35
115 Summary Tables

Summary Tables - GPO 19.6% 19.4% 19.2% 19.0% 20.5% 20.0% Deficit ..... 3.5% 4.4% 4.7% 4.5% 3.9% 3.5% 3.0% 2.5% 2.1% 1.7% 1.4% 1.1% 3.9% 2.8% Debt held by the public

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115

Summary Tables

BUDGET OF THE U. S. GOVERNMENT FOR FISCAL YEAR 2019 117

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

Tot

als

2019

–20

2320

19–

2028

Bu

dge

t T

otal

s in

Bil

lion

s of

Dol

lars

:R

ecei

pts

.....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...3,

316

3,34

03,

422

3,60

93,

838

4,08

94,

386

4,67

54,

946

5,23

15,

506

5,81

819

,344

45,5

20O

utl

ays

.....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....

3,98

24,

214

4,40

74,

596

4,75

44,

941

5,16

05,

348

5,52

65,

748

5,95

56,

181

23,8

5852

,615

Defi

cit

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..66

587

398

498

791

685

277

467

257

951

745

036

34,

513

7,09

5

Deb

t h

eld

by t

he

publ

ic .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.14

,665

15,7

9016

,872

17,9

4718

,950

19,9

4620

,809

21,4

9522

,137

22,7

0323

,194

23,6

84

Gro

ss d

omes

tic

prod

uct

(G

DP

) ..

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....

19,1

7720

,029

21,0

0322

,069

23,1

9424

,369

25,6

0526

,900

28,2

5329

,647

31,0

8932

,602

Bu

dge

t T

otal

s as

a P

erce

nt

of G

DP

:R

ecei

pts

.....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...17

.3%

16.7

%16

.3%

16.4

%16

.5%

16.8

%17

.1%

17.4

%17

.5%

17.6

%17

.7%

17.8

%16

.6%

17.1

%O

utl

ays

.....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....

20.8

%21

.0%

21.0

%20

.8%

20.5

%20

.3%

20.2

%19

.9%

19.6

%19

.4%

19.2

%19

.0%

20.5

%20

.0%

Defi

cit

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..3.

5%4.

4%4.

7%4.

5%3.

9%3.

5%3.

0%2.

5%2.

1%1.

7%1.

4%1.

1%3.

9%2.

8%

Deb

t h

eld

by t

he

publ

ic .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.76

.5%

78.8

%80

.3%

81.3

%81

.7%

81.9

%81

.3%

79.9

%78

.4%

76.6

%74

.6%

72.6

%1 O

utl

ays

and

defi

cits

are

sta

nda

rdiz

ed t

o 12

mon

thly

ben

efit

paym

ents

, as

show

n o

n T

able

S–4

.

Tab

le S

–1.

Bu

dge

t T

otal

s 1

(In

billi

ons

of d

olla

rs a

nd a

s a

perc

ent

of G

DP

)

118 SUMMARY TABLES

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

Tot

als

2019

–20

2320

19–

2028

Pro

ject

ed d

efici

ts i

n t

he

pre

-pol

icy

bas

elin

e 1 ..

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....

665

870

969

1,04

91,

103

1,11

51,

109

1,12

31,

136

1,24

21,

316

1,37

85,

345

11,5

40P

erce

nt

of G

DP

....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..3.

5%4.

3%4.

6%4.

8%4.

8%4.

6%4.

4%4.

2%4.

1%4.

3%4.

3%4.

3%

Pro

pos

als

in t

he

2019

Bu

dge

t:C

han

ges

to m

and

ator

y sp

end

ing

and

rec

eip

ts:

Rep

eal a

nd

repl

ace

Oba

mac

are

.....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....

......

......

...3

23–2

7–4

1–5

6–7

3–9

2–1

13–1

37–1

61–9

8–6

75S

upp

ort

at le

ast

$1 t

rill

ion

in p

riva

te/p

ubl

ic in

fras

tru

ctu

re in

vest

men

t ...

......

......

....

......

......

......

4511

1825

3129

2012

52

130

199

Pro

vide

pai

d pa

ren

tal l

eave

....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

......

......

...1

12

22

22

22

37

19R

efor

m t

he

wel

fare

sys

tem

....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...–2

1–2

3–2

5–2

5–2

7–2

7–2

7–2

9–2

9–2

8–1

23–2

63R

efor

m F

eder

al s

tude

nt

loan

s ..

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

–6–1

2–1

6–1

9–2

2–2

4–2

5–2

6–2

7–2

7–7

5–2

03R

edu

ce im

prop

er p

aym

ents

Gov

ern

men

t-w

ide

.....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

–*–1

–2–3

–6–6

–12

–22

–40

–59

–11

–151

Ref

orm

dis

abil

ity

prog

ram

s ..

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....

......

......

......

–1–2

–2–2

–2–5

–8–1

2–1

7–2

2–9

–72

Ref

orm

ret

irem

ent

and

hea

lth

ben

efits

for

Fed

eral

em

ploy

ees

.....

......

......

......

......

.....

......

......

......

–3–1

–4–5

–6–8

–9–1

0–1

1–1

2–1

8–6

8L

imit

Far

m B

ill s

ubs

idie

s an

d m

ake

oth

er a

gric

ult

ura

l ref

orm

s ..

......

......

......

......

.....

......

......

......

–1–4

–5–6

–6–7

–7–7

–7–7

–23

–58

Eli

min

ate

was

tefu

l spe

ndi

ng

in M

edic

are

and

impr

ove

dru

g pr

icin

g an

d pa

ymen

t po

lici

es 2

....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....

......

......

......

–2–1

1–1

6–2

2–2

6–2

6–2

9–3

2–3

4–3

8–7

7–2

36O

ther

spe

ndi

ng

redu

ctio

ns

and

prog

ram

ref

orm

s 3 .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

5–4

–13

–15

–11

–18

–22

–11

–56

–61

–68

–60

–278

Tot

al, c

han

ges

to m

anda

tory

spe

ndi

ng

and

rece

ipts

....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....

......

510

–30

–92

–108

–135

–166

–197

–292

–355

–419

–356

–1,7

86

Rep

rior

itiz

e d

iscr

etio

nar

y sp

end

ing:

Elim

inat

e th

e de

fens

e se

ques

ter

and

rais

e th

e ca

p on

def

ense

dis

cret

iona

ry s

pend

ing

......

......

3243

6676

8284

8586

8686

8535

077

7R

eorg

aniz

e G

over

nm

ent

and

appl

y tw

o-pe

nn

y pl

an t

o n

on-d

efen

se d

iscr

etio

nar

y sp

endi

ng

.....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

–32

–27

–57

–92

–122

–140

–163

–187

–211

–235

–260

–438

–1,4

95P

has

e do

wn

th

e u

se o

f O

vers

eas

Con

tin

gen

cy O

pera

tion

s fu

ndi

ng

.....

......

......

......

....

......

...–1

3–5

–20

–33

–40

–43

–75

–94

–102

–109

–113

–141

–634

Pro

vide

201

8 em

erge

ncy

fu

ndi

ng

and

alig

n e

mer

gen

cy a

nd

disa

ster

fu

ndi

ng

wit

h

the

ten

-yea

r av

erag

e 4 .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

111

–5–1

2–2

0–2

1–2

2–2

3–2

3–2

4–2

5–5

7–1

74T

otal

, rep

rior

itiz

e di

scre

tion

ary

spen

din

g ..

