Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 09/24/20202 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2020) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service United States hog producers intend to have 3.12 million

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs

ISSN: 1949-1921

Released September 24, 2020, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States

Department of Agriculture (USDA).

United States Hog Inventory Up 1 Percent United States inventory of all hogs and pigs on September 1, 2020 was 79.1 million head. This was up 1 percent from

September 1, 2019, but down 1 percent from June 1, 2020.

Breeding inventory, at 6.33 million head, was down 2 percent from last year, but up slightly from the previous quarter.

Market hog inventory, at 72.8 million head, was up 1 percent from last year, but down 1 percent from last quarter.

The June-August 2020 pig crop, at 35.1 million head, was down 3 percent from 2019. Sows farrowing during this period

totaled 3.18 million head, down 3 percent from 2019. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 50 percent of the

breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was 11.04 for the June-August period, compared to 11.11 last year.

61

63

65

67

69

71

73

75

77

79

81

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Million head

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Inventory - United States: September 1

2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2020) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

United States hog producers intend to have 3.12 million sows farrow during the September-November 2020 quarter,

down 5 percent from the actual farrowings during the same period one year earlier, and down 3 percent from the same

period two years earlier. Intended farrowings for December 2020-February 2021, at 3.11 million sows, are down 1 percent

from the same period one year earlier, but up slightly from the same period two years earlier.

The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted

for 47 percent of the total United States hog inventory, down 1 percent from the previous year.

Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for September 2019 through June 2020 were reviewed using final pig crop, official

slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. There were no revisions made to previous quarters.

Records Record highs for all hogs and pigs, market hogs, pig crop and pigs per litter, by quarter, can be found on page 13.

This report was approved on September 24, 2020.

Secretary of Agriculture

Designate

Robert Johansson

Agricultural Statistics Board

Chairperson

Joseph L. Parsons

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2020) 3 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Contents

Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter – United States: 2019 and 2020 ......................................... 4

Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter – United States: 2018-2021 .......................................................................... 5

Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – United States: December-November 2019 and 2020 ................. 5

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: March 1, 2019 and 2020 ............................................... 6

Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: March 1, 2019 and 2020 .................................................... 6

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: June 1, 2019 and 2020 .................................................. 7

Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: June 1, 2019 and 2020 ....................................................... 7

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: September 1, 2019 and 2020 ........................................ 8

Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: September 1, 2019 and 2020 ............................................. 8

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: December 1, 2018 and 2019 ......................................... 9

Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: December 1, 2018 and 2019 .............................................. 9

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: December-February 2019-2021 ..................... 10

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: March-May 2019 and 2020 ............................ 10

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: June-August 2019 and 2020 ........................... 11

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: September-November 2018-2020 .................. 11

Statistical Methodology ........................................................................................................................................................ 12

Reliability of Quarterly Hog Estimates ................................................................................................................................. 12

Records by Quarter – United States: 1866 to Present ........................................................................................................... 13

Information Contacts ............................................................................................................................................................ 13


Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter – United States: 2019 and 2020 [May not add due to rounding. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]

Item 2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

March 1 inventory .................................................................................... All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups ............................................... Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................ June 1 inventory ....................................................................................... All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups ............................................... Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................ September 1 inventory ............................................................................. All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups ............................................... Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................ December 1 inventory .............................................................................. All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups ............................................... Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................

74,661 6,349

68,313

21,373 19,168 15,001 12,771

75,725 6,410

69,316

22,210 19,693 14,396 13,017

78,583 6,431

72,153

23,376 21,224 14,654 12,899

79,048 6,471

72,577

22,648 20,691 15,321 13,916

77,629 6,375

71,254

22,221 19,853 15,386 13,793

79,634 6,326

73,308

22,160 20,370 16,090 14,687

79,099 6,333

72,766

22,559 20,490 15,547 14,169

104 100 104

104 104 103 108

105 99

106

100 103 112 113

101 98

101

97 97

106 110


Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter – United States: 2018-2021 [December preceding year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]

Item 2018 2019 2020 2021 2020 as percent of 2021 as

percent of 2020 2018 2019

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (percent)

Sows farrowing ......................... December-February 2 ........... March-May ............................ December-May 1 ................... June-August ......................... September-November 3 ........ June-November 1 4 ................ Pig crop .................................... December-February .............. March-May ............................ December-May 1 ................... June-August ......................... September-November ........... June-November 1 ..................

