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World Meteorological OrganizationWorking together in weather, climate and water
Launch of Global Assessment Report on DRR
Workshop 3: Progress in Reducing Disaster RiskThematic topic: Early Warning Systems
Maryam Golnaraghi, Ph.D.
Chief of Disaster Risk Reduction Programme, WMO
Bahrain
18 May 2009
www.wmo.int
WMO
Economic Losses Related to Disastersare on the Way Up !
Source: EM-DAT: The OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database - www.em-dat.net - Université Catholique de Louvain - Brussels - Belgium
4 11 1424
47
88
160
345
103
495
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
56-65 66-75 76-85 86-95 96-05
Geological
Hydrometeorological
Billions of USD per decade
decade
While Casualties related to Hydro-Meteorological Hazards are Decreasing!
0.05
2.66
0.17
1.73
0.39
0.65
0.22 0.25
0.67
0.22
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
56-65 66-75 76-85 86-95 96-05
Geological
Hydrometeorological
Millions of casualties per decade
decadeSource: EM-DAT: The OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database - www.em-dat.net - Université Catholique de Louvain - Brussels - Belgium
• First International Early Warning Conferences (Postdam, 1998)
• Second World Summit on Sustainable Development (Johannesburg, 2002) - JPA
• Second International Early Warning Conferences (Bonn, 2003) - PPEW
• World Conference on Disaster Reduction (Kobe, January 2005) - HFA
• G8 Summit and UN General Assembly (2005, 2006)
• Third International Early Warning Conference (Bonn, March 2006) – Global Early Warning Survey and EWS check list
• First Symposium on Multi-Hazard EWS for Integrated Disaster Management (WMO with ISDR, World Bank, UNDP, IFRC, UNESCO, OCHA)(Geneva, May 2006)
• First Session of Global Platform for Disaster Risk Reduction (5-7 June 2007)
• Second Experts’ Symposium on EWS with Multi-Hazard Approach (WMO and MeteoFrance) (Toulouse, 5-7 May 2009)
• 2009 Global Risk Assessment Report (To be launched in Bahrain, May 17, 2009)
• Second Session of Global Platform for Disaster Risk Reduction (16-19 June 2009)
International Attention to Early Warning Systems …
International attention to this topic ….
NEXT….
Upcoming Documented Good
Practices and Guidelines
Training volumes to be published by Springer Verlag
EWS-II: Effective Early Warning Systems Must be People-centered (PPEW)
HFA: Early Warning Systems should be an intergral part of a comprehensive DRR strategy
Risk TransferRisk Identification
Historical/real-time hazard databases, analysis and modeling of changing hazard trends
Exposed assets & vulnerability
Risk quantification
PREPAREDNESS: early warning systems
emergency planning /response
MITIGATION AND PREVENTION: Medium to long term sectoral planning (e.g. building resilient infrastructure)
CAT insurance & bonds
Weather Risk Management
Other emerging products
Risk Reduction
Information and Knowledge SharingEducation and training (national to local)
Planning, Legislation and Organizational Coordination and Cooperation (national to local)
MHEWS-I: Need Multi-stakeholder Coordination and Collaborations at all levels
Media
Academia and
Research
Multi-Sectoral
Disaster Risk Management/Civil Protection
andHumanitarian
Other Scientific and Technical Services
CoordinationCollaborations
MHEWS-I identified criteria for good practices in early warning systems…
ORGANIZATIONAL
Clarity of roles and responsibilities (national to local level)
Coordination and partnerships(interoperability, sustainability;reliability)
Integrated planningGOVERNANCE
Strong political commitment
Disaster management plans
Legislation and policies(national to local levels)
Legal and financial frameworks
OPERATIONAL Integration of information
in decision processes Preparedness and drills
Education & training
Effective dissemination and response mechanisms (matching resources and cultures)
Feedback mechanisms to improve the system
http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/drr/events/ews_symposium_2006
First International Experts’ Symposium on Multi-Hazard EWS (May 2006)
• Development and sustainability of EWS require political commitment and dedicated investments;
• EWS should be an integral part of national and local disaster risk management planning and budgeting;
• Enforceable legislation must explicitly define the roles and responsibilities of various authorities and agencies from national to local levels;
• Implementation of EWS requires clear concept of operations enabling effective coordination among agencies across all components of EWS, at national and local levels;
• Systematic feedback at all levels are needed, to ensure improvements of the system over time.
