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Public Planning in Pakistan. By; Engr.Dr . Attaullah Shah BSc Engg ( Gold Medlaist ), MSc Engg ( Strs ), MBA, MA ( Eco) MSc Envir Design, PGD Computer Sc , Tel: 051-9250100 E-mail: [email protected]. What is Planning? What needs to be done by whom and when. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Public Planning in Pakistan
Page 2: Public Planning in Pakistan

Public Planning in Public Planning in Pakistan Pakistan

By; Engr.Dr. Attaullah Shah By; Engr.Dr. Attaullah Shah

BSc Engg ( Gold Medlaist), MSc Engg ( Strs), MBA, MA ( Eco) BSc Engg ( Gold Medlaist), MSc Engg ( Strs), MBA, MA ( Eco) MSc Envir Design, PGD Computer Sc, MSc Envir Design, PGD Computer Sc,

Tel: 051-9250100Tel: 051-9250100E-mail: [email protected]: [email protected].

Page 3: Public Planning in Pakistan

What is Planning?What is Planning?What needs to be done by whom What needs to be done by whom

and whenand when Setting of objectives for an organization Setting of objectives for an organization

and establishing the policies, procedures, and establishing the policies, procedures, programs necessary to achieve them. programs necessary to achieve them.

Why?Why? To reduce uncertainty To reduce uncertainty Improve efficiency Improve efficiency Better understanding of objectives Better understanding of objectives Provide Base for Monitoring and Controlling.Provide Base for Monitoring and Controlling.

Types: Types: Strategic Planning: Five years or more-Strategic Planning: Five years or more- Tactical Planning: One to two years.Tactical Planning: One to two years. Operational Planning: One day to few months Operational Planning: One day to few months

Page 4: Public Planning in Pakistan

Component of Planning Component of Planning Objectives:Objectives: Goals and targets. Goals and targets. ProgramProgram: Strategy and Major actions. : Strategy and Major actions. Schedule: Plan of start and finish of individual Schedule: Plan of start and finish of individual

and group activities.and group activities. BudgetBudget: Planned Expenditures required to : Planned Expenditures required to

achieve or exceed objectives. achieve or exceed objectives. ForecastForecast: Projection that what will happen at : Projection that what will happen at

some future date? some future date? OrganizationOrganization: Design , NO. and kinds of : Design , NO. and kinds of

positions along with corresponding duties and positions along with corresponding duties and responsibilities to achieve or exceed responsibilities to achieve or exceed organizational objectives. organizational objectives.

Policy:Policy: General guidelines for decision making. General guidelines for decision making. ProcedureProcedure: A detailed Method of carrying out a : A detailed Method of carrying out a

policy.policy. StandardStandard: A level of individual or group : A level of individual or group

performance defined as acceptable and adequate. performance defined as acceptable and adequate. WHAT IS VISION? WHAT IS VISION?

Page 5: Public Planning in Pakistan

Seven Principles of Sound Seven Principles of Sound Public Policy Public Policy

#1:#1: Free people are not equal, and equal people Free people are not equal, and equal people are not free.are not free.

#2:#2: What belongs to you, you tend to take care of; What belongs to you, you tend to take care of; what belongs to no one or everyone tends to fall what belongs to no one or everyone tends to fall into disrepair.into disrepair.

#3:#3: Sound policy requires that we consider long-Sound policy requires that we consider long-run effects and all people, not simply short-run run effects and all people, not simply short-run effects and a few people. effects and a few people. 

#4: #4: If you encourage something, you get more of If you encourage something, you get more of it; if you discourage something, you get less of itit; if you discourage something, you get less of it

#5:#5: Nobody spends somebody else's money as Nobody spends somebody else's money as carefully as he spends his own. carefully as he spends his own.  #6:#6: Government has nothing to give anybody Government has nothing to give anybody except what it first takes from somebody, and a except what it first takes from somebody, and a government that's big enough to give you government that's big enough to give you everything you want is big enough to take away everything you want is big enough to take away everything you've got. everything you've got. 

#7:#7: Liberty makes all the difference in the world. Liberty makes all the difference in the world. 

