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‘National priorities & drivers of best practice’
Huon GrayNational Clinical Director (Cardiac) NHS England, & Consultant Cardiologist, University Hospital Southampton
The CVD Outcomes Strategy Reviewed
Professor Huon GrayNational Clinical Director (Cardiac), NHS England
Consultant Cardiologist, University Hospital of Southampton
East Midlands Conference Centre, Nottingham8th November, 2013
March 5th, 2013
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/improving-cardiovascular-disease-outcomes-strategy
http://www.kingsfund.org.uk/publications/never-again
Nicholas TimminsJuly 2012
NHS & Social Care Reform (2010-12)
Cardiovascular disease: Still a national priority
Huon GrayNational Clinical Director (Cardiac) NHS England,& Consultant Cardiologist, University Hospital Southampton
6-7 November 2015, EMCC Nottingham
October 2014
http://www.england.nhs.uk/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/5yfv-web.pdf
http://www.england.nhs.uk/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/forward-view-plning.pdf
December 2014
Five Year Forward View (2014)
Word Search
• ‘Cardiovascular’ = 0, • ‘Cardiac’ = 1
– “Cardiac outcomes are better”
• ‘Heart’ = 3 – “Early deaths from heart disease are down by
over 40%”– “new biosensor technology” for heart failure– “congenital heart disease”
• ‘Cancer’ = 36
• Prevention (‘Getting Serious about Prevention’, ROI Tool)• Early detection & Risk BP, Cholesterol, AF
(Health Checks, AHSNs, QOF, Heart Age Tool)• Integration of services (New Models of Care, STPs, IC Systems, Networks)• Inherited cardiac conditions
(FH: NICE & Implementation Guidance, Genomics, HCM)• Spec. Commissioning (SCIP & GIRFT, Frailty, National Procurement, CtE)• Congenital Heart Disease (CHD) Review (Implementation of Standards)• RightCare (CVD Prevention, SMI, nSTEMI pathway, Heart Failure)• 7 day working (Cardiac Physiology Review & Working Group)• Improved survival from Out of Hospital Cardiac Arrest
(R2R Document, PAD funding, PAD Database)• 24 x 7 Services (U&E Care Networks, MI, Stroke, Vascular)• Inequalities (Physical & mental health, learning disabilities, older people, social)• Diagnostics (BNP, Echo, CT, MRI) • Information (Clinical Audits, NHSE & HQIP, NHS Digital)
CVD Workstreams (2013-18)
• Prevention (‘Getting Serious about Prevention’, ROI Tool)
CVD Workstreams (2013-18)
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/cardiovascular-disease-getting-serious-about-prevention
CVD: Getting Serious about Prevention
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/cardiovascular-disease-getting-serious-about-prevention
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/new-roi-tool-shows-best-ways-to-prevent-cardiovascular-disease
• Prevention (‘Getting Serious about Prevention’, ROI Tool)• Early detection & Risk BP, Cholesterol, AF
(Health Checks, AHSNs, QOF, Heart Age Tool)
CVD Workstreams (2013-18)
• Prevention (‘Getting Serious about Prevention’, ROI Tool)• Early detection & Risk BP, Cholesterol, AF
(Health Checks, AHSNs, QOF, Heart Age Tool)• Integration of services (New Models of Care, STPs, IC Systems, Networks)
CVD Workstreams (2013-18)
• Prevention (‘Getting Serious about Prevention’, ROI Tool)• Early detection & Risk BP, Cholesterol, AF
(Health Checks, AHSNs, QOF, Heart Age Tool)• Integration of services (New Models of Care, STPs, IC Systems, Networks)• Inherited cardiac conditions
(FH: NICE & Implementation Guidance, Genomics, HCM)
CVD Workstreams (2013-18)
2nd November, 2017
Up to end of
2009
Up to end of
2013
Up to end of
2016
Up to June 2018
High
Low
KEY
FH Genetic Diagnoses Timeline
5 fold Increase
Since 2010
(in this 50% of UK)
Courtesy: Kate Haralambos
High
Low
England 3757(10 services)
Wales 1113
Scotland1825
Northern Ireland
1256
Total = 7,951
CVD Rare Diseases in 100k Genome Project
Principles for the NHS Genomic Medicine Service 2018/19 to 2020/12
1. To ensure comprehensive and equitable access to genomic medicine as part of routine clinical care for the population of England
2. To improve the quality, value and sustainability of care by providing - prompt and precise diagnosis- personalisation of interventions- a step change in prevention- active participation of patients.
