18
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs ISSN: 1949-1921 Released December 27, 2013, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). United States Hog Inventory Down 1 Percent United States inventory of all hogs and pigs on December 1, 2013 was 65.9 million head. This was down 1 percent from December 1, 2012, and down 2 percent from September 1, 2013. Breeding inventory, at 5.76 million head, was down 1 percent from last year, and down 1 percent from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 60.2 million head, was down 1 percent from last year, and down 2 percent from last quarter. The September-November 2013 pig crop, at 29.3 million head, was down slightly from 2012. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.88 million head, down slightly from 2012. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 50 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was a record high 10.16 for the September-November period, compared to 10.15 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 8.00 for operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 10.20 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. 56 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Million head Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Inventory United States: December 1

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/27/2013 · 27/12/2013  · United States hog producers intend to have 2.83 million sows farrow during the December 2013-February 2014 quarter, up 1 percent

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Page 1: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/27/2013 · 27/12/2013  · United States hog producers intend to have 2.83 million sows farrow during the December 2013-February 2014 quarter, up 1 percent

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs

ISSN: 1949-1921

Released December 27, 2013, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States

Department of Agriculture (USDA).

United States Hog Inventory Down 1 Percent United States inventory of all hogs and pigs on December 1, 2013 was 65.9 million head. This was down 1 percent from

December 1, 2012, and down 2 percent from September 1, 2013.

Breeding inventory, at 5.76 million head, was down 1 percent from last year, and down 1 percent from the previous

quarter.

Market hog inventory, at 60.2 million head, was down 1 percent from last year, and down 2 percent from last quarter.

The September-November 2013 pig crop, at 29.3 million head, was down slightly from 2012. Sows farrowing during

this period totaled 2.88 million head, down slightly from 2012. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 50

percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was a record high 10.16 for the September-November

period, compared to 10.15 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 8.00 for operations with 1-99

hogs and pigs to 10.20 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs.

56

58

60

62

64

66

68

70

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Million head

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Inventory – United States: December 1

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2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2013) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

United States hog producers intend to have 2.83 million sows farrow during the December 2013-February 2014 quarter,

up 1 percent from the actual farrowings during the same period in 2013, and up slightly from 2012. Intended farrowings

for March-May 2014, at 2.86 million sows, are up 1 percent from 2013, but down 3 percent from 2012.

The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted

for 48 percent of the total United States hog inventory, up from 47 percent last year.

Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for March 2012 through September 2013 were reviewed using final pig crop, official

slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. Based on the findings of this review, an adjustment of less than

one half of one percent was made to the March 2012 total inventory and an adjustment of less than two and one half

percent was made to the December 2011-February 2012 pig crop. An adjustment of less than one and one half percent was

made to the June 2012 total inventory and an adjustment of less than one and one half percent was made to the March-

May 2012 pig crop.

An adjustment of less than one and one half percent was made to the March 2013 total inventory and an adjustment of less

than three and one half percent was made to the December 2012-February 2013 pig crop. An adjustment of less than two

and one half percent was made to the June 2013 total inventory. An adjustment of less than two percent was made to the

September 2013 total inventory. An adjustment of more than three and one half percent was made to the March-May 2013

pig crop.

This report was approved on December 27, 2013.

Acting Secretary of

Agriculture

Joseph W. Glauber

Agricultural Statistics Board

Chairperson

Hubert Hamer

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Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2013) 3 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Contents

Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter – United States: 2012 and 2013 ......................................... 4

Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter – United States: 2012-2014 .......................................................................... 5

Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation – United States: 2012 and 2013 .................................................................................... 5

Quarterly Litter Rate – United States ...................................................................................................................................... 6

Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation – United States: September-November 2013 ................................................................ 6

Quarterly Sows Farrowed – United States .............................................................................................................................. 7

Quarterly Pig Crop – United States ......................................................................................................................................... 7

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: December 1, 2012 and 2013 ......................................... 8

Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: December 1, 2012 and 2013 ...................... 9

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: March 1, 2012 and 2013 ............................................. 10

Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: March 1, 2012 and 2013 .......................... 10

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: June 1, 2012 and 2013 ................................................ 11

Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: June 1, 2012 and 2013 ............................. 11

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: September 1, 2012 and 2013 ...................................... 12

Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: September 1, 2012 and 2013 ................... 12

Annual Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States:

December-November 2012 and 2013 ................................................................................................................................... 13

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: December-February 2012-2014 ..................... 14

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: March-May 2012-2014 .................................. 14

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: June-August 2012 and 2013 ........................... 15

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States:

September-November 2012 and 2013 ................................................................................................................................... 15

Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – United States: December-November 2012 and 2013 ............... 16

Statistical Methodology ........................................................................................................................................................ 17

Reliability of December 1 Hog Estimates ............................................................................................................................. 17

Information Contacts ............................................................................................................................................................ 18

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4 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2013) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter – United States: 2012 and 2013

Item 2012 2013 2013 as percent of 2012

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

March 1 inventory 1 All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................ June 1 inventory 1 All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................ September 1 inventory 1 All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................ December 1 inventory 1 All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................

