39
Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy Duncan Kay 2012 20’s Plenty for Worthing 1

Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    4

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy

Duncan Kay

2012

20’s Plenty for Worthing 1

Page 2: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

What people say...

People say 20’s Plenty...

• Will make congestion worse

• Costs businesses time and money

• Increases fuel consumption

• Will kill our local economy

Are they right?

20’s Plenty for Worthing

2

Page 3: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

Existing situation

• Worthing currently suffers from congestion and parking problems

• Worthing’s bus services are being cut

• Worthing has the highest numbers of pedestrian and cyclist deaths and serious injuries of anywhere in West Sussex

20’s Plenty for Worthing

3

Page 4: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

Road safety in the UK

• UK 4th Safest roads in the World

• Official statistics show around 2000 people are killed and about 30,000 are seriously injured on our roads every year

• In May 2010 DfT statisticians admitted there are anywhere between 40,000 and 120,000 serious injuries a year!

• National Travel Survey results suggest 220,000

20’s Plenty for Worthing

4

Page 5: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

Not safe for pedestrians & cyclists…

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Sweden Netherlands UK

4.3 3.4 2.9

16 13

32

24 25

43

Fata

litie

s p

er

10

bill

km

tra

velle

d

Car

Cyclist

Pedestrian

20’s Plenty for Worthing

5

Page 6: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

Annual Costs to Worthing

• Every year on average Worthing suffers: • 2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

• Department for Transport values this: £13m

– of this, lost output, medical & police costs: £3m

• Cost of physical inactivity in Worthing: £23.5m

– made up of NHS costs and lost output

• Total cost to taxpayers in Worthing: £6.3m

– Total NHS, medical, ambulance and police costs

20’s Plenty for Worthing

6

Page 7: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

Traders worried, charity shops, empty shops..

20’s Plenty for Worthing Photo: Lloyd Davis

7

Page 8: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

The future - new realities

• Rising congestion

• Rising oil / fuel prices

• Competition from internet shopping

• Public transport cuts

• Air pollution

• Noise pollution

• Climate change

20’s Plenty for Worthing

8

Page 9: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

Town centre parking

Spaces available

• Worthing – 2400 spaces for 103,000 (0.02 per head)

• Horsham – 2700 spaces for 55,000 (0.05 per head)

• Chichester – 3800 spaces for 24,000 (0.16 per head)

Costs for 3 hours parking:

• Worthing: £3.20 - £5.00

• Horsham: £1.00 - £3.00

• Chichester: £1.80 - £3.00

20’s Plenty for Worthing

9

Page 10: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

Department for Transport – traffic forecast

20’s Plenty for Worthing

10

Page 11: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

20’s Plenty for Worthing

11

Page 12: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

New developments:

• West Durrington development • 700 new houses each with 1, 2 or 3 car parking spaces

• Worthing Gateway project • 260 new apartments

• 967 car parking spaces (replacing 394 at Teville Gate

• Another town centre supermarket

• Northbrook College (128 dwellings)

• 6th Form College – Bolsover Road site • 265 dwellings with associated parking

• 6th Form College moving to North of Grove Lodge Roundabout (plus 36 new homes)

20’s Plenty for Worthing

12

Page 13: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

Cost of fuel continues to rise...

20’s Plenty for Worthing

13

Page 14: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

Competition from the internet

• Why would I want to go into town?

– I can get my food shopping delivered to my door

– I can find a wider choice at lower prices on the net

• If we want to attract people into Worthing we need to offer them an attractive environment!

20’s Plenty for Worthing

14

Page 15: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

So what’s the solution?

20’s Plenty for Worthing

15

Page 16: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

The best way to get people into town

20’s Plenty for Worthing

16

Page 17: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

• To get 72 people into town typically requires – 60 cars (1000m2 parking needed)

– or 72 bicycles (90m2 parking)

– or one bus (no parking space required)

20’s Plenty for Worthing

17

Page 18: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

How do people really get into town?

Results of Sustrans

survey in Bristol 2003

20’s Plenty for Worthing

Retailers overestimate

the importance of car

customers by ~50%

18

Page 19: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

Who visits the most shops?

20’s Plenty for Worthing

Pedestrians, cyclists and bus users all visit more shops than car users

19

Page 20: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

Who visits more & spends more?

• European study: • Cyclists spend more - 13 % more per square metre of

parking space

• Cyclists go to the shops more often (11 times a month versus 7 times a month for motorists)

• 75 % of motorists leave a shop with less than two bags of shopping

• US study: • Cyclists spend 24% more per month in bars/corner

shops/restaurants than car users

20’s Plenty for Worthing

20

Page 21: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

20’s Plenty for Worthing

Who visits more & spends more?

“Walkable (and bikeable) communities.. facilitate a more frequent interaction between patrons and businesses.. bikers and pedestrians are also more regular customers. That also says something about marketing, about customer loyalty, about neighborhood-based businesses."

21

Page 22: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

• Study of 15 London town centres • Walkers spent £147 more per month than those

travelling by car.

• Walkers were the most frequent visitors (51% visit five days a week or more) followed by cyclists (38%) and bus users (26%). Car users visit less often (16%).

