Analysis October 07

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  • 8/2/2019 Analysis October 07

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    Analyst Presentation

    October, 2007

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    Disclaimer

    This presentation has been prepared by GAIL (India) Ltd (Company or GAIL) solelyfor providing information about the Company.

    The information contained in this presentation is only current as of its date. Certain

    statements made in this presentation may not be based on historical information orfacts and may be "forward-looking statements", including those relating to theCompanys general business plans and strategy, its future financial condition andgrowth prospects, and future developments in its industry and its competitive andregulatory environment. Actual results may differ materially from these forward-looking statements due to a number of factors, including future changes or

    developments in the Companys business, its competitive environment, informationtechnology and political, economic, legal and social conditions in India.

    This communication is for general information purposes only, without regard tospecific objectives, financial situations and needs of any particular person.Company do not accept any liability whatsoever, direct or indirect, that may arise

    from the use of the information herein.

    The Company may alter, modify or otherwise change in any manner the content ofthis presentation, without obligation to notify any person of such revision orchanges.

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    GAIL Vision & MissionVISIONVISION

    Be the leading company in natural gas and beyond withBe the leading company in natural gas and beyond with

    global focus, committed to customer care, valueglobal focus, committed to customer care, value

    creation for all stakeholders and environmentcreation for all stakeholders and environment

    responsibilityresponsibility

    MISSIONMISSION

    To accelerate and optimise the effective and economicTo accelerate and optimise the effective and economic

    use of Natural Gas and its fractions to the benefit of theuse of Natural Gas and its fractions to the benefit of the

    national economynational economy

    Aiming on Gas & Beyond

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    Business Profile

    GAIL : Presence in Hydrocarbon Value Chain

    E&P29 BLOCKS

    (3 OVERSEAS)

    CBM3 BLOCKS

    LNGPLL, RGGPL

    (11.25 MMTPA)

    GAS & POWERGSEG, RGPPL

    (2250MW)

    TELECOMOFC (13000 KM)

    GAS RETAILING(IGL, BGL, MGL,

    CUGL, GGL, TNGCL,MNGL, AGL)

    PETROCHEMPOLYETHYLENE

    (310,000 TPA)

    GAS PROCESSING7 PLANTS

    (1.2 MMTPA)

    LPGTRANSMISSION

    1900 KM (3.8 MMTPA)

    GAS TRANSMISSION6800 KM (28 BCM)

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    A decade of steady growth

    PROFIT AFTER TAX

    CAGR: 14% CAGR: 14%

    REVENUE

    5,3

    97

    6,1

    24

    7,5

    42

    8,9

    64

    9,3

    04

    10,2

    18

    10,8

    2612,4

    12

    1

    4,4

    59

    16,0

    47

    1020 1060

    861

    18691954

    23102387

    1639

    11861126

    0

    2,500

    5,000

    7,500

    10,000

    12,500

    15,000

    17,500

    1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

    -400

    100

    600

    1,100

    1,600

    2,100

    2,600

    Revenue PAT

    Revenue

    PAT

    (Rs in Cr)

    Marching towards doubling the PAT by 2012

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    Physical Performance H1 FY 07-08

    Steady Physicals Leading to Strong Financials

    Figures represent H1 FY 07-08 performancecompared with H1 FY 06-07 performance

    Gas Transmitted (MMSCMD) : 80.46 8%

    Gas Sales (MMSCMD) : 69.25 4%

    LPG Transmission (000 MT) : 1261 14%

    LHC Sales (000 MT):711 - 8%

    Polymer Sales (000 MT): 201 - 33%

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    1258

    601

    1859

    40

    290

    2189

    6860

    9049

    H1

    07-08

    21

    52

    29

    (30)

    2

    23

    8

    11

    %Growth

    1040PAT

    396Tax

    1436PBT

    58Interest

    284Depreciation

    1778Gross Margin

    (EBIDTA)

    6361TotalExpenditure

    8139Total Earnings

    H1

    06-07

    Particulars

    Financial performance H1 FY 07-08

    (Rs in Crores)

    Impressive PAT growth of 21%

    63616860

    284

    290

    6011040

    1258

    40

    58396

    3100

    4100

    5100

    6100

    7100

    8100

    9100

    2006-07 2007-08

    Exp Dep Int Tax PAT

    8139

    9049

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    Segment wise EBIDTA H1 FY 07-08

    2189

    (149)

    7

    141

    734466

    95

    895

    H1FY

    07-08

    1778

    82

    5

    116

    447128

    89

    911

    H1 FY

    06-07

    (282)Unallocated

    40GAIL Tel

    (2)Gas Trans

    7Gas Trading

    264LPG & OLHC64Petro.

