26
CHAPTER 3: SOCIOECONOMIC DATA Introduction The Laredo region benefits significantly from its location along the Interstate 35 corridor and its adjacency to Mexico. These factors have contributed to the fact that Webb County’s population has grown from just over 133,000 in 1990 to approximately 233,000 in 2007. Based upon the most recently developed estimates, the population is expected to more than double by the year 2035 with an estimated population of approximately 490,000. As a “gateway” to the United States and a dominant inland port along the US/Mexican border, smart investments in transportation infrastructure is important in meeting today’s needs and the future demands of the region. Current Socioeconomic Data Examining current and projected socioeconomic data in a region is an important step in determining present and future transportation requirements. Socioeconomic characteristics, such as population, size and number of households, and employment, are key variables that aid in understanding the traveling habits of the region’s population. Because most data is reported at the county level and because the MPO planning area accounts for nearly all of the population and employment in the county, countylevel data is presented throughout this chapter. Population Population data is considered the most important element of a region’s socioeconomic characteristics. Based on magnitude and location of population, decisions can be made to satisfy regional transportation needs. Table 31 indicates the total population for Webb County in 1990, 2000, and 2007, with comparative statistics for the State of Texas and the nation as a whole. Table 31: Population, Webb County, Texas, and United States 1990 2000 2007 Percent Change (19902000) Percent Change (20002007) Webb County 133,239 193,117 233,152 44.9% 20.7% State of Texas 16,986,510 20,851,820 23,904,380 22.8% 14.6% United States 248,709,873 281,421,906 301,621,159 13.2% 7.2% Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 2035 METROPOLITAN TRANSPORTATION PLAN 31

Loredo documet front and back cover with template · 2011-04-14 · Figur. e 3 ‐ 2: WebbCounty Employment, 1990 to 2008. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000. 90 92 1 9 9

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    1

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Loredo documet front and back cover with template · 2011-04-14 · Figur. e 3 ‐ 2: WebbCounty Employment, 1990 to 2008. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000. 90 92 1 9 9

       

         

                                                       

                                                                                 

                                                             

                                                                    

                                                                                          

                    

                                                                                         

                  

  

     

  

 

  

 

  

          

    

          

  

          

       

CHAPTER 3: SOCIOECONOMIC DATA

IntroductionThe Laredo region benefits significantly from its location along the Interstate 35 corridorand its adjacency to Mexico. These factors have contributed to the fact that Webb County’spopulation has grown from just over 133,000 in 1990 to approximately 233,000 in 2007.Based upon the most recently developed estimates, the population is expected to morethan double by the year 2035 with an estimated population of approximately 490,000. As a“gateway” to the United States and a dominant inland port along the US/Mexican border,smart investments in transportation infrastructure is important in meeting today’s needsand the future demands of the region.

Current Socioeconomic DataExamining current and projected socioeconomic data in a region is an important step indetermining present and future transportation requirements. Socioeconomiccharacteristics, such as population, size and number of households, and employment, arekey variables that aid in understanding the traveling habits of the region’s population.Because most data is reported at the county level and because the MPO planning areaaccounts for nearly all of the population and employment in the county, county‐level data ispresented throughout this chapter.

PopulationPopulation data is considered the most important element of aregion’s socioeconomic characteristics. Based on magnitudeand location of population, decisions can be made to satisfyregional transportation needs. Table 3‐1 indicates the totalpopulation for Webb County in 1990, 2000, and 2007, withcomparative statistics for the State of Texas and the nation as a whole.

Table 3‐1: Population, Webb County, Texas, and United States

1990 2000 2007

PercentChange(1990‐2000)

PercentChange(2000‐2007)

WebbCounty

133,239 193,117 233,152 44.9% 20.7%

State ofTexas

16,986,510 20,851,820 23,904,380 22.8% 14.6%

UnitedStates

248,709,873 281,421,906 301,621,159 13.2% 7.2%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

2 0 1 0 ‐ 2 0 3 5 METROPO L I T AN TRANS POR TAT I ON P LAN 3‐1

Page 2: Loredo documet front and back cover with template · 2011-04-14 · Figur. e 3 ‐ 2: WebbCounty Employment, 1990 to 2008. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000. 90 92 1 9 9

         

            

       

             

                  

          

        

      

 

                                                       

                                

                                             

                                                                              

         

                                                          

                                    

                                                        

                                                                             

                  

  

     

  

 

  

 

  

         

    

         

  

         

 

Figure 3‐1 displays population concentrations in the Laredoregion in terms of the number of people per acre for eachtraffic analysis zone (TAZ). Analyzing the distribution of peoplein a region is necessary in order to understand howtransportation improvements can affect different numbers ofpeople. Smarter infrastructure investments can be made bypinpointing transportation improvements in more denselypopulated areas that serve more people. This is especially truefor public transit, as the efficiency and effectiveness of publictransit is largely dependent on the number of people it canserve. The most densely populated areas of Laredo are theolder residential areas east of Interstate 35 and in thesoutheastern portion of the city.

