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8/13/2019 [Group 2] Exported-Imported Inflation
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MACROECONOMICS
MIDTERM GROUP ASSIGNMENT
TOPIC: Exported and Imported Inflation: How the US
exports its inflation to the rest of the world
Instructor:
Mr. Hoang Xuan Binh, PhD
Group 2:
L Quang Anh
Mnh Duy
Nguyn Hng Qun
Nguyn Trng TonTrn Hong nh
Nguyn L c
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OUTLINE:
I. An overview of the World Financial Crisis ......................... 3II. What is exported and imported Inflation?.......................... 4
1. A general view of inflation ............................................................... 42. Definition of exported and imported inflation ................................. 5
III. Exported and imported inflation How it works .............. 61. How the US exported its inflation .................................................... 62. How other countries imported inflation ........................................... 7
IV. Why can America export its inflation? ................................ 8V. How China is dealing with imported inflation .................... 10
1. The currency war between the US and China .................................. 102. China, gold and the next world reserve currency ............................. 12
VI. Questions ................................................................................. 14VII. Reference ................................................................................ 15
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Exported and Imported Inflation: How the US exports
its inflation to the rest of the world
I. An overview of the World Financial CrisisIn December 2007, the United States entered a new period of
recession due to the results of the bursting of housing bubble in mid-2007.
According to reports of the Department of Labor, roughly 8.7 million jobs
were shed from February 2008 - February 2010, and GDP contracted by
5.1%, making the Great Recession the worst since the Great Depression
dated back in 1929.
The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) dated June 2009
as the final month of the recession; however, the recovery since 2009 has
been weak and both GDP and job growth remain erratic and uneven. It also
pointed out unemployment as of August 2013 was 7.3%, with about 6.8
million jobs created since February 2010. American household wealth has
plunged to levels not seen since 1992, with incomes dropping to 1996 levels
when adjusted for inflation. Nearly 50 million Americans (16%) are in
poverty, up from 12.1% in 2007.
But the Great Recession not only affected the USs economy but alsospread out globally. The global recession was first seen in Europe, as in July
1, 2008 Denmark fell into recession. Starting from then, the crisis quickly
spread out to other countries in Europe. Since late 2009, Eurozone has had to
deal with the Euro crisis (a combinedsovereign debt crisis, abanking crisis
and a growth and competitiveness crisis) and the economy condition of its
members are not too bright. The crisis also took its toll on the system of
governments of Europe countries. On February 6, 2012 Romanias
government was the sixth government that was disbanded after Greece,
Italy, Portugal, Ireland and Spain.
Along with Europe, other continent also affected by the global crisis
but in a much lighter scale. China, the worlds second largest economy was
no exception. The recession along with the Chinese property bubble, which
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sovereign_debthttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Banking_crisishttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_growthhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Competitivenesshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Competitivenesshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_growthhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Banking_crisishttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sovereign_debt8/13/2019 [Group 2] Exported-Imported Inflation
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had already existed in China from 2005, are the main causes lead to Chinas
declining economic growth in 2012. As stated in latest reports, so far at least
670,000 small and medium-size companies have been closed; leaving
mainly the large-size enterprises (which may or may not contain companies
which have outsourced their workplaces away from the United States -
leaving at least five million people there unemployed.1
The reason our group chose this subject was to answer the question
why the Great Recession originally started in the States spread out to the
whole world. We believe that one of the primary causes is because America,
with its dollars being the worlds primary reserve money, exported inflation
to other countries. But how and by what means did the US can do that and
how did the world import inflation? This research we conducted will helpyou have a clearer look behind the machinery of the worlds financial
systems and find the answer.
II. What is exported and imported Inflation?1. A general view of Inflation:
Inflation is an increase in the average level of prices of goods and
services. Inflation rate which is smaller than 10% is considered moderate
inflation. It can has good impact on the economy by spuring the
production of companies and enterprises because price increases leading
to more profit. Inflation rate which is more than 10% is considered
galloping inflation or hyperinflation, these type of inflation can destroy
the whole economy.
