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A perspective on the Video On Demand Market. Created by Mat Riches
Citation preview
Prepared & presentedby
ITV Commercial Research &
InsightVOD
Firstly…
“There are known knowns. These are things we know that we know. There are known unknowns. That is to say, there are things that we know we don't know. But there are also unknown
unknowns. There are things we don't know we don't know.” – Donald Rumsfeld
“Statistics are just like mini-skirts, they give you good ideas
but hide the most important thing.” – Ebbe Skovdahl
Defining the parameters
Video On Demand(VOD)
Content that people are going online and offline to find, to catch up with
Video (Not) On Demand(VNOD) Advertising placed around this content
Sky BB launches
Q1
Five D/LLaunches
Q3
4ODLaunches
Q4
BT VisionLaunches
Q4
YouTube launches
Q1
Virginmedia
launches
AppleTV launches
Q1
iPlayerLaunches
Q4
Iplayer BetaQ3
SkyAnytimelaunches
Q1
ITV.com revamp
Q1
5D/L=Demand Five
Q3
ITV.com=ITVplayer
Q4
SKY BB =SkyPlayer
Q2
C4 Catch Uplaunch
Q2
C4 Consolidates CU & Stream
Q1
Youtube launches Shows
Q3
ITVplayerrefresh
Q4
MSN Video
Q3
C4 Catch Upconsolidates
Q2
SeeSaw in Beta & Live
Q1
iPlayer onto PS3
Q4
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Flux me, there’s a lot been happening
CanvasQ4????
MS VP goes Live
Q1
The VOD nebula
Picture Source: http://antwrp.gsfc.nasa.gov/apod/ap070224.html - The Eagle nebula – Pillars of Creation
TV VOD
PC VOD
PVRs
Mobile
Who watches Video On Demand?
60% of the adult population have used the internet to view video
But…25% have used the internet to watch Television programmes
Source: enders analysis – UK Quarterly Internet trends Q4, 2009
22524: nVision Snapshot: Media Use
Source: nVision Research Base: 1,200 respondents aged 15+, GB, 2008
All
I never watch TVprogrammes as they arefirst broadcast
I only watch TVprogrammes as they arefirst broadcast
Solus use of VOD is small, but it is growing
5%
37%
58%DoBoth
The iPlayer is the largest player
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09
Uni
que
Use
rs (0
00's
)ITV Player BBC iPlayer Total iPlayer Radio iPlayer TVChannel 4oD FiveTV Sky Player
Source: Netview Jan 2009- Dec 2009 – Entertainment – Video category/BBC internal Statistics – Jan 2010
Profile of the UK Catch up services
13 9 9 11 8
11 13 10 12 10
17 15 1627
17
2927 31
2431
23 27 25 18 26
7 9 9 9 9
0102030405060708090
100
Active OnlineUniverse
itvplayer iPlayer 4OD catch-up Demand Five
2 to 17 18 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 49 50 to 64 65+
Source: Nielsen Online, home and work, May 2009
Source:
"Communications tools don't get socially interesting until they get technologically boring" Clay Shirkey, Here Comes Everybody
9%
19%
6%
2%
11%
5%
15%
26%
15%
5%
18%
10%
24%
40%
22%
11%
31%
15%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Tota
l
15-3
4
35-5
4
55+
ABC1
C2D
E
Spring 2007 Spring 2008 Spring 2009
VOD use growing fastest amongst the 55+
“Which of the following, if any, have you done on the internet in the last 6 months…? Watched television programme / film (e.g. BBC iPlayer)*”
Source: nVision ResearchBase: 1,200 respondents aged 15+, GB
When are they watching?
Source: Yahoo – Understanding the Drivers to Video Consumption
Online TV builds on, rather than replaces broadcast viewing.
It is a different experience, used for different things.
In our study, online TV added up to 3 hours of viewing per week to linear television.
Online viewing is incremental to broadcast
Catch up viewing is outside of peak
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
7,000,000
06:00 - 0
7:00
08:00 - 0
9:00
10:00 - 1
1:00
12:00 - 1
3:00
14:00 - 1
5:00
16:00 - 1
7:00
18:00 - 1
9:00
20:00 - 2
1:00
22:00 - 2
3:00
24:00 - 2
5:00
26:00 - 2
7:00
28:00 - 2
9:00
ITV1
Ave
rage
000
's
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
ITV
Catc
h U
p Vi
ews
ITV1 Catch Up Views
Can you come back when I have watched Loose Women? Oh no, it’s
ok, I’ll go to the ITV player later
Source: TV Figures – BARB/Ofcom December 2009 - Individuals/Internal ITV.com figures
Viewing Across Multiple Platforms - THE X FACTOR
CATCH UP VIEWING TREND
57%60%
40%
31%
3%9%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Series 5 Series 6
Playback ITV repeats ITV.com
Some people are predicting the death of the schedule
British viewers predict end of traditional TV
“More than three quarters (79%) of British consumers predict that there will be no TV schedules by 2018 and we will instead be able to always watch what we want, when we
want to…”http://www.tiscali.co.uk/presscentre/press_release/2008/january/011608iptvresearch.html
Web TV seen as an extension to broadcast…
80%
49%
30% 28% 25%20% 18% 18%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Watch progs Iwould
otherwisemiss
Mostly watchalone
More selectiveabout
broadcast TVviewing
More engaged Experimentmore with TV
progs
Watch moreprogs in
entirity andzap less
Watch moreTV than I did
before
Watchprogrammes I
would notnormally
watch
…and Catch up is still the main reason for using VOD
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Catch up onmissedprogs
Follow awholeseries
Watchprogs
especiallyfor yourself
Watchfavourite
progs
Miss out onthe ads
Watchprogs withthe rest ofthe family
Watchwhen
there'snothing else
to do
Watchprogs with
friends
Watchprogs
everyone istalkingabout
PC Vod TV Vod
Source: Kantar Media futurePROOF,2009
The public don’t want to pay for it…?