HouseholdsThe number of households and the size of those householdshave an effect on the number of trips made within a givenregion. Larger households generally tend to generate moretrips than do smaller households. Similar to an increase inpopulation, an increase in the number of households correlatesto increased demand on a transportation system. Across the United States, the number ofhouseholds has increased while the size of households has decreased over time. This is dueto various cultural factors such the decrease in children per family and an increase in single‐parent households. Table 3‐2 presents the total number of households for Webb County in1990, 2000, and 2007, as provided by the U.S. Census Bureau.

A Traffic AnalysisZone (TAZ) is ageographic areadelineated bytransportation

planners within atravel demand

model. The modelestimates the

number of trips thatare generated

within and attractedto each zone based

upon thecharacteristics ofthe population and

employmentlocated within each

zone.

Table 3‐2: Households, Webb County, Texas, and United States

1990 2000 2007

PercentChange(1990‐2000)

PercentChange(2000‐2007)

WebbCounty

34,438 50,740 60,859 47.3% 19.9%

State ofTexas

6,070,937 7,393,354 8,095,025 21.8% 9.5%

UnitedStates

91,947,410 105,480,101 111,609,629 14.7% 5.8%

CHAP T E R 3 : SOC IO E CONOM I C DA TA3‐2

Page 3: Loredo documet front and back cover with template · 2011-04-14 · Figur. e 3 ‐ 2: WebbCounty Employment, 1990 to 2008. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000. 90 92 1 9 9

         

                  

 

                            

                                                

                                                      

   

                                                            

                                                                                       

Figure 3‐1: Population Density by Traffic Analysis Zone, 2007

EmploymentA region’s economy is largely dependent on the ability of workers to reach theirdestinations. In turn, a region’s transportation system must meet the needs of the users byproviding adequate circulation and connectivity. In transportation planning, employment isa major factor to consider because it generates a significant amount of trips. Therefore, it isessential to review important economic indicators in order to properly plan futuretransportation investments.

It is advantageous to assess employment changes at broad industrial levels in order to gaina general understanding of major differences in the labor force for a given region. Figure 3‐2below displays employment by major industrial sectors from 1990 until 2008 for WebbCounty. Compared with other industrial sectors, the Laredo region has benefited from thestrengths in the Trade, Transportation, and Utilities sector, as well as the Government andEducation & Health Services sectors.

2 0 1 0 ‐ 2 0 3 5 METROPO L I T AN TRANS POR TAT I ON P LAN 3‐3

Page 4: Loredo documet front and back cover with template · 2011-04-14 · Figur. e 3 ‐ 2: WebbCounty Employment, 1990 to 2008. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000. 90 92 1 9 9

         

                

   

     

   

   

   

     

 

          

 

                              

                

     

     

   

     

 

     

     

          

Figure 3‐2: Webb County Employment, 1990 to 2008

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

Trade, Transportation,&Utilities

Government

Educational &HealthServices

Leisure&Hospitality

Professional &BusinessServices

Information&FinancialActivities

Natural Resources,Mining,&Construction

OtherServices

Manufacturing

Source: Texas Workforce Commission, 2008

Figure 3‐3 shows the distribution of employment by various industry sectors in 2008 forWebb County.

Figure 3‐3: Webb County Employment by Sector, 2008

14.5%

24.0%

5.3%9.3%

1.4%

5.1%

2.7%

6.0%

31.7%

Educational &HealthServices

Government

Information&Financial Activities

Leisure&Hospitality

Manufacturing

Natural Resources,Mining,&ConstructionOtherServices

Professional &BusinessServices

Trade, Transportation,&Utilities

Source: Texas Workforce Commission, 2008

CHAP T E R 3 : SOC IO E CONOM I C DA TA3‐4

Page 5: Loredo documet front and back cover with template · 2011-04-14 · Figur. e 3 ‐ 2: WebbCounty Employment, 1990 to 2008. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000. 90 92 1 9 9

         

   

                                                                             

          

          

             

            

           

             

            

             

          

                 

            

           

            

        

                 

         

            

               

           

              

            

          

         

Major Employers

Based on information from the Laredo Development Foundation, the following table is a listof the top 20 major employers in the Laredo region. As shown, the largest employers in theLaredo region tend to be in the public sector.

Table 3‐3: Major Employers, 2008

Number ofEmployees Employer Sector Type

Over 2,000 City of Laredo Public Municipal

Laredo Independent SchoolDistrict Public Education

United Independent SchoolDistrict Public Education

1,500 to 1,999 HEB Grocery Private Grocery

Laredo Community College Public Education

Laredo Sector Border Patrol Public Immigration

Webb County Public County

1,000 to 1,499 Convergys Call Center Private Call Center

Laredo Medical Center Private Medical

McDonald's Restaurant Private Fast Food

Texas A&M InternationalUniversity Public Education

Wal‐Mart Private Retail

500 to 999 Compass Bank (formerly LNB) Private Financial

Doctor's Hospital Private Medical

International Bank ofCommerce Private Financial

200 to 499 Falcon International Bank Private Financial

Laredo Entertainment Center Private Arena

Paul Young Auto Group Private Retail

Stripes Convenience Stores Private Retail

Target Greatland Private Retail

Source: Laredo Development Foundation, 2008

2 0 1 0 ‐ 2 0 3 5 METROPO L I T AN TRANS POR TAT I ON P LAN 3‐5

Page 6: Loredo documet front and back cover with template · 2011-04-14 · Figur. e 3 ‐ 2: WebbCounty Employment, 1990 to 2008. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000. 90 92 1 9 9

