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PolicySymposiumonTaxation&EnergyReforms
ProceedingsReportbySustainableDevelopmentPolicyInstitute(SDPI)
March2014
Islamabad
2
All rights reserved. No part of this documentmay be reproduced or transmitted in any
form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording or
information storage and retrieval system, without prior written permission of the
publisher.
TheopinionsexpressedinthisdocumentaresolelythoseoftheparticipantsofthisPolicy
Symposium, and publishing themdoes not in anyway constitute an endorsement of the
opinionbytheSDPI.
SustainableDevelopmentPolicy Institute isan independent,non-profit research institute
onsustainabledevelopment.
March2014
2014bySustainableDevelopmentPolicyInstitute
MailingAddress:POBox2342,Islamabad,Pakistan.
Telephone:+(92-51)2278134,2278136,2277146,2270674-76
Fax:+(92-51)2278135URL:www.sdpi.org,www.sdpi.tv
ThisreportispreparedbythefollowingteamatSDPI:
Dr. Vaqar Ahmed
Saad Shabbir
Muhammad Adnan
Muhammad Zeshan
Muhammad Hamza Abbas
Samavia Batool
Safwan A. Khan
3
Table of Contents
1. Background ................................................................................................................................... 5
2. Creating Momentum ..................................................................................................................... 6
3. Inaugural Session .......................................................................................................................... 7
4. Session I: Taxation Reforms in Pakistan –Way Forward ............................................................. 12
Take Away Messages from Session-I .................................................................................................... 17
5. Session II: Energy Sector Challenges and Current Options ......................................................... 18
Take Away Messages from Session-II ................................................................................................... 23
6. Annex – A: Policy Brief on Energy Reforms ..................................................................................... 24
7. Annex – B: Policy Brief on Taxation Reforms .................................................................................. 31
8. Annex – C: Symposium Agenda ....................................................................................................... 37
9. Annex – D: Media Coverage Links .................................................................................................... 38
10. Annex – E: Symposium Participants ............................................................................................... 39
4
List of Abbreviations
CNIC Computerized National Identity Card
DISCOs Distribution Companies
FBR Federal Board of Revenue
GDP Gross Domestic Product
GENCOs Generation Companies
GST General Sales Tax
IMF International Monetary Fund
IPP Independent Power Producer
IR International Relations
LNG Liquefied Natural Gas
NA National Assembly
NADRA National Database and Registration Authority
NFC National Finance Commission
NTN National Tax Number
OGRA Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority
PA Provincial Assembly
PSE Public Sector Enterprises
SRO Statuary Regulatory Order
US United States
USD United States Dollar
VAT Value Added Tax
5
1. Background
SDPI is a policy research institute and the oldest civil society think tank in Pakistan, which
produces knowledge on sustainable development to enhance the capacity of government
and private sector in making informed policy decisions and to engage civil society on issues
of public interest.
In November 2013, SDPI brought together political representatives, civil society
organizations, business community, media, academia, and practitioners of economic policy
to discuss and form a consensus around future demands of Pakistan’s socio-economic
challenges. The discourse mainly focused on taxation and energy reforms in Pakistan and
intended to serve as an entry-point for debate on inclusive economic governance.
This symposium was appreciated by Finance Minister Ishaq Dar in his speech to the civil
society and media representatives on 12th December 2013. Furthermore, Minister for
Planning, Development and Reforms Ahsan Iqbal deputed the Chiefs of economic sections
in Planning Commission to attend the daylong proceedings and carry the input for the
under formulation Vision 2025.
SDPI’s research team also concluded briefing papers on people’s perceptions about
economic reforms, future of taxation regime in Pakistan, and energy sector reforms
appraisal (Annex A and B). These papers forwarded to the participants at the time of
invitation provided a basis for structured discussion during the symposium. A detailed
description of speakers and discussants at the symposium may be seen in Table 1. The
agenda was carefully implemented so that the audience could be allowed sufficient time for
open discussion after each session.
There was wide media coverage of the symposium, as it addressed the current issue of tax
and energy right after the inception of the new government in October 2013. SDPI tried to
maintain a momentum through its follow-up report, ‘Taxation by Misrepresentation’
(weblink: http://ow.ly/tbPAI). This report published the official tax records of the
parliamentarians in federal and provincial assemblies. It was well-received by the
government and the Finance Minister directed his team to publish (on annual basis) tax
directory of all parliamentarians. Furthermore, Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) was
directed to issue NTN numbers to all those parliamentarians who had not yet accomplished
this obligation.
6
2. Creating Momentum
After the formation of new political government in the aftermath of 2013 general elections,
it was felt that a baseline survey should be conducted where by people’s perceptions about
key economic reforms and their expectations from the new government should be
registered. Such a survey should be guided by current reports on economic reforms which
will ultimately help in drafting a household and firm-level questionnaire.
Keeping in view the above-mentioned, SDPI conducted a household and firm-level survey,
situation analysis reports on energy and taxation reforms as well as policy briefs for the
practice community and media. This information was supposed to inform the debates at
various policy discussion forums including:
a. Policy Symposium on Taxation and Energy Reform 29th November 2013
b. 16th annual Sustainable Development Conference 10th December 2013
c. Launch of the report ‘Taxation by Misrepresentation’ 23rd December 2013
d. Symposium on draft report ‘Appraisal of Iran-Pakistan Gas pipeline) 20th January 2014
In order to keep the debate alive in the popular media, SDPI’s Resource Center has
translated the survey reports, situation analysis papers and briefs in to Urdu and
disseminated to heads of media organizations and economic correspondents. A plan to hold
a special session with economic and business reporters is underway in next quarter in
order to provide them with a stock of evidence produced under the SDPI’s initiative on
‘Inclusive Policy Reforms Debate’.
7
3. Inaugural Session
“There is a dire need for tax administration reforms both
at the federal & provincial levels and revisiting SRO
regime”
-Dr. Vaqar Ahmed, Deputy Executive Director, SDPI
“Parliamentarians should also abide by the rules and pay
their due taxes.”
-Nasreen Jalil, Chairperson, Senate Standing Committee
“The collection of electricity bills from public &private sectors
needs better management.
The target of the current government is fiscal sustainability by
revenue collection, expenditures controls, & efficiency at PSEs”
-Dr. Khaqan Hassan Najeeb, DG Economic Reforms Unit
8
“Agriculture sector shouldn’t be taxed, as it is the backbone of
industry. The right decision should be to tax the people and
put those behind bar who do not pay.”
-Senator Mohsin Khan Leghari
9
Dr Vaqar Ahmed, Deputy Executive Director of SDPI, highlighted the objectives for
organizing the Policy Symposium on Tax and Energy Reforms.
The economy of Pakistan is undergoing a rough patch and the International Monetary Fund
(IMF) has set a heavy footprint, said Dr Ahmed quoting the Prime Minister in a recent
meeting with the business community. The current law and order situation has curtailed
the domestic and foreign investments. Several investors have met the top leadership of the
country. While memorandums of understanding have been signed, little has materialized in
the form of foreign direct investment. The domestic capital formation also remains low.
To make the matters worse, an acute balance of payment crisis has brought the foreign
exchange reserves and Pakistani rupee under immense pressure. The current value vis-à-
vis other foreign currencies has been termed an overvaluation. The key pressures on the
balance of payment will also continue to impact domestic inflation through rising costs of
imports. With proceeds from the coalition support fund and 3G licenses, slow to
materialize the government is left with no choice but to agree to the course correction
suggested under the IMF programme.
With falling value of currency the cost of external debt will also see a rise in rupee terms.
