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SMALL-SCALE ENERGY SUPPLY SYSTEMS IN EASTERN RUSSIA: CURRENT STATUS, DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY, INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION B. Saneev, I. Ivanova, T. Tuguzova Energy Systems Institute SB RAS, Russia, Irkutsk 8 th International Conference «Asian Energy Cooperation: Risks and Barriers», Russia, Irkutsk, August 21-23, 2012

SMALL-SCALE ENERGY SUPPLY SYSTEMS IN ...isem.irk.ru/AEC-2012/pres/D3-3 pres.pdf3 1. Energy supply to consumers in Russia’s East: current state and problems 2. Efficiency estimation

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Page 1: SMALL-SCALE ENERGY SUPPLY SYSTEMS IN ...isem.irk.ru/AEC-2012/pres/D3-3 pres.pdf3 1. Energy supply to consumers in Russia’s East: current state and problems 2. Efficiency estimation

SMALL-SCALE ENERGY SUPPLY SYSTEMS

IN EASTERN RUSSIA: CURRENT STATUS,

DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY,

INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION

B. Saneev, I. Ivanova, T. Tuguzova

Energy Systems Institute SB RAS, Russia, Irkutsk

8th International Conference «Asian Energy Cooperation: Risks and Barriers»,

Russia, Irkutsk, August 21-23, 2012

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2

BASIC STUDIES ON EASTERN ENERGY POLICY OF RUSSIA,

CONDUCTED BY ENERGY SYSTEMS INSTITUTE, SB RAS

Ordered by the regional authorities

The concept of providing stable operation of energy facilities and energy security

of Sakhalin region until 2020 – ordered by Administration of Sakhalin region

The strategy for energy development in Amur region until 2010 and for the time

horizon until 2030 – ordered by Administration of Amur region

The strategy for electric power industry development in Chukot Autonomous Area

until 2020 – ordered by Administration of Chukot AA and JSC “Chukotenergo”

The strategy for energy development in Irkutsk region until 2010 and for the time

horizon until 2030 – ordered by Administration of Irkutsk region

The energy strategy of Sakha Republic (Yakutia) until 2020 and for the time

horizon until 2030 – ordered by the Government of Sakha Republic (Yakutia)

In the framework of the Energy Strategy of Russia 2030

The strategy for energy development in East Siberia and the Far East until 2030

8th International Conference «Asian Energy Cooperation: Risks and Barriers», Russia, Irkutsk, August 21-23, 2012

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3 3

1. Energy supply to consumers in Russia’s East: current state

and problems

2. Efficiency estimation of small-scale energy development

options

3. Prospects and barriers in implementation of projects for

construction of renewable energy sources

4. Directions of international cooperation in the field of small-

scale energy supply systems

PLAN OF PRESENTATION

8th International Conference «Asian Energy Cooperation: Risks and Barriers», Russia, Irkutsk, August 21-23, 2012

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4 4

CHARACTERISTIC OF ENERGY SOURCES IN THE EASTERN REGIONS

The capacity of small-scale energy

sources makes up 3,3% of the total

capacity of power plants

Renewable energy sources

Number of power plants – 13

Capacity – 0.12 thous. MW

Electricity output– 0.5 bln. kWh

Interconnected power systems

Number of power plants – 90

Capacity – 45,8 thous. MW

Electricity output– 180 bln. kWh

Autonomous and backup energy sources

Number of power plants – 3960

Capacity – 1,7 thous. MW

Electricity output – 2,1 bln. kWh

Isolated power systems

Number of power plants – 34

Capacity – 4,6 thous. MW

Electricity output – 12,1 bln. kWh

6.7 mln. km2 (62%) is situated in the North,

The population is 2 mln. people (14% of the

population in East Siberia and the Far East)

8th International Conference «Asian Energy Cooperation: Risks and Barriers», Russia, Irkutsk, August 21-23, 2012