         

                                                            

                                                                         

                                                    

 

              

 

Not only is it important to consider employment levels in major industry sectors and majoremployers, but it is also useful to consider the relative locations of all employment within aregion. Figure 3‐4 below shows the employment density per acre for the Laredo region. Inevaluating transportation improvement options, it is useful to identify concentrations ofemployment to assess the relative locations of major travel destinations. Employment withthe Laredo region is primarily located within the urban core and along major arterialfacilities. In addition, there is high concentration of employment within the area’s industrialparks.

Figure 3‐4: Employment Density by TAZ, 2008

CHAP T E R 3 : SOC IO E CONOM I C DA TA3‐6

Page 7: Loredo documet front and back cover with template · 2011-04-14 · Figur. e 3 ‐ 2: WebbCounty Employment, 1990 to 2008. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000. 90 92 1 9 9

         

              

                                                

                        

                                                                                     

                             

                                                                 

                                

                                               

                                

                                      

                                                                     

                                    

                                                                                                 

 

Environmental JusticeEnvironmental justice seeks to provide anequitable distribution of both benefits andadverse impacts borne of public policydecisions. These decisions could refer to, forexample, the equal distribution of clean airand water, parks, healthcare, education, andtransportation. In particular, Title VI of theCivil Rights Act of 1964 states, “No person inthe United States shall, on the ground ofrace, color, or national origin be excludedfrom participation in, be denied the benefitsof, or be subjected to discrimination underany program or activity receiving Federalfinancial assistance."

Then, in 1994 Executive Order 12898mandated that every federal agency wasresponsible for incorporating environmentaljustice concerns into their programs, policies, and activities. In doing so, the U.S.Department of Transportation (USDOT) issued its own mandate to ensure thatenvironmental justice concerns were addressed in transportation decisions, including thoseof transportation planning agencies. As defined by USDOT, the three fundamentalenvironmental justice principles include the following:

• To avoid, minimize, or mitigate disproportionately high and adverse humanhealth and environmental effects, including social and economic effects, onminority populations and low‐income populations.

• To ensure the full and fair participation by all potentially affected communities inthe transportation decision‐making process.

• To prevent the denial of, reduction in, or significant delay in the receipt ofbenefits by minority and low‐income populations.

In order to account for environmental justice concerns in relation to transportationinvestments, 2000 data from the U.S. Census Bureau were used in order to identifypopulation characteristics and geographic distributions of minority, low income, elderly,and the disabled population. Furthermore, because of Laredo’s special circumstances, theexistence and locations of “colonias” were also considered.

MinoritiesUSDOT has defined five minimum race categories for environmental justice considerations,including African‐American, Hispanic, Asian, Native American or Alaskan Native, and NativeHawaiian or Other Pacific Islander. Table 3‐4 illustrates the 2007 racial distribution of theLaredo region and compares it with the rest of Texas and the United States.

2 0 1 0 ‐ 2 0 3 5 METROPO L I T AN TRANS POR TAT I ON P LAN 3‐7

Page 8: Loredo documet front and back cover with template · 2011-04-14 · Figur. e 3 ‐ 2: WebbCounty Employment, 1990 to 2008. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000. 90 92 1 9 9

         

            

     

  

           

         

               

                 

         

                   

             

               

         

                   

         

                                                         

                

        

           

           

       

                                                                                                    

 

 

Table 3‐4: Population by Race, 2007

Webb UnitedRace County Percent Texas States

One race 224,765 98.7% 98.3% 97.9%

White 169,527 74.5% 70.6% 74.1%

Black or African American 775 0.3% 11.5% 12.4%

American Indian and Alaska Native 863 0.4% 0.5% 0.8%

Asian 1,246 0.5% 3.3% 4.3%

Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander 51 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%

Some other race 52,303 23.0% 12.3% 6.2%

Two or more races 2,813 1.3% 1.7% 2.1%

Total 277,068 100% 100% 100%

Hispanic or Latino (of any race) 215,441 94.7% 35.5% 14.7%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2007

Low IncomeBased on 2007 U.S. Census Bureau estimates, the median household income and medianfamily income for Webb County, Texas, and the United States are shown in Table 3‐5.

Table 3‐5: Median Household and Family Income, 2007

WebbCounty Texas United States

Median Household Income $34,236 $46,248 $50,007

Median Family Income $35,471 $54,165 $60,374

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Figure 3‐5 below displays the density of families considered below the national povertylevel in 2000 by census block groups. This is useful in determining any concentrations ofpoverty within the Laredo region. In particular, the largest concentrations of families livingbelow the poverty level were within the central city of Laredo.