2,977 3,064 6,041

3,172 3,205 6,377

31,497 32,556 64,053

34,019 34,496 68,515

3,099 3,133 6,233

3,275 3,265 6,540

33,163 34,454 67,617

36,369 36,205 72,575

3,158 3,172 6,330

3,180 3,118 6,298

34,734 34,933 69,668

35,115

3,111

106 104 105

100 97 99

110 107 109

103

102 101 102

97 95 96

105 101 103

97

99

(number) (number) (number) (percent) (percent)

Pigs per litter ............................ December-February .............. March-May ............................ December-May ..................... June-August ......................... September-November ........... June-November ....................

10.58 10.63 10.60

10.72 10.76 10.74

10.70 11.00 10.85

11.11 11.09 11.10

11.00 11.01 11.01

11.04

104 104 104

103

103 100 101

99

1 May not add due to rounding. 2 Intentions for 2021. 3 Intentions for 2020. 4 Actual farrowings for June-August plus intentions for September-November.

Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – United States: December-November 2019 and 2020 [December preceding year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]

Month Sows farrowing 1 Pigs per litter Pig crop 1

2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)

December ........................ January ........................... February .......................... March .............................. April ................................. May ................................. June ................................ July .................................. August ............................. September ....................... October ........................... November ........................ Total ................................

1,041 1,037 1,022 1,075 1,027 1,032 1,115 1,086 1,074 1,121 1,086 1,058

12,773

1,080 1,051 1,027 1,070 1,056 1,045 1,073 1,059 1,048

10.72 10.68 10.71 10.85 11.01 11.13 11.02 11.10 11.20 11.00 11.10 11.17

10.98

10.98 11.00 11.01 10.96 11.03 11.05 10.93 11.03 11.17

11,153 11,070 10,939 11,662 11,310 11,482 12,294 12,048 12,027 12,329 12,055 11,821

140,192

11,854 11,564 11,316 11,733 11,653 11,548 11,724 11,686 11,706

1 Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding.


Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: March 1, 2019 and 2020 [May not add due to rounding]

State

Breeding Market Total

2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado ...................... Illinois ........................... Indiana ......................... Iowa ............................. Kansas ......................... Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina .............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas ........................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............

155 560 260

1,030 170 120 580 470 450 900

190 450 120 245 150 80

419

6,349

155 580 250 980 180 120 560 470 440 870

200 450 150 285 155 80

450

6,375

100 104 96 95

106 100 97

100 98 97

105 100 125 116 103 100

108

100

645 4,690 3,940

22,670 1,880 1,110 8,220 3,080 3,150 8,100

2,460 1,720 1,150 1,595

940 670

2,293

68,313

585 4,820 3,900

23,620 1,920 1,130 8,740 3,280 3,360 8,330

2,600 1,810 1,210 1,745

965 870

2,369

71,254

91 103 99

104 102 102 106 106 107 103

106 105 105 109 103 130

103

104

800 5,250 4,200

23,700 2,050 1,230 8,800 3,550 3,600 9,000

2,650 2,170 1,270 1,840 1,090

750

2,711

74,661

740 5,400 4,150

24,600 2,100 1,250 9,300 3,750 3,800 9,200

2,800 2,260 1,360 2,030 1,120

950

2,819

77,629

93 103 99

104 102 102 106 106 106 102

106 104 107 110 103 127

104

104

1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: March 1, 2019 and 2020 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]

State

Under 50 pounds

50-119 pounds

120-179 pounds

180 pounds and over

2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)

Colorado ........................ Illinois ............................. Indiana ........................... Iowa ............................... Kansas ........................... Michigan ........................ Minnesota ...................... Missouri ......................... Nebraska ....................... North Carolina ................ Ohio ............................... Oklahoma ...................... Pennsylvania ................. South Dakota ................. Texas ............................. Utah ............................... Other States 1 ................ United States .................