This can exacerbate the pressure on cost-push inflation. Already the Finance Minister has
admitted before parliament that a large part of rupee devaluation is due to the ongoing
debt retirement.
On taxation reforms, Dr Ahmed said that there is a dire need to strengthen the tax
administration reforms both at the federal and provincial levels and revisit
exemptions/SRO regime as a whole. Demand-side accountability tools can be used towards
greater realization of tax targets. Agricultural and service taxes should also be considered,
he added. A directory containing parliamentarians’ annual tax records should be published
by FBR.
While speaking about the energy sector reforms, Dr Ahmed said that the energy shortages
are a major hindrance in the revival of short-term economic growth. Although, there are
many innovative solutions to energy being prescribed in the popular media, their
implementation has been very slow. It is important now that the new government should
undertake the painful reforms in energy sector including: a) putting in place a tariff
structure that covers full economic cost, b) eliminating untargeted, hidden and cross
subsides, and c) plugging transmission and distribution losses.
It is in this background that SDPI wishes to open a public debate on key economic issues
and keep it focused for the time being on energy and taxation reforms desired for realizing
economic growth potential and fiscal sustainability respectively.
10
Dr. Khaqan Najeeb, Director-General, Economic Reforms Unit, Ministry of Finance said
that the country needs a stable macroeconomic environment in order to implement
policies to address inequality and targeted welfare regimes. We really need to decide
whether we want the government to hold all the big industries or do we need to move
towards private sector growth and privatization of public sector enterprises. We have
shortlisted 31 entities for privatization in which strategic partnerships would be
encouraged. We aim to induct professional managers in large public sector organizations
which can in turn deliver on key performance indicators under a results-based
management. Instead of managing these entities on a day-to-day basis, the government
should in turn focus on better policy-making and effective regulation.
The developing world has observed high growth rates surpassing 5% over the last decade,
which has had a huge impact on the energy consumption in those regions. In his view, there
is a lot of literature developed in Pakistan and so there is informed decision making. The
planning of Vision 2025 involves collective thinking of all the major stakeholders.
The target of the current government is fiscal sustainability by revenue collection,
expenditure controls, and reform of energy sector and public sector enterprises. Our focus
should slowly move in the direction of development of exporting sectors and building upon
the remittance inflows.
On taxation reforms, the government will devise a national harmonized tax strategy with
the help of provincial governments. The tax base will be broadened and statutory
Regulatory Order (SRO) would be reviewed. The target for the tax to GDP ratio is set at
15% by the end of IMF program, which is currently at an average of 9% over the past five
years. The government is also committed to introduce data mining, warehousing and
increased auditing in taxation system.
The efforts of the government in energy sector include moving towards a cheaper fuel mix
and enhanced efficiency through technological advancement of the GENCOs to bring down
the cost of electricity production. The line losses have to be decreased from 23% to 16%.
The collection of bills from both public and private sectors needs improvement. Similarly
demand side approach in energy management should be introduced, and we should move
towards green energy from the medium to long-term.
Senator Nasreen Jalil, Chairperson of Senate Standing Committee on Finance, Revenue,
Economic Affairs, Statistics, Planning and Privatization, while lauding the work done by
SDPI and Mr Umer Cheema, which, she said, shows that our parliamentarians are thinking
themselves as above the law and not filing income tax returns.
She warned that the country is heading towards an unsustainable fiscal deficit, high rate of
inflation and unemployment. The growth rate is stagnant at 3% (medium term average)
11
annually. This is lower than the growth of labour force in Pakistan. The foreign exchange
reserves stand at USD 2.5 billion and US has held back payments of about USD 500 million.
Referring to a World Bank report that shows that Pakistan is at the brink of bankruptcy
with Rs 1.5 trillion budget deficits annually over the medium term, she said: No audit is
being conducted for the payments being made for settling the circular debt for energy.
She suggested that parliamentarians should abide by the rules. The FBR system is so slow
that in some cases even if someone is not paying tax, there is no reminder or penalty from
the FBR. In the end she emphasized on the low tax receipts from agriculture sector, which
is less than 2% of the total tax receipts.
Senator Mohsin Khan Leghari believed that tough decisions are needed instead of
popular decisions. The right decision should be to tax the people and put those behind the
bar, who do not pay taxes.
Tax collection is a provincial subject now, but there is a weak mechanism to stop tax
evasion. Indirect taxes are unfair to the poor, who end up bearing this burden. It has to be
minimized and direct tax regime needs to be strengthened. Instead of talking more about
expenditure requirements of the government, we should suggest ways to generate revenue.
He also spoke on the importance of water reservoirs in the country. Though, energy is very
important source of growth for the economy, so is water. Rural economy has been ignored
by all the governments in the past. Agriculture sector provides raw material for the
industry and remains an important source for growth in the textile industry. In this
perspective, the government should remain careful when talk about agriculture taxation in
Pakistan. A more open debate should take place on agriculture taxes.
12
4. Session I: Taxation Reforms in Pakistan –Way Forward
“The FBR should have full autonomy. The tax systems should be easy, less
time consuming and regular audits should be conducted.”
Noman Ishtiaq, Economic Consultant SDPI
“The rates of direct taxes should be revised and in some cases
increased with proper accountability. Sales tax should be in single
digits.”
Shahid Hussain Asad, Member IR policy, FBR
“FBR intends to send notices to 100,000 people that will take 32 years
if we rely on the current system.”
Sakib Sherani, CEO Macroeconomic Insights
“61% of the parliamentarians do not have a national tax number
(NTN).”
Umar Cheema, Investigative Journalist, The News
“Agriculture income must be taxed and provinces should be
responsible for collection of these taxes.”
Nasreen Jaleel Chairperson Senate Standing Committee
13
Mr Noman Ishtiaq, Economic Consultant, SDPI, gave a detailed presentation on the study
conducted by SDPI on taxation reforms in Pakistan. He said that the government provides
general services through revenue collected from taxes. The system should be fair,
equitable, transparent and administratively strong.
The debt to GDP ratio is going to rise above 60% in this year, as the country has borrowed
from IMF. The more worrisome fact is that the federal tax to GDP ratio will remain low.
According to the 7th NFC award, federal government’s total revenue of 57% is going to
provinces. The revenue boards of provincial governments are reluctant to act fast to
generate more revenues because they are getting a substantial share from the federal
budget. He also said that agriculture and property taxes need to be revised.
His presentation showed that there are three major problems associated with taxation
system in Pakistan:
1. Exemptions, concession and preferential treatments
These exemptions and concessions are part of the annual budgetary proceedings
and the government can also issue SROs without parliament’s approval. To-date
86% of customs tariff lines are affected by SROs that lead to revenue leakage of 3-
4% of GDP amounting to Rs 600-800 billion. There is no legal requirement to
report the value lost due to SROs in the federal or provincial budgets.
14
2. Tax Administration
The tax administration is inefficient, fragmented and has a rent seeking behavior.
According to a survey conducted by SDPI, 68% of households thought that
Pakistan tax system is not fair, 60% firms thought that there is corruption, and
10% said that new sectors needed to be brought in the tax net.
3. Narrow Tax Base
There are only 0.7 million taxpayers in the country. Our legislators are among the
defaulters as 61% of parliamentarians don’t pay tax, and 62% ministers don’t pay
tax. Average tax rates are higher in Pakistan as corporate tax stands at 34% and
sales tax is now 17%. The proceeds from agriculture taxation remain low. In the
global taxpayers’ index, Pakistan is ranked 162. It takes 560 hours for filing tax
returns, which is the loss of taxpayers time.