3. To support learning, research & development through new collaborative partnerships between the NHS and with academia and UK life science sector and international collaborators; - new diagnostics, treatments & devices, better patient access to clinical trials.
4. To build the political, ethical and moral trust in genomic medicine- ensuring security of patient data & materials,- appropriateness of care, upholding the values of the NHS Constitution
• Prevention (‘Getting Serious about Prevention’, ROI Tool)• Early detection & Risk BP, Cholesterol, AF
(Health Checks, AHSNs, QOF, Heart Age Tool)• Integration of services (New Models of Care, STPs, IC Systems, Networks)• Inherited cardiac conditions
(FH: NICE & Implementation Guidance, Genomics, HCM)• Spec. Commissioning (SCIP & GIRFT, Frailty, National Procurement, CtE)
CVD Workstreams (2013-18)
The £22bn Challenge
NHSE spends around £15.7billion on Specialised Services each year – but costs growing at a far higher rate than income. Annual cost growth projected at 7.2% over next 5 years.
The 5 Year Forward View projected a 20/21 gap of £30bn. Government committed to increase spend by £8bn by 2020/21. NHS has challenge of achieving £22bn (or 2-3% annual) efficiency improvements.=Switching resources for lower value to higher value activity
Specialised Commissioning Spend (Cardiac)
• Prevention (‘Getting Serious about Prevention’, ROI Tool)• Early detection & Risk BP, Cholesterol, AF
(Health Checks, AHSNs, QOF, Heart Age Tool)• Integration of services (New Models of Care, STPs, IC Systems, Networks)• Inherited cardiac conditions
(FH: NICE & Implementation Guidance, Genomics, HCM)• Spec. Commissioning (SCIP & GIRFT, Frailty, National Procurement, CtE)• Congenital Heart Disease (CHD) Review (Implementation of NHSE Standards)
CVD Workstreams (2013-18)
• Prevention (‘Getting Serious about Prevention’, ROI Tool)• Early detection & Risk BP, Cholesterol, AF
(Health Checks, AHSNs, QOF, Heart Age Tool)• Integration of services (New Models of Care, STPs, IC Systems, Networks)• Inherited cardiac conditions
(FH: NICE & Implementation Guidance, Genomics, HCM)• Spec. Commissioning (SCIP & GIRFT, Frailty, National Procurement, CtE)• Congenital Heart Disease (CHD) Review (Implementation of NHSE Standards)• RightCare (CVD Prevention, SMI, nSTEMI pathway, Heart Failure)
CVD Workstreams (2013-18)
https://www.england.nhs.uk/rightcare/intel/cfv/
NH
“NHS RightCare is a programme committedto reducing unwarranted variation, to improve people’s health & outcomes, and reduce inequalities in health access, experience and outcomes”
https://www.england.nhs.uk/rightcare/intel/cfv/
https://www.england.nhs.uk/rightcare/intel/cfv/pathways/cvd-pathway/
85,123 admissions with
heart attack
33,797 (40%)STEMI
51,326 (60%)nSTEMI
Median LoS 3 days Median LoS 5 days
ID: GB-13673 (Prepared September 2018)
Hospital Episode Statistics (HES): Copyright 2018. Used with permission of NHS Digital NSTE-ACS Admissions without CABG. The Average Bed Days includes bed days from first admission to end of procedural admission i.e. a “super spell” (data excludes repatriation admissions involving Trust transfers)CABG: Coronary Artery Bypass Graft; NSTE-ACS: Non-ST Elevation Acute Coronary Syndromes (non-ST elevation myocardial infarction and unstable angina); NSTEMI: non ST elevation myocardial infarction; UA: unstable angina; Procedure: PCI or angiography (excludes preliminary angiography); PCI: Percutaneous Coronary Intervention; National Level: includes all NHS centres in England providing PCI and/or angiography (excluding centres with <=10 records of procedures)Admissions with record of procedure, admissions with a PCI may also have had angiography, admissions under angiography had no record of PCINational data for the period 1st April 2017 to 31st March 2018