290 1,415 1,040 5,510

480 330

2,590 1,555 1,060 3,190

720 800 315 590 275 295

918

21,373

290 1,370

980 5,920

460 340

2,830 1,520 1,140 3,210

750 830 340 695 280 325

941

22,221

135 1,555 1,100 7,510

440 300

2,400 560 880

1,700

640 360 325 390 260 120

493

19,168

110 1,605 1,100 7,530

500 305

2,560 670 905

1,810

690 365 355 395 275 180

498

19,853

105 1,000

920 5,630

395 225

1,890 505 690

1,590

520 210 245 320 180 130

446

15,001

70 1,045

950 5,540

390 230

1,920 595 710

1,700

580 250 250 345 185 180

446

15,386

115 720 880

4,020 565 255

1,340 460 520

1,620

580 350 265 295 225 125

436

12,771

115 800 870

4,630 570 255

1,430 495 605

1,610

580 365 265 310 225 185

483

13,793



Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: June 1, 2019 and 2020 [May not add due to rounding]

State


2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019


Colorado ...................... Illinois .......................... Indiana ........................ Iowa ............................. Kansas ........................ Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina ............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas .......................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............

160 590 260

1,000 175 120 570 480 460 900

200 445 120 265 155 80

430

6,410

155 570 250 960 180 120 550 475 440 880

210 460 150 280 130 80

436

6,326

97 97 96 96

103 100 96 99 96 98

105 103 125 106 84

100

102

99

620 4,760 4,040

22,900 1,845 1,130 8,230 3,170 3,290 8,300

2,550 1,715 1,100 1,605

935 750

2,376

69,316

575 4,930 4,300

24,240 2,020 1,070 9,050 3,425 3,410 8,520

2,690 1,720 1,270 1,790

920 910

2,468

73,308

93 104 106 106 109 95

110 108 104 103

105 100 115 112 98

121

104

106

780 5,350 4,300

23,900 2,020 1,250 8,800 3,650 3,750 9,200

2,750 2,160 1,220 1,870 1,090

830

2,805

75,725

730 5,500 4,550

25,200 2,200 1,190 9,600 3,900 3,850 9,400

2,900 2,180 1,420 2,070 1,050

990

2,904

79,634

94 103 106 105 109 95

109 107 103 102

105 101 116 111 96

119

104

105


Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: June 1, 2019 and 2020 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]

State

Under 50 pounds

50-119 pounds

120-179 pounds

180 pounds and over

2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020


Colorado ........................ Illinois ............................ Indiana .......................... Iowa ............................... Kansas .......................... Michigan ........................ Minnesota ...................... Missouri ......................... Nebraska ....................... North Carolina ............... Ohio ............................... Oklahoma ...................... Pennsylvania ................. South Dakota ................. Texas ............................ Utah ............................... Other States 1 ................ United States .................

295 1,465 1,090 5,920

460 320

2,630 1,590 1,135 3,370

730 800 305 580 285 325

910

22,210

280 1,410 1,010 5,790

510 310

2,800 1,700 1,160 3,100

720 770 380 725 220 365

910

22,160

130 1,530 1,180 7,520

490 320

2,590 530 875

1,830

660 365 345 430 235 150

513

19,693

105 1,575 1,330 7,670

485 300

2,590 575 885

1,940

700 380 385 425 295 180

550

20,370

100 945 840

5,430 385 230

1,730 525 630

1,500

590 220 235 290 145 140

461

14,396

80 1,085

970 5,900

400 220

2,000 640 710

1,770

620 230 270 345 185 180

485

16,090

95 820 930

4,030 510 260

1,280 525 650

1,600

570 330 215 305 270 135

492

13,017

110 860 990

4,880 625 240

1,660 510 655

1,710

650 340 235 295 220 185

522

14,687



Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: September 1, 2019 and 2020 [May not add due to rounding]

State


2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019


Colorado ...................... Illinois ........................... Indiana ......................... Iowa ............................. Kansas ......................... Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina .............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas ........................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............

