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International Civil Aviation Organization

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Integrated Planning for Safety & Efficiency Benefits

Mohamed ElamiriDeputy Director, Air Navigation Bureau

ACI WorldMarrakech, 2 Novembre 2011

Outline

Air Navigation Integrated Planning • Optimizing Airspace Today• Tomorrow’s NeedsThe Status of Aviation Safety• Today’s Tools• Tomorrow’s Needs

ACI World, Marrakech, 2 Novembre 2011 3

4

Tools to Optimize Airspace Today

Safety, Standards

& Infrastructure

Performance‐based Navigation

Reductions in Separation Minima

Civil/Military Cooperation

Measuring Performance Enhancements

Aviation System Block Upgrades

Continuous ClimbOperations

Continuous DescentOperations

ACI World, Marrakech, 2 Novembre 2011

5

Tomorrow’s Needs

• Global framework is needed to ensure:– Safety is maintained and enhanced – ATM improvement programmes are harmonized– Barriers to future efficiency and environmental gains are removed, at reasonable cost


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Step 1Get Harmonization on the Global Agenda

• Initial NextGen/SESAR Symposium (2008)

• Convened Standards Organization Roundtable (2009)

• Established working agreements with Standards Organizations on shared work programmes


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Step 2Global Aviation System Block Upgrades

• Define global aviation system block upgrades

• For interoperability purposes

• Independent of when and where specific ATM improvement programmes are introduced


Why this approach?

The Reality of Our System Today…

8ACI World, Marrakech, 2 Novembre 2011

What is a Block Upgrade?


Canada

We Can Benefit From What Is Already Out There…

Australia

India

China

Russia


4 Blocks Upgrades are Proposed


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Understanding the Relationships

Optimum Capacity and Flexible Flights

Globally Interoperable

Systems and Data

Efficient Flight Path

Greener Airports

Performance Improvement

Areas

Block 0(Today)

Block 1(2018)

Block 2(2023)

Block 3(2028 & >)

B3‐15B2‐15B1‐15B0‐15

Module


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Step 3 Global Rollout & Feedback

• Held Global Air Navigation Industry Symposium– September 2011– Over 500 participants from Industry, States and International Organizations

• Platform established to enable continuous feedback

http://www2.icao.int/en/GANIS/Pages/Documentation.aspx


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Step 3 Continuing Feedback

• Collect feedback on Block Upgrades Working Document• Block Upgrade Working Document v2, November 2011• Proposed revision of Global Air Navigation Plan (GANP)

– Include technical roadmaps for CNS/AIM, based on ASBUs concept

– Internal review – March 2012– Public consultation – 30 June 2012

• In all 6 official ICAO languages

• Proposed GANP content will be discussed at AN‐Conf/12– 19‐30 November 2012


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Step 4International Agreement at AN‐Conf/12

• Montréal, 19‐30 November 2012• Opportunity to formalize future of infrastructure & equipage • Strategies for longer‐term requirements• Agreement of first series of block upgrades

– Level of certainty for all stakeholders – Encourage more efficient implementation

• Revised GANP– Operational capabilities to

manage ATM system requirements


– Today’s Tools‐ Reflective– Traffic Growth– Traffic and Accident trends– USOAP and CMA

– Tomorrow’s Needs –– Practicing Safety Management– Working as a System of Systems– Developing proactive safety indicators

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Status of Aviation Safety

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Global Traffic by Region (2006‐2010)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Dep

artures (M

illions)

APAC ESAF EUR/NAT MID NACC SAM WACAF

Sources: Official Airlines Guide (OAG) – Scheduled Commercial Traffic

Five year moving average

112122

138

113121

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Num

ber o

f Acciden

ts

Accidents and Fatal Accidents per YearScheduled Commercial Traffic – MTOW > 2250 kg

112122

138

113121

15 15 16 1319

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Num

ber o

f Acciden

ts

Accidents and Fatal Accidents per YearScheduled Commercial Traffic – MTOW > 2250 kg

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Global Accidents (2001‐2010)

Fatal Accidents

All Accidents

On average, 1 out of 7 accidents have been fatal over the past 10 years

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Runway Safety Related

System or Component Failure

Turbulence

Other

Loss of Control Inflight

Controlled Flight into Terrain

Unknown

Inflight Fire

Percentage of All Accidents

Accidents Fatal Accidents Fatalities

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%



Turbulence

Other



Unknown

Inflight Fire



0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%



Turbulence

Other



Unknown

Inflight Fire



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Accidents in Detail‐Main Killers

Accidents & Related Fatalities by Occurrence CategoriesScheduled Commercial Traffic – MTOW > 2 250 kg (Yrs 2006‐ 2010 )





ICAO SAFETY PRIORITIES

61.0%

40.3%

71.0%65.9% 65.8% 66.8%

36.4%

59.8%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%


Effective Im

plem

entatio

n %

61.0%

40.3%

71.0%65.9% 65.8% 66.8%

36.4%

59.8%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%


Effective Im

plem

entatio

n %

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Global USOAP Results Average Effective Implementation by Region

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Meeting Tomorrow’s Needs

Safety Priorities

Runway Safety

Loss of Control

CFIT

Information Sharing

Regulatory Authorities

Airlines

Airport Operators

ANSPs

CLARITY IMPROVEMENT

Government / Regulator

Carriers / Airlines

Aerodromes

Air Navigation Service Providers

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The Aviation System

Carriers / Airlines


Aerodromes


Carriers / Airlines


Aerodromes


Carriers / Airlines


Aerodromes


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SSP

Regulators Airlines AerodromesAir Navigation Services

GASP

Practicing Safety Management ‐As An Aviation System

SMS

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Extending our Safety Information

ICAO / ACI

Aerodromes

Compliance Score / USOAP‐CMA

Regulators

ICAO / IATA IOSA

Airlines

ICAO / CANSO

Air Navigation Services Providers

Complementing USOAP‐CMA with industry led indicators

Expanding Safety Analysis Capabilities

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http://www.icao.int/iSTARS

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Next Steps

• New GASP (2012) and GANP (2014) to serve as Strategic Plans

• First Safety REPORT by end 2011• First Infrastructure REPORT planned for 2014• Address the known killers: Runway safety and Loss of Control

• High‐level ICAO strategic planning document co‐signed by all major stakeholders

• Address Significant Safety Concerns and Reduce regional differences in safety performance


Working Together

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Global PlansGASP/GANP

Regional Plans

RASG/PIRG

National Plans

States International Organizations

Regional Organizations

Regulators

Service Providers

PARTNERS

Framework

Feedback

ICAO

Airspace users

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Working Together


Regional & Sub‐Regional Organizations

International Organizations

STATES

SAFETY

GASP Implementation

(GSIs)

Regional Aviation Safety Group

(RASG)

EFFICIENCY

GANP Implementation

(GPIs)

Planning Implementation Regional Group

(PIRG)

ICAO

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How ACI and ICAO can work together

• ACI APEX programme;• Aerodrome performance indicators; • Sharing of safety information;• Development and implementation of GASP and GANP;

• Global and regional ICAO initiatives.• Runway Safety


Thank you

• RASGS Operational• RASGS Planned

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Documents

THANKS TO OUR SPONSORS - Airports Council International Events/WAGA2011/presentations... · Module ACI World ... ACI World, ... SMS. 24 Extending our Safety Information ICAO / ACI