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....

......

–211

–16

–62

–100

–120

–176

–218

–251

–283

–313

–287

–1,5

27

Deb

t se

rvic

e an

d in

dire

ct in

tere

st e

ffec

ts .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

......

...*

**

–3–9

–16

–26

–38

–54

–74

–98

–28

–319

Tot

al c

han

ges

to s

pen

din

g an

d r

ecei

pts

in

th

e 20

19 B

ud

get

....

......

......

......

....

......

...4

21–4

6–1

57–2

17–2

72–3

68–4

53–5

97–7

13–8

30–6

71–3

,631

Eff

ect

of p

ost-

poli

cy b

oost

to

econ

omic

gro

wth

....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....

......

......

......

–5–1

6–3

0–4

6–6

3–8

2–1

04–1

28–1

53–1

85–1

60–8

13

Tot

al d

efici

t re

du

ctio

n i

n t

he

2019

Bu

dge

t 5 .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

......

416

–62

–187

–263

–335

–451

–557

–725

–866

–1,0

15–8

32–4

,445

Res

ult

ing

defi

cits

in

th

e 20

19 B

ud

get

.....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....

665

873

984

987

916

852

774

672

579

517

450

363

4,51

37,

095

Per

cen

t of

GD

P .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

3.5%

4.4%

4.7%

4.5%

3.9%

3.5%

3.0%

2.5%

2.1%

1.7%

1.4%

1.1%

* $5

00 m

illi

on o

r le

ss.

1 I

ncl

ude

s ad

just

men

ts t

o st

anda

rdiz

e th

e n

um

ber

of b

enefi

t pa

ymen

ts in

eac

h y

ear.

See

Tab

le S

-3 f

or m

ore

info

rmat

ion

on

th

e ba

seli

ne.

2 I

ncl

ude

s th

e fo

llow

ing

cate

gori

es o

f pr

opos

als

on T

able

S–6

: A

ddre

ss f

rau

d an

d ab

use

in M

edic

are,

Eli

min

ate

was

tefu

l spe

ndi

ng

on G

over

nm

ent-

impo

sed

prov

ider

bu

rden

s in

Med

i-ca

re, E

lim

inat

e w

aste

ful s

pen

din

g, M

edic

are

dru

g pr

icin

g an

d pa

ymen

t im

prov

emen

ts, I

mpr

ove

the

Med

icar

e ap

peal

s sy

stem

, an

d M

edic

are

inte

ract

ion

s.3 I

ncl

ude

s in

tera

ctio

n b

etw

een

201

9 B

udg

et p

ropo

sals

an

d th

e ad

just

men

t to

sta

nda

rdiz

e th

e n

um

ber

of b

enefi

t pa

ymen

ts in

eac

h y

ear.

4 T

he

Bal

ance

d B

udg

et a

nd

Em

erge

ncy

Defi

cit

Con

trol

Act

of

1985

(B

BE

DC

A)

requ

ires

th

e ba

seli

ne

for

disc

reti

onar

y ap

prop

riat

ion

s, in

clu

din

g di

sast

er a

nd

emer

gen

cy s

pen

din

g, t

o re

flec

t th

e m

ost

rece

nt

enac

ted

leve

ls, e

xten

ded

thro

ugh

th

e bu

dget

win

dow

wit

h a

dju

stm

ents

for

infl

atio

n.

Th

is li

ne

repr

esen

ts t

he

effe

ct o

f pr

ovid

ing

nee

ded

emer

gen

cy f

un

d-in

g fo

r 20

18 a

nd

then

ali

gnin

g em

erge

ncy

an

d di

sast

er f

un

din

g w

ith

th

e av

erag

e of

fu

ndi

ng

prov

ided

ove

r th

e pr

evio

us

ten

yea

rs, r

elat

ive

to t

he

infl

ated

spe

ndi

ng

leve

ls in

th

e B

BE

DC

A b

asel

ine.

5 I

ncl

ude

s di

ffer

ence

s be

twee

n b

asel

ine

and

poli

cy e

stim

ates

of

the

outl

ay e

ffec

ts o

f 20

19 m

anda

tory

seq

ues

trat

ion

.

Tab

le S

–2.

Eff

ect

of B

ud

get

Pro

pos

als

on P

roje

cted

Defi

cits

(Defi

cit

incr

ease

s (+

) or

decr

ease

s (-

) in

billi

ons

of d

olla

rs)

BUDGET OF THE U. S. GOVERNMENT FOR FISCAL YEAR 2019 119

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

Tot

als

2019

–20

2320

19–

2028

Ou

tlay

s:D

iscr

etio

nar

y pr

ogra

ms:

Def

ense

...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

590

611

637

668

678

690

705

719

737

755

774

793

3,37

87,

156

Non

-def

ense

...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

610

661

656

659

670

669

676

689

705

721

738

756

3,33

06,

940

Su

btot

al, d

iscr

etio

nar

y pr

ogra

ms

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.1,

200

1,27

11,

293

1,32

71,

349

1,35

91,

381

1,40

81,

442

1,47

61,

512

1,54

96,

708

14,0

96M

anda

tory

pro

gram

s:S

ocia

l Sec

uri

ty ..

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...93

998

71,

047

1,10

91,

174

1,24

51,

319

1,39

81,

480

1,56

61,

656

1,75

25,

894

13,7

45M

edic

are

.....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...59

158

264

068

874

384

587

690

21,

005

1,10

31,

196

1,35

33,

792

9,35

0M

edic

aid

.....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...37

540

242

043

946

449

051

954

958

362

466

170

12,

332

5,45

0E

xch

ange

su

bsid

ies

(in

clu

din

g B

asic

Hea

lth

Car

e P

rogr

am)

.....

....

3948

4848

4952

5457

6063

6669

251

565

Oth

er m

anda

tory

pro

gram

s ...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

574

570

576

589

612

654

655

658

684

745

764

815

3,08

66,

751

Su

btot

al, m

anda

tory

pro

gram

s ..

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..2,

519

2,58

82,

731

2,87

33,

042

3,28

63,

423

3,56

43,

811

4,10

04,

343

4,68

915

,355

35,8

61N

et in

tere

st .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.26

331

036

444

751

557

763

668

472

777

281

585

92,

538

6,39

6T

otal

ou

tlay

s ..

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

3,98

24,

170

4,38

84,

647

4,90

65,

222

5,43

95,

656

5,98

06,

348

6,67

07,

098

24,6

0156

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Rec

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122 SUMMARY TABLES

Tab

le S

–4.

Pro

pos

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by

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y—C

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nu

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n bi

llion

s of

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lars

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2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

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BUDGET OF THE U. S. GOVERNMENT FOR FISCAL YEAR 2019 123

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

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Tab

le S

–5.

Pro

pos

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ud

get

by

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a P

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nt

of G

DP

(As

a pe

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t of

GD

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124 SUMMARY TABLES

Tab

le S

–5.

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by

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nt

of G

DP

—C

onti

nu

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s a

perc

ent

of G

DP

)

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

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rage

s

2019

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2320

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5 pe

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GD

P o

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ss.

BUDGET OF THE U. S. GOVERNMENT FOR FISCAL YEAR 2019 125

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

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128 SUMMARY TABLES

Tab

le S

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Man

dat

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and

Rec

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000

500

200

50...

