[2013년 6월 18일] 소프트웨어 산업 및 기술전망

Software History & Future

Sang Eun Lee

2013. 6. 18

목차

• SW를 바라보는 관점

• SW 역사

• 시사점

Quiz

세계에서 소프트웨어 매출이 가장 큰 회사는 (‘2011)?

Microsoft

Oracle

IBM

Google

Apple

Answer

# Company Software Revenues mln US$

Software Revenue growth

Total Revenues mln US$

Software Revenue

share

1 Microsoft> 54,270 10.6% 67,383 80.5%

2 IBM> 22,485 5.1% 99,870 22.5%

3 Oracle> 20,958 12.8% 30,180 69.4%

4 SAP> 12,558 10.5% 16,654 75.4%

5 Ericsson> 7,274 -4.2% 30,307 24.0%

6 HP> 6,669 7.9% 126,562 5.3%

7 Symantec> 5,636 1.3% 6,013 93.7%

8 Nintendo> 5,456 -19.8% 13,766 39.6%

9 Activision Blizzard> 4,447 3.9% 4,447 100.0%

10 EMC> 4,356 10.0% 17,015 25.6%

11 Nokia Siemens Networks> 4,229 -6.6% 16,918 25.0%

12 CA> 4,136 3.1% 4,454 92.9%

13 Electronic Arts> 3,413 -8.4% 3,413 100.0%

14 Adobe> 3,177 13.6% 3,826 83.0%

15 Alcatel-Lucent> 2,561 -4.6% 21,374 12.0%

16 Cisco> 2,383 11.5% 41,045 5.8%

17 Sony> 2,083 8.8% 83,039 2.5%

18 Hitachi> 1,939 22.0% 113,500 1.7%

19 Dassault> 1,885 19.0% 2,090 90.2%

20 BMC> 1,843 4.8% 1,981 93.0%

21 SunGard> 1,762 -11.7% 4,992 35.3%

22 Autodesk> 1,701 9.2% 1,932 88.0%

23 Konami> 1,643 3.1% 3,122 52.6%

24 Salesforce.com> 1,523 27.9% 1,628 93.6%

25 Sage> 1,485 -4.6% 2,228 66.7%

http://www.softwaretop100.org/microsoft

http://www.softwaretop100.org/ibm

http://www.softwaretop100.org/oracle

http://www.softwaretop100.org/sap

http://www.softwaretop100.org/ericsson

http://www.softwaretop100.org/hp

http://www.softwaretop100.org/symantec

http://www.softwaretop100.org/nintendo

http://www.softwaretop100.org/activision-blizzard

http://www.softwaretop100.org/emc

http://www.softwaretop100.org/nokia-siemens-networks

http://www.softwaretop100.org/ca

http://www.softwaretop100.org/electronic-arts

http://www.softwaretop100.org/adobe

http://www.softwaretop100.org/alcatel-lucent



http://www.softwaretop100.org/cisco

http://www.softwaretop100.org/sony

http://www.softwaretop100.org/hitachi

http://www.softwaretop100.org/dassault

http://www.softwaretop100.org/bmc

http://www.softwaretop100.org/sungard

http://www.softwaretop100.org/autodesk

http://www.softwaretop100.org/konami

http://www.softwaretop100.org/salesforce-com

http://www.softwaretop100.org/sage

Quiz

Oracle, SAP 같은 비즈니스 어플리케이션 소프트웨어를 만드는 기업의 매출 중 가장 큰 부분은 무엇일까요?

Software License

Upgrade & Maintenance

IT Service

Training & Education

Overview Contents Lecture Case Study Quiz Exercise

Copyright © 2011. Dr. June Sung Park. All rights reserved.

6

Salesforce.com

2008

Revenue

($M)

Gross

Margin

Total 1,077 79%

IT Services 9% 0%

Subscription 91% 87%

Oracle

2009 (ended at May 31)

Revenue

($M)

Gross

Margin

Total 27,101 55%

Software Licenses 26% 44%

Upgrades and

Maintenance Services 44% 92%

IT Services 13% 18%

On Demand Services 3% 27%

Microsoft

2010

Revenue

($M)

Gross

Margin

Total 62,484 80%

Software Licenses

Upgrades and

Maintenance Services

Quiz

정책과 법률이 SW발전과 관계가 있을까요? 최대사건은?