64,787 5,820

58,967

18,935 16,209 13,005 10,818

66,609 5,862

60,747

19,756 18,034 12,253 10,704

68,172 5,788

62,384

19,900 17,899 13,090 11,495

66,374 5,819

60,555

19,299 16,752 12,634 11,871

65,072

5,836 59,236

18,852 16,251 13,169 10,965

65,088 5,884

59,204

19,135 17,078 12,314 10,678

67,226 5,816

61,410

20,084 18,088 12,584 10,655

65,940 5,757

60,183

19,049 16,669 12,626 11,838

100 100 100

100 100 101 101

98 100 97

97 95

100 100

99 100 98

101 101 96 93

99 99 99

99 100 100 100

1 May not add due to rounding.

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Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2013) 5 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter – United States: 2012-2014 [May not add due to rounding. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]

Item 2012 2013 2014 2013 as percent of 2012

2014 as percent of 2013

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (percent)

Sows farrowing December-February 1 2 ................... March-May 2 ................................... December-May 1 ............................. June-August ................................... September-November ..................... June-November .............................. Pig crop December-February 1 ..................... March-May ...................................... December-May 1 ............................. June-August ................................... September-November ..................... June-November ..............................

2,813 2,952 5,766

2,928 2,888 5,817

28,038 29,780 57,818

29,654 29,319 58,973

2,788 2,816 5,605

2,925 2,882 5,807

28,099 29,026 57,125

30,216 29,298 59,514

2,825 2,855 5,681

99 95 97

100 100 100

100 97 99

102 100 101

101 101 101

(number) (number) (number) (percent) (percent)

Pigs per litter December-February 1 ..................... March-May ...................................... December-May 1 ............................. June-August ................................... September-November ..................... June-November ..............................

9.97

10.09 10.03

10.13 10.15 10.14

10.08 10.31 10.19

10.33 10.16 10.25

101 102 102

102 100 101

1 December preceding year. 2 Intentions for 2014.

Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation – United States: 2012 and 2013

Pig crop

Pigs per litter on operations having 1

1-99 head

100-499 head

500-999 head

1,000-1,999 head

2,000-4,999 head

5,000+ head

(number) (number) (number) (number) (number) (number)

2012 December-February 2 .................... March-May ..................................... June-August .................................. September-November .................... 2013 December-February 2 .................... March-May ..................................... June-August .................................. September-November ....................

7.30 7.50 7.60 7.60

7.50 7.70 7.80 8.00

8.20 8.40 8.40 8.40

8.30 8.60 8.70 8.80

8.80 9.00 9.00 9.00

8.90 9.20 9.30 9.10

9.20 9.40 9.40 9.50

9.40 9.70 9.70 9.50

9.80

10.00 10.00 10.00

9.90 10.20 10.20 10.10

10.00 10.20 10.20 10.20

10.10 10.40 10.40 10.20

1 Pigs per litter rounded to the nearest tenth. 2 December preceding year.

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6 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2013) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

8.80

9.00

9.20

9.40

9.60

9.80

10.00

10.20

10.40

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Number head

Quarterly Litter Rate – United States

10.16

8.00

8.80

9.10

9.50

10.10 10.20

7.00

7.50

8.00

8.50

9.00

9.50

10.00

10.50

All 1-99 100-499 500-999 1,000-1,999 2,000-4,999 5,000+

Number head

Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation – United States: September-November 2013

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Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2013) 7 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

2.7

2.8

2.9

3.0

3.1

3.2

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Million head

Quarterly Sows Farrowed – United States

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Million head

Quarterly Pig Crop – United States

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8 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2013) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: December 1, 2012 and 2013

State

Breeding Market Total

2012 2013 2013 as percent of 2012

2012 2013 2013 as percent of 2012

2012 2013 2013 as percent of 2012

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Alabama ................. Alaska ..................... Arizona ................... Arkansas ................. California ................ Colorado ................. Connecticut ............. Delaware ................ Florida ..................... Georgia ................... Hawaii ..................... Idaho ....................... Illinois ...................... Indiana .................... Iowa ........................ Kansas .................... Kentucky ................. Louisiana ................ Maine ...................... Maryland ................. Massachusetts ........ Michigan ................. Minnesota ............... Mississippi .............. Missouri .................. Montana .................. Nebraska ................ Nevada ................... New Hampshire ...... New Jersey ............. New Mexico ............ New York ................ North Carolina ......... North Dakota ........... Ohio ........................ Oklahoma ............... Oregon .................... Pennsylvania .......... Rhode Island ........... South Carolina ........ South Dakota .......... Tennessee .............. Texas ...................... Utah ........................ Vermont .................. Virginia .................... Washington ............. West Virginia ........... Wisconsin ............... Wyoming ................. Idaho and Washington ........... United States 1 ........

17 0.2

20 63 5

145 0.5 1.0 3.5

23

2.5 (D) 490 280

1,030 170 36 2.0 1.0 2.5

1.5 110 560 52

350 22

380 0.3 0.7 0.7

0.4 8

860 35

165 420

3.0 100

0.4 10

165 16 85 80 0.6 5

(D) 2.0

47 35

12.0

5,819

14 0.2

20 62 4

150 0.7 2.0 3.5

19

3.0 (D) 500 280 970 170

38 2.0 1.0 4.0

1.5 110 550

46 345

24 390

0.5 0.6 0.7

0.5 9

870 35

170 420

1.5 100

0.4 9

165 17 80 75 0.5 4

(D) 1.0

40 35

12.0

5,757

82 100 100 98 80

103 140 200 100 83

120 (D) 102 100 94

100 106 100 100 160

100 100 98 88 99

109 103 167 86

100

125 113 101 100 103 100 50

100 100 90

100 106 94 94 83 80

(D) 50 85

100

100

99

123 0.8

150 47

100 575

2.0 4.0

11.5 132

9.0

(D) 4,110 3,520

19,570 1,730

279 5.0 4.5

15.5

7.5 980

7,090 363

2,400 153

2,620 2.4 2.6 7.3

0.9 61

8,140 100

1,885 1,900

9.5 1,040

1.2 230

1,035

134 735 660

3.3 225 (D)

