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Quarterly Hogs and Pigs
ISSN: 1949-1921
Released March 25, 2016, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of
Agriculture (USDA).
United States Hog Inventory Up Slightly United States inventory of all hogs and pigs on March 1, 2016 was 67.6 million head. This was up slightly from
March 1, 2015, but down 1 percent from December 1, 2015.
Breeding inventory, at 5.98 million head, was down slightly from last year, and down slightly from the previous quarter.
Market hog inventory, at 61.7 million head, was up slightly from last year, but down 1 percent from last quarter.
The December 2015-February 2016 pig crop, at 29.6 million head, was down slightly from 2015. Sows farrowing
during this period totaled 2.87 million head, down 1 percent from 2015. The sows farrowed during this quarter
represented 48 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was a record high 10.30 for the December-
February period, compared to 10.23 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 8.00 for operations
with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 10.40 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs.
58
60
62
64
66
68
70
72
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Million head
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Inventory –United States: March 1
2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2016) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
United States hog producers intend to have 2.84 million sows farrow during the March-May 2016 quarter, down
1 percent from the actual farrowings during the same period in 2015, but up 1 percent from 2014. Intended farrowings for
June-August 2016, at 2.91 million sows, are down 3 percent from 2015, and down 3 percent from 2014.
The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted
for 46 percent of the total United States hog inventory, unchanged from last year.
Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for March 2015 through December 2015 were reviewed using final pig crop, official
slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. The net revision made to the June 2015 all hogs and pigs
inventory was 0.4 percent. The net revision made to the September 2015 all hogs and pigs inventory was 1.2 percent. The
net revision made to the June-August 2015 pig crop was 2.5 percent. A revision of 0.1 percent was made to the December
2015 all hogs and pigs inventory.
This report was approved on March 25, 2016.
Secretary of Agriculture
Designate
Lanon Baccam
Agricultural Statistics Board
Chairperson
James M. Harris
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2016) 3 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Contents
Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter – United States: 2015 and 2016 ......................................... 4
Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter – United States: 2014-2016 .......................................................................... 5
Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation – United States: 2015 and 2016 .................................................................................... 5
Quarterly Litter Rate – United States ...................................................................................................................................... 6
Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation – United States: December 2015-February 2016 .......................................................... 6
Quarterly Sows Farrowed – United States .............................................................................................................................. 7
Quarterly Pig Crop – United States ......................................................................................................................................... 7
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: March 1, 2015 and 2016 ............................................... 8
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: March 1, 2015 and 2016 .................................................... 8
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: June 1, 2014 and 2015 .................................................. 9
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: June 1, 2014 and 2015 ....................................................... 9
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: September 1, 2014 and 2015 ...................................... 10
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: September 1, 2014 and 2015 ........................................... 10
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: December 1, 2014 and 2015 ....................................... 11
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: December 1, 2014 and 2015 ............................................ 11
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: December-February 2015 and 2016 ............... 12
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: March-May 2014-2016 .................................. 12
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: June-August 2014-2016 ................................. 13
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States:
September-November 2014 and 2015 ................................................................................................................................... 13
Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – United States: December-November 2015 and 2016 ............... 14
Statistical Methodology ........................................................................................................................................................ 14
Reliability of March 1 Hog Estimates ................................................................................................................................... 15
Information Contacts ............................................................................................................................................................ 15
4 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2016) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter – United States: 2015 and 2016 [May not add due to rounding. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
Item 2015 2016 2016 as percent of 2015
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
March 1 inventory All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................ June 1 inventory All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................ September 1 inventory All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................ December 1 inventory All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................
