4

4

2015

2015

-

4/2015 LXVII 355/359 YU ISSN 0042-8426

. ,

. , - , e-mail: milan.tepsic@mod.gov.rs : +381-11-3349-497 . , - , ; . . , ; - . ; . , ; . , - ; . ; . . ; . ; . . ; . . ; . . ; . . ; . ; , . : , 19, 11002 * vojno.delo@mod.gov.rs * : pretplat@dbrana.mod.gov.rs, tel./faks: +381-11-3241-009 * - 840-312849-56 *

: , 40 e-mail: vojna.stamparija@mod.gov.rs

..................... 723 Henrique Schneider Hans-Ulrich Bigler ................................... 2443 . 21. .... 4453 . () ? ................... 5474 7596 97107

........................ 108120 ............................................................ 121129

: ........................ 130141 . . .......................................... 142171 .................................................................... 172185 . . . ..... 186194 . - ............................................. 195221

222239 . . . fuzzy ................................ 240260

... 261273 274292 . . . ............................................................................................ 293300

....................................... 301316

. ........................................................................ 317333

1942. 334358

, ......................................... 359361 . ...................... 362368

INTERNATIONAL ENVIRONMENT Duan Prorokovi Zoran Kilibarda Emergence of Geopolitical Hotspots in Oil Zones ................................... 723 Henrique Schneider Hans-Ulrich Bigler Raw Materials Policy as Security Policy ................................................... 2443 Milo Todorovi Saa G. orevi Multipolar Structure of International Relations at the Beginning of the 21st Century ........................................................ 4453 Sran M. Perii Maja Kajtez Contemporary Geopolitical Confrontation between Russia and the West Is a (New) Schism Emerging between Europe and Russia? .................. 5474 Ivan Gvozdenovi Ines Miladinovi International Non-Governmental Organizations Phenomenon of the Modern Era ............................................................ 7596 eljko Jovi UN Peacekeeping Missions and Their Cooperation with Regional Actors ... 97107

SECURITY Boris Kordi Lepa Babi Dark Side of Personality and Psychological Help in Crisis ..................... 108120 Neboja Vukovi Zoran Milosavljevi Political Forms of Extremism ..................................................................... 121129

DEFENSE SYSTEM Ivana Damnjanovi Technology and Power: Specificities of Military Technology ................... 130141 Dejan V. Krljanin Samed M. Karovi Defense System in Emergency Situations ............................................... 142171 Sran Blagojevi Borislav Grozdi Creation of Educational Module in the Defense System to Fight Corruption .... 172185 Lela D. Mari Marjan D. Marinkovi Mladen M. ori Assessment of the Effectiveness of Physical Education Classes Based on Weight Index during Cadets Education at the Military Academy ...... 186194 Goran Radovanovi Samed M. Karovi Evolution of Inspection Supervision of the Serbian Armed Forces Seen through Comparative Historical Method ......................................... 195221 Ivan Petrovi

CO

NT

EN

TS

Krum Cvetkovi Zoran Stojiljkovi Theoretical Determination of Air Operations and Anti-Air Operations .... 222239 Darko I. Boani Rade V. Slavkovi Samed M. Karovi Model of Fuzzy Logic Application to the Assessment of Risk in Overcoming the Water Obstacles during an Army Defensive Operation 240260

MILITARY ECONOMIC REVIEW Saa Trandafilovi Neboja Dragovi Zoran orevi Adjustment to the Inevitable Support for Reform Commitments .......... 261273 Zoran Pavlovi Stanimir uki Dragan orevi Empirical Analysis of the Corruption Phenomenon in Serbia and the Corruption in the Economy .......................................................... 274292 Marko D. Andreji Nedeljko S. Prdi Dejan M. Obuinski Impact of Private Health Insurance on the Socio-Economic Development of Serbia .............................................................................. 293300

SYSTEM MANAGEMENT Miroslav avlin Svetlana Ignjatijevi Gordana avlin Modern Concept of Managing the Performance of Public Health Institutions in the Republic of Serbia ........................................................ 301316 Ranko Loji Vladimir Risti Samed M. Karovi Leaders Career Development ................................................................... 317333

