EMME/2

Calibration against roadside traffic counts (cars) & On-board surveys (transit)

The Model work revealed a 30 % overestimation of the total population

The Model work revealed a 30 % overestimation of the total population

Transit flows in Yeravan

Car traffic flows in Yerevan

Scenarios for Transport Planning1. Base network 2002 with Actual vs.

Normal operation parameters

2. Year 2012 network with road network development and slightly higher fares (20%)

3. Year 2012 network with trams & trolleys replaced by buses and slightly higher fares (20%)

4. Year 2012 network without metro

5. Year 2012 network with slightly higher fares for the metro, double fare for the minibuses and with parking fees

Major Results - Yerevan Scenarios

0100000200000300000400000500000600000700000800000900000

car

pt

walk

Sum

The Stockholm Congestion Charge Trials

Goals=> Reduce car traffic by 10%-15 % on major

arterials

Improve the environment

Measures: 22nd August 2005: 5 % extended Transit

services (Direct Express buses to the CBD)

Congestion charges Trial 3rd-Jan to 31st July 2006.

A local referendum

The Charging Area of Stockholm:”Inner City” 06.30-06.59: 1,33 $

07.00-07.29: 2,00 $07.30-08.29: 2,67 $08.30-08-59: 2,00 $09.00-15.29: 1,33 $

15.30-15.59: 2,00 $16.00-17.29: 2,67 $17.30-17.59: 2,00 $18.00-18,29: 1,33 $18.30-06.29: 0 $

Changes of auto volumes on road network due to the congestion charges system (thousand of

vehicles average week day)

-17,9

-15.6 -17.9 +17.2

+16.7

-3.9 -4.8

-17,9

-15.6 -17.9 +17.2

+16.7

-3.9 -4.8

Stockholmcity center

Estimated Impacts of the Stockholm Congestion Pricing

SchemePer cent changes in traffic flows

+20%

+ 10%

0

-10%

-20%

-30%

Västerbron N -38%Centralbron N -15%Stadsgårdsleden V -47%Söderledstunneln N -26%Klarastrandsleden N -33%

Gröndalsbron N 8%

E4 Haga N -8%Roslagsvägen -24%Tranebergsbron -3%Värmdöleden -8%Nynäsvägen -9%Huddingevägen -7%E4/E20 Västertorp -6%

Personal Rapid Transit- a cost-effective, sustainable and

innovative transport system

Time for a Better System: PRT is an Innovative Transport System

Driverless vehicles waiting for you

No waiting, direct to destination

Travel in privacy and station on side-tracks

Investment 30 % of light rail

Service level of taxi

Operation cheaper than bus

Driverless vehicles waiting for you

No waiting, direct to destination

Travel in privacy and station on side-tracks

Investment 30 % of light rail

Service level of taxi

Operation cheaper than bus

Kungens Kurva Shopping Centre

Scandinavia’s largest Commercial Centre

4,500 employed

42,000 daily visitors today

63,500 projected visitors in 2015

23,000 cars per peak day

3,000 cars at peak hour

Scandinavia’s largest Commercial Centre

4,500 employed

42,000 daily visitors today

63,500 projected visitors in 2015

23,000 cars per peak day

3,000 cars at peak hour

Kungens Kurva

A PRT net for Kungens Kurva-Skärholmen

Phase 0: 1 loop: 3 km;5 stations; 8 vehicles;

Phase 1: 2 loops: 5,5 km; 11 stations: 45 vehicles

Phase 2: 3 loops: 8,3 km; 15 stations; 85 vehicles

Phase 0: 1 loop: 3 km;5 stations; 8 vehicles;

Phase 1: 2 loops: 5,5 km; 11 stations: 45 vehicles

Phase 2: 3 loops: 8,3 km; 15 stations; 85 vehicles

3-4 Times Higher Mode Share with PRT

Today; 5,6%

Today with PRT;

15%

In 2015 with PRT;

20%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Transit Mode Share

PRT Cheaper than LRT & BusInvestment and O&M Cost per passenger

0 €

1 €

2 €

3 €

4 €

5 €

6 €

7 €

8 €

9 €

10 €

5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000 50000

Pass/day

PRT

Bus

LRT

Metro & Rail

Network Impacts of PRT at King’s Curve

<= Yellow New PRT trips; Red=Reduced Bus trips; Green= increased Metro trips

<= Yellow New PRT trips; Red=Reduced Bus trips; Green= increased Metro trips

Red= reduced Car traffic2 remote parking-houses at the N & S entrances=> transfer from car to PRT =>

Red= reduced Car traffic2 remote parking-houses at the N & S entrances=> transfer from car to PRT =>

Regional accessibility from a Vulnerability Persective - A Road

Administration project

Aim of the project: to identify the most ”critical links”.