In fact, there is no exact percentage where inflation turns from
moderate inflation to Hyperinflation. So you cant say for sure that
9.9% inflation is normal but 10% inflation is hyperinflation. Typically inhyperinflation thinks just gets progressively worse and worse. Every
month, days, or even by the hours, the inflation rate just gets higher and
higher until the inflation curve goes hyperbolic like this figure:
1All the data for world financial crisis taken fromwikipedia.org
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Outsourcing#United_Stateshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_recessionhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_recessionhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_recessionhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_recessionhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Outsourcing#United_States8/13/2019 [Group 2] Exported-Imported Inflation
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There are 3 main kinds of inflation: demand-pull inflation, cost-pushinflation and structural (demand-shift) inflation. In this group research,
we will talk about another kind of inflation that arose significantly
important to many economys recently, it is imported-exported inflation.
2. Definition of exported and imported inflation:Imported inflation is: Inflation due to an increase in the price of
imports. As the price of imports increase, prices of domestic goods using
imports as raw materials also increase, causing an increase in the general
prices of all goods and services. Imported inflation may be caused by
foreign price increases or depreciation of a country's exchange rate.2
About exported inflation, it doesnt have a precise definition. You can
basically refer it to the condition when a developed country, with strong
economy that have deep influence on others, and their currency is widely
used and reserved by others, can make the prices of goods and services in
other countries rise through its own currency manipulation.
2Definition taken frominvestorwords.coma website that provide business and investing glossary.
http://www.investorwords.com/15442/imported_inflation.htmlhttp://www.investorwords.com/15442/imported_inflation.htmlhttp://www.investorwords.com/15442/imported_inflation.htmlhttp://www.investorwords.com/15442/imported_inflation.html8/13/2019 [Group 2] Exported-Imported Inflation
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III. Exported and imported inflation How it works1. How the US exported its inflation:
In 2007, the Financial Crisis started in the US, derived from the
Subprime lending by bankings system, especially investment banks.
Subprime lending means making loans to people who have difficulty
paying back the debt, who dont qualified the lending standard, especially
in real estate. So, from 2004 to 2006, everyone bought houses and make
the housing price go up and up, creating the housing bubble until it
reached the peak and collapsed in 2007. The price of real estate plunge
down, drop uncontrollable. At the end o f 2008, the price of some houses
in america was only 2 dollars. Couldnt recovering capital, banks went
bankruptcy. Insurance companies who joined capital with banks tobenefit form housing market, died as well, following by money market
and stock market. This is called Financial Crisis. To drive the America
out of crisis, with no other choices, the goverment had to pump out
money by actually printing more of them, so the money supply rise lead
to dollar depreciation and inflation.
First, we will dig a little into how international trade works.
Commonly, when a country has a trade deficit with others, its currencywill depreciate as there is a greater supply of its currency flows to foreign
markets. The result is that foreign imports are becoming relatively more
expensive (in term of its currency) and its exports relatively cheaper to
foreigners. Consiquently, foreigners will then import more its goods and
services, increasing the demand of its currency, which will invert the
outflow of its currency. This will continue until the equilibrium is
reached.
For the U.S, on account of the special status of its dollar being the
worlds primary reserve currency, this conventional agreement is not
really appliable. Since every countries accumulate the U.S dollars as a
form of savings, the demand for U.S dollars is much more than just an
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implicit demand for its exported goods and services. Therefore, the saved
U.S dollars that foreign countries hold have to be saved somewhere by
recycling them back to the U.S, usually via the purchase of U.S Treasury
Bonds.
The U.S, being in the desirable position of having its money as the
worlds premier reserve currency, is not subjected to the same rules as
the other countries. It can spend more than it earns simply by printing its
own dollars to pay foreigners.
Through this convention, the U.S can silently steal wealth and
resources from foreign countries by buying their goods and services with
its own printed money. Since the exported flood of U.S dollars has to
return home through the foreign purchases of its Treasury Bonds, they
are out of circulation, they do not remain within the U.S economy to
cause domestic price inflation.
2. How others countries imported inflation:What about the case of other countries? In the context of FED
pumping an enormous amount of money into the economy, the price ofall primary commodities (oil, gold, mental) will go up since there is a
massive demand for input for firms production when the supply is nearly
unchanged. Facing this situation, countries has two options:
1. Float the domestic currency, resulting in the rise in the localcurrency.
2.
Print more and force the local currency to fall alongside the dollar.
If the government implements the first option and leave the market
forces to balance themselves, the flood of U.S dollars will bid up the
price of domestic currency, causing a sharp appreciation. However, an
appreciation of the domestic currency is highly unfavorable to those
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export-dependent countries, say, China, India, Russia, etc because that
will weaken their exports competitiveness in the USmarket.