Yes

No

SW를 바라보는 관점

• 관련 기술과 SW의 변화

– HW 즉 system, network, device

• 활용용도, 그 시대의 문제점에 대한 해결책으로써 SW의 변화

– Productivity, 새로운 비즈니스의 창출

• SW산업 주역의 변화

– 기업의 변화

• 정책 등 영향을 준 사항

SW기술을 바라보는 관점

• Technology Implication

– Disruptive Technology

– Improvement Technology

• Taxonomy

– System Software

– AD&D

– Application

• Horizontal

• Vertical

• Science & Engineering

Software History (1)

HW Milestone

System

Component

Network

SW Milestone

Application

Issue

System Software

AD&D

Apps Improve-

ment

Disruptive Innovation

Other Milestone

Computer 탄생

ENIAC(‘46) EDSAC(‘49)

진공관

-

Military (탄도계산)

천공카드형태의 프로그램 내장

‘46


HW Milestone

System

Component

Network

SW Milestone

Application

Issue

System Software

AD&D

Apps Improve-

ment


Other Milestone

Computer 탄생

ENIAC

진공관

-

군사용(탄도계산)

‘46

Commercial system

UNIVAC(‘51) IBM701(‘53)

-

-

Military, Gov Apps, Science

1st SW company

CUC탄생(‘55), CSC(’59)

‘51


HW Milestone

System

Component

Network

SW Milestone

Application

Issue

System Software

AD&D

Apps Improve-

ment


Other Milestone

Computer 탄생

ENIAC

진공관

-


‘46

EDSAC(‘49) UNIVAC(‘51)

-

-

국가인구통계

Development Productivity

내장형SW 탄생

Assembly

‘49

IBM1401(‘60)

TR

다용도

Software Development Productivity

AD&D 탄생 ASCII std (’61-’63)

FORTRAN(‘57) for IBM70x COBOL(‘60)

’57 -


HW Milestone

System

Component

Network

SW Milestone

Application

Issue

System Software

AD&D

Apps Improve-

ment


Other Milestone

Computer 탄생

ENIAC

진공관

-


‘46


-

-

국가인구통계


내장형SW 탄생

Assembly

‘49

Network 탄생

IBM1401(‘60)

TR

SAGE

다용도


AD&D 탄생

FORTRAN(‘57) COBOL(‘60)

Space War on PDP-1 (‘62)

ASCII std (‘61)

’57 -

Network 탄생

SAGE

Information Exchange

’58


HW Milestone

System

Component

Network

SW Milestone

Application

Issue

System Software

AD&D

Apps Improve-

ment


Other Milestone

Computer 탄생

ENIAC

진공관

-


‘46


-

-

국가인구통계


내장형SW 탄생

Assembly

‘49

Network 탄생

IBM1401

TR

SAGE

다용도

AD&D 탄생



ASCII std (‘61)

’57 -

IBM360 (‘64) PDP-1~8; mini (’60-’65)

IC

Enterprise Productivity

Software Development Productivity

OS-base system

OS360 (Management SW, Processing SW) DBMS (’63)

AA ‘SABRE’

2800 용역개발사, EDS (’65)

’64 -


HW Milestone

System

Component

Network

SW Milestone

Application

Issue

System Software

AD&D

Apps Improve-

ment


Other Milestone

Computer 탄생

ENIAC

진공관

-


‘46


-

-

국가인구통계


내장형SW 탄생

Assembly

‘49

Network 탄생

IBM1401

TR

SAGE

다용도

AD&D 탄생



ASCII std (‘61)

’57 -

IBM360 (‘64) PDP-8; mini (‘65)

IC


Response to IBM360 Sales Inquiry

OS-base system SI기업 탄생 - EDS (‘65)

OS360 (Management SW, Processing SW)

DBMS (’63)