......

......

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250

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otal

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ress

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.....

......

......

......

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lim

inat

e w

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ful F

eder

al s

pen

din

g:C

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lida

te g

radu

ate

med

ical

edu

cati

on

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ents

....

......

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......

–370

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edu

ce M

edic

are

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rage

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s ...

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Mod

ify

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pita

ls f

or u

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Add

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essi

ve p

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em b

ased

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ical

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ath

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th

e si

te o

f ca

re ..

......

......

......

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–780

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60–3

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20–8

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50–1

0,83

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1,80

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0,62

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ll h

ospi

tal-

own

ed p

hys

icia

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ffice

s lo

cate

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s at

th

e ph

ysic

ian

of

fice

rat

e ..

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

–1,2

40–2

,260

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Add

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exc

essi

ve h

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tal p

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ents

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cin

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hen

a p

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ged

to h

ospi

ce .

......

......

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–100

–110

–110

–120

–130

–140

–150

–160

–170

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xpan

d ba

sis

for

ben

efici

ary

assi

gnm

ent

for

Acc

oun

tabl

e C

are

Org

aniz

atio

ns

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Os)

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......

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llow

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to c

over

th

e co

st o

f pr

imar

y ca

re v

isit

s to

en

cou

rage

use

of

the

AC

O’s

pro

vide

rs ..

......

......

......

......

......

.....

......

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......

......

......

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0E

xpan

d th

e ab

ilit

y of

Med

icar

e A

dvan

-ta

ge o

rgan

izat

ion

s to

pay

for

ser

vice

s de

live

red

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lth

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......

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BUDGET OF THE U. S. GOVERNMENT FOR FISCAL YEAR 2019 129T

able

S–6

. M

and

ator

y an

d R

ecei

pt

Pro

pos

als—

Con

tin

ued

(Defi

cit

incr

ease

s (+

) or

decr

ease

s (–

) in

mill

ions

of d

olla

rs)

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

Tot

als

2019

–20

2320

19–

2028

Req

uir

e pr

ior

auth

oriz

atio

n w

hen

ph

ysi-

cian

s or

der

cert

ain

ser

vice

s ex

cess

ivel

y re

lati

ve t

o th

eir

peer

s 2 .

......

......

......

......

....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

Ref

orm

an

d ex

pan

d du

rabl

e m

edic

al

equ

ipm

ent

com

peti

tive

bid

din

g ..

......

....

......

......

......

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orm

ph

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al la

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o be

tter

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ppor

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wit

h a

lter

na-

tive

pay

men

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odel

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d to

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ress

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eru

tili

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on 2 .

......

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......

......

......

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......

......

......

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......

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All

ow f

or F

eder

al/S

tate

coo

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re

view

of

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eli

gibl

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peci

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eeds

P

lan

mar

keti

ng

mat

eria

ls .

......

......

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Impr

ove

appe

als

not

ifica

tion

s fo

r du

ally

el

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divi

dual

s in

In

tegr

ated

H

ealt

h P

lan

s ...

......

......

......

......

......

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Cla

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ly e

ligib

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enefi

ciar

ies

.....

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2–6

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2–7

7–8

3–8

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l fu

ndi

ng

from

th

e M

edic

are

Im-

prov

emen

t F

un

d (M

IF)

.....

......

......

......

.....

......

......

......

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93...

......

......

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......

......

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93G

ive

Med

icar

e be

nefi

ciar

ies

wit

h h

igh

de

duct

ible

hea

lth

pla

ns

the

opti

on t

o m

ake

tax

dedu

ctib

le c

ontr

ibu

tion

s to

H

ealt

h S

avin

gs A

ccou

nts

an

d M

edic

al

Sav

ings

Acc

oun

ts 4

.....

......

......

......

......

....

......

......

......

......

...61

01,

081

1,30

51,

513

1,61

91,

704

1,78

61,

847

2,99

611

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Tot

al, e

lim

inat

e w

aste

ful F

eder

al

spen

din

g ..

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

......

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98–1

1,34

3–1

6,19

7–2

1,39

4–2

6,46

2–2

9,86

9–3

3,51

8–3

7,15

9–4

1,16

3–4

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8,29

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lim

inat

e w

aste

ful s

pen

din

g on

G

over

nm

ent-

impo

sed

prov

ider

bu

rden

s in

M

edic

are:

Rep

eal t

he

Inde

pen

den

t P

aym

ent

Adv

isor

y B

oard

(IP

AB

) ..

......

......

......

.....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

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579

3,44

94,

591

5,36

66,

288

8,20

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579

29,4

82Im

prov

e an

d ta

ilor

the

way

Med

icar

e ed

u-ca

tes

bene

ficia

ries

abo

ut t

he p

rogr

am .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

Eli

min

ate

the

repo

rtin

g bu

rden

an

d ar

bi-

trar

y re

quir

emen

ts f

or u

se o

f el

ectr

onic

h

ealt

h r

ecor

ds ..

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

Elim

inat

e ar

bitr

ary

thre

shol

ds a

nd o

ther

bu

rden

s to

enc

oura

ge p

arti

cipa

tion

in

adva

nced

Alt

erna

tive

Pay

men

t Mod

els

2 ...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...S

impl

ify

and

elim

inat

e re

port

ing

burd

ens

for

clin

icia

ns

part

icip

atin

g in

th

e M

er-

it-b

ased

In

cen

tive

Pay

men

t S

yste

m ..

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

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......

......

......

......

Tai

lor

the

freq

uen

cy o

f sk

ille

d n

urs

ing

faci

lity

su

rvey

s to

mor

e ef

fici

entl

y u

se

reso

urc

es a

nd

alle

viat

e bu

rden

for

to

p-pe

rfor

min

g n

urs

ing

hom

es .

......

......

......

......

......

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......

......

......

...

130 SUMMARY TABLES

Tab

le S

–6.

Man

dat

ory

and

Rec

eip

t P

rop

osal

s—C

onti

nu

ed(D

efici

t in

crea

ses

(+) o

r de

crea

ses

(–) i

n m

illio

ns o

f dol

lars

)

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

Tot

als

2019

–20

2320

19–

2028

Eli

min

ate

the

un

nec

essa

ry r

equ

irem

ent

of a

fac

e-to

-fac

e pr

ovid

er v

isit

for

du

ra-

ble

med

ical

equ

ipm

ent

.....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

Tot

al, e

lim

inat

e w

aste

ful s

pen

din

g on

Gov

ern

men

t-im

pose

d pr

ovid

er

burd

ens

in M

edic

are

.....

......

......

......

.....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

1,57

93,

449

4,59

15,

366

6,28

88,

209

1,57

929

,482

Add

ress

fra

ud

and

abu

se in

Med

icar

e:S

usp

end

cove

rage

an

d pa

ymen

t fo

r qu

esti

onab

le P

art

D p

resc

ript

ion

s an

d in

com

plet

e cl

inic

al in

form

atio

n .

......

.....

......

...–3

0–3

0–4

0–4

0–5

0–4

0–4

0–5

0–5

0–5

0–1

90–4

20P

reve

nt

abu

se o

f M

edic

are

cove

rage

wh

en

anot

her

sou

rce

has

pri

mar

y re

spon

si-

bili

ty f

or p

resc

ript

ion

dru

g co

vera

ge .