With those countries choosing freely floating exchange rate, they still
could not get away with importing inflation. Since the prices of primarygoods, especially oil and metal, go up as a result of high demand for
production, the cost of imported inputs and demand for US dollar to trade
also increases and makes the firm sell their output for higher price, which
means inflation.
Another choice is printing more domestic money to purchase all the
inflow of dollars in order to maintain the former exchange rate would
result in high inflation. When the value of currency decreases, prices go
up. Inflation of currency results in price inflation.
In reality, developed countries like Germany, Japan or Canada can let
the dollar fall, and allow their domestic currencies rise because these
countries is already developed and rich. The rest majority of the world
developing countries like China or India, which are heavily reliant on
export, cant allow a hit on their growth, because that will follow by
severe social and political consequences.
IV. Why can America export its inflation?Why can America exports its inflation to other countries? To get to
the main point, we first define what is Foreign Exchange Reserves: Foreign
Exchange Reserves are foreign money held by International banks for use in
international trade and in an effort to diversify their holdings and hedge
against the inflation of their own currency3. The most common thingsbought and sold by foreign exchange reserves are oil and gold. Up to the
time of 1944, the asset of choice was gold and it was used as the medium of
exchange between countries. But in July 1944, 44 Allied nations gathered in
3Definition taken frominflationdata.com
http://inflationdata.com/articles/2012/12/28/foreign-exchange-reserves/http://inflationdata.com/articles/2012/12/28/foreign-exchange-reserves/http://inflationdata.com/articles/2012/12/28/foreign-exchange-reserves/http://inflationdata.com/articles/2012/12/28/foreign-exchange-reserves/8/13/2019 [Group 2] Exported-Imported Inflation
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Bretton Woods, New Hampshire., and made the U.S. dollar the reserve
currency of the world. At that time, the dollar was pegged at $35 per ounce
of gold and therefore rather than exchanging gold, countries were able to
exchange dollars, which at the time was considered as good as gold.4
But thanks to its currencys reserve status that the U.S was able to
pretend that the dollar was still worth $35 per ounce while quietly printing
more and inflating its currency. Eventually, France called the United States
bluff to demand gold at $35 per ounce of gold and in 1971, Nixon was
forced to admit that the dollar was no longer worth $35 per ounce and the
last link between the dollar and gold was closed.
But Nixon had another trick to maintain the power of Dollar. In 1973,
he negotiated a deal with Saudi Arabia requiring that all oil sales bedenominated in U.S. dollars, therefore regain the status of U.S Dollar as the
world reserve currency because everyone needed oil and so they needed
dollars as well.
Being used as a foreign exchange reserve currency sharply increases
the value and usefulness of that currency. When the Dollar is the reserve
currency, U.Ss economic power and influence is automatically spread
globally. Like any other commodities, the value of U.S dollar is based on
supply and demand. By artificially creating an high demand for its currency,
the FED was able to create more dollars without sparking
significant inflation at home. Every time the Federal Reserve prints a new
dollar, the rest of the dollars in the world get devalued whether they are in
the United States or China. As a result, the US was able to export its
inflation to other countries because after those dollars was printed and spent,
they went abroad and never returned home so they had no effect on domestic
inflation. Over the years, the United States has abused its role as issuer of
the worlds reserve currency,silently stealing wealth from the world through
currency creation.
4From articleThe Bretton Woods Monetery and Financial Conference history.state.gov
http://history.state.gov/milestones/1937-1945/BrettonWoodshttp://history.state.gov/milestones/1937-1945/BrettonWoodshttp://history.state.gov/milestones/1937-1945/BrettonWoodshttp://history.state.gov/milestones/1937-1945/BrettonWoodshttp://history.state.gov/milestones/1937-1945/BrettonWoodshttp://history.state.gov/milestones/1937-1945/BrettonWoods8/13/2019 [Group 2] Exported-Imported Inflation
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V. How China is dealing with imported inflationIn this part, we will dig deeper in one typical country that import
inflation from Americathe case of China. China 2ndlargest economy in
the world, also suffer the most severely from imported inflation as the
largest foreign creditor of US. How are they dealing with it?
