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Arc Completa, Inc. Ó 2016 - Not to be Used Without Permission arc completa Prepared by: Gary J. Ainsworth Principal Consultant Arc Completa, Inc.

Prepared by: Gary J. Ainsworth - UMass Lowell Blogsblogs.uml.edu/etvp/wp.../12/Product2_Problems...30.pdf · Prepared by: Gary J. Ainsworth ... Experienced Problems Solver Leads sometime

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Arc Completa, Inc. Ó 2016 - Not to be Used Without Permission

a rc c o mp le ta

Preparedby:GaryJ.AinsworthPrincipalConsultantArcCompleta,Inc.

Arc Completa, Inc. Ó 2016 - Not to be Used Without Permission

a rc c o mp le ta

Dr.ErikN.Schlosser,PhD

Arc Completa, Inc. Ó 2016 - Not to be Used Without Permission

a rc c o mp le ta

BecauseoftheStart-UpChallengeTheclockisticking– Start-upsareinaconstantnon-profitablecashburnscenarioNoprecedenceinknowingwhatmightbeimportantorwhathasthehighestrisk

LiteratureSearchandBasicResearcharethenormsLoworNoProductionVolumestogainunderstandingofcriticalrequirements

EveryBuildCountstocreateacollectiveknowledgebase,butinfrastructureisoftenabsentandunablecollectcriticalknowledgeSimultaneousKnowledgeAccumulationinproductandprocessdevelopment,test,andmanufacturing

Inexperiencedmanagementteam,needingtofocuslimitedresourceswithstrongpersonalitiesPoorcommunityhabits,includinginconsistentcommunicationofdirectionandpriorityGreatinnovatorsarenotnecessarilygreatorganizersandmanagersInvestorsneedconcise,quantitative messagingonresultsandcommittedworkagainstmilestones

Arc Completa, Inc. Ó 2016 - Not to be Used Without Permission

a rc c o mp le ta

prob·lem/ˈpräbləm/

NounAmatterorsituationregardedasunwelcomeorharmfulandneedingtobedealtwithandovercome.

Athingdifficulttoachieveoraccomplish.

Arc Completa, Inc. Ó 2016 - Not to be Used Without Permission

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BeabletocometoanagreementthatthereisaproblemBeabletowriteaproblemstatementDeterminehowtomeasuretheproblem,asdefinedbytheproblemstatementStatethedesiredoutcomeindicatingtheproblemhasbeensolvedAchieveabasicunderstandingofmeasurementerror’scontributiontoconfoundinginterpretationofexperimentalresponsesandoutcomes

Arc Completa, Inc. Ó 2016 - Not to be Used Without Permission

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Problemshave:a Beginninga MiddleandanEnd

BeginningProblem

Identification and Statement

Middle

End

Problem Solving, Inputs & Outcomes

Measurement

Solution and Control

Arc Completa, Inc. Ó 2016 - Not to be Used Without Permission

a rc c o mp le ta

TeamMembersdonotrespecttheproblem:FailtodetermineandagreeonnatureofaproblembyalwaysinsistingtheanswerisobviousDon’tlistentocustomers(internalandexternal)aboutthenatureoftheproblemWastetimeandresourcesbyjumpingaheadto“thesolution”withoutobjectivemeasurementofsuccess

Iftheproblem’ssolutionwaseasy,itwouldhavebeensolvedTakeastepbacktoseewhoistalkingaboutaproblem,whileobservingtheresourcesandsalariesintheroomTheproblemislikelycostingandhasalreadycostthecompanysignificantmoney

Answerthequestion:Whyareweinbusiness?

Toidentify,describe,define,andobjectivelymeasureoutcomesasfastaspossible

Tofollowthroughandlearnfromoutcomes

Tosustainachievedimprovements

Toincreasestability,allowingusbuildoncontinualimprovement

Innovationinbusinessrequiresustobuildafoundationofknowledge!

