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CHIEF MILITARY PERSONNEL CHEF - PERSONNEL MILITAIRE
Strength through personnel Le personnel fait la forceStrength through personnel Le personnel fait la force
Stewarding EngagementHarnessing Knowledgeg g
Lessons Learned from the FutureKeeping the Future in Reserves
Canadian Reserves on Operations: Lessons Learned 22-25 April 1022 25 April 10
Calgary, Canada
John VerdonJohn Verdon, Office of the Chief Scientist
Outline Outline –– To Provide a Unique and Important ViewTo Provide a Unique and Important View
Aim: Lessons learned from the future The Future is less about its discovery andThe Future is less about its discovery and
more about its inventionK t d f i t f l dKey trends of importance for people and
organizationsD hi– Demographic
– Technology - pace & frontiersTechno Economic– Techno-Economic
– Techno-Socio/Cultural
Some Implications and Recommendation
CHIEF MILITARY PERSONNEL | CHEF - PERSONNEL MILITAIRE
Some Implications and Recommendation
DemographicsTectonic inversion of Age Pyramid & Longer Life
Changes in the age structure of the Canadian population by sex, 1956, 2006 and 2056
CHIEF MILITARY PERSONNEL | CHEF - PERSONNEL MILITAIRE
26% of public service can retire in 2014
Population Pyramids – Canada 1901
CHIEF MILITARY PERSONNEL | CHEF - PERSONNEL MILITAIRE
Social Change - The Mosaic Society
Increasing Diversity, Urbanization and Migration• Immigration responsible for:
– 46 % population growth (1995)60 % l ti th (2001)– 60 % population growth (2001)
– 100 % population growth (2030)By 2011 immigration expected to account forBy 2011 immigration expected to account for
100% of labour force growth
• Cultural Complexity Rapid change + 3 M• Cultural Complexity – Rapid change + 3 M• Re-definition of family and self - and the home• The evolution of a 24-hour “Glocal” society
CHIEF MILITARY PERSONNEL | CHEF - PERSONNEL MILITAIRE
• The evolution of a 24-hour Glocal society.
TechnologyPace & Frontiers- Bio-Nano-Info-Cogni,
The pace of change is accelerating:
We Don’t Know • What occupations will be vital in 5,
10 15 th t d ’t t i t10, 15 years, that don’t yet exist• What today’s recruits will need to
knowknow• Pressure on enhanced Learning ,
Human Performance and u a e o a ce a dOrganizational transformation
CHIEF MILITARY PERSONNEL | CHEF - PERSONNEL MILITAIRE
Technology , Potential of enhancing human performance
Cognitive Science & TechnologyTechnology
• Mapping of cognitive processesprocesses,
• Diagnosis, repair and enhancementenhancement
Impacting
• Intelligence, Identity, Person-system InterfaceTh d t f i di id l
CHIEF MILITARY PERSONNEL | CHEF - PERSONNEL MILITAIRE
• The deep assessment of individuals
Technology , Potential of enhancing human performance
Biology now an information Science We are in theWe are in the Post-Species Era
There is now only one Gene Pool!Genes are not our destiny they are our Common
CHIEF MILITARY PERSONNEL | CHEF - PERSONNEL MILITAIRE
y yWealth
Technology , Potential of enhancing human performance
Will there be an end to the drive to enhance h i d f ?human experience and performance?
• Gene & Stem Cell Therapy• Computer Implants, Nanotech agents• Connected to dispersed sensors• Material and pharmaceutical augmentation• Cloning• Radically New Science ….. And a lot more
The 100 year life
CHIEF MILITARY PERSONNEL | CHEF - PERSONNEL MILITAIRE
How important will enhancement be to Baby Boomers?
Techno-EconomicNetworks, Digitalization, Innovationg
IntellipediaCHIEF MILITARY PERSONNEL | CHEF - PERSONNEL MILITAIRE
Intellipedia
Techno-EconomicNetworks, Digitalization, Innovationg
Internet Web 3.0 +To make human connectionsInternet
Semantic Web connections readable by machines and vice versa so th t th b fthat the web of machines and people can work in concert.
“Everyware”
Web 2.0
CHIEF MILITARY PERSONNEL | CHEF - PERSONNEL MILITAIRE
Techno-EconomicNetworks, Digitalization, Innovation
HighThe Long Tail of Book Sales
g
S
Head 80% of sales20% of books
Transaction costs
ALES
20% of booksTraditional Cost-Value ThresholdAdditional value not worth cost of coordination
STail
20% of sales
Number of Books Published
80% of booksHighLow
CHIEF MILITARY PERSONNEL | CHEF - PERSONNEL MILITAIRE
Techno-EconomicNetworks, Digitalization, Innovation
High The Long Tail of Book Sales
g
S
Head
Wh t d l f thALES
When aggregated sales from the Tail are now greater than the Head
SSales now available to Amazon without additional costs
Number of Books Published HighLow
CHIEF MILITARY PERSONNEL | CHEF - PERSONNEL MILITAIRE
Techno-EconomicNetworks, Digitalization, Innovation
PHigh The Long Tail of Open Source
CrowdsourcingHead
g
Prod
gHead 80% of productivity20% of people
ucti
Harnessing Intrinsic Motivation - Passion
ivit
Tail – Productivity unavailable to hierarchy20% of productivity80% of people
y
Number of Producers HighLow
80% of people
CHIEF MILITARY PERSONNEL | CHEF - PERSONNEL MILITAIRE
Network Technology –Architectures of Participation
A new mode of productionPerson-centric• From Place-to-Place To Person-to-Person• From person-in-job to Person-best-ableFrom person in job to Person best able• Wisdom of Crowds and Power of Crowdsourcing• High Definition Human Capital• Integrated Ubiquitous NetworkedIntegrated Ubiquitous Networked
