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StormGeo: Control in a changing enviromentStorm offshore Forecasts.
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Offshore experience
Storm offshore Forecasts
North Sea- Manually checked and updated 2-4 times daily- Based on ECMWF/GFS and inhouse WRF/SWAN modelling
Norwegain Sea- Statoil, Shell, BP, ExxonMobil, …
Barents Sea- Snøhvit, Statoil
Adriatic Sea- ExxonMobil
South Atlantic Ocean- Brazil, Peregrino, Statoil
OBSERVATIONS
WEATHER-
MODEL
PHYSICSMATHEMATICSDYNAMICS++ FORECAST
Offshore web portal 24/7
ECMWF products – global 0.125 deg (16km) resolution
Documented high skill
Complex systems - complex modellingStormDrift
Wind and waves - Operational: ECMWF (10-25 km) and WRF (1-9 km).
Ocean current - Princeton Ocean Model (MI-POM) - Operational: 1.5 km (blue)/4 km (green), hourly fields.
.
Wind and waves - Operational: ECMWF (10-25 km) and WRF (1-9 km).
Ocean current - Princeton Ocean Model (MI-POM) - Operational: 1.5 km (blue)/4 km (green), hourly fields.
.
StormDrift
StormDrift
2 km model resolution3-6 vertical layersEularian code
2 km model resolution3-6 vertical layersEularian code
1. Advection with surface current2. Dispersion by molecular diffusion/surface effects3. Evaporation4. Chemical dissolution5. Aggregation6. Break-up and dispersion by waves7. Sedimentation
1. Advection with surface current2. Dispersion by molecular diffusion/surface effects3. Evaporation4. Chemical dissolution5. Aggregation6. Break-up and dispersion by waves7. Sedimentation
Electronic Numerical Integrator And Computer: 40 FLOPS
1946
Roadrunner: 1.026 peta FLOPS
~1000 trillion FLOPS
2008
First real time NWP September 1954
Modelling and computer power
Operasjonell mode3 dager/minutt
Operasjonell mode3 dager/minutt
StormDrift
Offshore web portal 24/7