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Global Index Briefing: MSCI Metrics Comparisons Yardeni Research, Inc. July 16, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 [email protected] Joe Abbott 732-497-5306 [email protected] Please visit our sites at www.yardeni.com blog.yardeni.com thinking outside the box

MSCI Metrics Comparisons - Yardeni · 2020-06-17 · MSCI Metrics Comparisons Yardeni Research, Inc. June 17, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 [email protected] Joe Abbott

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Page 1: MSCI Metrics Comparisons - Yardeni · 2020-06-17 · MSCI Metrics Comparisons Yardeni Research, Inc. June 17, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@yardeni.com Joe Abbott

Global Index Briefing:MSCI MetricsComparisons

Yardeni Research, Inc.

July 16, 2020

Dr. Edward Yardeni516-972-7683

[email protected]

Joe Abbott732-497-5306

[email protected]

Please visit our sites atwww.yardeni.comblog.yardeni.com

thinking outside the box

Page 2: MSCI Metrics Comparisons - Yardeni · 2020-06-17 · MSCI Metrics Comparisons Yardeni Research, Inc. June 17, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@yardeni.com Joe Abbott

Table Of Contents Table Of ContentsTable Of Contents

July 16, 2020 / MSCI Metrics Comparisons www.yardeni.com

Yardeni Research, Inc.

Forward Earnings 1-4Forward Revenues 5-8Forward Earnings Growth 9-12Forward Revenue Growth 13-16Valuation 17-20Forward Profit Margin 21-24Index Price 25-28

Page 3: MSCI Metrics Comparisons - Yardeni · 2020-06-17 · MSCI Metrics Comparisons Yardeni Research, Inc. June 17, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@yardeni.com Joe Abbott

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

7/9

All Country World (25.7)Emerging Markets (7.9)EMU (-22.2)Japan (7.0)UK (-13.8)US (71.8)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD EARNINGS PER SHARE*(indexed to 0 at 1-19-2006)

Figure 1.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

7/9

France (-19.2)Germany (8.9)Italy (-59.1)Spain (-39.2)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD EARNINGS PER SHARE*(indexed to 0 at 1-19-2006)

Figure 2.

Forward Earnings

Page 1 / July 16, 2020 / MSCI Metrics Comparisons www.yardeni.com

Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 4: MSCI Metrics Comparisons - Yardeni · 2020-06-17 · MSCI Metrics Comparisons Yardeni Research, Inc. June 17, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@yardeni.com Joe Abbott

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-100

-75

-50

-25

0

25

50

75

-100

-75

-50

-25

0

25

50

75

7/9

Greece (-96.9)Ireland (-68.0)Italy (-59.1)Portugal (-61.9)Spain (-39.2)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD EARNINGS PER SHARE*(indexed to 0 at 1-19-2006)

Figure 3.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-50

-25

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

-50

-25

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

7/9

Brazil (-0.4)China (128.1)India (133.5)Russia (-8.1)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD EARNINGS PER SHARE*(indexed to 0 at 1-19-2006)

Figure 4.

Forward Earnings

Page 2 / July 16, 2020 / MSCI Metrics Comparisons www.yardeni.com

Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 5: MSCI Metrics Comparisons - Yardeni · 2020-06-17 · MSCI Metrics Comparisons Yardeni Research, Inc. June 17, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@yardeni.com Joe Abbott

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-50

-25

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

250

275

300

-50

-25

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

250

275

300

7/9

Brazil (-0.4)China (128.1)India (133.5)Indonesia (123.2)Mexico (54.7)South Africa (152.3)Turkey (248.3)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD EARNINGS PER SHARE*(indexed to 0 at 1-19-2006)

Figure 5.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

7/9

Israel (5.1)Korea (46.6)Singapore (8.5)Taiwan (21.1)Thailand (-12.0)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD EARNINGS PER SHARE*(indexed to 0 at 1-19-2006)

Figure 6.

