Google Confidential and Proprietary
Consumers and Marketing Strategies in the Digital Space
Andrew Pozniak – Industry Leader, Emerging MarketsBucharest, 04 November 2009
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Agenda
Internet evolution
Understanding user activity
What drives Search?
Search and brands
Ideas for an economic slowdown
Final thoughts
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Internet evolution
3
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3.0The evolution of the Internet
1994 2003 2006
77M 1,000M500MUsers
Information & Communication
Commerce Community Self Expression &
Entertainment
1998 2000
400M
2009
1,600M
1.0 2.0
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6.5
Growth in online usage
Information
Communication
eCommerce
Community
Entertainment
2003 2007
Hours online / month
2012
20.5
71.51
4.52.52
642.25
7.565
11 16 32
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Where does your business sit?
43% 50% 7%
Source: Fortune 500 web audit (Feb 2008)
Internet as brochureware
Internet as sales channel
Internet as engagement tool
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Understanding user activity
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Search is a universal consumer behaviour
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81%of internet users enter websites via a search engine
Source: Forrester Research Inc., “UK Internet User Monitor”
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Internet is the number one starting point
Source: Ipsos MORI, Question 4.1: As you started to research your new car purchase, where was the first place you began searching for information?Question 4.2: Which other sources of information did you use at any stage in researching and buying your car?Base: All respondents
80%of new car buyers
started their search on the internet
Automotive Example
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Search behaviour is also personal and iterative
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On average mobile phone shoppers do 8.5 searches prior to conversion
Number of mobile phone searches per converter
Share of Mobile Phone converters by number of searches conducted per converter
22% do 10 or more
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These searches occur over an extended period of time - average 27 days between first search and sale
Purchases & research tracked at a leading set of mobile phone retailers’ websites – Carphonewarehouse.com, dialaphone.co.uk, mobilefun.co.uk, o2.co.uk, orange.co.uk, phones4u.co.uk, three.co.uk, t-mobile.co.uk, virgin mobile, vodafone.co.uk
42% of mobile conversions occur after 30 days
42% Sales
38% Searches
Time from First Search
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From ‘holiday in the sun’ to holidaypurchase in 33 days – 11 searches, 28 site visits
Holiday in the sun
5 338 13 21 29
Sear
ches
Visi
ts
HolidayRentals Hotels.com TripAdvisor
TUI
Expedia
First Choice
First Choice
Tui
TUI
TripAdvisors
TUI
AirToursFirst Choice
TUI
AirTours
First Choice
Thomas CookTravelRepublic
Thomas Cook
Teletext Holidays
HolidayWatchdog
AirTours
First Choice
Olympic Holidays
TUI
ebookers
First Choice
Thomas Cook
Cyprus holidays
Holidays in the Sun
Palm Beach Hotel Larnaca Cyprus
Europe Holidays
Spain HolidaysCheap Flights CyprusCyprus Holidays
Beau Rivage Hotel Cyprus
Cyprus Hotels
Thomson Holidays
Day 1
Travel Example
Source: Comscore Research Paper October 2007
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Buyers are undecided when they start
Source: Ipsos MORI, Question 3.1/3.2/3.3: When you first started looking, how much did you know about the Type / Make / Model of car you wanted to buy?Base: New car buyers (n=500)
62%Undecided on Brand of car
(eg. Ferrari car)
69%Undecided on Model of car
(eg. Enzo car)
52%Undecided on
Type of car(eg. Sports car)
Automotive Example
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Again this is true across different industries
Q: “You indicated that you use search engines to help you research flights. Before using a search engine to help you research flights, have you already made up your mind about the:”
N=1894
Source: Media-Screen/GMI Apr 06
75%
44%
23%
18%
8%Airline you want tofly
Times you want tofly
Price you want tospend
Days you want to fly
Destination youwant to go
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In fact search enables discovery of new brands
Source: TNS / Google Automotive consumer study June 2007; Base: All respondents who bought a new car% - Completely Agree - Agree
47%
64%
64%
61%
48%
44%
Find the best price
Make more informed decisions
Compare makes and models
Discover new and relevant websites
Discover new models
Discover new brands
Automotive Example: Search engines help me
Automotive Example
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The majority of car buyers switch brands
Source: Ipsos MORI, Question 5.2: What type of car did you buy in the end?Base: All respondents
55%
Automotive Example
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What drives Search?
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All touchpointsdrive online search
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37%
30%
39%
Source: iProspect, “Offline Channel Influence on Online Search Behavior,” 2007. (Q. Within the last six months, which of the following prompted you to go to a search engine to look for information on a particular company, product, service, or slogan? Select all that apply.)/ RAB Word of Mouse Study 2007.