67,399 5,982
61,418
19,454 17,129 13,580 11,255
67,165 5,926
61,240
19,365 17,461 12,985 11,429
69,185 5,986
63,200
20,741 18,496 12,855 11,108
68,389 6,002
62,387
19,508 17,282 13,340 12,256
67,644 5,980
61,664
19,382 17,263 13,744 11,274
100 100 100
100 101 101 100
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2016) 5 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter – United States: 2014-2016 [December preceding year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
Item 2014 2015 2016 2016 as percent of
2014 2015
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (percent)
Sows farrowing December-February ......................... March-May 1 .................................... December-May 2 3 ............................ June-August 1 .................................. September-November ...................... June-November 3 ............................. Pig crop December-February ......................... March-May ....................................... December-May 3 .............................. June-August .................................... September-November ...................... June-November 3 .............................
2,763 2,810 5,573
2,991 2,994 5,985
26,326 27,495 53,821
30,402 30,633 61,035
2,895 2,854 5,749
3,017 2,875 5,892
29,627 29,593 59,219
31,343 30,271 61,614
2,873 2,839 5,712
2,912
29,582
104 101 102
97
112
99 99 99
97
100
(number) (number) (number) (percent) (percent)
Pigs per litter December-February ......................... March-May ....................................... December-May ................................ June-August .................................... September-November ...................... June-November ...............................
9.53 9.78 9.66
10.16 10.23 10.20
10.23 10.37 10.30
10.39 10.53 10.46
10.30
108
101
1 Intentions for 2016. 2 Actual farrowings for December 2015-February 2016 plus intentions for March-May 2016. 3 May not add due to rounding.
Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation – United States: 2015 and 2016 [December preceding year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
Pig crop
Pigs per litter on operations having 1
1-99 head
100-499 head
500-999 head
1,000-1,999 head
2,000-4,999 head
5,000+ head
(number) (number) (number) (number) (number) (number)
2015 December-February ....................... March-May ..................................... June-August .................................. September-November .................... 2016 December-February ....................... March-May ..................................... June-August .................................. September-November ....................
7.90 8.00 8.00 8.20
8.00
8.60 8.70 8.70 8.90
8.70
9.00 9.10 9.10 9.30
9.10
9.40 9.50 9.50 9.70
9.50
10.00 10.10 10.10 10.30
10.10
10.30 10.40 10.40 10.60
10.40
1 Pigs per litter rounded to the nearest tenth.
6 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2016) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
9.00
9.20
9.40
9.60
9.80
10.00
10.20
10.40
10.60
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Number head
Quarterly Litter Rate – United States
10.30
8.00
8.70
9.10
9.50
10.10
10.40
7.00
7.50
8.00
8.50
9.00
9.50
10.00
10.50
All 1-99 100-499 500-999 1,000-1,999 2,000-4,999 5,000+
Number head
Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation –United States: December 2015-February 2016
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2016) 7 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
2.7
2.8
2.9
3.0
3.1
3.2
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Million head
Quarterly Sows Farrowed – United States
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Million head
Quarterly Pig Crop – United States
8 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2016) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: March 1, 2015 and 2016 [May not add due to rounding]
State
Breeding Market Total
2015 2016 2016 as percent of 2015
2015 2016 2016 as percent of 2015
2015 2016 2016 as percent of 2015
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
Colorado ...................... Illinois ........................... Indiana ......................... Iowa ............................. Kansas ......................... Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina .............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas ........................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............
140 490 280
1,030 175 110 570 400 420 890
180 440 100 165 100 75
417
5,982
150 500 260 980 175 110 560 385 420 880
185 480 110 190 110 75
410
5,980
107 102 93 95
100 100 98 96
100 99
103 109 110 115 110 100
98
100
570 4,260 3,470
19,770 1,685 1,030 7,430 2,500 2,730 7,710
2,150 1,750 1,040 1,145
820 595
2,763
61,418
540 4,600 3,440
19,220 1,755 1,050 7,390 2,565 2,930 7,820
2,415 1,650 1,020 1,210
740 585
2,734
61,664
95 108 99 97
104 102 99
103 107 101
112 94 98
106 90 98
99
100
710 4,750 3,750
20,800 1,860 1,140 8,000 2,900 3,150 8,600
2,330 2,190 1,140 1,310
920 670
3,179
67,399
690 5,100 3,700
20,200 1,930 1,160 7,950 2,950 3,350 8,700
2,600 2,130 1,130 1,400
850 660
3,144
67,644
97 107 99 97
104 102 99
102 106 101
112 97 99
107 92 99
99
100
1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: March 1, 2015 and 2016 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]
State
Under 50 pounds
50-119 pounds
120-179 pounds
180 pounds and over
2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)
Colorado ........................ Illinois ............................. Indiana ........................... Iowa ............................... Kansas ........................... Michigan ........................ Minnesota ...................... Missouri ......................... Nebraska ....................... North Carolina ................ Ohio ............................... Oklahoma ...................... Pennsylvania ................. South Dakota ................. Texas ............................. Utah ............................... Other States 1 ................ United States .................