......

......

–10

–30

–30

–30

–40

–40

–50

–50

–60

–70

–140

–410

Exp

and

prio

r au

thor

izat

ion

to

addi

tion

al

Med

icar

e fe

e-fo

r-se

rvic

e it

ems

at h

igh

ri

sk o

f fr

aud,

was

te, a

nd

abu

se 2 ..

......

....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...P

reve

nt

frau

d by

en

forc

ing

repo

rtin

g of

en

roll

men

t ch

ange

s th

rou

gh c

ivil

m

onet

ary

pen

alti

es f

or p

rovi

ders

an

d su

ppli

ers

wh

o fa

il t

o u

pdat

e en

roll

men

t re

cord

s ..

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....

......

–2–2

–3–3

–3–3

–4–4

–4–4

–13

–32

All

ow r

evoc

atio

n a

nd

den

ial o

f pr

ovid

er

enro

llm

ent

base

d on

affi

liat

ion

wit

h a

sa

nct

ion

ed e

nti

ty .

......

......

......

......

......

....

......

......

......

......

...–6

–6–6

–6–6

–6–6

–11

–18

–53

Req

uire

cle

arin

ghou

ses

and

billi

ng a

gent

s ac

ting

on

beha

lf o

f Med

icar

e pr

ovid

ers

and

supp

liers

to

enro

ll in

the

pro

gram

...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...E

nsu

re p

rovi

ders

th

at v

iola

te M

edic

are’

s sa

fety

req

uir

emen

ts a

nd

hav

e h

arm

ed

pati

ents

can

not

qu

ickl

y re

-en

ter

the

prog

ram

....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

Ass

ess

a pe

nal

ty o

n p

hys

icia

ns

and

prac

-ti

tion

ers

wh

o or

der

serv

ices

or

supp

lies

w

ith

out

prop

er d

ocu

men

tati

on .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...C

lari

fy a

uth

orit

y fo

r th

e H

ealt

hca

re

Fra

ud

Pre

ven

tion

Par

tner

ship

....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

Alt

er t

he

Ope

n P

aym

ents

rep

orti

ng

and

publ

icat

ion

cyc

le .

......

......

......

......

......

.....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...P

ubl

ish

th

e N

atio

nal

Pro

vide

r Id

enti

fier

fo

r co

vere

d re

cipi

ents

in t

he

Ope

n

Pay

men

ts P

rogr

am ..

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...Im

prov

e th

e sa

fety

an

d qu

alit

y of

car

e by

re

quir

ing

accr

edit

atio

n o

rgan

izat

ion

s to

pu

blic

ly r

epor

t M

edic

are

surv

ey a

nd

cert

ifica

tion

rep

orts

....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

Tot

al, a

ddre

ss f

rau

d an

d ab

use

in

Med

icar

e ..

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

......

–42

–62

–79

–79

–99

–89

–100

–110

–120

–135

–361

–915

BUDGET OF THE U. S. GOVERNMENT FOR FISCAL YEAR 2019 131T

able

S–6

. M

and

ator

y an

d R

ecei

pt

Pro

pos

als—

Con

tin

ued

(Defi

cit

incr

ease

s (+

) or

decr

ease

s (–

) in

mill

ions

of d

olla

rs)

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

Tot

als

2019

–20

2320

19–

2028

Med

icar

e ap

peal

s:Im

prov

e th

e M

edic

are

appe

als

syst

em 5 .

.....

......

112

112

112

112

112

112

112

112

112

112

560

1,12

0S

tren

gthe

n M

edic

aid

oper

atio

ns a

nd in

crea

se

Sta

te fl

exib

ilit

y:A

llow

Sta

tes

to a

pply

ass

et t

est

to m

od-

ified

adj

ust

ed g

ross

inco

me

stan

dard

po

pula

tion

s ..

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...–5

0–1

00–1

90–2

00–2

20–2

30–2

40–2

60–2

70–2

90–7

60–2

,050

Red

uce

max

imu

m a

llow

able

hom

e eq

uit

y fo

r M

edic

aid

elig

ibil

ity

.....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

Req

uir

e do

cum

enta

tion

of

sati

sfac

tory

im

mig

rati

on s

tatu

s be

fore

rec

eipt

of

Med

icai

d be

nefi

ts .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

–170

–180

–190

–200

–210

–220

–230

–250

–260

–280

–950

–2,1

90In

crea

se li

mit

on

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134 SUMMARY TABLES

Tab

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2019

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2023

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2025

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136 SUMMARY TABLES

Tab

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and

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t P

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t in

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(–) i

n m

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ns o

f dol

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)

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2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

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2028

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2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

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BUDGET OF THE U. S. GOVERNMENT FOR FISCAL YEAR 2019 139T

able

S–6

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and

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y an

d R

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pt

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als—

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ease

s (+

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decr

ease

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mill

ions

of d

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rs)

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

Tot

als

2019

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2320

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2028

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on in

man

dato

ry f

un

ds in

201

9. A

gen

cy r

epay

men

ts t

o th

e fu

nd

are

refl

ecte

d as

off

sett

ing

coll

ecti

ons,

wh

ich

re

duce

th

e to

tal o

utl

ays

esti

mat

ed f

rom

th

e fu

nd

over

th

e 10

yea

r w

indo

w. H

owev

er, t

he

init

ial $

10 b

illi

on in

cap

ital

izat

ion

fu

ndi

ng

is f

ull

y ex

pen

ded

by 2

023.

Tab

le S

–6.

Man

dat

ory

and

Rec

eip

t P

rop

osal

s—C

onti

nu

ed(D

efici

t in

crea

ses

(+) o

r de

crea

ses

(–) i

n m

illio

ns o

f dol

lars

)

142 SUMMARY TABLES

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

Tot

als,

20

19–

2028

Cu

rren

t L

aw B

ase

Cap

s: 1

Def

ense

...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

549

562

576

590

605

620

636

652

669

686

703

6,30

0N

on-D

efen

se .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.51

653

054

355

657

058

459

961

463

064

666

25,

935

Tot

al, B

ase

Cu

rren

t L

aw C

aps

.....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...1,

065

1,09

21,

119

1,14

61,

175

1,20

51,

235

1,26

71,

299

1,33

21,

366

12,2

36

Pro

pose

d B

ase

Cap

Ch

ange

s: 2

Def

ense

...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...+5

4+6

5+8

4+8

7+8

9+9

2+9

1+9

0+8

9+8

8+8

7+8

61N

on-D

efen

se .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....

–54

–65

–87

–109

–132

–155

–179

–202

–226

–250

–274

–1,6

80T

otal

, Bas

e C

ap C

han

ges

.....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.+*

–*–3

–22

–43

–64

–88

–113

–137

–162

–188

–820

Pro

pos

ed B

ase

Cap

s:

Def

ense

....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

603

627

660

677

694

712

727

742

758

774

790

7,16

1N

on-D

efen

se .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.46

246

545

644

743

842

942

041

240

439

638

84,

255

Tot

al, P

rop

osed

Bas

e C

aps

.....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...1,

065

1,09

21,

116

1,12

41,

132

1,14

11,

147

1,15

41,

162

1,17

01,

178

11,4

16

Ad

dit

ion

al N

on-D

efen

se (

ND

D)

Cap

Red

uct

ion

s fo

r B

ud

get

Pro

posa

ls: 3

Air

Tra

ffic

Con

trol

Ref

orm

....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

......