Mr Ishtiaq recommended that the tax laws and SRO regime should be revisited and tax
exemptions should be subject to approval of parliament. The FBR should have full
autonomy. The tax systems should be easy, less time consuming and regular audits should
be conducted. Sectors such as agriculture, property, money and capital market should be in
the tax net.
Mr. Shahid Hussain
Asad, Member IR
Policy, Federal Board
of Revenue said that
individual rates are not
more than 30% and
will be further lowered
in order to address the
chances of default. We
propose that rates of
direct taxes should be
revised and in some
cases increased with
proper accountability
structures, whereas
15
sales tax should be at single digit and no return be
allowed on that.
Pakistan should move towards a full Value Added Tax
(VAT) mechanism and its rates should be minimum.
This will in turn help the documentation of currently
growing informal economy. Our business community is
not ready to cooperate with FBR to formalize policies
for improved taxation system in the country. He also
supported the idea of SRO being subject to approval of
parliament.
Mr Sakib Sherani, Chief Executive Officer, Macroeconomics Insight, expressed his
reservations on the progress of FBR. The tax officials go to the same taxpayers every year
without improving the tax base in the country.
A large part of the formal sector is hiding
their sales and has actually gone to the
informal sector. National statistics now
show the informal sector in the books, which
needs to be checked. He also said that tax
policy and administration is very important
for adequate collection of taxes. The biggest
thing we need to do is to bring back the
confidence of the taxpayers.
FBR recently highlighted 176,000 people
with multiple bank accounts, houses and
international travelling who do not pay their taxes. Now this list has expanded to 3.2
million. FBR intends to send notices to 100,000 people that will take 32 years if we rely on
the current system. Automation of tax system, human resource capacity and organization’s
structural issues need to be corrected.
According to a recent report by Mr Umer Cheema, Investigative Journalist, The News, over
half of the parliamentarians do not have a national tax number (NTN). A recent news article
stated that FBR selected 50,000 people for audit but now this effort has been suspended.
The reason was that many of the relatives of our legislators fall in that list of defaulters.
16
Senator Ms Nasreen Jalil, Chairperson of Senate Standing Committee on Finance,
Revenue, Economic Affairs, Statistics, Planning and Development and Privatization has
shown her concerns for the depleting revenues of the government. She said that SROs are
creating monopolies in the country. Legislation should be strengthened regarding issuance
and management of SROs. These SROs must be regularly presented in parliament. The FBR
must be an autonomous body except for the case of SROs.
It is our duty as parliamentarians to set an example for the other taxpayers. Tax burden is
ultimately on the poor and the middle class. The agriculture incomes must be taxed and
provinces should be responsible for collection of these taxes.
The exporting community also needs a level playing field. At the provincial level, autonomy
must be given for the imposition of withholding taxes. There are several innovative forms
of taxation around the globe and we need to adopt the same; this will help the government
from expensive borrowing. We also need trained human resource in FBR and provincial
revenue collection departments.
17
Take Away Messages from Session-I
• Tax exemptions and concessions need to be phased out
• Any future tax exemption in the form of SRO should be subject to parliamentary
approval
• The exemptions should be calculated using internationally recognized methods and
reported in the budget each year
• The political intervention in the operations of FBR should be minimized. It should be
fully autonomous to carry out its mandate.
• A restructuring of FBR is also necessary to create functional expertise.
• FBR should upload its strategic plans and report key performance indicators on its
website.
• The provincial revenue departments should not rely on FBR and exercise their
autonomy to collect agriculture, property and service taxes.
• Tax compliance should be made cheap and avoidance costly.
• Serious and certain action should be taken against the tax defaulters by the FBR.
• Pakistan still relies heavily on withholding taxes, which is not a good international
practice
18
5. Session II: Energy Sector Challenges and Current Options
“The subsidies are aimed to give relief to the poor but
unfortunately only 0.3% of the total subsidy reaches them.”
Dr. Vaqar Ahmed, Deputy Executive Director, SDPI
“The production of electricity should solely be driven by efficiency
rather than by bureaucracy and corruption.”
Dr Musaddiq Malik, Advisor to Prime Minister for Water & Power
“Half of the trade deficit is due to energy imports, which can be reduced.”
Kaiser Bengali, Advisor to Chief Minister, Balochistan
“There is a lack of exploration activities in a country which needs them
most.”
Saeed Ahmed Khan, Chairman, OGRA
“The government needs to build an environment to facilitate an
increase in investment in energy sector."
Syed Mohammad Ali, CEO Engro PowerGen
19
The government is unable to cover its cost of providing energy mainly due to the lower
than economic cost tariff, presence of various forms of subsidies, transmission and
distribution losses and theft of power and gas, said Dr Vaqar Ahmed, Deputy Executive
Director, SDPI. The subsidies are aimed to give relief to the poor but unfortunately in 2012
only 0.3% of the total subsidy reached those below the poverty line, he added.
On top of that, the unwillingness to pay for electricity bills has worsened the current
situation. In a city like Hyderabad, the main distribution company is only able to recover
bills from 60% consumers.
Around 24,000 cases of electricity theft have been registered this year, but there has been
no serious punishment. A survey conducted by the SDPI reveals that people have agreed to
pay higher electricity bills in the absence of load-shedding; around 75% people in
Faisalabad are willing to pay higher unit price. A rise in electricity prices has also been seen
in the past to promote theft, which can
only be reduced through bottom-up
accountability.
Going forward the key challenges that
Pakistan faces in energy sector are the
energy demand and supply gap, its
affordability, and inefficiency in
electricity generation; argued Dr
Mussaddiq Malik, Advisor to Prime
Minister on Water and Power. It is not
possible to move forward in a
sustainable manner when the country
faces an average 14 hours of load-shedding.
At regional level, Pakistan does not have comparative advantage over the electricity
generation. Pakistan produces electricity at much expensive rate as compared to India. The
main reason is that 44% of the total energy mix comes from furnace oil and diesel. India
has an advantage in the cheaper production of coal based energy which Pakistan severely
lacks. The current average cost of power production in Pakistan is 9.5 cents a unit while
India produces at 7 cents a unit. In Pakistan, there is a misconception that the hydel-power
is the cheapest source of electricity generation. Even if we consider the replacement cost,
the new hydel-electricity will be charged at 8 cents a unit, still more than India’s production
cost.
20
However, taking the right decisions now can bridge the supply-demand gap in energy
sector. Currently, the transmission and distribution losses are around 23 per cent in
Pakistan, which needs to be brought down to 16 per cent, while in China these losses are
around 6%.
Out of the 22 million residential connections in Pakistan, around 68 per cent consume less
than 200 units monthly. Even though the overall demand for electricity is trivial in
Pakistan, the government is unable to cater to it. Coal may be dirty but seems like a
possible way out of this crisis. We will have to compensate the environmental losses due to
coal through various means, including addition of renewable energy in our energy mix.
A major portion of the electricity deficit is due to the ever rising uncollected bills.
Electricity is produced at 9 cents a unit and delivered at 14.6 cents a unit to the consumer
who ends up paying not only for his own bill but also for the theft and GST on theft. The
provision of subsidy to public sector power production makes the market structure
uncompetitive and results in the lack of investment.
The production of electricity should solely be driven by efficiency rather than by
bureaucracy and corruption. Efficiency can be increased by regulating the merit order,
transparency and accountability. Increasing the efficiency can reduce the cost of electricity
production by 30%. The government should revise its policies to provide fuel to the most
efficient power plants only.
The government should revise the tariffs downward overtime if it is successful in meeting
its variable costs and increase efficiency in production. Efficient and economical production
of electricity can be helped through optimal energy mix, increased domestic and foreign
21
investment in energy, reduced cost of distribution, and elimination of cross and hidden
subsidies.
