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Performance Anal sis of 258 kWac Performance Analysis of 258 kWac Solar Demonstration Project John Aiton Andy Bergrud November 10 2015 November 10, 2015

Performance Anal sisAnal ysis of 258 kWac Solar ...cce.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON-Power...November 10, 2015 Company Overview 28 member cooperatives 1.7 million consumers

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Page 1: Performance Anal sisAnal ysis of 258 kWac Solar ...cce.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON-Power...November 10, 2015 Company Overview 28 member cooperatives 1.7 million consumers

Performance Anal sis of 258 kWacPerformance Analysis of 258 kWacSolar Demonstration Project

John AitonAndy BergrudNovember 10 2015November 10, 2015

Page 2: Performance Anal sisAnal ysis of 258 kWac Solar ...cce.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON-Power...November 10, 2015 Company Overview 28 member cooperatives 1.7 million consumers

Company OverviewCompany Overview 28 member cooperatives 

1.7 million consumers 88,000 miles distribution 1,575 employees

4th largest G&T in the nation 910 employees (MN & ND) 910 employees (MN & ND) 3,718 MW generation

• 710 MW renewables710 MW renewables(Wind, Hydro, Solar, Biomass)

4,696 miles transmission

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Page 3: Performance Anal sisAnal ysis of 258 kWac Solar ...cce.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON-Power...November 10, 2015 Company Overview 28 member cooperatives 1.7 million consumers

Project Overview – 258 kWacProject Overview  258 kWac

Solar Panels Inverters95.4 kWdc 100 kWac

122 kWdc 108 kWac

54 kWdc 50 kWac

3

Page 4: Performance Anal sisAnal ysis of 258 kWac Solar ...cce.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON-Power...November 10, 2015 Company Overview 28 member cooperatives 1.7 million consumers

Procurement & Construction

“Made in USA” & “Made in MN” equipment

Procurement & Construction

Made in USA  &  Made in MN  equipment Manufacturer ownership changes

i l d i ( i f 20 6) Equipment lead times (current issue for 2016) Economies of scale pricing Tariffs on cells & module price/availability impacts Safety & NEC compliance cable management Safety & NEC compliance, cable management

Page 5: Performance Anal sisAnal ysis of 258 kWac Solar ...cce.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON-Power...November 10, 2015 Company Overview 28 member cooperatives 1.7 million consumers

Performance – monthly peakPerformance  monthly peak300

200

250258 kWac

150

200

ac ‐Pe

ak

20142015

100kWa 2015

0

50

b lJan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

Page 6: Performance Anal sisAnal ysis of 258 kWac Solar ...cce.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON-Power...November 10, 2015 Company Overview 28 member cooperatives 1.7 million consumers

Performance – capacity factorPerformance  capacity factorMaple Grove Combined ‐ Capacity Factor

20%

25%

15%

ity Factor

201413.6%

5%

10%

Capa

ci 2015

0%Jan Feb Mar April May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

Page 7: Performance Anal sisAnal ysis of 258 kWac Solar ...cce.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON-Power...November 10, 2015 Company Overview 28 member cooperatives 1.7 million consumers

Performance – capacity factorPerformance  capacity factor

25%Maple Grove Solar ‐ Year 1 Performance

20%

25%

10%

15%

Factor Sharp

tenKsolar

5%

10%

Capa

city F tenKsolar

Suniva

0%

Jan

Feb

Mar

April

May

une

July

Aug

ept

Oct

Nov Dec

C

7

F M A M Ju J A S O N D

Page 8: Performance Anal sisAnal ysis of 258 kWac Solar ...cce.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON-Power...November 10, 2015 Company Overview 28 member cooperatives 1.7 million consumers

Performance – cloudy daysPerformance  cloudy daysIdeal output Partially ideal output Erratic output

Month June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May TOTALIdeal Output 0% 0% 0% 10% 19% 10% 13% 10% 18% 16% 17% 13% 10%

P ti llPartially Ideal Output

23% 32% 23% 20% 23% 10% 6% 19% 18% 23% 23% 13% 20%

Erratic  77% 68% 77% 70% 70% 80% 81% 71% 64% 61% 60% 74% 70%Output 77% 68% 77% 70% 70% 80% 81% 71% 64% 61% 60% 74% 70%

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Page 9: Performance Anal sisAnal ysis of 258 kWac Solar ...cce.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON-Power...November 10, 2015 Company Overview 28 member cooperatives 1.7 million consumers

Ideal day outputIdeal day output

9

Page 10: Performance Anal sisAnal ysis of 258 kWac Solar ...cce.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON-Power...November 10, 2015 Company Overview 28 member cooperatives 1.7 million consumers

Grid managementGrid management

Power Swing Summary

99% to 36% in 12 seconds

36% to 98% in 34 seconds

98% to 51% in 12 seconds

51% 98% i 31 d51% to 98% in 31 seconds

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Page 11: Performance Anal sisAnal ysis of 258 kWac Solar ...cce.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON-Power...November 10, 2015 Company Overview 28 member cooperatives 1.7 million consumers