National Variation in Bed DaysAverage Bed Days for NSTE-ACS
Admissions with a Procedure
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
Ave
rag
e B
ed
Da
ys
Trusts in England Performing Procedures for NSTE-ACS
NATIONAL AVERAGE 6.2 BED DAYS
ID: GB-13673 (Prepared September 2018)
Hospital Episode Statistics (HES): Copyright 2018. Used with permission of NHS Digital NSTE-ACS: Non-ST Elevation Acute Coronary Syndromes (non-ST elevation myocardial infarction and unstable angina); NSTEMI: non ST elevation myocardial infarction; UA: unstable angina; Procedure: PCI or angiography (excludes preliminary angiography); PCI: Percutaneous Coronary Intervention; National Level: includes all NHS centres in England providing PCI and/or angiography (excluding centres with <=10 records of procedures)Admissions with record of procedure, admissions with a PCI may also have had angiography, admissions under angiography had no record of PCINational data for the period 1st April 2017 to 31st March 2018
National Variation in Days to ProcedurePercent of NSTE-ACS Admissions with a Procedure
Within Days 0-3
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
% o
f P
roce
du
res
Wit
hin
Da
ys 0
-3
Trusts in England Performing Procedures for NSTE-ACS
NATIONAL AVERAGE 60%
ID: GB-13673 (Prepared September 2018)
Hospital Episode Statistics (HES): Copyright 2018. Used with permission of NHS Digital NSTE-ACS: Non-ST Elevation Acute Coronary Syndromes (non-ST elevation myocardial infarction and unstable angina); NSTEMI: non ST elevation myocardial infarction; UA: unstable angina Procedure; Procedure: PCI or angiography (excludes preliminary angiography); PCI: Percutaneous Coronary Intervention; Admissions with record of procedure, admissions with a PCI may also have had angiography, admissions under angiography had no record of PCI
Improvement in the Proportion of Procedures Within 3 Days
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Same Day(Day 0)
1 Day After 2 Days After 3 Days After 4 Days After 5 Days After 6 Days After
% o
f A
dm
issi
on
s w
ith
PC
I or
An
gio
grap
hy
Day of Procedure Relative to Day of AdmissionDec 17 - Mar 18 Dec 16 - Mar 17
56% Within Days 0-3
N=296
23% Within Days 0-3
N=294
Pathway Improvement
PAPWORTH HOSPITAL NHS FOUNDATION TRUSTNSTE-ACS (With a Procedure)
ID: GB-13673 (Prepared September 2018)
*Values projected from the number of admissions analysed
(Based on the number of admissions in the Dec 17 – Mar 18 analysis, 1000 admissions
would occur over a period of approximately 1.2 years at Papworth
Hospital)
Hospital Episode Statistics (HES): Copyright 2018. Used with permission of NHS Digital NSTE-ACS Admissions without CABG. Includes bed days from first admission to end of procedural admission (excludes repatriation admissions involving Trust transfers)CABG: Coronary Artery Bypass Graft; NSTE-ACS: Non-ST Elevation Acute Coronary Syndromes (non-ST elevation myocardial infarction and unstable angina); NSTEMI: non ST elevation myocardial infarction; UA: unstable angina; Procedure: PCI or angiography (excludes preliminary angiography); PCI: Percutaneous Coronary Intervention; Admissions with record of procedure, admissions with a PCI may also have had angiography, admissions under angiography had no record of PCI