20%
40%
67% of online search users are driven to
search for information about a particular
company, product, service, or slogan
by an offline channel
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Of course, online ads drive search activity too
Display Ads
vs27% 31%After seeing display
ads, nearly as many users search as those who
click on ads.
Driving Search
Video Ads
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Search and brands
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Search Results pages reflect and influence consumers’ brand perceptions
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Advertising on your brand names reinforces your brand in the mind of the consumer
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Consumers associate search ranking with the success of the company
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71% of users expect leading brands to be on top of the search
results page 36% of users link placement to company prominence
Source: comScore, US, CPG study, October 2007Jupiter Research / Ipsos Insight Consumer Survey, n=2.103 (Search Engine users US only), Jan 2008
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Search ads have a clear impact on brand metrics
Source: Enquiro Research/Ipsos Interactive Services, May 2008, Aggregated Data: All Industries, all countries (UK, Germany, France)
Brand Recall(do you remember it?)
Brand Affinity(do you like it?)
Purchase Intent(would you buy it?)
+ 2.5x1.18x 1.14x
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Ideas for an economic slowdown
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Google Confidential and Proprietary 29Source: comScore
113 billion searches worldwide in July 2009 + 41% versus 2008
In Europe, 36 billion searches in July 2009
1. Users never stopped searching
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Search query growth in Romania (+40% Q3 09 v Q3 08)
3030Source: Google Internal
Allsearches
on Google RO
20082007
2009
+ 40%
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2. When incentivised, consumers will buy
Recent retailer incentives spurred great consumer demand and sales
700,000 new car sales
690,000 dealership vouchers
$2.88 Billion
Cash for Clunkers
All passes sold out in 2 days
31 Million searches in 7 hrs
10 Million blog results
jetBlue All You Can Jet
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3. Shopping starts earlier…
As of September 2009, consumers have already begun shopping for the upcoming holidays
Have started holiday shopping/researching.1
47%
Have made holiday purchases. 2
36%
Source: Google/OTX Consumer Pulse Check, 9/09. Base: Those who plan to shop/research or purchase this holiday season (Nearly 9 out of 10 plan to shop/research or purchase.) [1] Have you started your 2009 Holiday shopping/researching? n=2,331. [2] Have you started your 2009 Holiday purchasing? Please think of any gifts that you may shop for or purchase
during the Holiday Season, as well as those you may shop for or purchase after the holidays (e.g., post-holiday sales). n= 2,361.
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3. …and ends later
During the last holiday season, some consumers waited till close to the holidays to complete their holiday shopping
Source: [3] comScore Press Release, December 2008.
Year-over-year e-commerce sales growth happened during
the weekend before Christmas. 3
98%
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4. Consumers have more choice
Consumers today have many more choices: greater product options, new marketplaces (i.e. online, store, mobile), and increased retailer competition
New Retailers Online Expanded Product Offerings
Source: Hitwise. Shopping & Classified Website Ranking Report, week ending 9/26/09 vs. 9/27/08.
+7%
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5. Online continues to outpace offline
Online conversions continue to show year-over-year growth, outpacing negative overall retail sales growth
51%59%
174%
135%
90%
Home Furnishings
Apparel Department Stores
Home Improvement
Consumer Electronics
-14%
-7% -7%
-12%
-10%
Home Furnishings
Stores
Apparel & Accessories
StoresDepartment
Stores
Home Improvement
Stores
Consumer Electronics
Stores
Google Search-Driven Conversions YoY Growth
(January – August 2009)
Overall Retail Sales YoY Growth
(January – August 2009)
Source: Compete/Google Retail Dashboard, January through August 2009. Overall Retail sales from US Census Monthly Retail Trade Report for Jan-August 2009.
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6. Online increasingly drives offline
Source: [1] Internet Retailer, http://www.internetretailer.com/dailyNews.asp?id=31879.
“Lundgren said that every dollar spent online at Macys.com influences $5.77 spent in stores within 10 days after an online purchase.”1
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7. Focus on sales conversion is key
Performance Marketer
THE BOTTOM LINE
Website optimization is key to boosting ROI
Will text work better than display?
It’s easier to double profits by doubling your conversion rate, than trying
to double traffic
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Media tested Buttons tested
7. Your visitors will show you what works and what doesn’t
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Final thoughts
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Marketers need to catch up with consumersSearch is at the start of the
consumer processWhere is it in
media planning?
Search is an integral part of the consumer decision process
Where is it inmedia activity?
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You can always experiment and measure…
Google Confidential and Proprietary
“To have a great idea – have a lot of them"
- Thomas Edison
Google Confidential and Proprietary
Q&AAndrew Pozniak
Industry Leader, Emerging Markets
Thank you!