C HAP T E R 3 : SOC IO E CONOM I C DA TA3‐8

Page 9: Loredo documet front and back cover with template · 2011-04-14 · Figur. e 3 ‐ 2: WebbCounty Employment, 1990 to 2008. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000. 90 92 1 9 9

         

                      

 

                      

                                                

Figure 3‐5: Density of Families in Poverty by Block Group, 2000

ElderlyBesides minority and low‐income populations, other populations that should be consideredin relation to transportation needs are the elderly and people with disabilities, becausethese populations are more likely to be dependent on public transportation services.

2 0 1 0 ‐ 2 0 3 5 METROPO L I T AN TRANS POR TAT I ON P LAN 3‐9

Page 10: Loredo documet front and back cover with template · 2011-04-14 · Figur. e 3 ‐ 2: WebbCounty Employment, 1990 to 2008. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000. 90 92 1 9 9

         

                                               

                                                            

                           

                      

 

                                

                                                            

According to 2007 U.S. Census Bureau estimates, approximately 18,261 people, or 8 percentof the population, in Webb County were 65 years or older.

Figure 3‐6 below displays the density of people aged 65 or older in 2000 by census blockgroups. This is useful in determining any concentrations of elderly within the Laredo region.As shown, the largest concentration of elderly occurred in the central city of Laredo.

Figure 3‐6: Density of Persons over 65 by Block Group, 2000

DisabledAs defined by the Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA), a person has a disability if thatindividual has “a physical or mental impairment that substantially limits one or more of themajor life activities of such individual, a record of such an impairment, or is being regarded

3‐10 CHAP T E R 3 : SOC IO E CONOM I C DA TA

Page 11: Loredo documet front and back cover with template · 2011-04-14 · Figur. e 3 ‐ 2: WebbCounty Employment, 1990 to 2008. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000. 90 92 1 9 9

         

                                                  

   

                                                                                                    

                    

 

as having such an impairment.” According to 2007 U.S. Census Bureau estimates,approximately 31,035 of the population five years and over, or about 15.8 percent, wereconsidered disabled.

Figure 3‐7 below shows the density of the population five years and over that wasconsidered disabled in 2000 by census block groups. This is important for determining anyconcentrations of disabled populations within the Laredo region. As shown, the largestconcentration of disabled people occurred within the central city of Laredo.

Figure 3‐7: Density of Disabled Persons by Block Group, 2000

2 0 1 0 ‐ 2 0 3 5 METROPO L I T AN TRANS POR TAT I ON P LAN 3‐11

Page 12: Loredo documet front and back cover with template · 2011-04-14 · Figur. e 3 ‐ 2: WebbCounty Employment, 1990 to 2008. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000. 90 92 1 9 9

         

                                                 

                                              

                                            

           

                                                                   

      

 

Colonias“Colonia” is the Spanish term for a community or neighborhood. Within Texas, colonias aredefined as economically distressed residential areas located in unincorporated land alongthe US‐Mexico border, often lacking basic public infrastructure, including potable water,sewer systems, electricity, paved roads, and safe and sanitary housing. Residents of coloniasare mostly low‐income individuals seeking access to affordable living accommodations.Moreover, colonias are usually located on undesirable land such as floodplains and inunincorporated areas with looser governmental regulations.

Figure 3‐8 displays the locations of colonias within the Laredo region. When consideringthese areas, it is important to take into account transportation improvements, as well aspublic transit needs of these more rural areas.

Figure 3‐8: Colonias

3‐12 CHAP T E R 3 : SOC IO E CONOM I C DA TA

Page 13: Loredo documet front and back cover with template · 2011-04-14 · Figur. e 3 ‐ 2: WebbCounty Employment, 1990 to 2008. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000. 90 92 1 9 9

         

                                        

                                                                                                      

                                                              

           

                        

                                            

                                                             

                              

                     

   

  

  

  

  

  

    

         

       

         

       

                                                                                                                                                                                      

Other Transportation related Socioeconomic StatisticsAnalyzing transportation data such as how people travel to work, the time it takes to reachwork, vehicle miles traveled, availability of vehicles, and the number of registered vehicles ishelpful in understanding transportation needs and trends. Increased travel time to workcould correspond with an expanding population as well as a congested transportationnetwork. The ways in which people travel to work may indicate the importance of certaintypes of modes over others. The availability of vehicles or the number of registered vehiclescould be related to the number of people driving to work. All of these issues are importantin identifying improvements in transportation infrastructure.

Travel time to WorkTable 3‐6 below shows a breakdown of commuters accordingto the amount of time it takes to travel to work on a dailybasis for Webb County, Texas, and the United States.Compared to the rest of Texas and the U.S., people in WebbCounty spend less time commuting to work. This is notsurprising as the urbanized area of Webb County is generallysmaller in area and more compact, which enables commutersto spend less time traveling to work.

Table 3‐6: Percent of Commuters by Travel time to Work, 2007

TotalCommuters

<15min.

15‐29min.

30‐44min.

45‐59min.

60+min.

MeanTravel Time

Webb County 80,789 33.1% 44.7% 15.2% 3.7% 3.3% 19.7 min.

Texas 10,027,376 28.5% 36.2% 20.4% 7.7% 7.1% 24.7 min.

