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Presentation given by Dr. Norman Yan at the 2014 Friends of the Muskoka Watershed Annual General Meeting held on Friday, June 20, 2014 at the Foot's Bay Community Centre.
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Multiple Stressors of Lakes of Muskoka:
Past and Current Challenges
Dr. Norman Yan
We have solved many environmental problems
Eutrophicationcaused by excessive phosphorus loading
Acid Raincaused mainly by sulphur dioxide emissions
Loss of Birdsdue to DDT and other chlorinated pesticides
Lead Pollutionfrom leaded gasoline
Ozone Depletioncaused by CFCs
Cosmetic Use of Pesticides
Eutrophication
EUTROPHICATIONAcid RainDDTLeadOzone DepletionLawn pesticidesDevelopmentMercuryClimate ChangeCalcium declineRoad SaltInvadersNovel chemicals
Recovery of Gravenhurst Bay from Eutrophication
EUTROPHICATIONAcid RainDDTLeadOzone DepletionLawn pesticidesDevelopmentMercuryClimate ChangeCalcium declineRoad SaltInvadersNovel chemicals
Acid Rain
EutrophicationACID RAINDDTLeadOzone DepletionLawn pesticidesDevelopmentMercuryClimate ChangeCalcium declineRoad SaltInvadersNovel chemicals
We Have Reduced SO2 Emissions
EutrophicationACID RAINDDTLeadOzone DepletionLawn pesticidesDevelopmentMercuryClimate ChangeCalcium declineRoad SaltInvadersNovel chemicals
Acidity Has Fallen
EutrophicationACID RAINDDTLeadOzone DepletionLawn pesticidesDevelopmentMercuryClimate ChangeCalcium declineRoad SaltInvadersNovel chemicals
5 6 7
5
6
7
p
H
i
n
2
0
0
4
/
5
pH in 1980s
DDT Levels Have Fallen Everywhere
EutrophicationAcid RainDDTLeadOzone DepletionLawn pesticidesDevelopmentMercuryClimate ChangeCalcium declineRoad SaltInvadersNovel chemicals
EutrophicationAcid RainDDTLeadOzone DepletionLawn pesticidesDevelopmentMercuryClimate ChangeCalcium declineRoad SaltInvadersNovel chemicals
EutrophicationAcid RainDDTLeadOzone DepletionLawn pesticidesDevelopmentMercuryClimate ChangeCalcium declineRoad SaltInvadersNovel chemicals
DDT in Breast Milk in North America
EutrophicationAcid RainDDTLEADOzone DepletionLawn pesticidesDevelopmentMercuryClimate ChangeCalcium declineRoad SaltInvadersNovel chemicals
Environmental Lead Levels Have Plummeted
EutrophicationAcid RainDDTLEADOzone DepletionLawn pesticidesDevelopmentMercuryClimate ChangeCalcium declineRoad SaltInvadersNovel chemicals
and Blood Lead Levels Have Fallen in Response
Toxic level
EutrophicationAcid RainDDTLEADOzone DepletionLawn pesticidesDevelopmentMercuryClimate ChangeCalcium declineRoad SaltInvadersNovel chemicals
Toxic level
Mean Lead Concentrations (ppm) in Toronto Maple Tree Foliage1971 - 2004
78.2
60.556.4 55.2
50.0
24.422.3
24.320.2 21.8
3.2 1.7 1.3 1.3 1.61.0 0.9 1.3 0.7 0.90
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
0 to 5 5 to 10 10 to 15 15 to 20 20 to 30Km from City Centre
L
e
a
d
C
o
n
c
e
n
t
r
a
t
i
o
n
(
p
p
m
)
Pb 1971 Pb 1981 Pb 1991 Pb 2004
Mean Lead Concentrations (ppm) in Toronto Maple Tree Foliage1971 - 2004
78.2
60.556.4 55.2
50.0
24.422.3
24.320.2 21.8
3.2 1.7 1.3 1.3 1.61.0 0.9 1.3 0.7 0.90
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
0 to 5 5 to 10 10 to 15 15 to 20 20 to 30Km from City Centre
L
e
a
d
C
o
n
c
e
n
t
r
a
t
i
o
n
(
p
p
m
)
Pb 1971 Pb 1981 Pb 1991 Pb 2004
EutrophicationAcid RainDDTLeadOZONE DEPLETIONLawn pesticidesDevelopmentMercuryClimate ChangeCalcium declineRoad SaltInvadersNovel chemicals
Global CFC Production (t/year) & Release Plummeted
EutrophicationAcid RainDDTLeadOzone DepletionLAWN PESTICIDESDevelopmentMercuryClimate ChangeCalcium declineRoad SaltInvadersNovel chemicals
And Behind My Bracebridge Home
EUTROPHICATIONACID RAINDDTLEADOZONE DEPLETIONLAWN PESTICIDESDevelopmentMercuryClimate ChangeCalcium declineRoad SaltInvadersNovel chemicals
Solving these Environmental Problems Required:
Knowledgeproblem recognition, cause identification, evaluation of possible solutions
Willpublic engagement, ie education and marketing
Actionpolicy change, reasoned intervention
Re-assessmentsto prove success
What are the current environmental issues Facing Muskoka?