160 590 250

1,010 175 120 580 490 450 900

200 460 120 265 155 80

426

6,431

165 580 250 980 175 120 530 470 430 870

220 450 150 285 140 85

433

6,333

103 98

100 97

100 100 91 96 96 97

110 98

125 108 90

106

102

98

630 4,910 4,150

23,990 1,915 1,120 8,620 3,160 3,350 8,700

2,600 1,790 1,140 1,735 1,045

880

2,418

72,153

485 4,820 4,200

24,120 1,915 1,100 8,670 3,530 3,370 8,730

2,750 1,650 1,290 1,765

920 955

2,496

72,766

77 98

101 101 100 98

101 112 101 100

106 92

113 102 88

109

103

101

790 5,500 4,400

25,000 2,090 1,240 9,200 3,650 3,800 9,600

2,800 2,250 1,260 2,000 1,200

960

2,843

78,583

650 5,400 4,450

25,100 2,090 1,220 9,200 4,000 3,800 9,600

2,970 2,100 1,440 2,050 1,060 1,040

2,929

79,099

82 98

101 100 100 98

100 110 100 100

106 93

114 103 88

108

103

101


Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: September 1, 2019 and 2020 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]

State

Under 50 pounds

50-119 pounds

120-179 pounds

180 pounds and over

2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020


Colorado ........................... Illinois ................................ Indiana .............................. Iowa .................................. Kansas .............................. Michigan ........................... Minnesota ......................... Missouri ............................ Nebraska .......................... North Carolina ................... Ohio .................................. Oklahoma ......................... Pennsylvania .................... South Dakota .................... Texas ................................ Utah .................................. Other States 1 ................... United States ....................

305 1,510 1,110 6,360

490 310

2,950 1,530 1,190 3,440

780 805 315 655 345 355

926

23,376

260 1,380 1,030 6,290

490 320

2,650 1,600 1,140 3,250

720 755 355 700 300 370

949

22,559

130 1,650 1,230 8,010

510 310

2,850 590 890

2,140

690 465 330 450 290 175

514

21,224

100 1,530 1,370 7,630

465 300

2,620 690 880

2,030

710 360 410 435 220 195

545

20,490

95 900 860

5,520 375 225

1,710 545 670

1,580

540 225 265 305 185 175

479

14,654

50 1,080

830 5,730

420 230

1,870 690 710

1,710

610 190 275 320 140 195

497

15,547

100 850 950

4,100 540 275

1,110 495 600

1,540

590 295 230 325 225 175

499

12,899

75 830 970

4,470 540 250

1,530 550 640

1,740

710 345 250 310 260 195

504

14,169



Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: December 1, 2018 and 2019 [May not add due to rounding]

State


2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018


Colorado ...................... Illinois .......................... Indiana ........................ Iowa ............................. Kansas ........................ Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina ............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas .......................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............

155 560 260

1,020 170 120 570 470 440 900

200 445 120 255 150 80

411

6,326

155 590 250

1,010 180 120 570 490 440 900

210 450 140 280 155 80

451

6,471

100 105 96 99

106 100 100 104 100 100

105 101 117 110 103 100

110

102

595 4,840 3,990

22,580 1,880 1,060 8,530 3,180 3,110 8,300

2,350 1,755 1,190 1,495

960 630

2,300

68,745

605 4,910 4,200

24,090 1,980 1,120 8,930 2,910 3,410 8,600

2,740 1,830 1,190 1,730

985 880

2,467

72,577

102 101 105 107 105 106 105 92

110 104

117 104 100 116 103 140

107

106

750 5,400 4,250

23,600 2,050 1,180 9,100 3,650 3,550 9,200

2,550 2,200 1,310 1,750 1,110

710

2,710

75,070

760 5,500 4,450

25,100 2,160 1,240 9,500 3,400 3,850 9,500

2,950 2,280 1,330 2,010 1,140

960

2,918

79,048

101 102 105 106 105 105 104 93

108 103

116 104 102 115 103 135

108

105


Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: December 1, 2018 and 2019 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]

State

Under 50 pounds

50-119 pounds

120-179 pounds

180 pounds and over

2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019



270 1,555 1,035 5,650

455 320

2,880 1,625 1,065 3,290

670 755 335 575 270 240

868

21,858

280 1,485 1,130 6,040

475 340

2,850 1,270 1,200 3,400

840 780 305 680 300 320

953

22,648

125 1,525 1,225 7,450

515 280

2,510 575 805

1,780

610 390 335 365 260 125

494

19,369

130 1,630 1,170 7,720

475 310

2,770 620 875

2,030

760 475 340 400 275 185

526

20,691

85 910 820

5,260 380 210

1,830 510 610

1,600

520 280 265 285 170 135

453

14,323

100 975 930

5,750 420 220

1,860 540 650

1,610

550 260 275 330 170 185

496

15,321

115 850 910

4,220 530 250

1,310 470 630

1,630

550 330 255 270 260 130

485

13,195

95 820 970

4,580 610 250

1,450 480 685

1,560

590 315 270 320 240 190

491

13,916



Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: December-February 2019-2021 [December preceding year. May not add due to rounding]

