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The Forests and Climate Change Task Force – “Take TwoFrances Seymour and Markku Kanninen

The forests and climate change task force: Take Two

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Presentation by Frances Seymour, Director General of CIFOR The forests and climate change task force: Take Two IUFRO Forest and Climate Change Task Force, February 2011 at Vienna, Austria.

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Page 1: The forests and climate change task force: Take Two

The Forests and Climate Change Task Force – “Take Two”as o ce a e oFrances Seymour and Markku Kanninen

Page 2: The forests and climate change task force: Take Two

Thematic content:  Agreement to retain focus on special emphasis areas

Cli h i f (i l di i d• Climate change impacts on forest ecosystems (including insects and pathogens) and forest‐dependent people

• Feedbacks between land cover dynamics, forest disturbance d li hprocesses and climate change

• Options for adaptation and trade‐offs between adaptation, conservation, and/or socio‐cultural needs

• REDD and other opportunities for carbon mitigation, including governance and institutional arrangements

Page 3: The forests and climate change task force: Take Two

Climate change impacts on forest ecosystems (including insects and pathogens) and forest‐(including insects and pathogens) and forest‐

dependent peopleSuggested specific topics:• Division 8 input on regional winners and losers, dynamism (“hot 

spots and hot moments”• Division 7 + other divisions on forest biology and climate change• Division 6 on impacts on forest dependent peoples• Division 5 on impacts on wood productionDivision 5 on impacts on wood production• Division 4 inputs re modeling of climate change impacts on growth 

and hazards• Link to Division 1 temperate forest adaptation initiative• Link to Division 1 temperate forest adaptation initiative

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Feedbacks between land cover dynamics, forestFeedbacks between land cover dynamics, forest disturbance processes and climate change

Suggested specific topics:Di i i 7 i t li t h f lti l /i t ti• Division 7 inputs on climate change as one of multiple/interactive stressors on forests; risk and uncertainty assessment

• Division 3 inputs on potential increase in salvage harvesting tioperations

• Division 8 inputs on “What is really new/unique with climate change?” 

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Options for adaptation and trade‐offs between adaptation, conservation, and/or socio‐cultural needs

Suggested specific topics:• Input from Division 6 on social issues, e.g., willingness/capacity of Input from ivision 6 on social issues, e.g., willingness/capacity of

tourism and recreation sectors to adapt; gender issues; role of urban forestry in the adaptation potential of cities

• Input from Division X on stand vs. system/landscape level adaptation p y / p papproaches

• Focus on adaptation strategies for the forest sector itself

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REDD and other opportunities for carbon mitigation, including governance and institutional arrangements

Suggested specific topics:

• Division 9 input on governance processes, role of the state, REDD discourses, etc.,

• Division 5 input on role of wood products in sequestration

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Early task:• Need to map the issues across different regions and forest types• Need to identify actors/processes already active in each• Identify niche of IUFRO Task Force accordingly to avoid duplication

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Possible products:• Syntheses of “the scientific consensus” for policy makers – e.g., 

results of panels focused on specific policy‐relevant questions (no ambition to produce new science)

• “What do policy‐makers need?” syntheses based on intelligence coming out of negotiating and other forums – fed back to Divisions

• Also “What SHOULD policy‐makers be asking for?”• “Toolkit” on forests and climate change, with initial target 

audience of the forestry research community itself (?)

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Agreement on proposed “piggy‐backing” strategy:• We do not anticipate any “stand alone” events organized by the Task p y g y

Force; instead, strategic insertion of panels/workshops in conjunction with other events

• Tactical use of “internal” events and possibly Wiki‐like discussions (where forestry people talk to each other) to generate “the scientific consensus” for projection into “external” events 

• Complement IPCC activities, e.g., with downscaling scenarios, and more frequent “What do policy‐makers need from science?”more frequent  What do policy‐makers need from science?  summaries

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Inputs to the next IUFRO World Congress 2014:

– Agreement on featuring IPCC lead authors as speakers in the sub‐plenary session

– Compilation and mapping to IUFRO Divisions of “What do policy‐makers need” as a future research agenda

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M b i d b IUFRO Di i i D dli M h 10th

Membership:  Propose to “cast a wide net”:– Members nominated by IUFRO Divisions  ‐‐ Deadline March 10th

– Members invited from key global processes – e.g., IPCC – for intelligence on “what policy‐makers need”

– Members selected to improve regional balance

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