......

......

......

......

...–1

0–1

0–1

0–1

0–1

0–1

0–1

0–7

1F

eder

al E

mpl

oyee

Ret

irem

ent

Cos

t S

har

e R

edu

ctio

n .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

......

......

......

–6–7

–8–9

–9–9

–8–8

–8–7

2T

otal

, Pro

pose

d N

DD

Cap

Red

uct

ion

s ...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....

......

......

...–6

–7–1

8–1

9–1

9–1

9–1

8–1

8–1

8–1

43

Pro

pos

ed B

ase

Cap

s w

ith

Ad

dit

ion

al N

DD

Ad

just

men

ts:

Def

ense

....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

603

627

660

677

694

712

727

742

758

774

790

7,16

1N

on-D

efen

se .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.46

246

545

044

042

041

040

139

338

637

837

04,

112

Tot

al, P

rop

osed

Bas

e C

aps

wit

h A

dju

stm

ents

....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

1,06

51,

092

1,11

01,

117

1,11

41,

122

1,12

81,

135

1,14

41,

152

1,16

011

,273

Cap

Ad

just

men

ts: 4

Ove

rsea

s C

onti

nge

ncy

Ope

rati

ons

.....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....

7810

181

7068

6812

1212

1212

447

Def

ense

5 ...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..66

8973

6666

6610

1010

1010

409

Non

-Def

ense

6 ...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

1212

84

22

22

22

238

Em

erge

ncy

Req

uir

emen

ts ..

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...68

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...P

rogr

am I

nte

grit

y 7 .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...2

23

33

44

44

44

35D

isas

ter

Rel

ief 8

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...7

77

77

77

77

77

67W

ildfi

re S

upp

ress

ion

7 ...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

......

22

22

22

22

22

15

Tot

al, C

ap A

dju

stm

ents

....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....

154

111

9281

7980

2424

2424

2456

4

Tot

al, P

rop

osed

Dis

cret

ion

ary

Cap

s:

Def

ense

...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

675

716

733

743

760

778

737

752

768

784

800

7,57

0N

on-D

efen

se .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.54

448

746

845

543

342

441

540

740

039

238

54,

266

Tot

al, P

rop

osed

Dis

cret

ion

ary

Cap

s ..

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.1,

219

1,20

31,

201

1,19

71,

193

1,20

21,

152

1,15

91,

168

1,17

61,

185

11,8

37

Tab

le S

–7.

Pro

pos

ed D

iscr

etio

nar

y C

aps

for

2019

Bu

dge

t(N

et b

udge

t au

thor

ity

in b

illio

ns o

f dol

lars

)

BUDGET OF THE U. S. GOVERNMENT FOR FISCAL YEAR 2019 143T

able

S–7

. P

rop

osed

Dis

cret

ion

ary

Cap

s fo

r 20

19 B

ud

get—

Con

tin

ued

(Net

bud

get

auth

orit

y in

bill

ions

of d

olla

rs)

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

Tot

als,

20

19–

2028

Mem

oran

du

m -

App

ropr

iati

ons

Cou

nte

d O

uts

ide

of D

iscr

etio

nar

y C

aps:

21st

Cen

tury

CU

RE

S A

ppro

pria

tion

s 9 ...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

11

1*

11

**

*...

......

......

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Non

-BB

ED

CA

Em

erge

ncy

Fu

nd

ing

10 .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

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......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

–5*

$50

0 m

illi

on o

r le

ss.

1 T

he

caps

pre

sen

ted

her

e ar

e eq

ual

to

the

leve

ls e

stim

ated

for

201

8 th

rou

gh 2

021

in t

he

Bal

ance

d B

udg

et a

nd

Em

erge

ncy

Defi

cit

Con

trol

Act

of

1985

(B

BE

DC

A)

wit

h s

epar

ate

cate

go-

ries

of

fun

din

g fo

r “d

efen

se”

(or

Fu

nct

ion

050

) an

d “n

on-d

efen

se”

prog

ram

s an

d in

clu

de O

MB

est

imat

es o

f Jo

int

Com

mit

tee

enfo

rcem

ent

(als

o kn

own

as

“seq

ues

trat

ion

”).

For

202

2 th

rou

gh 2

028,

th

e ca

ps a

re a

ssu

med

to

grow

at

curr

ent

serv

ices

gro

wth

rat

es.

2 T

he

Adm

inis

trat

ion

’s p

ropo

sed

chan

ges

to t

he

caps

bu

ild

off

the

prop

osal

s in

th

e 20

18 B

udg

et t

hat

was

tra

nsm

itte

d on

May

23,

201

7: p

ropo

sed

incr

ease

s to

th

e ex

isti

ng

defe

nse

cap

s fo

r 20

18 a

nd

2019

are

off

set

wit

h d

ecre

ases

to

the

non

-def

ense

cap

s. A

fter

201

9, t

he

2019

Bu

dget

pro

pose

s de

fen

se c

aps

thro

ugh

202

8 th

at r

esou

rce

the

Adm

inis

trat

ion

’s N

atio

nal

S

ecu

rity

an

d N

atio

nal

Def

ense

Str

ateg

ies.

Non

-def

ense

cap

s re

flec

t an

an

nu

al t

wo

perc

ent

(or

“2-p

enn

y”)

decr

ease

eac

h y

ear.

3 T

hes

e ca

p re

duct

ion

s ar

e fo

r re

form

s in

th

e B

udg

et t

hat

wou

ld s

hif

t th

e F

eder

al A

viat

ion

Adm

inis

trat

ion

’s a

ir t

raffi

c co

ntr

ol f

un

ctio

n t

o an

inde

pen

den

t, n

on-g

over

nm

enta

l org

aniz

a-ti

on b

egin

nin

g in

202

2 an

d re

duce

Fed

eral

age

ncy

cos

ts t

hro

ugh

ch

ange

s to

cu

rren

t ci

vili

an e

mpl

oyee

ret

irem

ent

plan

s.4 T

he

fun

din

g am

oun

ts b

elow

are

exi

stin

g or

pro

pose

d ca

p ad

just

men

ts t

hat

are

des

ign

ated

pu

rsu

ant

to S

ecti

on 2

51(b

)(2)

of

BB

ED

CA

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he

outy

ear

OC

O a

mou

nts

for

def

ense

for

202

0 th

rou

gh 2

023

are

con

sist

ent

wit

h t

he

Nat

ion

al S

ecu

rity

an

d N

atio

nal

Def

ense

Str

ateg

ies,

wh

ile

amou

nts

fro

m 2

024

thro

ugh

202

8 re

flec

t n

otio

nal

pla

ceh

olde

rs c

onsi

sten

t w

ith

a p

oten

tial

tra

nsi

tion

of

cert

ain

OC

O c

osts

into

th

e ba

se b

udg

et w

hil

e co

nti

nu

ing

to f

un

d co

nti

nge

ncy

ope

rati

ons.