280 1,330
990 5,030
445 295
2,600 1,250
870 2,800
660 740 265 375 230 265
1,029
19,454
250 1,450
990 4,720
480 280
2,500 1,200
930 3,080
730 670 265 420 180 255
982
19,382
100 1,260
970 6,410
415 235
2,050 505 780
1,810
630 370 340 305 215 105
629
17,129
100 1,370
980 6,100
475 270
2,280 535 800
1,730
690 345 320 330 205 110
623
17,263
90 890 710
4,940 335 260
1,550 380 615
1,640
510 270 240 250 200 120
580
13,580
90 920 730
4,820 370 260
1,530 420 660
1,710
585 310 270 240 150 120
559
13,744
100 780 800
3,390 490 240
1,230 365 465
1,460
350 370 195 215 175 105
525
11,255
100 860 740
3,580 430 240
1,080 410 540
1,300
410 325 165 220 205 100
569
11,274
1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2016) 9 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: June 1, 2014 and 2015 [May not add due to rounding]
State
Breeding Market Total
2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
Colorado ...................... Illinois .......................... Indiana ........................ Iowa ............................. Kansas ........................ Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina ............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas .......................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............
160 490 270
1,000 170 110 570 380 390 860
165 430 100 175 100 75
410
5,855
145 490 270
1,000 180 110 550 395 410 880
185 440 105 170 105 75
416
5,926
91 100 100 100 106 100 96
104 105 102
112 102 105 97
105 100
102
101
530 3,810 3,230
18,100 1,470
880 7,080 2,070 2,610 6,740
1,805 1,460 1,010 1,035
570 645
2,668
55,713
555 4,160 3,380
20,000 1,690
990 7,600 2,505 2,790 7,120
2,195 1,790 1,065 1,150
775 645
2,830
61,240
105 109 105 110 115 113 107 121 107 106
122 123 105 111 136 100
106
110
690 4,300 3,500
19,100 1,640
990 7,650 2,450 3,000 7,600
1,970 1,890 1,110 1,210
670 720
3,078
61,568
700 4,650 3,650
21,000 1,870 1,100 8,150 2,900 3,200 8,000
2,380 2,230 1,170 1,320
880 720
3,245
67,165
101 108 104 110 114 111 107 118 107 105
121 118 105 109 131 100
105
109
1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: June 1, 2014 and 2015 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]
State
Under 50 pounds
50-119 pounds
120-179 pounds
180 pounds and over
2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)
Colorado ........................ Illinois ............................ Indiana .......................... Iowa ............................... Kansas .......................... Michigan ........................ Minnesota ...................... Missouri ......................... Nebraska ....................... North Carolina ............... Ohio ............................... Oklahoma ...................... Pennsylvania ................. South Dakota ................. Texas ............................ Utah ............................... Other States 1 ................ United States .................