BASIC (‘64)

AA ‘SABRE’

2800 용역개발사

’64 -

Internet탄생

ARPANET (‘67) NSFNET (‘87)

CIX (‘92)

Connectivity

tcp/ip

’69 -

SW bundle에 의한 SW산업화 기회 상실

SW별도판매선언(IBM)

tcp/ip

독과점금지법

’71

Package기업 탄생

WYSWYG (Xerox, ‘74) RDB (‘76)

SAP (‘73), Microsoft, Oracle(‘74)

’73

IBM PC(‘81)

Personal Productivity

MS-DOS MS Basic

’80

Software Crisis (SW Quality, Cost, Schedule)

Software Engineering 탄생

Software Engineering (Software Process, Testing)

미 국방성이 지원하는 SEI 설립 (‘84)

’68


HW Milestone

System

Component

Network

SW Milestone

Application

Issue

System Software

AD&D

Apps Improve-

ment


Other Milestone

Computer 탄생

ENIAC

진공관

-


‘46


-

-

국가인구통계


내장형SW 탄생

Assembly

‘49

Network 탄생

IBM1401

TR

SAGE

다용도

AD&D 탄생



ASCII std (‘61)

’57 -

IBM360 (‘64) PDP-8; mini (‘65)

IC





DBMS (’63)

BASIC (‘64)

AA ‘SABRE’


’64 -


CIX (‘92)

Connectivity

Internet 탄생

tcp/ip

’69 -


HW Milestone

System

Component

Network

SW Milestone

Application

Issue

System Software

AD&D

Apps Improve-

ment


Other Milestone

Computer 탄생

ENIAC

진공관

-


‘46


-

-

국가인구통계


내장형SW 탄생

Assembly

‘49

Network 탄생

IBM1401

TR

SAGE

다용도

AD&D 탄생



ASCII std (‘61)

’57 -

IBM360 (‘64) PDP-8; mini (‘65)

IC





DBMS (’63)

BASIC (‘64)

AA ‘SABRE’


’64 -

Internet탄생


CIX (‘92)

Connectivity

tcp/ip

’69 -

PC탄생

Kenbak-1 Atari (‘72)

LSI U-processor

Small Enterprise

FA OA (email (‘71)

Atari Pong

’70 -

SW bundle에 의한 독과점

IBM SW별도판매선언(‘69) Software Industry*

미 법무부 대 IBM독과점소송 (SW, Service 산업 발전*)

’69


HW Milestone

System

Component

Network

SW Milestone

Application

Issue

System Software

AD&D

Apps Improve-

ment


Other Milestone

Computer 탄생

ENIAC

진공관

-


‘46


-

-

국가인구통계


내장형SW 탄생

Assembly

‘49

Network 탄생

IBM1401

TR

SAGE

다용도

AD&D 탄생



ASCII std (‘61)

’57 -

IBM360 (‘64) PDP-8; mini (‘65)

IC





DBMS (’63)

BASIC (‘64)

AA ‘SABRE’


’64 -

Internet탄생


CIX (‘92)

Connectivity

tcp/ip

’69 -

PC탄생

Kenbak-1, Space(‘71) Atari (‘72)

LSI U-processor

FA, OA확장

CAD-CAM, email (‘71)

Space War, Atari Pong

’71 -


HW Milestone

System

Component

Network

SW Milestone

Application

Issue

System Software

AD&D

Apps Improve-

ment


Other Milestone

Computer 탄생

ENIAC

진공관

-


‘46


-

-

국가인구통계


내장형SW 탄생

Assembly

‘49

Network 탄생

IBM1401

TR

SAGE

다용도

AD&D 탄생



ASCII std (‘61)

’57 -

IBM360 (‘64) PDP-8; mini (‘65)

IC





DBMS (’63)

BASIC (‘64)

AA ‘SABRE’


’64 -

Internet탄생


CIX (‘92)

Connectivity

tcp/ip

’69 -



tcp/ip

독과점금지법

’71


WYSWYG (Xerox, ‘74)

IBM system R (‘70) Oracle v2(‘79)