*the chart taken frominflationdata.com
1. The currency war between the US and China:For many years, the currency war between U.S and China has been
one of the hottest issue that affect the global economy. Currency war,
also known as competitive devaluation, is a condition in international
affairs where countries compete against each other to achieve a relatively
low exchange rate for their own currency. As the price to buy a particular
currency falls so too does the real price of exports from the country.Imports become more expensive. So domestic industry, and thus
employment, receives a boost in demand from both domestic and foreign
markets.5When a country is suffering from economic downturn, high
5Definition taken fromWikipedia.org
http://inflationdata.com/articles/2012/03/12/china-boosting-gold-price/http://inflationdata.com/articles/2012/03/12/china-boosting-gold-price/http://inflationdata.com/articles/2012/03/12/china-boosting-gold-price/http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Currency_warhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Currency_warhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Currency_warhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Currency_warhttp://inflationdata.com/articles/2012/03/12/china-boosting-gold-price/8/13/2019 [Group 2] Exported-Imported Inflation
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unemployment rate or wishes to follow a policy of export led growth, a
lower exchange rate can be considered advantageous. Devaluation is a
potential solution for developing nations that are consistently spending
more on imports than they earn on exports. A lower value for domestic
currency will raise the import prices while making exports cheaper. This
tends to encourage more domestic production, which raises employment
and GDP. The U.S. is allowing its dollar to devalue by expansionary
fiscal and monetary policy. It's doing this through increasing goverment
spending, thereby increasing the debt, and by maintaining the FED funds
rate at nearly zero together with applying Quantitative Easing, increasing
credit and the money supply. China is keeping its currency low by
pegging the yuan to the dollar, along with other currencies. It keeps thepeg by buying U.S Treasuries, which limits the supply of dollars, by that
strengthening it. This method keeps the yuan low compared with U.S
Dollar.
So, Chinese goverment prefer to peg the yuan to the dollar as it used
to. China continue its currency devaluation and export-lead strategy
despite inflationary thread and U.S pressure toward yuans appreciation.
Why would China chosed to follow this option? Firstly, according to oneIMF reports: Fixed investment related to tradable goods plus net exports
together accounted for over 60% of Chinas GDP growth from 2001 to
2008 (up from 40% from 1990 to 2000), which was significantly higher
than in the G-7 countries (16%), the euro area (30%) and the rest of Asia
(35%).6 Therefore, for a developing country heavily reliant on
exporting, yuans develuation is the vital key to the stability and growth
of Chinas economy overall. Secondly, the action of creating an excess of
currency spikes up inflation and creates social unrest. Since China
manages a state-controlled economy, they control inflation through other
means such as fuel-price subsidies and price controls on essential
commodities. Thirdly, China has also recently inked agreements with
6Excerpt from articleChinas response to US pressure to revalue the RMB chinacenter.net
http://www.chinacenter.net/chinas-response-to-u-s-pressure-to-revalue-the-rmb/http://www.chinacenter.net/chinas-response-to-u-s-pressure-to-revalue-the-rmb/http://www.chinacenter.net/chinas-response-to-u-s-pressure-to-revalue-the-rmb/http://www.chinacenter.net/chinas-response-to-u-s-pressure-to-revalue-the-rmb/http://www.chinacenter.net/chinas-response-to-u-s-pressure-to-revalue-the-rmb/http://www.chinacenter.net/chinas-response-to-u-s-pressure-to-revalue-the-rmb/8/13/2019 [Group 2] Exported-Imported Inflation
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Iran to bypass the U.S. Dollar and trade Gold for Oil, thus reduce the
impact of imported inflation. Last but not least, the political pressure
from importing nations can be serious. For instance, in the late 1980s
Japan was forced by the US to stop adopting a similar tactic. However,
China is strong enough to withstand the pressure.
2. China, Gold and the next World Reserve Currency:By controlling fiat currencies in the world, central banks are distorting
possession and commodity worth. Only investors knowing well what
things cost and their true value might be able to achieve success in
investing; by using gold to evaluate prices, the worlds oldest and most
stable form of medium, one can gain access to that knowledge. Depending on how bad a crisis gets, gold ranges from being between the
best answer and the only answer said a famous economist. China
understood that in the end fiat currency would become worthless and
gold would always valuable so the country silently start stocking.
Therefore, golds price began to go sky-high. In 2011, India, had been
known as the worlds biggest buyer of gold, had to pass its title to China.