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
Before* After*
Tota
l Bed
Da
ys P
er 1
00
0 A
dm
issi
on
s
Reduction of3080
Bed DaysPer 1000
Admissions*
Periods analysed: Dec 16 - Mar 17 (N=266) & Dec 17 - Mar 18 (N=277)
Subsequent Reduction in Bed Days
PAPWORTH HOSPITAL NHS FOUNDATION TRUSTNSTE-ACS (With a Procedure)
• Prevention (‘Getting Serious about Prevention’, ROI Tool)• Early detection & Risk BP, Cholesterol, AF
(Health Checks, AHSNs, QOF, Heart Age Tool)• Integration of services (New Models of Care, STPs, IC Systems, Networks)• Inherited cardiac conditions
(FH: NICE & Implementation Guidance, Genomics, HCM)• Spec. Commissioning (SCIP & GIRFT, Frailty, National Procurement, CtE)• Congenital Heart Disease (CHD) Review (Implementation of Standards)• RightCare (CVD Prevention, SMI, nSTEMI pathway, Heart Failure)• 7 day working (Cardiac Physiology Review & Working Group)
CVD Workstreams (2013-18)
• Prevention (‘Getting Serious about Prevention’, ROI Tool)• Early detection & Risk BP, Cholesterol, AF
(Health Checks, AHSNs, QOF, Heart Age Tool)• Integration of services (New Models of Care, STPs, IC Systems, Networks)• Inherited cardiac conditions
(FH: NICE & Implementation Guidance, Genomics, HCM)• Spec. Commissioning (SCIP & GIRFT, Frailty, National Procurement, CtE)• Congenital Heart Disease (CHD) Review (Implementation of Standards)• RightCare (CVD Prevention, SMI, nSTEMI pathway, Heart Failure)• 7 day working (Cardiac Physiology Review & Working Group)• Improved survival from Out of Hospital Cardiac Arrest
(R2R Document, PAD funding, PAD Database)
CVD Workstreams (2013-18)
• Prevention (‘Getting Serious about Prevention’, ROI Tool)• Early detection & Risk BP, Cholesterol, AF
(Health Checks, AHSNs, QOF, Heart Age Tool)• Integration of services (New Models of Care, STPs, IC Systems, Networks)• Inherited cardiac conditions
(FH: NICE & Implementation Guidance, Genomics, HCM)• Spec. Commissioning (SCIP & GIRFT, Frailty, National Procurement, CtE)• Congenital Heart Disease (CHD) Review (Implementation of Standards)• RightCare (CVD Prevention, SMI, nSTEMI pathway, Heart Failure)• 7 day working (Cardiac Physiology Review & Working Group)• Improved survival from Out of Hospital Cardiac Arrest
(R2R Document, PAD funding, PAD Database)• 24 x 7 Services (U&E Care Networks - MI, Stroke, Vascular)
CVD Workstreams (2013-18)
• Care close to home where possible• Specialist hospital care where necessary• 7-Day consistency in outcomes• Four (out of 10) priority standards
• Standard 2: Time to first consultant review (<14 hours)• Standard 5: Access to diagnostics
(<1 hr [critical], <12 hrs [urgent], <24 hrs non-urgent)• Standard 6: Consultant-directed interventions• Standard 8: Ongoing review (twice daily)
• Prevention (‘Getting Serious about Prevention’, ROI Tool)• Early detection & Risk BP, Cholesterol, AF
(Health Checks, AHSNs, QOF, Heart Age Tool)• Integration of services (New Models of Care, STPs, IC Systems, Networks)• Inherited cardiac conditions
(FH: NICE & Implementation Guidance, Genomics, HCM)• Spec. Commissioning (SCIP & GIRFT, Frailty, National Procurement, CtE)• Congenital Heart Disease (CHD) Review (Implementation of Standards)• RightCare (CVD Prevention, SMI, nSTEMI pathway, Heart Failure)• 7 day working (Cardiac Physiology Review & Working Group)• Improved survival from Out of Hospital Cardiac Arrest
(R2R Document, PAD funding, PAD Database)• 24 x 7 Services (U&E Care Networks, MI, Stroke, Vascular)• Inequalities (Physical & mental health, learning disabilities, older people, social)• Diagnostics (BNP, Echo, CT, MRI) • Information (Clinical Audits, NHSE & HQIP, NHS Digital)