Performance – snow recoveryPerformance  snow recovery80 0%

90.0%

100.0% Sharp Solar Panels

40 0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

Irradiance

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%Power

0.0%

12/26/14 1/18/1521 days to recover!Array Winter average recovery Array Dec 26 snowfall recovery 

Suniva 3 days

TenKsolar 3.5 days

Sharp 9 8 days

Suniva 5 days (1/2/15) 

TenKsolar 8 days (1/5/15)

Sharp 21 days (1/18/15) Sharp 9.8 daysSharp 21 days (1/18/15)

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Page 12: Performance Anal sisAnal ysis of 258 kWac Solar ...cce.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON-Power...November 10, 2015 Company Overview 28 member cooperatives 1.7 million consumers

Statewide Capacity FactorsStatewide Capacity FactorsMonth Average Capacity Factor

January 5 7%January 5.7%

February 9.7%

March 15.8%

April 16.6%

May 15.3%

June 17.4%

July 18.4%

August 15.9%

September 14 1%

http://solar greatriverenergy com

September 14.1%

October 10.8%

November 5.3%

b 3 8% http://solar.greatriverenergy.com

12

December 3.8%

Page 13: Performance Anal sisAnal ysis of 258 kWac Solar ...cce.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON-Power...November 10, 2015 Company Overview 28 member cooperatives 1.7 million consumers

Statewide output balancing?Statewide output balancing?120.00%

(Erratic Output Day)

100.00%

AC)

IMCEA %

60.00%

80.00%

tput  (kW

 A

Arrowhead %

Goodhue %

Kandiyohi %

40.00%

60.00%

Power Out Lake Region %

East Central %

Dakota %

0 00%

20.00%

Combined %

0.00%4:48 AM 7:12 AM 9:36 AM 12:00 PM 2:24 PM 4:48 PM 7:12 PM 9:36 PM

Page 14: Performance Anal sisAnal ysis of 258 kWac Solar ...cce.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON-Power...November 10, 2015 Company Overview 28 member cooperatives 1.7 million consumers

Performance ‐ Harmonics

IEEE‐1547 Compliance

Performance  Harmonics

IEEE 1547 Compliance

Page 15: Performance Anal sisAnal ysis of 258 kWac Solar ...cce.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON-Power...November 10, 2015 Company Overview 28 member cooperatives 1.7 million consumers

Current HarmonicsCurrent HarmonicsFundamental (1st Order)

100

120

140

60

80

100

rren

t (am

ps)

TenK Solar

20

40

Cur Solectria

Advanced Energy

0

6:00

:00

6:30

:00

7:00

:00

7:30

:00

8:00

:00

8:30

:00

9:00

:00

9:30

:00

10:00:00

10:30:00

11:00:00

11:30:00

12:00:00

12:30:00

13:00:00

13:30:00

14:00:00

14:30:00

15:00:00

15:30:00

16:00:00

16:30:00

17:00:00

17:30:00

18:00:00

18:30:00

19:00:00

19:30:00

20:00:00

20:30:00

9/23/2014

Page 16: Performance Anal sisAnal ysis of 258 kWac Solar ...cce.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON-Power...November 10, 2015 Company Overview 28 member cooperatives 1.7 million consumers

Current HarmonicsCurrent HarmonicsTotal Demand Distortion ‐ TDD (3rd, 5th, 7th)

3 50%

4.00%

4.50%

5.00%

2.00%

2.50%

3.00%

3.50%

TDD (%

)

TenK Solar

0.50%

1.00%

1.50%

2.00%Solectria

Advanced Energy

0.00%

6:00

:00

6:30

:00

7:00

:00

7:30

:00

8:00

:00

8:30

:00

9:00

:00

9:30

:00

10:00:00

10:30:00

11:00:00

11:30:00

12:00:00

12:30:00

13:00:00

13:30:00

14:00:00

14:30:00

15:00:00

15:30:00

16:00:00

16:30:00

17:00:00

17:30:00

18:00:00

18:30:00

19:00:00

19:30:00

20:00:00

20:30:00

9/23/2014

Page 17: Performance Anal sisAnal ysis of 258 kWac Solar ...cce.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON-Power...November 10, 2015 Company Overview 28 member cooperatives 1.7 million consumers

Shading impacts: not just power lossShading impacts: not just power lossHot spots due to partial shading on module

Page 18: Performance Anal sisAnal ysis of 258 kWac Solar ...cce.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON-Power...November 10, 2015 Company Overview 28 member cooperatives 1.7 million consumers

DG Metering OptionsDG Metering Options

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Page 19: Performance Anal sisAnal ysis of 258 kWac Solar ...cce.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON-Power...November 10, 2015 Company Overview 28 member cooperatives 1.7 million consumers

Lessons learned Procurement volatility in the industry

Lessons learned

Large and rapid power swings

Significant seasonal output variance Significant seasonal output variance

Snow shed ability dependent on racking design

d l f Demonstrated value for energy storage

No observed harmonic issues

Shading impacts on equipment life

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