Arc Completa, Inc. Ó 2016 - Not to be Used Without Permission

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AProblemDefinitionandStatementAlimitedandquantifiablestatementofaconditionthatisundesirableorresultsinnegativeexternality

ScopeTheproblemstatementshouldaddresstheconditionofinterestThestatementshouldframethecurrentconditionorbehaviors,whilecontrastingthedesiredoutcome

AgreementThecustomerwhoisexperiencingtheproblemandreceivingtheproblemsolvingservicesshouldapprovethestatementAlso,thereshouldbeagreementontheasuccessfuldesiredoutcomeandthedirectmeansofmeasurement,thatifmet,theoutcomewillSOLVEtheproblem

CommunicationtoCustomerandTeamMembersExperiencedProblemsSolverLeadssometimedon’tgetbeyondProblemDefinitionandStatementbeforesomeonepreviouslyleftoutofthecommunicationloopsexplains:

“…ohthat,that’sbeenhappeningforyearsbecausewefailedto…”

Arc Completa, Inc. Ó 2016 - Not to be Used Without Permission

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Bad: PrintHeadHeateruniformityiscausingprintinginconsistency

Good:Frommechanical,electronic,andfluidictoleranceanalysis,theprintheadendtoenduniformitymustbevarynomorethan+/-1°Cduringoperation

Bad: Chip’sSiliconDioxide/SiliconNitrideboundariesalwaysfailduringdeviceburn-in

Good:TheSiliconDioxide/SiliconNitridemustbeabletosurvivewithoutdegradationfora50%longerdurationatthespecifieddirectcurrent,duringinitialburn-in

Arc Completa, Inc. Ó 2016 - Not to be Used Without Permission

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Bad: CompanyAhastoomanytransactionsontheproductionfloor

Good:Transactionsinlowcycletimeworkareasarecollectingupto30%oftheirtotalcyclebasedondatainputdelays,impactingOnTimeShipping

Bad: Wecan’tmeasureweldedtubes…Good:Measuringweldedtubeconcentricityisatimeconsuming

process,requiringupto5-7minutesperpart,whichis60%ofthetotaltimerequired

Arc Completa, Inc. Ó 2016 - Not to be Used Without Permission

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Ask the question, does your measurement systems have

enough resolution and repeatability to actual see a

desired response without lying to yourself and your customers?

Response Distribution

Acceptable Measurement Error

Contribution

Low Limit Upper Limit

Unacceptable Measurement Error

Contribution

Arc Completa, Inc. Ó 2016 - Not to be Used Without Permission

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4.994

4.996

4.998

5.000

5.002

5.004

5.006

5.008

5.010

5.012

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

OD(in

ches)

ToolHours

ToolWearasafunctionofODchangeovertime

Arc Completa, Inc. Ó 2016 - Not to be Used Without Permission

a rc c o mp le ta

UsingQualitativeLanguageinaQuantitativeWorldUsedirect,repeatablemeasurementsystems,withsufficientresolutionEventhoughtheteammaynothaveadirectmeasurement,thereareoften“indicative”measurementsthatarehintingthere’saproblemUseanindicativemeasurementuntiladirectmeasurementisestablishedForsometypesofproblems,indicativemeasurementisthebestwaytotrackperformance

OverallDeviceTestYield,ThinFilmUniformityasa%,TrainingEfficacyinTermsofCycleTime,VisualDefectsReductionbyvisualrankordercorrelationtoparametricinputs

ScopeCreepIfuponstudyingaproblem,thescopestartstocreepintootherrelatedareas,theteammayhavetodeclareithascompoundingproblems

Prioritizethemosthighestimpactcandidate,andparkthesubordinate(s)forlaterconsideration

ExecutingthiskindofdecisionsplitiscriticaltomaintainfocusBettertosolveONEdefinedproblemanddraintheswampabit,thantowasteresourcesonanimpossiblybroadscope

