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Perceptions about Scientists: Comparing 2001 and 2012 John C. Besley, Ph.D. Ellis N. Brant Chair in Public Relations, Michigan State

Aejmc 2014 presentation views about scientists

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Page 1: Aejmc 2014 presentation   views about scientists

Perceptions about Scientists: Comparing 2001 and 2012

John C. Besley, Ph.D.Ellis N. Brant Chair in Public Relations, Michigan State

Page 2: Aejmc 2014 presentation   views about scientists

Background

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Background

Underlying concern:Poor image of scientists leads to fewer people choosing a science career, less influence for scientists, and less support for science

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Background

• Used 1983 and 2001 data from the NSF S&T surveys

• Found that images of scientists driven by:• Year (2001 = better)• Demographics• Faith vs. science

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Background

• Image questions were back for 2012 Indicators• I served as

chapter author• Losh encouraged

me to re-analyze

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Current Project • Not feasible to include 1983 data in new analysis• As of 2006, NSF S&T survey is

part of General Social Survey (GSS)• Not much overlap between 1983 and 2012

surveys• Losh (2010) include a single “images” of scientist index

• Initial analysis suggested that available items do not scale into a single index

• Also potential for additional predictor variables aimed at understanding origins of views about scientists

Two questions:• Is there evidence of a change by descriptive statistics?

(While being wary of survey mode change)

• Did predictors of views change by year?

The data and the analysis …• 2001: n = ~1,000-1,200 (RDD telephone)• 2012: n = ~400-900 (Face-to-Face)

Step 1. Mean comparisons using t-tests/ANOVAStep 2. GLM Model with interactions by survey year

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ChallengesDescriptive Statistics and 2001-2012 Comparisons for Predictor Variables

Suggests slight decline in expected positive predictors

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ChallengesDescriptive Statistics and 2001-2012 Comparisons for Criterion Variables

Slight increase in positive perceptions

Slight increase in negative perceptions

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ChallengesGLM tests of between subject effects for views about scientists

Year had very little impact on the underlying relationships

Note: These are F-scores, NOT parameter estimates!

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ChallengesGLM tests of between subject effects for views about scientists

Women were slightly less likely to have negative views(b = -.12 and -.11)

Note: These are F-scores, NOT parameter estimates!

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ChallengesGLM tests of between subject effects for views about scientists

Young people and those who took more math and science courses tended to have fewer negative views

Note: These are F-scores, NOT parameter estimates!

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ChallengesGLM tests of between subject effects for views about scientists

Those with more interest are more likely to hold positive images(b = .15, but less so in 2001)

Note: These are F-scores, NOT parameter estimates!

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ChallengesGLM tests of between subject effects for views about scientists

Small negative relationship between knowledge and perceptions(b = -.02 to -.04)

Note: These are F-scores, NOT parameter estimates!

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ChallengesGLM tests of between subject effects for views about scientists

No museum visit or lots of museum visits associated with seeing more danger in 2012 (i.e., non-linear)

Note: These are F-scores, NOT parameter estimates!

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ChallengesGLM tests of between subject effects for views about scientists

Indicating that newspaper were the primary source of S&T was associated with lower perceptions of danger and working alone

Note: These are F-scores, NOT parameter estimates!

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ChallengesGLM tests of between subject effects for views about scientists

Indicating that newspaper were the primary source of S&T was associated with lower perceptions of danger and working alone(b = -.18 and -.20)

Note: These are F-scores, NOT parameter estimates!

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ChallengesGLM tests of between subject effects for views about scientists

Very limited variance explained

Note: These are F-scores, NOT parameter estimates!

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Discussion • Factors associated with scientist views include: • Age and gender• Experience/Knowledge of science

BUT …• NSF S&T Survey is meant to be a key source

of S&T knowledge and attitude data.AND …

• Models based on available questions explain limited variance in scientist perceptions

SO …• We need to encourage NSF to continue to think

about the questions included in the S&T survey• Better communication variables, including

exposure/attention to various sources of science content, as well as interpersonal discussion

• Consistent issue specific and general attitude measures

Next steps …• Redo the analysis in MPlus using multi-group

modelling approach• Build in criterion variables related to impact of views

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Parameter Estimates