Th

e pl

aceh

olde

r am

oun

ts f

or 2

024

thro

ugh

202

8 do

not

refl

ect

spec

ific

deci

sion

s or

ass

um

ptio

ns

abou

t O

CO

fu

ndi

ng

in a

ny

part

icu

lar

year

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he

outy

ear

OC

O a

mou

nts

for

non

-def

ense

in t

he

2019

Bu

dget

refl

ect

not

ion

al p

lace

hol

ders

con

sist

ent

wit

h a

pot

enti

al t

ran

siti

on o

f ce

rtai

n O

CO

cos

ts in

to t

he

base

bu

dget

. T

he

plac

ehol

der

amou

nts

do

not

refl

ect

spec

ific

deci

sion

s or

ass

um

ptio

ns

abou

t O

CO

fu

ndi

ng

in a

ny

part

icu

lar

year

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he

Bu

dget

pro

pose

s n

ew c

ap a

dju

stm

ents

rel

ated

to

prog

ram

inte

grit

y in

th

e In

tern

al R

even

ue

Ser

vice

an

d w

ildfi

re s

upp

ress

ion

in t

he

Dep

artm

ents

of A

gric

ult

ure

an

d th

e In

teri

or.

For

mor

e in

form

atio

n o

n t

hes

e pr

opos

als

see

the

Bu

dget

Pro

cess

ch

apte

r of

th

e A

nal

ytic

al P

ersp

ecti

ves

volu

me

of t

he

Bu

dget

.8 “

Dis

aste

r R

elie

f” a

ppro

pria

tion

s ar

e am

oun

ts d

esig

nat

ed a

s su

ch b

y th

e C

ongr

ess

prov

ided

th

ey a

re f

or a

ctiv

itie

s ca

rrie

d ou

t pu

rsu

ant

to a

Pre

side

nti

al d

isas

ter

decl

arat

ion

un

der

the

Rob

ert

T. S

taff

ord

Dis

aste

r R

elie

f an

d E

mer

gen

cy A

ssis

tan

ce A

ct.

Th

ese

amou

nts

are

hel

d to

a f

un

din

g ce

ilin

g th

at is

det

erm

ined

on

e ye

ar a

t a

tim

e ac

cord

ing

to a

sta

tuto

ry

form

ula

. T

he

Adm

inis

trat

ion

pro

pose

s to

ch

ange

th

is f

orm

ula

to

addr

ess

the

decl

inin

g ce

ilin

g fo

r D

isas

ter

Rel

ief

appr

opri

atio

ns,

as

disc

uss

ed in

th

e B

udg

et P

roce

ss c

hap

ter

of

the

An

alyt

ical

Per

spec

tive

s vo

lum

e of

th

e B

udg

et. O

MB

cu

rren

tly

esti

mat

es t

he

2019

cei

lin

g to

be

$7.4

bil

lion

un

der

curr

ent

law

. T

he

Adm

inis

trat

ion

is r

equ

esti

ng

$6.7

bil

lion

for

D

isas

ter

Rel

ief

in 2

019,

bu

t do

es n

ot e

xpli

citl

y re

ques

t di

sast

er-d

esig

nat

ed a

ppro

pria

tion

s in

an

y ye

ar a

fter

th

e bu

dget

yea

r. A

pla

ceh

olde

r se

t at

th

e bu

dget

yea

r re

ques

t le

vel i

s in

clu

ded

in e

ach

of

the

outy

ears

.9 T

he

21st

Cen

tury

CU

RE

S A

ct p

erm

itte

d fu

nds

to

be a

ppro

pria

ted

each

yea

r an

d n

ot c

oun

ted

tow

ards

th

e di

scre

tion

ary

caps

so

lon

g as

th

e ap

prop

riat

ion

s w

ere

spec

ifica

lly

prov

ided

fo

r th

e au

thor

ized

pu

rpos

es.

Th

ese

amou

nts

are

dis

play

ed o

uts

ide

of t

he

disc

reti

onar

y ca

p to

tals

for

th

is r

easo

n a

nd

the

leve

ls in

clu

ded

thro

ugh

th

e bu

dget

win

dow

refl

ect

auth

o-ri

zed

leve

ls.

10

Th

e 20

19 B

udg

et in

clu

des

perm

anen

t ca

nce

llat

ion

s of

bal

ance

s of

em

erge

ncy

fu

ndi

ng

in t

he

Dep

artm

ents

of

En

ergy

an

d H

ousi

ng

and

Urb

an D

evel

opm

ent

that

are

not

des

ign

ated

pu

rsu

ant

to B

BE

DC

A. T

hes

e ca

nce

llat

ion

s ar

e n

ot b

ein

g re

-des

ign

ated

as

emer

gen

cy, t

her

efor

e n

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144 SUMMARY TABLES

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BUDGET OF THE U. S. GOVERNMENT FOR FISCAL YEAR 2019 145T

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51.

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6%

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76.

76.

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d U

rban

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t ...

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.....

8.1

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6.7

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2%

Wil

dfire

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ppre

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n O

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tion

s 6 ...

......

......

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......

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..13

3.2

154.

011

1.4

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e C

aps

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1,21

9.1

1,21

9.0

1,20

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7–1

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oran

du

m -

App

ropr

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ons

Cou

nte

d O

uts

ide

of D

iscr

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nar

y C

aps:

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Cen

tury

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RE

S A

ppro

pria

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s: 8

Hea

lth

an

d H

um

an S

ervi

ces

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

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90.

90.

8–0

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Non

-BB

ED

CA

Em

erge

ncy

App

ropr

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ons:

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En

ergy

....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

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......

......

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–4.7

N/A

Hou

sin

g an

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rban

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......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....

......

......

......

–*–*

N/A

146 SUMMARY TABLES

Tab

le S

–8.

2019

Dis

cret

ion

ary

Ove

rvie

w b

y M

ajor

Age

ncy

—C

onti

nu

ed(N

et b

udge

t au

thor

ity

in b

illio

ns o

f dol

lars

)

* $5

0 m

illi

on o

r le

ss.

1 2

017

En

acte

d re

flec

ts t

he

actu

al a

mou

nts

, an

d in

clu

de m

any

chan

ges

that

occ

ur

afte

r ap

prop

riat

ion

s ar

e en

acte

d th

at a

re p

art

of b

udg

et e

xecu

tion

su

ch a

s tr

ansf

ers,

ree

stim

ates

, an

d th

e re

basi

ng

as m

anda

tory

an

y ch

ange

s in

man

dato

ry p

rogr

ams

enac

ted

in a

ppro

pria

tion

s bi

lls.

2 A

t th

e ti

me

the

2019

Bu

dget

was

pre

pare

d, 2

018

appr

opri

atio

ns

rem

ain

ed in

com

plet

e an

d th

e 20

18 c

olu

mn

refl

ects

at

the

acco

un

t le

vel e

nac

ted

full

-yea

r an

d an

nu

aliz

ed c

onti

nu

ing

appr

opri

atio

ns

prov

ided

un

der

the

Con

tin

uin

g A

ppro

pria

tion

s A

ct, 2

018

(Div

isio

n D

of

Pu

blic

Law

115

–56,

as

amen

ded

by D

ivis

ion

A o

f P

ubl

ic L

aws

115–

90 a

nd

115–

96).