#

Page 6: Public Planning in Pakistan

Major challenges to Major challenges to Developing Nations Developing Nations

Achievement of economic independence,Achievement of economic independence, Overcoming backwardness and Poverty Alleviation Overcoming backwardness and Poverty Alleviation Implementation of socio-economic transformation. Implementation of socio-economic transformation. Sustainable development.Sustainable development.

Planning is a dynamic process, a method of Planning is a dynamic process, a method of analysis and thinking which may or may not analysis and thinking which may or may not involve the preparation of comprehensive legally involve the preparation of comprehensive legally binding blueprint for socio-economic development. binding blueprint for socio-economic development.

In essence, a plan is a package of economic and In essence, a plan is a package of economic and social policies expressed with quantified targets social policies expressed with quantified targets and objectives to be achieved during a laid-down and objectives to be achieved during a laid-down period period

Page 7: Public Planning in Pakistan

History of Planning Bodies in History of Planning Bodies in PakistanPakistan Development BoardDevelopment Board was established early in 1948 was established early in 1948

In 1950 a Six-Year Development Plan was In 1950 a Six-Year Development Plan was formulated and embodied in the Colombo Plan for formulated and embodied in the Colombo Plan for Cooperative Economic Development in South and Cooperative Economic Development in South and South East Asia..South East Asia..

Planning BoardPlanning Board: 18th July, 1953, : 18th July, 1953, To develop the resources of the country as rapidly as To develop the resources of the country as rapidly as

possible so as to promote the welfare of the people, possible so as to promote the welfare of the people, provide adequate living standards, and social provide adequate living standards, and social services, secure social justice and equality of services, secure social justice and equality of opportunity to all and aim at the widest and most opportunity to all and aim at the widest and most equitable distribution of national wealth.equitable distribution of national wealth.

Planning CommissionPlanning Commission  On 22nd October 1958, the   On 22nd October 1958, the President was pleased to re-designate the National President was pleased to re-designate the National Planning Board as the Planning Commission. Planning Board as the Planning Commission.

Federal Ministries/Divisions Federal Ministries/Divisions The Federal MinistriesThe Federal Ministries are responsible for the preparation of programmes are responsible for the preparation of programmes

and projects in their respective fields of interest and projects in their respective fields of interest including autonomous organizations under their including autonomous organizations under their controlcontrol

Page 8: Public Planning in Pakistan

Conceptual Plans.Conceptual Plans.Perspective Plan-Vision Plan ( Ex: 2030 Vision) Perspective Plan-Vision Plan ( Ex: 2030 Vision) To provide a long-term (15-25 years) economic and To provide a long-term (15-25 years) economic and

social policy framework so that the objectives to be social policy framework so that the objectives to be achieved over a much longer period can be achieved over a much longer period can be incorporated in a medium-term framework.incorporated in a medium-term framework.

Five Year Plan: Five Year Plan: A five year plan is a general statement of objectives A five year plan is a general statement of objectives

and targets relating to the economy as a whole and and targets relating to the economy as a whole and its various component sectors.its various component sectors.

Roll-On PlanRoll-On Plan In order to bring flexibility into the Five Year, a roll-In order to bring flexibility into the Five Year, a roll-

on plan of medium term is designed in which the on plan of medium term is designed in which the sectoral and project-wise position is adjusted sectoral and project-wise position is adjusted according to the foregoing yearaccording to the foregoing year

Annual PlanAnnual Plan It is regarded as the implementation side of the five It is regarded as the implementation side of the five

year plan.year plan. The annual plan includes an evaluation of past The annual plan includes an evaluation of past

performance, a presentation of the main targets, an performance, a presentation of the main targets, an assessment of the resource position for the year. assessment of the resource position for the year.

Page 9: Public Planning in Pakistan

Public Sector Development Public Sector Development ProgramProgram PSDP PSDP

The Public Sector Development Programme The Public Sector Development Programme (PSDP) is an annual document which lists (PSDP) is an annual document which lists all the public sector projects/ programmes all the public sector projects/ programmes with specific allocations made for each one with specific allocations made for each one of them in that particular financial year. of them in that particular financial year. ( 1920 Projects in 2006-07) ( 1920 Projects in 2006-07)

Federal Vs Provincial ProjectsFederal Vs Provincial Projects Major share of the total Development Major share of the total Development

Programme is allocated to Federal projects Programme is allocated to Federal projects While the remainder is allocated to the While the remainder is allocated to the

Provincial Development Programme. Provincial Development Programme.