According to history, India had always been the worlds leading goldbuyer; its people traditionally save and display their wealth in gold,
prefer to hang it around their neck instead of trusting banks. China is also
known as the largest producer of gold with an amount bigger than
Australia or South Africa or Canada, etc. In reality, China produces more
than 300 tons of gold a year, which equals to 50% more gold than
Australia, the worlds second biggest producer.7But they dont export it!
Gold can come into China but not one ounce of gold is allowed to leave
the country.
So, where is all that gold going??? Here is the answer: China wants
the yuan to be backed with a huge percentage of gold, thereby making the
7Data retrieved frommining.com
http://www.mining.com/world-gold-production-2012-preliminary-results-71758/?gce_var=lower-comments&utm_expid=17625373-0.wR1isPasQ6GSvnWKGYTdqA.1&utm_referrer=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com.vn%2Fimgres%3Fclient%3Dfirefox-a%26hs%3D6xO%26rls%3Dorg.mozilla%3Aen-US%3Aofficial%26channel%3Dfflb%26biw%3D1280%26bih%3D684%26tbm%3Disch%26tbnid%3DEYLHGzH5ck6ULM%3A%26imgrefurl%3Dhttp%3A%2F%2Fwww.mining.com%2Fworld-gold-production-2012-preliminary-results-71758%2F%26docid%3Di2ve6UxJbFl0kM%26imgurl%3Dhttp%3A%2F%2Fwww.mining.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2013%2F02%2FWorld_gold_production_2011-2012.jpg%26w%3D656%26h%3D635%26ei%3Df2s8UrvbGO7gigLlx4GoDg%26zoom%3D1%26ved%3D1t%3A3588%2Cr%3A3%2Cs%3A0%2Ci%3A84%26iact%3Drc%26page%3D1%26tbnh%3D206%26tbnw%3D213%26start%3D0%26ndFixed%20investment%20related%20to%20tradable%20goods%20plus%20net%20exports%20together%20accounted%20for%20over%2060%25%20of%20China%E2%80%99s%20GDP%20growth%20from%202001%20to%202008%20%28up%20from%2040%25%20from%201990%20to%202000%29p%3D14%26tx%3D156%26ty%3D72http://www.mining.com/world-gold-production-2012-preliminary-results-71758/?gce_var=lower-comments&utm_expid=17625373-0.wR1isPasQ6GSvnWKGYTdqA.1&utm_referrer=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com.vn%2Fimgres%3Fclient%3Dfirefox-a%26hs%3D6xO%26rls%3Dorg.mozilla%3Aen-US%3Aofficial%26channel%3Dfflb%26biw%3D1280%26bih%3D684%26tbm%3Disch%26tbnid%3DEYLHGzH5ck6ULM%3A%26imgrefurl%3Dhttp%3A%2F%2Fwww.mining.com%2Fworld-gold-production-2012-preliminary-results-71758%2F%26docid%3Di2ve6UxJbFl0kM%26imgurl%3Dhttp%3A%2F%2Fwww.mining.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2013%2F02%2FWorld_gold_production_2011-2012.jpg%26w%3D656%26h%3D635%26ei%3Df2s8UrvbGO7gigLlx4GoDg%26zoom%3D1%26ved%3D1t%3A3588%2Cr%3A3%2Cs%3A0%2Ci%3A84%26iact%3Drc%26page%3D1%26tbnh%3D206%26tbnw%3D213%26start%3D0%26ndFixed%20investment%20related%20to%20tradable%20goods%20plus%20net%20exports%20together%20accounted%20for%20over%2060%25%20of%20China%E2%80%99s%20GDP%20growth%20from%202001%20to%202008%20%28up%20from%2040%25%20from%201990%20to%202000%29p%3D14%26tx%3D156%26ty%3D72http://www.mining.com/world-gold-production-2012-preliminary-results-71758/?gce_var=lower-comments&utm_expid=17625373-0.wR1isPasQ6GSvnWKGYTdqA.1&utm_referrer=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com.vn%2Fimgres%3Fclient%3Dfirefox-a%26hs%3D6xO%26rls%3Dorg.mozilla%3Aen-US%3Aofficial%26channel%3Dfflb%26biw%3D1280%26bih%3D684%26tbm%3Disch%26tbnid%3DEYLHGzH5ck6ULM%3A%26imgrefurl%3Dhttp%3A%2F%2Fwww.mining.com%2Fworld-gold-production-2012-preliminary-results-71758%2F%26docid%3Di2ve6UxJbFl0kM%26imgurl%3Dhttp%3A%2F%2Fwww.mining.