SAP R/1(‘73)

SAP (‘72), Oracle(‘77) Microsoft(‘75)

’73


HW Milestone

System

Component

Network

SW Milestone

Application

Issue

System Software

AD&D

Apps Improve-

ment


Other Milestone

Computer 탄생

ENIAC

진공관

-


‘46


-

-

국가인구통계


내장형SW 탄생

Assembly

‘49

Network 탄생

IBM1401

TR

SAGE

다용도

AD&D 탄생



ASCII std (‘61)

’57 -

IBM360 (‘64) PDP-8; mini (‘65)

IC





DBMS (’63)

BASIC (‘64)

AA ‘SABRE’


’64 -

Internet탄생


CIX (‘92)

Connectivity

tcp/ip

’69 -



tcp/ip

독과점금지법

’71




’73

Virus & Information Security 시초

Worm(Xerox,’78)

Personal Info & Data Protection Act from UK, EU, USA, Canada (‘98 -), DDOS(‘00)

’78


HW Milestone

System

Component

Network

SW Milestone

Application

Issue

System Software

AD&D

Apps Improve-

ment


Other Milestone

Computer 탄생

ENIAC

진공관

-


‘46


-

-

국가인구통계


내장형SW 탄생

Assembly

‘49

Network 탄생

IBM1401

TR

SAGE

다용도

AD&D 탄생



ASCII std (‘61)

’57 -

IBM360 (‘64) PDP-8; mini (‘65)

IC





DBMS (’63)

BASIC (‘64)

AA ‘SABRE’


’64 -

Internet탄생


CIX (‘92)

Connectivity

tcp/ip

’69 -



tcp/ip

독과점금지법

’71




’73

IBM PC(‘81)


Personal Information System*, User-base*

CP/M (DR, ‘78) MS-DOS (‘80) MS Basic(‘80)

MS Windows95 (‘95)

’80


HW Milestone

System

Component

Network

SW Milestone

Application

Issue

System Software

AD&D

Apps Improve-

ment


Other Milestone

Computer 탄생

ENIAC

진공관

-


‘46


-

-

국가인구통계


내장형SW 탄생

Assembly

‘49

Network 탄생

IBM1401

TR

SAGE

다용도

AD&D 탄생



ASCII std (‘61)

’57 -

IBM360 (‘64) PDP-8; mini (‘65)

IC





DBMS (’63)

BASIC (‘64)

AA ‘SABRE’


’64 -

Internet탄생


CIX (‘92)

Connectivity

tcp/ip

’69 -



tcp/ip

독과점금지법

’71




’73

IBM PC(‘81)


MS-DOS MS Basic

’80

SW Quality, Cost, Duration

SE 탄생

SEI설립

’84

Digital Mobile Phone(‘90) Smart Phone 탄생(‘00)

Kyocera QCP6035

IT&C Convergence *

Mobile Platform

’90


HW Milestone

System

Component

Network

SW Milestone

Application

Issue

System Software

AD&D

Apps Improve-

ment


Other Milestone

Computer 탄생

ENIAC

진공관

-


‘46


-

-

국가인구통계


내장형SW 탄생

Assembly

‘49

Network 탄생

IBM1401

TR

SAGE

다용도

AD&D 탄생



ASCII std (‘61)

’57 -

IBM360 (‘64) PDP-8; mini (‘65)

IC





DBMS (’63)

BASIC (‘64)

AA ‘SABRE’


’64 -

Internet탄생


CIX (‘92)

Connectivity

tcp/ip

’69 -



tcp/ip

독과점금지법

’71




’73

IBM PC(‘81)


MS-DOS MS Basic

’80


SE 탄생

SEI설립

’84

Digital Mobile Phone

’90

Open Source Software (‘91)

Linux 공개(‘91), v1.0(‘94) Free BSD v1.0 (’93)

Redhat(’94)