The chosen method was the following one:

Step 1 Calculate the total travel in the entire network with EMME/2

Step 2 Cut off one link at each step and calculate the total travel time loss in the network

Step 3 Search the link that produces the highest loss in total travel time. This is the “critical link”.

Selected Links

KINDA

VÄSTERVIK

VETLANDA

LINKÖPING

YDRE

EKSJÖ

JÖNKÖPING

NÄSSJÖ

VIMMERBY

MOTALA

NORRKÖPING

HULTSFRED

FALKÖPING

SÄVSJÖ

ULRICEHAMN

ANEBY

SKÖVDE

TRANEMO

GISLAVED

VAGGERYD

HJO

OSKARSHAMN

MJÖLBY

VARA

SKARA

HABO

BOXHOLM

ÅTVIDABERG

TRANÅS

VÄRNAMO

GNOSJÖ

TIDAHOLM

VALDEMARSVIK

GÖTENE

ÖDESHÖG

SÖDERKÖPING

TIBROLIDKÖPING

KARLSBORGTÖREBODA

FINSPÅNG NYKÖPING

MARIESTAD

HÖGSBY

VADSTENA

SVENLJUNGA

BORÅS

HERRLJUNGA

MULLSJÖ

BORGHOLM

VÄXJÖ UPPVIDINGE

LAXÅ

MÖNSTERÅS

OXELÖSUNDASKERSUND

ASKERSUND

A Truck Link

A Bus link

A private car link

Number of Work-places within 45 minutes

- a normal situation

KINDA

VÄSTERVIK

VETLANDA

LINKÖPING

YDRE

EKSJÖ

JÖNKÖPING

NÄSSJÖ

VIMMERBY

MOTALA

NORRKÖPING

HULTSFRED

FALKÖPING

SÄVSJÖ

ULRICEHAMN

ANEBY

SKÖVDE

TRANEMO

GISLAVED

VAGGERYD

HJO

OSKARSHAMN

MJÖLBY

VARA

SKARA

HABO

BOXHOLM

ÅTVIDABERG

TRANÅS

VÄRNAMO

GNOSJÖ

TIDAHOLM

VALDEMARSVIK

GÖTENE

ÖDESHÖG

SÖDERKÖPING

TIBROLIDKÖPING

KARLSBORGTÖREBODA

FINSPÅNG NYKÖPING

MARIESTAD

HÖGSBY

VADSTENA

SVENLJUNGA

BORÅS

HERRLJUNGA

MULLSJÖ

BORGHOLM

VÄXJÖ UPPVIDINGE

LAXÅ

MÖNSTERÅS

OXELÖSUNDASKERSUND

ASKERSUND

CNkommun

Open

3 400 - 30 000

30 000 - 50 000

50 000 - 80 000

80 000 - 120 000

120 000 - 188 800

Difference in accessibility with a closed link

- number of workplaces within 45 minutes

KINDA

VÄSTERVIK

VETLANDA

LINKÖPING

YDRE

EKSJÖ

JÖNKÖPING

NÄSSJÖ

VIMMERBY

MOTALA

NORRKÖPING

HULTSFRED

FALKÖPING

SÄVSJÖ

ULRICEHAMN

ANEBY

SKÖVDE

TRANEMO

GISLAVED

VAGGERYD

HJO

OSKARSHAMN

MJÖLBY

VARA

SKARA

HABO

BOXHOLM

ÅTVIDABERG

TRANÅS

VÄRNAMO

GNOSJÖ

TIDAHOLM

VALDEMARSVIK

GÖTENE

ÖDESHÖG

SÖDERKÖPING

TIBROLIDKÖPING

KARLSBORGTÖREBODA

FINSPÅNG NYKÖPING

MARIESTAD

HÖGSBY

VADSTENA

SVENLJUNGA

BORÅS

HERRLJUNGA

MULLSJÖ

BORGHOLM

VÄXJÖ UPPVIDINGE

LAXÅ

MÖNSTERÅS

OXELÖSUNDASKERSUND

ASKERSUND

CNkommun

Diff

-13 421 - -10 000

-9 999 - -8 000

-7 999 - -5 000

-4 999 - -3 000

-2 999 - -1

The most Critical Links in SE Road Region

Passenger car traffic

Passenger car traffic

Heavy truck trafiic

Heavy truck trafiic

”Fantasy and imagination is the limit”

I hope this presentation has showed a broad variety of (more or less… depending on who you are) successful but different EMME/2 Applications…

Many thanks for your attention!

//Göran Tegnér