275 1,220
890 4,890
410 270
2,580 1,005
840 2,750
530 620 275 345 130 270
954
18,254
270 1,250
940 5,070
430 275
2,570 1,245
860 2,830
630 740 290 405 230 280
1,050
19,365
105 1,160
980 5,640
360 210
2,150 405 770
1,590
570 350 340 265 145 130
631
15,801
125 1,240 1,000 6,410
505 255
2,300 485 765
1,650
660 380 345 320 205 130
686
17,461
70 770 580
4,470 260 200
1,290 315 510
1,230
440 180 190 205 140 115
526
11,491
80 890 670
4,820 345 240
1,540 370 630
1,320
535 290 230 220 145 115
545
12,985
80 660 780
3,100 440 200
1,060 345 490
1,170
265 310 205 220 155 130
556
10,166
80 780 770
3,700 410 220
1,190 405 535
1,320
370 380 200 205 195 120
549
11,429
1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
10 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2016) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: September 1, 2014 and 2015 [May not add due to rounding]
State
Breeding Market Total
2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
Colorado ...................... Illinois ........................... Indiana ......................... Iowa ............................. Kansas ......................... Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina .............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas ........................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............
155 510 280
1,030 170 110 550 390 390 870
170 430 100 175 100 75
415
5,920
145 500 280
1,000 180 110 560 400 410 880
185 470 100 170 105 75
416
5,986
94 98
100 97
106 100 102 103 105 101
109 109 100 97
105 100
100
101
555 4,140 3,320
19,770 1,660
920 7,200 2,460 2,710 7,530
1,910 1,620 1,060 1,095
670 645
2,794
60,059
615 4,300 3,570
20,500 1,780 1,000 7,390 2,700 2,840 7,920
2,235 1,770 1,090 1,170
765 675
2,880
63,200
111 104 108 104 107 109 103 110 105 105
117 109 103 107 114 105
103
105
710 4,650 3,600
20,800 1,830 1,030 7,750 2,850 3,100 8,400
2,080 2,050 1,160 1,270
770 720
3,209
65,979
760 4,800 3,850
21,500 1,960 1,110 7,950 3,100 3,250 8,800
2,420 2,240 1,190 1,340
870 750
3,295
69,185
107 103 107 103 107 108 103 109 105 105
116 109 103 106 113 104
103
105
1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: September 1, 2014 and 2015 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]
State
Under 50 pounds
50-119 pounds
120-179 pounds
180 pounds and over
2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)
Colorado ........................... Illinois ................................ Indiana .............................. Iowa .................................. Kansas .............................. Michigan ........................... Minnesota ......................... Missouri ............................ Nebraska .......................... North Carolina ................... Ohio .................................. Oklahoma ......................... Pennsylvania .................... South Dakota .................... Texas ................................ Utah .................................. Other States 1 ................... United States ....................
310 1,270 1,040 5,510
485 290
2,610 1,270
940 3,110
560 720 265 380 210 300
1,120
20,390
310 1,370 1,040 5,440
490 305
2,600 1,295
910 3,260
660 805 285 435 190 280
1,066
20,741
105 1,280
960 6,470
500 225
2,190 470 800
1,820
600 390 370 305 190 130
653
17,458
120 1,330 1,050 6,700
505 250
2,250 590 810
2,000
700 430 380 315 215 140
711
18,496
85 830 620
4,470 315 205
1,400 360 505
1,430
460 220 225 200 140 115
532
12,112
80 810 720
4,880 305 215
1,390 400 590
1,410
505 260 225 205 180 130
550
12,855
55 760 700
3,320 360 200
1,000 360 465
1,170
290 290 200 210 130 100
488
10,098
105 790 760
3,480 480 230
1,150 415 530
1,250
370 275 200 215 180 125
553
11,108
1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2016) 11 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: December 1, 2014 and 2015 [May not add due to rounding]
State
Breeding Market Total
2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
Colorado ................... Illinois ....................... Indiana ..................... Iowa .......................... Kansas ..................... Michigan ................... Minnesota ................. Missouri .................... Nebraska .................. North Carolina .......... Ohio .......................... Oklahoma ................. Pennsylvania ............ South Dakota ............ Texas ....................... Utah .......................... Other States 1 ........... United States ............