• The main ways that the town centres could be improved were better range of shops (30%), to make the streets cleaner (26%) and less traffic (21%).

Who visits more & spends more?

20’s Plenty for Worthing

22

Page 23: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

What do shoppers want?

20’s Plenty for Worthing

Retailers want more parking

Shoppers want lots of good shops and a more pleasant, people-centred environment

23

Page 24: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

20’s Plenty for Worthing

The more traffic, the more empty shops

24

Page 25: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

Putting people first works!

George Street, Hove (cars restricted 10am-4pm)

20’s Plenty for Worthing

People’s overwhelming desire is for safe

and attractive environments and a good

selection of interesting shops / cafes etc.

This is what attracts people into town.

The best way to deliver this is to restrict

motor traffic and encourage local traders.

The shared space scheme in

New Road, Brighton has seen

a 162% increase in footfall!

25

Page 26: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

Before 1977: six-lane motorway intersection in the city centre • Ruinous traffic congestion

• Retailers closing

• People leaving the city

Replaced by greenery, pedestrianisation, cycleways and bus lanes • Rents are among the highest in the Netherlands

• Outflow of population has been reversed

• Businesses, once in revolt against car restraint, are clamouring for more of it.

Senior city planner: 'This is not an environmental programme, it is an economic programme. We are boosting jobs and business. It has been proved that planning for the bicycle is cheaper than planning for the car.’

20’s Plenty for Worthing

Case study: Groningen

26

Page 27: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

20’s Plenty for Worthing

“OK so 20’s Plenty and putting people first might help the economy, but what about the ‘fact’ 20mph...

• Will make congestion worse

• Costs businesses time and money

• Increases fuel consumption?”

27

Page 28: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

20mph improves traffic flows

• The ability of traffic to move smoothly through the built environment, depends on the performance of junctions, not on speed of flow between junctions.

• Junctions work much more efficiently at lower speeds

• At 30 mph, you frequently need control systems like traffic signals

• At 20mph vehicles can make more efficient use of space and drivers can use eye contact to engage and cooperate with other road users

20’s Plenty for Worthing

28

Page 29: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

20’s Plenty for Worthing

Traffic flow increases as average speed goes down areas are at speeds of 1515mph

Traffic flow increases as average speed goes down – the highest flows of traffic in central areas are at speeds of 15-25kph – that’s 10-15mph

Data from DfT Cost benefit analysis tool, COBA Handbook.

29

Page 30: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

• Area-wide 20mph speed limits will reduce overall fuel consumption and emissions because:

1. 20mph speed limits encourage smoother, slower driving which reduces fuel consumption

2. 20mph speed limits improve traffic flows at junctions

3. 20mph speed limits encourage more walking and cycling (and may discourage driving for short journeys)

DfT: “driving more slowly (at a steady pace) will always save fuel and carbon dioxide emissions unless a quite unnecessarily low gear is being used.”

Effect on fuel consumption

20’s Plenty for Worthing

30

Page 31: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

The reality is...

20’s Plenty will...

• Reduce congestion

• Save businesses time and money

• Reduce pressure on parking

• Create a more attractive quality of life

• Make Worthing a more attractive place to visit

• Help boost our local economy

20’s Plenty for Worthing

31

Page 32: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

What’s your vision for Worthing?

• “where cities have 20mph limits covering

between 65% and 85% of the urban network, they are transformed from being noisy, polluted places into vibrant, people-centred environments”.

(Commission for Integrated Transport, European Best Practice study,2001 )

20’s Plenty for Worthing

32

Page 33: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

Backup

20’s Plenty for Worthing

33

Page 34: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

Other European Examples

• In Graz, Austria • over 80% of the network has 30 kph limits. Cycle usage

increased by 17% while cycling casualties fell.

• Munich, Germany • "pedestrian friendly city" policy, 80% of the road

network has a 30 kph limit. Some residential areas have even lower limits. Munich has very low casualty rates for vulnerable road users.

20’s Plenty for Worthing

34

Page 35: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

• Hilden, near Dusseldorf , Germany • 30 kph speed limit introduced over most of the road

network to improve safety and quality of life and to avoid the expense of providing a comprehensive network of cycle lanes. 60% of trips to the town centre are now made on foot or by bicycle

Other European Examples

20’s Plenty for Worthing

35

Page 36: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

West Sussex Travel Survey 2008

20’s Plenty for Worthing

36

Page 37: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

West Sussex Travel Survey 2008

20’s Plenty for Worthing

37

Page 38: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

Priority noise action areas

20’s Plenty for Worthing

38

Page 39: Why 20’s Plenty would be good for Worthing’s economy...Annual Costs to Worthing •Every year on average Worthing suffers: •2 fatalities, 30+ serious injuries, 220+ slight injuries

Noise reduction

• “Cutting speed is just about the quickest way to cut noise and improve people’s quality of life”

• A new report just launched by the UK Noise Association has found that reducing speed is the “most immediate and equitable way” of cutting traffic noise. It found “There is a measureable link between traffic noise and speed. In urban areas with speeds of between 20 and 35 mph, reducing speeds by 6 mph would cut noise levels by up to 40%.”

20’s Plenty for Worthing

39