4.0 273 51

53.0

60,555

71 0.8

155 53 91

540 2.8 4.0

11.5 122

8.5

(D) 4,150 3,470

19,530 1,590

277 6.0 3.5

18.0

7.0 950

7,450 454

2,505 142

2,710 1.5 3.2 8.3

0.7 57

7,830 100

2,050 1,570

7.0 1,010

1.5 236

1,045

158 520 635

2.7 251 (D)

4.0 265 55

50.0

60,183

58 100 103 113 91 94

140 100 100 92

94

(D) 101 99

100 92 99

120 78

116

93 97

105 125 104 93

103 63

123 114

78 93 96

100 109 83 74 97

125 103

101 118 71 96 82

112 (D) 100 97

108

94

99

140 1.0

170 110 105 720

2.5 5.0

15.0 155

11.5

(D) 4,600 3,800

20,600 1,900

315 7.0 5.5

18.0

9.0 1,090 7,650

415 2,750

175 3,000

2.7 3.3 8.0

1.3 69

9,000 135

2,050 2,320

12.5 1,140

1.6 240

1,200

150 820 740

3.9 230 (D)

6.0 320 86

65.0

66,374

85 1.0

175 115 95

690 3.5 6.0

15.0 141

11.5

(D) 4,650 3,750

20,500 1,760

315 8.0 4.5

22.0

8.5 1,060 8,000

500 2,850

166 3,100

2.0 3.8 9.0

1.2 66

8,700 135

2,220 1,990

8.5 1,110

1.9 245

1,210

175 600 710

3.2 255 (D)

5.0 305 90

62.0

65,940

61 100 103 105 90 96

140 120 100 91

100 (D) 101 99

100 93

100 114 82

122

94 97

105 120 104 95

103 74

115 113

92 96 97

100 108 86 68 97

119 102

101 117 73 96 82

111 (D) 83 95

105

95

99

(D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. 1 May not add due to rounding.

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Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2013) 9 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: December 1, 2012 and 2013

State

Under 50 pounds

50-119 pounds

120-179 pounds

180 pounds and over

2012 2013 2012 2013 2012 2013 2012 2013

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)

Alabama ............................ Alaska ............................... Arizona .............................. Arkansas ........................... California ........................... Colorado ............................ Connecticut ....................... Delaware ........................... Florida ............................... Georgia ............................. Hawaii ............................... Idaho ................................. Illinois ................................ Indiana .............................. Iowa ................................... Kansas .............................. Kentucky ............................ Louisiana ........................... Maine ................................ Maryland ............................ Massachusetts ................... Michigan ............................ Minnesota .......................... Mississippi ......................... Missouri ............................. Montana ............................ Nebraska ........................... Nevada .............................. New Hampshire ................. New Jersey ........................ New Mexico ....................... New York ........................... North Carolina ................... North Dakota ..................... Ohio ................................... Oklahoma .......................... Oregon .............................. Pennsylvania ..................... Rhode Island ..................... South Carolina ................... South Dakota ..................... Tennessee ......................... Texas ................................ Utah ................................... Vermont ............................. Virginia .............................. Washington ....................... West Virginia ..................... Wisconsin .......................... Wyoming ........................... Idaho and Washington ..................... United States 1 ...................

53 0.3

60 25 28

270 0.9 2.2 4.0

61

3.6 (D)

1,290 1,040 5,120

500 74 1.0 1.7 6.5

2.9 300

2,430 161

1,045 56

870 0.8 0.7 2.1

0.1 20

3,020 41

645 800

3.0 250

0.4 50

350 31

180 275

1.0 65

(D) 0.5

105 29

23.5

19,299

18 0.3

65 29 24

260 1.0 2.3 4.0

63

3.0 (D)

1,320 1,090 4,950

430 75 2.0 1.7 8.0

2.5 315

2,750 179

1,200 53

880 0.4 0.8 2.0

0.3 22

2,700 46

680 560

2.0 275

0.7 52

355 50

100 270

0.8 60

(D) 1.0

94 29

22.5

19,049

20 0.2

30 7

25 85 0.4 1.1 3.5

18

2.4 (D)

1,200 1,010 6,030

410 73 2.0 1.5 3.5

2.0 210

2,150 87

560 38

720 0.6 0.5 2.0

0.5 14

1,960 25

555 350

2.6 355

0.3 60

290 34

155 130

0.7 55

(D) 1.0

53 5

13.0

16,752

16 0.3

30 8

22 95 0.7 0.9 3.5

19

1.9 (D)

