6
Counter Terrorism and the IH Counter Terrorism and the IH ( ( The question of The question of Proportionality Proportionality ) ) Dr. Boaz Ganor and Executive Director, ICT - The International Institute for Counter-Terror Deputy Dean, Lauder School of Government, Diplomacy and Strategy The Interdisciplinary Center, Herzliya, Israel Tel: 972-9-9527279, Fax: 972-9-9513073 Email: [email protected] , [email protected] Web: www.ict.org.il ,

Counter Terrorism and the IHL ( The question of Proportionality) Dr. Boaz Ganor Founder and Executive Director, ICT - The International Institute for Counter-Terrorism

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Counter Terrorism and the IHL ( The question of Proportionality) Dr. Boaz Ganor Founder and Executive Director, ICT - The International Institute for Counter-Terrorism

Counter Terrorism and the IHLCounter Terrorism and the IHL((The question ofThe question of ProportionalityProportionality))

Dr. Boaz Ganor

Founder and Executive Director, ICT - The International Institute for Counter-Terrorism

Deputy Dean, Lauder School of Government, Diplomacy and StrategyThe Interdisciplinary Center, Herzliya, Israel

Tel: 972-9-9527279, Fax: 972-9-9513073Email: [email protected], [email protected] Web: www.ict.org.il,

Page 2: Counter Terrorism and the IHL ( The question of Proportionality) Dr. Boaz Ganor Founder and Executive Director, ICT - The International Institute for Counter-Terrorism

Modern Terrorism as a Psychological WarfareModern Terrorism as a Psychological Warfare

AttackTargeting CiviliansTargeting Civilians

MessageInternal Public Opinion (Moral)

Targeted Public Opinion (Anxiety)

International P.O. (Organization - Underdog Sympathy, Attention, Legitimacy)

TerroristTerrorist OrganizationsOrganizations

International Public Opinion (State – Delegitimizing)

CounterTerrorism

Attracted Fire -Human Shields- Targeting civiliansTargeting civilians

Government

Copyright © Dr. Boaz Ganor

Page 3: Counter Terrorism and the IHL ( The question of Proportionality) Dr. Boaz Ganor Founder and Executive Director, ICT - The International Institute for Counter-Terrorism

Reverse asymmetry

Mass casualty, CBRNLow intensity warfare?

Asymmetric warfare?

Conclusion - Multi dimensional warfare

Dimensions:

Modus operandi dimensions – terror, guerilla, insurgency

Confrontational domain dimensions – military, criminal , economic, psychological

Intensity level dimensions – low (“cold”) weapon, high (CBRN)

Casualty scope dimensions – several - tens of thousands

Copyright © Dr. Boaz Ganor

Page 4: Counter Terrorism and the IHL ( The question of Proportionality) Dr. Boaz Ganor Founder and Executive Director, ICT - The International Institute for Counter-Terrorism

Classifications of actors in a multi-dimensional warfareClassifications of actors in a multi-dimensional warfare:: Civilians - CombatantsCivilians - Combatants

Operational activityOperational activity

Active serviceActive service

Combatants Combatants

Unaffiliated to a hierarchical Unaffiliated to a hierarchical military frameworkmilitary framework

Belong to a hierarchicalBelong to a hierarchical military frameworkmilitary framework

CiviliansCiviliansNon-involvedNon-involved

Forced involvementForced involvement

CombatCombat supportivesupportive

civilianscivilians

Non-operational activityNon-operational activity

MilitiaMilitia CombatantCombatant/ / reservistreservist

Before and after activeBefore and after activeservice recruitment service recruitment

Copyright © Dr. Boaz Ganor

Page 5: Counter Terrorism and the IHL ( The question of Proportionality) Dr. Boaz Ganor Founder and Executive Director, ICT - The International Institute for Counter-Terrorism

Copyright © Dr. Boaz Ganor

A Third category – Unlawful Combatants?

Combatants

Hie

rarc

hic

al F

ram

ewo

rk

No

n-h

iera

rch

ical

Fra

mew

ork

Mil

itia

no

t in

ac

tiv

e s

ervi

ce

Mil

itia

in

act

ive

serv

ice

Militia

O

per

atio

nal

Combat Supportive Civilians

No

n-O

per

atio

nal

Civ

ilia

ns

Fo

rced

In

volv

ed

No

n-I

nvo

lves Co

mb

atan

ts

Civilians

Lawful

Unlawful

War

Cri

me

Cri

min

al A

ctiv

ity

Page 6: Counter Terrorism and the IHL ( The question of Proportionality) Dr. Boaz Ganor Founder and Executive Director, ICT - The International Institute for Counter-Terrorism

Green – Intentional strike permitted

Classifications of actors in a multi-dimensional warfareClassifications of actors in a multi-dimensional warfare:: Civilians - CombatantsCivilians - Combatants

Operational activityOperational activity

Active serviceActive service

Combatants Combatants

Unaffiliated to a hierarchical Unaffiliated to a hierarchical military frameworkmilitary framework

Belong to a hierarchicalBelong to a hierarchical military frameworkmilitary framework

Red – Intentional strike forbidden

CC

CC

CC

CC

C – Minimal proportionality level

CiviliansCiviliansNon-involvedNon-involved

Forced involvementForced involvement

CombatCombat supportivesupportive

civilianscivilians

Non-operational activityNon-operational activity

MilitiaMilitia CombatantCombatant/ / reservistreservist

Before and after activeBefore and after activeservice recruitment service recruitment

A – Maximal proportionality level – Obligation to protect the enemy civilians

AA

B –Intermediate proportionality level

BB

BB

BB

What is proportional?

Copyright © Dr. Boaz Ganor