Page 10: Public Planning in Pakistan

FEASIBILITY STUDYFEASIBILITY STUDYPre-requisite for preparation of a major Pre-requisite for preparation of a major development project on sound lines, and is not development project on sound lines, and is not ruled out even for a minor oneruled out even for a minor one Preparation/Processing of PC-II.Preparation/Processing of PC-II.   For Large projects of cost 500 Million or more For Large projects of cost 500 Million or more Consultants are appointed for pre-feasibility.Consultants are appointed for pre-feasibility. The consultancy charges should not exceed The consultancy charges should not exceed

10%10%

PC-I/Project Feasibility: PC-I/Project Feasibility: Part 'A' is the "Project DigestPart 'A' is the "Project Digest", ", containing eight questions containing eight questions

which are more or less common to all sectoral PC-Is formswhich are more or less common to all sectoral PC-Is forms. . Part 'B' entitled "Project Description and Financing", Part 'B' entitled "Project Description and Financing", Part 'C' deals with "Project Requirements". Part 'C' deals with "Project Requirements". Part 'D' deals with environmental aspectsPart 'D' deals with environmental aspects. .

Page 11: Public Planning in Pakistan

PC-III ProformaPC-III Proforma Designed to furnish information on the progress of Designed to furnish information on the progress of

on-going projects on quarterly basis on-going projects on quarterly basis

PC-IV & V ProformaePC-IV & V Proformae PC-IV form is required to be submitted at the time PC-IV form is required to be submitted at the time

when the project is adjudged to be complete while when the project is adjudged to be complete while the PC-V form is to be furnished on an annual basis the PC-V form is to be furnished on an annual basis for a period of five years by the agencies for a period of five years by the agencies responsible for operation and maintenance of the responsible for operation and maintenance of the projects.projects.

Umbrella PC-IUmbrella PC-I Some times a Federal Ministry is required to Some times a Federal Ministry is required to

prepare a PC-I having provincial components to be prepare a PC-I having provincial components to be financed through a joint loan by a donor agency. financed through a joint loan by a donor agency.

Page 12: Public Planning in Pakistan

Project Appraisal.Project Appraisal. Technical AnalysisTechnical Analysis The analysis for determining the technical viability of the The analysis for determining the technical viability of the

development project is based on the technical data and development project is based on the technical data and information given in the PC-I form as well as the earlier information given in the PC-I form as well as the earlier experience of carrying out similar projects.experience of carrying out similar projects.

Institutional/Organizational/Managerial AnalysisInstitutional/Organizational/Managerial Analysis A whole range of issues in project preparation revolves around the A whole range of issues in project preparation revolves around the

overlapping institutional, organizational and managerial aspects overlapping institutional, organizational and managerial aspects of the project.of the project.

Social AnalysisSocial Analysis Social analysis is undertaken to examine the aspects like Social analysis is undertaken to examine the aspects like

employment opportunities and income distribution.employment opportunities and income distribution.

Commercial AnalysisCommercial Analysis The commercial aspects of a project include the The commercial aspects of a project include the

arrangements for marketing the output produced by the arrangements for marketing the output produced by the project and the arrangement for the supply of inputs project and the arrangement for the supply of inputs needed to build and operate the projectneeded to build and operate the project

Financial AnalysisFinancial Analysis Financial analysis involves assessment of financial impact, Financial analysis involves assessment of financial impact,

judgment of efficient resource use, assessment of judgment of efficient resource use, assessment of incentives, provision of a sound financing plan, incentives, provision of a sound financing plan, coordination of financial contribution and assessment of coordination of financial contribution and assessment of financial management competence.financial management competence.

Page 13: Public Planning in Pakistan

Economic AnalysisEconomic Analysis Analysis from the economic aspect assesses Analysis from the economic aspect assesses

the desirability of an investment proposal in the desirability of an investment proposal in terms of its effect on the economy.terms of its effect on the economy.

