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Utah’s Future
Potential impacts and opportunities from projected population growth
What is Utah Foundation?
Public Policy Research
Think Tank
NonprofitNonpartisanIndependentSince 1945
Supported by business,
foundations, higher ed, cities, counties, schools,
individuals
Thriving Economy
Well-Prepared Workforce
High Quality of
Life
College-Age Population Projections
Projected Enrollment
UVU projected to see most growth in next decade
From “Reaching Toward 2050: Education in the Midst of Population Growth,” Utah Foundation, May 2015
Race and Ethnicity in Higher Ed
Current Utah Trends in Higher Ed
From “Steps Forward in Higher Ed: Success Measures, Game Changers, and Performance-Based Funding in Utah,” Utah Foundation, December 2014
Changes in Tuition
Increasing portion paid by tuition vs state funds
From “Reaching Toward 2050: Education in the Midst of Population Growth,” Utah Foundation, May 2015
2050 Series
Reports cover population growth from four different angles Demographics
Transportation and utility infrastructure
Water
Education
Where Growth is Projected
Biggest Growth projected in Utah County
From “A Snapshot of 2050: An Analysis of Projected Population Change in Utah,” Utah Foundation, April 2014
Projected increase of over 700,000
Challenges in Wasatch Front Projected Growth
59%32%
9%
Location-Efficient
Disposable Income Housing Transportation
43%
32%
25%
Auto-Dependent Exurbs
49%32%
19%
Average Amer-ican
Wasatch Front is similar to this
From “Roadmap to 2050: Planning for Utah’s Future Infrastructure Needs,” Utah Foundation, June 2014
Future Infrastructure
Future Infrastructure - Transit Phase 1 (2011-2020)
Phase 2 (2021-2030)
Phase 3 (2031-2040)
Water
From “Flowing Toward 2050: Utah’s Water Outlook,” Utah Foundation, September 2014
Two schools of thought
Population projections assume we will have water
Air Quality
UVU is not currently “major source”
In the future: No more than 100
tons of any pollutant
No emission reduction credits are available
Millennials and Boomers Less likely than US peers to be
seeking new jobs More religious and Republican
than US peers Similar to US peers regarding:
% of independent voters
support of gay rights,
Survey does not include post-Millennials (under 18 years old)
Thank You
www.utahfoundation.org
Stephen J. Hershey Kroes, [email protected]
Mallory Bateman, Research [email protected]
Top Growth – Occupational Groups