150 500 290
1,010 180 110 560 400 400 880
170 440 100 160 100 75
414
5,939
145 490 270
1,030 175 110 560 395 420 870
190 470 100 175 105 75
422
6,002
97 98 93
102 97
100 100 99
105 99
112 107 100 109 105 100
102
101
550 4,200 3,410
20,290 1,660 1,060 7,540 2,450 2,800 7,920
2,060 1,680 1,040 1,110
710 535
2,823
61,838
555 4,560 3,480
19,770 1,765 1,010 7,440 2,605 2,880 7,930
2,300 1,630 1,060 1,185
755 595
2,867
62,387
101 109 102 97
106 95 99
106 103 100
112 97
102 107 106 111
102
101
700 4,700 3,700
21,300 1,840 1,170 8,100 2,850 3,200 8,800
2,230 2,120 1,140 1,270
810 610
3,236
67,776
700 5,050 3,750
20,800 1,940 1,120 8,000 3,000 3,300 8,800
2,490 2,100 1,160 1,360
860 670
3,289
68,389
100 107 101 98
105 96 99
105 103 100
112 99
102 107 106 110
102
101
1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: December 1, 2014 and 2015 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]
State
Under 50 pounds
50-119 pounds
120-179 pounds
180 pounds and over
2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)
Colorado ............................ Illinois ................................ Indiana .............................. Iowa ................................... Kansas .............................. Michigan ............................ Minnesota .......................... Missouri ............................. Nebraska ........................... North Carolina ................... Ohio ................................... Oklahoma .......................... Pennsylvania ..................... South Dakota ..................... Texas ................................ Utah ................................... Other States 1 .................... United States .....................
265 1,360 1,040 5,310
445 310
2,650 1,170
950 3,010
590 660 265 380 175 220
1,001
19,801
240 1,390 1,000 5,100
430 275
2,560 1,240
950 2,950
610 690 255 405 205 235
973
19,508
125 1,180
950 6,500
415 245
2,200 470 840
1,830
600 420 340 285 170 110
686
17,366
120 1,330
920 6,300
405 250
2,200 525 750
1,880
620 345 335 320 205 115
662
17,282
80 800 660
4,740 340 250
1,520 380 535
1,580
530 290 225 220 150 110
590
13,000
90 910 730
4,660 410 240
1,470 400 580
1,590
620 260 270 215 165 125
605
13,340
80 860 760
3,740 460 255
1,170 430 475
1,500
340 310 210 225 215 95
546
11,671
105 930 830
3,710 520 245
1,210 440 600
1,510
450 335 200 245 180 120
626
12,256
1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
12 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2016) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: December-February 2015 and 2016 [December preceding year. May not add due to rounding]
State
Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1
2015 2016 2016 as percent of 2015
2015 2016 2015 2016 2016 as percent of 2015
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
Colorado ........................... Illinois ................................ Indiana .............................. Iowa .................................. Kansas .............................. Michigan ........................... Minnesota ......................... Missouri ............................ Nebraska .......................... North Carolina ................... Ohio .................................. Oklahoma ......................... Pennsylvania .................... South Dakota .................... Texas ................................ Utah .................................. Other States 2 ................... United States ....................
69 245 140 510 88 52
285 205 170 445
88
195 46 85 43 35
194
2,895
74 245 135 490 89 50
270 190 170 455
90
195 48 95 45 38
194
2,873
107 100 96 96
101 96 95 93
100 102
102 100 104 112 105 109
100
99
9.80 10.20 10.10 10.70 10.00 10.50 11.00 9.80
11.00 9.50
10.45 10.15 10.20 10.80 9.05 8.70
9.96
10.23
9.75 10.35 10.20 10.70 10.20 10.60 11.10 9.65
11.30 9.90
10.10 10.30 10.20 10.75 8.00 8.70
9.76
10.30
676 2,499 1,414 5,457
880 546
3,135 2,009 1,870 4,228
920
1,979 469 918 389 305
1,933
29,627
722 2,536 1,377 5,243
908 530
2,997 1,834 1,921 4,505
909
2,009 490
1,021 360 331
1,889
29,582
107 101 97 96
103 97 96 91
103 107
99
102 104 111 93
109
98
100
1 Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: March-May 2014-2016 [May not add due to rounding]
State
Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1
2014 2015 2016 2 2016 as percent of 2015
2014 2015 2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
Colorado ................... Illinois ........................ Indiana ...................... Iowa .......................... Kansas ...................... Michigan ................... Minnesota ................. Missouri .................... Nebraska .................. North Carolina ........... Ohio .......................... Oklahoma ................. Pennsylvania ............ South Dakota ............ Texas ........................ Utah .......................... Other States 3 ........... United States ............