’91


HW Milestone

System

Component

Network

SW Milestone

Application

Issue

System Software

AD&D

Apps Improve-

ment


Other Milestone

Computer 탄생

ENIAC

진공관

-


‘46


-

-

국가인구통계


내장형SW 탄생

Assembly

‘49

Network 탄생

IBM1401

TR

SAGE

다용도

AD&D 탄생



ASCII std (‘61)

’57 -

IBM360 (‘64) PDP-8; mini (‘65)

IC





DBMS (’63)

BASIC (‘64)

AA ‘SABRE’


’64 -

Internet탄생


CIX (‘92)

Connectivity

tcp/ip

’69 -



tcp/ip

독과점금지법

’71




’73

IBM PC(‘81)


MS-DOS MS Basic

’80


SE 탄생

SEI설립

’84


’90

OSS 탄생(‘91)

Linux 공개(‘91), v1.0(‘94) MTML 1.0(‘92)

Free BSD v1.0 (’93)

Redhat(’94)

’91

Contents *

Internet기업 탄생(‘94), Information*

WorldWideWeb(Nexus)(‘90) HTML 1.0(‘92) Mosaic (‘93)

Netscape (‘94) HTML5(‘2012)

Web-base Apps Commerce & Community

Netscacpe(‘94), Yahoo (’95)

’93


HW Milestone

System

Component

Network

SW Milestone

Application

Issue

System Software

AD&D

Apps Improve-

ment


Other Milestone

Computer 탄생

ENIAC

진공관

-


‘46


-

-

국가인구통계


내장형SW 탄생

Assembly

‘49

Network 탄생

IBM1401

TR

SAGE

다용도

AD&D 탄생



ASCII std (‘61)

’57 -

IBM360 (‘64) PDP-8; mini (‘65)

IC





DBMS (’63)

BASIC (‘64)

AA ‘SABRE’


’64 -

Internet탄생


CIX (‘92)

Connectivity

tcp/ip

’69 -



tcp/ip

독과점금지법

’71




’73

IBM PC(‘81)


MS-DOS MS Basic

’80


SE 탄생

SEI설립

’84


’90

OSS 탄생(‘91)

Linux 공개(‘91), v1.0(‘94) MTML 1.0(‘92)


Redhat(’94)

’91

3C

Internet기업 탄생(‘94)

Mosaic (‘93) Netscape (‘94)


Netsacpe(‘94) Yahoo (‘95)

’93

Service *

Web2.0탄생(‘00)

XML1.0 standard(‘98)

Google(‘98)

’2000


HW Milestone

System

Component

Network

SW Milestone

Application

Issue

System Software

AD&D

Apps Improve-

ment


Other Milestone

Computer 탄생

ENIAC

진공관

-


‘46


-

-

국가인구통계


내장형SW 탄생

Assembly

‘49

Network 탄생

IBM1401

TR

SAGE

다용도

AD&D 탄생



ASCII std (‘61)

’57 -

IBM360 (‘64) PDP-8; mini (‘65)

IC





DBMS (’63)

BASIC (‘64)

AA ‘SABRE’


’64 -

Internet탄생


CIX (‘92)

Connectivity

tcp/ip

’69 -



tcp/ip

독과점금지법

’71




’73

IBM PC(‘81)


MS-DOS MS Basic

’80


SE 탄생

SEI설립

’84


’90

OSS 탄생(‘91)

Linux 공개(‘91), v1.0(‘94) MTML 1.0(‘92)


Redhat(’94)

’91

3C





’93

Smart Phone 탄생

Kyocera QCP6035

Web2.0탄생

Google(‘98) DDOS사건

’2000

Service *

Social Network Service

SNS

Iloveschool(‘00) Suvi.org Addressbook(‘02), Mysapce(‘03), Facebook(‘04), Tweeter(‘06)

’02


HW Milestone

System

Component

Network

SW Milestone

Application

Issue

System Software

AD&D

Apps Improve-

ment


Other Milestone

Computer 탄생

ENIAC

진공관

-


‘46


-

-

국가인구통계


내장형SW 탄생

Assembly

‘49

Network 탄생

IBM1401

TR

SAGE

다용도

AD&D 탄생



ASCII std (‘61)