Forward Earnings

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Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 6: MSCI Metrics Comparisons - Yardeni · 2020-06-17 · MSCI Metrics Comparisons Yardeni Research, Inc. June 17, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@yardeni.com Joe Abbott

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

7/9

Belgium (-51.8)Netherlands (15.4)Norway (-26.8)Sweden (36.6)Switzerland (8.4)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD EARNINGS PER SHARE*(indexed to 0 at 1-19-2006)

Figure 7.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-50

-25

0

25

50

75

100

125

-50

-25

0

25

50

75

100

125

7/9Australia (-7.8)Brazil (-0.4)Canada (15.5)Mexico (54.7)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD EARNINGS PER SHARE*(indexed to 0 at 1-19-2006)

Figure 8.

Forward Earnings

Page 4 / July 16, 2020 / MSCI Metrics Comparisons www.yardeni.com

Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 7: MSCI Metrics Comparisons - Yardeni · 2020-06-17 · MSCI Metrics Comparisons Yardeni Research, Inc. June 17, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@yardeni.com Joe Abbott

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

7/9

All Country World (31.6)Emerging Markets (68.3)EMU (-0.2)Japan (-8.8)UK (3.1)US (60.7)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD REVENUES PER SHARE*(indexed to 0 at 1-19-2006)

Figure 9.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

7/9

France (-1.6)Germany (10.1)Italy (-2.1)Spain (9.7)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD REVENUES PER SHARE*(indexed to 0 at 1-19-2006)

Figure 10.

Forward Revenues

Page 5 / July 16, 2020 / MSCI Metrics Comparisons www.yardeni.com

Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 8: MSCI Metrics Comparisons - Yardeni · 2020-06-17 · MSCI Metrics Comparisons Yardeni Research, Inc. June 17, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@yardeni.com Joe Abbott

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-100

-75

-50

-25

0

25

50

75

-100

-75

-50

-25

0

25

50

75

7/9

Greece (-94.3)Ireland (-51.5)Italy (-2.1)Portugal (4.2)Spain (9.7)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD REVENUES PER SHARE*(indexed to 0 at 1-19-2006)

Figure 11.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

7/9

Brazil (97.1)China (73.8)India (248.9)Russia (-14.7)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD REVENUES PER SHARE*(indexed to 0 at 1-19-2006)

Figure 12.

Forward Revenues

Page 6 / July 16, 2020 / MSCI Metrics Comparisons www.yardeni.com

Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 9: MSCI Metrics Comparisons - Yardeni · 2020-06-17 · MSCI Metrics Comparisons Yardeni Research, Inc. June 17, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@yardeni.com Joe Abbott

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-25

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

250

275

300

325

350

375

-25

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

250

275

300

325

350

375

7/9

Brazil (97.1)China (73.8)India (248.9)Indonesia (155.3)Mexico (161.9)South Africa (124.1)Turkey (323.8)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD REVENUES PER SHARE*(indexed to 0 at 1-19-2006)

Figure 13.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-50

-25

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

-50

-25

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

7/9

Israel (-26.5)Korea (135.4)Singapore (-5.8)Taiwan (80.8)Thailand (81.8)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD REVENUES PER SHARE*(indexed to 0 at 1-19-2006)

Figure 14.

Forward Revenues

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Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 10: MSCI Metrics Comparisons - Yardeni · 2020-06-17 · MSCI Metrics Comparisons Yardeni Research, Inc. June 17, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@yardeni.com Joe Abbott

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

7/9

Belgium (-42.7)Netherlands (-3.3)Norway (-7.6)

Sweden (24.0)Switzerland (-7.1)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD REVENUES PER SHARE*(indexed to 0 at 1-19-2006)

Figure 15.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

7/9

Australia (4.2)Brazil (97.1)Canada (33.6)Mexico (161.9)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD REVENUES PER SHARE*(indexed to 0 at 1-19-2006)

Figure 16.

Forward Revenues

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Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 11: MSCI Metrics Comparisons - Yardeni · 2020-06-17 · MSCI Metrics Comparisons Yardeni Research, Inc. June 17, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@yardeni.com Joe Abbott

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

7/9

Growth capped at 30% due to extreme values.

All Country World ** (6.5)Emerging Markets (12.5)EMU (4.3)Japan (12.2)United Kingdom (-3.8)United States (6.0)

* Short-Term Earnings Growth (STEG) is forward consensus expected earnings growth over next 52 weeks.** All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.

Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD EARNINGS GROWTH*(next 52 weeks, percent)

Figure 17.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

7/9

Growth capped at 40% due to extreme values.

France ** (2.7)Germany (12.9)Italy (-5.4)Spain (-4.6)United Kingdom (-3.8)

* Short-Term Earnings Growth (STEG) is forward consensus expected earnings growth over next 52 weeks.** All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.

Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD EARNINGS GROWTH*(next 52 weeks, percent)

Figure 18.

Forward Earnings Growth

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Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 12: MSCI Metrics Comparisons - Yardeni · 2020-06-17 · MSCI Metrics Comparisons Yardeni Research, Inc. June 17, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@yardeni.com Joe Abbott

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-70

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

-70

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

7/9

Growth capped at 40% due to extreme values.

Greece ** (12.4)Ireland (2.7)Italy (-5.4)Portugal (17.9)Spain (-4.6)

* Short-Term Earnings Growth (STEG) is forward consensus expected earnings growth over next 52 weeks.** All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.

Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD EARNINGS GROWTH*(next 52 weeks, percent)

Figure 19.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-40

-20

0

20

40

60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

7/9

Growth capped at 50% due to extreme values.

Brazil ** (14.5)China (11.7)India (4.6)Russia (-7.3)

* Short-Term Earnings Growth (STEG) is forward consensus expected earnings growth over next 52 weeks.** All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.

Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD EARNINGS GROWTH*(next 52 weeks, percent)

Figure 20.

Forward Earnings Growth

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Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 13: MSCI Metrics Comparisons - Yardeni · 2020-06-17 · MSCI Metrics Comparisons Yardeni Research, Inc. June 17, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@yardeni.com Joe Abbott

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

7/9

Brazil ** (14.5)China (11.7)India (4.6)Indonesia (3.2)Mexico (15.8)South Africa (28.1)Turkey (23.9)

* Short-Term Earnings Growth (STEG) is forward consensus expected earnings growth over next 52 weeks.** All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.

Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD EARNINGS GROWTH*(next 52 weeks, percent)

Figure 21.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

7/9

Growth capped at 50% due to extreme values.

Israel ** (9.0)Korea (33.2)Singapore (-4.0)Taiwan (11.0)Thailand (-0.8)

* Short-Term Earnings Growth (STEG) is forward consensus expected earnings growth over next 52 weeks.** All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.

Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD EARNINGS GROWTH*(next 52 weeks, percent)

Figure 22.

Forward Earnings Growth

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Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 14: MSCI Metrics Comparisons - Yardeni · 2020-06-17 · MSCI Metrics Comparisons Yardeni Research, Inc. June 17, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@yardeni.com Joe Abbott

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-40

-20

0

20

40

60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

7/9

Growth capped at 50% due to extreme values.

Belgium ** (-7.7)Netherlands (6.2)Norway (0.3)Sweden (1.3)Switzerland (5.1)

* Short-Term Earnings Growth (STEG) is forward consensus expected earnings growth over next 52 weeks.** All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.

Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD EARNINGS GROWTH*(next 52 weeks, percent)

Figure 23.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

7/9

Growth capped at 45% due to extreme values.

Australia ** (2.8)Brazil (14.5)Canada (3.7)Mexico (15.8)

* Short-Term Earnings Growth (STEG) is forward consensus expected earnings growth over next 52 weeks.** All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.

Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD EARNINGS GROWTH*(next 52 weeks, percent)

Figure 24.

Forward Earnings Growth

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Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 15: MSCI Metrics Comparisons - Yardeni · 2020-06-17 · MSCI Metrics Comparisons Yardeni Research, Inc. June 17, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@yardeni.com Joe Abbott

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

7/9

All Country World** (2.2)Emerging Markets (5.6)EMU (1.1)Japan (-3.1)UK (-1.6)US (3.2)

* Short-Term Revenues Growth (STRG) is forward consensus expected revenues growth over next 52 weeks.** All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.

Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD REVENUE GROWTH*(next 52 weeks, percent)

Figure 25.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-10

-5

0

5

10

15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

7/9

France ** (-0.3)Germany (2.6)Italy (-1.7)Spain (-1.2)United Kingdom (-1.6)

* Short-Term Revenues Growth (STRG) is forward consensus expected revenues growth over next 52 weeks.** All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.

Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD REVENUE GROWTH*(next 52 weeks, percent)

Figure 26.

Forward Revenue Growth

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Yardeni Research, Inc.

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2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

7/9

Greece ** (-1.7)Ireland (4.1)Italy (-1.7)Portugal (1.2)Spain (-1.2)

* Short-Term Revenues Growth (STRG) is forward consensus expected revenues growth over next 52 weeks.** All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.

Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD REVENUE GROWTH*(next 52 weeks, percent)

Figure 27.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

7/9

Brazil ** (5.6)China (7.4)India (0.8)Russia (-5.4)

* Short-Term Revenues Growth (STRG) is forward consensus expected revenues growth over next 52 weeks.** All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.

Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD REVENUE GROWTH*(next 52 weeks, percent)

Figure 28.

Forward Revenue Growth

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Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 17: MSCI Metrics Comparisons - Yardeni · 2020-06-17 · MSCI Metrics Comparisons Yardeni Research, Inc. June 17, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@yardeni.com Joe Abbott

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

7/9

Brazil ** (5.6)China (7.4)India (0.8)Indonesia (2.9)Mexico (5.0)South Africa (9.6)Turkey (11.5)

* Short-Term Revenues Growth (STRG) is forward consensus expected revenues growth over next 52 weeks.** All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.

Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD REVENUE GROWTH*(next 52 weeks, percent)

Figure 29.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-20

-10

0

10

20

30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

7/9

Israel ** (3.4)Korea (4.3)Singapore (0.8)Taiwan (3.4)Thailand (0.7)

* Short-Term Revenues Growth (STRG) is forward consensus expected revenues growth over next 52 weeks.** All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.

Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD REVENUE GROWTH*(next 52 weeks, percent)

Figure 30.

Forward Revenue Growth

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2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

7/9

Belgium ** (-3.2)Netherlands (2.7)Norway (0.6)Sweden (0.4)Switzerland (-0.7)

* Short-Term Revenues Growth (STRG) is forward consensus expected revenues growth over next 52 weeks.** All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.

Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD EARNINGS GROWTH*(next 52 weeks, percent)

Figure 31.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

7/9

Australia ** (-0.2)Brazil (5.6)Canada (1.6)Mexico (5.0)

* Short-Term Revenues Growth (STRG) is forward consensus expected revenues growth over next 52 weeks.** All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.

Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD REVENUE GROWTH*(next 52 weeks, percent)

Figure 32.

Forward Revenue Growth

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2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20225

10

15

20

25

30

5

10

15

20

25

30

7/9

P/E capped at 25 due to extreme values.

All Country World (19.5)Emerging Markets (14.8)EMU (17.7)Japan (17.3)United Kingdom (15.0)United States (22.4)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD P/E*

Figure 33.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20225

7

9

11

13

15

17

19

5

7

9

11

13

15

17

19

7/9

France (18.0)Germany (17.1)Italy (16.2)Spain (15.1)United Kingdom (15.0)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD P/E*

Figure 34.

Valuation

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2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20220

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

7/9

P/E capped at 30 due to extreme values.

Greece (12.9)Ireland (21.3)Italy (16.2)Portugal (19.9)Spain (15.1)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD P/E*

Figure 35.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20220

5

10

15

20

25

30

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

7/9

Brazil (15.9)China (15.1)India (22.6)Russia (8.1)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD P/E*

Figure 36.

Valuation

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2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20220

5

10

15

20

25

30

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

7/9

Brazil (15.9)China (15.1)India (22.6)Indonesia (15.9)Mexico (14.9)South Africa (11.8)Turkey (6.8)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD P/E*

Figure 37.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20225

10

15

20

5

10

15

20

7/9

P/E capped at 18 due to extreme values. Israel (12.3)Korea (12.0)Singapore (14.2)Taiwan (17.0)Thailand (18.0)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD P/E*

Figure 38.