Oil constitutes 26% of the total energy imports from which 92% is consumed by the
transport sector only, said Kaiser Bengali, Advisor to Balochistan Chief Minister. Half of
the trade deficit is due to energy related imports, which can be reduced by decreasing the
share of energy imports in total imports.
Currently, around 1.1 million applications are pending for new gas connections while
Pakistan does not have adequate gas supply to provide for the current demand of 6 million
gas connection, said Mr Saeed Ahmed Khan, Chairman, Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority.
The gas losses are around 12 per cent, which cost more than 13 billion annually. From
these losses, more than 60 per cent losses are non-consumer gas theft, which is higher than
the technical losses. The gas thefts are highest in three districts, including Gujranwala,
Faisalabad and Lahore. The
additional problems arise from the
political favoritism as various
politicians demand for providing
gas to uneconomic distant clients.
There is a lack of exploration
activities in the country, which
needs them most. A gas network
from a well to the consumer
pipeline takes three to eight years
while the most efficient project
took 21 months to be operational.
Exploration activities take time, so
in the short-term import of gas is perhaps the only option. However, importing LNG also
takes 12-18 month time due to the construction of adequate port and land infrastructure
that supports LNG imports.
The government lacks capacity to reform the energy sector, said Syed Mohammed Ali,
Chief Executive Officer at EngroPowergen. Energy imports comprised of USD 12 billion
import bill in 2011. By 2020, the power demand in Pakistan would have grown to 26,000
MW and consequently the import bill would rise up to USD 14-22 billion if we continue to
import the same energy mix.
Pakistan should move from a fixed tariff structure for IPPs to international competitive
bids to reduce the cost of production. The government needs to build an environment to
facilitate an increase of investment in energy sector. Within our current capacity, the right
22
energy mix and pricing structure
would attract both foreign and local
investment. Expensive methods like
furnace oil based energy mix add to
the circular debt. Pakistan has
extensive gas supply network
which is not working at its potential
capacity. Further, cross subsidy in
the power sector need to be
revisited. Increasing the share of
Thar coal in energy mix can reduce
the cost of power generation in the
country.
23
Take Away Messages from Session-II
• The government needs to put in place a tariff structure that covers its economic cost
of providing energy.
• There should be performance contracts for grid stations and DISCOs that have
specific clauses on reduction in distribution losses and full collection of receivables.
• The allocation of fuel to GENCOs and IPPs should be linked with their efficiency
levels
• The subsidies should be targeted to the poor only, consuming less than 100 units of
electricity a month.
• All subsidies, other than the lifeline block, should phase out within the next 24
months.
• Even for the poor, subsidy mechanism should be replaced with more efficient cash
in hand transfer to the poor.
• Responsible institutions should be empowered and held accountable for preventing
transmission and distribution losses as well as theft.
24
6. Annex – A: Policy Brief on Energy Reforms
25
How to Solve Pakistan’s Power Crisis?
The Economic Survey of Pakistan notes that during 2011-12 around USD 4.8 billion or 2 percent of
gross domestic product (GDP) was lost due to power sector outages. This is a major factor behind
Pakistan’s disappointing economic performance over the past 5 years, with GDP growth averaging
under 3 percent (GoP 2013).
The National Power Policy by the new government recognises that, in addition to the direct adverse
impact on growth, the power crisis is bleeding the national exchequer through still high hidden and
cross subsidies as well as administrative and line losses (theft). However SDPI’s household-level
survey conducted to probe people’s willingness to pay higher tariffs in the wake of power sector
reforms, reveals little understanding of the causes of the crisis. In this brief we touch upon 3 such
causes, namely: inability of consumers to understand that elimination of load-shedding will require
full economic-cost pricing, insistence of politicians on maintaining untargeted subsidies (having
weak impact for poor), and inability to stem administrative and line losses (including theft).
1. Willingness to pay for power
The most fundamental principle in economics is ‘getting prices right’. The price of a good indicates
how much is consumed (demand) and how much is produced (supply). When fixing tariffs it is
important that they cover the costs of generating, transmitting and distributing electricity. Failure
to do so will mean that generation companies (GENCOs) and distribution companies (DISCOs) lose
money and go out of business.
We establish here the unwillingness at household-level to pay for the power consumed. Below we
exhibit how the recoveries of some very large DISCOs have deteriorated over time. Their clients
have not paid for the power consumed. In Hyderabad, for example, only 60% of the power supplied
in 2012 was paid for – in a city of over 6.5 million people.
DISCO-wise Revenue Collection
DISCOs 2007-08 2008-09 2010-11 2011-12
PESCO 71% 67% 78% 68%
HESCO 77% 68% 59% 60%
QESCO 86% 80% 41% 36%
Source: DISCOs Performance Statistics Reports 2008-2012
DISCOs are also unable to adopt the normal commercial practices in other countries of
disconnecting customers for non-payment because of unclear legislation and political pressure. To
add to this, federal and provincial governments are also power sector defaulters. Such chronic
default by government and non-government consumers is a major reason behind recurrence of
circular debt.
26
Source: SDPI Survey Unit 2013
SDPI’s household-level survey results, (above) reveal little understanding among the consumers
that tariffs do not cover costs and that this is the main cause of power cuts and stoppages.
Consumers want an end to load shedding, but most say they are not prepared to pay the full
economic cost of producing power.
2. Cost of maintaining subsidies
The fundamental rationale for subsidising electricity tariffs is to augment the paying capacity of the
poorest of poor. However once subsidies are provided across the board, people start to demand
them as their right and politicians feel compelled to maintain this distortive fiscal burden to win
popularity.
Source: Planning Commission of Pakistan, 2012
The above chart illustrates the contradiction between the rationale for subsidies and actual
practice. Only 0.3% of subsidies in 2012 went to the poorest consumers, those using less than 100
units a month. There is no economic or social logic for subsidising the other consumer categories.
No , 82%
Don't
Know, 6%Yes,
12%
Will households pay if power cuts are
eliminated and tariff is increased by 10%?
Domestic-
lifeline (1-
100), 0.3%
Domestic
(1-100),
11.1%
Domestic
(101-300),
38.5%
Domestic
Others, 7.7%
Agriculture,
25.1%
Industrial,
5.9%
Bulk , 0.9%
Commercial,
6.1%Others, 4.3%
Subsidy Outlay 2012
27
Source: Economic Survey of Pakistan, 2013
The table above shows the wide variation in subsidies across sectors, regions and consumption
levels. Even residential consumers using above 600 units were being subsidised in 2012. While the
new government in 2013 has rationalized subsidies, we argue below that the current subsidies are
still more than the global norm of 100 units for a lifeline block.
Since 2005 the typical politician’s response to the power deficit has been to keep subsidising
expenditures and not risk political office by transmitting full economic cost to consumers. Both
power deficits and subsidies have grown in a similar pattern. Suppressed tariffs meant operators
had insufficient funds (or incentive) to fully utilize existing capacity or adopt cheaper sources of
generation.
Source: NEPRA and Planning Commission of Pakistan 2013
There has also been a lack of transparency in subsidy allocation and tariff setting. Most prices are
determined by supply and demand in competitive markets. However, where markets are
uncompetitive government regulation may be needed. Since Pakistan’s DISCOs are monopoly
suppliers in their regional markets, NEPRA was established to ensure monopolies are not abused.
NEPRA officials’ autonomy has been breached on several occasions. Most notable was the
intervention by the Judicial authorities which ended up carving out their own role in 2012 and
intervened with orders that hampered implementation of NEPRA orders.