State

Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1

2019 2020 2021 2 2021 as percent of 2020

2019 2020 2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado ................... Illinois ........................ Indiana ...................... Iowa .......................... Kansas ...................... Michigan ................... Minnesota ................. Missouri .................... Nebraska .................. North Carolina ........... Ohio .......................... Oklahoma ................. Pennsylvania ............ South Dakota ............ Texas ........................ Utah .......................... Other States 3 ........... United States ............

78 270 125 530 86 56

300 245 185 455

93

205 55

119 66 40

191

3,099

72 290 120 520 87 57

300 250 190 450

100 210 53

141 69 40

209

3,158

75 280 125 520 84 53

255 245 180 450

103 210 54

143 71 45

218

3,111

104 97

104 100 97 93 85 98 95

100

103 100 102 101 103 113

104

99

9.20 10.65 10.20 11.20 10.60 10.90 11.60 10.55 11.55 9.90

10.70 10.65 10.80 11.85 10.20 9.20

9.96

10.70

10.30 10.95 10.60 11.25 10.40 11.10 11.85 11.00 11.60 10.50

11.00 10.40 11.00 12.10 10.35 11.00

10.49

11.00

718 2,876 1,275 5,936

912 610

3,480 2,585 2,137 4,505

995

2,183 594

1,410 673 368

1,906

33,163

742 3,176 1,272 5,850

905 633

3,555 2,750 2,204 4,725

1,100 2,184

583 1,706

714 440

2,195

34,734

103 110 100 99 99

104 102 106 103 105

111 100 98

121 106 120

115

105

1 Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 2 Intentions. 3 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: March-May 2019 and 2020 [May not add due to rounding]

State


2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

2019 2020 2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado ....................... Illinois ............................ Indiana .......................... Iowa .............................. Kansas .......................... Michigan ....................... Minnesota ..................... Missouri ........................ Nebraska ...................... North Carolina ............... Ohio .............................. Oklahoma ..................... Pennsylvania ................ South Dakota ................ Texas ............................ Utah .............................. Other States 2 ............... United States ................

78 275 120 530 86 54

295 242 200 460

98

215 54

123 66 43

194

3,133

74 275 125 510 89 54

300 255 200 460

98

215 57

140 68 43

209

3,172

95 100 104 96

103 100 102 105 100 100

100 100 106 114 103 100

107

101

10.70 10.75 10.70 11.45 10.70 11.00 11.85 10.65 11.50 10.50

11.20 10.55 11.10 11.95 10.50 10.70

10.32

11.00

10.10 10.80 10.60 11.40 10.70 10.60 11.70 11.00 11.10 10.60

11.10 10.80 11.10 12.30 11.00 10.80

10.37

11.01

835 2,956 1,284 6,069

920 594

3,496 2,577 2,300 4,830

1,098 2,268

599 1,470

693 460

2,005

34,454

747 2,970 1,325 5,814

952 572

3,510 2,805 2,220 4,876

1,088 2,322

633 1,722

748 464

2,165

34,933

89 100 103 96

103 96

100 109 97

101

99 102 106 117 108 101

108

101

1 Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.


Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: June-August 2019 and 2020 [May not add due to rounding]

State


2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

2019 2020 2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)


79 290 120 550 90 55

300 260 194 500

102 230 51

129 71 44

210

3,275

79 285 125 530 88 54

280 255 180 480

103 215 56

143 61 43

203

3,180

100 98

104 96 98 98 93 98 93 96

101 93

110 111 86 98

97

97

10.70 10.95 11.00 11.35 10.90 11.10 11.95 11.10 11.65 10.50

11.30 10.90 11.30 11.85 10.90 11.00

10.44

11.11

10.00 10.70 11.30 11.30 10.70 11.40 11.80 11.20 11.70 10.50

10.50 10.80 11.10 12.20 10.60 11.00

10.43

11.04

845 3,176 1,320 6,243

981 611

3,585 2,886 2,260 5,250

1,153 2,507

576 1,529

774 484

2,189

36,369

790 3,050 1,413 5,989

942 616

3,304 2,856 2,106 5,040

1,082 2,322

622 1,745

647 473

2,118

35,115

93 96

107 96 96

101 92 99 93 96

94 93

108 114 84 98

97

97

1 Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: September-November 2018-2020 [May not add due to rounding]

State


2018 2019 2020 2 2020 as percent of 2019

2018 2019 2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado .................... Illinois ........................ Indiana ...................... Iowa ........................... Kansas ...................... Michigan .................... Minnesota .................. Missouri ..................... Nebraska ................... North Carolina ........... Ohio ........................... Oklahoma .................. Pennsylvania ............. South Dakota ............. Texas ........................ Utah ........................... Other States 3 ............ United States .............

75 280 130 570 85 54

310 255 195 475

99

205 52

127 67 37

189

3,205

76 285 125 540 92 56

310 265 195 480

104 220 57

138 68 41

213

3,265

69 280 125 520 87 55

270 245 185 445

110 215 57

144 62 41

208

3,118

91 98

100 96 95 98 87 92 95 93

106 98

100 104 91

100

98

95

9.60 10.65 10.60 11.20 10.90 10.50 11.40 10.60 11.45 10.15

10.60 10.60 11.00 11.65 10.40 10.00

10.09

10.76

10.60 10.95 10.50 11.35 10.75 10.85 11.85 11.10 11.70 10.55

11.40 10.85 11.20 12.00 10.40 11.50

10.47

11.09

720 2,982 1,378 6,384

927 567

3,534 2,703 2,233 4,821

1,049 2,173

572 1,480

697 370

1,906

34,496

806 3,121 1,313 6,129

989 608

3,674 2,942 2,282 5,064

1,186 2,387

638 1,656

707 472

2,231

36,205

112 105 95 96

107 107 104 109 102 105

113 110 112 112 101 128

117

105

1 Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 2 Intentions. 3 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.


Statistical Methodology

Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 5,000 United States producers was surveyed to provide data for these

estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the

survey. Large operations were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of September 2020, data

were collected from about 3,500 operations, 68.5 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by

electronic data reporting, mail, and telephone. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report

inventories as of September 1, 2020.

Estimating Procedures: Hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing

recommendations and analysis submitted by each regional field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for

reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with

the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports,

and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for

reasonableness.

Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the

previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of

the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter.

Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are

available. No revisions will be made after that date.

Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling

variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in

reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized

through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for

consistency and reasonableness.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for

selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance

and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory

estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.0 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be

above or below the current estimate of 79.1 million head by more than 1.0 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the

difference will not exceed 1.7 percent.

Reliability of Quarterly Hog Estimates [Based on data for the previous 20 quarters]

Item Root mean

square error

90 percent confidence

level

Difference between first and latest estimate

Average Smallest Largest Quarters

Below latest Above latest

(percent) (percent) (1,000) (1,000) (1,000) (number) (number)

All hogs and pigs ............................ Pig crop ......................................... Expected farrowings Second intentions ...................... First intentions ............................

1.0

1.7

2.3

2.4

1.7

2.9

4.0

4.1

573

425

56

59

0

0

2

8

1,710

1,104

129

145

10

11

17

16

8

7

3

4


Records by Quarter – United States: 1866 to Present [This table provides data users with record high estimates of all hogs and pigs, market hogs, pig crop, and pigs per litter since each data series began]

Item Estimate Record high Series began

(1,000 head) (year) (year)

All hogs and pigs ................................................ March 1 .......................................................... June 1 ............................................................. September 1 ................................................... December 1 .................................................... Market ................................................................ March 1 .......................................................... June 1 ............................................................. September 1 ................................................... December 1 .................................................... Pig crop .............................................................. December-February1 ...................................... March-May ...................................................... June-August ................................................... September-November .....................................