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GeoPP – 83,7 MW

Mendeleyevskaya

GeoPP 3.6 MW

Okeanskaya

GeoPP 3.6 MW

Pauzhetskaya GeoPP 14.5 MW

Mutnovskaya GeoPP 50 MW Verkhne-Mutnovskaya

GeoPP 12 MW

WPP – 3,3 MW

Anadyrskaya WPP 2.5 MW

WPP on Bering Island 0.5 MW

WPP in Tiksi town 0.25 MW

SHPP – 29 MW

Enashiminskaya

SHPP 5 MW

SHPP Kyzyl-Khaya

0,3 MW

Matrosskaya

SHPP 1.7 MW

Tolmachevskay

SHPPs 20.4 MW

Bystrinskaya

SHPP 1.7 MW

LOCATION OF RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES IN THE

EASTERN REGIONS (CURRENT STATE)

8th International Conference «Asian Energy Cooperation: Risks and Barriers», Russia, Irkutsk, August 21-23, 2012

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PRICES AND TARIFFS FOR CONSUMERS

IN DECENTRALIZED ELECTRICITY SUPPLY ZONES

Price of diesel fuel– 32-38 thous. rub./t

Price of fossil fuel– 3-6 thous. rub./tce

Cost price of:

electricity production– 18-25 rub./kW·h

heat production– 4-5 thous. rub./Gcal

Tariff for population:

electricity– 2.5-3.5 rub./kW·h

heat – 1-2 thous. rub./Gcal

For information:

- Average wholesale price of diesel fuel in Russia - 27 thous. rub./t

- Average tariff for population in Russia:

electricity– 1.2 rub./kW·h

heat– 430 rub./Gcal

Subventions for levelling

tariffs (delivery of

commodities to the North)

50 bil. rub

8th International Conference «Asian Energy Cooperation: Risks and Barriers», Russia, Irkutsk, August 21-23, 2012

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RATIONAL DIRECTIONS IN DEVELOPMENT

OF SMALL-SCALE ENERGY SUPPLY SYSTEMS

- connection to electric power system;

- reconstruction and upgrading of existing energy sources;

- construction of mini cogeneration plants on local fuels (coal

and hydrocarbons from local deposits);

- involvement of renewable energy sources;

- construction of low-capacity nuclear power plants.

8th International Conference «Asian Energy Cooperation: Risks and Barriers», Russia, Irkutsk, August 21-23, 2012

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2.1 Connection to centralized electricity supply

With rise in loads the economically

efficient distances for connection to

power systems increase

Connection to centralized electricity supply is

efficient for consumers located at a 75-90 km

distance from supply centers

In the eastern

interconnected power

systems up to 30-90 km

In isolated power

systems in the northeast

up to 25-75 km

8th International Conference «Asian Energy Cooperation: Risks and Barriers», Russia, Irkutsk, August 21-23, 2012

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Allocation of mini cogeneration plants is efficient

near coal deposits and natural gas fields or in the

buffer area of gas pipeline routes

Electricity production cost at

cogeneration decreases two-fold

against diesel power plant

2.2 Construction of mini cogeneration plants on local fuels

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

22 24 26 29 31 34 36 38 41

8

4

1,5

Payback period, years

Electricity tariff, cent/kWh

Electric capacity of

coal-fired mini

cogeneration

plants, MW

8th International Conference «Asian Energy Cooperation: Risks and Barriers», Russia, Irkutsk, August 21-23, 2012

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Allocation Consumer Electric capacity,

MW

Yuryung-

Khaya

settlement

Tomtor rare-earth

metal (niobium)

deposit

36

Tiksi

settlement

Restoration of

Northern sea

route

12

Ust-Kuiga

settlement

Kyuchus gold

deposit

30

Peschanoe

settlement

Copper ore

deposit

30

2.3 Construction of low-capacity nuclear power plants

Allocation of low-capacity nuclear power

plants is efficient for energy supply to

new industrial sites located in the hard-

to-access areas

Sakha Republic (Yakutia)

Cukot AO

Low-capacity nuclear power plants are

competitive as compared to diesel

power plants + boiler plants at capital

investment of no more than 9

thousand USD/kW

8th International Conference «Asian Energy Cooperation: Risks and Barriers», Russia, Irkutsk, August 21-23, 2012