Subsidy by the government on power consumption (Rs/kW)
LESCO GEPCO FESCO MEPCO HESCO SEPCO QESCO PESCO
1. Residential, <700 units 0.4 1.4 1.4 2.9 3.9 3.9 1.4 4.4
2. Industrial, (66.132 KV & above) -
TOU (Peak) 2.1 2.1 2.1 3.1 6.6 6.6 4.0 7.1
3. Agricultural, 5 KW & above -TOU
(Peak) 1.5 1.5 1.5 2.5 6.0 6.0 3.5 6.5
0
100
200
300
400
500
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Su
bsi
dy
(P
KR
Bil
lio
n)
De
fici
t (M
W)
Power Deficit & Subsidies
Electricity Shortfall (MW) Subsidy to Power Sector
28
3. Administrative and Line Losses
It is unthinkable that responsible governments let incidents of theft and efficiency losses in
generation, transmission and distribution (T&D) pass so easily.
Source: World Development Indicators 2013
The T&D losses in Pakistan are higher than 117 countries in the world. The world average is 8.8%
while in Pakistan these losses stand at 25%.
In August 2013, the Secretary of Water and Power Ministry informed the Senate Standing
Committee that Pakistan loses annually PKR 150 billion (USD 1.7 billion) in line losses and power
theft. Until August 23,770 cases of theft were registered and under trial, but only 3 cases were
punished. Moreover, the fine imposed was under PKR 5,000 in each case.
The above clearly indicates lacunae in the accountability mechanism. This requires amendments in
Pakistan Penal Code so that there is certainty of effective punishment in cases of energy theft.
SDPI’s firm-level survey conducted in major business centres of 4 provinces indicates that the
power sector defaulters are well known even in their own communities. Yet they are never
reported, as there is a strong perception that there will be no effective trial on such instances of
crime.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
19
71
19
74
19
77
19
80
19
83
19
86
19
89
19
92
19
95
19
98
20
01
20
04
20
07
20
10
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Power T & D Losses (% of output)
Pakistan Bangladesh Nepal Sri Lanka
29
Source: SDPI Survey Unit 2013
4. Hopes from National Power Policy
While the National Power Policy promises a plethora of reforms aimed at strengthening efficiency,
competitiveness and sustainability – addressing the above 3 fundamental causes of the energy
crisis is of foremost importance.
Tariffs and subsidies: the draft policy recognizes that subsidies should only benefit the poorest of
the poor. The definition of a poor consumer is someone utilizing less than 200 units of electricity a
month. Globally, ‘lifeline blocks’ are typically no more than 100 units a month. We believe that the
current ceiling is still high and should be lowered. Similarly, there is no justification for subsidising
commercial, industrial and bulk users. The policy aims to phase out subsidies over 3 years. Given
the heavy fiscal cost of subsidies we recommend that all subsidies (including hidden and cross
subsidies) - except perhaps a 100 unit lifeline block - should be phased out over the next 24
months.
It is important to understand the incentives of buyers and sellers. A much more effective method of
protecting the poor than subsidizing items like electricity and wheat – without distorting market
functioning – is to provide them (and only them) with cash transfers. Well-functioning targeting
mechanisms have already been developed through Benazir Income Support Program (poverty
scorecard database).
Curbing theft: Unaccounted-for-gas controls should be enforced and the saved gas diverted to the
power sector. The policy notes that just a 10 percent diversion can produce an extra 2000MW.
Current transmission losses of 3.6 percent are higher than the NEPRA allowed losses of 2.5 percent.
This immediately calls for introducing performance contracts (clearly mentioning targets for
reduction in losses) for grid stations under National Transmission and Dispatch Company.
At the DISCOs level as well the power policy aims for a similar mechanism of performance contracts
aimed at increasing accountability of heads of DISCOs. It is further recommended that such
contracts should have specific clauses on reduction in distribution losses and full collection of
receivables from consumers.
35%
59%
6%
Yes No Don't Know
Do you know of power theft in your area?
30
Competing for fuel allocation: The allocation of fuel to GENCOs should be linked with their
efficiency levels. If the Independent Power Producers (IPPs) are better performing in efficiency
terms then IPPs should get preference over GENCOs in fuel allocation. According to Ministry of
Water and Power’s own estimates a 4000mtoe shift from GENCOs to IPPs will save PKR 77 billion
annually. Whereas GENCOs spend PKR 13 billion per month to generate 650 MW, IPPs spend only
PKR 10 million per month to generate 1150 MW.
5. Conclusion
The main objective of this policy brief is to highlight the link between lower than economic-cost
tariffs and load shedding. If tariffs do not cover GENCOs’ operating costs they are unable to buy
sufficient fuel. This is why many power stations are operating below capacity. To eliminate load
shedding Pakistan needs not only to increase utilisation of existing capacity, but also substantial
investment in new capacity. However, investors require tariffs high enough to cover both operating
and capital costs, i.e. including a return on capital invested. There has been minimal investment in
recent years because tariffs have been too low to cover operating, let alone capital, costs. With
growing demand this has meant an inevitable increase in load shedding. The only way to eliminate
load shedding in the short to medium term is by increasing tariffs.
Once consumers understand that artificially suppressing tariffs is largely responsible for load
shedding, it should become easier for the political representatives to take the difficult decision to
reduce untargeted subsidies and pass on the full cost of supplying power to consumers. Finally,
these political representatives will also need to assert themselves and confront the power sector
defaulters and crackdown on theft that is resulting in losses well above international norms.
31
7. Annex – B: Policy Brief on Taxation Reforms
32
Tax Reforms in Pakistan
Taxes matter. Taxes affect citizens, economy of the country, businesses, and delivery of
public services. If a government is unable to collect adequate taxes and use them
effectively then the result is economic instability and poor service delivery to the public.
Pakistan’s taxation system has been receiving increased attention due to its inability to
collect enough revenues required for improving lives of Pakistanis.
Pakistani government spends around 0.7 percent of GDP on health. This is less than half of
what other governments in lower middle-income countries spend on health. On
elementary education, Pakistan spends less than 2 percent of GDP. This is also low when
compared with other regional countries.
One of the main reasons for low investment in social services is low revenue collection.
Total revenue collected by the Pakistani Government, using tax and other measures, is
around 13 percent1 of GDP, which is the lowest among all emerging economies. No country
can afford basic government services with such low levels of revenue.
Revenue to GDP Ratio in selected Emerging Economies
Source: World Development Indicators 2013
The revenue collected is not nearly sufficient to meet public expenditure, which has
averaged 20 percent of GDP over the past five years. The result is high government
borrowing that has led the country into a ‘debt-trap’ (in 2012-13 the Federal Government
paid over 60% of its revenue as interest on loans). Expenditure beyond revenue has also
created economic imbalances, forcing Pakistan to repeatedly seek assistance from the IMF.
In its latest programme, the IMF has advised the Pakistani government to reduce its budget
1 World Development Indicators
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Hun
gary
Ukr
aine
Argen
tina
Polan
d
Brazil
Turk
ey
Mor
occo
South
Afri
ca
Niger
ia
Kenya
Malay
sia
Chile
Mex
ico
Thaila
nd
India
Philip
pine
s
Indo
nesia
Pakista
n
33
deficit. Without radical increases in revenue, this must mean spending cuts and further
deterioration in public service delivery.
