The Next WirelessThe Next WirelessGenerationGeneration

WSI-WorkshopWSI-WorkshopBrussels, 12 December 2000Brussels, 12 December 2000

Joao Joao Schwarz Schwarz Da Da SilvaSilva

European CommissionEuropean Commission

DG INFSODG INFSO

http://www.cordis.lu/ist/ka4/mobile/index.htm

OutlineOutline

• European Co-ordinated approach

• The Next Wireless Generation Challenge

• The Future FP6

Co-ordinated approach to R&DCo-ordinated approach to R&D

• Bringing together the efforts of manyprojects covering the whole spectrumof wireless issues, and interacting withthe real world– from radio access to backbone network

– from terrestrial to satellite

– from public to private

– from enabling technologies to servicesand applications

!Articulation with Policy

European R&D: the bestEuropean R&D: the bestframework for novel ideasframework for novel ideas

• UMTS– From concept to reality (10 years of work)

• Broadband Wireless– Developing the HiperLAN family

– Mobile Broadband Systems

• First steps towards– Re-configurable Radio

– Convergence of Mobile Communications andBroadcasting

UMTS: a long term commitmentUMTS: a long term commitment• R&D

• UMTS idea launched by the Commissionback in 1989

• Standardisation• Input from R&D projects - Key ETSI decision

• Policy• Input to WARC ’92

• UMTS Task Force and UMTS Forum

• UMTS Decision

• CEPT Mandates

• WRC 2000 and follow-up

Implementation of UMTS DecisionImplementation of UMTS DecisionMS Probable No. Licenses Probable Method

Austria 4 A(706M€)Belgium 4 ADenmark 4 CBFinland 4 CB(0B€)France 4 CB(19.6B€)

Germany 6 A (50.8B€)Greece 3 AIreland 5 CB

Italy 5 CB+A (12.15B€)Luxembourg 2 to 3 likely TBDNetherlands 5 A (2.7B€)

Portugal 4 CB (400M€)Spain 4 CB(500M€)

Sweden 4 CBUK 5 A (38.5B€)

Investment in UMTS infrastructure estimated to be of the order of200+BEuros (from 1.5 to 7 BEuros/network for 70 networks)

Overall investment ~1.6 the infrastructure

Market value for mobile services ≈≈≈≈ 8 to 10 times the value of infrastructure

Proceeds of Licensing estimated to be of the order of150 BEuros

The Next Wireless GenerationThe Next Wireless Generation

WirelessWirelessIPIP

SocietySocietyS-UMTSSatellite

Broadband

DVB-S

DVB-TDAB

GSM

GPRS/EDGE

DECTIR

BroadbandW-LAN

UMTS

Satellite/HAPS

Broadcasting

Cellular

Indoor

MBS 40 xMDS

Broadband WFA

Wireless Local Loop

Body LANs

PersonalArea Networks

UMTS ++

Local Area NetworksMBS 60 MWS

Bluetooth

Quasi-Cellular

The Next Wireless Generation: WhatThe Next Wireless Generation: Whatit should NOT be just about...it should NOT be just about...

Mobile Systems beyond IMT-2000

0.1

Data Rate (Mbit/s)

1

Vehicular

Pedestrian

Stationary

Mo

bil

ity

10 100

IMT-2000

Wireless AccessWireless LAN

4G System4G System 5G Syst.5G Syst.( 4th Generation )

Wireless Technologies for 4G

Micro CellOptical

Entrance Link

WirelessEntrance Link

IMT-2000IMT-2000

4G4G

Macro Cell

Adaptive Array Antenna

Multi-mode Terminalby Software Radio

Major Technical Issue

Ultra High BitrateHigh Frequency(High Propagation Loss)

High OutputPower

Reduce RequiredOutput Power !

Higher data rates

More Capacity

More Licensed Spectrum

Public Cellular systems

Technology push

The Next Wireless GenerationThe Next Wireless Generationcould be...could be...Σ User as the focus

User no longer “owned” by anyoneUser no longer “owned” by anyone– the users, or their smart agents, will select at each instant the best system

meeting the required the service and privacy performance,

– user support in a mobile aware context with the provision of advancedtiming and location based services, across all user environments

Σ “Integration” of cellular, broadcasting and WLAN systems– from heterogeneous, hierarchical, competing but complementary,

broadband networks (public and private, operator driven or ad-hoc)

– to personal area and ad hoc networks

Σ The disappearing terminalΣ Impact of a 1g terminal in the next 10 years

Σ Spectrum efficiencyΣ More intensive use of unlicensed bands

Σ Unlimited address space

Fully IPv6-basedFully IPv6-based

IPv6IPv6

Addressing is the most visible capability of IPv6. Despitestrict rationing, current IPv4 address space is rapidly being

depleted.

IPv6 has 128 bits of address space, pushing the theoreticallimit of unique IPv6 nodes to about

340 billion billion billion billion unique addresses!

Other significant capabilities of IPv6 include meeting thecritical business requirements for scalable networkarchitectures, improved security and data integrity,

integrated quality of service (QoS), automatic configuration,data multicasting, and more efficient network route

aggregation at the global backbone level.

From WPAN’s to WWAN’sFrom From WPAN’s WPAN’s to to WWAN’sWWAN’s

Time

WLAN

Cellular

PAN

0,01

0,1

1

10

100

1000

Max

dat

a ra

te (

Mb

ps

)

HIPERLAN/1 802.11b

HIPERLAN/2 802.11a

HSCD

GPRS

EDGE

UMTS

Convergencepiconets, scatternets

Bluetooth

HomeRF

2.4GHz

5GHz

60GHz

Ultrawideband

Space/Time coding

Networks of wireless devicesNetworks of wireless devices

Ad hoc networks of a myriad of smart devices, wireless sensors and actuators embedded in numerous

distributed devices, appliances as well as in living beings, capable of monitoring and interacting with the physical world

The Disappearing TerminalThe Disappearing Terminal

• Mix of Human to Computer to Device

• Hidden RF and Processor components

• Wearable devices

• Multi-modal Interaction– Speech - Mics, Sound– Vision - Cameras– Location - Privacy issues– Hybrid Reality -– Writing - Stylus/Pad

• A communicating SIM in the wallet

• Power saving technologies

The IST in FP6The IST in FP6• Concentration of EU collaborative R&D efforts for building

critical mass in strategic areas and for strengtheningEuropean competitiveness

• Forward-looking and higher-risks research

• Rapid responsiveness to emerging needs and significantbuilt-inflexibility

• Strong articulation between R&D activities and EU policies

• Combination of European Research Area instruments intointegrated exploratory and Targeted Initiatives– Dynamic Road Map built on industry-academia consensus

– Co-ordination mechanism between stakeholders

– Integration of activities necessary to achieve objectives

– Budget up to 300M€

A role for WWRF?

In Conclusion...In Conclusion...• An unprecedented opportunity was created

in the context of EU R&D (eg UMTS)– Less than 60 MEuro of EU R&D funding

• In 10 years time the wireless landscape willchange dramaticallyScarcity of spectrum resourcesExplosive growth of M2MProliferation of competing information services,“Chaotic” development of heterogeneous networksEnsuring Quality of Service, reliability and privacy across

multiple networksRe-configurable technologies and their Regulatory

Implications