United States 131,558,218 29.0% 36.0% 19.5% 7.5% 8.0% 25.1 min.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Figure 3‐9 displays the number of workers in Webb County according to their dailycommute time for 1990, 2000, and 2007. As shown, the number of workers commuting hasincreased, which further indicates an increased level of use of the region’s transportationnetwork. This also corresponds with the overall increase in population for the region.Longer commute times can also correlate with increased congestion and people livingfurther from their workplace. Moreover, with the increase in travel time and more peopleusing the transportation system, this can also indicate increased congestion problems incertain areas.

2 0 1 0 ‐ 2 0 3 5 METROPO L I T AN TRANS POR TAT I ON P LAN 3‐13

Page 14: Loredo documet front and back cover with template · 2011-04-14 · Figur. e 3 ‐ 2: WebbCounty Employment, 1990 to 2008. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000. 90 92 1 9 9

         

                     

        

                                                                                                

                                                          

         

                   

              

     

  

  

   

 

Figure 3‐9 Travel time to work, Webb County, 1990, 2000, 2007

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

<15 15‐29 30‐44 45‐59 60+

Travel Time(inminutes)

1990

2000

2007

Num

berof

Commuters

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Vehicle Miles TraveledVehicle miles traveled (VMT) is the total amount of all miles traveled by all vehicles on allpublic roads. Figure 3‐10 displays the total daily VMT for Webb County from 1998 to 2007.Increased VMT is also related to population growth and expansion and may further indicatethat people are living further from their workplace. Additionally, a region’s income andeconomy may also be a reflection of the use and access of personal vehicles, which in turn,will cause VMT to increase.

Figure 3‐10: Daily Vehicle Miles of Travel for Webb County

2,500,000

2,750,000

3,000,000

3,250,000

3,500,000

3,750,000

4,000,000

4,250,000

4,500,000

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Year

DailyVeh

icleMilesof

Travel

Source: TxDOT Transportation Planning and Programming Division

3‐14 CHAP T E R 3 : SOC IO E CONOM I C DA TA

Page 15: Loredo documet front and back cover with template · 2011-04-14 · Figur. e 3 ‐ 2: WebbCounty Employment, 1990 to 2008. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000. 90 92 1 9 9

         

                                                                                                                                 

                                                        

               

          

                 

         

       

         

            

     

           

       

                                        

                                                                            

                            

                

                 

        

                 

         

       

         

                   

           

       

Means of Transportation to WorkTable 3‐7 displays the percentage of workers in Webb County, Texas, and the United Statesthat used a certain type of transportation to commute to work in 2007. Of note, moreworkers in Webb County tended to carpool or use public transportation as compared to allworkers in Texas. As compared with the rest of Texas, Webb County has more people belowthe national poverty level. In general, people in poorer economic situations are less likely tohave access to a personal vehicle and must rely on alternative modes of transportation.

Table 3‐7: Means of Transportation to Work, 2007

Webb County Texas United States

Total (workers 16 years and older): 83,800 10,391,858 136,926,294

Drove alone 76.0% 78.7% 76.1%

Carpooled 14.8% 12.5% 10.6%

Public transportation 2.1% 1.7% 4.8%

Taxicab, motorcycle, bicycle, walked,or other means

3.5% 3.6% 4.5%

Worked at home 3.6% 3.5% 3.9%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Table 3‐8 indicates the percentage of workers (who are 16years and older) in Webb County that used a certain typeof transportation to commute to work in 1990, 2000, and2007. As shown, the percentage of people that drovealone increased from both 1990 to 2000 and from 2000 to2007. This increase directly relates to the decrease in thepercentage of people that carpooled, used publictransportation, or used an alternative means (such aswalking or biking) during the same time periods.

Table 3‐8: Means of Transportation to Work, Webb County

1990 2000 2007

Total (workers 16 years and older) 44,910 61,256 83,800

Drove alone 68.1% 71.5% 76.0%

Carpooled 20.5% 19.3% 14.8%

Public transportation 3.3% 2.5% 2.1%

Taxicab, motorcycle, bicycle, walked, or other means 5.8% 3.8% 3.5%

Worked at home 2.4% 2.9% 3.6%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

2 0 1 0 ‐ 2 0 3 5 METROPO L I T AN TRANS POR TAT I ON P LAN 3‐15

Page 16: Loredo documet front and back cover with template · 2011-04-14 · Figur. e 3 ‐ 2: WebbCounty Employment, 1990 to 2008. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000. 90 92 1 9 9

         

                                                                                        

                                                        

                                      

             

          

            

           

           

           

           

           

               

       

                                                                                                              

                                 

               

     

  

        

Vehicle AvailabilityTable 3‐9 indicates the vehicle availability of households in Webb County, Texas, and theUnited States in 2007. As shown, a larger percentage of households were less likely to haveaccess to any vehicle as compared to Texas and the United States. Further, morehouseholds in Texas and the United States were more likely to own two vehicles ascompared to the Laredo region. This has further implications for the use of alternativemodes of transportation in the Laredo region, as the availability of vehicles directly relatesto the use of personal transportation.