The Government collects more than 80 percent of total revenue by imposing taxes. This is
around 10 percent of GDP, of which 9 percent of GDP is collected through Federal Board of
Revenue (FBR).2 This is amongst the lowest rates of tax collection by Federal Government
in the World – excluding oil-producing countries. The tax to GDP ratio has decreased from
around 14 percent in the mid-eighties to 10 percent. By contrast, China has increased its
tax to GDP ratio from 10 percent to over 20 percent since the early nineties.
The Constitution of Pakistan specifies the type of taxes that the Federal and Provincial
Governments can collect. For example, taxes on individual incomes and on company
profits are Federal taxes, while taxes on property and agriculture are provincial taxes. At
the provincial level taxes are collected by provincial Excise and Taxation departments (that
collect taxes from urban areas), Boards of Revenue (that largely collect taxes from rural
areas), and Revenue Authorities / Boards in Sindh and Punjab (that were recently
established to collect sales tax on services).
Provinces have struggled to increase their own tax revenue in recent years. On average 0.4
percent of GDP is collected through provincial taxes. The three main reasons for low
revenue generation are: 1) politicians find it difficult to justify increase in taxes to their
constituencies, primarily because of poor public services, and hence there is lack of political
will; 2) provincial tax collection machinery – especially in rural areas - lacks administrative
skills; and 3) the 7th NFC Award3 increased the provinces’ share of FBR’s taxes from 47 to
57.5 percent, with the rather mild condition that provinces should work with Federal
government to enhance national taxes. This condition was never taken seriously and the
agreement with the provinces under the Award to increase taxes to 15 percent of GDP by
June 2015 is highly unlikely to be met.
The new government has announced its intention to increase the tax to GDP ratio to 15
percent by 2018. This is a big challenge and will require considerable effort by both federal
and provincial governments. To achieve this target, fundamental shifts in tax policy and tax
administration will be required. We highlight three key issues:
1. Exemptions, Concessions and Preferential Treatment
For many years, different governments have allowed extensive tax exemptions,
concessions and preferential treatments. Exemptions are provided in the tax laws, and
through a legal instrument called ‘Statutory Regulatory Order’ (SRO) issued by the Federal 2 Average of past 5 years. For 2012-13 the FBR collected tax equivalent to 8.3% of GDP
3 The mechanism through which tax revenues collected by FBR are distributed between Federal and Provincial governments,
applicable from July 2010
34
Board of Revenue. To date FBR has issued 1,920 SROs. Independent studies estimate
revenue leakage at 3-4 percent of GDP due to: 1) the amount of tax liability faced by
taxpayers that is not paid on time; and 2) revenue loss resulting from preferential
treatment. Losses in 2012 are estimated at between Rs.600 and Rs.800 billion. If tax
evasion - also estimated at 3-4 percent of GDP - is added to this, the total loss in the present
taxation system is roughly equal to total government borrowing each year.
As per Article 77 of the Constitution, Federal taxes will be levied by an Act of Parliament.
However, the tax laws grant the government power to give exemptions, concessions and
preferential treatment without Parliamentary approval. This is almost unheard of in
other parliamentary systems, meaning parliament can be over-ruled by bureaucrats and
Ministers. There is not even a requirement in the law to report the total value of these
exemptions to Parliament.
What is needed is a phasing out of these exemptions and concessions. A number of
exemptions were removed in the Budget 2013-14 and the government has agreed to
review and remove all exemptions through SROs within three years.
We recommend an exemption phase-out plan to be designed by the Government, including
necessary amendments in taxation laws. We also recommend that that any proposed future
exemptions and concessions should be subject to Parliamentary approval so that public
representatives have a say in matters that affect tax revenue. The value of exemptions and
concessions should be calculated using internationally recognised methods and reported in
the budget each year so that Parliament and the public are aware of the resulting revenue
losses.
2. Weak and Inefficient Tax Administration
Tax collection in Pakistan remains non-transparent with substantial instances of rent-
seeking. A 2004 World Bank study found that the FBR suffered from deep institutional and
management weaknesses. The 2005 ‘Tax Administration Reform Project’ had largely failed
to achieve its objectives by 2012. Tax administration organisations (both federal and
provincial) have suffered from inefficient and fragmented management, weak human
resources, lack of supporting systems, and excessive scope for discretion and rent seeking
behaviour. Weak tax administration results in high tax avoidance and opens avenues for
corruption as indicated in the figure below.
SDPI’s Household Survey conducted in May 2013 reveals taxpayers’ lack of trust and
perceived corruption in tax administration as major reasons for not paying taxes.
35
We recommend that; 1) consideration should be given to full autonomy of FBR along the
lines of State Bank of Pakistan – having its own human resource structure and management
to create a professional workforce – independent from the direct influence of the
Government, 2) FBR should be restructured to create functional expertise, 3) FBR should
upload its medium-term strategic plans on its website and monitor and report key
performance indicators on a regular basis, and 4) at the provincial level, newly formed
provincial revenue authorities should take over the functions of existing excise, revenue
and board of revenue departments and focus on enhancing collection of agriculture tax and
property taxes.
3. Narrow Tax Base
Very few Pakistanis pay income taxes. Out of a total workforce of 58 million less than 2
million are registered taxpayers, and last year only 0.7 million people actually paid income
tax. This is roughly 2 people in 100 employed. Of all the lawmakers in the National and
Provincial Assemblies 61 percent did not pay taxes in the year they contested the elections.
51 percent of Senators did not pay tax. 62 percent of Cabinet Ministers did not file tax
returns.4
Of the total income tax collected, more than 60 percent is collected through ‘withholding
tax’5. Withholding tax is not a good international practice. Pakistan’s exceptionally high
dependence on the tax signifies an unusually high proportion of ‘hard-to-tax’ individuals.
Only 28 percent of income tax is collected through deduction at source, or through
voluntary payments by taxpayers. The remaining 12 percent is collected through tax
inquiries by the tax officials.
4 This was reported in the international media and strongly criticised in the UK Parliament.
5 A system in which advance tax is collected at the time of a transaction – e.g. when paying a mobile phone bill – and it is
assumed that the person paying has an income of more than Rs.400,000 per annum – the minimum amount above which
income tax is applicable
37%
40%
29%
Prevent arbitrary levies
Curtailing harrasment
Reduce time towards taxmatters
Why we give informal gifts to tax officials
18%
51%
20%
2%
9%
Declining real incomes
Corruption in tax administration
Lack of trust regarding taxutiliation
Cumbersome tax filing
Others
Why we do not pay taxes
36
Pakistan ranks 162nd in the global ‘paying taxes’ index compiled by the World Bank. There
are many reasons why people do not pay income taxes. As per the survey, it takes an
average of 560 hours (highest in South-Asia) to comply with tax. Another reason is rent-
seeking behaviour of tax officials. SDPI’s survey of informal sector businesses in 2013
found that almost 22 percent do not intend to register with the tax authorities, with a large
proportion afraid of intrusion by tax officials.
Another reason is weak enforcement. Hardly anyone gets convicted for tax crimes. In
2011 the FBR announced that it had access to a list of around 3 million people who do not
pay taxes yet enjoy a lavish lifestyle including frequent foreign visits, more than one bank
account, and number of vehicles and property registrations. The lack of convictions,
discretion for tax officials and lack of documentation together make it easy for people to
evade taxes. Independent studies point to losses due to tax evasion of between 3-4 percent
of GDP each year.
It is essential that Pakistan’s tax system should be seen as fair, adequate, simple,
transparent, and administratively easy to comply with. People’s perceptions regarding
revenue collecting authorities and the Government that provides them with services are
also important. Tax avoidance must be made costly and compliance cheap. If tax leakages
(as identified above) are removed, an extra 6 – 8 percent of GDP of revenue can be realised.