Th

e 20

18

leve

ls a

re f

urt

her

adj

ust

ed t

hro

ugh

pol

icy

allo

wan

ces

to il

lust

rati

vely

refl

ect

the

base

an

d O

vers

eas

Con

tin

gen

cy O

pera

tion

s to

tals

pro

pose

d in

th

e A

dmin

istr

atio

n’s

am

ende

d 20

18

Bu

dget

req

ues

t. T

hes

e al

low

ance

s ap

pear

wit

hin

th

e D

epar

tmen

t of

Def

ense

, th

e D

epar

tmen

t of

Hom

elan

d S

ecu

rity

, an

d G

over

nm

ent-

wid

e.3 F

un

din

g fo

r F

ood

for

Pea

ce T

itle

II

Gra

nts

is in

clu

ded

in t

he

Sta

te a

nd

Oth

er I

nte

rnat

ion

al P

rogr

ams

tota

l. A

lth

ough

th

e fu

nds

are

app

ropr

iate

d to

th

e D

epar

tmen

t of

Agr

icu

ltu

re,

the

fun

ds a

re a

dmin

iste

red

by t

he

U.S

. Age

ncy

for

In

tern

atio

nal

Dev

elop

men

t.

4 F

un

din

g fr

om t

he

Hos

pita

l In

sura

nce

an

d S

upp

lem

enta

ry M

edic

al I

nsu

ran

ce t

rust

fu

nds

for

adm

inis

trat

ive

expe

nse

s in

curr

ed b

y th

e S

ocia

l Sec

uri

ty A

dmin

istr

atio

n t

hat

su

ppor

t th

e M

edic

are

prog

ram

are

incl

ude

d in

th

e H

ealt

h a

nd

Hu

man

Ser

vice

s to

tal a

nd

not

in t

he

Soc

ial S

ecu

rity

Adm

inis

trat

ion

tot

al.

5 T

he

emer

gen

cy h

urr

ican

e re

ques

t re

pres

ents

th

e A

dmin

istr

atio

n’s

pen

din

g pr

opos

al f

or a

ddit

ion

al H

urr

ican

e re

lief

an

d re

cove

ry f

un

din

g th

at w

as t

ran

smit

ted

to t

he

Con

gres

s on

N

ovem

ber

17, 2

017.

6 T

he

Bu

dget

pro

pose

s n

ew c

ap a

dju

stm

ents

rel

ated

to

prog

ram

inte

grit

y in

th

e In

tern

al R

even

ue

Ser

vice

an

d w

ildfi

re s

upp

ress

ion

in t

he

Dep

artm

ents

of A

gric

ult

ure

an

d th

e In

teri

or.

For

mor

e in

form

atio

n o

n t

hes

e pr

opos

als

see

the

Bu

dget

Pro

cess

ch

apte

r of

th

e A

nal

ytic

al P

ersp

ecti

ves

volu

me

of t

he

Bu

dget

.7 “

Dis

aste

r R

elie

f” a

ppro

pria

tion

s ar

e am

oun

ts d

esig

nat

ed a

s su

ch b

y th

e C

ongr

ess

prov

ided

th

ey a

re f

or a

ctiv

itie

s ca

rrie

d ou

t pu

rsu

ant

to a

Pre

side

nti

al d

isas

ter

decl

arat

ion

un

der

the

Rob

ert

T. S

taff

ord

Dis

aste

r R

elie

f an

d E

mer

gen

cy A

ssis

tan

ce A

ct.

Th

ese

amou

nts

are

hel

d to

a f

un

din

g ce

ilin

g th

at is

det

erm

ined

on

e ye

ar a

t a

tim

e ac

cord

ing

to a

sta

tuto

ry

form

ula

. T

he

Adm

inis

trat

ion

pro

pose

s to

ch

ange

th

is f

orm

ula

to

addr

ess

the

decl

inin

g ce

ilin

g fo

r D

isas

ter

Rel

ief

appr

opri

atio

ns,

as

disc

uss

ed in

th

e B

udg

et P

roce

ss c

hap

ter

of

the

An

alyt

ical

Per

spec

tive

s vo

lum

e of

th

e B

udg

et. O

MB

cu

rren

tly

esti

mat

es t

he

2019

cei

lin

g to

be

$7.4

bil

lion

un

der

curr

ent

law

. T

he

Adm

inis

trat

ion

is r

equ

esti

ng

$6.7

bil

lion

for

D

isas

ter

Rel

ief

in 2

019.

8 T

he

21st

Cen

tury

CU

RE

S A

ct p

erm

itte

d fu

nds

to

be a

ppro

pria

ted

each

yea

r fo

r ce

rtai

n a

ctiv

itie

s an

d n

ot c

oun

ted

tow

ard

the

disc

reti

onar

y ca

ps s

o lo

ng

as t

he

appr

opri

atio

ns

wer

e sp

ecifi

call

y pr

ovid

ed f

or t

he

auth

oriz

ed p

urp

oses

. T

hes

e am

oun

ts a

re d

ispl

ayed

ou

tsid

e of

th

e di

scre

tion

ary

caps

tot

als

for

this

rea

son

.

9 T

he

2019

Bu

dget

incl

ude

s pe

rman

ent

can

cell

atio

ns

of b

alan

ces

of e

mer

gen

cy f

un

din

g in

th

e D

epar

tmen

ts o

f E

ner

gy a

nd

Hou

sin

g an

d U

rban

Dev

elop

men

t th

at a

re n

ot d

esig

nat

ed

purs

uan

t to

BB

ED

CA

. Th

ese

can

cell

atio

ns

are

not

bei

ng

re-d

esig

nat

ed a

s em

erge

ncy

, th

eref

ore

no

savi

ngs

are

bei

ng

ach

ieve

d u

nde

r th

e ca

ps n

or w

ill t

he

caps

be

adju

sted

for

th

ese

can

cell

atio

ns.

BUDGET OF THE U. S. GOVERNMENT FOR FISCAL YEAR 2019 147

Act

ual

Pro

ject

ion

s

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

Gro

ss D

omes

tic

Pro

du

ct (

GD

P):

N

omin

al le

vel,

bill

ion

s of

dol

lars

....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...18

,624

19,3

7220

,262

21,2

6322

,345

23,4

8224

,672

25,9

2327

,235

28,5

9830

,001

31,4

6132

,991

P

erce

nt

chan

ge, n

omin

al G

DP,

yea

r/ye

ar ..

......

......

......

......

......

......

....

2.8

4.0

4.6

4.9

5.1

5.1

5.1

5.1

5.1

5.0

4.9

4.9

4.9

R

eal G

DP,

per

cen

t ch

ange

, yea

r/ye

ar .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

1.5

2.2

3.0

3.2

3.1

3.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

2.9

2.8

2.8

2.8

R

eal G

DP,

per

cen

t ch

ange

, Q4/

Q4

.....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

1.8

2.5

3.1

3.2

3.1

3.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

2.9

2.8

2.8

2.8

G

DP

ch

ain

ed p

rice

inde

x, p

erce

nt

chan

ge, y

ear/

year

....

......

......

......

.1.

31.

71.

61.

71.

92.

02.

02.

02.

02.

02.

02.

02.

0

Con

sum

er P

rice

In

dex

, 2 p

erce

nt

chan

ge, y

ear/

year

.....

......

......

......

1.3

2.1

2.1

2.0

2.2

2.3

2.3

2.3

2.3

2.3

2.3

2.3

2.3

Inte

rest

rat

es, p

erce

nt:

3

9

1-da

y T

reas

ury

bil

ls 4

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

0.3

0.9

1.5

2.3

2.9

3.0

3.0

2.9

2.9

2.9

2.9

2.9

2.9

1

0-ye

ar T

reas

ury

not

es .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...1.