RemarksRemarks: : The planning process in Pakistan starts with The planning process in Pakistan starts with

the PC1. This is a document, which by its the PC1. This is a document, which by its very nature excludes any public discussion very nature excludes any public discussion and debate and in fact, makes it redundant. and debate and in fact, makes it redundant. To avoid the disasters we have experienced To avoid the disasters we have experienced in the name of development, it is imperative in the name of development, it is imperative that discussions and consultations between that discussions and consultations between citizens and government agencies take citizens and government agencies take place at the conceptual level of the project. place at the conceptual level of the project.

Director Urban Resource Center Karachi Director Urban Resource Center Karachi

Page 14: Public Planning in Pakistan

PROJECT APPROVING PROJECT APPROVING BODIESBODIES National Economic Council (NEC) –CEO/PM as National Economic Council (NEC) –CEO/PM as

ChiefChief ( No ( No

limit) limit) Executive Committee of National Economic Executive Committee of National Economic

Council (ECNEC) Above 500 MCouncil (ECNEC) Above 500 M Headed by the Federal Minister of Finance/ Adviser to Headed by the Federal Minister of Finance/ Adviser to

the Prime Minister for Finance and Economic and the Prime Minister for Finance and Economic and Planning.Planning.

Economic Coordination Committee of the Economic Coordination Committee of the Cabinet (ECC)Cabinet (ECC)

Headed by the Federal Minister for Finance and Headed by the Federal Minister for Finance and Federal Ministers of economic ministries as its Federal Ministers of economic ministries as its members. It attends to all urgent day-to-day economic members. It attends to all urgent day-to-day economic matters and coordinates the economic policies matters and coordinates the economic policies initiated by the various Divisions of the Government initiated by the various Divisions of the Government

Page 15: Public Planning in Pakistan

Central Development Working Party (CDWP)Central Development Working Party (CDWP) Headed by the Deputy Chairman, Planning Headed by the Deputy Chairman, Planning

Commission and which includes as its members the Commission and which includes as its members the Secretaries of the Federal Ministries concerned with Secretaries of the Federal Ministries concerned with the development and the heads of the Planning the development and the heads of the Planning Departments of the Provincial Governments. Departments of the Provincial Governments.

Departmental Development Working Party Departmental Development Working Party (DDWP/DSC)(DDWP/DSC)

Headed by the respective Secretary/ Head of Headed by the respective Secretary/ Head of Department and includes representatives of Finance Department and includes representatives of Finance Division and concerned Technical Section in the Division and concerned Technical Section in the Planning and Development Division. Planning and Development Division.

Provincial Working Party (PDWP): Provincial Working Party (PDWP): headed by the Chairman, Development headed by the Chairman, Development

Board/Additional Chief Secretary (Development) and Board/Additional Chief Secretary (Development) and includes Secretaries of the Provincial Departments includes Secretaries of the Provincial Departments concerned with development, as its members concerned with development, as its members

Page 16: Public Planning in Pakistan

Planning History of PakistanPlanning History of Pakistan By 1950 a six-year plan drafted. But the initial effort By 1950 a six-year plan drafted. But the initial effort

was unsystematic.was unsystematic.

First Five-Year Plan (1955-60). Not implemented,First Five-Year Plan (1955-60). Not implemented, because political instability led to a neglect of economic because political instability led to a neglect of economic

policy, but in 1958 the government renewed its policy, but in 1958 the government renewed its commitment to planning by establishing the Planning commitment to planning by establishing the Planning Commission.Commission.

The Second Five-Year Plan (1960-65) surpassed its The Second Five-Year Plan (1960-65) surpassed its major goals when all sectors showed substantial growth.major goals when all sectors showed substantial growth.

Third Five-Year Plan (1965-70), designed along the lines Third Five-Year Plan (1965-70), designed along the lines of its immediate predecessor, produced only modest of its immediate predecessor, produced only modest growth.growth.

The Fourth Five-Year Plan (1970-75) was abandoned as The Fourth Five-Year Plan (1970-75) was abandoned as East Pakistan became independent Bangladesh. East Pakistan became independent Bangladesh.