But Pakistan has a long way to go to improve its tax system and until this is accomplished
one cannot expect much improvement in poverty and welfare at grassroots level.
3%
30%27%
37%
Registrationwill curtailgrowth
Afraid ofIntrusion
Compliance iscostly
Lackunderstandingon tax matters
Why we do not register with FBR
37
8. Annex – C: Symposium Agenda
Friday, November 29, 2013
Policy Symposium on Taxation and Energy Reforms in Pakistan
9:45 – 10:00 am Welcome Note Dr. Vaqar Ahmed, Deputy Executive
Director, SDPI
10:00 – 10:45 am Inaugural Session
Dr. Khaqan Najeeb, Director General,
Economic Reforms Unit
Senator Nasreen Jalil, Chairperson
Standing Committee
Mohsin Khan Leghari, Senator
Break
11:15 am – 12:45 pm Taxation Reforms in
Pakistan – Way Forward
Noman Ishtiaq, Advisor SDPI
Shahid Hussain Asad, Member IR Policy,
Federal Board of Revenue
Sakib Sherani, Chief Executive Officer,
Macro Economics Insight Pvt Ltd.
Senator Nasreen Jalil, Chairperson
Standing Committee
Moderated Discussion
Break
2:30 – 4:00 pm
Energy Sector:
Challenges and Current
Options
Dr. Vaqar Ahmed, Deputy Executive
Director, SDPI
Dr. Mussaddiq Malik, Advisor to Federal
Minister for Water and Power
Kaiser Bengali, Advisor to Chief Minister
Balochistan
Syed Mohammed Ali, Chief Executive
Officer at Engro Powergen
Moderated Discussion
Break
38
9. Annex – D: Media Coverage Links
Business Recorder:
http://www.brecorder.com/taxation/181:pakistan/1259755:implementation-of-
budgetary-measures-government-admits-failure/
Daily Times:
http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=2013\11\30\story_30-11-2013_pg5_7
DAWN:
http://www.dawn.com/news/1059495/increasing-import-export-gap-blamed-for-rupee-
fall
Tribune Express:
http://tribune.com.pk/story/638950/taxmen-perturbed-tax-concessions-to-business-
disturb-budget-targets/
Statesman:
http://statesman.com.pk/index.php?page=5&edition=peshawar&date=2013-12-
01&type=newspaper
The News:
http://ow.ly/tomO0
39
10. Annex – E: Symposium Participants
Sr. No Name Institution
1. Raffia Jalil Quaid-e-Azam University
2. Zulfiqar Ali Jhang chamber of commerce and industry
3. Syed Hamza Ali Quaid-e-Azam University
4. Mian Waqas Masud Fazal Industries
5. Muhammad Bilal Shaheen Quaid-e-Azam University
6. Maham Sadiq Quaid-e-Azam University
7. Zopash Khan Quaid-e-Azam University
8. RJ Zahid SDPI
9. Madiha Ahmed DFID
10. Majid Szabist
11. Hamza Sher Quaid-e-Azam University
12. Jahanzeb Dilazad Alternate Energy Development Board (AEDB)
13. Majyd Aziz Former President Karachi Chamber of Commerce
14. Nazar PID
15. Naveed Cheema Economic Reforms Unit – Ministry of Finance
16. Saeeda Khan PIDE
17. Gulalai Jogezai PIDE
18. M. Abdul Waheed SDPI
19. Asif Javed
20. Zaeem Saeed Quaid-e-Azam University
21. Muhammad Tayyab Ayaz Quaid-e-Azam University
22. M. Umer Hashmi Quaid-e-Azam University
23. M. Talha Jabbar Quaid-e-Azam University
24. Hafsa Khalid Quaid-e-Azam University
25. M. Mateen Hamshi Quaid-e-Azam University
26. Hira Ahmed Quaid-e-Azam University
27. Shafaq Ahmed Quaid-e-Azam University
28. Hania Afzal Quaid-e-Azam University
29. Nida Luni Quaid-e-Azam University
30. M. Usman International Development Research Center
31. Muzammil Mukhtar Habib Metropolitan Bank
32. Arifa Shabnum Quaid-e-Azam University
33. Hammad Farooq NUST
34. Michael Wyzan USAID
35. Muhammad Shafiq Technical Education Department
36. M. Jafri SZABIST
37. Saad Ullah Malik Quaid-e-Azam University
38. Anum Lodhi SDPI
39. Itrat Zara NUST
40. Khawar Mahmood Quaid-e-Azam University
41. Naveed Hussain Quaid-e-Azam University
42. Wasim Abbas NUST
43. Ghulam Ali Quaid-e-Azam University
40
44. M. Zubair Quaid-e-Azam University
45. Dr. M. Sahem PTA
46. Kashif Iqbal SZABIST
47. Asif Sikander Quaid-e-Azam University
48. Shumaila Rifaqat DFID
49. Fareeha Tahreem NUST
50. Aftab Alam SZABIST
51. Rashid Ahmed Khan NUML
52. Maryam Shafi PIDE
53. Dr. M. Akber Hamdard University
54. Arif Alauddin Enercon
55. Malik Tahir Haripur Chamber of Commerce and Industry
56. Sadaqat Hashmi The Media Profile
57. Ali Hamdani NUST
58. Saif Ullah UUS
59. Khaqan Najeeb Ministry of Finance
60. Sundas Sharif NUST
61. Yasir Niazi Indus Motor Company
62. Sadaf Zareen PIDE
63. Amjad Ahmad AJKC
64. Sarim Shiekh OICCJ
65. Dr. M. Tariq Majeed Quaid-e-Azam University
66. Nasira Taskeen Vision consulting
67. Zafar Abbas University of Sargodha
68. Farahat Waqas Unversity of Sargodha
69. Bilal Bank Alfalah
70. Shahid Fiaz The Asia Foundation
71. Afifa Minhas NUST
72. Muhammad Tufail NBS
73. Nauman Malik University of Sargodha
74. Hamza Khan US Embassy
75. Mariab Abid University of Sargodha
76. Zeeshan M Yasir IPPs Advisory Council
77. M. Ayub Chaudhry M/o Overseas Pakistanis & Human Resource Dev
78. Shehryar Ghattar
79. Shahid Iqbal Ministry of Planning Development and Reforms
80. Haneen Khalid NUST
81. M. Abu Bakr NUST
82. Dr. Babar Hussain University of Sargodha
83. M. Waseem Akram University of Sargodha
84. Saba UoS
85. Humaira Yasmin University of Sargodha
86. Shoaib Bashir Khan Ministry of Planning Development and Reforms
87. M. Kashif Member
88. M. Atif University of Sargodha
89. Naghman Ahmad University of Sargodha
90. Sabeen Saif
91. Summun Ahson Qadri Quaid-e-Azam University
41
92. Kamran Saleem Member
93. Engr. Mehfooz A. Qazi M/O Planning Development and Reforms
94. Raja Taimur SDTV
95. Syed Kashif Viztech Solutions
96. Samavia Batool SDPI
97. Nafeesa Hashmi SDPI
98. Dr. R. K. Malik SZABIST
99. Saqib Shakeel SZABIST
100. Mubashir Safin NNA
101. Alan Whitworth DFID
102. Umar Burana Aaj News
103. Saqib Mnzoor IUIC
104. Jamal Shah SDPI
105. Karim Khan PIDE
106. Tariq Khan Pinpoint Institute