77,629 79,634 79,099 83,741

71,254 73,308 72,766 72,577

34,734 34,933 36,369 36,205

2020 2020 2020 1943

2020 2020 2020 2019

2020 2020 2019 2019

1988 1964 1988 1866

1988 1964 1988 1963

1970 1970 1970 1970

(number) (year) (year)

Pigs per litter ...................................................... December-February1 ...................................... March-May ...................................................... June-August ................................................... September-November .....................................

11.00 11.01 11.11 11.09

2020 2020 2019 2019

1970 1970 1970 1970

1 December preceding year.

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to

contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to [email protected].

Travis Averill, Chief, Livestock Branch ......................................................................................................... (202) 692-0069

Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section ........................................................................................................... (202) 690-2424

Sherry Bertramsen – Livestock Slaughter ................................................................................................ (202) 690-8632

Holly Brenize – Sheep and Goats ............................................................................................................. (202) 720-0585

Ryan Cowen – Cattle, Cattle on Feed ....................................................................................................... (202) 720-3040

Mike Miller – Milk Production and Milk Cows ....................................................................................... (202) 720-3278

Suzanne Richards – Dairy Products ......................................................................................................... (202) 720-4448

Seth Riggins – Hogs and Pigs .................................................................................................................. (202) 720-3106

Access to NASS Reports

For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways:

All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: www.nass.usda.gov

Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e-mail subscription. To set-up this free subscription, visit www.nass.usda.gov and click on “National” or “State” in upper right corner above “search”

box to create an account and select the reports you would like to receive.

Cornell’s Mann Library has launched a new website housing NASS’s and other agencies archived reports. The new website, https://usda.library.cornell.edu. All email subscriptions containing reports will be sent from the new

website, https://usda.library.cornell.edu. To continue receiving the reports via e-mail, you will have to go to the

new website, create a new account and re-subscribe to the reports. If you need instructions to set up an account or

subscribe, they are located at: https://usda.library.cornell.edu/help. You should whitelist notifications@usda-

esmis.library.cornell.edu in your email client to avoid the emails going into spam/junk folders.

For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural Statistics Hotline at (800) 727-9540,

7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: [email protected].

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination against its customers, employees, and applicants for

employment on the basis of race, color, national origin, age, disability, sex, gender identity, religion, reprisal, and where

applicable, political beliefs, marital status, familial or parental status, sexual orientation, or all or part of an individual's

income is derived from any public assistance program, or protected genetic information in employment or in any program

or activity conducted or funded by the Department. (Not all prohibited bases will apply to all programs and/or

employment activities.)

If you wish to file a Civil Rights program complaint of discrimination, complete the USDA Program Discrimination

Complaint Form (PDF), found online at www.ascr.usda.gov/filing-program-discrimination-complaint-usda-customer, or

at any USDA office, or call (866) 632-9992 to request the form. You may also write a letter containing all of the

information requested in the form. Send your completed complaint form or letter to us by mail at U.S. Department of

Agriculture, Director, Office of Adjudication, 1400 Independence Avenue, S.W., Washington, D.C. 20250-9410, by fax

(202) 690-7442 or email at [email protected].

https://www.nass.usda.gov/https://www.nass.usda.gov/https://usda.library.cornell.edu/https://usda.library.cornell.edu/https://usda.library.cornell.edu/helpmailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]://www.ocio.usda.gov/sites/default/files/docs/2012/Complain_combined_6_8_12.pdfhttp://www.ocio.usda.gov/sites/default/files/docs/2012/Complain_combined_6_8_12.pdfhttp://www.ascr.usda.gov/filing-program-discrimination-complaint-usda-customermailto:[email protected]

USDA NASS Data Users’ Meeting

Virtual Meeting Wednesday, October 28, 2020

USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service will hold a virtual meeting for users of U.S. domestic and

international agriculture data. NASS is organizing the 2020 Fall Data Users’ Meeting in cooperation with five

other USDA agencies – Agricultural Marketing Service, Economic Research Service, Farm Service Agency,

Foreign Agricultural Service, and World Agricultural Outlook Board – and the Census Bureau’s Foreign Trade

Division. Agency representatives will answer questions and welcome comments and input from data users.

Registration details will be coming soon.

Documents

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 09/24/20202 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2020) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service United States hog producers intend to have 3.12 million