Page 17: Public Planning in Pakistan

•The Fifth Five-Year Plan (1978-83The Fifth Five-Year Plan (1978-83)) was an attempt was an attempt to stabilize the economy and improve the standard of to stabilize the economy and improve the standard of living of the poorest segment of the population. living of the poorest segment of the population. Increased defense expenditures and a flood of Increased defense expenditures and a flood of refugees to Pakistan after the Soviet invasion of refugees to Pakistan after the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan in December 1979.Afghanistan in December 1979.

The Sixth Five-Year Plan (1983-88)The Sixth Five-Year Plan (1983-88) represented a represented a significant shift toward the private sector.significant shift toward the private sector.The Seventh Five-Year Plan (1988-93)The Seventh Five-Year Plan (1988-93) provided provided for total public-sector spending of Rs350 billion.for total public-sector spending of Rs350 billion.

Eighth Five-Year Plan (1993-98): The Plan, which ended up in achieving far less than proposed development targets, dealt with the issues of sustainable environment and management of water resources.

Page 18: Public Planning in Pakistan

Ninth Five-Year Plan (1998-2003): Could not materialize due to change of Government.

Ten-Year Perspective Development Plan (2001-2011): By adopting strategies to reach the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), the Ten-Year Perspective Development Plan was launched into operation on 1st July, 2001. Its total size has been fixed at Rs.11,287 billion in current prices out of which Rs.8,747 billion have been envisaged as the investment of private sector and Rs.2,540 billion as Public Sector Development Program (PSDP).

Page 19: Public Planning in Pakistan

Millennium Millennium Development Goals. Development Goals.

Goal 1: Eradicating Extreme Poverty and Hunger

Goal 2: Achieving Universal Primary Education.

Goal 3: Promoting Gender Equality and Women Empowerment.

Goal 4: Reducing Child Mortality.

Goal 5: Improving Maternal Health.

Goal 6: Combating HIV/AIDS, Malaria and other Diseases.

Goal 7: Ensuring Environmental Sustainability.

Page 20: Public Planning in Pakistan

MTDF 2005-10 is to Eventually MTDF 2005-10 is to Eventually Realize the Long Term Vision Realize the Long Term Vision

20302030Developed, industrialized, just and Developed, industrialized, just and

prosperous Pakistan through rapid and prosperous Pakistan through rapid and

sustainable development in a resource sustainable development in a resource

constrained economy by deploying constrained economy by deploying

knowledge inputs.knowledge inputs.

Page 21: Public Planning in Pakistan

MTDF 2005-10: MTDF 2005-10: ObjectivesObjectives

Establishing a just and sustainable Establishing a just and sustainable economic economic system for reducing poverty and system for reducing poverty and achieving Millennium Development Goalsachieving Millennium Development Goals

Organised and disciplined movement towards an Organised and disciplined movement towards an efficient, balanced, internationally competitive, efficient, balanced, internationally competitive, environment friendly, and technologically driven environment friendly, and technologically driven knowledge economy for rapid and sustainable growth knowledge economy for rapid and sustainable growth to become an industrialized nation in 25 years to become an industrialized nation in 25 years

Evolving a mature, tolerant, democratic society which Evolving a mature, tolerant, democratic society which is developed economically, culturally, ethically and is developed economically, culturally, ethically and imbibed with Islamic values of moderation and imbibed with Islamic values of moderation and enlightenment, and at peace with itself and with the enlightenment, and at peace with itself and with the rest of the worldrest of the world

Page 22: Public Planning in Pakistan

Agriculture

Agriculture

ManufacturingManufacturing

Service

s

Service

sMini

ng &

NR

Mining

& N

R

TechnologyTechnology

HRDHRDPolicy InstrumentsNo conflicts

Input from Technical& Professional Orgns.

Complete National Roadmap

for seamless development

Technological Base

Associate Stakeholdersin Decision making

Support Infrastructure

Human ResourceDevelopment

Integrated System With Checks & Balances

-Presidents Long Term Vision -Integrated Approach -Result Orientation -Team Work

(PM and his Team)

Innovative Expansion of

National Vocational Training Authority)

(Concerned Ministries and organizations)

(All Ministries)Planning Commission to assist for avoiding conflicts

Planning Commissionin consultation with all stake holders

(All Ministries)Prov . Govts

(HEC + MOE + Prov. Govt.)