’57 -

IBM360 (‘64) PDP-8; mini (‘65)

IC





DBMS (’63)

BASIC (‘64)

AA ‘SABRE’


’64 -

Internet탄생


CIX (‘92)

Connectivity

tcp/ip

’69 -



tcp/ip

독과점금지법

’71




’73

IBM PC(‘81)


MS-DOS MS Basic

’80


SE 탄생

SEI설립

’84


’90

OSS 탄생(‘91)

Linux 공개(‘91), v1.0(‘94) MTML 1.0(‘92)


Redhat(’94)

’91

3C





’93

SNS탄생

SNS

Sixdgree.com(‘97) Google(‘98)

’97

Smart Phone 탄생

Kyocera QCP6035

Web2.0탄생

DDOS사건

’2000

IaaS, PaaS, SaaS (Utility-base)

Cost

Cloud computing

Vitualization SaaS

AWS(Amazon Web Service (‘06) Salesforce.com(‘99)

’06


HW Milestone

System

Component

Network

SW Milestone

Application

Issue

System Software

AD&D

Apps Improve-

ment


Other Milestone

Computer 탄생

ENIAC

진공관

-


‘46


-

-

국가인구통계


내장형SW 탄생

Assembly

‘49

Network 탄생

IBM1401

TR

SAGE

다용도

AD&D 탄생



ASCII std (‘61)

’57 -

IBM360 (‘64) PDP-8; mini (‘65)

IC





DBMS (’63)

BASIC (‘64)

AA ‘SABRE’


’64 -

Internet탄생


CIX (‘92)

Connectivity

tcp/ip

’69 -



tcp/ip

독과점금지법

’71




’73

IBM PC(‘81)


MS-DOS MS Basic

’80


SE 탄생

SEI설립

’84


’90

OSS 탄생(‘91)

Linux 공개(‘91), v1.0(‘94) MTML 1.0(‘92)


Redhat(’94)

’91

3C





’93

SNS탄생

SNS


’97

Smart Phone 탄생

Kyocera QCP6035

Web2.0탄생

DDOS사건

’2000

IaaS, PaaS, SaaS (Utility-base)

Cost

Cloud computing

SaaS Vitualization

AWS(Amazon Web Service (‘06) Salesforce.com(‘99)

’06

iPhone(‘07) Google Phone(‘08)

Smart, Normadic

IT&C convergence*

iOS Android HTML5*

Mobile App Location-base Apps

Apple ‘Appstore’ (Echo systme)

’07


HW Milestone

System

Component

Network

SW Milestone

Application

Issue

System Software

AD&D

Apps Improve-

ment


Other Milestone

Computer 탄생

ENIAC

진공관

-


‘46


-

-

국가인구통계


내장형SW 탄생

Assembly

‘49

Network 탄생

IBM1401

TR

SAGE

다용도

AD&D 탄생



ASCII std (‘61)

’57 -

IBM360 (‘64) PDP-8; mini (‘65)

IC





DBMS (’63)

BASIC (‘64)

AA ‘SABRE’


’64 -

Internet탄생


CIX (‘92)

Connectivity

tcp/ip

’69 -



tcp/ip

독과점금지법

’71




’73

IBM PC(‘81)


MS-DOS MS Basic

’80


SE 탄생

SEI설립

’84


’90

OSS 탄생(‘91)

Linux 공개(‘91), v1.0(‘94) MTML 1.0(‘92)


Redhat(’94)

’91

3C





’93

SNS탄생

SNS


’97

Smart Phone 탄생

Kyocera QCP6035

Web2.0탄생

DDOS사건

’2000

iPhone Google Phone(‘08)

Mobile Platform & Echo system

iOS Android

Mobile App Location-base Apps

New paradigm for SW development & deployment

’07

Cloud computing

Salesforce.com Amaxon.com

’0x

Zetta data Processing

Big Data

Hadoop Machine Learning(AI)

’09

Dynamics - Computing Environment -

1980 2000 2020 2040

100:1(0.36억개) 1:1 (60억개) 1:13 (2,000억개)) 1:100 (1조개)

※ 출처 : 2010 Gartner 자료 재구성

Summary(1)

• Disruptive Technology

– SW개발 생산성을 높혀서 Application 수를 획기적으로 증가; Program Language

& Operating System

– 사용자층을 전문가에서 비전문가 까지 확대; Windows, Browser, Mobile Platform

– 정보의 기하급수적 증가; Internet, Smart Device Software

– SW의 구매, 보급을 획기적으로 변화; Appstore

– 통신, 가전, 자동차 등 타 영역을 정보영역으로 통합; Smart Mobile Platform & etc.