1,240 920

6,130 355 88 2.0 0.8 4.0

2.2 210

2,080 117 500 32

750 0.4 0.7 2.1

0.1 11

1,900 22

600 410

2.0 330

0.4 63

290 33

115 120

0.9 62

(D) 1.0

58 7

12.5

16,669

24 0.1

30 4

23 85 0.5 0.5 2.0

26

1.2 (D) 750 710

4,750 290 60 1.0 0.6 3.5

1.3 230

1,430 59

370 31

550 0.5 0.5 1.1

0.1 13

1,615 15

415 240

2.0 205

0.3 59

190 24

160 125

0.8 50

(D) 1.0

65 7

11.5

12,634

15 0.1

30 6

22 75 0.6 0.5 2.0

21

1.8 (D) 730 650

4,850 310 52 1.0 0.4 3.0

1.1

200 1,440

79 325 29

560 0.2 0.8 2.0

0.1

11 1,630

17 440 265

1.0 190

0.2 61

185 33

130 120

0.5 64

(D) 0.5

53 7

10.5

12,626

26 0.2

30 11 24

135 0.2 0.2 2.0

27

1.8 (D) 870 760

3,670 530 72 1.0 0.7 2.0

1.3 240

1,080 56

425 28

480 0.5 0.9 2.1

0.2 14

1,545 19

270 510

1.9 230

0.2 61

205 45

240 130

0.8 55

(D) 1.5

50 10

5.0

11,871

22 0.1

30 10 23

110 0.5 0.3 2.0

19

1.8 (D) 860 810

3,600 495 62 1.0 0.6 3.0

1.2 225

1,180 79

480 28

520 0.5 0.9 2.2

0.2 13

1,600 15

330 335

2.0 215

0.2 60

215 42

175 125

0.5 65

(D) 1.5

60 12

4.5

11,838

(D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. 1 Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding.

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10 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2013) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: March 1, 2012 and 2013 [May not add due to rounding]

State

Breeding Market Total

2012 2013 2013 as percent of 2012

2012 2013 2013 as percent of 2012

2012 2013 2013 as percent of 2012

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado ...................... Illinois ........................... Indiana ......................... Iowa ............................. Kansas ......................... Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina .............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas ........................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............

150 510 290

1,010 170 110 550 360 390 860

165 410 100 175 90 75

405

5,820

145 490 270

1,020 170 110 570 340 390 870

165 410 100 175 105 80

426

5,836

97 96 93

101 100 100 104 94

100 101

100 100 100 100 117 107

105

100

570 4,140 3,410

18,690 1,640

890 7,000 2,290 2,710 7,740

1,955 1,920

990 1,105

720 635

2,562

58,967

575 4,110 3,280

19,080 1,630

950 7,080 2,410 2,610 7,830

1,935 1,880 1,040

975 605 660

2,586

59,236

101 99 96

102 99

107 101 105 96

101

99 98

105 88 84

104

101

100

720 4,650 3,700

19,700 1,810 1,000 7,550 2,650 3,100 8,600

2,120 2,330 1,090 1,280

810 710

2,967

64,787

720 4,600 3,550

20,100 1,800 1,060 7,650 2,750 3,000 8,700

2,100 2,290 1,140 1,150

710 740

3,012

65,072

100 99 96

102 99

106 101 104 97

101

99 98

105 90 88

104

102

100 1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: March 1, 2012 and 2013 [Weight groups may not add to market hogs and pigs due to rounding]

State

Under 50 pounds

50-119 pounds

120-179 pounds

180 pounds and over

2012 2013 2012 2013 2012 2013 2012 2013

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)

Colorado ........................ Illinois ............................. Indiana ........................... Iowa ............................... Kansas ........................... Michigan ........................ Minnesota ...................... Missouri ......................... Nebraska ....................... North Carolina ................ Ohio ............................... Oklahoma ...................... Pennsylvania ................. South Dakota ................. Texas ............................. Utah ............................... Other States 1 ................ United States .................

265 1,340 1,060 4,880

495 285

2,340 980 860

3,000

680 780 245 360 210 265

890

18,935

275 1,290

960 4,990

460 290

2,370 1,050

860 3,000

650 790 235 325 125 285

897

18,852

100 1,260

910 5,810

345 190

2,150 520 780

1,760

540 370 335 290 140 115

594

16,209

95 1,220

970 5,800

360 215

2,060 535 740

1,880

560 340 340 270 150 120

596

16,251

95 820 720

4,700 280 220

1,570 390 615

1,590

445 270 210 250 145 135

550

13,005

80 810 660

4,900 300 225

1,600 415 580

1,620

460 260 225 200 150 130

554

13,169

110 720 720

3,300 520 195 940 400 455

1,390

290 500 200 205 225 120

528

10,818

125 790 690

3,390 510 220

1,050 410 430

1,330

265 490 240 180 180 125

540

10,965

1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

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Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2013) 11 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: June 1, 2012 and 2013 [May not add due to rounding]

State

Breeding Market Total

2012 2013 2013 as percent of 2012

2012 2013 2013 as percent of 2012

2012 2013 2013 as percent of 2012

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado ...................... Illinois .......................... Indiana ........................ Iowa ............................. Kansas ........................ Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina ............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas .......................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............