    22LPG Trans.

    23Total Gross

    Margin

    Growth

    %

    BusinessSegments

    Petrochemical & LPG segment showing tremendous growth

    (Rs in crores)

    39%

    20%

    31%

    6% 0%0%

    4%

    Gas Trans Gas Trad LPG & OLHC

    Petro LPG P/L GAILTEL

    Unallocated

    2006-07

    2007-08

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    Recent Completed Pipelines

    June 0712474923Dahej Uran (DUPL)

    Phase I : July 07

    March 07

    COMPLETION

    12.5

    3

    CAPACITY

    (MMSCMD)

    327402Dabhol Panvel(DPPL)

    18095Jagoti - Pitampur

    LENTH.(KMs)

    COST(CR)PIPELINE PROJECT

    Pipelines adding to National Gas Grid

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    Strategy

    UPSTREAM TRANSMISSION MID STREAMRETAIL &

    DIVERSIFACTION

    Core Business

    1

    Move Upstream

    2

    Diversification

    3

    International Opportunity

    4

    Aiming for Leadership in Gas Value Chain

    TelecomTelecom

    City GasCity Gas

    PowerPower

    E & PE & P

    LNG Import

    Trans National Pipeline

    LNG ImportTrans National Pipeline

    Marketing &Transmission

    Marketing &Transmission

    Gas processingGas processing

    PetrochemicalPetrochemicalCross Country

    Pipelines

    Cross CountryPipelines

    Secure Gas FromDomestic Producers

    Secure Gas FromDomestic Producers

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    11India A Fast Growing Energy Market

    Global & Indian Energy Scenario

    Source : BP Statistical Review of World Energy June 2007

    Growth in Energy (10 yrs)

    Energy Mix (%)

    5.6%2.3%Total Primary Energy

    56.2%28.4%Coal

    28.4%35.8%Oil

    8.5%23.7%Natural gas

    0.9%5.8%Nuclear

    6.0%6.3%Hydro

    1193264Oil & Gas Imports (MTOE) -2006

    9.4%2.7%Natural Gas

    423

    5th

    Largest EnergyConsumer

    10878Energy Consumption (MTOE)

    IndiaWorld

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    Power And Fertiliser Anchor MarketsIndustrial And City Gas Growing Markets

    Indian Gas Sector: Consumption Pattern

    2000 (22 BCM)

    38%

    40%

    9%

    1%6%

    6%

    Power

    Fertiliser

    Internal Cons

    Steel

    Others

    2006 (39 BCM)

    40%

    29%

    13%

    4%3%

    11%

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    Gas Demand / Supply Assessment (In MMSCMD)Sector wise Gas Demand Projection

    283179Total

    86Sponge iron/Steel

    3325Petrochemicals/Refineries/InternalConsumption

    2015Industrial

    1612City Gas / CNG

    7941Fertilizer

    12780Power

    2011-122007-08Sector

    Source wise Gas Supply Projection

    285111Total Gas Supply(A+B+C)

    8330Total LNG Supply (C)

    20281Total Domestic Supply(A +B)

    54-Additional GasAnticipated (B) NewDiscoveries

    14881Projected DomesticSupply (A)

    9724Pvt./ JVs (As Per DGH)

    5157ONGC+OIL

    11-1207-08Sources

    Large Demand Supply Gap - Opportunity for Growth.