EutrophicationAcid RainDDTLeadOzone DepletionLawn pesticidesDEVELOPMENTMercuryClimate ChangeCalcium declineRoad SaltInvadersNovel chemicals
Certainly Ongoing Pressures from Development
EutrophicationAcid RainDDTLeadOzone DepletionLawn pesticidesDEVELOPMENTMercuryClimate ChangeCalcium declineRoad SaltInvadersNovel chemicals
Stress Linked to Overall Development in Muskoka
2014 Muskoka Watershed Report Card
EutrophicationAcid RainDDTLeadOzone DepletionLawn pesticidesDevelopmentMERCURYClimate ChangeCalcium declineRoad SaltInvadersNovel chemicals
Mercury Pollution Remains a Threat to Loons and Other Fish-Eating Wildlife
EutrophicationAcid RainDDTLeadOzone DepletionLawn pesticidesDevelopmentMercuryCLIMATE CHANGECalcium declineRoad SaltInvadersNovel chemicals
The Climate is Changing: Departure of Annual Temperature from the 1950-1980 Mean
EutrophicationAcid RainDDTLeadOzone DepletionLawn pesticidesDevelopmentMercuryClimate ChangeCALCIUM DECLINERoad SaltInvadersNovel chemicals
Calcium Levels are Fallingie. Plastic Lake near the Frost Centre
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 20151.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
I
c
e
-
f
r
e
e
s
e
a
s
o
n
m
e
a
n
C
a
(
m
g
/
L
)
Year
2004
Proposed Ca thresholds for Daphnia:
Ashforth & Yan: 1.5 mg/LCairns et al: 1.3 to 1.7 mg/LDeSellas et al: 1.5-2 mg/L
EutrophicationAcid RainDDTLeadOzone DepletionLawn pesticidesDevelopmentMercuryClimate ChangeCALCIUM DECLINERoad SaltInvadersNovel chemicals
All Life Needs Calcium (Ca)
EutrophicationAcid RainDDTLeadOzone DepletionLawn pesticidesDevelopmentMercuryClimate ChangeCALCIUM DECLINERoad SaltInvadersNovel chemicals
Stress Linked to Calcium Decline in Muskoka
2014 Muskoka Watershed Report Card
EutrophicationAcid RainDDTLeadOzone DepletionLawn pesticidesDevelopmentMercuryClimate ChangeCalcium declineROAD SALTInvadersNovel chemicals
1.5 Million Tonnes of Salt are used on Canadas Roads
EutrophicationAcid RainDDTLeadOzone DepletionLawn pesticidesDevelopmentMercuryClimate ChangeCalcium declineROAD SALTInvadersNovel chemicals
Chloride Levels Have Risen in Lakes of MuskokaNear Highways
0 50 100 150 200
0
20
40
60
80
100
C
l
(
m
g
/
L
)
Rank of Cl
Jevins Lake
Ada & Webster lakes
Wolfkin Lake
LC50 for Cl(0.2 mg C/L food)
Rank of Lake by Cl Level
EutrophicationAcid RainDDTLeadOzone DepletionLawn pesticidesDevelopmentMercuryClimate ChangeCalcium declineROAD SALTInvadersNovel chemicals
All of the Lakes with High Cl are Beside Winter-Maintained Highways ie. Jevins Lake
EutrophicationAcid RainDDTLeadOzone DepletionLawn pesticidesDevelopmentMercuryClimate ChangeCalcium declineROAD SALTInvadersNovel chemicals
And Road Salt is More Damaging in Nutrient-poor Lakes
y = 251.95x - 23.59R = 0.9323
y = 308.55x - 29.71R = 0.9118
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2
1
4
-
D
a
y
L
C
5
0
(
m
g
C
l
-
/
L
)
Food (mg C/L)
LC50 (CaCl2)LC50 (NaCl)
CWQG(120 mg Cl-/L)
EutrophicationAcid RainDDTLeadOzone DepletionLawn pesticidesDevelopmentMercuryClimate ChangeCalcium declineRoad SaltINVADERSNovel chemicals
Stress Linked to Invading Species in Muskoka
EutrophicationAcid RainDDTLeadOzone DepletionLawn pesticidesDevelopmentMercuryClimate ChangeCalcium declineRoad SaltINVADERSNovel chemicals
2014 Muskoka Watershed Report Card
Novel chemicals are appearing in Ontario lakes:
Pharmaceuticals
Flame retardants
Cosmetics
Plasticizers
Nano-materials
Micro-plastics
EutrophicationAcid RainDDTLeadOzone DepletionLawn pesticidesDevelopmentMercuryClimate ChangeCalcium declineRoad SaltInvadersNOVEL CHEMICALS
In summary
Many issues have been resolved
Eutrophication
Acid rain
Ozone depletion
Smelter pollution
Lead pollution
Chlorinated pesticides
Lawn pesticides
But others are worsening
Calcium decline
Invading species
Road salt
Climate change
Development pressures
Novel chemicals
Which of the Current Threats May be Helped by Local Action?
Calcium decline (in part)
Invaders (in part)
Road salt
Climate change (in part)
Development pressures
Novel chemicals
Can we solve environmental problems?
Yes
Will we solve these developing problems?
???