CVD Workstreams (2013-18)
• Prevention (‘Getting Serious about Prevention’, ROI Tool)• Early detection & Risk BP, Cholesterol, AF
(Health Checks, AHSNs, QOF, Heart Age Tool)• Integration of services (New Models of Care, STPs, IC Systems, Networks)• Inherited cardiac conditions
(FH: NICE & Implementation Guidance, Genomics, HCM)• Spec. Commissioning (SCIP & GIRFT, Frailty, National Procurement, CtE)• Congenital Heart Disease (CHD) Review (Implementation of Standards)• RightCare (CVD Prevention, SMI, nSTEMI pathway, Heart Failure)• 7 day working (Cardiac Physiology Review & Working Group)• Improved survival from Out of Hospital Cardiac Arrest
(R2R Document, PAD funding, PAD Database)• 24 x 7 Services (U&E Care Networks, MI, Stroke, Vascular)• Inequalities (Physical & mental health, learning disabilities, older people, social)• Diagnostics (BNP, Echo, CT, MRI) • Information (Clinical Audits, NHSE & HQIP, NHS Digital)
CVD Workstreams (2013-18)
https://www.bhf.org.uk/research/heart-statistics
https://www.bhf.org.uk/research/heart-statistics
Deaths by Disease & Deprivation (England <75 yrs)
Deaths by Disease & Deprivation (England <75 yrs)
Most deprived have 3x the CVD mortality of least
deprived
Richmond Group of CharitiesNovember 2014
UK population2018 = 66.62050 = 75.4m
UK population2018 = 66.62050 = 75.4m
Projected Population
over 65 (England
Local Authorities)
UK population2016 = 65.62039 =>74m
Projected Population
over 65 (England
Local Authorities)
%
England
Due to people living longer, more complex and innovative medicines being developed, and more specialist medicines being used
Growing pressure on NHS drugs bill
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
Gro
ss sp
end
£m
Primary care
Hospital & community healthsector
Medicines costs at list price (excl. VAT) before any discounts
• Overall spend 2016/17 was £17.4bn, 33.7% increase from £13bn in 2010/11
• Primary care spend rose from £8.6bn in 2010/11 to £9.0bn in 2016/17, a rise of 3.6%
• Hospital spend increased from £4.2bn in 2010/11 to £8.3bn in 2016/17, a rise of 98.3%
UK NHS Spending as % of GDP 1951-2021
2009-21
Largest ever
sustainedreduction
in UK NHS
spendingas a % of
GDP
The NHS in England is to get an extra £20bn a year by 2023 as a 70th "birthday present", Theresa May says.
It means the £114bn budget will rise by an average of 3.4% annually - but that is still less than the 3.7% average rise the NHS has had since 1948.
17th June 2018
5 Priorities at core of NHS Long Term Plan:
• Mental Health (especially children)
• Cancer
• Cardiovascular Disease
• Children’s services (especially prevention & inequalities)
• Reducing health inequalities
18th July 2018
Proposed CVD Priorities for inclusion in NHS Long Term Plan:
1. Prevention2. Heart attack (incl. OHCA) and
stroke pathways 3. Heart failure & Valve disease4. RehabilitationLinked to:
• Primary Care priorities• SCIP, Frailty & SDM• Genomics• Diagnostics & Imaging
18th July 2018
Conclusions• Although not a stated NHSE priority, much
work has been undertaken relevant to CVD.• A range of organisations and ‘levers’ have been
used to promote change including:– PHE, RightCare, Primary Care, QOF, AHSNs, Spec
Comm, NHSI [GIRFT], Genomics, NICE, CQC, Third Sector, Data, Networks [STPs, U&E Care, Clinical]
• Extra investment, & CVD’s inclusion as a policy priority, in the NHS Long Term Plan is welcome and brings future (collaborative) opportunities.