Linking the right person to the right situation at the right timetime
Openness to new concepts of Structure, process and decisioning is
CHIEF MILITARY PERSONNEL | CHEF - PERSONNEL MILITAIRE
, p gKey to the power of people and Network Technologies
34 MillionCitizen.
300,000sGovernment.Contributors
Citizen.Contributors
1 T
5T
1000sDept.
100s Service Contributors
CHIEF MILITARY PERSONNEL | CHEF - PERSONNEL MILITAIRE
Team Lead
TeamMembers
ContributorsContributors
Techno-EconomicNetworks, Digitalization, Innovation
Key Points:
g
y•The costs of coordination and (self) organizing are collapsingorganizing are collapsing•The pool of knowledge outside the organization is larger than the pool inside•Agility requires architectures ofAgility requires architectures of participation and new ways to design how things can get done
CHIEF MILITARY PERSONNEL | CHEF - PERSONNEL MILITAIRE
things can get done
Techno-EconomicNetworks, Digitalization, Innovation
New principles concepts products based on:
g
New principles, concepts, products based on:• High Definition Human Capital
N B i M d l & T• New Business Models & Transparency• Labour Force Activity & Structure
– Self managed careers– Non-linear multi-career life path, p ,– Crowdsourcing. Cloud-labor, Talent-Commons– Continuous global operations
CHIEF MILITARY PERSONNEL | CHEF - PERSONNEL MILITAIRE
Continuous global operations– Transformations of Gendered labor sectors
Techno-Socio/Cultural– Network Individualism, Person-to Person world,
Learning, Education, Operational Agility:•Bi-directional learning•Transfer of knowledge versus knowledge creation g g•Real time collective learning & collective intelligence•Re-Training and Re-re-training
CHIEF MILITARY PERSONNEL | CHEF - PERSONNEL MILITAIRE
Individual intelligence vs Intelligence Amplification
Techno-Socio/Cultural– Network Individualism, Person-to Person world,
Games build Virtuosos• Building (maintaining- assuming) Social Fabric – require
f ilit t d l / t tfacility to develop / sense trust• Urgent Enthusiam• Blissful Productivity
E i M i• Epic Meaning
10,000 hours of gaming by the age of 21500 million global gamers
We are witnessing what amounts to no less a global exodus to i t l ld d th li ( i ) i tvirtual worlds and other online (gaming) environments
In games We can imagine the ripples of potential events across massively multiple domains
CHIEF MILITARY PERSONNEL | CHEF - PERSONNEL MILITAIRE
across massively multiple domainshttp://www.ted.com/talks/jane_mcgonigal_gaming_can_make_a_better_world.html
http://g4tv.com/videos/44277/dice-2010-design-outside-the-box-presentation/
Implication for 21st Century Organizations
Emergence of the Defence / Security Professional: • Beyond the Defence Team• Beyond Regular Force & Full/Part-Time Employment• Supporting and enabling the Comprehensive and
Whole of Government Approach • Fully integrating the planning, development and
employment of military and civilian personnel.
CHIEF MILITARY PERSONNEL | CHEF - PERSONNEL MILITAIRE
Implication for 21st Century Organizations
Identity and Commitment• Members create the organization &the• Members create the organization &the
organizations shapes the individual
A Concept of Commitment versus ContractC t t i ifi bl h• Contract is specifiable exchange
• Commitment is progressive view of mutual relationship & responsivenessmutual relationship & responsiveness between member(s) and organization
• Organic relationship as source of both
CHIEF MILITARY PERSONNEL | CHEF - PERSONNEL MILITAIRE
trust, mutual ideals, goals beliefs.
A Social Strategy for the Reserves
Fits outside the business and corporate strategies and shapes themstrategies, and shapes them. They are about rewriting the logic of the industrial era entirely shiftingof the industrial era entirely, shifting gears in how we think, envisioning a broader, more powerful, more challenging , p , g guse of social toolsThey are about developing the capacity to understand y p g p y
an organization's role in society, and how to play a more constructive one, wielding sociality as a
f d
CHIEF MILITARY PERSONNEL | CHEF - PERSONNEL MILITAIRE
source of advantage…Umair Haque
Social Strategy for Military Community
The Golden Blackberry• Connecting the community (Mil. Def. security)• Enrolling the retired• Linking with recruits• Engaging citizens• Building and using “Talent-Commons”• Developing capability to Link
The right person to the right situation at the right time
CHIEF MILITARY PERSONNEL | CHEF - PERSONNEL MILITAIRE
gStewarding Engagement – Harnessing Knowledge
Thank You for your Attention
Questions?Questions?
CHIEF MILITARY PERSONNEL | CHEF - PERSONNEL MILITAIRE