Valuation

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2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20224

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

7/9

Belgium (18.5)Netherlands (21.2)Norway (16.3)Sweden (19.3)Switzerland (19.3)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD P/E*

Figure 39.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20224

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

7/9

Australia (19.0)Brazil (15.9)Canada (17.1)Mexico (14.9)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD P/E*

Figure 40.

Valuation

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2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20220

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

7/9

All Country World (8.2)Emerging Markets (6.3)EMU (6.1)Japan (5.2)UK (7.4)US (10.5)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD PROFIT MARGIN*(percent)

Figure 41.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20222

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

7/9

France (6.2)Germany (5.3)Italy (4.3)Spain (7.3)UK (7.4)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD PROFIT MARGIN*(percent)

Figure 42.

Forward Profit Margin

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2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20220

5

10

15

20

25

0

5

10

15

20

25

7/9

Greece (7.4)Ireland (7.5)Italy (4.3)Portugal (3.7)Spain (7.3)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD PROFIT MARGIN*(percent)

Figure 43.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20220

5

10

15

20

25

0

5

10

15

20

25

7/9

Brazil (6.8)China (4.7)India (9.1)Russia (13.2)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD PROFIT MARGIN*(percent)

Figure 44.

Forward Profit Margin

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2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20222

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

7/9

Brazil (6.8)China (4.7)India (9.1)Indonesia (13.4)

Mexico (5.2)South Africa (14.7)Turkey (9.1)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD PROFIT MARGIN*(percent)

Figure 45.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20222

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

7/9

Israel (20.4)Korea (6.5)Singapore (16.4)Taiwan (6.8)Thailand (7.0)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD PROFIT MARGIN*(percent)

Figure 46.

Forward Profit Margin

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2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20224

6

8

10

12

14

16

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

7/9

Belgium (10.1)Netherlands (8.8)Norway (7.9)Sweden (9.5)Switzerland (14.0)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD PROFIT MARGIN*(percent)

Figure 47.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20224

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

7/9

Australia (11.3)Brazil (6.8)Canada (9.4)Mexico (5.2)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI FORWARD PROFIT MARGIN*(percent)

Figure 48.

Forward Profit Margin

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2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

7/10

All Country World (73.4)Emerging Markets (51.3)EMU (6.5)Japan (-5.2)United Kingdom (3.3)United States (156.7)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI INDEX PRICE*(weekly, indexed to 0 at 12-31-2005)

Figure 49.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

7/10Belgium (-26.5)Netherlands (92.0)Norway (10.9)Sweden (81.0)Switzerland (37.6)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI INDEX PRICE*(weekly, indexed to 0 at 12-31-2005)

Figure 50.

Index Price

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2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-100

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

-100

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

7/10

Greece (-97.3)Ireland (-49.2)Italy (-50.5)Portugal (-44.8)Spain (-27.7)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI INDEX PRICE*(weekly, indexed to 0 at 12-31-2005)

Figure 51.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-75

-50

-25

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

250

275

-75

-50

-25

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

250

275

7/10

Brazil (124.7)China (232.2)India (230.7)Russia (-24.0)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI INDEX PRICE*(weekly, indexed to 0 at 12-31-2005)

Figure 52.

Index Price

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2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

7/10

Brazil (124.7)China (119.3)India (230.7)Indonesia (260.5)Mexico (83.8)South Africa (165.6)Turkey (119.3)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI INDEX PRICE*(weekly, indexed to 0 at 12-31-2005)

Figure 53.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

7/10

Israel (-22.2)Korea (75.8)Singapore (10.5)Taiwan (68.0)Thailand (63.0)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI INDEX PRICE*(weekly, indexed to 0 at 12-31-2005)

Figure 54.

Index Price

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2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

7/10Belgium (-26.5)Netherlands (92.0)Norway (10.9)Sweden (81.0)Switzerland (37.6)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI INDEX PRICE*(weekly, indexed to 0 at 12-31-2005)

Figure 55.

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

7/10

Australia (22.1)Brazil (124.7)Canada (39.8)Mexico (83.8)

* All MSCI regions in US$ except EMU in euros. All MSCI countries in local currency except Peru and Russia in US$.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

MSCI INDEX PRICE*(weekly, indexed to 0 at 12-31-2005)

Figure 56.

Index Price

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