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Calibrating Longitudinal eGFR in Patience Records Stored in

ClinicalPractices Using a Mixture of

Linear Regressions

[email protected] 2012

Norman Poh Simon de Lusignan

Dept of ComputingFaculty of Electronics and Physical Sciences

Clinical Informatics Research Group

Faculty of Economics, Business and Law

University of SurreyUnited Kingdom

® Norman Poh 2

MotivationBiomedical signal is under- and irregularly

sampled and very noisy due to circardian rythme, assay methods, and confounding factors, among others.

Challenge: Finding signal from noiseOur objective: correct for structural noise

due to assay methodsInnovation: blindly distinguish the assay

methods using mixture of regression.Result: Successfully applied to calibrating

estimated Glomerular Filatration Rate (eGFR)

® Norman Poh 3

Problem statement

Serum creatinine

eGFR lab reporting(original)

eGFR lab reporting

(Gold standard)

Since 1990’s 2006 20102006-2009Report

ing m

easu

res

eGFR not used

Serum creatinine

eGFR calibrated to the Gold standardeGFR lab reporting

(Gold standard)

Since 1990’s 2006 20102006-2009Report

ing m

easu

res

Not distinguishable from each other

Example of data across patients (without calibration)

4

eG

FR=

est

imate

d G

lom

eru

lar

filt

rati

on r

ate

Eff

ect

iveness

of

kidney f

unct

ions

® Norman Poh 5

Sample results for one patient (original data)

Phase 0 Phase 1Phase 2

Phases 0, 1 and 2 are found via mixture of

linear regression

Both time-series are

indistinguishable

® Norman Poh 6

Calibrated to Phase 1

Phase 0 Phase 1Phase 2

Non calibrated eGFR obtained from Serum

Creatinine

calibrated eGFR to Phase 1 (green

points)

® Norman Poh 7

Calibrated to Phase II

Phase 0 Phase 1Phase 2

calibrated eGFR to

Phase 1 (red points)

® Norman Poh 8

Results (across all patients)Non-calibrated eGFR Calibrated eGFR

® Norman Poh 9

A functional representation

𝑐

X𝑔𝑆 X𝑔

𝐿

𝑔𝐿eGFR

Serum Creatinin

e(SCr)

Self-calculated Lab-calculated

X𝑐❑

𝑀𝑀𝐷𝑅𝐷

𝑀𝑢𝑔𝑆

Obtained from health record

Calculated variable

𝑀 𝑙𝑎𝑏

CF = confounding factorsGiven

We can deduce:

𝑈𝑛𝑘𝑛𝑜𝑤𝑛

Input data : a time-series of and .


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