Arc Completa, Inc. Ó 2016 - Not to be Used Without Permission

a rc c o mp le ta

Refusingtousethe“BigBrain”AccountableproblemsolvingteamsshouldneverexceedatotalofthreetofourassignedpeopleButthecommunicationoftheproblem’sdefinitionandclues,experiments,andinterimresultsshouldbesharedbroadly,welcomingotherstakeholderstothinkabouttheproblemandpossiblesolutionsProgressandcontentshouldbestoredinacommonnotebookandifneededonaserverRegularupdatesshouldbeformalizedperiodicallyexplainingstatus,progress,andusageofcompanyresourcesAskforhelpwhenstalled;sometimesafreshsetofbrainsandeyeswillseesomethingwhenyou’retiredandsaturated

Everyprocessorpieceofcapitalequipmentrequiresasuitabledirectquantitativemetrologysystem forequipmentacceptancefromtheequipmentsupplier,outcomemeasurement,andprocesscontrol

Arc Completa, Inc. Ó 2016 - Not to be Used Without Permission

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Hi-Temp Stainless Steel

Nickel Super Alloy

Welded and Machined To Final Outer Diameter

Arc Completa, Inc. Ó 2016 - Not to be Used Without Permission

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After FDT, Defects Too Close

After Rework Grinding After FDTDefects Too Close

After Rework GrindingDefect GrowthAfter Welding and

Machining

After FDT,Contiguous

After Rework GrindingDefect Growth

Limited by 0.048 WT

After FDT,Contiguous

After Rework GrindingSize Failure

Arc Completa, Inc. Ó 2016 - Not to be Used Without Permission

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MachiningHybridTubesrevealsdefectsafterdyetesting80%ofdefectsarecontiguousaftermachiningwhichisnotallowedIfthedefectsarenotconnected,buttheyareallowediftheyaresmallenoughTheteam’schallengeistodetermineiftheyaredealingwiththesamefailuremodesandonecompoundingproblemtobesolved-or- twoconditionsthatneedtobesplitandsolvedseparatelyorminimized,andperhapsmorequickly

Questionstheteammustaskthemselves:Cantheproblembemeasureddirectly,henceshowingimprovementorasolution?

PrimaryConstraint:Regardlessoflocationandnumbers,finalHybridTubewallthicknessmustbe>0.048inch,andifyougrindoutdefectthewallthinsuntilit’safailure.Thiscanbemeasureddirectly.SecondaryConstraint:Actualfrequency,location,andsizesofDyeDefectsarecluestofailuremodesthatneedtobesolvedtoimproveyield;canthesebequantified?

Ifproblemscannotbemeasureddirectly,inthebeginning,perhapsitbemeasuredindirectlybyusinganindicativevariabletoguidecluegeneration

Measuringincreasingoverallyield,weldingefficiencyincreases,andscrapcostsreductionsbecauseofalowernumberoffirsttimeDyeIndicationDefectsaccountsforlessreworkCycleTimeandTotalDyeIndicationsdecreasedafter2ndShiftIndicationDyeQAoperatorwasretrainedtonewvisualstandardscouldbeanotherclueandpossiblepathtosolution

Arc Completa, Inc. Ó 2016 - Not to be Used Without Permission

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0.9800

0.9850

0.9900

0.9950

1.0000

1.0050

1.0100

1.0150

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17

Inches

Measurements

DiameterTotalRun-OutChanged Feeds and Speeds to

Eliminate Chatter

- Measurement Error

Arc Completa, Inc. Ó 2016 - Not to be Used Without Permission

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65% 67% 69% 71% 73% 75% 77% 79% 81% 83% 85% 87% 89% 91% 93% 95% 97% 99%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17

OpticalDeviceFibe

rCou

plingEfficiency

Weeks

NewToolingImprovedPerformance

“Better” Tooling

Implemented

Arc Completa, Inc. Ó 2016 - Not to be Used Without Permission

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65% 67% 69% 71% 73% 75% 77% 79% 81% 83% 85% 87% 89% 91% 93% 95% 97% 99%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17