• Productivity Improvement – Science & Engineering applications; CAD-CAM, FA

– Horizontal applications; Accounting, email, OA

– Vertical applications; AABRE, Core banking, scada

• New Business – Information security(ESM etc.), cloud service, HTS, Auction and etc.

Summary(1)

1960 1980 2000 2020

Core Competency

Domain Knowledge Convergence

Computer & Software Knowledge

Service Platform +Service or Service Broker

Software Build or Integration

Man - Machine Machine to Machine

Technical Professional Knowledge

Worker End-users

User Base (Supply)

Man & Machine

Market Req. (Demand)

Cost Reduction or Productivity by Automation Contents, Service, Data New Business

1960 1980 2000 2020

Revenue Source

Service Revenue / Software License Strategic Rev,

Subscription Fee, Service Brokerage

Bundle & SI Single

& Volume

Time-base

Subscription

• Revenue from

– Bundle, System Integration, Software Package (PC & Mobile)

and Service

– Maintenance & Renewal Business is Important

• Single License, Volume License, Upgrade & Maintenance Bundle,

Subscription

Summary(1)

Summary(2)

• 정책의 영향

– 1969년 미 법무부의 반독점 소송 및 IBM의 SW분리 판매 선언으로 SW산업을 개척

– 1984년 SW 품질, 일정지연, 비용 증대의 문제를 풀기 위해 미 국무성이 SEI설립하여 SW공학 발전

– 1998년 개인정보보호법안으로 Information Security 시장이 열림

– 2012년 구글 무인자동차에 네바다주 면허 획득의 영향은?

– u-health 법이 통과되면?

Considerations

• Smart Phone을 비롯한 Smart Device의 의미?

– 통신, 차량, 등이 IT화

– What is next?

• Google Android 등 Mobile Platform의 의미?

– 모델수는? System 개발자는? SW개발자는?

• HTML5이후, Client에 Platform이 필요한가?

– Netscape vs MS Windows

• Yahoo vs Google?

• SNS의 의미?

• Cloud Computing의 의미? (IaaS, PaaS, SaaS)

• Big Data의 의미?

Device 변화

• 2018년 웨어러블 컴퓨터 연간 제품 출하량 약 4억 8,500만대 notification type, voice operational type, hybrid, independent

• 2016년 시장 규모 약 100억 달러까지 확대

2011 2016

Worst 1,400 3,900

Moderate 1,400 9,300

Best 1,400 17,100

(단위 : 만 대)

Device - 기술변화

하드웨어

• 디스플레이

- 플렉서블, 투명

• 배터리

- 박막형, 초소형 고용량

• 바이오 센서

- 체온, 혈압, 혈당, 맥박, 동공추적

소프트웨어

• 빅 데이터

- Context-aware

• 음성인식

- 개인비서 App

• 증강현실(AR)

• LBS

• 다양한 애플리케이션

Device - 산업변화

군사

개인

PC 시대

공공

과학 산업 커머스 교육 엔터테인먼트 헬스케어

스마트폰 시대 웨어러블 시대

핵심 요소 • 처리속도(CPU) • 저장용량(메모리) • 유선 인터넷

• GPS • 터치스크린 • 무선 인터넷

• Big Data • 바이오 센서 • Cloud Computing

주요 서비스 • 포털 • 검색

• SNS • MIM

• Life log 기반의 개인비서 서비스

출처 : 한국인터넷진흥원(2013.1월), 2012년 하반기 스마트폰이용실태 조사

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Q&A

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