(MOST & Hec)

(All Ministries)Prov . Govts

(PM and his team assisted by Planning Commission)

Page 23: Public Planning in Pakistan

The MTDF SizeThe MTDF Size2004-2004-

05052005-2005-

06062009-2009-

10102005-2005-

1010Total Total InvestmentInvestment 1102.61102.6 1257.41257.4 1967.51967.5 7951.97951.9

Fixed Fixed InvestmentInvestment 999.3999.3 1145.61145.6 1815.71815.7 7298.57298.5

PublicPublic 286.2286.2 356.2356.2 712.1712.1 2536.72536.7

(PSDP)(PSDP) (202)(202) (272)(272) (597)(597) (2042)(2042)

PrivatePrivate 713.1713.1 789.5789.5 1103.61103.6 4761.84761.8

Rs Billion

Page 24: Public Planning in Pakistan

Overall PSDP by Overall PSDP by ObjectivesObjectives

ObjectiveObjective MTDF MTDF AllocationAllocation

% % shareshare

Upgrading physical Upgrading physical infrastructureinfrastructure

993.2993.2 48.648.6

Achieving Millennium Achieving Millennium Development GoalsDevelopment Goals

681.5681.5 33.433.4

Balanced DevelopmentBalanced Development 270.1270.1 13.213.2Accelerating output Accelerating output growthgrowth

66.366.3 3.23.2

OthersOthers 30.930.9 1.51.5TotalTotal 2,042.02,042.0 100.0100.0

Rs Billion

Page 25: Public Planning in Pakistan

Employment Generation (2005-Employment Generation (2005-10)10)

SectorSector

EmploymentEmployment2004-05 2004-05 BenchmaBenchma

rkrk2005-2005-

06062006-2006-

07072007-2007-

08082008-2008-

09092009-2009-

1010TotalTotal

(6) (6) –– (1) (1)

11 22 33 44 55 66 77AgricultureAgriculture 18.5918.59 18.7418.74 18.9018.90 19.0719.07 19.2419.24 19.4219.42 0.840.84ManufacturinManufacturingg 5.925.92 6.116.11 6.306.30 6.516.51 6.726.72 6.956.95 1.031.03

Electricity & Electricity & GasGas 0.290.29 0.290.29 0.290.29 0.290.29 0.300.30 0.300.30 0.010.01

ConstructionConstruction 2.522.52 2.622.62 2.732.73 2.852.85 2.982.98 3.113.11 0.590.59Wholesale & Wholesale & Retail TradeRetail Trade 6.396.39 6.726.72 7.097.09 7.487.48 7.917.91 8.368.36 1.971.97

Transport & Transport & CommunicatioCommunicationn

2.472.47 2.552.55 2.622.62 2.702.70 2.792.79 2.892.89 0.410.41

Finance & Finance & InsuranceInsurance 0.460.46 0.460.46 0.470.47 0.480.48 0.480.48 0.490.49 0.030.03

Community Community and Social and Social ServicesServices

6.486.48 6.836.83 7.217.21 7.637.63 8.088.08 8.578.57 2.092.09

TotalTotal 43.1543.15 44.3644.36 45.6645.66 47.0447.04 48.5348.53 50.1250.12 6.976.97

Page 26: Public Planning in Pakistan

PAKISTAN- Vision 2030

Developed, industrialized, just and prosperous Pakistan through rapid and sustainable development in a resource constrained economy by deploying knowledge inputs

Page 27: Public Planning in Pakistan

The Global Paradigm for Pakistan

Only those countries would grow rich and powerful in the 21st century who:

Position Themselves for Competitive Advantage

Generate Knowledge and Innovate for High Growth

•Use Globalization to Attract Relocation of Manufacturing , Design , and Services

•Attract and Retain Foreign Funds including Foreign Private Investment

Move Rapidly into Regional and Global Hubs FAILURE WILL LEAD TO

MARGINALISATION

Page 28: Public Planning in Pakistan

Critical Challenges and Opportunities• Dispersion of information and technology• Climatic change• Depleting natural resources of water, land,and usable energy making Pakistan vulnerable• Urban concentrations and growth of largecities with completely different dynamicsaffecting all spheres of human activities• Major demographic transitions

