The Dinosaur Survives and Wins

Joy Langston, CIDE

Why Did the PRI Win in 2012?• STRONG IN ALL REGIONS.• NO MAJOR INTRA-PARTY DIVISIONS. • STRONG CANDIDATE.1. Tremendous power of the PRI governors.2. Avoided fragmentation.Split between two factions that lasts through 2006.3. The coordination mechanism that is a popular presidential hopeful.

PRI Governors, 2011

Debilidades Regionales: Distritos de Mayoría en Distintas Regiones, 2012

PAN PRD PRI/PVEM

Circun. 1 Northwest 13 0 47

Circun 2 Northeast 28 0 31

Circun 3 Southeast 6 18 33

Circun 4 Guerrero/DF/Morelos

5 41 14

Circun 5 Edomex/Mich 1 11 49

PRI: Resultados electorales estatales y locales

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 20100

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PRI Local

PRI Gov-ernor

PARTY ID, 1989 TO 2002 (Moreno, 2003).

PARTY ID, 2006-2010, Mitofsky

2006 2007 2008 jan 09 feb 09 april 09 july 09 sep-09 nov-09 feb-10 july 10 nov-100

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PANPRIPRDNO ID