• Public education
2009 GLOBAL ASSESSMENT REPORT ON DISASTER REDUCTION
Thematic Progress Review Sub-Component on Early Warning Systems
Coordinated and drafted by WMO
in Collaboration with 18 international organization
FAO, GFMC, IFRC ISDR-PPEW), ITU, OCHA, UNU, UNDP, UNEPUNESCO-IOC, UNICEF, UNOOS, UNOSAT, UNITAR, the
World Bank, WFP, WHO and WMO
Sources of information
• WMO Country-level Survey (2006-2007) – 139 countries participated
• PPEW-UNU survey (51 countries participated)
• Extensive information collected by other international agencies
Some Highlights …
• Governence and coordination
• Financial and Institutional
• Technical capacities and multi-disciplinary cooperation
• Incorporation of risk information in warning messages
• Communication and Dissemination
• Ability to respond to warnings on the ground
National DRR Capacity Assessment Survey (2006)
NMHS
Category
Planning &
Legislation
Infrastructure
Observation
Forecasting
Telecom.
Technical
Capacities
Partnerships
&
Concept of Operations
% countries
1 Need for development in all areas 12
2 Need for improvements in all areas 42
3 Self sufficientNeed for improvements
in these areas 26
4Self sufficient
Could benefit from sharing of good practices practices and guidelines
20
Under estimated
Over 60% of the countries are challenged in meeting technical needs!
Regional and International
• Trans-boundary and regional aspects
• International support to national EWS development
Development and progress in EWS Yes!
Are we better off ????
Next steps ….
• EWS must be an integral part of DRR planning and implementation
• Strengthening of operational technical capacities and info sharing (inter-disciplinary and regional cooperation)
• Utilization of hazard and risk maps in emergency planning and improving warning messages
• Communication and dissemination channels Significantly underdeveloped, – sustainability and cultural aspects are key issues!
Next steps ….
• Concept of Operations and Standard Operational Procedures for early warning systems
• Effective regional-national-local, multi-agency operational evaluation and feedback mechanism
• Coordinated approach among international agencies in supporting EWS development
• Need for a different approach to benchmarking and surveying EWS
• Investment in research to extend lead-time (climate …)
Identification of Good Practices
Documentation of Good Practices and
learning Lessons
Development of Guidelines for EWS
implementation based on Lessons Learnt
Projects
•Implementation of end-to-end EWS projects (planning, institutional coordination, operations)
•Sharing of good practices
WMO is working with partners to assist its Members in Early
Warning Systems
Building Capacities and
sharing experiences and lessons’ learnt
2nd Multi Hazard Early Warning Symposium(May 2009, Toulouse, France)
1. Discussed Documented “good practices” and other national experiences in early warning systems
France Vigilance system Shanghai MH-EWS and Emergency Preparedness System Bangladesh Cyclone Preparedness Programme Cuba tropical cyclone early warning system 10 other national examples
2. Finalized the Guidelines: “Capacity Development in Multi-Hazard Early Warning
Systems with Focus on Institutional Coordination and Cooperation”;
3. Recommend concrete actions for: Documentation of other good practices in EWS Trans-boundary and regional issues and initiatives
http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/drr/events/MHEWS-II
Multiple Risk
Systematic Multi-Agency Cooperation Projects in DRR with EWS as a critical component….
For more information please contact:Maryam Golnaraghi, Ph.D.Chief of Disaster Risk Reduction ProgrammeWorld Meteorological OrganizationTel. 41.22.730.8006Fax. 41.22.730.8023Email. [email protected]
http://www.wmo.int/disasters
Thank You