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1 2 3 4 5 6
2. Progression of Design 1 2 3 4 5 6
a a a a a a
2. Design: traditional Kazakh Tribe Hierarchy
2. Design: representing power and FNE
2. Design: representing power and FNE
2. Design Prototype
Chaprashty
Zetyru
SuanSary-
Uysum
Alimul Bayul
Kere
Argyns
Srgeli
Naimans
Uaki
Kipchaks
Alban
tribes
tribe
Horde Greater Zhuz
MiddleZhuz
YougerZhuz
Dulat
2. Design: Horde and Tribe Organization
Nazerbyev's POVPOWER
+
-
+
-
+
-
Nazerbyev's POV
POWER
+
-
+
-
+
-
friend neutral enemy
*
*
* *
* *
* * *
* * * *
Nazerbyev's POV
POWER
+
-
+
-
+
-
Greater Zhuz
MiddleZhuz
YougerZhuz
2. Design Iterations
3. Scenario 1: normal communications
Nazerbyev's POV
POWER+
-
+
-
+
-
YougerZhuz
Middle
Zhuz
Greater
ZhuzSuanSary-Uysum
Alban Dulat SrgeliChaprashty
Kere UakiArgynsKipchaks
Naiman
s
Alimul Bayul Zetyru
Horde Overview
01.12.12
1 2 3 4 5 6
3. Scenario 1: normal communications
POWER
+
-
+
-
+
-
friend neutral enemy
+
-
Chaprashty
SuanSary-Uysum
Alban
Dulat Srgeli
Alimul Bayul Zetyru
Kere Uaki
ArgynsNaiman
s
Chaprashty POV
Kipchaks
Chaprashty POV 01.12.12
1 2 3 4 5 6
POWER
+
-
+
-
+
-
friend neutral enemy
+
-
Chaprashty POV
Kipchaks
AlimulBayulZetyru
Kere
UakiArgynsNaiman
s
Chaprashty
SuanSary-Uysum
Alban
DulatSrgeli
Kipchaks POV
3. Scenario 1: normal communications
Kipchaks POV 01.12.12
1 2 3 4 5 6
4. Scenario 2: false event
Nazerbyev's POV
POWER+
-
+
-
+
-
YougerZhuz
Middle
Zhuz
Greater
ZhuzSuanSary-Uysum
Alban Dulat SrgeliChaprashty
Kere UakiArgynsKipchaks
Naiman
s
Alimul Bayul Zetyru
Horde Overview
05.01.13Turmoil during political protests
1 2 3 4 5 6
POWER
+
-
+
-
+
-
friend neutral enemy
+
-
Chaprashty
SuanSary-Uysum
Alban
Dulat Srgeli
Alimul Bayul Zetyru
Kere Uaki
ArgynsNaiman
s
Chaprashty POV
Kipchaks
4. Scenario 2: false event
Chaprashty POV before event 05.01.13
1 2 3 4 5 6
POWER
+
-
+
-
+
-
friend neutral enemy
+
-
Chaprashty
SuanSary-Uysum
Alban
Dulat Srgeli
Alimul Bayul Zetyru
Kere Uaki
ArgynsNaiman
s
Chaprashty POV
Kipchaks
4. Scenario 2: false event
Chaprashty POV after event 07.01.13
1 2 3 4 5 6
POWER
+
-
+
-
+
-
friend neutral enemy
+
-
Chaprashty
SuanSary-Uysum
Alban
Dulat Srgeli
Alimul Bayul Zetyru
Kere Uaki
ArgynsNaiman
s
Chaprashty POV
Kipchaks
4. Scenario 2: false event
Chaprashty POV returns to pre-event relationships 09.01.13
1 2 3 4 5 6
4. Scenario 2: false event
POWER
+
-
+
-
+
-
friend neutral enemy
+
-
Chaprashty POV
Kipchaks
AlimulBayulZetyru
Kere
UakiArgynsNaiman
s
Chaprashty
SuanSary-Uysum
Alban
DulatSrgeli
Kipchaks POV
Kipchaks POV before event 05.01.13
1 2 3 4 5 6
4. Scenario 2: false event
POWER
+
-
+
-
+
-
friend neutral enemy
+
-
Chaprashty POV
Kipchaks
AlimulBayulZetyru
Kere
Uaki ArgynsNaiman
s
Chaprashty
SuanSary-Uysum
Alban
DulatSrgeli
Kipchaks POV
Kipchaks POV after event 07.01.13
1 2 3 4 5 6
4. Scenario 2: false event
POWER
+
-
+
-
+
-
friend neutral enemy
+
-
Chaprashty POV
Kipchaks
AlimulBayulZetyru
Kere
UakiArgynsNaiman
s
Chaprashty
SuanSary-Uysum
Alban
DulatSrgeli
Kipchaks POV
Kipchaks POV returns to pre-event relationships 09.01.13
1 2 3 4 5 6
Nazerbyev's POV
POWER+
-
+
-
+
-
YougerZhuz
Middle
Zhuz
Greater
ZhuzSuanSary-Uysum
Alban Dulat SrgeliChaprashty
Kere UakiArgynsKipchaks
Naiman
s
Alimul Bayul Zetyru
5. Scenario 3: change in communication patterns
Horde Overview
Political Government changes 10.02.13
1 2 3 4 5 6
POWER
+
-
+
-
+
-
friend neutral enemy
+
-
Chaprashty
SuanSary-Uysum
Alban
Dulat Srgeli
Alimul Bayul Zetyru
Kere Uaki
ArgynsNaiman
s
Chaprashty POV
Kipchaks
5. Scenario 3: change in communication patterns
Chaprashty POV before coup d’etat 10.02.13
1 2 3 4 5 6
POWER
+
-
+
-
+
-
friend neutral enemy
+
-
Chaprashty
SuanSary-Uysum
Alban
Dulat Srgeli
Alimul BayulZetyru
Kere Uaki
ArgynsNaiman
s
Chaprashty POV
Kipchaks
5. Scenario 3: change in communication patterns
Chaprashty POV with new Kipchaks President 14.02.13
1 2 3 4 5 6
POWER
+
-
+
-
+
-
friend neutral enemy
+
-
Chaprashty POV
Kipchaks
AlimulBayulZetyru
Kere
UakiArgynsNaiman
s
Chaprashty
SuanSary-Uysum
Alban
DulatSrgeli
Kipchaks POV
5. Scenario 3: change in communication patterns
Kipchaks POV before coup d’etat 10.02.13
1 2 3 4 5 6
POWER
+
-
+
-
+
-
friend neutral enemy
+
-
Chaprashty POV
Kipchaks
AlimulBayulZetyru
Kere
Uaki
ArgynsNaiman
s
Chaprashty
SuanSary-Uysum
AlbanDulat Srgeli
Kipchaks POV
5. Scenario 3: change in communication patterns
Kipchaks POV with new Kipchaks President 14.02.13
1 2 3 4 5 6
6. Alternate Scenarios 1 2 3 4 5 6
6. Alternate Scenarios: Lebanese Civil War (1975-91) 1 2 3 4 5 6
6. Alternate Scenarios: Terrorism in Somalia 1 2 3 4 5 6
6. Alternate Scenarios: MS-13 1 2 3 4 5 6