107. Shiekhd M. Asim Member
108. M. Fahim Member
109. Moazzam SDPI
110. Khalid Majid KMR
111. Ayla Majid KMR
112. M. Asim Siddiqui Quetta Chamber of Commerce
113. Zahid Latif Khan Islamabad Stock Exchange
114. Rehan Sheikh Samaa TV
115. Naveed Ahmed IUIC
116. Dr. Anwar Shiekh Quaid-e-Azam University
117. Arshad DM news
118. Hammad Media
119. Sohaib MDI
120. Abdul Rafay Aaj TV
121. Rizwan CPGS
122. Haider SDPI
123. Arsalan Khaliq SDPI
124. Raja Adil Quaid-e-Azam University
125. Tahir Dhindsa SDPI
126. Ibn-E-Amin CNBC tv
127. Tariq Faheem M/O Housing and Works
128. Masood Alam DESCON
129. Arshad Ali Commerce
130. Hassan Bajwa Quaid-e-Azam University
131. Munir Malik Premire OIL/ OKCI
132. Wasim Naqvi SDPI
133. Haroon Baloch Radio Pakistan
134. Waqas Azeem CNBC
135. Farhan Ali Daily Jehan Pakistan
136. Sarah Haram BBC world
137. Dr. Bilal Mirza Center of Policy Studies
138. Ali Hassan Quaid-e-Azam University
139. Niaz Khan Quaid-e-Azam University
42
140. Muhammad Younis Quaid-e-Azam University
141. Kanwar Jawed SDPI
142. M. Bilal Quaid-e-Azam University
143. Maria Ahmed Mcsaatchi
144. Dr. Talat Anwar COMSATS
145. Sohailb Jali
146. Rai Nasir M/O Planning Development and Reforms
147. M. Rahim Jogezai Student
148. Khawar Zaman Student
149. Shahid Zahidi Premier Oil
150. Aamire Nadeem TMR Consulting
151. Abidhussain Quaid-e-Azam University
152. Shahid Hussain Asad FBR
153. Sakib Sherani Macroeconomic Insights
154. Gareth Aicken The Asia Foundation
155. Ali Khizar Business Recorder
156. Mehran I. Mirza Premier Oil
157. Farzana Noshab ADB
158. Sharad Bhandari ADB
159. Ziyad Hussain Online News
160. Hammad Haider Business Recorder
161. Haroon Sarwar Ministry of Planning Development and Reforms
162. Tarique Siyal NNI
163. M. Hamid WWF
164. Akhtar Nawaz Ministry of Planning Development and Reforms
165. Adnan Gul Ministry of Planning Development and Reforms
166. Arsalan Khalid Ministry of Planning Development and Reforms
167. Asim Saeed SZABIST
168. M. Ammar Hussain Ministry of Planning Development and Reforms
169. Ameer Hyder Ministry of Planning Development and Reforms
170. Shahbaz Rana Express Tribune
171. Muhammad Saqib Tanveer Ministry of Planning Development and Reforms
172. Alexis Ferrand DFID
173. Samir. S. Amir Pakistan Business Council
174. Asma Butt SDPI
175. Zia VSH News
176. Yasir Baloch VSH News
177. Nisar Ahmed Sohni Dharti TV
178. Adnan Sattar Khan Ministry of Planning Development and Reforms
179. M. Atiq Ali Babar Ministry of Planning Development and Reforms
180. M. Ahsan Qaisrani Ministry of Planning Development and Reforms
181. Shoaib Quaid-e-Azam University
182. Abdul Rehman Khan D.M News
183. Iqbal Ahmed Ministry of Planning Development and Reforms
184. Nazar Abbasi Asia Today
185. Sardar Shahid Daily Baruraqt Qta
186. M. Ali Kemal PIDE
187. M. Usman Kemal SZABIST
43
188. Ahmed Hussain Ministry of Finance
189. Mahreen Hussain SDPI
190. Babar Jamal SDPI
191. Dr. Ishaque Baloch NP
192. Kaiser Bengali Govt of Balochistan
193. Arsalan Altaaf Freelancer
194. Tariq Ali Virk Daily Taqat
195. Zubair Qureshi Pakistan Observer
196. Humera Karim Dunya News
197. Dr Sarah Hussain Ministry Of Petroleum
198. Kashif Nazeer AAG TV
199. Muhammad Shalar SDPI
200. Abdul Rehman SDPI
201. Liaquat Mehmood BIMS
202. Nafeesa Akram NDU
203. Farid A. Khan APP
204. Dr.M.Islam Iqra Uni
205. Lt.Col.Dr.Rafique Ahmad NDU
206. Ayaz Muhammad SZABIST
207. Doreen Sophia Paul Quaid-e-AzamUniversity
208. Rasheed Khalid The News
209. Amar Karim Quaid-e-AzamUniversity
210. Adnan Krim Quaid-e-AzamUniversity
211. Anum Khalid Mirza NDU
212. Ali Mahdi National Highway Authority
213. Naseem Parveen Researcher
214. Mazhar Farooq Ppepca
215. Tahir H.Baloch Iqra Uni
216. Fatima Munib Iqra Uni
217. Sheema Ahmad Iqra Uni
218. Nyale Hassan Iqra Uni
219. Arbaaz Zahid Iqra Uni
220. Sohail Sarfaraz Business Recorder
221. Mazhon Ali Khan Business Recorder
222. Anzar Ahmed Uni Of Lahore
223. Sajid Mustaq Uni Of Lahore
224. Iraj Ishfaq Uni Of Lahore
225. Adil Shahzad Ary News
226. Hassan Ali Iqra University
227. Mahzeb Iqra University
228. Ayaz Muhammad SZABIST
229. Abrar Ahmed Usaid Office Of Energy
44
230. Farkhanda Aurenzeb Aurat Foundation
231. Engr.M.Rafique NDU
232. Zakwan Ahmed NDU
233. Asif Saeed Uni Of Lahore
234. Samiullah Khan Uni Of Lahore
235. M.Abdur Rehman Uni Of Lahore
236. Syed Ahad Zamin Uni Of Lahore
237. Jibran Ahmed Uni Of Lahore
238. Waqas Jawed Uni Of Lahore
239. Saeed Chugtai Bilal Jasb
240. Bilal Gajour NDU
241. Ali Ejaz BURI
242. M.Munir Hassan Pakistan Broadcasting Corporation
243. Khawaja Nayyar Iqbal
244. Tayyab Daily Aik Awaz
245. Ch.M.Majeed Gets International
246. Akbar Husnain NDU
247. Kashif A.Khan Bay Back
248. Dr.Pervez Tahir
249. Mahmood Hussain Government of Pakistan
250. Liaquat Amir Government of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
251. Saeed Ahmad Radio Pakistan
252. Tariq Sultan PTA
253. Tariq Farooq Daily Ash Sharz
254. Hammad Mughal Research Consultant
255. Salamt Ali Chohan Riba Free Technology
256. Ramazan Mughal PPA
257. Sara Rafi Pakistan Strategy Support Program (PSSP)
258. Hira Channa PSSP
259. Faryal Ahmed PSSP
260. Sajid Hassan
261. Abdul Rehman NDU
262. Ajab Gul NDU
263. Zain Ul Abidin NDU
264. M.Riyazul Haque Think Tank
265. Tariq Custom Today
266. Wajiha Saeed Pakistan Strategy Support Programme
267. Ikram Dawn
268. Rehan Baloch NDU
269. Sami NDU
270. Umar Farooq NDU
45
271. Dabur NDU
272. Tanzila Tehreem NDU
273. Mahin Ikbar NDU
274. Abdul Sattar Independent Consultant
275. Huma Chugtai Energia Pakistan
276. M.Kashif NDU
277. Arbab Marud NDU
278. Saadia APP
46
Notes