150 500 280

1,020 170 110 560 365 385 870

170 410 100 180 100 80

412

5,862

145 500 270

1,030 170 110 580 350 400 870

160 410 100 180 100 75

434

5,884

97 100 96

101 100 100 104 96

104 100

94

100 100 100 100 94

105

100

560 4,200 3,520

19,380 1,620

910 7,340 2,435 2,765 8,030

1,980 1,880 1,010 1,120

770 620

2,607

60,747

565 4,150 3,230

18,970 1,690

890 7,220 2,250 2,600 8,030

1,970 1,830 1,020

960 520 655

2,654

59,204

101 99 92 98

104 98 98 92 94

100

99 97

101 86 68

106

102

97

710 4,700 3,800

20,400 1,790 1,020 7,900 2,800 3,150 8,900

2,150 2,290 1,110 1,300

870 700

3,019

66,609

710 4,650 3,500

20,000 1,860 1,000 7,800 2,600 3,000 8,900

2,130 2,240 1,120 1,140

620 730

3,088

65,088

100 99 92 98

104 98 99 93 95

100

99 98

101 88 71

104

102

98 1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: June 1, 2012 and 2013 [Weight groups may not add to market hogs and pigs due to rounding]

State

Under 50 pounds

50-119 pounds

120-179 pounds

180 pounds and over

2012 2013 2012 2013 2012 2013 2012 2013

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)

Colorado ........................ Illinois ............................ Indiana .......................... Iowa ............................... Kansas .......................... Michigan ........................ Minnesota ...................... Missouri ......................... Nebraska ....................... North Carolina ............... Ohio ............................... Oklahoma ...................... Pennsylvania ................. South Dakota ................. Texas ............................ Utah ............................... Other States 1 ................ United States .................

280 1,320 1,080 5,140

500 280

2,500 1,045

880 3,200

690 800 250 385 200 285

921

19,756

285 1,330 1,010 4,890

480 280

2,540 1,030

850 3,060

625 800 250 335 95

280

995

19,135

95 1,290 1,090 6,370

390 210

2,410 615 870

2,080

585 390 385 315 170 115

654

18,034

85 1,330

990 6,090

385 220

2,300 480 760

2,020

585 350 345 270 125 125

618

17,078

80 790 680

4,630 260 205

1,380 390 555

1,480

420 210 175 225 150 110

513

12,253

80 740 630

4,700 260 180

1,410 340 560

1,600

480 210 205 180 100 125

514

12,314

105 800 670

3,240 470 215

1,050 385 460

1,270

285 480 200 195 250 110

519

10,704

115 750 600

3,290 565 210 970 400 430

1,350

280 470 220 175 200 125

528

10,678

1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

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12 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2013) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: September 1, 2012 and 2013 [May not add due to rounding]

State

Breeding Market Total

2012 2013 2013 as percent of 2012

2012 2013 2013 as percent of 2012

2012 2013 2013 as percent of 2012

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado ...................... Illinois ........................... Indiana ......................... Iowa ............................. Kansas ......................... Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina .............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas ........................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............

150 490 280

1,000 170 110 560 360 380 870

165 410 95

175 90 80

403

5,788

145 500 270

1,000 170 110 550 350 400 880

165 420 100 170 85 80

421

5,816

97 102 96

100 100 100 98 97

105 101

100 102 105 97 94

100

104

100

590 4,210 3,520

19,800 1,730

930 7,590 2,540 2,820 8,530

1,975 1,920 1,025 1,125

770 660

2,649

62,384

555 4,150 3,480

19,900 1,650

950 7,250 2,700 2,700 8,420

1,925 1,790 1,050

980 505 660

2,745

61,410

94 99 99

101 95

102 96

106 96 99

97 93

102 87 66

100

104

98

740 4,700 3,800

20,800 1,900 1,040 8,150 2,900 3,200 9,400

2,140 2,330 1,120 1,300

860 740

3,052

68,172

700 4,650 3,750

20,900 1,820 1,060 7,800 3,050 3,100 9,300

2,090 2,210 1,150 1,150

590 740

3,166

67,226

95 99 99

100 96

102 96

105 97 99

98 95

103 88 69

100

104

99 1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: September 1, 2012 and 2013 [Weight groups may not add to market hogs and pigs due to rounding]

State

Under 50 pounds

50-119 pounds

120-179 pounds

180 pounds and over

2012 2013 2012 2013 2012 2013 2012 2013

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)

Colorado ........................... Illinois ................................ Indiana .............................. Iowa .................................. Kansas .............................. Michigan ........................... Minnesota ......................... Missouri ............................ Nebraska .......................... North Carolina ................... Ohio .................................. Oklahoma ......................... Pennsylvania .................... South Dakota .................... Texas ................................ Utah .................................. Other States 1 ................... United States ....................

290 1,380 1,070 5,100

520 300

2,530 1,085

910 3,190

660 810 240 390 230 290

905

19,900

285 1,330 1,100 5,300

485 305

2,550 1,230

900 3,160

620 790 255 355 125 285

1,009

20,084

90 1,260 1,080 6,330

390 220

2,310 625 820

2,190

605 380 375 300 170 130

624

17,899

90 1,370 1,090 6,490

360 230

2,280 650 810

2,240

610 345 355 285 115 130

638

18,088

90 750 660

4,800 310 215

1,600 390 600

1,700

445 260 200 225 150 125

570

13,090

70 700 640

4,830 270 190

1,450 390 570

1,670

430 175 220 185 110 125

559

12,584

120 820 710

3,570 510 195

1,150 440 490

1,450

265 470 210 210 220 115

550

11,495

110 750 650

3,280 535 225 970 430 420

1,350

265 480 220 155 155 120

540

10,655

1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

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Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2013) 13 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Annual Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: December-November 2012 and 2013 [December preceding year]