Page 29: Public Planning in Pakistan

Many Challenges for 2030: Take Just Four

Energy Water and Agriculture Demographics Urbanization Energy for Growth: Energy security plan 2030 already approved (MTDF) Total primary energy consumption to rise 7 fold (55 to 360 MTOE by 2030) Power generation : from 19,540 MW to 162,590 MW Major shift planned: to coal, nuclear, and renewable Pakistan is running out of useable, affordable energy

… more efficient use absolutely vital

Page 30: Public Planning in Pakistan

Water and AgricultureHigh growth rates in agriculture unrealizable with:

Present technology, practice and attitude Low water storage, high wastage Sub-optimal cropping pattern

Demographics: 218 million in 2030 (over 60 % urban)

To realize the dividend of demographic transition investment in HRD is of critical importance:

Employment opportunities Productivity increase

Page 31: Public Planning in Pakistan

Urbanization 2030 Global Urban Dwellers exceeded those in rural areas

forthe first time in human history in 2005 … [Shenzhen, a

small town, now has reached a higher population than London in only 20 years]

In Pakistan, too, more and more settlements will grow into their equilibrium size – optimal and functional

hierarchies of settlements. Pakistan’s urban population is projected to increase

from the current 55 million to about 130 m by 2030 … another 70-80 million people in only 25 years! Housing? Services? Slums? Unemployment? Social

cohesion?

Page 32: Public Planning in Pakistan

The Changing Face of Competition

Competitive advantage will be achieved through:– Excellence of public institutions– Knowledge, information, skill levels and competence in technology ….. and its assimilation

– Macroeconomic environment restructuring and reform of the educational system

– Enablers of the knowledge economy– Legal and regulatory infrastructure for IPR

and resolution of commercial disputes

Page 33: Public Planning in Pakistan

Salient Features of Vision 2030

Fulfill the promise of a gifted nation by usingknowledge and all its manifestations to becomean affluent and progressive society Raise quality of life for all citizens and regionsof Pakistan Achieve competence in technology Evolve a mature democratic and just society Be an effective global player, not a target …… Achieve all this within one generation

Page 34: Public Planning in Pakistan

Pakistan Society 2030 Development measured by the quality of life A prosperous society:

– GDP to rise to USD 700 billion– High per capita incomes : rising to USD 3,000

Alleviation of poverty Higher indices for health, education and life

expectancy Social safety nets An equitable society: Common and shared destiny and vision Respect for the rule of law Equal opportunities for all Protection of every citizen irrespective of ethnicity,creed, gender or age

Page 35: Public Planning in Pakistan

Pakistan Economy 2030 Availability and quality of physical infrastructure Excellence of public institutions Internationally competitive, innovative,

environment friendly and technology driven Higher levels of investment Improvement in productivity through higher

skills,knowledge inputs, better governance structures,

improved quality and encouraging brand names Many more regional hubs and centers Major reduction in wastage Preserving inter-generational equity while

exploiting the natural resources

Page 36: Public Planning in Pakistan

25 Years’ Quest for Excellence (Examples)

Education: At least 10 universities would be among

the top 200 globally recognized.Communications

Would be at the centre of major North-South and East-West transport corridors.

Technology Centers Known for its competitiveness,

innovation, and productivity

Page 37: Public Planning in Pakistan

What should Karachi look like in 2030?

One of the great cities of the world, noted for its quality of life.

A diverse yet socially cohesive population of around30 million pulsing with commerce and industry with

creative ideas Schools and universities eagerly sought for their

educationally stimulating environments, with excellent and affordable healthcare facilities.

A regional hub for electronics, pharmaceuticals and biotechnology, as well as financial services

A major hub for travel sitting at the southern end of a major transport corridor

All major cities and urban centers will define such visions

Page 38: Public Planning in Pakistan
Page 39: Public Planning in Pakistan

Essence of Survival“Every morning in Africa, a Gazelle

wakes up,it knows it must run faster than the fastest Lion or it will be killed. Every

morning a Lion wakesup, it knows it must outrun the slowest

Gazelle orit will starve to death. It does not

matter whetheryou are a Lion or a Gazelle – when the

sun comes up; You’d better be running.”

Page 40: Public Planning in Pakistan

Your Comments about Your Comments about the Planning in Pakistan the Planning in Pakistan