10

30

50

70

90

110

130

150

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

5,3 6,2 7,1 8,0 8,9 9,8 10,7 11,5

Coal price,USD/t

Diesel fuel price, USD/t

Low-capacity NPP

DPP + boiler plant

Specific capital investment in low-capacity NPP,thous. USD/kW

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2600

2400

2200

2200

2000

2000

Solar energy

(annual total

solar radiation

> 1200 kWh/m2) - - - 2000 – duration

of solar radiance, h/year

Wind energy

(mid-annual speed

> 5 m/s)

Geothermal

energy

Wood

resources Small-scale

hydro energy

High potential resources

Federal Okrugs of RF

1 – Central

2 – Northwestern

3 – Volga

4 – Southern

5 – Urals

6 – Siberian

7 – Far-Eastern

ZONES OF EFFICIENT IMPLEMENTATION OF

RENEWABLE ENERGY POTENTIAL

8th International Conference «Asian Energy Cooperation: Risks and Barriers», Russia, Irkutsk, August 21-23, 2012

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An aim of the Russian Energy Strategy until 2030:

– increase in RES share in total electricity production from 0.5% to 4.5%

– total capacity to be commissioned – 25 th.MW

An indicator of the General Scheme for Placement of Electric Power

Industry Facilities in Russia until 2020 with prospects to 2030:

6,85

15,08

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

Thous. MW

Year

Base variant Maximum variant

Structure of capacities to be commissioned in Russia in 2030 by RES type, %

– total renewable generating capacities to be

commissioned - 6-14 th. MW

– in the eastern regions - 2 - 3.5 th. MW

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FORECAST OF ESI FOR EASTERN REGIONS

An aim of the Scenario conditions of electric power development until 2030:

– total renewable generating capacities to be commissioned - 5 th. MW

– in the eastern regions - 1 th. MW

29 3680

155320

56

127

8490

140

160

0

100

200

300

400

2009 2015 2020 2030

GeoPP WPP SHPP

Years

Capacity,MW

146

276

442

116

Geo power plants in

Kamchatka Krai and

on the Kuril islands

Wind power plants in

Primorie, Khabarovsk

and Kamchatka Krais

Small hydropower

plants in Buryat

Republic, Kamchatka

Krai and Irkutsk

Oblast

Total capacity to be

commissioned - 300-320 MW

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Placement of renewable energy sources is efficient in the hard-to-access areas in

which the indices of renewable energy potential are the highest

EFFICIENCY OF USING RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES

8th International Conference «Asian Energy Cooperation: Risks and Barriers», Russia, Irkutsk, August 21-23, 2012

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Institutional:

- insufficient legislative basis in the sphere of RES;

- ineffective system of measures intended to meet environmental constraints;

- unwillingness of authorities to participate in funding the investment projects

Financial:

- absence of federal financing mechanisms;

- insufficient internal and foreign investment capital;

- high cost of special equipment;

- lack of long-term loans on acceptable terms.

Informational:

- insufficient information about technologies and possibilities of their application;

- lack of reliable data on the indices of renewable energy resources;

- negative experience of RES operation.

BARRIERS TO DEVELOPMENT OF RENEWABLE

ENERGY SOURCES IN RUSSIA

8th International Conference «Asian Energy Cooperation: Risks and Barriers», Russia, Irkutsk, August 21-23, 2012

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Total capacity to be

commissioned by 2030

Connection to

centralized electricity

supply

Mini cogeneration

plant - 70 MW

Conversion of DPP

to gas

Low-capacity

nuclear power plant

– 108 MW

Small HPP – 126 MW

WPP – 123 MW

Geo TPP – 76 MW

TOTAL – 503 MW

RATIONAL PLACEMENT OF LOW-CAPACITY ENERGY

SOURCES OF DIFFERENT TYPES

8th International Conference «Asian Energy Cooperation: Risks and Barriers», Russia, Irkutsk, August 21-23, 2012

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Legislative framework

System of state stimulation

System of preferential taxes and crediting

Mutually beneficial deliveries of equipment

Joint investment in projects

Information exchange

DIRECTIONS OF INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION IN THE

FIELD OF SMALL-SCALE ENERGY SUPPLY SYSTEMS

8th International Conference «Asian Energy Cooperation: Risks and Barriers», Russia, Irkutsk, August 21-23, 2012

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Thank you for your attention