State

Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop

2012 2013 2013 as percent of 2012

2012 2013 2012 2013 2013 as percent of 2012

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Alabama ........................... Alaska .............................. Arizona ............................. Arkansas .......................... California .......................... Colorado ........................... Connecticut ...................... Delaware .......................... Florida .............................. Georgia ............................ Hawaii .............................. Idaho ................................ Illinois ............................... Indiana ............................. Iowa .................................. Kansas ............................. Kentucky ........................... Louisiana .......................... Maine ............................... Maryland ........................... Massachusetts .................. Michigan ........................... Minnesota ......................... Mississippi ........................ Missouri ............................ Montana ........................... Nebraska .......................... Nevada ............................. New Hampshire ................ New Jersey ....................... New Mexico ...................... New York .......................... North Carolina .................. North Dakota .................... Ohio .................................. Oklahoma ......................... Oregon ............................. Pennsylvania .................... Rhode Island .................... South Carolina .................. South Dakota .................... Tennessee ........................ Texas ............................... Utah .................................. Vermont ............................ Virginia ............................. Washington ...................... West Virginia .................... Wisconsin ......................... Wyoming .......................... Idaho and Washington .................... United States 1 ..................

32.0 0.12

36.0 124.0

8.0 273

0.40 1.80 4.00

56.0

2.64 (D) 995 575

1,960 335 70.0 1.00 1.40 5.00

1.20 204

1,195 76.0

735 43.5

690 0.27 0.50 1.00

0.20 12.0

1,815 73.5

359 750

2.70 197

0.50 20.5

366 34.0

175 164

0.70 7.0

(D) 1.30

85.0 72.0

19.9

11,582

31.0 0.12

35.0 132.0

7.0 283

0.70 2.50 4.00

46.0

2.70 (D)

1,000 535

1,905 323 74.0 1.20 0.80 5.60

2.50 208

1,160 98.0

740 45.0

660 0.45 0.40 1.10

0.40 12.0

1,825 72.0

347 750

1.50 186

0.40 20.0

345 37.0

159 168

0.60 7.5

(D) 0.80

85.0 72.0

18.9

11,412

97 100 97

106 88

104 175 139 100 82

102 (D) 101 93 97 96

106 120 57

112

208 102 97

129 101 103 96

167 80

110

200 100 101 98 97

100 56 94 80 98

94

109 91

102 86

107 (D) 62

100 100

95

99

8.84 9.17 9.75

10.26 8.00 9.85 8.75 9.00 6.00

10.38

7.01 (D)

10.03 9.73

10.36 9.59 9.46 7.00 7.57 9.20

8.67

10.08 10.25 10.03 10.41 10.39 10.49 5.19 8.40 7.00

8.50 9.92 9.95

10.73 9.88 9.91 7.78 9.97 9.00

10.34

10.28 9.26 8.61

10.18 7.43

10.57 (D)

7.46 9.40

10.64

8.84

10.08

8.84 9.17

10.00 10.75 8.00 9.50 8.29 8.40 6.50

10.61

6.93 (D)

10.20 9.89

10.51 9.76 9.50 7.00 7.63 8.57

8.56

10.17 10.72 10.12 10.39 10.27 10.71 6.67 8.00 7.82

7.50 9.92 9.79

10.65 10.30 10.19 7.87

10.25 7.75

10.10

10.79 9.49 8.58

10.07 8.17

10.13 (D)

9.13 9.52

10.58

8.78

10.22

283.0 1.1

351.0 1,272.0

64.0 2,688.0

3.5 16.2 24.0

581.0

18.5 (D)

9,975.0 5,592.0

20,313.0 3,212.0

662.0 7.0

10.6 46.0

10.4

2,056.0 12,253.0

762.0 7,654.0

452.0 7,237.0

1.4 4.2 7.0

1.7

119.0 18,059.0

789.0 3,546.0 7,435.0

21.0 1,965.0

4.5 212.0

3,761.0

315.0 1,506.0 1,670.0

5.2 74.0 (D) 9.7

799.0 766.0

176.0

116,791.0

274.0 1.1

350.0 1,419.0

56.0 2,689.0

5.8 21.0 26.0

488.0

18.7 (D)

10,201.0 5,291.0

20,030.0 3,153.0

703.0 8.4 6.1

48.0

21.4 2,116.0

12,430.0 992.0

7,687.0 462.0

7,071.0 3.0 3.2 8.6

3.0

119.0 17,873.0

767.0 3,575.0 7,641.0

11.8 1,907.0

3.1 202.0

3,722.0

351.0 1,364.0 1,692.0

4.9 76.0 (D) 7.3

809.0 762.0

166.0

116,639.4

97 100 100 112 88

100 166 130 108 84

101 (D) 102 95 99 98

106 120 58

104

206 103 101 130 100 102 98

214 76

123

176 100 99 97

101 103 56 97 69 95

99

111 91

101 94

103 (D) 75

101 99

94

100

(D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. 1 May not add due to rounding.