73 250 125 470 82 52
290 185 170 440
80
185 48 90 43 41
186
2,810
70 230 130 495 84 50
275 200 170 445
89
195 49 86 50 41
195
2,854
72 240 130 490 88 49
275 185 180 440
83
185 49 96 44 39
194
2,839
103 104 100 99
105 98
100 93
106 99
93 95
100 112 88 95
100
99
9.30 9.90 9.25
10.60 9.25 8.90
10.60 8.90
10.50 8.70
9.50 9.60
10.30 10.70 9.40
10.50
9.78
9.78
10.00 10.50 10.50 10.60 9.95
10.70 11.05 10.40 11.20 9.30
10.60 10.35 10.30 10.95 9.50 9.80
10.52
10.37
679 2,475 1,156 4,982
759 463
3,074 1,647 1,785 3,828
760
1,776 494 963 404 431
1,819
27,495
700 2,415 1,365 5,247
836 535
3,039 2,080 1,904 4,139
943
2,018 505 942 475 402
2,048
29,593
103 98
118 105 110 116 99
126 107 108
124 114 102 98
118 93
113
108
1 Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 2 Intentions 3 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2016) 13 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: June-August 2014-2016 [May not add due to rounding]
State
Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1
2014 2015 2016 2 2016 as percent of 2015
2014 2015 2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
Colorado .................... Illinois ........................ Indiana ...................... Iowa ........................... Kansas ...................... Michigan .................... Minnesota .................. Missouri ..................... Nebraska ................... North Carolina ........... Ohio ........................... Oklahoma .................. Pennsylvania ............. South Dakota ............. Texas ........................ Utah ........................... Other States 3 ............ United States .............
73 260 145 530 85 51
290 205 175 470
86
200 49 89 44 42
197
2,991
71 260 145 510 90 52
305 215 180 470
92
195 49 91 49 43
200
3,017
72 245 130 490 91 52
290 205 180 445
90
190 50 96 48 36
202
2,912
101 94 90 96
101 100 95 95
100 95
98 97
102 105 98 84
101
97
9.45 10.20 9.80
10.70 9.90
10.10 10.85 9.80
10.90 9.50
10.00 9.70
10.10 10.65 9.90
10.40
9.97
10.16
10.10 10.15 10.60 10.80 10.30 11.00 11.15 9.85
11.10 9.70
10.50 10.40 10.40 10.85 9.00 9.60
10.12
10.39
690 2,652 1,421 5,671
842 515
3,147 2,009 1,908 4,465
860
1,940 495 948 436 437
1,966
30,402
717 2,639 1,537 5,508
927 572
3,401 2,118 1,998 4,559
966
2,028 510 987 441 413
2,022
31,343
104 100 108 97
110 111 108 105 105 102
112 105 103 104 101 95
103
103
1 Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 2 Intentions. 3 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: September-November 2014 and 2015 [May not add due to rounding]
State
Sows Farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1
2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
2014 2015 2014 2015 2015 as percent of 2014
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
Colorado ....................... Illinois ........................... Indiana ......................... Iowa .............................. Kansas ......................... Michigan ....................... Minnesota ..................... Missouri ........................ Nebraska ...................... North Carolina .............. Ohio .............................. Oklahoma ..................... Pennsylvania ................ South Dakota ................ Texas ........................... Utah .............................. Other States 2 ............... United States ................