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2013%2F02%2FWorld_gold_production_2011-2012.jpg%26w%3D656%26h%3D635%26ei%3Df2s8UrvbGO7gigLlx4GoDg%26zoom%3D1%26ved%3D1t%3A3588%2Cr%3A3%2Cs%3A0%2Ci%3A84%26iact%3Drc%26page%3D1%26tbnh%3D206%26tbnw%3D213%26start%3D0%26ndFixed%20investment%20related%20to%20tradable%20goods%20plus%20net%20exports%20together%20accounted%20for%20over%2060%25%20of%20China%E2%80%99s%20GDP%20growth%20from%202001%20to%202008%20%28up%20from%2040%25%20from%201990%20to%202000%29p%3D14%26tx%3D156%26ty%3D72http://www.mining.com/world-gold-production-2012-preliminary-results-71758/?gce_var=lower-comments&utm_expid=17625373-0.wR1isPasQ6GSvnWKGYTdqA.1&utm_referrer=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com.vn%2Fimgres%3Fclient%3Dfirefox-a%26hs%3D6xO%26rls%3Dorg.mozilla%3Aen-US%3Aofficial%26channel%3Dfflb%26biw%3D1280%26bih%3D684%26tbm%3Disch%26tbnid%3DEYLHGzH5ck6ULM%3A%26imgrefurl%3Dhttp%3A%2F%2Fwww.mining.com%2Fworld-gold-production-2012-preliminary-results-71758%2F%26docid%3Di2ve6UxJbFl0kM%26imgurl%3Dhttp%3A%2F%2Fwww.mining.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2013%2F02%2FWorld_gold_production_2011-2012.jpg%26w%3D656%26h%3D635%26ei%3Df2s8UrvbGO7gigLlx4GoDg%26zoom%3D1%26ved%3D1t%3A3588%2Cr%3A3%2Cs%3A0%2Ci%3A84%26iact%3Drc%26page%3D1%26tbnh%3D206%26tbnw%3D213%26start%3D0%26ndFixed%20investment%20related%20to%20tradable%20goods%20plus%20net%20exports%20together%20accounted%20for%20over%2060%25%20of%20China%E2%80%99s%20GDP%20growth%20from%202001%20to%202008%20%28up%20from%2040%25%20from%201990%20to%202000%29p%3D14%26tx%3D156%26ty%3D728/13/2019 [Group 2] Exported-Imported Inflation
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yuan the worlds most trusted currency. By hoarding vast amounts of
gold, the nation may soon be able to back its currency, the yuan, with
gold, thus skyrocketing the value of that currency. If Chinas yuan were
to become more valuable than the U.S. dollar it would automatically
become the primarily sought form of reserve currency. The Chinese
government actually encourage its citizens to buy gold, they are
preparing their citizens for a major shift in the world economythe shift
that lift China to be the strongest economy in the world.
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VI. Questions:1.
What is the reason for you to chose this topic?
2. What are the negative effects of inflation on economy and social?3. Are there any good sides of inflation?4. As the world reserve currency, does it mean the more you accumulate it
the better? If not, why?
5. What is the current state of Vietnams economy since the globalrecession?
6. What did Vietnamese goverment do to face imported inflation?7. Can you talk more about currency war? What is advantages for a country
to devalue its currency?
8. Why do you chose China as a study case for a country that importedinflation?
9. Aside from purchasing goods and services, is there any other way for USdollars to return home?
10.Where is the place that received severest damage due to the crisis? Why?11.How many countries have gone bankrupt since the Great Recession
spread out globally?
12.Is there any country which avoided recession? If yes, how?13.Are we out of the global recession yet?
8/13/2019 [Group 2] Exported-Imported Inflation
15/15
15
VII. Reference: Macroeconomics I powerpoint slides by Mr. Hoang Xuan Binh Online sources:
Inflationdata.com Bloomberg.com Ft.com (Financial Times) Worldbank.org Imf.org Investopedia.com English.people.com.cn Chinadaily.com.cn Wikipedia.org