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14 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2013) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: December-February 2012-2014 [December preceding year. May not add due to rounding]

State

Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1

2012 2013 2014 2 2014 as percent of 2013

2012 2013 2012 2013 2013 as percent of 2012

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado ................... Illinois ........................ Indiana ...................... Iowa .......................... Kansas ...................... Michigan ................... Minnesota ................. Missouri .................... Nebraska .................. North Carolina ........... Ohio .......................... Oklahoma ................. Pennsylvania ............ South Dakota ............ Texas ........................ Utah .......................... Other States 3 ........... United States ............

69 250 140 465 82 49

285 180 170 440

87

185 48 87 41 40

195

2,813

70 245 135 465 79 53

275 180 165 440

86

185 44 86 37 43

200

2,788

72 255 140 460 82 49

290 175 170 440

90

190 47 82 40 41

202

2,825

103 104 104 99

104 92

105 97

103 100

105 103 107 95

108 95

101

101

9.95 9.90 9.50

10.30 9.30 9.90

10.00 10.40 10.40 9.90

9.70 9.75 9.80

10.20 8.60 9.90

9.77

9.97

9.60 10.10 9.55

10.35 9.80

10.25 10.55 10.35 10.50 9.50

10.10 10.20 10.30 10.60 8.60 9.90

9.93

10.08

687 2,475 1,330 4,790

763 485

2,850 1,872 1,768 4,356

844

1,804 470 887 353 396

1,908

28,038

672 2,475 1,289 4,813

774 543

2,901 1,863 1,733 4,180

869

1,887 453 912 318 426

1,991

28,099

98 100 97

100 101 112 102 100 98 96

103 105 96

103 90

108

104

100 1 Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 2 Intentions. 3 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: March-May 2012-2014 [May not add due to rounding]

State

Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1

2012 2013 2014 2 2014 as percent of 2013

2012 2013 2012 2013 2013 as percent of 2012

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado ................... Illinois ........................ Indiana ...................... Iowa .......................... Kansas ...................... Michigan ................... Minnesota ................. Missouri .................... Nebraska .................. North Carolina ........... Ohio .......................... Oklahoma ................. Pennsylvania ............ South Dakota ............ Texas ........................ Utah .......................... Other States 3 ........... United States ............

70 250 145 495 87 50

305 185 180 470

91

190 50 94 47 41

202

2,952

69 250 125 475 79 50

290 180 160 460

80

185 44 88 38 41

202

2,816

75 255 140 465 86 49

290 190 175 445

88

190 46 84 43 39

195

2,855

109 102 112 98

109 98

100 106 109 97

110 103 105 95

113 95

96

101

9.95 10.10 9.75

10.40 9.45

10.10 10.25 10.30 10.55 9.90

9.85 9.80 9.90

10.40 8.70

10.25

10.01

10.09

9.50 10.30 9.85

10.50 9.95

10.20 10.70 10.50 10.75 10.05

10.30 10.30 10.20 10.90 8.90

10.30

10.11

10.31

697 2,525 1,414 5,148

822 505

3,126 1,906 1,899 4,653

896

1,862 495 978 409 420

2,025

29,780

656 2,575 1,231 4,988

786 510

3,103 1,890 1,720 4,623

824

1,906 449 959 338 422

2,046

29,026

94 102 87 97 96

101 99 99 91 99

92

102 91 98 83

100

101

97 1 Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 2 Intentions 3 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

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Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2013) 15 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: June-August 2012 and 2013 [May not add due to rounding]

State

Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1

2012 2013 2013 as percent of 2012

2012 2013 2012 2013 2013 as percent of 2012

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado .................................. Illinois ...................................... Indiana .................................... Iowa ......................................... Kansas .................................... Michigan .................................. Minnesota ................................ Missouri ................................... Nebraska ................................. North Carolina ......................... Ohio ......................................... Oklahoma ................................ Pennsylvania ........................... South Dakota ........................... Texas ...................................... Utah ......................................... Other States 2 .......................... United States ...........................

66 250 150 495 86 52

310 185 170 455

90

190 49 95 46 42

197

2,928

72 260 135 485 83 53

295 195 165 470

91

190 49 86 43 43

210

2,925

109 104 90 98 97

102 95

105 97

103

101 100 100 91 93

102

106

100

9.50 10.10 9.70

10.45 9.80

10.10 10.35 10.60 10.50 9.90

9.95 9.95

10.10 10.10 8.50

10.20

10.06

10.13

9.50 10.20 10.10 10.60 10.05 10.10 10.80 10.40 10.85 10.10

10.40 10.30 10.20 10.90 8.30

10.00

10.14

10.33

627 2,525 1,455 5,173

843 525

3,209 1,961 1,785 4,505

896

1,891 495 960 391 428

1,985

29,654

684 2,652 1,364 5,141

834 535

3,186 2,028 1,790 4,747

946

1,957 500 937 357 430

2,128

30,216

109 105 94 99 99

102 99

103 100 105

106 103 101 98 91

100

107

102 1 Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: September-November 2012 and 2013 [May not add due to rounding]

State

Sows Farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1

2012 2013 2013 as percent of 2012

2012 2013 2012 2013 2013 as percent of 2012

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado ....................... Illinois ........................... Indiana ......................... Iowa .............................. Kansas ......................... Michigan ....................... Minnesota ..................... Missouri ........................ Nebraska ...................... North Carolina .............. Ohio .............................. Oklahoma ..................... Pennsylvania ................ South Dakota ................ Texas ........................... Utah .............................. Other States 2 ............... United States ................