71 255 150 510 87 53
305 210 180 460
92
195 48 86 50 39
203
2,994
68 230 135 510 84 50
280 190 175 450
90
195 45 89 45 38
201
2,875
96 90 90
100 97 94 92 90 97 98
98
100 94
103 90 97
99
96
9.70 10.25 10.20 10.70 10.30 10.20 10.95 9.50
11.00 10.00
10.35 10.20 10.30 10.85 8.40 6.70
9.59
10.23
9.95 10.35 10.40 11.00 10.40 10.70 11.10 10.40 11.15 10.15
10.50 10.40 10.40 10.85 9.40 9.50
9.92
10.53
689 2,614 1,530 5,457
896 541
3,340 1,995 1,980 4,600
952
1,989 494 933 420 261
1,942
30,633
677 2,381 1,404 5,610
874 535
3,108 1,976 1,951 4,568
945
2,028 468 966 423 361
1,996
30,271
98 91 92
103 98 99 93 99 99 99
99
102 95
104 101 138
103
99
1 Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
14 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2016) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – United States: December-November 2015 and 2016 [December preceding year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
Month Sows farrowing 1 Pigs per litter Pig crop 1
2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)
December ....................... January ........................... February ......................... March .............................. April ................................ May ................................. June ................................ July ................................. August ............................ September ...................... October ........................... November ....................... Total ...............................
962 974 960 966 944 943
1,017 997
1,003 991 957 927
11,641
957 975 940
10.32 10.16 10.22 10.38 10.40 10.33 10.35 10.39 10.42 10.44 10.59 10.55
10.38
10.35 10.29 10.25
9,923 9,895 9,809
10,031 9,817 9,745
10,528 10,359 10,456 10,351 10,135 9,786
120,834
9,907 10,034 9,641
1 Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding.
Statistical Methodology
Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 8,150 United States producers was surveyed to provide data for these
estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the
survey. Large operations were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of March 2016, data were
collected from about 5,900 operations, 72 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by electronic data
reporting (EDR), mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they
were asked to report inventories as of March 1, 2016.
Estimating Procedures: Hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing
recommendations and analysis submitted by each field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for
reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with
the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports,
and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for
reasonableness.
Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the
previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of
the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter.
Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are
available. No revisions will be made after that date.
Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling
variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in
reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized
through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for
consistency and reasonableness.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2016) 15 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for
selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance
and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory
estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.4 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be
above or below the current estimate of 67.6 million head by more than 1.4 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the
difference will not exceed 2.4 percent.
Reliability of March 1 Hog Estimates [Based on data for the previous twenty quarters]
Item Root mean
square error
90 percent confidence
level
Difference between first and latest estimate
Average Smallest Largest Years
Below latest Above latest
(percent) (percent) (1,000) (1,000) (1,000) (number) (number)
All hogs and pigs ............................ Pig crop .......................................... Expected farrowings Next quarter ................................ Following quarter ........................
1.4
2.3
2.8
3.0
2.4
4.0
4.8
5.2
737
542
69
74
90
0
10
11
1,726
1,260
167
197
11
12
11
10
9
8
9
10
Information Contacts
Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to
contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to [email protected].
Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch .......................................................................................................... (202) 720-3570
Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section ........................................................................................................... (202) 690-2424
Sherry Bertramsen – Livestock Slaughter ................................................................................................ (202) 720-3240
Doug Bounds – Hogs and Pigs ................................................................................................................. (202) 720-3106
David Colwell – Sheep and Goats ............................................................................................................ (202) 720-8784
Donnie Fike – Dairy Products .................................................................................................................. (202) 690-3236
Michael Klamm – Cattle, Cattle on Feed ................................................................................................. (202) 720-3040
Mike Miller – Milk Production and Milk Cows ....................................................................................... (202) 720-3278
Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways:
All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: http://www.nass.usda.gov
Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e-mail subscription. To set-up this free
subscription, visit http://www.nass.usda.gov and click on “National” or “State” in upper right corner above
“search” box to create an account and select the reports you would like to receive.
For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural Statistics Hotline at (800) 727-9540,
7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: [email protected].
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If you wish to file a Civil Rights program complaint of discrimination, complete the USDA Program Discrimination
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