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2006 Regional Modeling and Data Assimilation Plans. Science Advisory Committee 22 November 2005 Huntsville, AL. 2006 Regional Modeling & DA Short-term Goals. MODIS SST Assimilation Complete May 2004 Assessment (Project Columbia)—publish results - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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SPoRT SAC Nov 21-22, 2005
Earth-Sun System DivisionNational Aeronautics and Space Administration
Science Advisory Committee
22 November 2005
Huntsville, AL
2006 Regional Modeling and Data Assimilation Plans
SPoRT SAC Nov 21-22, 2005
Earth-Sun System DivisionNational Aeronautics and Space Administration
2006 Regional Modeling & DA
Short-term Goals
1. MODIS SST Assimilation Complete May 2004 Assessment (Project Columbia)—publish results Identify Case studies in operational system for assessment MAP 05 (Project Hurricane)—MODIS SST sensitivity studies?
2. AIRS Profiles in ADAS Complete Jan 2004 case study—publish results Collaborate with Brewster (OU) on Gulf return flow Provide OU with intellectual property
SPoRT SAC Nov 21-22, 2005
Earth-Sun System DivisionNational Aeronautics and Space Administration
Longer-term Considerations for SPoRT Modeling Activities…
SPoRT SAC Nov 21-22, 2005
Earth-Sun System DivisionNational Aeronautics and Space Administration Coupled Earth SYSTEM
Modeling andData Assimilation
System for Earth-Sun Science
2005 Project Hurricane
2006 NASA Modeling Environment
fvGCM (GEOS4)
GEOS-5
JCSDA/GSI Project Columbia
The NASA Modeling, Assimilation, and Prediction (MAP) Environment:
Integrating Earth System Modeling and Observations
SPoRT SAC Nov 21-22, 2005
Earth-Sun System DivisionNational Aeronautics and Space Administration
The NASA Modeling Environment Components Added as Program Evolves
Pro
gram
or
Bra
nch
#1
Modeling 1
Pro
gram
or
Bra
nch
#2
Modeling 2P
rogr
am o
r B
ranc
h #3
Modeling 3
Pro
gram
or
Bra
nch
#N
Modeling N
Crosscutting ThemesFocus Areas
Model, Analysis, Prediction Program / Multi-investigator proposals
CoreIntegration
Team
ExternalNRA
Proposals
ES
MFMAP
ModelingEnvironment
CMAI GMI ECCO IIGISS
Model E
…
SPoRT SAC Nov 21-22, 2005
Earth-Sun System DivisionNational Aeronautics and Space Administration
SPoRT SAC Nov 21-22, 2005
Earth-Sun System DivisionNational Aeronautics and Space Administration
•Coupled atm/lsm•Land/atm exchange
•Data assimilation•Regional climate model•Global lightning distribution
National Applications
•AIRS q and radiance
•Lightning and precipitation intensity•Cloud initialization•Data Assimilation
•Process Studies•Land/Atm exchange•Validation
•MODIS LST & SST•AIRS Profiles•Data assimilation
•Lightning and precipitation intensity•Cloud initialization
Science Focus Areas
Short Term Prediction
SPoRTSPoRTCenterCenter
Research and Transition• Advanced Algorithm
Development• Data Analysis• Process Studies and
Modeling• Regional Data
Assimilation
• Training• Benchmarking• Assessments
NESDIS
NCEPNWS
JCSDA
FSL
Universities
CIMSS
AMU
Aviation
Energy Management
Water Management
AgriculturalEfficiency
Air Quality
Homeland Security
External Influences on SPoRT……
Data Assimilation Framework•Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation•Supported by NOAA, NASA, DoD•FSL, NCEP, GMAO (JCSDA)•McCarty NASA Fellowship
WRF Dynamic Core & Physics•NCEP NMM•Optimal physics configuration
Support NASA Mission•MAP•NEWS•Human Space Flight
SPoRT SAC Nov 21-22, 2005
Earth-Sun System DivisionNational Aeronautics and Space Administration
2006 Regional Modeling & DA
Longer-term
1. AIRS Radiances in GSI In collaboration with GMAO/JCSDA McCarty NASA Fellowship
2. Lightning Data Assimilation NASA NRC Post-Doc proposal pending (Themis Chronis/UCONN) CloudSat/Calipso Microphysics (Model validation/assessment)
3. Coupled WRF/LIS Implementation Collaboration with GSFC (Peters-Lidard, Tao) ESMF Transition Testbed (MAP Initiative?)
SPoRT SAC Nov 21-22, 2005
Earth-Sun System DivisionNational Aeronautics and Space Administration
25km
NASA Land Information System
1km
High-resolution (enabled by LIS):-See small, medium, large cities-Demonstrate impact of EOS-era observations (e.g., MODIS)
Traditional resolution (before
LIS):-See only large size urban areas-Over predict magnitude of heat island (nonlinear averaging)
SPoRT SAC Nov 21-22, 2005
Earth-Sun System DivisionNational Aeronautics and Space Administration
2. Overview: LIS Science and Data Flow
Topography,Soils
Land Cover, Vegetation Properties
Meteorology
Snow Soil MoistureTemperature
Land Surface Models
Data Assimilation Modules
Soil Moisture &
Temperature
Evaporation
Runoff
SnowpackProperties
Inputs OutputsPhysics
Weather/Climate
Water Resources
HomelandSecurity
Military Ops
Natural Hazards
Applications
LIS Structure
SPoRT SAC Nov 21-22, 2005
Earth-Sun System DivisionNational Aeronautics and Space Administration
Coupled Earth System Modeling
Interoperability with standards:• The Earth System Modeling Framework (ESMF)
• Assistance for Land Modeling Activities (ALMA)
•NCEP/EMC—K. Mitchell CollaborationLIS
Ocean Models
Atmos. Models
WithLIS12-Hours Ahead
Atmospheric Model
Forecasts
LIS Impact Example: Coupling the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model
ObservedRainfall Without
LIS
SPoRT SAC Nov 21-22, 2005
Earth-Sun System DivisionNational Aeronautics and Space Administration
GMI chemistry
Modelers Integrate Components From Different Sources ESMF Accelerates Development Cycle
GMAO LSM
GMAO physics
GFDL dynamics
NASA AGCM For Climate and Weather
GMU ocean
LANL sea ice model
Add In The Assimilation Components And Satellite Data Earth Science Applications + Future Mission Design
GMAO ocean biology
SPoRT SAC Nov 21-22, 2005
Earth-Sun System DivisionNational Aeronautics and Space Administration
Coupled LIS-WRF System
NASA Energy and Water Study Land-atmosphere interactions Cloud and precipitation processes
NASA Modeling and Analysis Program Complete Jan 2004 case study—publish results Feeds into Nowcasting task
SPoRT collaboration with GSFC Terrestrial Hydrology and Atm Dynamics Programs
A vision for spring 2007….
SPoRT SAC Nov 21-22, 2005
Earth-Sun System DivisionNational Aeronautics and Space Administration
SPoRT SAC Nov 21-22, 2005
Earth-Sun System DivisionNational Aeronautics and Space Administration
SPoRT SAC Nov 21-22, 2005
Earth-Sun System DivisionNational Aeronautics and Space Administration