Table 3‐9: Number of Vehicles Available, 2007

Webb County Texas United States

Total Vehicles (for allhouseholds) 60,859 8,095,025 111,609,629

No vehicle available 9.8% 6.2% 8.8%

1 vehicle available 36.1% 35.1% 33.1%

2 vehicles available 36.3% 40.8% 38.1%

3 vehicles available 12.4% 13.3% 14.1%

4 vehicles available 3.9% 3.5% 4.3%

5 or more vehicles available 1.4% 1.1% 1.6%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Figure 3‐11 displays the vehicle availability for households in Webb County for the years1990, 2000, and 2007. In particular, the percentage of households owning only one or novehicles decreased over time, while the percentage of households owning two or three carsincreased over time. This occurrence also directly relates to the increase in driving aloneand the decrease in carpooling, use of public transportation, and alternative means duringthe same time period.

Figure 3‐11: Number of Vehicles Available, Webb County

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

0 1 2 3 4 5

Number of Vehicles Available

1990

2000

2007

Percen

tage

ofHou

seho

lds

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

3‐16 CHAP T E R 3 : SOC IO E CONOM I C DA TA

Page 17: Loredo documet front and back cover with template · 2011-04-14 · Figur. e 3 ‐ 2: WebbCounty Employment, 1990 to 2008. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000. 90 92 1 9 9

         

                                                                                                                                            

                 

       

  

     

  

 

  

 

         

    

    

             

                     

            

                  

                                          

                                         

                           

                                      

                        

Registered VehiclesTable 3‐10 displays the number of registered vehicles for 1991, 1999, and 2007 for WebbCounty and Texas. As shown, the number of vehicles registered continually increased foreach year for both Texas and Webb County. However, Webb County’s registered vehiclesincreased by a larger percentage both from 1991 to 1999 and from 1999 to 2007. Thisincrease in registered vehicles relates to the increase in vehicle availability, use of personaltransportation, and total vehicle miles traveled in Webb County.

Table 3‐10: Registered Vehicles

Percent PercentChange Change

1991 1999 2007(1991‐ (1999‐1999) 2007)

WebbCounty 81,410 104,008 153,906 27.76% 47.98%

Texas 14,420,265 17,724,030 21,459,459 22.91% 21.08%

Source: TxDOT, Vehicle Titles and Registration Division

Future SocioEconomic DataBy year 2035, Laredo metropolitanregion is anticipated toaccommodate approximately485,000 people, more than doublingthe year 2008 population. Table 3‐11shows historical population valuesand future population projectionprovided by the Texas state datacenter for Webb County. The StateData Center produced a series of fourpopulation projection scenarios. Eachscenario differs by the assumptionsrelative to net migration. The 0.0Migration Scenario assumes that in‐migration and out‐migration areequal resulting in growth onlythrough natural increase. The 0.5Migration Scenario assumes rates ofnet migration one‐half of those ofthose experienced during the 1990s,and the 1.0 Migration Scenarioassumes that migration patterns ofthe 1990s will continue to occur inthe future. Scenario 2000 – 2007

2 0 1 0 ‐ 2 0 3 5 METROPO L I T AN TRANS POR TAT I ON P LAN 3‐17

Page 18: Loredo documet front and back cover with template · 2011-04-14 · Figur. e 3 ‐ 2: WebbCounty Employment, 1990 to 2008. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000. 90 92 1 9 9

         

                                                      

                                  

             

 

                    

   

   

   

   

         

         

         

         

         

         

         

         

                                                                                                              

                                            

                     

               

               

               

                                                          

                                                 

               

assumes that migration patterns from year 2000 to 2007 will continue to occur in thefuture. The Texas State Data Center recommends the 0.5 Migration Scenario as appropriatefor most Texas counties as this scenario reflects slower but steadier growth than thatexperienced in the 1990s.

Table 3‐11: Population Projections for Webb County

Population

ScenarioYear Scenario 0 Scenario 0.5 Scenario 1 2000‐2007

1970 72,859

1980 99,258

1990 133,239

2000 193,117

2005 217,625 226,862 236,249 224,Ex575

2010 242,258 263,727 286,370 257,590

2015 266,060 302,631 341,794 288,968

2020 290,189 344,135 402,259 318,283

2025 315,924 388,512 466,388 345,969

2030 343,746 437,726 536,379 372,899

2035 372,352 490,418 610,917 398,062

Source: Texas State Data Center

The Laredo MPO has accepted the 0.5 scenario for use in its long‐range transportationplanning process. In so doing, the population of Webb County located within the MPOplanning area has been estimated to be 485,206 for the year 2035. Likewise, the MPO hasestimated that future employment within the planning area will more than double from95,961 in year 2008 to approximately 202,100 in year 2035. Table 3‐12 presents the currentand forecasted values for both population and employment.