No, I haven’t and I would
not pay
67%
No, I haven’t been asked
to pay
27%
Yes
4%
Don’t know
2%
Q: have you ever paid to watch Television online?Source: Deloitte State of the media democracy report, July 2009
So, where’s the money in all of this?I would not be
interested if I had to pay or watch
adverts, 32%
Paying for content on a PPV basis through set top
box/red button, 7%
Receiving the content for free but with ads that cannot
be skipped, 28%
Paying a monthly subscription, 24%
Paying a one off fee through a secure
server, 9%
Source: Wiggins Entertainment Media Research 2009
Thinking again about content from the internet that may be available in the future through your TV, if you had to choose which of the following ways of paying for content would most appeal to you?
The predictions are that this won’t be changing soon
Source: Screen Digest
9 out of 10 will accept ads around quality content
Source: Ipsos MediaCT’s MOTION study – Base Digital Video Users (n=939)
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
Full Length TVShows
Full lengthmovies
Movie/TV showtrailers orpreviews
Amateur orhome made
video cnotent
Very reasonable Somewhat reasonableNot very reasonable Not at all reasonable
Acceptance of Free, Advertising-supported video (April 09)
86% 78%65%
51%
While we are on the subject of time lengths…
We say it’s a mixed bag…
42% 45%
7%8%
6% 6%
40% 34%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
30" VOD 20" VOD 30" VOD 20" VOD
Agree Strongly agree
And we have a few more statements about this ad for Duck Fresh Discs. Please highlight the extent to which you agree with each statement
I liked the style of the ad I didn’t really believe it** Figures are based on
Disagree/Strongly Disagree
Please be aware that people can be very unforgiving
4 Out of
5 viewers
leave if a stream buffers once
Source: http://www.tubemogul.com/research/report/23
The benefits from the horses’ mouths
Web alone works well, but together with TV we can rule the world
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
All respondents Women
% A
ll Ag
ree
Unexposed Web Only TV Only TV & Web
For which brand of toilet care product, if any, have you seen or heard any advertising in the last month? Duck Fresh Discs
Source: Survey interactive Consumer Survey – October 2009
Increases in ad awareness
Increases in actual pounds, shillings and pence
Source: Survey interactive Consumer Survey – Oct 2009
9%
48%
9%
54%
17%
63%
21%
69%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
All respondents Waitrose Top Up Shoppers
Unexposed Exposed only on ITV.com Exposed only on TV All exposed on ITV.com and on TV
essential Waitrose - Please indicate when you most recently bought something from each of the following own label ranges. (Base: All respondents)
Cumulative for Bought in last week
or last month90% significant for bought in
last month133% uplift
44% uplift
Changing perceptions…we got that too
Source: Survey interactive Consumer Survey – Oct 2009
29%
26%28%
23%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Too expensive
Unexposed Exposed only on ITV.com Exposed only on TV All exposed on ITV.com and on TV
essential Waitrose - Which of the following supermarkets’ own label product ranges do you think are described by each of the statements on the left? (Base: All respondents)
Who is buying & Why?
http://www.webtventerprise.com/static/The_Online_Vi`deo_Advertising_Buyers_Guide_-_March_2010.pdf
TV buyers, 52%
Digital buyers, 48%
41.5%
11.9%
0.0%
46.7%
Deliver incremental reachto TV
Brand Awareness Direct Response Combination of responses
Key barriers to growth
It’s still horses for courses….
The future is TV shaped
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
VOD
HH
(m)
Broadband TV Vod Internet VOD only
Source: Enders – VOD edges forward 2009
“TV will remain at the centre of our lives and you will be able to watch what you want where you want” – Justin Rattner, Intel
It’s tinfoil hat time
And of course it will become more social
Obligatory usage of the Gartner Hype Cycle
Source: Gartner/Geek&Poke
To Summarise
Hard to define
Small, but perfectly formed
It’s getting older as we speak
Catch up is king, but not eating into linear
People are getting used to it
Prepared & presentedby
ITV Commercial Research &
InsightVOD