82.

32.

63.

13.

43.

63.

73.

73.

63.

63.

63.

63.

6

Un

emp

loym

ent

rate

, civ

ilia

n, p

erce

nt 3

.....

......

......

......

......

......

......

....

4.9

4.4

3.9

3.7

3.8

3.9

4.0

4.2

4.3

4.5

4.7

4.8

4.8

Not

e: A

mor

e de

tail

ed t

able

of

econ

omic

ass

um

ptio

ns

appe

ars

in C

hap

ter

2, “

Eco

nom

ic A

ssu

mpt

ion

s an

d In

tera

ctio

ns

wit

h t

he

Bu

dget

,” in

th

e A

nal

ytic

al P

ersp

ecti

ves

volu

me

of t

he

Bu

dget

.1 B

ased

on

info

rmat

ion

ava

ilab

le a

s of

mid

-Nov

embe

r 20

17.

2 S

easo

nal

ly a

dju

sted

CP

I fo

r al

l urb

an c

onsu

mer

s.3 A

nn

ual

ave

rage

.4 A

vera

ge r

ate,

sec

onda

ry m

arke

t (b

ank

disc

oun

t ba

sis)

.

Tab

le S

–9.

Eco

nom

ic A

ssu

mp

tion

s 1

(Cal

enda

r ye

ars)

148 SUMMARY TABLES

Act

ual

2017

Est

imat

e

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

Fin

anci

ng:

Un

ified

bu

dget

defi

cit:

Pri

mar

y de

fici

t/su

rplu

s (–

) ...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

403

522

621

540

406

340

160

–46

–109

–199

–291

–316

Net

inte

rest

....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...26

331

036

344

751

056

861

965

868

871

774

076

1U

nifi

ed b

udg

et d

efici

t ...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..66

583

398

498

791

690

877

861

257

951

745

044

5A

s a

perc

ent

of G

DP

....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

3.5%

4.2%

4.7%

4.5%

3.9%

3.7%

3.0%

2.3%

2.1%

1.7%

1.4%

1.4%

Oth

er t

ran

sact

ion

s af

fect

ing

borr

owin

g fr

om t

he

publ

ic:

Ch

ange

s in

fin

anci

al a

sset

s an

d li

abil

itie

s: 1

Ch

ange

in T

reas

ury

ope

rati

ng

cash

bal

ance

....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

–194

191

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

Net

dis

burs

emen

ts o

f cr

edit

fin

anci

ng

acco

un

ts:

Dir

ect

loan

an

d T

rou

bled

Ass

et R

elie

f P

rogr

am (

TA

RP

) eq

uit

y pu

r-ch

ase

acco

un

ts .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.54

101

9487

8790

8780

6959

5046

Gu

aran

teed

loan

acc

oun

ts .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....

–14

15

32

–*–2

–4–5

–9–8

–1N

et p

urc

has

es o

f n

on-F

eder

al s

ecu

riti

es b

y th

e N

atio

nal

Rai

lroa

d R

etir

e-m

ent

Inve

stm

ent

Tru

st (

NR

RIT

) ..

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

....

1–1

–1–1

–1–1

–1–1

–1–1

–*–*

Net

ch

ange

in o

ther

fin

anci

al a

sset

s an

d li

abil

itie

s 2 ...

......

......

......

......

......

–15

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...S

ubt

otal

, ch

ange

s in

fin

anci

al a

sset

s an

d li

abil

itie

s ..

......

......

......

......

....

–167

292

9889

8888

8475

6349

4145

Sei

gnio

rage

on

coi

ns

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

–*–*

–*–*

–*–*

–*–*

–*–*

–*–*

Tot

al, o

ther

tra

nsa

ctio

ns

affe

ctin

g bo

rrow

ing

from

th

e pu

blic

....

......

......

..–1

6829

298

8888

8884

7562

4941

45T

otal

, req

uir

emen

t to

bor

row

fro

m t

he

publ

ic (

equ

als

chan

ge in

deb

t h

eld

by t

he

publ

ic)

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..49

81,

124

1,08

21,

075

1,00

499

686

268

764

256

649

149

0

Ch

ange

s in

Deb

t S

ub

ject

to

Sta

tuto

ry L

imit

atio

n:

Ch

ange

in d

ebt

hel

d by

th

e pu

blic

.....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.49

81,

124

1,08

21,

075

1,00

499

686

268

764

256

649

149

0C

han

ge in

deb

t h

eld

by G

over

nm

ent

acco

un

ts .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...16

814

814

312

311

665

8911

956

53–5

5–1

38C

han

ge in

oth

er f

acto

rs .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

...4

12

32

22

21

12

2T

otal

, ch

ange

in d

ebt

subj

ect

to s

tatu

tory

lim

itat

ion

....

......

......

......

......

......

....

670

1,27

41,

227

1,20

11,

121

1,06

395

380

869

962

043

835

3

Deb

t S

ub

ject

to

Sta

tuto

ry L

imit

atio

n, E

nd

of

Yea

r:D

ebt

issu

ed b

y T

reas

ury

....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.....

20,1

8021

,452

22,6

7823

,877

24,9

9726

,059

27,0

1127

,818

28,5

1729

,137

29,5

7429

,926

Adj

ust

men

t fo

r di

scou

nt,

pre

miu

m, a

nd

cove

rage

3 ...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

2930

3233

3536

3738

3838

3940

Tot

al, d

ebt

subj

ect

to s

tatu

tory

lim

itat

ion

4 ...

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

..20

,209

21,4

8322

,709

23,9

1025

,032

26,0

9427

,048

27,8

5628

,555

29,1

7529

,613

29,9

66

Deb

t O

uts

tan

din

g, E

nd

of

Yea

r:

Gro

ss F

eder

al d

ebt:

5 D

ebt

issu

ed b

y T

reas

ury

....

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.20

,180

21,4

5222

,678

23,8

7724

,997

26,0

5927

,011

27,8

1828

,517

29,1

3729

,574

29,9

26D

ebt

issu

ed b

y ot

her

age

nci

es .

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

......

.26

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BUDGET OF THE U. S. GOVERNMENT FOR FISCAL YEAR 2019 149T

able

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Fed

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Gov

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men

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illio

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2017

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2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

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d by

:D

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Gov

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00 m

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1 A

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th

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an

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o a

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n T

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an t

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mai

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e F

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ank

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ect

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e u

nam

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pu

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th

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he

stat

uto

ry d

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it is

app

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, as

incr

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d af

ter

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th

e pu

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d ze

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onds

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ost

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easu

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ales

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gen

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es a

re a

lmos

t al

l mea

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fac

e va

lue.

Tre

asu

ry s

ecu

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es in

th

e G

over

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ent

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ries

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oth

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ise

mea

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fac

e va

lue

less

un

real

ized

di

scou

nt

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any)

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t th

e en

d of

201

7, t

he

Fed

eral

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erve

Ban

ks h

eld

$2,4

65.4

bil

lion

of

Fed

eral

sec

uri

ties

an

d th

e re

st o

f th

e pu

blic

hel

d $1

2,20

0.0

bill

ion

. D

ebt

hel

d by

th

e F

eder

al R

eser

ve B

anks

is

not

est

imat

ed f

or f

utu

re y

ears

.