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    Total Blocks - 31

    Onshore Blocks - 8

    Offshore Blocks - 20

    CBM Blocks - 3

    Major Operators - ONGC, GSPC, OIL, Gazprom,Daweoo, Pertogas, Hardy, ENI,Jubilent, Arrow Energy

    Minimum work commitment - Rs.534 Cr

    Total investment - Rs.1033 Cr

    Discoveries made in 5 Blocks - Cambay onland, A1 & A3 block Myanmar, Cauvery offshore,Mahanandi offshore

    E&P Forays

    Towards securing the gas supply

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    New Pipeline Projects

    Capacity enhancement to meet the growing demand

    17648

    12

    12

    12

    12

    128

    25

    2578

    ADD. CAP.(MMSCMD)

    103003020Sub Total

    2500840KOCHI -MANGALORE - BANGALORE3

    2500730DABHOL-BANGALORE2

    85002175Sub Total

    3300876JAGDISHPUR-HALDIA4

    2000574VIJAIPUR JAGDISHPUR1

    50001115DAHEJ-VIJAIPUR / GREP Upgradation1

    COST(RS CR)

    LNTH(Kms.)NAME OF PIPELINES.NO

    Phase I by 2009 - Addl. Revenue Expected : Rs.1,250 Cr per annum

    188005195Grand Total

    Phase II by 2011 - Addl. Revenue Expected : Rs.2,750 Cr per annum

    1000450CHAINSA-JHAJJHAR - HISSAR3

    2500610DADRI-BAWANA-NANGAL2

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    Petrochemicals Future Outlook Additional Capacity at marginal investment GAIL capacity currently 310,000 TPA at Pata

    Further expanding Pata complex to 410,000 TPA by Q2-FY08

    Sourcing of gas from Spot LNG Growth plan for increase in market share :

    New cracker complexes planned in Assam (280,000 TPA)

    MoU with TOTAL/HPCL/OIL/Mittal for Integrated Refinery cum Petrochemical

    Complex Planned to have one petrochemical plant through international JV

    HDPELLDPE/HDPE

    In Pursuit of Increase in Market share

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    Already exist 8 JVs (IGL, MGL, BGL, TNGCL, CUGL, GGL, MNGL,

    AGL)

    Planned for 230 cities for city gas distribution

    JV Agreement signed with HPCL for City Distribution Gas projectsin Rajasthan

    MOU signed with IOCL for City Distribution Gas projects in WestBangal.

    JVs Planned for Kerala, Gujrat, Karnataka, by 2010

    City Gas A Thrust Area

    Towards better environment friendly operations

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    Capex Plans

    Funded Through a Mix of Internal Resources and Borrowings

    3504

    10826

    321

    105

    606

    2338

    11-12

    5460

    33163

    1100

    203

    897

    3064

    08-09

    8867

    82186

    458

    359

    887

    6894

    09-10

    7632

    10867

    413

    184

    881

    5980

    10-11

    3372

    1888

    458

    143

    941

    1724

    07-08

    994Petrochemicals

    4212Exploration &Production

    20000Pipeline Projects

    530Diversification349City Gas

    28835TOTAL CAPEX

    2750Globalisation

    TotalBusiness WiseCapex

    (Rs in Cr)

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    Strong Financials to meet the Future CapexPlans

    A Navratna Company with Strong Balance Sheet

    Low Debt Equity High loan raising capacity

    Strong & comparatively new asset base

    Cash Rich company Internal Generation of Rs.2000

    Crores per annum

    Declining Contingent Liabilities

    Economies of Scale

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    Initiatives for better performance

    ~14 (~2.6 MMSCMD) ships in FY 06-07 Short term benefit by Spot sourcing

    Spot Sourcing

    Increased Capacity utilization

    Increased top and bottom-line Feed stock availability for plants

    Gas discovery in Cauvery and

    Mahanadi basin (under DGHapproval)

    Increased Capacity utilization

    Increased top and bottom-line

    Feed stock availability for plants

    Increase in Market share

    Increase in Market share

    IMPACTINITIATIVES

    RIL Agreement - Gas

    ONGC MOU

    Shell Hazira Agreement

    RIL MOU Petrochem.

    MOU Integrated Refinerycum petrochemical complex

    Mittal/TOTAL/ HPCL/OIL

    Dahej-Uran Pipeline commissioned in June 2007

    Dahej Panvel Pipeline phase-I commissioned in July 2007

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    GAILs Strengths

    SolidSolid

    GovernmentGovernment

    SupportSupport

    SignificantSignificant

    barriers forbarriers for

    transmissiontransmissionassetsassets

    Relatively newRelatively new

    assetsassets

    DominantDominant

    positionposition--inin

    transmissiontransmission

    Huge unmetHuge unmet

    gas demandgas demand

    StrongStrong

    FinancialFinancial

    positionposition

    Excellently placed to tap the emerging opportunities

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    Thank You