Table 3‐12: Population and Employment Forecast for Laredo MPO Planning Area

2008 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

Population 220,692 233,954 270,701 313,219 362,416 419,341 485,206

Employment 91,124 96,663 112,029 129,837 150,476 174,397 202,119

Future Growth PatternsThe location and distribution of this growth will impactfuture transportation demands on the Laredo region. In aneffort to predict this impact, both the future population andemployment levels were distributed to the 514 internalTraffic Analysis Zones (TAZs) within the Laredo region’stravel demand model. This model is used to measure thetransportation impacts of the projected growth and test

3‐18 CHAP T E R 3 : SOC IO E CONOM I C DA TA

Page 19: Loredo documet front and back cover with template · 2011-04-14 · Figur. e 3 ‐ 2: WebbCounty Employment, 1990 to 2008. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000. 90 92 1 9 9

         

                                                

                                    

                                                                                                 

                                    

                                                                                 

                 

         

 

transportation system improvements to address these impacts. The allocation andassignment of future growth through the TAZs in Laredo region was performed in a twostep process; first by identifying currently planned developments, and then by identifyingareas most likely to experience long‐term growth.

Planned DevelopmentsFinal and preliminary plats submitted to the city represent the planned developments.Based upon information from city planning staff, approximately 16,900 acres in the regionhave been platted for development. Figure 3‐12 shows the platted developments, whichaccount for more than 28,000 residential lots and 2,500 acres of commercial/industrialdevelopment. These planned developments are expected to support 121,300 new residentsand bring 67,020 new jobs to the region.

Substantial development is expected along the Loop 20, SH 359, and US 83 on the southside of Laredo. Based on the plans submitted for approval, population and employmentwere developed for these plotted developments. This growth was then allocated to therespective TAZs where the development is expected to occur.

Figure 3‐12: Platted Developments

2 0 1 0 ‐ 2 0 3 5 METROPO L I T AN TRANS POR TAT I ON P LAN 3‐19

Page 20: Loredo documet front and back cover with template · 2011-04-14 · Figur. e 3 ‐ 2: WebbCounty Employment, 1990 to 2008. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000. 90 92 1 9 9

         

 

                                                

                       

              

    

         

         

             

             

                 

                                  

                                                  

         

                                  

                                         

                                             

                                                      

                         

       

       

 

     

   

                                                                                       

By adding the current 2008 population and employment values to those anticipated tooccur within the planned developments, a significant portion of the population andemployment expected to be in place by 2035 can be accurately located.

Table 3‐13: Long‐term Population and Employment Growth

Population Employment

Year 2008 (a) 220,692 91,124

Planned Developments (b) 121,295 67,060

“Located” Growth (c = a+b) 341,987 158,184

Year 2035 Control Total (d) 485,206 202,119

“To Be Located” Growth (e = d‐c) 143,219 43,935

“To Be Located” GrowthAs presented in Table3‐13, an additional 143,219 residents and 43,935 jobs had to beaccounted for to reach the 2035 population and employment control totals. To allocatewhere this growth will occur, a suitability analysis was performed that assigned an“attraction” factor for each TAZ.

Suitability analysis is a technique used to categorizelocations according to a set of criteria that define anarea’s attractiveness for development. Each aspect ofland has intrinsic characteristics that are in somedegree either suitable or not suitable fordevelopment. There are many factors that influenceand drive the growth or expansion of urban areas.The analysis performed to estimate the locations ofadditional population and employment considerednatural resources, infrastructure, and otherinformation to identify land most suited for development, as well as those areas in whichdevelopment should be avoided.

The following factors were assumed to drive future developments in the Laredo region:

• Availability of Developable Land

• Proximity to Major Roads

• Accessibility

• Proximity to Downtown

• Planned Developments

For this analysis, a linear relationship was assumed to exist between the likelihood of thedevelopment of land in a TAZ and its attraction factors. That is, the probability of theoccurrence of development within a TAZ was directly related to a TAZ’s attraction factor.

3‐20 CHAP T E R 3 : SOC IO E CONOM I C DA TA

Page 21: Loredo documet front and back cover with template · 2011-04-14 · Figur. e 3 ‐ 2: WebbCounty Employment, 1990 to 2008. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000. 90 92 1 9 9

         

                                                        

      

                

 

 

Figure 3‐13 shows the attraction factors developed for the TAZs with the Laredo MPOplanning area. The “to be located” growth was distributed to each TAZ based upon eachTAZs attraction factor.

Figure 3‐13: Attraction Factors by Traffic Analysis Zone

2 0 1 0 ‐ 2 0 3 5 METROPO L I T AN TRANS POR TAT I ON P LAN 3‐21

Page 22: Loredo documet front and back cover with template · 2011-04-14 · Figur. e 3 ‐ 2: WebbCounty Employment, 1990 to 2008. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000. 90 92 1 9 9

         

                                                                           

 

              

               

   

   

                                   

   

 

Next, the growth from planned developments was added to the “to be located” growth toestimate the distribution of population and employment growth for year 2035. Figure 3‐14(population) and Figure 3‐15 (employment) present the results of this exercise.