68 245 140 505 80 53

295 185 170 450

91

185 50 90 41 41

199

2,888

72 245 140 480 82 52

300 185 170 455

90

190 49 85 41 41

205

2,882

106 100 100 95

103 98

102 100 100 101

99

103 98 94

100 100

103

100

9.95 10.00 9.95

10.30 9.80

10.20 10.40 10.35 10.50 10.10

10.00 10.15 10.10 10.40 8.60

10.40

9.80

10.15

9.40 10.20 10.05 10.60 9.25

10.15 10.80 10.30 10.75 9.50

10.40 9.95

10.30 10.75 8.55

10.10

9.90

10.16

677 2,450 1,393 5,202

784 541

3,068 1,915 1,785 4,545

910

1,878 505 936 353 426

1,951

29,319

677 2,499 1,407 5,088

759 528

3,240 1,906 1,828 4,323

936

1,891 505 914 351 414

2,032

29,298

100 102 101 98 97 98

106 100 102 95

103 101 100 98 99 97

104

100

1 Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

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16 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2013) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – United States: December-November 2012 and 2013

Month Sows farrowing 1 Pigs per litter Pig crop 1

2012 2013 2012 2013 2012 2013

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)

December 2 ..................... January ........................... February ......................... March .............................. April ................................ May ................................. June ................................ July ................................. August ............................ September ...................... October ........................... November ....................... Total ...............................

935 944 935 996 973 983 983 970 976 985 961 942

11,582

926 931 932 953 929 935 978 971 976 978 960 944

11,412

9.97 9.95 9.99

10.04 10.10 10.12 10.14 10.11 10.12 10.13 10.17 10.16

10.08

10.01 10.07 10.15 10.24 10.30 10.38 10.31 10.30 10.38 10.28 10.17 10.04

10.22

9,318 9,385 9,336

10,000 9,831 9,949 9,965 9,809 9,881 9,976 9,769 9,573

116,791

9,265 9,376 9,458 9,765 9,563 9,699

10,081 10,003 10,132 10,049 9,767 9,482

116,639

1 Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. 2 December preceding year.

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Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2013) 17 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Statistical Methodology

Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 10,500 United States producers was surveyed to provide data for these

estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the

survey. Large operations were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of December 2013, data

were collected from about 8,100 operations, 77 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by electronic

data reporting (EDR), mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded,

they were asked to report inventories as of December 1, 2013.

Estimating Procedures: Hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing

recommendations and analysis submitted by each field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for

reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with

the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports,

and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate

for reasonableness.

Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the

previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of

the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter.

Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are

available. No revisions will be made after that date.

Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling

variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in

reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized

through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for

consistency and reasonableness.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for

selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance

and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory

estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.1 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be

above or below the current estimate of 65.9 million head by more than 1.1 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the

difference will not exceed 1.8 percent.

Reliability of December 1 Hog Estimates [Based on data for the previous twenty quarters]

Item Root mean

square error

90 percent confidence

level

Difference between first and latest estimate

Average Smallest Largest Years

Below latest Above latest

(percent) (percent) (1,000) (1,000) (1,000) (number) (number)

All hogs and pigs ............................ Pig crop .......................................... Expected farrowings Next quarter ................................ Following quarter ........................

1.1

1.6

2.2

2.1

1.8

2.8

3.9

3.6

582

396

51

50

26

6

0

6

1,559

1,085

167

117

13

12

12

10

7

8

8

10

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Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to

contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to [email protected]

Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch .......................................................................................................... (202) 720-3570

Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section ............................................................................................................. (202) 690-2424

Travis Averill – Cattle, Cattle on Feed ..................................................................................................... (202) 720-3040

Doug Bounds – Hogs and Pigs ................................................................................................................. (202) 720-3106

Alissa Cowell-Mytar – Sheep and Goats .................................................................................................. (202) 720-4751

Donnie Fike – Dairy Products .................................................................................................................. (202) 690-3236

Tiffany Hora – Livestock Slaughter ......................................................................................................... (515) 284-4340

Mike Miller – Milk Production and Milk Cows ....................................................................................... (202) 720-3278

Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways:

All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: http://www.nass.usda.gov

Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e-mail subscription. To set-up this free

subscription, visit http://www.nass.usda.gov and in the “Follow NASS” box under “Receive reports by Email,”

click on “National” or “State” to select the reports you would like to receive.

For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural Statistics Hotline at (800) 727-9540,

7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: [email protected].

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination against its customers, employees, and applicants for

employment on the bases of race, color, national origin, age, disability, sex, gender identity, religion, reprisal, and where

applicable, political beliefs, marital status, familial or parental status, sexual orientation, or all or part of an individual's

income is derived from any public assistance program, or protected genetic information in employment or in any program

or activity conducted or funded by the Department. (Not all prohibited bases will apply to all programs and/or

employment activities.)

If you wish to file a Civil Rights program complaint of discrimination, complete the USDA Program Discrimination

Complaint Form (PDF), found online at http://www.ascr.usda.gov/complaint_filing_cust.html, or at any USDA office, or

call (866) 632-9992 to request the form. You may also write a letter containing all of the information requested in the

form. Send your completed complaint form or letter to us by mail at U.S. Department of Agriculture, Director, Office of

Adjudication, 1400 Independence Avenue, S.W., Washington, D.C. 20250-9410, by fax (202) 690-7442 or email at

[email protected].