EXPERIENCES AND LESSONS OF THE PAST Nikola Toi Maleevi Operations of the National Liberation Partisan and Volunteer Army of Yugoslavia and Actions of the Communist Party of Yugoslavia in 1942 ................................................................................ 334358

READING SUGGESTIONS Sran Starevi Review of the book The Man and the Secret by Ilija Kajtez .................... 359361 Mladen R. Tima Review of the book State Succession and Membership in International Organizations by Konrad G. Bhler .......................................................... 362368

7

,

,

,

, -

, . , - -, : ? . , . - . - , , . 2000. . , . .

: , , ,

- , 20. , -

. () - . . , , -, , -

DOI:

10.5

937/

vojd

elo1

5040

07P

, 4/2015

8

. , - , .1

, . , , . , . , , , , , , . - . , , 2. - , , , . - , ( -), - . , -, , - . , , 3. - , , .4 , , . - : (

1 , . , -/ , - . . - : , , , , - (, , , ). (Constanza Robert) - ( ). -, , . , - , , , . : Robert, Costanza [et. al.], The Value of the Worlds Ecosystem Services and Natural Capital, Nature, Vol. 387, May 1997, . 253-259.

2 : http://www.hq.nasa.gov/iwgsdi/Non_Renew_Resources.html ( 2014) 3 Opta Larousse enciklopedija [3], JRJ, Zemun, 2004, . 1206. 4 . -

, , , , - . , . - ( ) , - , .

9

1), ( 2) ( 3)5. 90 , - 50 , 10 .6 - , 90 . 80 1973. , 14 , - 43,5 7.

. 1973. - 8. , - , , : ? -, , ( , -, , , .), .9

(Colin Campbell) 2010. 10. - (Ali Sam-sam Bakhtiari)11. (Marion King Hubbert) 20. . . (Hub-bert's Curve) ( 1).

5 : P1 proven reserves, P2 probable reserves, P3 possible reserves. , . .

6 vihlikov, Ilona, Ropa: strategick komodita-poptvka, nabdka a cena, : Energetick bezpenost-geo-politick souvislosti, VMVVP, Praha, 2008, . 47.

7 , . 49-51. 8 Peak Oil,

. , , - . .

9 - , . , , .

10 Campbell, Colin, Laherrre, Jean, he End of Cheap Oil, Scientific American, 278 (3), March 1998, . 83. 11 King, Byron, Ali Samsam Bakhtiari and peak oil, Energy Bulletin, March 2007. :

http://www2.energybulletin.net/node/29162 ( 2014)

, 4/2015

10

1 12

-

, . - . - (International Energy Agency) (Shell) 2016. 2020. 13. - - , . - , - .

(Charles Kegley) (Eugene Wittkopf) -

-. - . -

12 Ivanhoe, Buz L. F., Updated Hubbert Curves Analyze World Oil Supply, World Oil, 217 (11), Nov 1996, . 92. : Ivanhoe, Buz L. F., Future world oil supplies: There is a finite limit, World Oil, 216 (10), Oct. 1995, . 85-86.

13 vihlikov, Ilona, Ropa: strategick komodita-poptvka, nabdka a cena, : Energetick bezpenost-geo-politick souvislosti, VMVVP, Praha, 2008, . 50.

11

: . - . , , 14. ? (William Orphuls) 1977. ( ) - , - 18. 19. . - , , 15. . , . 2000. - , - -, . , - , : ( 20. ).16

, , , - . - , . - 19. 20. - . , , - , , , , . - , . 1920.

14 Kegli, arls, Vitkof, Judin, Svetska politika: trend i transformacija, CSES: Dipl. akademija, Beograd, 2004, . 535.

15 rphuls, William, Ecology and the Politics of Scarcity, W. H. Freeman, New York, 1977. : Plato's Revenge: Politics in the Age of Ecology,