Figure 3‐14: Development of 2035 Population Projection

Base Year Population (a) Planned Development Population (b)

Total 2035 PopulationEstimated Additional Population (c) (d = a+b+c)

3‐22 CHAP T E R 3 : SOC IO E CONOM I C DA TA

Page 23: Loredo documet front and back cover with template · 2011-04-14 · Figur. e 3 ‐ 2: WebbCounty Employment, 1990 to 2008. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000. 90 92 1 9 9

         

              

            

 

   

   

      

                       

   

 

                                                          

                                                  

Figure 3‐15: Development of 2035 Employment Projection

Planned Development EmploymentBase Year Employment (a) (b)

Estimated Additional Employment Total 2035 Employment(c) (d = a+b+c)

Finally, to determine the final population and employment levels for each TAZ in the year2035, this new growth was added to the base year population and employment levels andto the growth from planned developments. The resultant socioeconomic data was theninput into the regional travel demand model in order to analyze future travel patterns.

2 0 1 0 ‐ 2 0 3 5 METROPO L I T AN TRANS POR TAT I ON P LAN 3‐23

Page 24: Loredo documet front and back cover with template · 2011-04-14 · Figur. e 3 ‐ 2: WebbCounty Employment, 1990 to 2008. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000. 90 92 1 9 9

         

                                       

                                                          

                                                               

                                                                                                                              

                                         

                          

                              

                                                   

                                                                                                                          

                                                              

                                      

                              

                                    

                                      

                                                         

                         

Nuevo LaredoA discussion about the socioeconomic profile of the Laredowould not be complete without some mention of its sistercommunity across the Rio Grande River. While NuevoLaredo is outside the formal U.S. metropolitan planningarea, the impact of its growth and development is directlyfelt by the Laredo region.

At one time, the settlement surrounding Laredo was onecommunity. However, with the signing of the Treaty ofGuadalupe Hidalgo in 1848 that established the Rio Grande River as the border between theUnited States and Mexico, Nuevo Laredo was founded thereafter on the south side of theRio Grande with people who wanted to remain Mexican citizens. Therefore, Laredo andNuevo Laredo share common historical and cultural ties. Today, that bond can still be feltthrough the daily international crossings of people and goods, as well as the sharedeconomic circumstances as important inland ports of entry.

Nuevo Laredo’s growing population and similar economicsituation directly influences various aspects of the Laredoregion and its transportation system, including theinternational bridges, roadways, bicycle and pedestrianfacilities, railways, and the transit system. In particular,many Nuevo Laredo residents cross the internationalbridges daily to enjoy the wide and varied retailopportunities that Laredo has to offer. This especially

affects the downtown area of Laredo and its street network with the daily foot traffic andpedestrian border crossings.

Nuevo Laredo, a city within the Mexican state of Tamaulipas, is the most important Mexicangateway to the U.S in terms of freight and as well as the chief point of entry for U.S. touristsdriving to Mexico. According to the border crossing and entry data maintained by theBureau of Transportation Statistics, nearly 32% of the truck volumes coming from Mexico tothe U.S. used Nuevo Laredo as the port of entry in 2006. Moreover, based on GlobalInsight’s World Trade Model, of the 109.7 million metric tons of cargo carried by rail andtruck north and south across the U.S.‐Mexico border in 2006, nearly 46% traveled throughthe Nuevo Laredo port of entry.

According to the National Institute of Statistics andGeography (INEGI), the city’s population grew from 308,828in 2000 to 348,387 in 2005. In addition, in its 2003 MexicoEconomic Census, INEGI estimated the total employmentfor the Mexican state of Tamaulipas was 211, 921 and thegross domestic product (GDP) was 96,227,877. Based on thisinformation, Tamaulipas is ranked among the top tenMexican states in terms of employment and GDP,suggesting a high level of economic development compared to other states or regions inMexico. The location at the U.S.‐Mexico border and transportation advantages add to the

3‐24 CHAP T E R 3 : SOC IO E CONOM I C DA TA

Page 25: Loredo documet front and back cover with template · 2011-04-14 · Figur. e 3 ‐ 2: WebbCounty Employment, 1990 to 2008. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000. 90 92 1 9 9

         

                                         

                            

                                                 

         

                                                                     

                                          

attractiveness of Nuevo Laredo and Tamaulipas as abusiness location for both new businesses and for existingbusinesses to remain and expand.

Overall, the Nuevo Laredo economy is centered on thecommercial and industrial importation and exportationbetween the U.S. and Mexico. The economy depends onthe regional transportation infrastructure of both NuevoLaredo and Laredo to facilitate the flow of trade andmerchandise among the two countries.

As population, employment opportunities, and international trade continue to grow inNuevo Laredo, the Laredo region must be proactive and contend with increased userdemands and impacts on the region’s transportation infrastructure. Therefore, it is crucialthat the Laredo region not only account for its own growth, but also continue to monitorgrowth trends in its sister community.

2 0 1 0 ‐ 2 0 3 5 METROPO L I T AN TRANS POR TAT I ON P LAN 3‐25

Page 26: Loredo documet front and back cover with template · 2011-04-14 · Figur. e 3 ‐ 2: WebbCounty Employment, 1990 to 2008. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000. 90 92 1 9 9

         

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

         THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK.

3‐26 CHAP T E R 3 : SOC IO E CONOM I C DA TA