FirstP

assY

ield

Weeks

GroupYield

Training Standards Implemented

Arc Completa, Inc. Ó 2016 - Not to be Used Without Permission

a rc c o mp le ta

Arc Completa, Inc. Ó 2016 - Not to be Used Without Permission

a rc c o mp le ta

IstheProblemStatementandmeasurementofthedesiredoutcomestillvalid?IfYes:ContinueIfNo:Determineisreductionofscopeisneeded-or- asplitandpark

CanyoudiscriminatebetweenmeasurementswithknownconfidenceIfYes:ContinueIfNo:Yourmeasurementsystemeitherlacksresolutionorrepeatability(R&R)

Canyourdatashowaconvincingdifference(contrast)frombeforeandafter?IfYes:ContinueIfNo:EitheryourmeasurementsystemlacksR&R-or- theproblemwasnotcompletelysolved

CantheSolutionbereproducedmorethanonce?IfYes:ContinueIfNo:Reviewifthemeasurementsystemisstillvalidandifthesolution’sprocessandworkflowwasexecutedcorrectly

Canyousustainandcontrolthechange(thesolution),andmeasuretheperformanceovertimetoeliminatechanceofdriftingbacktoundesirablestate?

IfYes:ProblemisSOLVED!IfNo:Determinewhatcontroland/orprocesschangewillsustainthesolution’sdesiredresult

Arc Completa, Inc. Ó 2016 - Not to be Used Without Permission

a rc c o mp le ta

Problemshave:a Beginninga MiddleandanEnd

BeginningProblem

Identification and Statement

Middle

End

Problem Solving, Inputs & Outcomes

Measurement

Solution and Control

Arc Completa, Inc. Ó 2016 - Not to be Used Without Permission

a rc c o mp le ta

Doesyourcompanyneedabasicfoundationforsuccess?

December8,Noonto1p.m.-MovingfromTacticaltoStrategicPlanning

If so, The UMass Lowell Enlightened Bites Entrepreneurship Series presents the final part of this breakthrough series

Arc Completa, Inc. Ó 2016 - Not to be Used Without Permission

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Myareaofpracticefocusesonemergingtechnologyproductcommercializationinhardwarestart-ups.Also,Iworkwithexistingcompaniesonnewproductintroduction,operations,andproductdevelopmentperformanceimprovement.InallinstancesIusuallyworkinthegrayareabetweenR&DandProductDevelopment-and- OperationsandSupplyChain,employingmethodstolowertheinherentnoiselevelallowingbetterdecisionmakinginamoreaccountableframework.I'mcurrentlyworkingwith UMASS Lowell'sNewVentureBusinessDevelopmentteamand iHub oncontentaroundunderstandingstart-upbehaviors,leadingtoahigherprobabilityofsuccessfulcommercializationandprofitability.

ContactInformation:GaryAinsworthArcCompleta,Inc.- [email protected]

[email protected](m)781-856-0448

Arc Completa, Inc. Ó 2016 - Not to be Used Without Permission

a rc c o mp le ta

ThiscontentisakeyandimportantsubsetofmethodsthatI’veappliedtotechnicalproblemsolvinginR&D,ProductDevelopment,ManufacturingandTestProcessDevelopment,andSupplyChainCertificationandQualificationMymethodsarederivedfromtraditionalstatisticalprocesscontrol(SPC),DesignofExperiments(DOE),advancestatisticalcorrelationmethodsofmultiplemetrologysystems,andpracticalconsiderationsinthemigrationofearlydevelopmentmetrologytoproductionusageThetheoryandpracticeisheavilyinfluencedbyShaininStatisticalEngineeringÓmethodsShaininalwaysstatesthatdevelopingacorrectlysizedandstatedproblemdefinitionstatementandhavingconfidenceinameasurementsystemtodiscriminatebetweenBetter(improved)vs.Current(thecontrol)isthehardestpartofsolvingproblems